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At least 775 records · Page 43

SAS4A/SASSYS-1 Validation with EBR-II Tests Performed During the SHRT Testing Program (Rev. 2)

The EBR-II sodium-cooled fast reactor supported a wide range of fast reactor research activities. The final fifteen years of operations at EBR-II were used for experiments and tests to demonstrate the importance of passive safety in liquid metal reactors and the capability of such systems to provide strong passive responses during off-normal conditions. The Shutdown Heat Removal Test program at EBR-II provided test data supporting the validation of computer codes for design, licensing, and operation of LMRs, among other objectives. The program included nearly sixty tests, most of which were protected and unprotected loss of flow and loss of heat sink tests run at various initial powers and flow rates. This report documents the results of modeling and simulation of tests from the Shutdown Heat Removal Test program to support validation of Argonne’s SAS4A/SASSYS-1 fast reactor safety analysis code. SHRT-17 and SHRT-6 were protected loss of flow tests where a loss of electrical power to all sodium coolant pumps was simulated to demonstrate the effectiveness of natural circulation cooling characteristics. SHRT-45R, SHRT-39, and SHRT-43R were unprotected loss of flow tests where the control rod scram function of the plant protection system was disabled to demonstrate the effectiveness of EBR-II’s passive reactivity feedbacks. BOP-301 and BOP-302R were unprotected loss of heat sink tests that demonstrated how reactivity feedback effects driven by changes to the core inlet temperature can shut down the fission process. PICT-5/6 demonstrated how core power could be increased and decreased via changes in the intermediate sodium and feedwater flow rates. This validation activity leverages modeling and simulation efforts that originated under an International Atomic Energy Agency Coordinated Research Project for benchmark analysis of the EBR-II Shutdown Heat Removal Tests. The SAS4A/SASSYS-1 models originally developed for the CRP have been modernized to utilize new code features and modeling practices. Differences between the predicted and measured test data were explored and the causes of these differences were identified as being due to modeling approximations, uncertainty in transient component behavior, and instrumentation uncertainties. Overall, it was concluded that for all tests simulated there was good agreement between the flow, power, and temperature predictions and the measured data.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

SAS4A/SASSYS-1 Validation with EBR-II Tests Performed During the SHRT Testing Program

The EBR-II sodium-cooled fast reactor supported a wide range of fast reactor research activities. The final fifteen years of operations at EBR-II were used for experiments and tests to demonstrate the importance of passive safety in liquid metal reactors and the capability of such systems to provide strong passive responses during off-normal conditions. The Shutdown Heat Removal Test program at EBR-II provided test data supporting the validation of computer codes for design, licensing, and operation of LMRs, among other objectives. The program included nearly sixty tests, most of which were protected and unprotected loss of flow and loss of heat sink tests run at various initial powers and flow rates. This report documents the results of modeling and simulation of tests from the Shutdown Heat Removal Test program to support validation of Argonne’s SAS4A/SASSYS-1 fast reactor safety analysis code. SHRT-17 was a protected loss of flow test where a loss of electrical power to all sodium coolant pumps was simulated to demonstrate the effectiveness of natural circulation cooling characteristics. SHRT-45R was an unprotected loss of flow test where the control rod scram function of the plant protection system was disabled to demonstrate the effectiveness of EBR-II’s passive reactivity feedbacks. BOP-301 and BOP-302R were unprotected loss of heat sink tests that demonstrated how reactivity feedback effects driven by changes to the core inlet temperature can shut down the fission process. This validation activity leverages modeling and simulation efforts that originated under an International Atomic Energy Agency Coordinated Research Project for benchmark analysis of the EBR-II Shutdown Heat Removal Tests. The SAS4A/SASSYS-1 models originally developed for the CRP have been modernized to utilize new code features and modeling practices. Differences between the predicted and measured test data were explored and the causes of these differences were identified as being due to modeling approximations, uncertainty in transient component behavior, and instrumentation uncertainties. Overall, it was concluded that for SHRT-17, SHRT-45R, BOP-301, and BOP-302R there was good agreement between the flow, power, and temperature predictions and the measured data.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Improving galaxy clustering measurements with deep learning: analysis of the DECaLS DR7 data

