Results for “surges” — Page 42

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Using Earth Observations to Analyze Shoreline Changes and Understand the Effects of Sea Level Rise in Southern Puerto Rico

This summer, the Jobos Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve (JBNERR) partnered with NASA DEVELOP to evaluate water quality, mangrove forest extent, sea level rise, and land cover changes in Jobos Bay. DEVELOP is a national capacity building program that connects satellite data with early career scientists and decision makers. Through ten-week feasibility studies, DEVELOP partners with organizations that have the power to enact policy within their communities. Jobos Bay, in the southeast coast of Puerto Rico, has experienced intense hurricane seasons with increased seasonal storm surge, near-shore land use changes, and strong variations in precipitation and runoff. Through proposals, bi-weekly meetings, and frequent email communication, this cross-sector initiative provided valuable results for management decisions within the reserve. Using satellite observations to measure land use change, the team found that 17% of the reserve has shifted from land to water along the coast since 1997. Using Sentinel-2 the team was able to visualize turbidity, chlorophyll-a, and colored dissolved organic matter (CDOM) for Jobos Bay. While some large events such as Hurricane Maria were reflected in the turbidity analysis, chlorophyll-a and CDOM visualizations were limited by the influence of shallow-water bottom reflectance, particularly around reefs and within the Bay. The team also found that Jobos Bay lost 4.9 square kilometers of mangrove habitat over the past decade, calculated using Landsat 7 and 8 within Google Earth Engine. The results from this study will inform JBNERR and its community members on the regional impacts of sea level rise as well as serve as a baseline for future conservation efforts and research in the estuary.

Olivia Spencer↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Tool CREOL: Using Earth Observations to Monitor Ecosystem Health for the Preservation of Coastal Louisiana

Submerged aquatic vegetation (SAV) in Louisiana’s Breton National Wildlife Refuge (BNWR) has been steadily declining due to anthropogenic and climate induced changes, contributing to the degradation of the barrier island system. In the Chandeleur Islands region, events such as Hurricane Katrina and the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill have reduced the barrier islands’ ability to control storm surge and have decreased seagrass extent. Seagrasses promote aquatic biodiversity, absorb excess nutrients, and reduce the rate of shoreline erosion by trapping suspended sediment. The tool for Coastal Remote Ecological Observations in Louisiana (Tool CREOL), a novel GUI, was developed using Google Earth Engine to assess historical changes to and present conditions of the Chandeleur Islands’ land cover, water quality, and seagrass extent. Developed in collaboration with the Louisiana Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority and the Louisiana Department of Natural Resources, the tool uses Earth observations acquired from NASA’s Landsat 5 TM, Landsat 7 ETM+ and Landsat 8 OLI to analyze land cover, turbidity, chlorophyll-a, and seagrass extent from 1984 to today. Tool CREOL enables continuous monitoring of the Chandeleur Islands and will aid in the identification of ideal areas for island restoration and seagrass revegetation.

Taryn Waite↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Evaluating and Exploring Extreme Precipitation in CHIRPS3, CHIMES, and the Climate Hazards Station Database

