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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 757 records · Page 42
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Baseplate Temperature–Dependent Vertical Composition Gradient in Pseudo–Bilayer Films for Printing Non–Fullerene Organic Solar Cells

Numerous previous reports on the sequential deposition (SD) technique have demonstrated that this approach can achieve a p–i–n active layer architecture with an ideal vertical composition gradient, which is one of the critical factors that can influence the physical processes that determine the photovoltaic performance of organic solar cells. Herein, a commonly used photovoltaic system comprised of PM6 as a donor and Y6 as an acceptor is investigated with respect to sequential blade–processing deposition to comprehensively explore the morphology characteristics as a function of baseplate temperature. A systematic study of the temperature–dependent blend morphology elucidates the SD–processed configuration merits and device physics behind temperature–controlled degree of vertical composition gradient, and constructs the temperature–microstructure–property relationship for the corresponding photovoltaic parameters. The result shows, as the temperature increases, the morphology of the active layer has undergone a distinct evolution from the pseudo–bulk heterojunction to a pseudo–planar heterojunction and then to a pseudo–planar bilayer, leading to a non–monotonic correlation between baseplate temperature and device performance. Further, this investigation not only reveals the importance of precisely controlling baseplate temperature for gaining vertical morphology control, but also provides a path toward rational optimization of device performance in the lab–to–fab transition.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

A control-inspired approach for energy transition planning under uncertainty

As the global carbon footprint continues to grow, many countries are implementing carbon emission reduction policies which have incentivized the expansion of low-carbon and renewable technologies. However, the speed and scale of deployment falls short of that needed to meet climate goals. Energy system models serve as key tools for guiding investment decisions and helping policymakers evaluate the effects of various policies on the development of an energy system. This study focuses on the energy system of the United States and builds upon prior work by incorporating more geographic granularity to account for the trade of commodities and addresses transmission congestion through electricity price adjustments. Furthermore, real-world characteristics, such as delays in constructing new liquid fuel production and electricity generation facilities, are integrated using a sequential decision-making approach that better reflects how decisions can be updated as uncertainties unfold. Results demonstrate that stochastic programming combined with sequential decision-making produces energy transition pathways that are robust to multiple uncertain futures. Additionally, considering real-world characteristics significantly impacts the deployment of renewable technologies and the ability to meet carbon emission reduction goals while also reliably meeting demand. These findings highlight the importance of accounting for uncertainty and real-world characteristics to avoid overly optimistic projections in energy system planning.

energy systems↗
DOE OSTI2022

CAMERA: A method for cost-aware, adaptive, multifidelity, efficient reliability analysis

Estimating probability of failure in aerospace systems is a critical requirement for flight certification and qualification. Failure probability estimation involves resolving tails of probability distributions, and Monte Carlo sampling methods are intractable when expensive high-fidelity simulations have to be queried. Here, we propose a method to use models of multiple fidelities that trade accuracy for computational efficiency. Specifically, we propose the use of multifidelity Gaussian process models to efficiently fuse models at multiple fidelity, thereby offering a cheap surrogate model that emulates the original model at all fidelities. Furthermore, we propose a novel sequential acquisition function based experiment design framework that can automatically select samples from appropriate fidelity models to make predictions about quantities of interest at the highest fidelity. We use our proposed approach in an importance sampling setting and demonstrate our method on the failure level set and probability estimation on synthetic test functions and two real-world applications, namely, the reliability analysis of a gas turbine engine blade using a finite element method and a transonic aerodynamic wing test case using Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations. We show that our method predicts the failure boundary and probability more accurately and at a fraction of the computational cost compared with using just a single expensive high-fidelity model. Finally, we show that our sequential approach is guaranteed to asymptotically converge to the true failure boundary with high probability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Reinforcement learning for adaptive maintenance policy optimization under imperfect knowledge of the system degradation model and partial observability of system states