ABSTRACT Robust measurements of cosmological parameters from galaxy surveys rely on our understanding of systematic effects that impact the observed galaxy density field. In this paper, we present, validate, and implement the idea of adopting the systematics mitigation method of artificial neural networks for modelling the relationship between the target galaxy density field and various observational realities including but not limited to Galactic extinction, seeing, and stellar density. Our method by construction allows a wide class of models and alleviates overtraining by performing k-fold cross-validation and dimensionality reduction via backward feature elimination. By permuting the choice of the training, validation, and test sets, we construct a selection mask for the entire footprint. We apply our method on the extended Baryon Oscillation Spectroscopic Survey (eBOSS) Emission Line Galaxies (ELGs) selection from the Dark Energy Camera Legacy Survey (DECaLS) Data Release 7 and show that the spurious large-scale contamination due to imaging systematics can be significantly reduced by up-weighting the observed galaxy density using the selection mask from the neural network and that our method is more effective than the conventional linear and quadratic polynomial functions. We perform extensive analyses on simulated mock data sets with and without systematic effects. Our analyses indicate that our methodology is more robust to overfitting compared to the conventional methods. This method can be utilized in the catalogue generation of future spectroscopic galaxy surveys such as eBOSS and Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) to better mitigate observational systematics.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Learning Latent Interactions for Event Identification via Graph Neural Networks and PMU Data

Phasor measurement units (PMUs) are being widely installed on power systems, providing a unique opportunity to enhance wide-area situational awareness. One essential application is the use of PMU data for real-time event identification. However, how to take full advantage of all PMU data in event identification is still an open problem. Thus, we propose a novel method that performs event identification by mining interaction graphs among different PMUs. The proposed interaction graph inference method follows an entirely data-driven manner without knowing the physical topology. Moreover, unlike previous works that treat interactive learning and event identification as two different stages, our method learns interactions jointly with the identification task, thereby improving the accuracy of graph learning and ensuring seamless integration between the two stages. Moreover, to capture multi-scale event patterns, a dilated inception-based method is investigated to perform feature extraction of PMU data. To test the proposed data-driven approach, a large real-world dataset from tens of PMU sources and the corresponding event logs have been utilized in this work. We report numerical results validate that our method has higher classification accuracy compared to previous methods.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Beam test performance of AstroPix sensor with 120 GeV protons

AstroPix is a High-Voltage CMOS Monolithic Active Pixel Sensor (HV-CMOS MAPS) developed for precision gamma-ray imaging and spectroscopy in the medium-energy regime, as well as for precise shower imaging and tracking in the Barrel Imaging Calorimeter (BIC) of the Electron Proton/Ion Collider (ePIC) detector at the future Electron–Ion Collider (EIC). We present beam test results of the AstroPix_v3 sensor using a 120 GeV proton beam at the Fermilab Test Beam Facility (FTBF), performed as part of the broader experimental campaign for the BIC prototype calorimeter. The sensor’s 500 µm pixel pitch enabled precise measurement of the beam profile, providing important information for the calorimeter performance studies. Using the measured 120 GeV proton data, we measure the energy deposit of minimum ionizing particles (MIP) and use them to extract the corresponding effective depletion depth at a single bias voltage of −150 V .

AstroPix↗

Creation Synthetic Data to Train a Digital Twin to Predict Reactor Operations

Understanding techniques to strengthen the nuclear safeguards regime is crucial in preventing nuclear proliferation due to recent advancements in the nuclear energy industry such as Generation IV reactors and microreactors. Prior to the construction of a nuclear power plant, it is necessary to understand the proliferation potential of the plant's reactor. Digital twins serve as a unique solution to recognizing reactor behavior indicative of nuclear proliferation. A digital twin is defined as a virtual model that works in unison to represent a physical asset, with a transference of data between the virtual and physical assets [1]. This work serves as validation for training a digital twin on synthetic data fabricated via means of Serpent reactor physics and point kinetics equations simulations. In this case this work is based on parameters of Idaho State University's AGN-201 reactor. The synthetic data can then be utilized to train machine learning models in the future to further investigate the utility of these methods. The accuracy of the predicted data is measured against real operational data to verify the reliability of the synthetic data creation methods and decide whether these methods should be used in the future to inform inspectors of a reactor's proliferation potential.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Utilizing Physics-Informed Synthetic Data to Train a Digital Twin for Predicting Reactor Operations

