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At least 775 records · Page 43

Neutral Mode Dominates the Forced Global and Regional Surface Temperature Response in the Past and Future

Abstract Using a large suite of Green's function perturbation experiments, we construct the emergent dynamical operator for surface temperature and extract the most excitable mode. The leading mode turns out to be the most dominant mode excited by the climate forcing of doubling CO 2 , alone capturing 56% of the total spatial variances of the surface temperature response. The pattern of the leading mode is partly organized by the atmospheric annular modes in both hemispheres, and further modulated by the feedbacks from ocean circulations. Though derived from a single model, the leading mode can capture the spatio‐temporal variabilities of the global mean surface temperature over the past century in both the CMIP6 model simulations and observations. Moreover, the leading mode is most efficiently excited by radiative forcings from the midlatitude bands centered around 45°N and 25°S, where most human activities take place, suggesting the potency of human influence on the climate change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Formation, chemical evolution and solidification of the dense liquid phase of calcium (bi)carbonate

Metal carbonates, which are ubiquitous in the near-surface mineral record, are a major product of biomineralizing organisms and serve as important targets for capturing anthropogenic CO 2 emissions. However, pathways of carbonate mineralization typically diverge from classical predictions due to the involvement of disordered precursors, such as the dense liquid phase (DLP), yet little is known about DLP formation or solidification processes. Using in situ methods we report that a highly hydrated bicarbonate DLP forms via liquid–liquid phase separation and transforms into hollow hydrated amorphous CaCO 3 particles. Acidic proteins and polymers extend DLP lifetimes while leaving the pathway and chemistry unchanged. Molecular simulations suggest that the DLP forms via direct condensation of solvated Ca 2+ •(HCO 3 – ) 2 complexes that react due to proximity effects in the confined DLP droplets. Furthermore, our findings provide insight into CaCO 3 nucleation that is mediated by liquid–liquid phase separation, advancing the ability to direct carbonate mineralization and elucidating an often-proposed complex pathway of biomineralization.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Acid–base concentration swing for direct air capture of carbon dioxide

This work demonstrates the first experimental evidence of the acid–base concentration swing (ABCS) for direct air capture of CO 2 . This process is based on the effect that concentrating particular acid–base chemical reactants will strongly acidify solution, through Le Chatelier's principle, and result in outgassing absorbed CO 2 . After collecting the outgassed CO 2 , diluting the solution will result in a reversal of the acid–base reaction, basifying the solution and allowing for atmospheric CO 2 absorption. The experimental study examines a system that includes sodium cation as the alkalinity carrier, boric acid, and a polyol complexing agent that reversibly reacts with boric acid to strongly acidify solution upon concentration. Though the tested experimental system faces absorption rate and water capacity limitations, the ABCS process described here provides a basis for further process optimization. A generalized theoretical ABCS reaction framework is developed and different reaction orders and conditions are studied mathematically. Higher order reactions yield favorable cycle output results, reaching volumetric cycle capacity above 50 mM for third-order and 80 mM for fourth-order reactions. Optimal equilibrium constants are determined in order to guide alternative chemical searches and synthetic chemistry design targets. There is a substantial energetic benefit for reaction orders above the first, with second- and third-order ABCS cycles exhibiting a thermodynamic minimum work for the concentrating and outgassing steps around 150 kJ per mole of CO 2 . A significant advantage of the ABCS is that it can be driven through well-developed and widely-deployed desalination technologies, such as reverse osmosis, with opportunities for energy recovery when recombining the concentrated and diluted streams, and extraction can occur directly from the liquid phase upon vacuum application.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Joint Optimization of Well Completions and Controls for CO 2 Enhanced Oil Recovery and Storage