Maintenance policy optimization usually is faced with challenges that arise from an imperfect knowledge of system degradation models and from the partial observability of system degradation states. Here, this paper proposes a reinforcement learning method to address these two challenges for a class of maintenance problems with Markov degradation processes. The reinforcement learning approach consists of a learning component and a planning component. Using sequentially collected observations, at each step of decision-making the learning component improves the knowledge of system degradation in terms of the probability distributions of the transition rates based on sequential Bayesian inference. Using the updated transition rates, at each step of decision-making the maintenance policy optimization problem is then formulated as a partially observable Markov decision problem, and the planning component computes the optimal maintenance policy that maximizes the expected cumulative reward. The proposed method is illustrated using a numerical example with repair and inspection maintenance actions. The result shows that as more observations are collected, the learning component progressively learns the true system degradation process, and the planning component adjusts the optimal maintenance policy accordingly as well, which leads to increased reward.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Block Copolymer-Templated Synthesis of Fe–Ni–Co-Modified Nanoporous Alumina Films

Despite intense interest in the catalytic potential of transition metal oxide heterostructures, originating from their large surface area and tunable chemistry, the fabrication of well-defined multicomponent oxide coatings with controlled architectures remains challenging. Here, we demonstrate a simple and effective swelling-assisted sequential infiltration synthesis (SIS) strategy to fabricate hierarchically porous multicomponent metal-oxide electrocatalysts with tunable bimetallic composition. A combination of solution-based infiltration (SBI) of transition metals, iron (Fe), nickel (Ni), and cobalt (Co), into a block copolymer (PS73-b-P4VP28) template, followed by vapor-phase infiltration of alumina using sequential infiltration synthesis (SIS), was employed to synthesize porous, robust, conformal and transparent multicomponent metal-oxide coatings like Fe/AlO x , Fe+Ni/AlO x , and Fe+Co/AlO x . Electrochemical assessments for the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) in a 0.1 M KOH electrolyte demonstrated that the Fe+Ni/AlO x composite exhibited markedly superior catalytic activity, achieving an impressive onset potential of 1.41 V and a peak current density of 3.29 mA/cm 2 . This superior activity reflects the well-known synergistic effect of alloying transition metals with a trace of Fe, which facilitates OER kinetics. Overall, our approach offers a versatile and scalable path towards the design of stable and efficient catalysts with tunable nanostructures, opening new possibilities for a wide range of electrochemical energy applications.

conformal films↗
DOE OSTI2025

2D Vacancy Confinement in Anatase TiO 2 for Enhanced Photocatalytic Activities

Abstract Light‐driven energy conversion devices call for the atomic‐level manipulation of defects associated with electronic states in solids. However, previous approaches to produce oxygen vacancy (V O ) as a source of sub‐bandgap energy levels have hampered the precise control of the distribution and concentration ofV O . Here, a new strategy to spatially confineV O at the homo‐interfaces is demonstrated by exploiting the sequential growth of anatase TiO 2 under dissimilar thermodynamic conditions. Remarkably, metallic behavior with high carrier density and electron mobility is observed after sequential growth of the TiO 2 films under low pressure and temperature (L‐TiO 2 ) on top of high‐quality anatase TiO 2 epitaxial films (H‐TiO 2 ), despite the insulating properties of L‐TiO 2 and H‐TiO 2 single layers. Multiple characterizations elucidate that theV O layer is geometrically confined within 4 unit cells at the interface, along with low‐temperature crystallization of upper L‐TiO 2 films; this 2DV O layer is responsible for the formation of in‐gap states, promoting photocarrier lifetime (≈300%) and light absorption. These results suggest a synthetic strategy to locally confine functional defects and emphasize how sub‐bandgap energy levels in the confined imperfections influence the kinetics of light‐driven catalytic reactions.

Chemistry↗
DOE OSTI2022

Weighted relaxation for multigrid reduction in time

Current trends in computer architectures now mean that faster computation speed must come primarily from increased concurrency, not faster clock speeds, which are stagnating. Thus, this situation creates bottlenecks for serial algorithms, including the well-known bottleneck for sequential time-integration, where each individual time-value (i.e., time-step) is computed sequentially. One approach to alleviate this and achieve parallelism in time is with multigrid. Here, in this work, we consider multigrid-reduction-in-time (MGRIT), a multilevel method applied to the time dimension that computes multiple time-steps in parallel. Like all multigrid methods, MGRIT relies on the complementary relationship between relaxation on a fine-grid and a correction from the coarse grid to solve the problem. All current MGRIT implementations are based on unweighted-Jacobi relaxation; here we introduce the concept of weighted relaxation to MGRIT. We derive new convergence bounds for weighted relaxation, and use this analysis to guide the selection of relaxation weights. Numerical results then demonstrate that by choosing appropriate non-unitary relaxation weights, one can achieve faster convergence rates and lower iteration counts for MGRIT when compared with unweighted relaxation. In most cases, weighted relaxation yields a 10%–20% saving in iterations, which is significant when using large high-performance computers. For A-stable integration schemes, results also illustrate that under-relaxation can restore convergence in some cases where unweighted relaxation is not convergent.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Bayesian D‐Optimal Designs for Gaussian Process Surrogate Models