Between 2015 and 2019, the impacts and losses associated with droughts, floods, and hurricanes surged through the interaction of increasing exposure and more extreme weather and climate (Funk 2021). In 2020, the Aon-Benfield Reinsurance Company reported that cyclones, floods, and droughts resulted in $165 billion (USD) in losses. For 2020, EM-DAT lists 363 flood, landslide, storm, and drought events impacting some 98 million people. As hazards mount, models indicate more variable precipitation, and observations indicate increasing extremes in humid regions, yet the small number of available gauge observations is declining. In this talk we briefly introduce two new resources: version 3 of the 1981-near present Climate Hazards center Infrared Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS3) archive, and the 2000-near present Climate Hazards IMErg with Stations archive (CHIMES). The satellite-only CHIRP3 and CHIME components are based, respectively, on geostationary thermal infrared Cold Cloud Duration (CCD) values and the NASA GPM IMERGlate product. These archives benefit from thousands of station observations. In addition to standard global sources, the Climate Hazards station database includes about 5,000 additional stations in humid tropical and sub-tropical areas associated with likely increases in extreme rainfall. While effectively monitoring extreme precipitation is important to humanitarian agencies like FEWS NET, and to hydrologic modeling applications (a, b), evaluations of the widely used CHIRPS2 product indicate a propensity to underestimate extremes. Here, we explain the source of this problem. Then, focusing on pentad totals in 12 well-gauged regions, we use the high-quality gauge-based REGEN dataset to show that CHIRP3 and CHIME perform substantially better than CHIRP2. We examine trends in extremes in these validation regions, comparing REGEN results with values from the satellite-only CHIRP2, CHIRP3, CHIME and the gauge-enhanced CHIRP2, CHIRP3, CHIME. Trends in dry and humid regions are contrasted and compared. We conclude with global evaluations of the pentad CHIRP3, CHIRPS3, CHIME, CHIMES, and Climate Hazards station database products. How does the performance of the shorter period of record CHIME compare with CHIRP3? We anticipate that the sophisticated microwave-based IMERGlate inputs into CHIME will perform better. Where do we see the largest increases in extremes in these products? How well might CHIRPS3 and CHIMES perform in the context of humanitarian assistance efforts?

C Funk↗

NASA NTRS2020

Lagrangian Modeling and Simulation of the Free Surface-Affected Dynamics of Underwater Vehicles

The paper deals with the development of a novelsimulator for underwater vehicles that takes into account theinteraction between the submerged body and the free watersurface. By using a Lagrangian approach, the potential flowtheory is combined with the 6-DoF equations of motions, inorder to derive a mathematical model of the system dynamics tobe solved in time-domain. A numerical model is then specificallydeveloped and an extensive simulation campaign was carried out,leading to the Submerged Bodies Simulator (SubBoS). The resultshighlight an extension of the prediction validity with respect tothe state-of-art modeling, typically based on stringent hypotheseson body motion (e.g. small displacements, pure surge motion).Index Terms—Lagrangian dynamics, modeling, simulation,potential theory, naval architecture.

Quadrelli, Marco B.↗

NASA NTRS2022

Inferring iron-oxide species content in atmospheric mineral dust from DSCOVR EPIC observations

The iron-oxide content of dust in the atmosphere and most notably its apportionment between hematite (α-Fe2O3) and goethite (α-FeOOH) are key determinants in quantifying dust’s light absorption, its top of atmosphere UV radiances used for dust monitoring, and ultimately shortwave dust direct radiative effects (DRE). Hematite and goethite column mass concentrations and iron-oxide mass fractions of total dust mass concentration were retrieved from the DeepSpace Climate Observatory (DSCOVR) Earth Polychromatic Imaging Camera (EPIC) measurements in the ultraviolet–visible (UV–Vis) channels. The retrievals were performed for dust-identified aerosol plumes over land using aerosol optical depth (AOD) and spectral imaginary refractive index provided by the Multi-Angle Implementation of Atmospheric Correction (MAIAC) algorithm over six continental regions (North America, North Africa, West Asia, Central Asia, EastAsia, and Australia). The dust particles are represented as an internal mixture of non-absorbing host and absorbing hematite and goethite. We use the Maxwell–Garnett effective medium approximation with carefully selected complex refractive indices of hematite and goethite that produce mass fractions of iron oxides species consistent with in situ values found in the literature to derive the hematite and goethite volumetric/mass concentrations from MAIAC EPIC products. We compared the retrieved hematite and goethite concentrations with in situ dust aerosol mineralogical content measurements, as well as with published data. Our data display variations within the published range of hematite, goethite, and iron-oxide mass fractions for pure mineral dust cases. A specific analysis is presented for 15 sites over the main dust source regions. Sites in the central Sahara, Sahel, and Middle East exhibit a greater temporal variability of iron oxides relative to other sites. Niger site(13.52°N, 2.63°E) is dominated by goethite over Harmattan season with median of ~2 weight percentage (wt.%) of iron-oxide. Saudi Arabia site (27.49°N, 41.98°E) over Middle East also exhibited surge of goethite content with the beginning of Shamal season. The Sahel dust is richer in iron-oxide than Saharan and northern China dust except in Summer. The Bodélé Depression area shows a distinctively lower iron-oxide concentration (~1 wt.%) throughout the year. Finally, we show that EPIC data allow to constrain the hematite refractive index. Specifically, we select 5 out of 13 different number of hematite refractive indices widely variable in published laboratory studies by constraining the iron-oxide mass ratio to the known measured values. Provided climatology of hematite and goethite mass fractions across main dust regions of the Earth will be useful for dust shortwave DRE studies and climate modeling.