CO 2 storage through CO 2 enhanced oil recovery (EOR) is considered as one of the technologies to help promote larger scale deployment of CO 2 storage because of associated economic benefits through oil recovery, 45Q tax credits and the utilization of existing infrastructure. The objective of this study is to demonstrate how optimal reservoir management and operation strategies (including well completions and controls) can be used to optimize both CO 2 storage and oil recovery. The optimization problem was focused on jointly estimating the well completions (i.e., fraction of injection/production well perforations in each reservoir layer) and CO 2 injection/oil production controls that maximize the net present value (NPV) in a CO 2 EOR and storage operation. We utilized the newly developed StoSAG algorithm, one of the most efficient optimization algorithms in the reservoir management community, to solve the optimization problem. The performance of joint optimization approach was compared with the performance of well control only optimization approach. In addition, the performance of co-optimization of CO 2 storage and oil recovery approach was compared with the performances of maximization of only CO 2 storage and maximization of only oil recovery approaches. The optimization results showed that a joint optimization of well completions and well controls can achieve an 8.84% higher final NPV than the one obtained from the optimization of only well controls. It was observed that the NPV incremental for joint optimization is mainly due to the fact that the optimal well completions and controls approach results in efficient CO 2 storage and oil production from different reservoir layers depending on the differences in individual layer properties. Comparison of co-optimization (i.e., maximization of NPV) and maximization of only CO 2 storage or only oil recovery showed that the co-optimization and maximization of only oil recovery result in significantly higher final NPV than that obtained through maximization of only CO 2 storage approach while maximization of only CO 2 storage can achieve significantly higher CO 2 storage in the reservoir compared to the other two scenarios. The similar results for co-optimization and maximization of oil production are obtained because of the difference in oil revenue compared to CO 2 storage tax credit. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study in oil/gas industry and CO 2 storage community to perform joint optimization of well completions and well controls in the fields. We expect that the proposed optimization framework will be a useful and efficient tool for field engineers to optimally manage CO 2 EOR projects to maximize revenue through oil recovery as well as CO 2 storage by taking advantage of the new 45Q tax law.

Artificial intelligence↗

Bipolar Membranes with an Electrospun 3D Junction

Freestanding bipolar membranes (BPMs) with an entirely new and transformative morphology were fabricated and characterized. The key disruptive design element was a water-splitting/water-generation junction layer of finite thickness composed of interwoven and interlocking electrospun anion-exchange polymer (AEP) fibers and cation-exchange polymer (CEP) fibers. Methods were developed to sandwich the 3D junction layer between two pre-formed dense AEP and CEP films., with the closure of all interfiber voids, where the processing steps are easily incorporated into a commercial roll-to-roll membrane manufacturing scheme. A series of membranes were made using different polymers and junction layers to identify the optimum morphology and composition for water-splitting and water-generation applications. For water splitting, the 3D junction BPMs worked remarkably well with operating current densities at/above 1.0 A/cm2 (10X greater than commercial BPMs) at a transmembrane voltage drop of only 1.1 V. In water generation mode, the 3D junction BPMs operated at 0.5 A/cm2, a world-record current density. The membranes were found to exhibit outstanding durability and can be manufactured at scale for low cost. The high operating current densities and stable long-term operation are due to the 3D junction layer design, where there is a high interfacial area for water splitting or water generation reactions and where the interlocking fibers prevent delamination of the outer films. These new BPMs are ideal candidate materials for both existing water-splitting electrodialysis separations and new electrochemical processes, such as large-scale direct air capture of CO 2 , reactors for CO 2 reduction, self-hydrating fuel cells, and redox flow batteries.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Time-Lapse Electromagnetic Methods for Monitoring Plume Development in a Carbon Storage Reservoir

Conference presentation at International Meeting for Applied Geoscience & Energy (IMAGE), Houston, Texas, August 25–28, 2025. The Energy & Environmental Research Center (EERC) is leading applied research on electromagnetic (EM) monitoring methods at an active carbon storage site in North Dakota. Injection operations at the site began in February 2024, with a permitted injection rate of up to 2.7 million tonnes of CO 2 annually using six injection wells. CO 2 is captured on-site and injected into the Broom Creek Formation, a predominantly sandstone reservoir and saline aquifer located at a depth of approximately 1800 meters. The EERC led acquisition of multiple active- and passive-source EM techniques between August and October of 2024 to provide a thorough understanding of the resistivity profile at the site.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Membrane absorption process for CO2 capture

