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At least 775 records · Page 43

Adaptive selection and validation of models of complex systems in the presence of uncertainty

This study describes versions of OPAL, the Occam-Plausibility Algorithm in which the use of Bayesian model plausibilities is replaced with information theoretic methods, such as the Akaike Information Criterion and the Bayes Information Criterion. Applications to complex systems of coarse-grained molecular models approximating atomistic models of polyethylene materials are described. All of these model selection methods take into account uncertainties in the model, the observational data, the model parameters, and the predicted quantities of interest. A comparison of the models chosen by Bayesian model selection criteria and those chosen by the information-theoretic criteria is given.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Modeling and Validation of Performance Limitations for the Optimal Design of Interferometric and Intensity-Modulated Fiber Optic Displacement Sensors [Dissertation]

Optical fiber sensors offer advantages over traditional electromechanical sensors, making them particularly well-suited for certain measurement applications. Generally speaking, optical fiber sensors respond to a desired measurand through modulation of an optical signal’s intensity, phase, or wavelength. Practically, non-contacting fiber optic displacement sensors are limited to intensity-modulated and interferometric (or phase-modulated) methodologies. Intensity-modulated fiber optic displacement sensors relate target displacement to a power measurement. The simplest intensity-modulated sensor architectures are not robust to environmental and hardware fluctuations, since such variability may cause changes in the measured power level that falsely indicate target displacement. Differential intensity-modulated sensors have been implemented, offering robustness to such intensity fluctuations, and the speed of these sensors is limited only by the combined speed of the photodetection hardware and the data acquisition system (kHz-GHz). The primary disadvantages of intensity-modulated sensing are the relatively low accuracy (μm-mm for low-power sensors) and the lack of robustness, which consequently must be designed, often with great difficulty, into the sensor’s architecture. White light interferometric displacement sensors, on the other hand, offer increased accuracy and robustness. Unlike their monochromatic-interferometer counterparts, white light interferometric sensors offer absolute, unambiguous displacement measurements over large displacement ranges (cm for low-power, 5 mW, sources), necessitating no initial calibration, and requiring no environmental or feedback control. The primary disadvantage of white light interferometric displacement sensors is that their utility in dynamic testing scenarios is limited, both by hardware bandwidth and by their inherent high-sensitivity to Doppler-effects. The decision of whether to use either an intensity-modulated interferometric sensor depends on an appropriate performance function (e.g., desired displacement range, accuracy, robustness, etc.). In this dissertation, the performance limitations of a bundled differential intensity-modulated displacement sensor are analyzed, where the bundling configuration has been designed to optimize performance. The performance limitations of a white light Fabry-Perót displacement sensor are also analyzed. Both these sensors are non-contacting, but they have access to different regions of the performance-space. Further, both these sensors have different degrees of sensitivity to experimental uncertainty. Made in conjunction with careful analysis, the decision of which sensor to deploy need not be an uninformed one.

Engineering(42)↗

Verification and validation of the PLTEMP/ANL code for thermal hydraulic analysis of experimental and test reactors

The document compiles in a single volume several verification and validation works done for the PLTEMP/ANL code during the years of its development and improvement. Some works that are available in the open literature are simply referenced at the outset, and are not included in the document. PLTEMP has been used in conversion safety analysis reports of several US and foreign research reactors that have been licensed and converted. A list of such reactors is given. Each chapter of the document deals with the verification or validation of a specific model. The model verification is usually done by comparing the code with hand calculation, Microsoft spreadsheet calculation, or Mathematica calculation. The model validation is done by comparing the code with experimental data or a more validated code like the RELAP5 code.

Kalimullah, M.↗

Validation of Model Simulations of Anvil Cirrus Properties During TWP-ICE: Final Report

This 3-year grant, with two extensions, resulted in a successful 5-year effort, led by Ph.D. student Adam Varble, to compare cloud resolving model (CRM) simulations with the excellent database obtained during the TWP-ICE field campaign. The objective, largely achieved, is to undertake these comparisons comprehensively and quantitatively, informing the community in ways that goes beyond pointing out errors in the models, but points out ways to improve both cloud dynamics and microphysics parameterizations in future modeling efforts. Under DOE support, Adam Varble, with considerable assistance from Dr. Ann Fridlind and others, entrained scientists who ran some 10 different CRMs and 4 different limited area models (LAMs) using a variety of microphysics parameterizations, to ensure that the conclusions of the study will have considerable generality.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integrated Disposal Facility FY 2016: ILAW Verification and Validation of the eSTOMP Simulator

This document describes two sets of simulations carried out to further verify and validate the eSTOMP simulator. In this report, a distinction is made between verification and validation, and the focus is on verifying eSTOMP through a series of published benchmarks on cementitious wastes, and validating eSTOMP based on a lysimeter experiment for the glassified waste. These activities are carried out within the context of a scientific view of validation that asserts that models can only be invalidated, and that model validation (and verification) is a subjective assessment.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Validating nuclear models: electron data to interpret neutrino physics