Computer experiments often employ space-filling strategies to create surrogate models with strong predictive performance. The impact of model parameter estimation for Gaussian process surrogates, however, is often overlooked. Obtaining a better initial estimate of the covariance lengthscale parameter, θ, can greatly improve the resulting Gaussian process fit through more effective sequential acquisitions during active learning. In this work, we propose a novel initial design maximizing the Bayesian D-optimality criterion of the Gaussian process lengthscale parameter. Previously published results have shown the emphasis on lengthscale estimation to be promising, but relied on an empirically driven design creation process. Our Bayesian D-optimal designs are rooted in information theory and lead to more informative sequential acquisitions by improving lengthscale estimation. In many cases, these gains eventually result in better surrogates than those seeded with space-filling initial designs. Furthermore, Bayesian D-optimal designs can be tailored to either isotropic or anisotropic covariance structures, and the Bayesian framework enables the inclusion of prior knowledge in the design process, offering greater flexibility and adaptability. Through several simulation studies, we demonstrate the advantages of Bayesian D-optimal designs in terms of both lengthscale estimation accuracy and predictive performance during active learning.

Bayesian experimental design↗
DOE OSTI2020

A space-time parallel algorithm with adaptive mesh refinement for computational fluid dynamics

This work describes a space-time parallel algorithm with space-time adaptive mesh refinement (AMR). AMR with subcycling is added to multigrid reduction-in-time (MGRIT) in order to provide solution efficient adaptive grids with a reduction in work performed on coarser grids. This algorithm is achieved by integrating two software libraries: XBraid (Parallel time integration with multigrid. https://computation.llnl.gov/projects/parallel-timeintegration-multigrid) and Chombo (Chombo software package for AMR applications—design document, 2014). The former is a parallel time integration library using multigrid and the latter is a massively parallel structured AMR library. Employing this adaptive space-time parallel algorithm is Chord (Comput Fluids 123:202–217, 2015), a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) application code for solving compressible fluid dynamics problems. For the same solution accuracy, speedups are demonstrated from the use of space-time parallelization over the time-sequential integration on Couette flow and Stokes’ second problem. On a transient Couette flow case, at least a 1.5× speedup is achieved, and with a time periodic problem, a speedup of up to 13.7× over the time-sequential case is obtained. In both cases, the speedup is achieved by adding processors and exploring additional parallelization in time. The numerical experiments show the algorithm is promising for CFD applications that can take advantage of the time parallelism. Future work will focus on improving the parallel performance and providing more tests with complex fluid dynamics to demonstrate the full potential of the algorithm.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Development and assessment of prognosis digital twin in a NAMAC system

The nearly autonomous management and control (NAMAC) system is a comprehensive control system to assist plant operations by furnishing control recommendations to operators. Prognosis digital twin (DT-P) is a critical component in NAMAC for predicting action effects and supporting NAMAC decision-making during normal and accident scenarios. To quantifying and reducing uncertainty of machine-learning-based DT-Ps in multi-step predictions, this work investigates and derives insights from the application of three techniques for optimizing the performance of DT-P by long short-term memory recurrent neural networks, including manual search, sequential model-based optimization, and physics-guided machine learning. Finally, sequential model-based optimization and physics-guide machine learning result in smallest errors when the predicting transients are similar to the training data.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Building thermal load prediction through shallow machine learning and deep learning