Sujung Go↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Machine Learning Enabled Quantitative Risk Assessment of Aerial Wildfire Response

Aerial wildfire operations are high risk and account for a large number of firefighter deaths. Increasing intensity of wildfires is driving a surge in aerial operations, while simultaneously there is growing interest in improving system safety and performance. In this work, wildfire aviation mishaps documented using the SAFECOM system are analyzed using a previously developed framework for hazard extraction and analysis of trends (HEAT). Hazards and specific failure modes are extracted from the narrative data in SAFECOM forms using natural language processing techniques. Metrics for each hazard are calculated, including frequency, rate, and severity. We examine whether these metrics change over time, and whether they are related to metadata, such as region and aircraft type. The results of the hazard analysis are presented in a risk matrix, identifying the highest and lowest risk hazards based on rate of occurrence and average severity. Results identify jumper operations hazards as high-risk, in addition to bucket drop failures, cargo let down failures, and severe weather as medium risk.

machine learning↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Validation of Transient Spacecraft Refueling Model with Gateway Breadboard Test Data

The ability to refuel spacecraft on-orbit is a key enabling technology for deep space human exploration. On-orbit refueling requires priming a pressurized liquid propellant from a source tank into fluid transfer lines at vacuum conditions, which could result in excessive surge pressures beyond the system’s qualified operating limits and potentially damage hardware. Therefore, it is imperative to employ numerical models during the development of flight hardware to parametrically characterize system performance over a wide range of operating conditions. Since priming transients are difficult to model accurately, it is important to validate those models with test data. As part of the Gateway bipropellant refueling system development, a simplified fluidic breadboard system was created using water as a simulant for fuel to support early program risk reduction of refueling operations. The objectives of breadboard testing were to gather performance data to characterize and demonstrate critical refueling operations and to validate numerical models that can be extended to predicting flight system performance. A description of the breadboard test system and the results of numerical model validation is presented. The model is shown to have very good agreement with test data.

Brian S Lusby↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Considering Turbofan Operability in Hybrid Electric Aircraft Propulsion System Design

This paper explores the design of a hybrid electric aircraft propulsion system that uses a turbofan to power an electric system. In such a system, the gas turbine will experience a loss of power generation as altitude increases, however the electric system will not. This difference results in designs that may over size the electric system at high altitude or under size at low altitude. Two studies are performed within this paper. The first looks at extracting power from the engine for use with electric aircraft propulsion at cruise and the second reviews a design of an engine that uses thrust assist for takeoff. Both studies look at the effects of changing altitude on the amount of power extraction or insertion that can be taken from the turbofan as dictated by operability limits. Results of the paper show that low-pressure compressor surge margin and high-pressure compressor speed can be pushed to unaccepted limits with large scale power extraction or insertion, however these issues can be mitigated by adding power extraction or insertion at off design operating points to compensate. Additionally, the benefits of thrust assist are quantified for this configuration demonstrating a reduction in thrust specific fuel consumption at cruise of over 5%.

