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NASA NTRS2019

On Doppler Shift and Its Center-To-Limb Variation in Active Regions in the Transition Region

A comprehensive understanding of the structure of Doppler motions in the transition region including the center-to-limb variation and its relationship with the magnetic field structure is vital for the understanding of mass and energy transfer in the solar atmosphere. In this paper, we have performed such a study in an active region using the Si IV 1394 Å emission line recorded by the Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph and the line-of-sight photospheric magnetic field obtained by the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager onboard the Solar Dynamics Observatory. The active region has two opposite polarity strong field regions separated by a weak field corridor, which widened as the active region evolved. On average, the strong field regions (corridor) show(s) redshifts of 5–10 (3–9) km s(exp -1) (depending on the date of observation). There is, however, a narrow lane in the middle of the corridor with near-zero Doppler shifts at all disk positions, suggesting that any flows there are very slow. The Doppler velocity distributions in the corridor seem to have two components—a low velocity component centered near 0 km s(exp -1) and a high-velocity component centered near 10 km s(exp -1). The high-velocity component is similar to the velocity distributions in the strong field regions, which have just one component. Both exhibit a small center-to-limb variation and seem to come from the same population of flows. To explain these results, we suggest that the emission from the lower transition region comes primarily from warm type II spicules, and we introduce the idea of a “chromospheric wall”—associated with classical cold spicules—to account for a diminished center-to-limb variation.

Ghosh, Avyarthana↗
NASA NTRS2019

Seasonal Variations of Titan's Brightness

The absolute brightness of astronomical bodies can be represented by the emitted power, which plays important roles in their radiated energy budgets. The Cassini observations include three seasons of Titan, which provides an unprecedented opportunity to examine the seasonal variations of Titan's emitted power. Our analyses show that Titan's emitted power displays different seasonal behaviors between the Northern Hemisphere and the Southern Hemisphere. The global‐average emitted power decreased by 6.8 ± 0.4% during the Cassini period (2004–2017). Such a temporal variation represents the magnitude of the seasonal cycle of Titan's emitted power, which is at least one order of magnitude stronger than the seasonal variation of Earth's emitted power (<0.5%). More importantly, the ~6.8% decrease of the emitted power is much smaller than the ~18.6% decrease of the solar flux from the change of Sun‐Titan distance, implying a significantly dynamical energy budget on Titan.

Ellen C. Creecy↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Variational Asymptotic Homogenization of Finitely Deformed Viscoelastic-Viscoplastic Composites

The objective of this paper is to develop a constitutive model for finitely deformed viscoelastic-viscoplastic materials and a micromechanics approach to homogenizing composites consisting of such materials. The development of the constitutive model involves establishing a thermodynamic framework based on finite strain theory, developing a viscoelasticity and a viscoplasticity model based on the thermodynamic framework, developing a radial return algorithm based on a classic framework, and deriving a closed-from incremental constitutive relation in the spatial configuration. The development of the micromechanics approach involves pulling-back the above constitutive relation to the material configuration, formulating a variational statement with the resulting constitutive relation, discretizing variational statement in a finite-dimensional space, and solving the discretized variational statement using an Euler–Newton predictor–corrector method. The constitutive model is calibrated via monotonic uniaxial compression tests on a polymer, and the calibrated model is validated by comparing its predictions with the cyclic test data. It is shown capable of characterizing viscoelasticity, viscoplasticity, and complex loading paths. The micromechanics approach’s capabilities are demonstrated through homogenizing a unidirectional fiber-reinforced composite, subjected to uniaxial, biaxial, and shear loading, at different strain rates. It is demonstrated to be capable of handling rate dependence and complex loading paths. The present framework can be further improved by implementing more sophisticated viscoelasticity and viscoplasticity models in future work.