Building thermal load prediction informs the optimization of cooling plant and thermal energy storage. Physics-based prediction models of building thermal load are constrained by the model and input complexity. In this study, we developed 12 data-driven models (7 shallow learning, 2 deep learning, and 3 heuristic methods) to predict building thermal load and compared shallow machine learning and deep learning. The 12 prediction models were compared with the measured cooling demand. It was found XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boost) and LSTM (Long Short Term Memory) provided the most accurate load prediction in the shallow and deep learning category, and both outperformed the best baseline model, which uses the previous day's data for prediction. Then, we discussed how the prediction horizon and input uncertainty would influence the load prediction accuracy. Major conclusions are twofold: first, LSTM performs well in short-term prediction (1 h ahead) but not in long term prediction (24 h ahead), because the sequential information becomes less relevant and accordingly not so useful when the prediction horizon is long. Second, the presence of weather forecast uncertainty deteriorates XGBoost's accuracy and favors LSTM, because the sequential information makes the model more robust to input uncertainty. Training the model with the uncertain rather than accurate weather data could enhance the model's robustness. Finally, our findings have two implications for practice. First, LSTM is recommended for short-term load prediction given that weather forecast uncertainty is unavoidable. Second, XGBoost is recommended for long term prediction, and the model should be trained with the presence of input uncertainty.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

Impact of system parameters and geospatial variables on the reliability of residential systems with PV and energy storage

A reliable power supply is the foundation of modern society, enabling technologies used to function within a society. Residential systems are places where the end users directly consume power, enabling technologies to sustain life. With the emergence of behind-the-meter resources, the end-users have some control over power supply reliability. The intermittency and variability of these resources impact residential system reliability. In this work, we study the reliability performance of a grid-supplemented residential system with behind-the-meter Distributed Energy Resources(DER) subject to various system parameters and geospatial variables. We propose a multistate reliability model for the behind-the-meter microinverter-based Photo Voltaic (PV) system and integrated inverter-based energy storage (ES) system. A sequential Monte Carlo method is then presented to evaluate the reliability indices for the residential system with behind-the-meter DERs as the main supply and the grid as the backup. The sequential Monte Carlo method is used to analyze the reliability performance of the residential model at the top 100 populous counties of the United States, where actual load and solar irradiance data at the counties is used. In the analysis, the sensitivity of indices to system parameters such as DER size and the sensitivity of the indices to climate zone and gross horizontal irradiation (GHI), which affects the load conditions and the PV output of the residential system, is performed. The analysis results show that the system parameters and the geospatial variables significantly impact the residential system’s reliability. The insights from this analysis will be of immense value to the distribution system planners to provide zone-specific guidelines for DER system sizing and toward the evolution of utility business models. Finally, the methodology developed can be used to extend the analysis to other locations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Time-periodic steady-state solution of fluid-structure interaction and cardiac flow problems through multigrid-reduction-in-time

In this study, a time-periodic MGRIT algorithm is proposed as a means to reduce the time-to-solution of numerical algorithms by exploiting the time periodicity inherent to many applications in science and engineering. The time-periodic MGRIT algorithm is applied to a variety of linear and nonlinear single- and multiphysics problems that are periodic-in-time. It is demonstrated that the proposed parallel-in-time algorithm can obtain the same time-periodic steady-state solution as sequential time-stepping. It is shown that the required number of MGRIT iterations can be estimated a priori and that the new MGRIT variant can significantly and consistently reduce the time-to-solution compared to sequential time-stepping, irrespective of the number of dimensions, linear or nonlinear PDE models, single-physics or coupled problems and the employed computing resources. The numerical experiments demonstrate that the time-periodic MGRIT algorithm enables a greater level of parallelism yielding faster turnaround, and thus, facilitating more complex and more realistic problems to be solved.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Parallel derivative-free optimization for simulation-based design of behind-the-meter energy systems

In this work, the integrated design and dispatch of behind-the-meter or distributed resources (e.g. stationary battery storage and solar PV generation) is considered. A simulation-based framework is employed, generating high-fidelity results with closed-loop predictive control at a fine resolution, at the expense of high computational cost (several minutes to a few hours per design point). To address this challenge, parallel derivative-free design methods are considered. Four methods are compared, including state-of-the-art surrogate-based methods (Radial-Basis Functions and Gaussian processes) and sampling strategies, an evolutionary-based method, and a simple sequential grid refinement method. As a case study, two types of design problem with increasing complexity are considered, namely, the design of behind-the-meter resources (three design variables) and the inclusion of grid capacity (four design variables). The second yields a constrained design problem for which violations can only be determined after solving the computationally expensive simulation. For the three-dimensional case, all methods present a good performance, achieving a solution within 1% of the optimum after the first iteration, with the sequential grid refinement exhibiting the fastest convergence and achieving the best final objective value. This indicates that the parallel evaluation of multiple sampling points may be more important than the choice of method for small decision spaces. For the four-dimensional constrained case, the Genetic Algorithm presents the best tradeoff between performance and computational effort, while the rough objective function terrain generated by constraint violation penalties reduces the performance of surrogate-based methods. Contour plots with flat regions indicate flexibility in the optimal design and highlight the importance of characterizing the solution space.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2026