Processes and systems for the capture of CO 2 from a CO 2 -containing gas stream are provided. The CO 2 -containing gas stream is passed to a membrane contactor absorber wherein the CO 2 -containing gas contacts or passes a first side of a membrane element while a CO 2 selective solvent with a viscosity between 0.2 and 7 cP contacts, passes or flows on second side of the membrane, opposed to the first side. The CO 2 permeates through the hollow fiber membrane pores and is chemically absorbed into the solvent.

Li, Shiguang↗

An Analysis of the Potential and Cost of the U.S. Refinery Sector Decarbonization

In 2019, U.S. petroleum refineries emitted 196 million metric tons (MT) of CO 2 , while the well-to-gate and the full life cycle CO 2 emissions were significantly higher, reaching 419 and 2843 million MT of CO 2 , respectively. This analysis examines decarbonization opportunities for U.S. refineries and the cost to achieve both refinery level and complete life-cycle CO 2 emission reductions. Here, we used 2019 life-cycle CO 2 emissions from U.S. refineries as a baseline and identified three categories of decarbonization opportunity: (1) switching refinery energy inputs from fossil to renewable sources (e.g., switch hydrogen source); (2) carbon capture and storage of CO 2 from various refining units; and (3) changing the feedstock from petroleum crude to biocrude using various blending levels. While all three options can reduce CO 2 emissions from refineries, only the third can reduce emissions throughout the life cycle of refinery products, including the combustion of fuels (e.g., gasoline and diesel) during end use applications. A decarbonization approach that combines strategies 1, 2, and 3 can achieve negative life-cycle CO 2 emissions, with an average CO 2 avoidance cost of $\$113$ - $\$477$/MT CO 2 , or $\$54$ - $\$227$/bbl of processed crude; these costs are driven primarily by the high cost of biocrude feedstock.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Experimental Results of a Rapidly Cycled Temperature Swing Adsorption Pump in a Terrestrial Environment

To improve the increasing CO 2 levels on Earth, technology for carbon capture and utilization must be efficient and cost effective. One major contributor of atmospheric CO 2 is post-combustion flue gas, which can contain up to 20% CO 2 . Scrubbing this CO 2 could reduce the environmental impact of this common industrial process. In off-Earth environments, capturing and utilizing CO 2 from space resources is useful for crewed spaceflight life support. Specifically, the Bosch process, which produces water and carbon powder by reacting CO 2 and hydrogen, is a possible in-situ resource utilization (ISRU) architecture for the Moon and Mars. The Rapid Cycle Temperature Swing Adsorption (RC-TSA) pump is an innovative technology designed to capture CO 2 efficiently. The RC-TSA leverages a stacked plate geometry to cycle multiple zeolite-coated beds. The thin layers allow for rapid heat transfer of the zeolite coating, which improves performance over previously tested pump designs. The design is favorable for scalability and manufacturability, which are forward work. Initial testing of the sorption pump using a simulated flue gas environment shows favorable breakthrough capacities and reduced cycle times. Results show promise for on- and off-Earth applications, such as a Martian surface and crewed spaceflight environments.

adsorption pump↗

Optimizing Direct Air Capture Solvents to Minimize Energy Consumption of CO 2 Release in a Carbonate Electrolyzer