Gas Turbine↗

NASA NTRS2023

Considering Turbofan Operability in Hybrid Electric Aircraft Propulsion System Design

This paper explores the design of a hybrid electric aircraft propulsion system that uses a turbofan to power an electric system. In such a system, the gas turbine will experience a loss of power generation as altitude increases, however the electric system will not. This difference results in designs that may over size the electric system at high altitude or under size at low altitude. Two studies are performed within this paper. The first looks at extracting power from the engine for use with electric aircraft propulsion at cruise and the second reviews a design of an engine that uses thrust assist for takeoff. Both studies look at the effects of changing altitude on the amount of power extraction or insertion that can be taken from the turbofan as dictated by operability limits. Results of the paper show that low-pressure compressor surge margin and high-pressure compressor speed can be pushed to unaccepted limits with large scale power extraction or insertion, however these issues can be mitigated by adding power extraction or insertion at off design operating points to compensate. Additionally, the benefits of thrust assist are quantified for this configuration demonstrating a reduction in thrust specific fuel consumption at cruise of over 5%.

Gas turbine↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Considering Turbofan Operability in Hybrid Electric Aircraft Propulsion System Design

This paper explores the design of a hybrid electric aircraft propulsion system that uses a turbofan to power an electric system. In such a system, the gas turbine will experience a loss of power generation as altitude increases, however the electric system will not. This difference results in designs that may over size the electric system at high altitude or under size at low altitude. Two studies are performed within this paper. The first looks at extracting power from the engine for use with electric aircraft propulsion at cruise and the second reviews a design of an engine that uses thrust assist for takeoff. Both studies look at the effects of changing altitude on the amount of power extraction or insertion that can be taken from the turbofan as dictated by operability limits. Results of the paper show that low-pressure compressor surge margin and high-pressure compressor speed can be pushed to unaccepted limits with large scale power extraction or insertion, however these issues can be mitigated by adding power extraction or insertion at off design operating points to compensate. Additionally, the benefits of thrust assist are quantified for this configuration demonstrating a reduction in thrust specific fuel consumption at cruise of over 5%.

Gas turbine↗

NASA NTRS2023

Metrics for Anomalous Charging currents in Polymer Tantalum Capacitors

Anomalous charging currents (ACC) in polymer tantalum capacitors may appear as a temporary short circuit that can last for dozens of milliseconds, cause failures to the parts, or cause malfunctions to fast operating electronic systems. Currently, there is no standard technique or set of metrics to evaluate the level of ACC which compares results obtained by different users and manufacturers. In this work, ACC in different types of capacitors were characterized by analysis of current transients during the constant voltage ramp or power surge testing (PST) techniques. It is shown that although the shape of transients may vary at different test conditions, the transfer charge and energy remain practically the same. The level of ACC is characterized by the energy dissipated in the part during PST. Variations of the dissipated energy with moisture content, test temperature, and voltage are evaluated. Effects of different reflow soldering conditions and long-term (up to 3000 hours) storage at 125 °C are discussed.

polymer tantalum capacitor↗

NASA NTRS2022

Editorial: Flux Rope Interaction With the Ambient Corona: From Jets to CMEs

Eruptive events within the Sun’s corona occur across a broad range of scales, from abundant small-scale jets to highly energetic coronal mass ejections (CMEs) (e.g., Webb and Howard, 2012; Raouafi et al., 2016; Kumar et al., 2021). Flux ropes have been understood to be a fundamental constituent of CMEs for many years, but it has only been more recently that their role in smaller eruptive events has become more appreciated (e.g., Sterling et al., 2015; Wyper et al., 2017). The key to understanding the differing morphology and nature of eruptions on these vastly differing scales is to understand the nature of the interaction between the flux ropes involved and the magnetic field of the surrounding corona. This Research Topic invited perspectives on (and examples of) flux rope eruptions across this broad range of scales, from formation to ejection, with the aim of highlighting commonalities and differences to aid in ultimately building a common framework for their understanding. Starting at the smallest scales, Schmieder presented a historically ordered review of jets and surges. The parallel improvements in instrumentation, physical insight and numerical simulations over time were highlighted along with the ways in which improvements in one area led to developments in another. Overall, jets of all forms are presented as the result of magnetic reconnection between two magnetic domains, with the reconnection involving a null point, bald patch separatrix or quasi-separatrix layer. In particular, jets with observed rotational motions often involve the transfer of twist from a small-scale filament or flux rope by reconnection across the separatrix.

