Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “lifetime model”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 775 records · Page 43
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
NASA NTRS2010

Longitudinal Proximity Effect, Lateral Inverse Proximity Effect, and Nonequilibrium Superconductivity in Transition-edge Sensors

We have recently shown that normal-metal/superconductor (N/S) bilayer TESs (superconducting Transition-Edge Sensors) exhibit weak-link behavior. Our measurements were explained in terms of a longitudinal proximity effect model in which superconducting order from the higher transition temperature leads is induced into the TES bilayer plane over remarkably long distances (up to 290 micron). Here we extend our understanding to include TESs with added noise-mitigating normal-metal structures (N structures). We explain our results of an effect converse to the longitudinal proximity effect (LoPE), the lateral inverse proximity effect (LaiPE), for which the order parameter in the N/S bilayer is reduced due to the neighboring N structures. We present resistance and critical current measurements as a function of temperature and magnetic field taken on square Mo/Au bilayer TESs with lengths ranging from 8 to 130 micron with and without added N structures. We observe the inverse proximity effect on the bilayer over in-plane distances many tens of microns and find the transition shifts to lower temperature scale approximately as the inverse square of the in-plane N-structure separation distance, without appreciable broadening of the transition width. We find TESs with added Au structures exhibit weak-link behavior as evidenced by exponential temperature dependence of the critical current and Josephson-like oscillations of the critical current with applied magnetic field. We also present evidence for nonequilbrium superconductivity and estimate a quasiparticle lifetime of 1.8 x 10(exp -10) s for the bilayer. The LoPE model is also used to explain the increased conductivity at temperatures above the bilayer's steep resistive transition

Sadleir, John E.↗
NASA NTRS2010

Longitudinal Proximity Effect, Lateral Inverse Proximity Effect, and Nonequilibrium Superconductivity in Transition-Edge Sensors

We have recently shown that normal-metal/superconductor (N /S) bilayer TESs (superconducting Transition-Edge Sensors) exhibit weak-link behavior. Our measurements were explained in terms of a longitudinal proximity effect model in which superconducting order from the higher transition temperature leads is induced into the TES bilayer plane over remarkably long distances (up to 290 micron). Here we extend our understanding to include TESs with added noise-mitigating normal-metal structures (N structures). We explain our results in terms of an effect converse to the longitudinal proximity effect (LoPE), the lateral inverse proximity effect (LaiPE), for which the order parameter in the N /S bilayer is reduced due to the neighboring N structures. We present resistance and critical current measurements as a function of temperature and magnetic field taken on square Mo/Au bilayer TESs with lengths ranging from 8 to 130 micron with and without added N structures. We observe the inverse proximity effect on the bilayer over in-plane distances many tens of microns and find the transition shifts to lower temperatures scale approximately as the inverse square of the in-plane N-structure separation distance, without appreciable broadening of the transition width. We find TESs with added Au structures exhibit weak-link behavior as evidenced by exponential temperature dependence of the critical current and Josephson-like oscillations of the critical current with applied magnetic field. We also present evidence for nonequilbrium superconductivity and estimate a quasiparticle lifetime of 1.8 x 10(exp -10) s for the bilayer. The LoPE model is also used to explain the increased conductivity at temperatures above the bilayer's steep resistive transition.

Sadleir, John E.↗
DOE OSTI2021

Thermal model to quantify the impact of sub-bandgap reflectance on operating temperature of fielded PV modules

Minimizing module heating is an effective way to increase the lifetime energy output of photovoltaic systems. Maximizing the reflection of light that is unusable for energy conversion is one of the most promising ways to reduce the operating temperature of fielded modules. We derive a model based on a steady-state energy balance to quantify the temperature benefit of cell or module optical modifications aimed at improving reflection of light with photon energies below the photovoltaic cell bandgap energy. This more detailed model is then simplified so that, from outdoor measured data, temperature differences arising from reflectance can be isolated from those arising from irradiance, wind speed, and module standard-test-condition efficiency.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Simulated Dust Transport in the Convective Boundary Layer

