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At least 757 records · Page 42

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DOE OSTI2023

Implementation of AI/DEEP learning disruption predictor into a plasma control system

Abstract This paper reports on advances in the state‐of‐the‐art deep learning disruption prediction models based on the Fusion Recurrent Neural Network (FRNN) originally introduced in a 2019 NATURE publication [ https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586‐019‐1116‐4 ]. In particular, the predictor now features not only the “disruption score,” as an indicator of the probability of an imminent disruption, but also a “sensitivity score” in real time to indicate the underlying reasons for the imminent disruption. This adds valuable physics interpretability for the deep learning model and can provide helpful guidance for control actuators now implemented into a modern plasma control system (PCS). The advance is a significant step forward in moving from modern deep learning disruption prediction to real‐time control and brings novel AI‐enabled capabilities relevant for application to the future burning plasma ITER system. Our analyses use large amounts of data from JET and DIII‐D vetted in the earlier NATURE publication. In addition to “when” a shot is predicted to disrupt, this paper addresses reasons “why” by carrying out sensitivity studies. FRNN is accordingly extended to use more channels of information, including measured DIII‐D signals such as (i) the “n1rms” signal that is correlated with the n = 1 modes with finite frequency, including neoclassical tearing mode and sawtooth dynamics; (ii) the bolometer data indicative of plasma impurity control; and (iii) “q‐min”—the minimum value of the safety factor relevant to the key physics of kink modes. The additional channels and interpretability features expand the ability of the deep learning FRNN software to provide information about disruption subcategories as well as more precise and direct guidance for the actuators in a PCS.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Input-response space-filling designs

Traditional space-filling designs are a convenient way to explore throughout an input space of flexible dimension and have design points close to any region where future predictions might be of interest. In some applications, there may be a model connecting the input factors to the response(s), which provides an opportunity to consider the spacing not only in the input space but also in the response space. In this paper, we present an approach for leveraging current understanding of the relationship between inputs and responses to generate designs that allow the experimenter to flexibly balance the spacing in these two regions to find an appropriate design for the experimental goals. Applications where good spacing of the observed response values include calibration problems where the goal is to demonstrate the adequacy of the model across the range of the responses, sensitivity studies where the outputs from a submodel may be used as inputs for subsequent models, and inverse problems where the outputs of a process will be used in the inverse prediction for the unknown inputs. Here, we use the multi-objective optimization method of Pareto fronts to generate multiple non-dominated designs with different emphases on the input and response space-filling criteria from which the experimenter can choose. The methods are illustrated through several examples and a chemical engineering case study.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2022

Radioxenon signatures of molten salt reactors

Developments of molten salt reactor (MSR) technologies are making rapid progress across the globe. These reactor designs involve properly controlling radionuclides through off-gas systems. This work examines radioxenon emissions and assesses treaty detection technology to be used for monitoring. This work also includes a sensitivity study with ORIGEN on the nuclear forensic signals possible from a MSR. Multiple Isotope Ratio Comparison (MIRC) plots are used to compare the ratios of radioxenon isotopes in an MSR to a highly enriched uranium (HEU) reactor. Finally, the results show that MSR emissions may significantly overlap with signals produced in a HEU reactor and that changing reactor operations or retaining emissions in an off-gas system can significantly shift the radioxenon signature away from the HEU pulse.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

DOE OSTI2021

Scalable modular dynamic molten salt reactor system model with decay heat

Nodal dynamic models allow rapid reduced-order simulations of complex systems. This paper presents a publicly available system dynamic model of a molten salt reactor system with a topology of the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment (MSRE), in MATLAB/Simulink, building upon a model previously published and validated with MSRE data. It adds scaling of nominal power, dynamic representation of decay heat generation, a generic decay heat removal system, improved documentation, modularity, and test cases. One hour of system transient runs in less than 10 min on a laptop. This model is intended for first order engineering calculations, developing insights into system transient behavior, equipment sizing, parameter sensitivity studies. The model contains an easy to use toolkit which can be customized and expanded to describe any molten salt reactor system. Finally, scenarios involving off-normal transients are presented. Relation between shutdown reactivity insertions, decay heat removal, core recriticality, and safe shutdown conditions are discussed.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2022