solar corona and wind↗

NASA NTRS2022

Diurnal Waves Forced By Horizontal Convergence of Near-Surface Winds on Mars

Boundary-layer winds near steeply sloped topography excite a distinct type of atmospheric wave. Basic properties of the waves were determined through analysis of 7 Mars years of temperature profiles from the Mars Climate Sounder on Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter. A more complete understanding of the waves was derived from a simulation with the NASA Ames Mars General Circulation Model. This type of wave appears in the tropics in the vicinity of conspicuous surface features, such as large volcanoes and the rim of Isidis Planitia. The amplitude is typically 5–10 K, the vertical wavelength is about 40 km, the zonal wavelength is about 1400 km, and the zonal phase speed relative to the surface is about 25 m s−1. The wave forcing comes from horizontal convergence of the near-surface winds, which generates a daily surge in the vertical winds. These convergence zones were not previously recognized as an important source of atmospheric waves on Mars. Strong forcing occurs only within a limited range of local time, producing wave packets (diurnal pulses) rather than steady oscillations. Waves are present throughout the year and their properties vary with season. Near the solstices, the wave amplitude is largest in the tropics of the summer hemisphere, where the convergence zones are stronger than in the winter hemisphere. The diurnal-mean zonal winds, which vary with latitude and season, control the direction of propagation of the predominant waves through filtering by critical levels.

Mars↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Lessons Learned on Mega-Constellation Deployments and Impact to Space Domain Awareness

The breakneck expansion of multi-payload launches in low Earth orbit (LEO) has seen significant escalation over the last three years in the Space Domain Awareness (SDA) enterprise. The uptick in satellite deployment frequency, gradation of Mega-constellation deployments utilizing electric propulsion, and surge in metric observation density from the Space Surveillance Network (SSN) have imposed major system enhancements to ensure spaceflight safety. Beginning with the launch phase, new tactics, software, and procedures have been developed over the last few years to optimize the tasking of the SSN and ensure custody of all recently launched satellites that are added to the space catalog. Ensuring appropriate tasking levels were pivotal during the satellite separation phase, which necessitated updates to the mission systems for improved delineation between clustered satellites in a short window of time. The improved incorporation of utilizing owner operator provided ephemeris coupled with critical code improvements have now revolutionized how we maintain custody of earth orbiting objects. The exponential population growth of low-Earth orbiting satellites have also increased the quantity of Conjunction Data Messages sent out to partners such as the Trajectory Operations Group (TOPO) in Johnson Space Center. We will discuss the need for continued collaboration between the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and other Mega-Constellation Satellite Operators to safeguard Human Space Flight operations. Lastly, we will discuss the increase in reentry reporting for satellites falling back to Earth’s atmosphere, and the challenges associated with these events.

Christian C Ramos↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Image-to-Image Wildfire Detection via Quantum-Compatible Variational Segmentation from Remotely-sensed Data

Over the last decade, the incidence of wildfires has surged, causing widespread destruction globally. To better comprehend and manage these incidents, remote sensing and aerial missions have been implemented in recent efforts. However, this has resulted in an exponential rise in the amount of remote sensing data utilization, leading to a need for intelligent automation of data extraction in wildfire studies. Machine learning provides an accurate automated approach for detecting these natural anomalies and facilitates decision-makers to take prompt actions. To make insightful decisions in wildfire management, it is imperative to move beyond simple detection and explore the potential of probabilistic generative machine learning for creating "what-if" scenarios for various wildfire conditions. Such models offer improved representation of the stochastic nature of wildfire events. However, the optimization of these models can be computationally expensive, especially when using classical computers. Quantum computers have recently emerged as a promising solution to reduce the computational cost of training such models and improve their performance. In this study, we aim to utilize quantum-compatible machine learning techniques to implement our probabilistic generative approach. To that end, we propose a supervised probabilistic variational model consisting of a U-NET-based image-to-image component along with encoder and decoder networks which work as a variational autoencoder (VAE) component. Additionally, we explore the type of latent distribution type in the VAE component and implement different means for modeling the prior distribution. We further investigate the quantum-compatible versions of the model compared to the classical counterpart and benchmark potential benefits of quantum compatibility over the classical model.