Finite element analysis↗
NASA NTRS2019

Inter-annual variation of tropical cyclones simulated by GEOS-5 AGCM with modified convection scheme

The Goddard Earth Observing System version 5 (GEOS-5) global climate model with a 50-km horizontal resolution is forced by observed sea surface temperature (SST) to examine the fidelity of the seasonal-mean and inter-annual variation of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the western North Pacific (WNP) and the North Atlantic (NATL). The standard Relaxed Arakawa Schubert (RAS) deep convection scheme is modified to improve the representation of TCs, where the scheme implements a stochastic limit of the cumulus entrainment rate. The modification drives mid- and upper-tropospheric cooling and low- to mid-tropospheric drying in the background state, which tends to increase atmospheric instability. This enables the model to increase convective variability on an intra-seasonal timescale and improve the simulation of intense storms. Five-member ensemble runs with the modified RAS scheme for 12 years (1998–2009) exhibit realistic spatial distributions in the climatological-mean TC development area and their pathways over WNP and NATL. The GCM is able to reproduce the inter-annual variation of accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) by prescribing yearly varying observed SST even though the individual TC intensity is still underpredicted. A sensitivity of TC activity to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phase is also reproduced realistically over WNP in terms of the spatial pattern changes in the main development region and TC pathways. However, the model exhibits a notable deficiency in NATL in reproducing the observed inter-annual variation of TC activity and the sensitivity to the ENSO.

accumulated cyclone energy↗
NASA NTRS2019

Investigation of CATS Aerosol Products and Application Toward Global Diurnal Variation of Aerosols

We present a comparison of 1064 nm aerosol optical depth (AOD) and aerosol extinction profiles from the Cloud-Aerosol Transport System (CATS) level 2 aerosol product with collocated Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) AOD, Moderate Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Aqua and Terra Dark Target AOD and Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) AOD and extinction data for the period of March 2015–October 2017. Upon quality-assurance checks of CATS data, reasonable agreement is found between aerosol data from CATS and other sensors. Using quality-assured CATS aerosol data, for the first time, variations in AODs and aerosol extinction profiles are evaluated at 00:00, 06:00, 12:00 and 18:00 UTC (and/or 00:00, 06:00, 12:00 and 18:00 local time or LT) on both regional and global scales. This study suggests that marginal variations are found in AOD from a global mean perspective, with the minimum aerosol extinction values found at 18:00 LT near the surface layer for global oceans, for both the June–November and December–May seasons. Over land, below 500 m, the daily minimum and maximum aerosol extinction values are found at 12:00 and 00:00/06:00 LT, respectively. Strong diurnal variations are also found over north Africa, the Middle East and India for the December–May season, and over north Africa, south Africa, the Middle East and India for the June–November season.

Logan Lee↗
NASA NTRS2022

Along-Orbit Analysis of GRACE Follow-On Inter-Satellite Laser Ranging Measurements for Sub-Monthly Surface Mass Variations

We examined the sensitivity of GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) laser ranging interferometer (LRI) measurements to sub-monthly time-variable gravity (TVG) signals caused by transient, high-frequency mass changes in the Earth system. GRACE-FO LRI provides complementary inter-satellite ranging measurements with higher precision over a wider range of frequencies than the baseline K-band microwave ranging system. The common approach for studying mass variation relies on the inverted TVG or mascon solutions over a period of, for example, one month or 10 days which are adversely affected by temporal aliasing and/or smoothing. In this article, we present the alternative along-orbit analysis methodology in terms of line-of-sight gravity difference (LGD) to fully exploit the higher precision LRI measurements for examination of sub-monthly mass changes. The discrepancy between “instantaneous” LGD LRI observations and monthly mean LGD (from Level-2 data) at satellite altitude indicates the sub-monthly gravitational variability not captured by monthly-mean solutions. In conjunction with the satellite ocean altimetry observations, high frequency non-tidal atmosphere and ocean models, and hydrology models, we show that the LGD LRI observations detect the high-frequency oceanic mass variability in the Argentine Basin and the Gulf of Carpentaria, and sub-monthly variations in surface (river) water in the Amazon Basin. We demonstrate the benefits gained from repeat ground track analysis of GRACE-FO LRI data in the case of the Amazon surface water flow. The along-orbit analysis methodology based on LGD LRI time series presented here is especially suitable for quantifying temporal and spatial evolution of extreme, rapidly changing mass variations.