Addressing climate change by carbon management is critical to achieving the goal of net zero carbon emissions by 2050. In this work, we examined the electrochemically-driven recovery of CO 2 during alkaline solvent regeneration for solvent-based direct air capture. A mathematical model was developed by incorporating carbonate chemistry with water electrolysis to predict the energy consumption per unit of CO 2 released. The predicted results were consistent with the experimental data, in which the experimental work was achieved by characterizing alkalinity and carbon loading values of solvent collected from a flow carbonate electrolyzer. Through this study, we learned that minimizing the energy expended on CO 2 release can be achieved by using an anolyte with a lower alkalinity, increasing the electric charge input to the electrolyzer, and reducing the ohmic resistance of the electrolyzer. Furthermore, using a supporting electrolyte, e.g., Na 2 SO 4 in the present work, effectively compensates for the higher ohmic resistance from using an anolyte with a lower alkalinity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Hybrid Absorption–Crystallization Strategies for the Direct Air Capture of CO2 Using Phase-Changing Guanidium Bases: Insights from in Operando X-ray Scattering and Infrared Spectroscopy Measurements

Efforts to limit rising concentrations of CO 2 have motivated the development of negative emission technologies. Direct air capture (DAC) of CO 2 is one of the negative emissions technologies that has been proposed for the direct removal of CO 2 from the atmosphere. Phase-changing bis(iminonoguanidine) (BIG) sorbents have been developed for the direct air capture of CO 2 . These phase changing sorbents, specifically glyoxal-bis(iminoguanidine) (GBIG), involve (1) CO 2 absorption with aqueous amino acid salts, such as K- or Na-glycinate to yield bicarbonate-rich solutions, (2) crystallization of the bicarbonate anions with a BIG solid, which regenerates the amino acid, and (3) solid-state CO 2 release from the carbonate crystals and BIG regeneration. Despite the promising potential of these materials, their structural evolution during the thermal regeneration of the BIG solids, chemical regeneration of the sodium or potassium glycinate solvents, and the crystallization behavior of CO 2 -loaded BIG bicarbonate remain to be evaluated and understood in detail. The aim of this study is to probe these knowledge gaps. In situ wide-angle X-ray Scattering (WAXS) results show that CO 2 and water molecules in GBIG bicarbonate are simultaneously released in a single step during the thermal regeneration of the sorbent at 97 – 134 °C. In situ ATR-FTIR measurements showed that sodium glycinate and GBIG bicarbonate are simultaneously generated when GBIG, glycine, and sodium bicarbonate are reacted. The crystallization of GBIG bicarbonate from GBIG and CO 2 -loaded monoethanolamine (MEA) occurs rapidly in the first 10 min of the reaction, as determined using in situ GI-SAXS measurements. Overall, the insights from these studies are essential for the scalable implementation of CO 2 capture technologies using these phase-changing sorbents.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Detecting Reactive Products in Carbon Capture Polymers with Chemical Shift Anisotropy and Machine Learning

Aminopolymers are attractive sorbents for CO 2 direct air capture applications due to their high density of amine groups, which can readily react with atmospheric levels of CO 2 to form chemisorbed species. The identity of these chemisorbed species and the functional groups that form upon oxidative degradation depends on both material properties and processing conditions, forming a variety of carbonyl-type sites such as ammonium carbamates, bicarbonates, carbonates, carbamic acids, ureas, and amides. 13 C solid-state nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) is often used to help elucidate the identity of these reacted species, but it is challenging due to the narrow chemical shift range of carbonyl sites. Herein, we demonstrate the application of a two-dimensional (2D) chemical shift anisotropy (CSA) recoupling pulse sequence (ROCSA) to obtain CSA tensor values at each isotropic chemical shift, overcoming limitations of isotropic peak resolution. CSA tensor values describe the local chemical environment and can readily differentiate between the chemisorbed and degradation products. To aid identification, we also developed a k-nearest neighbor (kNN) classification model to distinguish the functional groups via their CSA tensor parameters. This methodology was demonstrated on poly(ethylenimine) in γ-Al 2 O 3 exposed to CO 2 and showed that the chemisorbed products are ammonium carbamate and a mixed carbamate–carbamic acid species. The sample was analyzed again after desorption at 100 °C inducing mild degradation, and the remaining products were strongly bound carbamate and urea species. In conclusion, the combination of 2D CSA measurements coupled with a kNN classification model enhances the ability to accurately identify chemisorbed or degradation products in complex carbon capture materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Energy-effective and low-cost carbon capture from point-sources enabled by water-lean solvents