Understanding techniques to strengthen the nuclear nonproliferation regime is crucial in reducing the creation of nuclear weaponry on the basis of advancements in the nuclear energy industry. Prior to construction of a nuclear power plant, it is necessary to understand the proliferation potential of the plant’s reactor. Digital twins serve as a unique solution to recognizing reactor behavior indicative of nuclear proliferation. The following research conducted serves as a validation to training a digital twin on synthetic data fabricated via means of reactor physics simulations based on parameters of Idaho State University’s AGN-201 reactor. The synthetic data is utilized to train a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network model. The accuracy of the predicted data is measured against real operational data to verify the reliability of the synthetic data creation methods and if these methods should be used in the future to inform inspectors of a reactor’s proliferation capabilities.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

A Probabilistic Approach to Load Modeling for Central HVAC Systems in Large Commercial Buildings for Retrofit Decisions Under Uncertainty

Retrofitting central HVAC systems in large commercial buildings with advanced technologies like heat recovery chillers (HRCs) offers a significant opportunity to enhance energy efficiency. However, analyzing these retrofits is challenging with traditional whole-building simulation tools, which require intensive calibration and struggle to model innovative system configurations and controls. To overcome these limitations, this study proposes a load profilebased retrofit analysis framework that provides better decisions under uncertainty. The main focus of this paper is the development of a probabilistic load profile model that can be used in the framework by using exploratory data analysis (EDA) of measured building data to properly quantify its inherent variability. A non-parametric Gaussian Process (GP) model was employed to capture the time- and weather-dependent characteristics of the heating load while explicitly modeling its uncertainty. The model's effectiveness is demonstrated through strong predictive performance on unseen data and physically interpretable insights into load behavior. This data-driven, probabilistic load profile serves as a robust and flexible input for subsequent system simulations, enabling a more confident and statistically sound analysis of retrofit potential.

Ham, S W↗

Improving the Quality of Geothermal Data Through Data Standards and Pipelines Within the Geothermal Data Repository: Preprint

For machine learning outputs to be applicable to real world problems, high quality data are needed to ensure high quality results. With the more recent emphasis on machine learning in geothermal, there is an increasing need for greater focus on the quality of the data available for use in these projects. For example, Geothermal Operational Optimization Using Machine Learning (GOOML) utilized large quantities of geothermal power plant operational data to inform power plant operational configurations to maximize power generation. High quality datasets result from dependable sensors or devices collecting data, high frequency of measurements, sufficient data points, adequate metadata, reliable storage of data, and sufficient data curation. Another component that contributes to high quality data is reusability, which can be enhanced through data standardization. Data Standardization creates consistency in formatting and contents of like datasets, lessening preprocessing requirements and ensuring adequate information provided by a given dataset. The Geothermal Data Repository (GDR) aims to help improve data quality through automated data standardization for high-value datasets through the implementation of data pipelines alongside reliable and accessible long-term storage for datasets. As such, the GDR has decided to shift away from recommending the use of Excel-based content models and towards the implementation of automated data pipelines. This takes the burden of data standardization off the user and project team and will increase the availability of standardized geothermal data available through the GDR. A set of recommendations, or a data standard for each data type will exist with each data pipeline in order to advise data collection for maximum usability for future research. This paper serves to describe the GDR's proposed transition towards data standardization through automated data pipelines, to discuss the need for and value of such a shift, and to call for suggestions from the community regarding the most useful data standards and pipelines.