Soil dusts are an important source of aerosol in agricultural regions and can affect the Earth's radiation budget through the modification of cloud properties, and in particular, through their ability to act as ice nucleating particles. In order to impact cloud properties, agricultural soil dusts need to be transported from the point of emission to cloud–relevant altitudes. Vertical transport within the planetary boundary layer is strongly controlled by turbulence and is challenging to represent accurately in regional and global models. Large–eddy simulations (LES) are run at resolutions capable of resolving most of the turbulent energy directly and can thus better simulate vertical transport. In this study, we leverage the LES ARM Symbiotic Simulation and Observation (LASSO) large–eddy simulations to simulate vertical transport of agricultural dust within the turbulent boundary layer using a modified version of the stochastic dispersion model FLEXPART–WRF. We find that the modified model is better capable of simulating particle transport due to turbulence, and that particle size was the greatest factor in determining particle lifetime. Individual meteorology and particle density had intermediate effects upon particle transport, while release height had little effect upon simulation results. Finally, we utilize a quasi–single column model (QSCM) approach to determine how our results compare to a parameterized treatment of turbulence. The QSCM simulations led to greater tracer transport out of the boundary layer, with ramifications for any studies utilizing a Lagrangian stochastic model to understand tracer dispersion. Furthermore, these results highlight the importance of accurately simulating turbulence for understanding particle transport.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
NASA NTRS1962

Study of a Proposed Infrared Horizon Scanner for Use in Space-Orientation Control Systems

An attitude-sensing device for space vehicles which detects the thermal radiation discontinuity at opposite horizons of a planetary body to produce an attitude error signal is described. The planetary body may be the Earth, its Moon, Mars, or Venus. The sensor is expected to have an accuracy of 0.25 degrees for the Earth, a long continuous operating lifetime, a wide altitude range, a wide capture capability, and an inherent ability to produce signals indicating vehicle altitude. An experimental model incorporating many of the features of the proposed sensor indicates that the proposed sensor will be low in weight, volume, and power consumption. The sensor's altitude range, accuracy, lifetime, and sensitivity to radiation from the Moon and planets are discussed.

INFRARED HORIZON SCANNER↗
DOE OSTI2025

Understanding Soil Microbial Sources of Nitrous Acid and their Effect on Carbon-Nitrogen Cycle Interactions

Descriptions of soil emissions of reactive nitrogen (NO y ) in climate models are underdeveloped or non-existent, due to the fact that details of the mechanisms leading to nitrous acid (HONO) and nitrogen di-oxide (NO 2 ) formation in soil are lacking. This represents a major gap in our understanding of a significant land-atmosphere interaction that prevents us from scaling these processes from the laboratory scale to the ecosystem and global scales. There is a critical need to include these mechanisms into climate models since NO y controls the oxidative capacity of the atmosphere and the lifetime of greenhouse gases and the rate of secondary aerosol formation that directly and indirectly affect climate. The first objective of this proposal is to conduct laboratory and field measurements of NO y fluxes from diverse soil types and determine the mechanism of biogenic NO y formation. The working hypothesis based on preliminary data is that soil HONO and NO 2 is ultimately derived from ammonia-oxidizing archaea (AOA) and bacteria (AOB) that are widespread, but whose abundance varies across ecosystems. In the case of NO 2 , reactive oxygen species derived from iron-containing minerals and heterotrophic bacteria drive NO-to-NO 2 conversion. The approach is to link soil fluxes of HONO and NO 2 to AOA, AOB, and other heterotrophs using a combination of laboratory and field experiments, isotopic analysis, and molecular techniques to address how variability in land surfaces and edaphic properties impact emissions. In addition, we will determine the effect of HONO and NO 2 on nitrogen immobilization and the photo-oxidative capacity of soil. The working hypothesis is that HONO uptake in soil will be a source of nitrosonium and hydroxyl radical that will lead to thermal- and photodegradation of soil organic matter to CO 2 and CO, and the incorporation of N in soil organic matter. We will use surface-sensitive mass spectrometry techniques and gas phase detection to study N-immobilization in soil and subsequent enhancements in reactivity that lead to decomposition of organic matter. The results will be used to reduce the uncertainty in projections from the Community Earth System Model (CESM) stemming from inaccurate representations of soil NO y emissions. The proposed research is significant because, in addition to demonstrating new mechanisms of NO y formation and loss, it will be a crucial first step towards modeling the land-atmosphere exchange of HONO and NO 2 in the CESM. Improved model treatment of land-air exchange of NO y is key for understanding feedbacks between human activity and climate, and addressing societal concerns about the fate of N and C emitted to the atmosphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Dataset for "FLEXPART-WRF simulations to assess dust transport in the convective boundary layer at the Southern Great Plains site"

