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DOE OSTI2021

Assessing dynamic vegetation model parameter uncertainty across Alaskan arctic tundra plant communities

Abstract As the Arctic region moves into uncharted territory under a warming climate, it is important to refine the terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) that help us understand and predict change. One fundamental uncertainty in TBMs relates to model parameters, configuration variables internal to the model whose value can be estimated from data. We incorporate a version of the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM) developed for arctic ecosystems into the Predictive Ecosystem Analyzer (PEcAn) framework. PEcAn treats model parameters as probability distributions, estimates parameters based on a synthesis of available field data, and then quantifies both model sensitivity and uncertainty to a given parameter or suite of parameters. We examined how variation in 21 parameters in the equation for gross primary production influenced model sensitivity and uncertainty in terms of two carbon fluxes (net primary productivity and heterotrophic respiration) and two carbon (C) pools (vegetation C and soil C). We set up different parameterizations of TEM across a range of tundra types (tussock tundra, heath tundra, wet sedge tundra, and shrub tundra) in northern Alaska, along a latitudinal transect extending from the coastal plain near Utqiaġvik to the southern foothills of the Brooks Range, to the Seward Peninsula. TEM was most sensitive to parameters related to the temperature regulation of photosynthesis. Model uncertainty was mostly due to parameters related to leaf area, temperature regulation of photosynthesis, and the stomatal responses to ambient light conditions. Our analysis also showed that sensitivity and uncertainty to a given parameter varied spatially. At some sites, model sensitivity and uncertainty tended to be connected to a wider range of parameters, underlining the importance of assessing tundra community processes across environmental gradients or geographic locations. Generally, across sites, the flux of net primary productivity (NPP) and pool of vegetation C had about equal uncertainty, while heterotrophic respiration had higher uncertainty than the pool of soil C. Our study illustrates the complexity inherent in evaluating parameter uncertainty across highly heterogeneous arctic tundra plant communities. It also provides a framework for iteratively testing how newly collected field data related to key parameters may result in more effective forecasting of Arctic change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Evaluation of Bifacial Modules and PV Technologies with Combined-Accelerated Stress Testing

In view of the increasing interest and market share of bifacial cells and modules, suitable substrates such as glass and transparent backsheets along with ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA) and polyolefin elastomer (POE) encapsulants were examined in combined-accelerated stress testing (C-AST) to evaluate and compare degradation modes. Testing with both monofacial and bifacial cells, we found glass-glass modules with monofacial cells led to greater grid finger breakage than those with polymeric backsheets. This is attributed to previous x-ray topography work showing higher stress in cells in glass-glass modules than glass backsheet modules. Consistent with the objectives of C-AST, which stresses modules at levels corresponding to the limits seen in the natural environment, we observed the UV-fluorescence signatures of modules tested in C-AST (considering the degradation associated with developing chromophores, moisture penetration and photobleaching effects) to be like those in fielded modules, more so than other chamber stress testing implemented for comparison. Finally, among multiple cell degradation modes that we observed such as light-induced degradation (LID), we differentiated susceptibility to potential-induced degradation (PID) on the back of the bifacial Passivated Emitter Back Cells (PERC) in C-AST. Confirming with ex-situ tests, we found polarization-type PID most prevalent in glass/glass modules with EVA as would be anticipated considering the greater leakage current through such module encapsulation. Unlike PID tests performed in the dark, which can lead to false positive PID test results, field-representative illumination is experienced by the modules on the front and back side while -1200 V system voltage is applied in C-AST, supporting the conclusion that this module type would be susceptible to PID in the field.