High bias machine learning for antineutrino-based safeguards for small reactors

The statistical methods used for antineutrino detection will need to be improved to effectively monitor the inventory of next-generation nuclear reactors. In this sensitivity study, we evaluate machine learning models compared to previously used statistical approaches to identify diversion scenarios in a simulated Advanced Fast Reactor (AFR)-100. A chi-square goodness-of-fit technique, which individually compares the simulated antineutrino yields to the expected antineutrino yield, resulted in precise but low diversion detection probability. Various support vector machine (SVM) models were applied with diverse training datasets to evaluate the robustness of the method towards unexpected or “unseen” diversion scenarios. Furthermore, our results indicate that while the SVM models significantly improved the detection probability of near-field antineutrino-based safeguards, up to a probability of ~0.04, for the simulated small reactor, the detection system still needs improvements to reach the 0.2 detection limit established by the International Atomic Energy Agency.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

DOE OSTI2023

Discrete element simulation of Pebble Bed Reactors on graphics processing units

Prediction of pebble positions in a Pebble Bed Reactor (PBR) is necessary for both reactor physics and thermal hydraulics simulations as the arrangement of pebbles has a significant impact on the resulting core power, coolant flow, and fuel temperature. Knowledge of pebble movement as the fuel is cycled through the core is also critical for predicting the fuel residence time and subsequently, the fuel burnup. Simulation with the Discrete Element Method (DEM) can provide knowledge of both the fuel packing and the fuel movement during cycling. Previous works that have performed 3D full-core DEM simulation of PBRs have used simplified models that neglect reflector wall features. This work employs a graphics processing unit (GPU)-enabled DEM code, Project Chrono, to analyze the differences in pebble packing and pebble velocities between a simplified smooth PBR reflector and a more realistic reflector that includes circular wall features. Additionally, a sensitivity study is performed on the depth of the wall features to ensure that crystallization is prevented. Project Chrono is also validated for PBR cycling applications using experimental data. It is found that wall features with a depth of at least 0.5 pebble diameters significantly reduce crystallization in the near-wall region, leading to discrepancies in both packing fraction and pebble velocity in this region compared to the simplified reflector models. These discrepancies are found to lead to roughly a 5–10% difference in the prediction of the near-wall porosity and a 10% difference in the prediction of the velocity of pebbles near the wall. As a result of these discrepancies, it is suggested that future DEM simulations of PBRs include wall features to reduce modeling errors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

DOE OSTI2024

A realistic TRACE PWR LOCA model with application to high-burnup analysis

This paper presents a TRACE model of a postulated large-break loss-of-coolant accident (LBLOCA) event in a four-loop pressurized water reactor (PWR). The input files have been made publicly available and serve as a starting point for researchers to improve upon or apply to their purposes. The model, based on a legacy PWR model, contains numerous improvements and modifications consistent with US Nuclear Regulatory Commission LBLOCA analysis guidelines. The model is applied to analyze high-burnup (>62 GWD/MTU) fuel behavior during LBLOCA, improving on previous work to provide realistic thermal hydraulic predictions for future fuel performance analyses and experiments related to fission fragment, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD). Sensitivity studies are presented to quantify the impact of the vessel-modeling approach, core radial discretization, and other phenomena. In conclusion, the model is intended for research purposes and contains sufficient plant geometric, operational, and safety system details to represent the main physical phenomena pertaining to LBLOCA.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2016

Assessment of advanced solvent-based post-combustion CO 2 capture processes using a bi-objective optimization technique

We report the optimized performance of two advanced CO 2 capture processes is compared to that of a monoethanolamine (MEA) baseline for a gas-powered CO 2 capture retrofit of an existing coal-fired facility. The advanced temperature-swing processes utilize piperazine and mixed-salt solvents. The mixed-salt treatment involves the use of ammonia for CO 2 absorption and potassium carbonate primarily to control ammonia slip. The processes are represented in terms of energy duty requirements within a modular heat integration code developed for CO 2 capture modeling and optimization. The model includes a baseload coal plant, a gas-fired subsystem containing gas turbines and a heat recovery steam generator (HRSG), and a CO 2 capture facility. A formal bi-objective optimization procedure is applied to determine the design (e.g., detailed HRSG components and pressure levels, gas turbine capacity, CO 2 capture capacity) and time-varying operations of the facility to simultaneously maximize net present value (NPV) and minimize total capital requirement (TCR), while meeting a maximum CO 2 emission intensity constraint. For a realistic scenario constructed using historical data, optimization results indicate that both advanced processes outperform MEA in both objectives, and the mixed-salt process in turn outperforms the piperazine process. Specifically, for the scenario considered, the base case mixed-salt process achieves 16% greater NPV and 14% lower TCR than the MEA process, and 10% greater NPV and 5% lower TCR than the piperazine process. A five-case sensitivity study of the mixed-salt process indicates that it is competitive with the piperazine process and consistently outperforms the MEA process.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2023