Soil dusts are an important source of aerosol in agricultural regions and can affect the Earth’s radiation budget through the modification of cloud properties, and in particular, through their ability to act as ice nucleating particles. In order to impact cloud properties, agricultural soil dusts need to be transported from the point of emission to cloud-relevant altitudes. Vertical transport within the planetary boundary layer is strongly controlled by turbulence and is challenging to represent accurately in regional and global models. Large-eddy simulations (LES) are run at resolutions capable of resolving most of the turbulent energy directly and can thus better simulate vertical transport. In this study, we leverage the LES ARM Symbiotic Simulation and Observation (LASSO) large-eddy simulations to simulate vertical transport of agricultural dust within the turbulent boundary layer using a modified version of the stochastic dispersion model FLEXPART-WRF. We find that the modified model is better capable of simulating particle transport due to turbulence, and that particle size was the greatest factor in determining particle lifetime. Individual meteorology and particle density had intermediate effects upon particle transport, while release height had little effect upon simulation results. Finally, we utilize a quasi-single column model (QSCM) approach to determine how our results compare to a parameterized treatment of turbulence. The QSCM simulations led to greater tracer transport out of the boundary layer, with ramifications for any studies utilizing a Lagrangian stochastic model to understand tracer dispersion. These results highlight the importance of accurately simulating turbulence for understanding particle transport.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Validation of MFUEL Metal Fuel Performance Models of SAS4A/SASSYS-1

The fuel characterization models of SAS4A/SASSYS-1 (SAS) have recently been extended to include a new U-Pu-Zr metal fuel model, MFUEL. MFUEL is equipped with mechanistic physics based models to predict the pre-transient characterization and transient response of metal fuel, with emphasis on fuel melting, cladding failure, and the metal fuel’s impact on core reactivity. The MFUEL model will be available in the full version of SAS4A/SASSYS-1 5.7, which is scheduled to be released in June 2023. Fast reactor fuel pins that operated in EBR-II and FFTF with low smear density U-Zr and U-Pu-Zr metal fuels and irradiation resistant ferritic-martensitic cladding showed significant advantages in achieving high burnups and assuring inherent safety characteristics during anticipated transients, design basis events, and beyond design basis events. For safety analysis, a fuel performance model must be able to predict (1) Fuel pin mechanics and compositional and dimensional changes, (2) Clad failure, and (3) Fuel pin thermal resistance. Achieving these high level goals accurately is strongly related to the model performance of individual physical processes taking place within a fuel pin during its lifetime. Metal fuels typically operate above the mid-point temperature of melting during normal, as well as off-normal, conditions. At these elevated temperatures, the availability of thermal activation provides a driving force for various diffusional processes leading to complex phase transformations, micro-structure evolution, significant amounts of fuel swelling, interconnected porosity formation, excessive amounts of fission gas release, and fuel clad chemical interactions. Clad failure in fast reactors primarily occurs as a result of creep rupture augmented by clad wastage formation. The reaction is driven by thermal creep induced dislocation motion, grain boundary cavity nucleation, growth and breakup of grain boundaries. The high level complexity and limited available data requires introducing physics-based modeling approaches to gain extrapolation ability and sensitivity with respect to various conditions. The objective of this report is to perform validation of MFUEL using the experimental data for (1) Normal operation EBR-II fuel behavior, (2) Normal operation PHENIX fuel behavior, (3) HT9 Pressure tube ramp-and-hold creep rupture tests, (4) Whole Pin Furnace (WPF) creep strain, creep rupture and eutectic tests, (5) Fuel Behavior Test Apparatus (FBTA) eutectic tests, and (6) TREAT M5-7 OverPower tests up to clad failure. Section-2 includes a brief description of the MFUEL models. A detailed description of the MFUEL physics-based, semi-empirical models will be presented in the SAS V 5.7 theory manual. Section-3, 4, and 5 describes the validation effort for the pre-transient irradiation, furnace transients, and TREAT M-Series transients, respectively.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2024

The Role and Lifetime of Dissociative Heterogeneous Processes in Improving Simulated Ozone on Mars