data↗

Future of the MUSiC Experiment Data

The Measurements of Uranium Subcritical and Critical (MUSiC) experiment was a highly enriched uranium (HEU) experiment performed at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC) executed between December 2020 and April 2021. The experiment intended to measure criticality and reactor kinetics parameters in a bare HEU system. The experiment concurrently measured radiation signatures from the system while utilizing different neutron source types. This was an attempt to benchmark both detectors and analysis techniques against one another for identical measurements. The experiment consisted of the Rocky Flats HEU hemi-shells constructed into ten configurations spanning between deeply subcritical (about 14 kgs) to supercritical (about 60 kgs). Two of the ten configurations were supercritical and the other eight were subcritical. The two supercritical configurations, often referred to as the critical configurations, were documented into an International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) benchmark evaluation and submitted to the technical review group (TRG). The subcritical configurations of the MUSiC experiment were examined using three different detection systems. The systems include: the NoMAD He-3 neutron detector which consists of 15 He-3 tubes surrounded by a polyethylene matrix, a liquid scintillator system called the Rossi-α Measurement Rapid Organic Discriminating Detector (RAM-RODD), and a trans-stilbene organic scintillator array (OSCAR) provided by the University of Michigan. The NoMAD and RAM-RODD data are planned to be evaluated in two separate ICSBEP evaluations utilizing neutron noise methods such as Feynman Variance-to-Mean, Rossi-α and the pulsed neutron source method. Each of the subcritical configurations were examined using three different source types including: a Cf-252 source in the center, with only the intrinsic neutron source in the HEU, and with an external D-T neutron generator.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Analysis of the time-of-flight neutron scattering cross-section data for light water measured at the SEQUOIA spectrometer, Spallation Neutron Source (SNS)

Thermal neutron scattering cross-section data for light water available in the major nuclear data libraries observes significant differences especially at reactor operating temperatures. During the past few years there has been a renewed interest in reviewing the existing thermal scattering models and generating more accurate and reliable thermal scattering cross sections using existing experimental data and in some cases based on Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations. There is a need for performing new time-of-flight experiments at high temperatures and pressures, to have a better understanding of the physics involved in the scattering process that could help improve the existing TSL data.Lack of experimental thermal scattering data for light water at high temperatures led to a new measurement campaign within the INSIDER project at the Institut de radioprotection et de sûreté nucléaire (IRSN). Double differential scattering cross section for light water have been measured at the SEQUOIA spectrometer based at the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS), Oak Ridge National Laboratory, United States. Several measurements have been carried out at different temperatures and pressures corresponding to liquid light water. Measurements at five different incident neutron energies Ei (8, 60, 160, 280 and 800 meV) have been carried out to help exploring different regions of the frequency spectrum. This paper presents the analysis of the dynamic structure factor and the derived frequency spectrum of light water. The analysis of the experimental data would provide one with better confidence, the behavior of thermal scattering cross sections for light water at high temperatures, knowledge of which is very important for the design of novel reactors as well as existing pressurized water reactors.

Jaiswal, V↗

A measured energy use, solar production, and building air leakage dataset for a zero energy commercial building

This paper provides an open dataset of measured energy use, solar energy production, and building air leakage data from a 328 m 2 (3,531 ft 2 ) all-electric, zero energy commercial building in Virginia, USA. Over two years of energy use data were collected at 1-hour intervals using circuit-level energy monitors. Over six years of solar energy production data were measured at 1-hour resolution by 56 microinverters (presented as daily and monthly data in this dataset). The building air leakage data was measured post-construction per ASTM-E779 Standard Test Method for Determining Air Leakage Rate by Fan Pressurization and the United States Army Corps (USACE) Building Enclosure Testing procedure; both pressurization and depressurization results are provided. The architectural and engineering (AE) documents are provided to aid researchers and practitioners in reliable modeling of building performance. The paper describes the data collection methods, cleaning, and convergence with weather data. This dataset can be employed to predict, benchmark, and calibrate operational outcomes in zero energy commercial buildings.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