Aqueous amines, as the most mature carbon capture technology, are subject to high energy and cost penalties due to the large water content in their formulations. Emerging technologies are in demand to enable a transition to a low-carbon global economy. However, rigorous process modeling and techno-economic analyses are limited for emerging carbon capture technologies. Here, four CO 2 -Binding Organic Liquids (CO 2 BOLs), all water-lean solvents were presented as promising options towards energy-effective and low-cost carbon capture from point sources. Rigorous solvent property and process models were developed in Aspen Plus for a coal-fired power plant with CO 2 BOL-based carbon capture unit. Techno-economic analyses were conducted in 2018 US pricing basis. The results suggest that water-lean formulations can minimize water condensation and vaporization, leading to a 36% energy saving compared with aqueous amines. Indeed, these CO 2 BOLs can capture up to 97–99% CO 2 from coal fired plant. The estimated carbon capture cost is about $40/tonne CO 2 at 90–97% carbon capture rate, about 12–23% less expensive than the conventional aqueous amine technology. The comparison between these CO 2 BOLs showed that in addition to vapor liquid equilibrium and kinetics (key properties for aqueous solvents), viscosity, volatility, and hydrophobicity, also have strong impacts on the performance of water-lean solvents. The methods presented in this work can be used to evaluate other emerging carbon capture technologies, while the results linking costs and performance of carbon capture solvents with their properties. Additionally, this work identifies research directions and targets for further reductions in total costs of capture from either cost or energy perspectives for these leading water-lean solvents.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Carbon management technology pathways for reaching a U.S. Economy-Wide net-Zero emissions goal

The Carbon Management Study Group of the 37 th Energy Modeling Forum (EMF 37) designed seven scenarios to explore the role of three potentially key technology suites – point source carbon dioxide capture and storage (PSCCS), direct air capture of carbon dioxide (DACCS), and hydrogen systems (H 2 ) – in shaping the broader technology pathways to reaching net-zero carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions in United States by 2050. Each scenario was run by up to 13 models participating in the EMF 37 study. Results show that carbon dioxide removal technologies were consistently a major part of successful pathways to net-zero U.S. CO 2 emissions in 2050. Achieving this net-zero CO 2 goal without any form of carbon dioxide capture and storage was found to be impossible for most models; some models also found it impossible to reach net-zero without DACCS. The marginal cost of achieving net-zero CO 2 emissions in 2050 was between two and 10 times higher without PSCCS and/or DACCS available. The carbon price at which DACCS was deployed as a backstop technology depended upon the assumed cost at which DACCS was available at scale. Carbon prices were between $\$$250 and $\$$500 per ton CO 2 when DACCS deployed as a backstop. The average CO 2 capture rate across all models in 2050 in the central net-zero scenario was 1.3 GtCO 2 /year, which implies a substantial upscaling of capacity to move and store CO 2 . Finally, hydrogen sensitivity scenarios showed that H 2 typically constituted a relatively small share of the overall U.S. energy system; however, H 2 deployed in applications that are considered hard to decarbonize, facilitating transition towards net-zero emissions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Mining Air for Fuels and Fine Chemicals