Khosro Ghobadi-Far↗
NASA NTRS2022

Seasonal Variation of Thermospheric Composition Observed by NASA GOLD

We examine characteristics of the seasonal variation of thermospheric composition using column number density ratio ∑O/N(2) observed by the NASA Global Observations of Limb and Disk (GOLD) mission from low-mid to mid-high latitudes. We also use ∑O/N(2) derived from the Global Ultraviolet Imager (GUVI) limb measurements onboard the Thermosphere Ionosphere Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics (TIMED) satellite and estimated by the NRLMSISE-00 empirical model to aid our investigation. We found that the ∑O/N(2) seasonal variation is hemispherically asymmetric: in the southern hemisphere, it exhibits the well-known annual and semiannual pattern, with highs near the equinoxes, and primary and secondary lows near the solstices. In the northern hemisphere, it is dominated by an annual variation, with a minor semiannual component with the highs shifting toward the wintertime. We also found that the durations of the December and June solstice seasons in terms of ∑O/N(2) are highly variable with longitude. Our hypothesis is that ion-neutral collisional heating in the equatorial ionization anomaly region, ion drag, and auroral Joule heating play substantial roles in this longitudinal dependency. Finally, the rate of change in ∑O/N(2) from one solstice season to the other is dependent on latitude, with more dramatic changes at higher latitudes.

thermosphere↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Linking Individual Variation in Movement Behavior to Infection Dynamics in Highly Mobile Species

Animal movements are linked to infectious disease dynamics in wildlife through multiple mechanisms across various spatial and temporal scales. For example, infections can impede the movement of infected individuals, but infected hosts can also disperse infectious agents as they move. Individuals inevitably vary in their responses to infections and their roles in determining infection dynamics, which means that considering variation among individuals – whether across species, across time, or within populations – is important for understanding movement-disease relationships and their implications for epidemiology. Here, I draw on studies from multiple systems to examine how variation in movement behavior links to infectious disease epidemiology. For example, a comparative study of habitat selection across multiple waterfowl species highlights that diel behavioral patterns, rather than individual or seasonal variation, is the most important driver of the risk of overlap between waterfowl and poultry farms, and therefore for the risk of avian influenza spillover. Together, these studies show that individual traits interact with the environment to influence the roles of individuals for infectious disease ecology.

Claire Stewart Teitelbaum↗
NASA NTRS2023

Thermospheric Temperature and ΣO/N 2 Variations as Observed by GOLD and Compared to MSIS and WACCM-X Simulations During 2019–2020 at Deep Solar Minimum

The ultraviolet-imaging spectrograph that comprises Global-scale Observations of the Limb and Disk (GOLD) mission in geostationary orbit at 47.5°W longitude has taken full disk images at high cadence throughout the deep solar minimum period of 2019–2020. Synoptic (i.e., concurrent and spatially unified and resolved) observations of thermospheric temperature and composition at ∼150 km altitude are made for the first time, allowing GOLD to disambiguate temporal and spatial variations. Here we analyze the daytime effective temperature and column integrated O and N2 density ratio (ΣO/N 2 ) data simultaneously observed by GOLD over 120°W–20°E longitude and 60°S–60°N latitude from 13 October 2019 to 12 October 2020. Daily zonal mean values are calculated for each latitude and compared with NRLMSIS 2.0 and simulations from the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model with thermosphere and ionosphere extension (WACCM-X). On average, the GOLD observations show higher temperatures than Mass Spectrometer Incoherent Scatter radar (MSIS) and WACCM-X by ∼20–60 K (5%–10%) and 80–120 K (12%–18%), respectively. The ΣO/N 2 ratios observed by GOLD are larger than the MSIS results by ∼0.4 (40%) but smaller than the WACCM-X simulations by ∼0.3 (30%). The observed and modeled results are correlated at most latitudes (r = 0.4–0.8), and GOLD, MSIS, and WACCM-X all display a similar seasonal variation and change with latitude. WACCM-X simulates a larger annual variation in ΣO/N 2 , suggesting that the thermospheric circulation is overestimated and atmospheric waves and turbulence transport are not properly represented in the model.