CACTI: Best Estimate Aerosol Size Distribution by airborne measurements

These data were collected during the Cloud, Aerosol, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI; https://www.arm.gov/research/campaigns/amf2018cacti ) field campaign in the Sierras de Córdoba mountain range of north-central Argentina as part of ARM Aerial Facility (AAF) deployment. The ARM Aerial Facility Gulfstream-1 was operated from Las Higueras Airport (IATA: RCU, ICAO: SAOC), Río Cuarto, Córdoba, Argentina, for the Intensive Observation Period (IOP) from Nov. 1 through Dec. 15, 2018. The G-1 aircraft performed 22 research flights over the first ARM Mobile Facility (AMF1) location in the Sierras de Córdoba mountain range to measure atmospheric state and turbulence, cloud water content and droplet size distributions, aerosol precursor gases, aerosol chemical composition and size distributions. The current data set presents Best Estimate Aerosol Size Distribution: a merged aerosol size distribution composed of the data from 5 sensors; three aerosol spectrometers: Scanning Mobility Particle Sizer (SMPS), Ultra-High Sensitivity Aerosol Spectrometer (UHSAS), and Passive Cavity Aerosol Spectrometer (PCASP); and two cloud probes: Cloud Aerosol Spectrometer (CAS) and Fast Cloud Droplet Probe (FCDP). The SMPS data were interpolated to 1 second from “native” time resolution of about 64 second to match all other probes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Improvements to the 115g/115m Cd Nuclear Data

Repeated measurements of the isotope 115m Cd by Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), and Atomic Weapons Establishment (AWE) have revealed a consistent discrepancy between beta and gamma counting. This suggests that a significant disparity exists between the true value of the isotope’s gamma-ray branching ratios and the values reported by the National Nuclear Data Center (NNDC). Enriched 114 Cd was irradiated using thermal neutrons to produce a high-purity 115m/g Cd source for counting and analysis using traditional singles gamma-ray spectroscopy, liquid scintillation counting, gas-proportional counting, and analysis using the new Gamma-Alpha-Beta-Gamma (GABγ) and Gamma-Alpha-Beta Radio-Isotope EvaLuator (GABRIEL) coincidence detection systems. Using the D-T fusion generated neutrons, reduces the wait time required to let the short-lived 115Cd ground state decay away by leveraging the 1:1 production ratio of the ground and metastable state of 115 Cd from the 115 In (n,p) reaction relative to the 10:1 production ratio of the ground and metastable isotopes of 115 Cd by thermal neutron capture on 114 Cd. However, the much higher flux in from the Washington State University TRIGA reactor is a more rapid method of production of 115m/gCd but requires access to enriched 114 Cd. High purity 115m/g Cd samples were analyzed on regular intervals over a period of 140-days. The activity of 115m Cd measured by beta and gamma show a clear discrepancy using the current best known gamma-ray decay branching ratios. Based on these observations and measurements, a set of new branching ratio recommendations have been produced using conventional counting techniques and the advanced GAB? and GABRIEL instruments.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Global transpiration data from sap flow measurements: the SAPFLUXNET database

Plant transpiration links physiological responses of vegetation to water supply and demand with hydrological, energy, and carbon budgets at the land–atmosphere interface. However, despite being the main land evaporative flux at the global scale, transpiration and its response to environmental drivers are currently not well constrained by observations. Here we introduce the first global compilation of whole-plant transpiration data from sap flow measurements (SAPFLUXNET, https://sapfluxnet.creaf.cat/, last access: 8 June 2021). We harmonized and quality-controlled individual datasets supplied by contributors worldwide in a semi-automatic data workflow implemented in the R programming language. Datasets include sub-daily time series of sap flow and hydrometeorological drivers for one or more growing seasons, as well as metadata on the stand characteristics, plant attributes, and technical details of the measurements. SAPFLUXNET contains 202 globally distributed datasets with sap flow time series for 2714 plants, mostly trees, of 174 species. SAPFLUXNET has a broad bioclimatic coverage, with woodland/shrubland and temperate forest biomes especially well represented (80 % of the datasets). The measurements cover a wide variety of stand structural characteristics and plant sizes. The datasets encompass the period between 1995 and 2018, with 50 % of the datasets being at least 3 years long. Accompanying radiation and vapour pressure deficit data are available for most of the datasets, while on-site soil water content is available for 56 % of the datasets. Many datasets contain data for species that make up 90 % or more of the total stand basal area, allowing the estimation of stand transpiration in diverse ecological settings. SAPFLUXNET adds to existing plant trait datasets, ecosystem flux networks, and remote sensing products to help increase our understanding of plant water use, plant responses to drought, and ecohydrological processes. SAPFLUXNET version 0.1.5 is freely available from the Zenodo repository (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3971689; Poyatos et al., 2020a). The “sapfluxnetr” R package – designed to access, visualize, and process SAPFLUXNET data – is available from CRAN.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Analysis of the MUSIC 3 He Multiplicity Data