bifacial modules↗

DOE OSTI2020

Results of Multiple Tracer Injections into Fractures in the EGS Collab Testbed-1

The EGS Collab project constructed an intermediate scale (~10-20 m) testbed at the 4850 level of the Stanford Underground Research Facility (SURF) in South Dakota for testing and validating fracture stimulation and flow/transport models. This testbed consists of eight ~200 ft (~60 m) HQ-diameter (9.6 cm) boreholes that are drilled into the crystalline rocks of the Poorman Formation from the West Access Drift tunnel. Of the eight boreholes, one borehole is used as an injection/stimulation well, while another sub-parallel borehole located about 10 m away from the injection well is used as a production well, and rest of the other boreholes are used as geophysical/fluid sampling monitoring wells. Hydraulic stimulation activities were conducted at three locations along the injection hole in an attempt to create direct fracture connections to the production hole. A flow system has been established between injection and production boreholes through a set of hydraulically stimulated fractures propagated from a notch located at 164 ft in the injection hole. Although we planned for a single production well, a set of natural fractures in the testbed is believed to have intersected the stimulated hydraulic fractures and provided additional flow paths for water to be transported to the drift through multiple monitoring boreholes and weep zones. As the flow tests continued after stimulation activities, single or a combination of two or three producers become dominant producers at different times, mostly as a response to intersection of hydraulic fracture and testbed wells, activation of natural fractures and making new leak points to the monitoring wells, resealing of leaky wells, and so on. Since late October 2018, multiple tracers were injected into the fracture system at the 164 ft location that involves both stimulated and natural fractures, and tracers were recovered from multiple locations in nearby wells and weep. The cumulative water recoveries over the time have ranged from 50 to 90%; however, the injected tracer recoveries from various production sources are much less (ranging from a few percentages to 38%). Changes in water/tracer recoveries, shifting of major producing wells from one well to the others, and other observations (e.g., microseismic, electric resistivity tomography, etc.) indicate a testbed that has undergone several changes since October 2018. In this paper, we present tracer recovery data accumulated during several tracer campaigns, provide conceptual testbed flow pathways, and provide observations that suggest a evolutionary nature of fracture volume and fracture geometry in the testbed.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2020

Characterization and integration of the singular test integrals in the method-of-moments implementation of the electric-field integral equation

In this paper, we characterize the logarithmic singularities arising in the method of moments from the Green’s function in integrals over the test domain, and we use two approaches for designing geometrically symmetric quadrature rules to integrate these singular integrands. These rules exhibit better convergence properties than quadrature rules for polynomials and, in general, lead to better accuracy with a lower number of quadrature points. In this work, we demonstrate their effectiveness for several examples encountered in both the scalar and vector potentials of the electric-field integral equation (singular, near-singular, and far interactions) as compared to the commonly employed polynomial scheme and the double Ma–Rokhlin–Wandzura (DMRW) rules, whose sample points are located asymmetrically within triangles.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Preparation and Qualification of Preproduction SSR2 Jacketed Cavities for PIP-II

The qualification of 325 MHz Single Spoke Resonators type 2 (SSR2) jacketed cavities to meet technical requirements represents a significant milestone in the development of the SSR2 cryomodules for the PIP-II Project at Fermilab. This poster reports the procedures and lessons learned in processing and preparing these cavities for horizontal cold testing prior to integration into a cavity string assembly, with a focus on addressing the field emission issues observed during the cold testing. A comprehensive root cause analysis identified critical fabrication, processing, and handling factors impacting field emission onset. New techniques were successfully developed and implemented to achieve field emission-free SSR2 cavities, and efforts were made to correlate radiation levels measured at the test stand with expected levels in the LINAC tunnel. Additionally, the evolution of field emission through assembly steps was thoroughly investigated, leading to a reassessment of design choices and enhancing our understanding of their effects on cavity performance.