Guiping Liu↗
NASA NTRS2023

A SmallSat Concept to Resolve Diurnal and Vertical Variations of Aerosols, Clouds, and Boundary Layer Height

A SmallSat mission concept is formulated here to carry out Time-varying Optical Measurements of Clouds and Aerosol Transport (TOMCAT) from space while embracing low-cost opportunities enabled by the revolution in Earth science observation technologies. TOMCAT’s “around-the-clock” measurements will provide needed insights and strong synergy with existing Earth observation satellites to 1) statistically resolve diurnal and vertical variation of cirrus cloud properties (key to Earth’s radiation budget), 2) determine the impacts of regional and seasonal planetary boundary layer (PBL) diurnal variation on surface air quality and low-level cloud distributions, and 3) characterize smoke and dust emission processes impacting their long-range transport on the subseasonal to seasonal time scales. Clouds, aerosol particles, and the PBL play critical roles in Earth’s climate system at multiple spatiotemporal scales. Yet their vertical variations as a function of local time are poorly measured from space. Active sensors for profiling the atmosphere typically utilize sun-synchronous low-Earth orbits (LEO) with rather limited temporal and spatial coverage, inhibiting the characterization of spatiotemporal variability. Pairing compact active lidar and passive multiangle remote sensing technologies from an inclined LEO platform enables measurements of the diurnal and vertical variability of aerosols, clouds, and aerosol-mixing-layer (or PBL) height in tropical-to-midlatitude regions where most of the world’s population resides. TOMCAT is conceived to bring potential societal benefits by delivering its data products in near–real time and offering on-demand hazard-monitoring capabilities to profile fire injection of smoke particles, the frontal lofting of dust particles, and the eruptive rise of volcanic plumes.

John E. Yorks↗
NASA NTRS2023

Latitudinal Variations in Methane Abundance, Aerosol Opacity and Aerosol Scattering Efficiency in Neptune's Atmosphere Determined from VLT/MUSE

Spectral observations of Neptune made in 2019 with the Multi Unit Spectroscopic Explorer (MUSE) instrument at the Very Large Telescope (VLT) in Chile have been analyzed to determine the spatial variation of aerosol scattering properties and methane abundance in Neptune's atmosphere. The darkening of the South Polar Wave at ∼60°S, and dark spots such as the Voyager 2 Great Dark Spot is concluded to be due to a spectrally dependent darkening (λ < 650 nm) of particles in a deep aerosol layer at ∼5 bar and presumed to be composed of a mixture of photochemically generated haze and H 2 S ice. We also note a regular latitudinal variation of reflectivity at wavelengths of very low methane absorption longer than ∼650 nm, with bright zones latitudinally separated by ∼25°. This feature, which has similar spectral characteristics to a discrete deep bright spot DBS-2019 found in our data, is found to be consistent with a brightening of the particles in the same ∼5-bar aerosol layer at λ > 650 nm. We find the properties of an overlying methane/haze aerosol layer at ∼2 bar are, to first-order, invariant with latitude, while variations in the opacity of an upper tropospheric haze layer reproduce the observed reflectivity at methane-absorbing wavelengths, with higher abundances found at the equator and also in a narrow “zone” at 80°S. Finally, we find the mean abundance of methane below its condensation level to be 6%–7% at the equator reducing to ∼3% south of ∼25°S, although the absolute abundances are model dependent.

P. G. J. Irwin↗
NASA NTRS2023

Thermospheric Temperature and ΣO/N2 Variations as Observed by GOLD and Compared to MSIS and WACCM-X Simulations During 2019–2020 at Deep Solar Minimum

The ultraviolet-imaging spectrograph that comprises Global-scale Observations of the Limb and Disk (GOLD) mission in geostationary orbit at 47.5°W longitude has taken full disk images at high cadence throughout the deep solar minimum period of 2019–2020. Synoptic (i.e., concurrent and spatially unified and resolved) observations of thermospheric temperature and composition at ∼150 km altitude are made for the first time, allowing GOLD to disambiguate temporal and spatial variations. Here we analyze the daytime effective temperature and column integrated O and N 2 density ratio (ΣO/N 2 ) data simultaneously observed by GOLD over 120°W–20°E longitude and 60°S–60°N latitude from 13 October 2019 to 12 October 2020. Daily zonal mean values are calculated for each latitude and compared with NRLMSIS 2.0 and simulations from the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model with thermosphere and ionosphere extension (WACCM-X). On average, the GOLD observations show higher temperatures than Mass Spectrometer Incoherent Scatter radar (MSIS) and WACCM-X by ∼20–60 K (5%–10%) and 80–120 K (12%–18%), respectively. The ΣO/N2 ratios observed by GOLD are larger than the MSIS results by ∼0.4 (40%) but smaller than the WACCM-X simulations by ∼0.3 (30%). The observed and modeled results are correlated at most latitudes (r = 0.4–0.8), and GOLD, MSIS, and WACCM-X all display a similar seasonal variation and change with latitude. WACCM-X simulates a larger annual variation in ΣO/N 2 , suggesting that the thermospheric circulation is overestimated and atmospheric waves and turbulence transport are not properly represented in the model.