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s 2021 report underscores that Direct Air Capture (DAC) is an essential component to limiting global warming to 2 °C, yet separating CO 2 from air and its subsequent concentration for conversion into carbon neutral fuels/chemicals or permanent storage remains energy intensive and costly. Further, most DAC technologies rely on repetitive capture and release cycles that reduces the amount of time the DAC materials are able to collect CO 2 and increases wear and tear. Moisture swing (MS) sorption within anion exchange materials utilizes differences in relative humidity to capture and concentrate CO 2 up to 500-fold with negligible energy inputs and low-cost sorbents. Molecular modeling predicts that membranes with a dry and wet side would actively transport CO 2 from its dry side to its wet side against a counter flow of H 2 O evaporating on the dry side, however, existing MS materials are too brittle to be processed into membranes to test this hypothesis. This project brought together experts in DAC materials and design, techno-economic analysis and project management at Arizona State University (ASU), polymer processing at University of Texas at Austin (UTA) and modeling gas transport and exchange at Norther Arizona University (NAU) to develop hollow fiber membranes that use energy from water evaporation to continuously pump CO 2 from air against a concentration gradient to the membranes interior and requiring significantly less energy than current DAC technologies. While this project did not meet its ultimate objectives of demonstrating an active CO 2 pumping membrane, a number of key accomplishments were made in developing low-cost, flexible anion exchange membranes (AEM) at 3.5 m 2 scale, characterizing the ionic and molecular transport within MS materials, and developing several analytical and mathematical models of the MS and pumping process leading to new fundamental knowledge about key rate limiting steps of CO 2 flux in anion exchange membranes at low water activity. Technoeconomic models show that if CO 2 fluxes ≥ 25 µmol CO 2 m -2 s -1 (membrane surface area) are achieved that cost ≤ $\$$100/tonne CO 2 captured, purified and compressed to pipeline quality is possible. The knowledge gained in this research will guide future research in developing new materials toward overcoming these rate limiting steps that in turn could enable transformative and disruptive DAC technologies needed for capturing gigatons of CO 2 per year needed to limiting global warming to 2 °C.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Thermodynamic modeling of MDEA(aq)-NH 3 (aq)-K 2 CO 3 (aq)-CO 2 (aq) using the Extended UNIQUAC model

Here, the development of advanced processes for carbon dioxide capture requires reliable thermodynamic models to ensure accurate process design. This work presents an optimized parameter set of the Extended UNIQUAC model for advanced mixed solvent solutions containing CO 2 -MDEA-NH 3 -K 2 CO 3 in water. The model was parameterized using vapor–liquid equilibrium, pure component saturation pressure, excess enthalpy, heat of absorption, molar heat capacity, apparent molar heat capacity, and solid–liquid equilibrium. These thermal and equilibrium properties cover temperatures between 253.6 K to 600 K and pressures up to 75.6 bar. The current model represents an extension of previous versions that were suitable for modeling aqueous NH 3 and K 2 CO 3 solutions. This parametrization accounts for molecular interactions between MDEA and these two components, which allows for the design of advanced capture processes. This paper demonstrates that the new model parameters are valid within the range of operational conditions typically found in CO 2 capture processes.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Near-cryogenic direct air capture using adsorbents

Direct air capture (DAC) of CO 2 is a key component in the portfolio of negative emissions technologies for mitigating global warming. However, even with the most potent amine sorbents, large-scale DAC deployment remains limited by high energy and capital costs. Recently, adsorbents relying on weak interactions with CO 2 have emerged as a potential alternative, thanks to their rapid adsorption kinetics and superior long-term stability, particularly under sub-ambient conditions (∼253 K). Despite these advantages, their use is hindered by the need for a water-removal process, location-specific constraints, and insufficient working capacity even in cold climates. In this study, we hypothesized that further reducing the adsorption temperature to a near-cryogenic range (160–220 K) could enable cost-effective DAC by utilizing the full potential of physisorbents. We primarily consider integrating DAC with a relatively untapped source of cold energy—liquified natural gas (LNG) regasification—to perform near-cryogenic DAC. From large-scale molecular simulations, Zeolite 13X and CALF-20 were identified as promising candidates. These materials were subsequently examined through experiments, including breakthrough analyses at 195 K. Their high CO 2 sorption capacity (4.5–5.5 mmol g −1 ), combined with a low desorption enthalpy and robust long-term stability, led to a threefold reduction in the levelized cost of capture (down to 68.2 USD per tonne CO 2 ). Estimates of the global LNG regasification resource suggest that LNG–DAC coupling could potentially enable the capture of 103–142 megatonnes of CO 2 annually as of 2050.

Kim, Seo-Yul [Georgia Institute of Technology, Atl↗