Nuclear models in Monte Carlo event generators are crucial for interpreting neutrino scattering experiments, but are dicult to verify using only neutrino data due to incomplete data for some energy ranges. In particular, we seek to constrain the GENIE neutrino event generator's models. To overcome the uncertainties inherent to neutrino experiments, it is useful to take advantage of more controllable electron scattering experiments to evaluate current models and place constraints on future models. In this preliminary study on the feasibility of this strategy, we evaluate variables sensitive to the choice of nuclear model for the GENIE default model and data from the Jeerson Labs CLAS experiment. We nd some disagreement between them, likely explained by the the use of a dated default and background known to be remaining in the CLAS data that is not accounted for.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Verification and Validation of the PLTEMP/ANL Code for Thermal-Hydraulic Analysis of Experimental and Test Reactors

The document compiles in a single volume the verification and validation works done for the PLTEMP/ANL code during the years of its development and improvement. The verification of sixteen capabilities of the PLTEMP/ANL Version 4.3 code that were identified by research reactor analysts as frequently used in their thermal-hydraulic analysis are described and documented. Each chapter of the document deals with the verification or validation of a specific model. The model verification is usually done by comparing the code with hand calculation, Microsoft spreadsheet calculation, or Mathematica calculation. The model validation is done by comparing the code with experimental data or a widely tested code like the RELAP5 code. In addition, some PLTEMP/ANL verification works that are available in the open literature are simply referenced and not included in the document. PLTEMP/ANL has been used in conversion safety analysis reports of several US and foreign research reactors that have been licensed and converted. A list of such reactors is given.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

AFIP6-MkII and RERTR-12 Porosity Data Collection and Analysis for Modeling and Simulation

Gathering data for the improvement of nuclear fuel modeling and simulation efforts is the primary driver for this work. Mechanistic models allow for a better understanding of the material on a micro- and macrostructural level while saving time and money over traditional experiment efforts. Historically, summarized data and correlations are the inputs for empirical material models and model validation. When improving these models for nuclear fuels with experimental results, there is a lack of reliable data readily available. Experiments - RERTR-12 and AFIP6-MkII - were conducted to understand the irradiation behavior of metallic U-10Mo monolithic fuels for use in extreme reactor environments such as research reactors like the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) or the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR). Microstructural characteristics of fission gas pores (FGP) in each experiment are collected using an automated image analysis technique developed at the University of Florida and presented here. A series of statistical tests are performed to explore the reliability of the results, as well as understand where the data is lacking and what future data collection is necessary to provide sufficient information to assist modeling efforts. The focus is on the porosity, pore size, and eccentricity of FGPs formed during irradiation in three AFIP6-MkII samples and one RERTR-12 sample. From the analysis, it is clear there are substantial impacts of fission density on the pore structure, but there also exist also underlying connections between each sample and the behavior observed in the pores. Further analyses of the pre- and post-irradiation microstructure are needed to improve the understanding of these connections. An early method for microstructural data analysis is presented within and is currently being expanded to include other microstructure data.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Robustness and Validation of Model and Digital Twins Deployment

For digital twins (DTs) to become a central fixture in mission critical systems, a better understanding is required of potential modes of failure, quantification of uncertainty, and the ability to explain a model’s behavior. These aspects are particularly important as the performance of a digital twin will evolve during model development and deployment for real-world operations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Niowave Flow Testing of the High Power Converter - FY 21

Design work for a 100 kW converter to produce a neutron flux via electron impact on a flowing stream of liquid metal lead-bismuth (LBE) was conducted in FY20. In FY21, the focus shifted to a 20 kW converter which was designed in collaboration with Niowave engineers. A flow visualization model is needed to validate model results for the 20 kW converter and ensure adequate coolant flow over containment structures. This work highlights the mockup that was made with quartz side plates by LANL.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Identification and Validation of Models of Importance for Simulation of Time-at-Temperature using CTF

The US nuclear industry is currently investigating the feasibility and benefit of pursuing a clad performance–based licensing strategy known as time-at-temperature (TaT)—whereby limited dryout of the fuel is permitted during anticipated operational occurrences (AOOs)—as opposed to the more restrictive critical heat flux (CHF) limitation.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Identification and Validation of Models of Importance for Simulation of Time-at-Temperature using CTF

The US nuclear industry is currently investigating the feasibility and benefit of pursuing a clad performance–based licensing strategy known as time-at-temperature (TaT)—whereby limited dryout of the fuel is permitted during anticipated operational occurrences (AOOs)—as opposed to the more restrictive critical heat flux (CHF) limitation.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