quantum machine learning↗

NASA NTRS2023

Considering Turbofan Operability in Hybrid Electric Aircraft Propulsion System Design

This paper explores the design of a hybrid electric aircraft propulsion system that uses a turbofan to power an electric system. In such a system, the gas turbine will experience a loss of power generation as altitude increases, however the electric system will not. This difference results in designs that may over size the electric system at high altitude or under size at low altitude. Two studies are performed within this paper. The first looks at extracting power from the engine for use with electric aircraft propulsion at cruise and the second reviews a design of an engine that uses thrust assist for takeoff. Both studies look at the effects of changing altitude on the amount of power extraction or insertion that can be taken from the turbofan as dictated by operability limits. Results of the paper show that low-pressure compressor surge margin and high-pressure compressor speed can be pushed to unaccepted limits with large scale power extraction or insertion, however these issues can be mitigated by adding power extraction or insertion at off design operating points to compensate. Additionally, the benefits of thrust assist are quantified for this configuration demonstrating a reduction in thrust specific fuel consumption at cruise of over 5%.

Gas Turbine↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Open-source Numerical Modeling of Solidification Cracking Susceptibility: Application to Refractory Alloy Systems

Introduction. Alloys such as aluminum, nickel-base, and austenitic stainless steels are susceptible to solidification cracking during welding and 3D printing. Compositional optimization is one method used to effectively mitigate solidification cracking of those alloy systems. With the surge in hypersonic and in-space propulsion activities, refractory metals (Nb, Mo, Ta, W, and Re) and their alloy derivatives are increasing in importance due to their extreme high melting point and retention of high-temperature strength; however, their chemistry was most typically optimized to promote ductility during mechanical operations such as drawing and forming. Welding of such alloys has been a challenge due to a number of issues including solidification cracking, atmospheric contamination (O, C, and N), as well as a shift in ductile-to-brittle transition to higher temperature following grain growth induced by welding. Compositional optimization of refractory alloys for solidification cracking resistance in particular is desirable as their usage increases with the advent of advanced manufacturing methods such as 3D printing. This work evaluates the effect of compositional variation in refractory metal systems on the solidification cracking susceptibility with the goals of optimizing existing alloys and joining process techniques, and formulating new alloys with increased solidification cracking resistance. Experimental Procedures. A python code was developed in a Jupyter notebook environment (Michael and Sowards, 2023) to facilitate the calculation of crack susceptibility index proposed by Kou (2015). Composition is entered as a single point, or as a 1-D or 2-D array. The notebook calls pycalphad (Otis and Liu, 2017 and Bocklund et al, 2020) to calculate the evolution of fraction solid as a function of temperature (under either Scheil or equilibrium assumptions) and then evaluates steepness of the fraction solid curve near the terminal stage of solidification to predict solidification cracking resistance. Open source thermodynamic databases available at online repositories are used (van de Walle). The process is setup in an automated fashion to generate plots that show variation in solidification cracking susceptibility according to composition on 1-D line plots or 2-D contour plots. The Jupyter notebook and crack susceptibility algorithm was also integrated with a widely used commercial CALPHAD code for validation and alloy exploration. Results and Discussion. The crack susceptibility model was first validated against a series of refractory alloy compositions evaluated in past work which utilized a specialized Varestraint test built inside a vacuum chamber environment (Lessman and Gold, 1971). The alloys tested in the Varestraint apparatus included T-111 (Ta-8W-2Hf), ASTAR-811C (Ta-8W-1Re-0.7Hf-0.025C), FS-85 (Nb-27Ta-10W-1Zr), T-222 (Ta-9.6W-2.4Hf-0.01C), Ta-10W, B-66 (Nb-5Mo-5V-1Zr), and SCb-291 (Nb-10W-10Ta). The initial test of the model showed a strong correlation with empirical Varestraint data, i.e., a Spearman rank correlation between model predictions and hot cracking measurements was observed to be greater than 0.8. Following the validation, a set of refractory metal binary mixtures was investigated to evaluate sensitivity of Nb, Mo, W, and Ta to C, N, and O content. A series of plots were produced that suggest ppmw ranges of C, N, and O where solidification cracking increases significantly and reaches a maximum. Also comparative ranking of each primary refractory metal to each interstitial was produced. For example C produces greater cracking response in Mo whereas O produces greater cracking response in Ta and Nb. Such compositional values have utility in setting limits on pickup of these interstitial elements during welding and printing rather than using a one-size-fits-all approach. Furthermore, the results have use in determining additive powder recycling requirements, which is especially pertinent for refractory metal powders due to their high cost compared to conventional alloys. Another application created thousands of hypothetical alloys within the nominal specified composition range of two widely used refractory alloys C103 (Nb-10Hf-1Ti) and TZM (Mo-0.5Ti-0.1Zr). The cracking index was calculated for the alloys and results were fed into machine learning regression techniques including Multiple Linear Regression, Ridge Regression, and Lasso Regression to determine relative potency each alloying element had on computed solidification cracking index. A series of linear equations were produced that relate composition of C103 and TZM to solidification cracking index. The crack susceptibility of C103 for example is described by an equation of the form: cracking index ~ O + 0.667*C + 0.635*N + 0.00037*Ta – 0.0008*Hf (in wt.%) From that equation, it is clear that O has strong propensity to induce solidification cracking. Interestingly, Hf is shown to reduce calculated cracking response. Finally, realizing the potential of this method to discover new refractory alloy formulations across the period table that have low solidification cracking sensitivity, the code was applied to new untested alloy systems including W-Zr-C, W-Ta-C, and others. Conclusions. In summary, an open source numerical method has been developed using Python code to calculate Kou’s crack susceptibility index. The method was applied to refractory metals which are inherently difficult to study from a weldability testing standpoint since inert shielding gas is not sufficient and welding is typically done in vacuum, especially in light of findings presented here where oxygen has profound influence on solidification cracking. This work revealed the effect of compositional variations on a series of refractory metals and showed the framework defined here will be useful in 1) the development of new alloys that have improved weldability and 3D printability, 2) placing compositional limits on existing alloys, and 3) ensuring adequate controls of manufacturing processes such as 3D printing where powder reuse is critical. Keywords. pycalphad; Python; refractory metals; solidification cracking. References. B. Bocklund et. al. (2020) http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.3630657. S. Kou. (2015) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actamat.2015.01.034. G.G. Lessmann and R.E. Gold. Welding Journal, issue 1, pp. 1-s – 8-s (1971). F.N. Michael and J.W. Sowards. NASA/TM-20230002218 (2023). R. Otis and Z.-K. Liu. (2017) http://doi.org/10.5334/jors.140. A. Van de Wallle et. al. (2018) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.calphad.2018.04.003.

