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NASA NTRS2017

The Velocity and Density Distribution of Earth-Intersecting Meteoroids: Implications for Environment Models

Meteoroids are known to damage spacecraft: they can crater or puncture components, disturb a spacecraft's attitude, and potentially create secondary electrical effects. Because the damage done depends on the speed, size, density, and direction of the impactor, accurate environment models are critical for mitigating meteoroid-related risks. Yet because meteoroid properties are derived from indirect observations such as meteors and impact craters, many characteristics of the meteoroid environment are uncertain. In this work, we present recent improvements to the meteoroid speed and density distributions. Our speed distribution is derived from observations made by the Canadian Meteor Orbit Radar. These observations are de-biased using modern descriptions of the ionization efficiency. Our approach yields a slower meteoroid population than previous analyses (see Fig. 1 for an example) and we compute the uncertainties associated with our derived distribution. We adopt a higher fidelity density distribution than that used by many older models. In our distribution, meteoroids with TJ less than 2 are assigned to a low-density population, while those with TJ greater than 2 have higher densities (see Fig. 2). This division and the distributions themselves are derived from the densities reported by Kikwaya et al. These changes have implications for the environment: for instance, the helion/antihelion sporadic sources have lower speeds than the apex and toroidal sources and originate from high-T(sub J) parent bodies. Our on-average slower and denser distributions thus imply that the helion and antihelion sources dominate the meteoroid environment even more completely than previously thought. Finally, for a given near-Earth meteoroid cratering rate, a slower meteoroid population produces a comparatively higher rate of satellite attitude disturbances.

Moorhead, A. V.↗

NASA NTRS2016

Meteorite Falls and the Fragmentation of Meteorites

In order to understand the fragmentation of objects entering the atmosphere and why some produce more fragments than others, I have searched the Meteoritical Society database for meteorites greater than 20 kilograms that fell in the USA, China, and India. I also studied the video and film records of 21 fireballs that produced meteorites. A spreadsheet was prepared that noted smell, fireball, explosion, whistling, rumbling, the number of fragments, light, and impact sounds. Falls with large numbers of fragments were examined to look for common traits. These were: the Norton County aubrite, explosion and a flare greater than 100 fragments; the Forest City H5 chondrite explosion, a flare, a dust trail, 505 specimens; the Richardton H5 chondrite explosion and light, 71 specimens; the Juancheng H5 chondrite explosion, a rumbling, a flare, a dust trail,1000 specimens; the Tagish Lake C2 chondrite explosion, flare, dust trail, 500 specimens. I conclude that fragmentation is governed by the following: (1) Bigger meteors undergo more stress which results in more specimens; (2) Harder meteorites also require more force to break them up which will cause greater fragmentation; (3) Force and pressure are directly proportional during falls. General observations made were; (1) Meteorites produce fireballs sooner due to high friction; (2) Meteors tend to explode as well because of high stress; (3) Softer meteorites tend to cause dust trails; (4) Some falls produce light as they fall at high velocity. I am grateful to NASA Ames for this opportunity and Derek Sears, Katie Bryson, and Dan Ostrowski for discussions.

fragmentations↗

NASA NTRS2017

Forbidden Mass Ranges for Shower Meteoroids

Burns et al. (1979) use the parameter beta to describe the ratio of radiation pressure to gravity for a particle in the Solar System. The central potential that these particles experience is effectively reduced by a factor of (1- beta ), which in turn lowers the escape velocity. Burns et al. (1979) derived a simple expression for the value of beta at which particles ejected from a comet follow parabolic orbits and thus leave the Solar System; we expand on this to derive an expression for critical beta values that takes ejection velocity into account, assuming geometric optics. We use our expression to compute the critical value and corresponding mass for cometary ejecta leading, trailing, and following the parent comet's nucleus for 10 major meteor showers. Finally, we numerically solve for critical beta values in the case of non-geometric optics. These values determine the mass regimes within which meteoroids are ejected from the Solar System and therefore cannot contribute to meteor showers.