Phenomena-based graph representations and applications to chemical process simulation

Rapid and robust simulation of chemical processes is critical to conduct process design, optimization, techno-economic analysis, and sustainability analysis. Yet, efficiently solving simulation models remains a challenge due to the highly coupled and nonlinear nature of the underlying algebraic equations that capture the physical phenomena taking place in the process (e.g., material and energy conservation, phase equilibrium, reactions). In this work, we show that graph-theoretic representations of the physical phenomena within unit operations can help navigate and decompose equations to systematically identify alternative approaches for fast and robust numerical solutions. Specifically, we present a graph-theoretic abstraction that captures the connectivity between the model variables/equations and use this abstraction to group variables/equations into fundamental phenomena. We show that phenomena-based decomposition of the underlying equations can help decouple nonlinearities and enforce material/energy conservation at the process level to accelerate convergence. The proposed decomposition approach differs from the more traditional sequential modular simulation approach, in which equations are grouped and decomposed by unit operations. We implemented the phenomena-based decomposition in BioSTEAM—an open-source process simulation platform in Python—and demonstrated that this approach can converge a variety of separation process models. Compared to sequential modular simulation, the phenomena-based approach can converge idealized systems faster, but it can be slower for (or even fail to converge) highly coupled and nonideal process systems.

Convergence↗
DOE OSTI2023

On the use of a multigrid-reduction-in-time algorithm for multiscale convergence of turbulence simulations

Simulations of turbulent flow present challenges in terms of accuracy and affordability on modern highly-parallel computer architectures. A multigrid-reduction-in-time algorithm is used to provide a framework for separately evolving different scales of turbulence and for parallelizing the temporal domain, thereby increasing the concurrency. It is hypothesized that the space–time locality of the small scales of turbulence can be used to circumvent difficulties in applying temporal multigrid to flows dominated by inertial physics. For algorithms that fall well short of spectral accuracy (fourth-order is used in this work) attention must be paid to the accuracy of features on scales transferred between multigrid levels. Numerical experiments were performed using implicit large-eddy simulation. Results from applying the approach to an infinite-Reynolds number Taylor–Green flow and a double-shear flow at a Reynolds number of 11650 provide strong evidence that the approach has merit. The multigrid-reduction-in-time framework can be used to parallelize the temporal domain of a high-Reynolds-number turbulent flow and permit independent convergence of different scales. Establishing this foundation allows for future research in reducing the wall-clock time to solve turbulent flows while retaining the same accuracy as sequential solvers. In conclusion, current performance results from parallelizing the temporal domain are not competitive with those from sequential-in-time methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Core-shell structured tow-pregs enabled additive manufacturing of continuously reinforced thermoset composites

One of the major challenges in thermally curable polymer composite additive manufacturing is the slow curing time of thermally curable resins, coupled with a significant drop in thermoset viscosity upon heating, making the formation of complex shapes difficult. To tackle these issues, we have introduced a novel rapid composite preformation strategy called Tow-Preg Cladding (TPC). This technique involves the use of a thin and rapidly curable dual-cure resin, which combines a thermally curable resin (such as epoxy) with a fast photo-curable resin. The dual-cure resin is applied as a coating over a thermally curable resin tow-preg, enabling the formation of a rigid cladding that supports and shapes the tow-pregs into the desired geometries and patterns. The key advantage of this approach lies in the sequential formation of an interpenetrating polymer network (IPN) at the interlayer between laminates, resulting from the curing of the photocurable resin and the thermally curable resin sequentially. This IPN formation enhances interlaminar bonding in the composite, contributing to its overall strength and performance. The composites produced using this technique exhibited impressive mechanical properties, including longitudinal tensile strength of 1058.2 MPa, longitudinal tensile modulus of 74.2 GPa, flexural strength of 1080.4 MPa, and flexural modulus of 41.7 GPa. Overall, our Tow-Preg Cladding approach shows great promise in overcoming the challenges associated with thermally curable polymer composite additive manufacturing. It offers a viable solution to creating strong, shape-specific thermoset composites efficiently with enhanced mechanical properties.

42 ENGINEERING↗