A measurement campaign called the Measurement of Uranium Subcritical and Critical (MUSiC) was performed on a range of configurations of highly-enriched uranium (HEU) from December 2020 through April of 2021. While part of the focus was to measure reactor kinetics parameters on delayed supercritical systems, an additional focus was performing neutron noise measurements on subcritical configurations from deeply subcritical to nearly delayed critical. Multiple detector systems were used to perform these measurements, such as a 3 He multiplicity detector called the Neutron Multiplicity Array Detector (NoMAD) and a liquid scintillator system called the Rossi-α Measurement Rapid Organic Discriminating Detector (RAM-RODD). Also included were a scintillator system from the University of Michigan and a set of small 3He tubes that have previously been used to measure Rossi-α values on near-critical systems. The focus of this paper will be a comparison of prospective analysis methods for the NoMAD measurements. Previous subcritical measurements at the National Criticality Experiments Research Center (NCERC) submitted to the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) used the Hage-Cifarelli formalism of the Feynman Variance-to-Mean method. This relies on the time correlations of neutron detections to infer the spontaneous fission rate and neutron multiplication of a system through binning the time tagged detections and analyzing resulting histograms of the numbers of counts. However, there are other neutron noise methods that rely on similar processes, such as the Hansen-Dowdy formalism which uses a slightly different methodology to extract multiplication from the neutron multiplicity counting moments. Comparisons can be made between these experimental results and those obtained through simulations to validate or identify deficiencies in analysis, detection methods, or the underlying nuclear data. Different time gating strategies and their effects on count rate uncertainties are also investigated.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Computational Fluid Dynamics-Based Modeling of Methane Flows Around Oil and Gas Equipment

Recent studies estimate that emissions from oil and gas production facilities contribute between 20 and 50% of the total methane ( CH 4 ) emitted in the US; therefore, quantifying and reducing these emissions are crucial for achieving climate goals. Methane quantification depends on both measuring methane concentrations and converting them to emissions through a modeling framework. Currently, simple atmospheric dispersion models are primarily used to quantify emissions and concentrations, but these estimates are highly uncertain when quantifying emissions from complex aerodynamic sources, such as oil and gas facilities. This investigation used a CFD modeling approach, which can account for aerodynamic complexity but has hitherto not been used to model methane concentrations downwind of a methane release of a known rate, and compared it against in situ measurements. High-time-resolution (1 Hz) methane concentration and meteorological data were measured during experiments conducted at the METEC on 21 March and 11 July 2024. The METEC site configuration, measured wind data, and controlled emission rates were used as input for the CONVERGE CFD model to model downwind CH 4 concentration. The modeling was carried out between 20 and 70 m, from two different points of release in two separate controlled-release experiments, one from a separator and another from a wellhead. In these experiments, we found that the CFD model could predict the CH 4 concentrations downwind of the release to a good degree. The model was evaluated on multiple metrics to assess its performance in estimating methane concentrations at typical fence line distances (∼30 m). These results help us to understand external flows and the ability of CFD models to predict downwind concentrations in aerodynamically complex environments.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Predicting the heat release variability of Li-ion cells under thermal runaway with few or no calorimetry data

Accurate measurement of the variability of thermal runaway behavior of lithium-ion cells is critical for designing safe battery systems. However, experimentally determining such variability is challenging, expensive, and time-consuming. Here, we utilize a transfer learning approach to accurately estimate the variability of heat output during thermal runaway using only ejected mass measurements and cell metadata, leveraging 139 calorimetry measurements on commercial lithium-ion cells available from the open-access Battery Failure Databank. We show that the distribution of heat output, including outliers, can be predicted accurately and with high confidence for new cell types using just 0 to 5 calorimetry measurements by leveraging behaviors learned from the Battery Failure Databank. Fractional heat ejection from the positive vent, cell body, and negative vent are also accurately predicted. We demonstrate that by using low cost and fast measurements, we can predict the variability in thermal behaviors of cells, thus accelerating critical safety characterization efforts.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