Opportunities for wave energy in bulk power system operations

Wave energy resources have high, yet largely untapped potential as candidate generation technology. In this paper, we perform a data-driven analysis to characterize the impact of wave energy integration on bulk-scale power systems and market operations. Through data-driven sensitivity studies centered on an optimization-based production cost modeling formulation, our work characterizes the inflection point beyond which wave integration starts impacting power system operations, considering present day transmission infrastructure. Furthermore, our analysis also considers the joint effects of wave energy integration and system-wide transmission expansion. Finally, potential resilience scenarios such as wildfire-driven transmission contingencies and heat wave events are investigated, whereby the contributions of grid-integrated wave energy in alleviating the effects of the resilience events are analyzed. As our demonstration test bed, we consider a reduced-order network topology for the U.S. Western Interconnection with wave energy generation integrated at carefully selected sites across the coastal areas of Washington, Oregon, and northern California. Our results indicate that over a representative year of operations, wave energy integration systematically reduces locational marginal prices (LMPs) of energy and price volatility, especially during periods of high wave resource availability (winter months for the U.S. west coast). Average, maximum, and minimum of hourly LMPs over a typical year of operation was reduced by 2.95, 51.28, and 1.13 $\$$/MWh respectively (over a baseline scenario with no wave energy integration), when the selected network model had a total of 5000 MW wave power installed capacity during the representative year of study. The effects of wave energy integration can remain localized with existing transmission infrastructure (identified to be most pronounced in the Pacific Northwest region in the example we studied). However, with concurrent transmission expansion, the impacts of wave energy integration are likely to have a higher geographical spread. Our results also indicate that wave energy may be able to assist power system operations during resilience events such as major transmission contingencies and heat wave events, although such benefits might be dependent on factors such as proximity of affected area to wave resources, availability of adequate resource potential and adequate transmission capacity.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

DOE OSTI2015

A 2.5D Computational Method to Simulate Cylindrical Fluidized Beds

In this paper, the limitations of axisymmetric and Cartesian two-dimensional (2D) simulations of cylindrical gas-solid fluidized beds are discussed. A new method has been proposed to carry out pseudo-two-dimensional (2.5D) simulations of a cylindrical fluidized bed by appropriately combining computational domains of Cartesian 2D and axisymmetric simulations. The proposed method was implemented in the open-source code MFIX and applied to the simulation of a lab-scale bubbling fluidized bed with necessary sensitivity study. After a careful grid study to ensure the numerical results are grid independent, detailed comparisons of the flow hydrodynamics were presented against axisymmetric and Cartesian 2D simulations. Furthermore, the 2.5D simulation results have been compared to the three-dimensional (3D) simulation for evaluation. This new approach yields better agreement with the 3D simulation results than with axisymmetric and Cartesian 2D simulations.

Li, Tingwen↗

DOE OSTI2018

Verification and validation of residual stresses in composite structures

Process-induced residual stresses occur in composite structures composed of dissimilar materials. As these residual stresses could result in fracture, their consideration when designing composite parts is necessary. However, the experimental determination of residual stresses in prototype parts can be time and cost prohibitive. Alternatively, it is possible for computational tools to predict potential residual stresses. Therefore, the objectives of the presented work are to demonstrate an efficient method for simulating residual stresses in composite parts, as well as the potential value of statistical methods during analyses for which material properties are unknown. Specifically, a simplified residual stress modeling approach is implemented within Sandia National Laboratories’ SIERRA/SolidMechanics code. Concurrent with the model development, bi-material composite structures are designed and manufactured to exhibit significant residual stresses. Then, the presented modeling approach is rigorously verified and validated through simulations of the bi-material composite structures’ manufacturing processes, including a mesh convergence study, sensitivity analysis, and uncertainty quantification. The simulations’ final results show adequate agreement with the experimental measurements, indicating the validity of a simple modeling approach, as well as a necessity for the inclusion of material parameter uncertainty in the final residual stress predictions.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

An improved methodology for modeling short pulse buried layer x-ray emission spectra