pycalphad↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Lessons Learned on Mega-Constellation Deployments and Impact to Space Domain Awareness

The breakneck expansion of multi-payload launches in low Earth orbit (LEO) has seen significant escalation over the last three years in the Space Domain Awareness (SDA) enterprise. The uptick in satellite deployment frequency, gradation of mega-constellation deployments utilizing electric propulsion, and surge in metric observation density from the Space Surveillance Network (SSN) have driven major system enhancements to ensure spaceflight safety. Beginning with the launch phase, new tactics, software, and procedures have been developed over the last few years to optimize the tasking of the SSN and ensure custody of all recently launched satellites that are added to the space catalog. Ensuring appropriate tasking levels were pivotal during the satellite separation phase, which necessitated updates to the mission systems for improved delineation between clustered satellites in a short window of time. The improved incorporation of utilizing satellite owner/operator-provided ephemeris coupled with critical code improvements have revolutionized how we maintain custody of Earth orbiting objects. The exponential population growth of Low-Earth orbiting satellites have also increased the quantity of Conjunction Data Messages sent out to partners such as the Trajectory Operations Group (TOPO) in Johnson Space Center. We will discuss the need for continued collaboration between the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and other mega-constellation satellite operators to safeguard human spaceflight operations. Lastly, we will discuss how mega-constellations are driving best practices for safe operations across the space community.

Christian Ramos↗