Moorhead, Althea V.↗

NASA NTRS2017

Fireballs in the Sky: An Augmented Reality Citizen Science Program

Fireballs in the Sky is an innovative Australian citizen science program that connects the public with the research of the Desert Fireball Network (DFN). This research aims to understand the early workings of the solar system, and Fireballs in the Sky invites people around the world to learn about this science, contributing fireball sightings via a user-friendly augmented reality mobile app. Tens of thousands of people have downloaded the app world-wide and participated in the science of meteoritics. The Fireballs in the Sky app allows users to get involved with the Desert Fireball Network research, supplementing DFN observations and providing enhanced coverage by reporting their own meteor sightings to DFN scientists. Fireballs in the Sky reports are used to track the trajectories of meteors - from their orbit in space to where they might have landed on Earth. Led by Phil Bland at Curtin University in Australia, the Desert Fireball Network (DFN) uses automated observatories across Australia to triangulate trajectories of meteorites entering the atmosphere, determine pre-entry orbits, and pinpoint their fall positions. Each observatory is an autonomous intelligent imaging system, taking 1000 by 36 megapixel all-sky images throughout the night, using neural network algorithms to recognize events. They are capable of operating for 12 months in a harsh environment, and store all imagery collected. We developed a completely automated software pipeline for data reduction, and built a supercomputer database for storage, allowing us to process our entire archive. The DFN currently stands at 50 stations distributed across the Australian continent, covering an area of 2.5 million square kilometers. Working with DFN's partners at NASA's Solar System Exploration Research Virtual Institute, the team is expanding the network beyond Australia to locations around the world. Fireballs in the Sky allows a growing public base to learn about and participate in this exciting research.

Day, Brian↗

NASA NTRS2018

Genetic Algorithm-Based Optimization to Match Asteroid Energy Deposition Curves

An asteroid entering Earth's atmosphere deposits energy along its path due to thermal ablation and dissipative forces that can be measured by ground-based and spaceborne instruments. Inference of pre-entry asteroid properties and characterization of the atmospheric breakup is facilitated by using an analytic fragment-cloud model (FCM) in conjunction with a Genetic Algorithm (GA). This optimization technique is used to inversely solve for the asteroid's entry properties, such as diameter, density, strength, velocity, entry angle, and strength scaling, from simulations using FCM. The previous parameters' fitness evaluation involves minimizing error to ascertain the best match between the physics-based calculated energy deposition and the observed meteors. This steady-state GA provided sets of solutions agreeing with literature, such as the meteor from Chelyabinsk, Russia in 2013 and Tagish Lake, Canada in 2000, which were used as case studies in order to validate the optimization routine. The assisted exploration and exploitation of this multi-dimensional search space enables inference and uncertainty analysis that can inform studies of near-Earth asteroids and consequently improve risk assessment.

Depositio↗

NASA NTRS2018

Direct Characterization of Comets and Asteroids via Cosmic Dust Analysis from the Deep Space Gateway

The Deep Space Gateway (DSG) may provide a platform for direct sampling of a large number of comets and asteroids, through employment of an instrument for characterizing dust from these bodies. Every year, the Earth traverses through debris streams of dust and small particles from comets and asteroids in Earth-crossing orbits, generating short-lived outbursts of meteor activity commonly known as "meteor showers" (Figure 1). The material in each debris stream originates from a distinct parent body, many of which have been identified. By sampling this material, it is possible to quantitatively analyze the composition of a dozen or more comets and asteroids (See Figure 2, following page) without leaving cislunar space.

Fries, M.↗

NASA NTRS2018

Atmospheric Energy Deposition Modeling and Inference for Varied Meteoroid Structures

Asteroids populations are highly diverse, ranging from coherent monoliths to loosely-bound rubble piles with a broad range of material and compositional properties. These different structures and properties could significantly affect how an asteroid breaks up and deposits energy in the atmosphere, and how much ground damage may occur from resulting blast waves. We have previously developed a fragment-cloud model (FCM) for assessing the atmospheric breakup and energy deposition of asteroids striking Earth. The approach represents ranges of breakup characteristics by combining progressive fragmentation with releases of variable fractions of debris and larger discrete fragments. In this work, we have extended the FCM to also represent asteroids with varied initial structures, such as rubble piles or fractured bodies. We have used the extended FCM to model the Chelyabinsk, Benesov, Kosice, and Tagish Lake meteors, and have obtained excellent matches to energy deposition profiles derived from their light curves. These matches provide validation for the FCM approach, help guide further model refinements, and enable inferences about pre-entry structure and breakup behavior. Results highlight differences in the amount of small debris vs. discrete fragments in matching the various flare characteristics of each meteor. The Chelyabinsk flares were best represented using relatively high debris fractions, while Kosice and Benesov cases were more notably driven by their discrete fragmentation characteristics, perhaps indicating more cohesive initial structures. Tagish Lake exhibited a combination of these characteristics, with lower-debris fragmentation at high altitudes followed by sudden disintegration into small debris in the lower flares. Results from all cases also suggest that lower ablation coefficients and debris spread rates may be more appropriate for the way in which debris clouds are represented in FCM, offering an avenue for future model refinement.