Guiping Liu↗
NASA NTRS2024

Land Cover Change Analysis and Spatial Variations in Southeast Asian Nations: Insights on Spatial Scale Dynamics

Land cover type is a fundamental aspect of studies using remote sensing for environmental analysis such as monitoring deforestation, quantifying wildland fire emissions, and more. There are many land cover products available for varying time periods and spatial resolutions, each with different land cover class definitions and number of land cover classes. These differences yield inherent variation in land cover estimates. In this study, we explore the spatial and areal variation between two major datasets for their commonly available time of 2018 to 2022 (MODIS 500m Land Cover and Esri Sentinel-2 10m land cover) in the continental Southeast Asia countries of Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, Thailand, and Vietnam. To enable comparison, we resampled the datasets and reclassified the land cover classes to a common scheme. Major disagreement was detected between Esri and MODIS, especially for the wetlands/flooded vegetation class in which only 3.6% of pixels were in agreement. In addition to quantifying variation between the datasets, we quantify land cover change at the decadal scale of 2001, 2011, and 2021 for each country and identified province-level hotspots of land cover change. Cambodia experienced the highest rate of land cover change with 67.8% of total land area changed, followed by Vietnam (58.6%), Laos (50.2%), Myanmar (46.9%), and Thailand (46.3%). The highest rate of land cover change was detected in Odtar Mean Chey, Cambodia, which had large swaths of forest area cleared for agricultural production, river damming, and more. Ultimately, many areas in the region experienced forest clearing for crop production (i.e. rice) which appeared to be classified as wetland in the MODIS product, and crop in the Esri product. Myanmar was the only country which did not experience net decline in forest area over the 2001 to 2021 time period.

Land Cover Change↗
DOE OSTI2024

Crossing The Gap Using Variational Quantum Eigensolver: A Comparative Study

Within the evolving domain of quantum computational chemistry, the Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) has been developed to explore not only the ground state but also the excited states of molecules. In this study, we compare the performance of Variational Quantum Deflation (VQD) and Subspace-Search Variational Quantum Eigensolver (SSVQE) methods in determining the low-lying excited states of $LiH$. Our investigation reveals that while VQD exhibits a slight advantage in accuracy, SSVQE stands out for its efficiency, allowing the determination of all low-lying excited states through a single parameter optimization procedure. We further evaluate the effectiveness of optimizers, including Gradient Descent (GD), Quantum Natural Gradient (QNG), and Adam optimizer, in obtaining $LiH$'s first excited state, with the Adam optimizer demonstrating superior efficiency in requiring the fewest iterations. Moreover, we propose a novel approach combining Folded Spectrum VQE (FS-VQE) with either VQD or SSVQE, enabling the exploration of highly excited states. We test the new approaches for finding all three $H_4$'s excited states. Folded Spectrum SSVQE (FS-SSVQE) can find all three highly excited states near $-1.0$ Ha with only one optimizing procedure, but the procedure converges slowly. In contrast, although Folded spectrum VQD (FS-VQD) gets highly excited states with individual optimizing procedures, the optimizing procedure converges faster.

Chen, I-Chi↗
DOE OSTI2023

A dynamic variational multiscale method on unstructured meshes for stationary transport problems

Here, this paper presents a variational multiscale (VMS) based finite element method where the stabilization parameter is computed dynamically. The current dynamic procedure takes in a general structure/form of the stabilization parameter with unknown coefficients and computes them dynamically in a local fashion resulting in a dynamic VMS-based finite element method. Thus, a static stabilization parameter with pre-defined coefficients is not needed. A variational Germano identity (VGI) based local procedure suitable for unstructured meshes is developed to perform the dynamic computation in a local fashion. The local VGI based procedure is applied for each interior vertex in the mesh and unknown coefficients are first determined locally at each vertex, and subsequently, for each element a maximum value is taken over the vertices of the element. To make the current procedure practical, a coarser secondary solution is constructed from the primary coarse-scale solution, which is done locally over a patch of elements around each interior vertex. Further, averaging steps are employed to make the local dynamic procedure robust. Currently, the new dynamic VMS formulation is applied to steady problems governed by the advection-diffusion and incompressible Navier-Stokes equations in both 1D and 2D to demonstrate its efficacy and effectiveness.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