Grassellino, L. [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2025

Dual-mycorrhizal colonization is determined by plant age and host identity in two species of Populus

Plants have evolved symbioses with mycorrhizal and endophytic fungi that are essential for their growth and survival. While most plants associate with a single guild of mycorrhizal fungi, a select group termed “dual-mycorrhizal plants” associate with both arbuscular mycorrhizal and ectomycorrhizal fungi. Although a shift from predominance of arbuscular mycorrhizal to ectomycorrhizal colonization with plant development has been demonstrated on other dual-mycorrhizal hosts, it is not known how mycorrhizal colonization shifts with plant age in Populus species. We performed a controlled growth experiment with natural field-sourced inocula to test for age-dependent shifts in fungal colonization rates and for host-specific patterns of colonization in two species of Populus (P. tremuloides and P. trichocarpa). We found that only P. trichocarpa displayed dual-mycorrhizal colonization, while P. tremuloides associated with ectomycorrhizal fungi, but not arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi. Both guilds of mycorrhizal fungi increased in abundance with plant age, while root endophytic fungal colonization decreased. Many of the early-colonizing endophytic fungi that we documented have strong saprotrophic capabilities, which may be an important trait for fast colonization. Dark septate endophytes were more abundant than either guild of mycorrhizal fungi, and are likely to be functionally important members of the Populus root fungal community. Our findings represent a novel pattern in the development of dual-mycorrhizal colonization and illustrate that Populus species vary in their association with arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi. In conclusion, our results also highlight the importance of dark septate endophyte colonization dynamics on dual-mycorrhizal plants.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

A hierarchical stochastic modeling approach for representing point bar geometries and petrophysical property variations

The flow of fluids in point bars is affected by the existence of heterogeneities like shale drapes that are found on the surfaces of inclined heterolithic stratifications. In fact, these shale drapes can act as fluid flow baffles; therefore, developing a framework for modeling point bars and their associated heterogeneities is vital. In this study, a stochastic process-based modeling approach is presented for capturing the main point bar heterogeneities: accretion surfaces (i.e., the aerial heterogeneity) and inclined heterolithic stratifications (i.e., the vertical heterogeneity). The former was modeled using a sine-generation function and the latter, with a sigmoidal function after which they were combined into a 3D point bar model. To ensure proper modeling of petrophysical properties, we developed a more representative gridding scheme which generates curvilinear grids representative of the point bar geometry. This grid was then transformed into a rectilinear grid to allow for geostatistical simulation after which all petrophysical properties were mapped back into the original curvilinear grid. An essential element of this modeling approach is the stochastic representation of shale drapes at the interface between successive accretion surfaces. The workflow was tested using a real field dataset for the Cranfield field, Mississippi. The constructed model was then subjected to a flow simulation study mimicking a CO 2 storage scenario. Various sensitivities were simulated to evaluate the effect of heterogeneities on CO 2 flow within the point-bar. Results demonstrate the importance of representing point-bar related heterogeneity and the spatial distribution of shale drapes on CO 2 plume migration and storage.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Synergistic data analytics for electromechanical oscillation in electric power systems

Accurate real-time estimation of the four electromechanical oscillation properties, i.e., dominant oscillation modes, mode shapes, participation factors, and coherent groups, is of great importance to assess and mitigate potential electromechanical oscillations in interconnected power systems. While eigenvalue analysis can realize such estimation, it requires precise linearized dynamic models and accurate parameters, which are highly difficult to obtain in practice. Data fusion-based modal estimation methods can extract the properties of electromechanical oscillations from measurement data without the power system model and parameters, but most of the time only one or two property assessments can be accomplished each time. To overcome this challenge, this paper presents a synergistic data analytics solution to characterize the dynamic behaviors of electromechanical oscillations from real-time measurement data. Here, the proposed method uses optimized variable projection, and it is capable of estimating all four electromechanical oscillation behavior properties from measured responses. Case studies are performed using the simulated measurement data of a 16-generator 68-bus test system and the field measurements collected by the PMUs deployed in the Yunnan Power Grid. The results demonstrate that the proposed synergistic data analytics solution can achieve satisfactory performance in capturing the properties of electromechanical oscillations from measurement data and exhibit strong robustness against measurement noise when compared with existing measurement-based methods.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

A combined management scheme to simultaneously mitigate As and Cd concentrations in rice cultivated in contaminated paddy soil