Deposition↗

NASA NTRS2017

Formation and Past Evolution of the Showers of 96P/Machholz Complex

In this work we model the dynamical evolution of meteoroid streams of comet 96P/Machholz, and the largest member of the Marsden sunskirters, comet P/1999 J6. We simultaneously fit the characteristics of eight meteor showers which have been proposed to be linked to the complex, using observations from a range of techniques - visual, video, TV and radar. The aim is to obtain a self-consistent scenario of past capture of a large comet into a short-period orbit, and its subsequent fragmentation history. Moreover, we also aim to constrain the dominant parent of these showers. The fit of our simulated shower characteristics to observations is consistent with the scenario of a capture of a proto-comet 96P/Machholz by Jupiter circa 20000 BCE (Before Christian Era), and a subsequent major breakup around 100-950 CE (Christian Era) which resulted in the formation of the Marsden group of comets. We find that the Marsden group of comets are not the immediate parents of the daytime Arietids and Northern and Southern delta-Aquariids, as previously suggested. In fact, the hypothesis that the Northern delta-Aquariids are related to the Marsden group of comets is not supported by this study. The bulk of the observational characteristics of all eight showers can be explained by meteoroid ejection primarily from comet 96P/Machholz between 10000 BCE and 20000 BCE. Assuming the Marsden group of comets originated between 100 CE-950 CE, we conclude that sunskirting comets contribute mainly to the meteoroid stream near the time of the peak of the daytime Arietids, Southern delta-Aquariids, kappa-Velids. Finally, we find that the meteor showers identified by Babadzhanov and Obrubov (1992) as the alpha-Cetids, the Ursids and Carinids correspond to the daytime lambda-Taurids, the November iota-Draconids or December alpha-Draconids and the theta-Carinids.

Abedin, Abedin↗

NASA NTRS2018

The Formation and Early Evolution of Meteoroid Streams

Meteor showers occur when the Earth encounters a stream of particles liberated from the surface of a comet or, more rarely, an asteroid. Initially, meteoroids follow a trajectory that is similar to that of their parent comet but modified by both the outward flow of gas from the nucleus and radiation pressure. Sublimating gases impart an "ejection velocity" to solid particles in the coma; this ejection velocity is larger for smaller particles but cannot exceed the speed of the gas itself. Radiation pressure provides a repulsive force that, like gravity, follows an inverse square law, and thus effectively reduces the central potential experienced by small particles. Depending on the optical properties of the particle, the speed of the particle may exceed its effective escape velocity; such particles will be unbound and hence excluded from meteoroid streams and meteor showers. These processes also modify the heliocentric distance at which meteoroid orbits cross the ecliptic plane, and can thus move portions of the stream out of range of the Earth. This talk presents recent work on these components of the early evolution of meteoroid streams and their implications for the meteoroid environment seen at Earth.

Moorhead, Althea V.↗

NASA NTRS2018

Radiative Heating of Large Meteoroids During Atmospheric Entry

A high-fidelity approach for simulating the aerothermodynamic environments of meteor entries was developed, which allows the commonly assumed heat transfer coefficient of 0.1 to be assessed. This model uses chemically reacting computational fluid dynamics (CFD), coupled with radiation transport and surface ablation. Coupled radiation accounts for the impact of radiation on the flowfield energy equations, while coupled ablation explicitly models the injection of ablation products within the flowfield and radiation simulations. For a meteoroid with a velocity of 20 km/s, coupled radiation is shown to reduce the stagnation point radiative heating by over 60%. The impact of coupled ablation (with coupled radiation) is shown to provide at least a 70% reduction in the radiative heating relative to cases with only coupled radiation. This large reduction is partially the result of the low ionization energies of meteoric ablation products relative to air species. The low ionization energies of ablation products, such as Mg and Ca, provide strong photoionization and atomic line absorption in regions of the spectrum that air species do not. MgO and CaO are also shown to provide significant absorption. Turbulence is shown to impact the distribution of ablation products through the shock-layer, which results in up to a 100% increase in the radiative heating downstream of the stagnation point. To create a database of heat transfer coefficients, the developed model was applied to a range of cases. This database considered velocities ranging from 14 to 20 km/s, altitudes ranging from 20 to 50 km, and nose radii ranging from 1 to 100 m. The heat transfer coefficients from these simulations are below 0.045 for the range of cases, for both laminar and turbulent, which is significantly lower than the canonical value of 0:1. When the new heat transfer model is applied to a Tunguska-like 15 Mt entry, the effect of the new model is to lower the height of burst by up to 2 km, depending on assumed entry angle. This, in turn, results in a significantly larger ground damage footprint than when the canonical heating assumption is used.