Abstract Ozone simulated in Mars Global Climate Models (MGCMs) is used to assess the underlying chemistry occurring in the atmosphere. Currently, ozone total column abundance (TCA) is under‐predicted in MGCMs by up to 120%, implying missing or inaccurate chemistry in models. Heterogeneous reactions of hydroxyl radicals (HO X ) have been offered as an explanation for some of this bias, because they cause ozone to increase at locations where it's currently under‐predicted. We use four simulations to compare modeled ozone TCA with observations from the UVIS spectrometer aboard the ExoMars Trace Gas Orbiter to improve the representation of heterogeneous processes and their impact on ozone. We use a gas‐phase only run, a dissociative scheme, an adsorbed HO X retention scheme, and a hybrid scheme that combines the dissociative mechanism with the retention of HO X on water ice. We find retention of HO X is dependent on water ice sublimation, and ozone abundance increases when water ice persists for longer periods (1–20 sols). Over time, the loss of HO X causes a depletion in H 2 O 2 concentration (HO X reservoir), and thus allows ozone concentration to increase. When adsorbed HO X are desorbed and dissociate into other by‐products, HO X are not immediately available to destroy ozone. This results in larger ozone concentrations than if desorbed HO X are released directly back into their gaseous states. When using the hybrid scheme, ozone TCA is increased up to 50% where the ozone deficit is greatest, demonstrating the best agreement with observations, and implying that HO X radicals are both retained when adsorbed and dissociate.

Brown, M. A. J.↗
NASA NTRS1980

Skylab orbital lifetime prediction and decay analysis

A record (from preflight planning to earth impact) of skylab's orbital lifetime predictions, its actual decay and analysis are presented. Skylab provided a unique opportunity to develop, confirm and check out procedures and computer programs used for predicting lifetime and reentry. It provided verification of aerodynamic environment which was predicted for several aerodynamic configurations. It also provided data on the density model's reaction to rapidly changing solar flux over relatively short time periods. The effects of solar flux (and the uncertainty in the solar flux predictions) on orbital lifetime are discussed.

Dreher, P. E.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Transient Chemo‐Mechanical Model of Lithium Plating Impacted by External Pressure

Abstract Lithium anodes show great promise in commercial applications, but are hindered by lithium plating and dendrite growth which cause safety concerns during long‐term cell operation. Stack pressure is experimentally observed to improve cell lifetime; however, the relationship between stress and lithium deposition has remained difficult to elucidate. In this work, a transient, 3D, finite‐element model of the evolution of a lithium anode due to stripping and plating is developed. The evolution of a microscale protrusion on the anode surface is tracked over one charge‐discharge cycle with respect to stack pressure and lithium yield strength. Lithium plastic deformation, nonconformal anode‐separator contact, and separator porosity effects are accounted for. Over the course of several hours of stripping/plating, the anode surface evolves to a similar morphology under pressure regardless of the initial conditions due to lithium plastic deformation and hardening. The rate of this evolution highly depends on the applied pressure and assumed lithium yield strength.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
NASA NTRS2016

Multiparameter Flowfield Measurements in High-Pressure, Cryogenic Environments Using Femtosecond Lasers

Femtosecond laser electronic excitation tagging (FLEET) and Rayleigh scattering (RS) from a femtosecond laser are demonstrated in the NASA Langley 0.3-m Transonic Cryogenic Tunnel (TCT). The measured signals from these techniques are examined for their thermodynamic dependencies in pure nitrogen. The FLEET signal intensity and signal lifetimes are found to scale primarily with the gas density, as does the RS signal. Several models are developed, which capture these physical behaviors. Notably, the FLEET and Rayleigh scattering intensities scale linearly with the flow density, while the FLEET signal decay rates are a more complex function of the thermodynamic state of the gas. The measurement of various flow properties are demonstrated using these techniques. While density was directly measured from the signal intensities and FLEET signal lifetime, temperature and pressure were measured using the simultaneous FLEET velocity measurements while assuming the flow had a constant total enthalpy. Measurements of density, temperature, and pressure from the FLEET signal are made with accuracies as high as 5.3 percent, 0.62 percent, and 6.2 percent, respectively, while precisions were approximately 10 percent, 0.26 percent, and 11 percent for these same quantities. Similar measurements of density from Rayleigh scattering showed an overall accuracy of 3.5 percent and a precision of 10.2 percent over a limited temperature range (T greater than 195 K). These measurements suggest a high degree of utility at using the femtosecond-laser based diagnostics for making multiparameter measurements in high-pressure, cryogenic environments such as large-scale TCT facilities.