Paddy soils in southern China are heavily co-polluted by arsenic (As) and cadmium (Cd). The accumulation of these contaminants in rice grains may pose a high health risk. We evaluated the impact of adjusted water management practice (i.e., conventional irrigation and aerobic treatment after heading stage) and the application of two immobilization agents (i.e., CaO and Fe2O3) on the accumulation of As and Cd in rice grains of three rice varieties (i.e., Jinyou-463, Jinyou-268, and Mabayouzhan). The different schemes were tested via conducting a field experiment in paddy soil in Shaoguan, Guangdong Province, China. The results showed that the combined scheme (selecting Jinyou-268, aerobic water management after the heading stage, and 0.09% CaO and 0.5% Fe2O3 amendments) exhibited the best performance in the reduction of As and Cd accumulation in rice grains. This combined scheme decreased the grain As concentration by 26.19% and maintained the Cd at a low level (0.056 mg/kg) as compared to the use of local conventional irrigation patterns. Moreover, health risk assessment demonstrated that by applying the optimal scheme, neither As nor Cd content in rice had carcinogenic risk. However, the grain As remains at a high non-carcinogenic risk. We suggest that future field study design should fully incorporate the uncertainty of the natural environment to make the research conclusions more feasible for popularization and utilization. This study demonstrated an approach of utilizing the synergy effects of various measures for safe rice production in fields subjected to As and Cd contaminations.

Yang, Xiao↗

DOE OSTI2022

Sand Migration Simulation during Gas Production from Gas Hydrate Reservoir at Kuparuk 7–11–12 site in the Prodhoe Bay Unit, Alaska

Uncontrolled sand production impedes continuous gas production from a hydrate reservoir as observed in the past field-scale gas production tests. Sand mobilization is strongly linked with sediment deformation and high pressure gradient. Sand production occurs when the mobilized sands reach the well. Throughout gas production from a hydrate reservoir, because of hydrate dissociation, deformation and pressure gradient change both in time and space. Therefore, it is necessary to consider the entire process to identify where sand is likely mobilized and how much mobilized sand could reach the well. Here, this study utilizes a coupled thermal, hydrological, chemical, and mechanical (thermo-hydro-chemo-mechanical) sand migration model to simulate a year long gas production from the hydrate reservoir at the Kuparuk 7–11–12 site in the Prodhoe Bay Unit, Alaska. It is found that sand would mainly come from the lower portion of the production zone where faster hydrate dissociation occurs. The relatively faster hydrate dissociation coupled with the fact that hydrate-bearing sediments and hydrate-free sediments have similar stiffness but different strengths causes complex stress transfer, which results in excessive shear deformation when the upper portion of the production zone starts to dissociate. This is evident not only near the well but also away from the well, leading to a large amount of sand mobilization. Another focus of the modeling study is evaluation of the effect of sand migration on gas production. The comparison of two extreme cases–with sandscreen and without sandscreen–suggests that migrated and settled solids around a sand control device can prevent pressure drop across the near-wellbore zone and lead to reduction of the gas production rate.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Regional Subsidence Analysis Through a Multi-Scale Modeling Framework Based on Breakage Mechanics

Although poroelastic models are often used to explain the delay between subsurface fluid depletion and ground subsidence, inelastic compaction involving permanent changes of rock microstructure may exacerbate hydro-mechanical coupling, thus influencing the interpretation of measurements and long-term forecasts. Here, a multi-scale modeling approach is discussed, which accounts for the inherent connection between rock microstructure, hydraulic conductivity, and pore compaction. A constitutive model built within the framework of breakage mechanics is proposed to link the hydraulic conductivity of granular rocks with inelastic deformations and changes in grading caused by injection-depletion cycles at stress levels far from yielding. The proposed model has been incorporated into large-scale simulation frameworks, thus enabling the spatiotemporal mapping of regional subsidence through a hybrid, semi-analytical approach. Numerical results based on this strategy show that the model allows isolating near-field and far-field effects into the computation of land subsidence and can generate forecasts for different modeling scenarios (e.g., elastic and inelastic compaction, constant permeability, and concurrent change of compressibility and permeability). In particular, examples of simulations for the case of the Groningen gas field are discussed, showing the model capabilities to use both field measurements and laboratory tests for the generation of reasonable subsidence maps, without expensive computational costs. Results indicate that ignoring coupled inelastic effects has major consequences on the predicted timescale of subsidence. Specifically, while all the model scenarios produced similar long-term ground settlements, those ignoring breakage-dependent permeability changes result in a variation of the temporal window of residual subsidence of the order of several decades.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Does Magnetic Reconnection Occur in the Near Lunar Surface Environment?