Christopher O Johnston↗

NASA NTRS2019

The Search for the Gamma Lyrid Progenitor

On 5 February 2015, a previously unknown meteor shower, the γ Lyrids were observed for the first time. Because of the Sun-Earth-Moon viewing geometry, however, stream members were observed almost exclusively by the Canadian Meteor Orbit Radar (CMOR). The γ Lyrids did not appear again until 2018, and that outburst was stronger than in 2015. This study analyzed the 2015 and 2018 CMOR data in order to determine the orbital parameters of the stream in an attempt to determine the γ Lyrid parent body. Of primary importance is to determine if the γ Lyrids will recur in a predictable manner. Two bodies, with dramatically different orbital parameters and evolutionary behaviors, emerged as the leading candidates: 2003 EH1 and 1854 R1.

Grazier, Kevin R.↗

NASA NTRS2020

Simulating the Benesov Bolide Flowfield and Spectrum at Altitudes of 47 and 57 km

This paper develops a computational fluid dynamics capability for simulating the radiative emission from a meteor shock-layer and wake to an external observer. The developed capability includes the impact of radiation and ablation on the meteor flowfield, where coupled radiation accounts for the impact of radiation on the flowfield energy equations and coupled ablation accounts for the injection of ablation species from the meteoroid surface into the ow. This capability includes updated flowfield chemistry and nonequilibrium radiation models, which are compiled from the literature. To provide a level of validation for this capability, the Benesov spectral measurements are considered. Although the meteoroid was likely fragmented at the 47 and 57 km altitudes considered, and the measurement uncertainty is roughly ±50%, these measurements represent the best available spectral measurements for a relatively large (meter-class) bolide. To determine the equivalent meteoroid diameter to simulate, the continuum component of the spectrum in the 570 to 610 nm range is considered. This range is dominated by air emission from the high pressure and temperature shock-layer in front of the meteoroid, which is simulated with a relatively small uncertainty (because of the abundance of relevant shock tube measurements) and sensitive to the equivalent meteoroid diameter. This allows an equivalent diameter between 0.62 to 0.9 m to be determined, based on comparisons between measurements and simulations in the 570 to 610 nm range. The range of equivalent diameters is due to the various meteoroid geometries considered, where increasing the bluntness decreases the required diameter. Applying these diameters to simulations at 47 and 57 km results in simulated spectra that compare within 30% of the measured values, considering the wavelength integrated values between 400 and 650 nm. This agreement is well within the estimated measurement uncertainty of ±50%. All major spectral features are captured by the simulations. This agreement provides a level of validation for the developed model that has not been previously available.

Luminous efficiency↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Realistic gravitational focusing of meteoroid streams

A meteor shower can be modeled, to first order, as a parallel stream of particles encountering the Earth. Gravity bends the trajectories of these particles inward, producing an increase in flux both near the planet and along the anti-radiant line. This effect is known as gravitational focusing, and the interception of a portion of meteoroid trajectories by the Earth or another massive body is known as planetary shielding. For a perfectly parallel meteoroid stream, gravitational focusing produces a flux singularity along the anti-radiant line, near which intense enhancements in flux occur. In reality, meteoroids will exhibit some dispersion in their motion that removes this singularity. We present a modified analytic treatment of gravitational focusing and planetary shielding that takes this dispersion into account and discuss its ramifications for several problems in meteor astronomy.