Burns, Ross A.↗
DOE OSTI2026

Search for long-lived particles using displaced vertices with low-momentum tracks in proton-proton collisions at $\sqrt{s}=13$ TeV

A search for long-lived particles using final states including a displaced vertex with low-momentum tracks, large missing transverse momentum, and a jet from initial-state radiation is presented. This search uses proton-proton collision data at a center-of-mass energy of 13 TeV collected by the CMS experiment at the CERN LHC in 2017 and 2018, with a total integrated luminosity of 100 fb −1 . This analysis adopts specific supersymmetric (SUSY) coannihilation scenarios as benchmark signal models, characterized by a next-to-lightest SUSY particle (NLSP) with a mass difference of less than 25 GeV relative to the lightest SUSY particle, assumed to be a bino-like neutralino. In the top squark $\huge{(}$$\tilde{\textrm{t}}$$\huge{)}$ NLSP model, the NLSP is a long-lived $\tilde{\textrm{t}}$, while in the bino-wino NLSP scenario, the mass-degenerate NLSPs are a wino-like long-lived neutralino and a short-lived chargino. The search excludes top squarks with masses less than 400–1100 GeV and wino-like neutralinos with masses less than 220–550 GeV, depending on the signal parameters, including the mass difference, mass, and lifetime of the long-lived particle. It sets the most stringent limits to date for the $\tilde{\textrm{t}}$ and bino-wino NLSP models.

Beyond Standard Model↗
DOE OSTI2023

Recent DIII-D progress toward validating models of tungsten erosion, re-deposition, and migration for application to next-step fusion devices

Abstract Fundamental mechanisms governing the erosion and prompt re-deposition of tungsten impurities in tokamak divertors are identified and analyzed to inform the lifetime of tungsten plasma-facing components in ITER and other future devices. Various experiments conducted at DIII-D to benchmark predictive models are presented, leveraging the DiMES removable sample exposure probe capability and the Metal Rings Campaign, in which toroidally symmetric rows of tungsten-coated tiles were installed in the DIII-D divertor. In tokamak divertors, the width of the electric sheath is of the order of the main ion Larmor radius, and a vast majority of sputtered tungsten impurities are typically ionized within the sheath. Therefore, W prompt redeposition is mainly governed by the ratio of the characteristic ionization mean-free path of neutral tungsten to the width of the sheath. In-situ monitoring of the prompt redeposition of tungsten impurities in divertors is demonstrated via the use of WII/WI line ratios and the ionizations/photon (S/XB) method in L-mode discharges. Even with this relatively limited set of emission measurements, net erosion measurements were found to be a consistent upper bound to an analytic scaling based on the ratio of the W ionization length, λ iz , and the width of the magnetic sheath rather than the ratio of λ iz and the W + gyro-radius. In the far-scrape-off layer (SOL) of the ITER divertor, however, it is calculated that the measurement of photon emissions associated with the ionization of tungsten impurities up to W 5 + may be required. Finally, W deposition patterns on DiMES collector probes, interpreted via DIVIMP-WallDYN modelling, reveal the key roles of progressive W erosion/re-deposition staps and E × B drifts in regulating long-range high-Z material migration.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
NASA NTRS2013

Cirrus Cloud Seeding has Potential to Cool Climate

Cirrus clouds, thin ice clouds in the upper troposphere, have a net warming effect on Earth s climate. Consequently, a reduction in cirrus cloud amount or optical thickness would cool the climate. Recent research indicates that by seeding cirrus clouds with particles that promote ice nucleation, their lifetimes and coverage could be reduced. We have tested this hypothesis in a global climate model with a state-of-the-art representation of cirrus clouds and find that cirrus cloud seeding has the potential to cancel the entire warming caused by human activity from pre-industrial times to present day. However, the desired effect is only obtained for seeding particle concentrations that lie within an optimal range. With lower than optimal particle concentrations, a seeding exercise would have no effect. Moreover, a higher than optimal concentration results in an over-seeding that could have the deleterious effect of prolonging cirrus lifetime and contributing to global warming.