The near lunar surface contains small-scale magnetic field structures that provide a natural test bed for observing plasmas with a non-zero Hall electric field, as well as potentially facilitating electron-only reconnection. This study presents observational evidence of magnetized electrons as well as demagnetized ions when THEMIS-ARTEMIS probe B reached an altitude of ~15 km above the lunar surface. Additionally, observations suggest the presence of a field line topology change and traversal of a closed magnetic field structure containing solar wind electrons, suggestive of magnetic reconnection having occurred at some point between the solar wind interplanetary magnetic field and a lunar crustal magnetic field. Thus, the observations presented here are consistent with previous studies that predict prominent Hall electric fields near lunar crustal magnetic fields and further suggest that the solar wind interplanetary magnetic field may reconnect with lunar crustal magnetic fields, most likely via electron-only reconnection.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2023

No carbon storage in growth-limited trees in a semi-arid woodland

Plant survival depends on a balance between carbon supply and demand. When carbon supply becomes limited, plants buffer demand by using stored carbohydrates (sugar and starch). During drought, NSCs (non-structural carbohydrates) may accumulate if growth stops before photosynthesis. This expectation is pervasive, yet few studies have combined simultaneous measurements of drought, photosynthesis, growth, and carbon storage to test this. Using a field experiment with mature trees in a semi-arid woodland, we show that growth and photosynthesis slow in parallel as ψ pd declines, preventing carbon storage in two species of conifer (J. monosperma and P. edulis). During experimental drought, growth and photosynthesis were frequently co-limited. Our results point to an alternative perspective on how plants use carbon that views growth and photosynthesis as independent processes both regulated by water availability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

Improving constraints on inflation with CMB delensing

Abstract The delensing of cosmic microwave background (CMB) maps will be increasingly valuable for extracting as much information as possible from future CMB surveys. Delensing provides many general benefits, including sharpening of the acoustic peaks, more accurate recovery of the damping tail, and reduction of lensing-inducedB-mode power. In this paper we present several applications of delensing focused on testing theories of early-universe inflation with observations of the CMB. We find that delensing the CMB results in improved parameter constraints for reconstructing the spectrum of primordial curvature fluctuations, probing oscillatory features in the primordial curvature spectrum, measuring the spatial curvature of the universe, and constraining several different models of isocurvature perturbations. In some cases we find that delensing can recover almost all of the constraining power contained in unlensed spectra, and it will be a particularly valuable analysis technique to achieve further improvements in constraints for model parameters whose measurements are not expected to improve significantly when utilizing only lensed CMB maps from next-generation CMB surveys. We also quantify the prospects of testing the single-field inflation tensor consistency condition using delensed CMB data; we find it to be out of reach of current and proposed experimental technology and advocate for alternative detection methods.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

DOE OSTI2024

Characterization and Optimization of Skipper CCDs for the SOAR Integral Field Spectrograph