Althea Valkyrie Moorhead↗

NASA NTRS2021

Hypogenic Karst of the Great Basin

Discoveries in the 1980s greatly expanded speleologists’ understanding of therole that hypogenic groundwater flow can play developingcaves at depth. Ascending groundwater charged with carbon dioxide and,especially,hydrogen sulfide,can readily dissolve carbonate bedrock just below and above the water table. Sulfuric acid speleogenesis, in which anoxic, rising, sulfidic groundwater mixes with oxygenated cave atmosphere to form aggressive sulfuric acid (H2SO4), formed spectacular caves in CarlsbadCaverns National Park. Cueva de Villa Luz in Mexico provides an aggressively active example of sulfuric acid speleogenesisprocesses, and the Frasassi Caves in Italy preserve the results of sulfuric acid speleogenesis in its upper levels while sulfidic groundwater currently enlarges cave passages in the lower levels. Manycaves in east-central Nevada and western Utah are products of hypogenic speleogenesis and formed before the current topography fully developed. Wet climate during the late Neogeneand Pleistocene brought extensive meteoric infiltration into the caves and calcite speleothems (e.g., stalactites, stalagmites, shields) coat the walls and floors of the caves, concealing evidence of the earlier hypogenic stage. However, by studying the speleogenetic features in well-established sulfuric acid speleogenesis caves, evidence ofhypogenic, probably sulfidic, speleogenesis inmany Great Basin caves can be teased out.Compelling evidence of hypogenicspeleogenesis in these cavesinclude folia, mammillaries, bubble trails, cupolas, and metatyuyamunite. Sulfuric acid speleogenesis signsinclude hollowcoralloidstalagmites,trays, gypsum crust, pseudoscallops, rills, and acid pool notches. Lehman Caves is particularly informative as a low-permeability capstone protected about half of the cave from significant meteoric infiltration, preserving early speleogeneticfeatures.

Louise D Hose↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Preliminary Modeling of Potential Interstellar Bolide (08 Jan 2014) Suggests Further Examination is Worthwhile

The purpose of this abstract is to share data from preliminary modeling of meteor dynamics of the 08 Jan 2014 bolide which occurred north of Papua New Guinea as reported by US Department of Defense (DoD) sensors. A hypothesis has been proposed that this event was of interstellar origin. DoD data indicate that this bolide was produced by a meteor moving 44.8 km/s at only 18.7 km altitude, which describes a velocity profile that is exceptional in velocity, much less at such a low altitude. The Jörmungandr model developed by the author for dark flight modeling was adapted to estimate the luminous flight profile of this body. While this model has significant limits in use for luminous flight and all results must be viewed as preliminary, analysis indicates there is a compelling need for further investigation. Calculation of ram pressure by this object indicate that an iron or iron-rich meteorite 0.5m in diameter is a possible explanation for the reported DoD data.

M Fries↗

NASA NTRS2023

Possible shower outburst in December 2023 associated with comet 46P/Wirtanen

This document supplements the 2023 meteor shower activity forecast for low Earth orbit. We advise spacecraft operators that a possible shower outburst associated with comet 46P/Wirtanen is predicted for December 12, 2023, two days prior to the Geminid peak. If the outburst occurs, activity will be brief but could rival that of the Geminid meteor shower at small particle sizes

Althea Moorhead↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Smooth Particle Hydrodynamic Code Predictions for Meteoroid Damage to Thermal Protection Systems Shielded By Composite Structures

Interplanetary spacecraft are exposed to meteoroid fluxes with characteristics far exceeding the physical simulation capabilities of test facilities for predicting the likelihood that a meteoroid will penetrate a spacecraft’s critical systems. Accurate risk predictions are crucial to ensuring that important interplanetary missions, such as sample returns, can survive years of exposure to the meteoroid environment and safely reenter the Earth’s atmosphere with their scientific cargo. In this paper, we summarize a series of meteoroid impact damage computational simulations into two types of spacecraft composite protective structures using the Smooth Particle Hydrodynamics Code. We consider the effects of both meteoric materials and non-meteoric materials on a shielded forebody thermal protection system (TPS) for an extreme entry environment and on an unshielded aftbody TPS that is similar to the material covering the space shuttle’s external tank.

Brooke Corbett↗

DOE OSTI2023

A Review of Infrasound and Seismic Observations of Sample Return Capsules since the End of the Apollo Era in Anticipation of the OSIRIS-REx Arrival

Advancements in space exploration and sample return technology present a unique opportunity to leverage sample return capsules (SRCs) towards studying atmospheric entry of meteoroids and asteroids. Specifically engineered for the secure transport of valuable extraterrestrial samples from interplanetary space to Earth, SRCs offer unexpected benefits that reach beyond their intended purpose. As SRCs enter the Earth’s atmosphere at hypervelocity, they are analogous to naturally occurring meteoroids and thus, for all intents and purposes, can be considered artificial meteors. Furthermore, SRCs are capable of generating shockwaves upon reaching the lower transitional flow regime, and thus can be detected by strategically positioned geophysical instrumentation. NASA’s OSIRIS-REx (Origins, Spectral Interpretation, Resource Identification, and Security-Regolith Explorer) SRC is one of only a handful of artificial objects to re-enter the Earth’s atmosphere from interplanetary space since the end of the Apollo era and it will provide an unprecedented observational opportunity. This review summarizes past infrasound and seismic observational studies of SRC re-entries since the end of the Apollo era and presents their utility towards the better characterization of meteoroid flight through the atmosphere.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