Storelvmo, T.↗
NASA NTRS2003

Modeling the Extended Neutral Atmosphere and Plasma Environment near Saturn

In the three years of this study we have published five papers in refereed journals. We have first examined satellite sources and their contribution to the observed neutral cloud. Based on the total calculated satellite sources and the spatial distribution of sputtered H20, we concluded that they cannot produce observed OH cloud. The E-ring contribution has been also studied in detail.In order to produce observed OH cloud we suggested that the E-ring might be the dominant source in inner Saturnian magnetosphere. We proposed a possible resupply mechanism which is needed to keep both E-ring and OH cloud in the present state: collisions between E-ring grains and remains of a disrupted satellite near Enceladus Lagrangian points. In this scenario a large amount of material, ranging from a few micrometers to hundred of meters, which is optically invisible at present, is likely to exist there. The fourth paper compares the magnetosheaths of the outer planets. A surprising result is that the hot proton component comprises about 40% of the total density, much larger than predicted by shock theory. Gas dynamic models of the boundaries show that the magnetospheres of Jupiter and Saturn are flattened at the poles. The last paper was published in GRL and is the first based of the model of neutrals developed as a main goal of this grant and which is now operational.This Monte Carlo collision code self- consistently determines the neutral distribution. from the rings and satellites until they are lost by ionization, by collisions with rings, moons, or Saturn, or by escape from Saturn. Our model is unique in that it includes the effects of plasma chemistry and both plasma-neutral and neutral neutral collisions to determine the dynamical evolution of the water group neutrals in Saturn's magnetosphere. The lifetimes of the neutrals against loss to photoionization, charge exchange, electron dissociation and electron impact dissociation are based on the model given by (Richardson et al. 1998) and vary with position in the magnetosphere. The dominant neutral dissociation channels H20->OH+H, H20-> O+H2, and OH->O+H2 are considered.

Richardson, John D.↗
NASA NTRS1996

Two-stage model of radon-induced malignant lung tumors in rats: effects of cell killing

A two-stage stochastic model of carcinogenesis is used to analyze lung tumor incidence in 3750 rats exposed to varying regimens of radon carried on a constant-concentration uranium ore dust aerosol. New to this analysis is the parameterization of the model such that cell killing by the alpha particles could be included. The model contains parameters characterizing the rate of the first mutation, the net proliferation rate of initiated cells, the ratio of the rates of cell loss (cell killing plus differentiation) and cell division, and the lag time between the appearance of the first malignant cell and the tumor. Data analysis was by standard maximum likelihood estimation techniques. Results indicate that the rate of the first mutation is dependent on radon and consistent with in vitro rates measured experimentally, and that the rate of the second mutation is not dependent on radon. An initial sharp rise in the net proliferation rate of initiated cell was found with increasing exposure rate (denoted model I), which leads to an unrealistically high cell-killing coefficient. A second model (model II) was studied, in which the initial rise was attributed to promotion via a step function, implying that it is due not to radon but to the uranium ore dust. This model resulted in values for the cell-killing coefficient consistent with those found for in vitro cells. An "inverse dose-rate" effect is seen, i.e. an increase in the lifetime probability of tumor with a decrease in exposure rate. This is attributed in large part to promotion of intermediate lesions. Since model II is preferable on biological grounds (it yields a plausible cell-killing coefficient), such as uranium ore dust. This analysis presents evidence that a two-stage model describes the data adequately and generates hypotheses regarding the mechanism of radon-induced carcinogenesis.

NASA Program Radiation Health↗
DOE OSTI2024

Responses of summer mesoscale convective systems to irrigation over the North China Plain based on convection-permitting model simulations

Extensive irrigation activities in the North China Plain (NCP) significantly influence regional weather and climate. However, previous studies focusing on the NCP were primarily based on coarse-resolution models, which are unable to explicitly resolve convection systems, causing large uncertainty in precipitation simulations. In this study, a convection-permitting model coupled with a dynamic irrigation scheme is utilized to investigate the impacts of irrigation on summertime mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) over the NCP. Sensitivity experiments with irrigation off and on are conducted for 5 summers and an MCS identification and tracking algorithm is applied to both satellite observations and model simulations. We find that incorporating irrigation in the model increases MCS precipitation, which agrees more with observations. The probability distributions of MCS lifetime, area, propagation speed, and intensity are all better simulated with irrigation. Irrigation increases the occurrence frequency of MCSs throughout the entire day. The nighttime increase is partly because of more frequent local initiation of MCS developed from isolated deep convection, while the daytime increase is mainly attributed to the changes in MCSs initiating elsewhere and then propagating to the NCP. On average, irrigation induces additional moisture that is more thermodynamically favorable for precipitation, but this effect is partially offset by the weakened ascending air motion primarily caused by irrigation surface cooling. Compared to weak MCS precipitation events, strong MCS precipitation events experience greater enhancement in precipitation intensity when including irrigation because the offset effect from the change in large-scale ascending air motion is insignificant. In addition, irrigation makes the variation of MCS precipitation intensity more correlated with the variation in ascending motion but less correlated with that in atmospheric moisture. Our results suggest the pronounced impacts of irrigation on MCSs over the NCP which should be included in numerical models to improve regional precipitation simulation and prediction.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