CAFQA: A Classical Simulation Bootstrap for Variational Quantum Algorithms

Classical computing plays a critical role in the advancement of quantum frontiers in the NISQ era. In this spirit, this work uses classical simulation to bootstrap Variational Quantum Algorithms (VQAs). VQAs rely upon the iterative optimization of a parameterized unitary circuit (ansatz) with respect to an objective function. Since quantum machines are noisy and expensive resources, it is imperative to classically choose the VQA ansatz initial parameters to be as close to optimal as possible to improve VQA accuracy and accelerate their convergence on today’s devices. This work tackles the problem of finding a good ansatz initialization, by proposing CAFQA, a Clifford Ansatz For Quantum Accuracy. The CAFQA ansatz is a hardware-efficient circuit built with only Clifford gates. In this ansatz, the parameters for the tunable gates are chosen by searching efficiently through the Clifford parameter space via classical simulation. The resulting initial states always equal or outperform traditional classical initialization (e.g., Hartree-Fock), and enable high-accuracy VQA estimations. CAFQA is well-suited to classical computation because: a) Clifford-only quantum circuits can be exactly simulated classically in polynomial time, and b) the discrete Clifford space is searched efficiently via Bayesian Optimization. For the Variational Quantum Eigensolver (VQE) task of molecular ground state energy estimation (up to 18 qubits), CAFQA’s Clifford Ansatz achieves a mean accuracy of nearly 99% and recovers as much as 99.99% of the molecular correlation energy that is lost in Hartree-Fock initialization. CAFQA achieves mean accuracy improvements of 6.4x and 56.8x, over the state-of-the-art, on different metrics. Here, the scalability of the approach allows for preliminary ground state energy estimation of the challenging chromium dimer (Cr2) molecule. With CAFQA’s high-accuracy initialization, the convergence of VQAs is shown to accelerate by 2.5x, even for small molecules. Furthermore, preliminary exploration of allowing a limited number of non-Clifford (T) gates in the CAFQA framework, shows that as much as 99.9% of the correlation energy can be recovered at bond lengths for which Clifford-only CAFQA accuracy is relatively limited, while remaining classically simulable.

bayesian optimization↗
DOE OSTI2020

Variations in northeast Asian summer precipitation driven by the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation

By analysing a 113–year (1900–2012) observational dataset, it is shown in this work that the interdecadal fluctuation of the summer precipitation over Northeast Asia differs from that in central East Asia during the 20th century, and has experienced three interdecadal shifts in the 1920s, mid-1960s and late 1990s. That fluctuation coincides well with the multidecadal fluctuation of the sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic, known as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). The AMO affects Northeast Asia via a circumglobal teleconnection pattern extending from the North Atlantic to North America. Corresponding with the positive phase of this teleconnection pattern, a tripolar pattern emerges in the Asian–North Pacific sector, with anomalous low pressure over Northeast Asia and high pressure over Lake Baikal and the mid-latitude western North Pacific. These results suggest that the positive phase of the AMO favours the occurrence of cold vortex over Northeast Asia and anomalous highs over Lake Baikal and the mid-latitude western North Pacific in summer, which enhances the East Asian summer monsoon and southward intrusion of high-latitude cold air, and eventually increases the summer precipitation in Northeast Asia. Furthermore, initialized decadal prediction simulations using the CCSM4 model reproduce well the observed variations of the AMO and its associated atmospheric teleconnection but with slightly shifted geographic locations. The simulated anomalous Northeast Asia cold vortex and strong East Asian summer monsoon, lead to above-normal summer precipitation over Northeast Asia. The modelling results confirm that the multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic can cause the observed interdecadal variations of Northeast Asia summer precipitation. Our results suggest that to understand and predict interdecadal climate change over Northeast Asia, it is important to consider the key role of the AMO.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