We present results from the characterization and optimization of Skipper charge-coupled devices (CCDs) for use in a focal plane prototype for the Southern Astrophysical Research Integral Field Spectrograph (SIFS). We tested eight Skipper CCDs and selected six for SIFS based on performance results. The Skipper CCDs are 6k × 1k, 15 μm pixels, thick, fully depleted, p-channel devices that have been thinned to ~250 μm, backside processed, and treated with an anti-reflective coating. We demonstrate a single-sample readout noise of <4.3 e - rms pixel -1 in all amplifiers. We optimize the readout sequence timing to achieve a readout noise of 0.5 e - rms pixel -1 after 74 non-destructive measurements, which can be accomplished in a region covering 5% of the detector area in a readout time of <4 minutes. We demonstrate single-photon-counting in all 24 amplifiers (four amplifiers per detector) with a readnoise of σ N ~ 0.18 e - rms pixel -1 after N samp = 400 samples, and we constrain the degree of nonlinearity to be ≲1% at low signal levels (0 e - to 50 e - ). Clock-induced charge (CIC) remains an important issue when the Skipper CCD is configured to provide a large full-well capacity. We achieve a CIC rate of <1.45 × 10 -3 e - pixel -1 frame -1 for a full-well capacity of ~900 e - , which increases to a CIC rate of ~3 e - pixel -1 frame -1 for full-well capacities ~40,000-65,000 e - . We also perform conventional CCD characterization measurements such as charge transfer inefficiency (3.44 × 10 -7 on average), dark current (~2 × 10 -4 e - pixel -1 s -1 ), photon transfer curves, cosmetic defects (<0.45% “bad” pixels), and charge diffusion (point-spread function < 7.5 μm) to verify that these properties are consistent with expectations from conventional p-channel CCDs used for astronomy. Furthermore, we provide the first measurements of the brighter-fatter effect and absolute quantum efficiency (≳80% between 450 and 980 nm; ≳90% between 600 and 900 nm) using Skipper CCDs.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2021

Shear reflectivity compensation in full-waveform inversion using least-squares reverse-time migration

SUMMARY The computational cost of elastic-waveform inversion is too high for inverting PP reflections, while using acoustic full-waveform inversion (FWI) is inaccurate because it does not depend on the shear modulus/velocity/impedance that affects elastic PP wavefield amplitudes. To solve this problem, we develop a waveform inversion method that uses acoustic least-squares reverse-time migration (LSRTM) to compensate the shear reflectivity for acoustic FWI. Our method is based on the quasi-elastic-wave equation developed by Chapman et al. (2014). The quasi-elastic-wave equation uses a linearized acoustic-wave equation with shear modulus μ as a virtual source to correct the acoustic PP wavefield amplitudes toward elastic ones. Our waveform inversion method inverts for elastic parameters by minimizing the L2 norm of the difference between recorded and predicted PP reflections modelled using the quasi-elastic-wave equation. Numerical tests on synthetic and field data show that our method can properly handle the amplitudes of elastic PP reflections and provides an accurate estimate of the P- and S-wave velocities/impedances and, in some cases, the density. The method does not need the computationally expensive numerical solution to the elastic-wave equation. It also gives a better estimate of elastic parameters than a pure LSRTM method for elastic PP reflections.

Feng, Zongcai↗

DOE OSTI2020

Model-less Source Location for Forced Oscillation based on Synchrophasor and Moving Fast Fourier Transformation

Forced oscillations in power systems occur when the grid is driven by an external and periodic force. To quickly detect and locate the source of the forced oscillation is critical in terms of ensuring the reliability of an interconnected power grid. This paper explores the electromechanical wave propagation theory and the Fast Fourier Transformation to analyze the forced oscillations. It proposes a model-less, adaptive, fast, and accurate source location algorithm. The proposed algorithm is extensively evaluated through simulation data from a 70k-bus U.S. Eastern Interconnection test system and field-collected synchrophasor data from the distribution-level wide-area monitoring system, FNET/GridEye. The evaluation results demonstrate the correctness and effectiveness of the proposed model-less forced oscillation source location algorithm.

Wang, Weikang↗

DOE OSTI2020

The Application of Coordination to Magnetic Measurement Automation: An SSW System Example

Magnetic measurements are an integral part of the development cycle of accelerator magnets, a part which provides necessary feedback to drive design and manufacturing improvements and corrections. Automation of these measurements allows for reduction of human errors and reproducibility of measurements. Realization of automation via coordination that is separated at the architectural level from the functional code provides flexibility in defining measurement procedures and substantial extensibility. The described Single Stretched Wire (SSW) system herein is an implementation of such a solution with the use of a component-based framework designed to build a family of measurement systems.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