Radiation-hydrodynamic and spectroscopic modeling are important aspects of high energy density experimental design. In this paper, we improve the performance and capabilities over those obtainable with a previous methodology used for simulating x-ray emission spectra from buried layer targets heated by short pulse lasers. The improvement incorporates post-processing HYDRA radiation-hydrodynamic output with a non-local thermodynamic equilibrium atomic-kinetics radiation transport code, Cretin. Each code uses an independent radiation field which allows decoupling HYDRA's radiation group structure from Cretin's spectral output to improve the speed and flexibility of the design methodology. The execution time decreases from 2–3 days to a few hours while the flexibility of the improved methodology allows for performing sensitivity studies including a comparison of steady-state and time-dependent atomic kinetics and differences in the radiation group structure.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Utilization of waste heat from a commercial GT for freshwater production, cooling and additional power: Exergoeconomic analysis and optimization

In this work, a multigeneration system is proposed for power, cooling and freshwater production. The waste heat from a SIEMENS SGT6-2000E GT is utilized to drive a supercritical CO 2 recompression Brayton cycle (SCRBC) and multi-effect desalination (MED) with thermal vapor compressor (TVC), while the waste heat from the pre-cooler of the SCRBC is utilized to drive an absorption cooling cycle. Detailed thermodynamic, exergy and exergoeconomic analyses are performed for the proposed multigeneration system using Engineering Equation Solver (EES). A sensitivity study is also performed to study the effects of the main operational parameters on the proposed system performance. Finally, multi-objective optimization using a genetic algorithm approach in EES is carried out to reach the optimal design. The proposed system can consume 34.2% less energy input and reduce CO 2 emission by 39.3% compared to the stand-alone systems for power, cooling and freshwater production. The results show that the energy utilization factor and exergy efficiency of the proposed system are improved by 33.6% and 14.3%, respectively, while the total unit product cost is reduced by 11.3% compared to the stand-alone GT cycle. Further, from exergoeconomic optimization, the proposed system can produce 132.4 MW of power, 7.09 MW of cooling and 650 kg/s of freshwater at energy utilization factor of 57.5%, exergy efficiency of 39.7% and total unit product cost of 16.3 $/GJ.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Component-based SHGC determination of BIPV glazing for product comparison

Building-integrated photovoltaic (BIPV) systems are intrinsically designed to generate electricity and to provide at least one building-related function. When BIPV modules act as glazing products in windows, skylights or curtain walls, their ability to control the transmission of solar energy into the building must be characterised by a Solar Heat Gain Coefficient (SHGC) or g value (also known as Total Solar Energy Transmittance – TSET – or “solar factor”). For the comparison of BIPV glazing products consisting of one PV laminate and possibly further, conventional glazing layers separated by gas-filled cavities, the procedures documented in international standards for architectural glazing (e.g. ISO 9050 and EN 410) form a suitable starting point. Easily implemented modifications to these procedures are proposed to take both optical inhomogeneity (if relevant) and extraction of electricity from BIPV glazing units into account. Geometrically complex glazing and shading devices, and light-scattering glazing layers, are outside the scope of the proposed methodology; SHGC determination for obliquely incident solar radiation is also excluded. For these cases, the experimental calorimetric approach documented in [ISO 19467:2017; ISO 19467-2:2021] is recommended. The paper also presents results and conclusions from an implementation exercise and sensitivity study carried out by participants of the IEA-PVPS Task 15 on BIPV. The cell coverage ratio in the PV laminate, the thermal resistance offered by the glazing configuration, the choice of boundary conditions and the effect of extracting electricity were all identified as parameters which significantly affect the SHGC value determined for a given type of BIPV glazing. A practicable approach to accommodate the great variety of dimensions typical for BIPV glazing is also proposed. These findings should pave the way for modifying the existing component-based standards for architectural glazing to take the specific features of BIPV glazing into account.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

High performance protonic ceramic fuel cell systems for distributed power generation

The technology landscape around distributed generation continues to evolve in response to increasing demand for high-efficiency, low-emission, low-cost power generation. While emerging distributed power technologies, such as solid oxide fuel cells (SOFCs), continue to advance, they still face challenges due to their high capital costs, and shorter lifetimes that typically arise from electrochemical stack performance degradation at high operating temperatures (>750 °C). Recent advancements in protonic ceramic fuel cells (PCFCs) offer the potential to mitigate drawbacks of their higher temperature SOFC counterparts by enabling lower operating temperatures (550 °C–600 °C) with acceptable power densities. Here the present work leverages the recent progress in protonic ceramic cell and stack technology development to generate viable system configurations and evaluate the energetic performance potential of PCFC-based systems for stationary power generation. Process system engineering of two water-neutral system concepts, which provide 25 kW of electric power and process hot water, are presented and evaluated through sensitivity studies. Stack design parameters are altered and used to gauge the effect on system performance characteristics, including fuel cell stack and balance-of-plant sizing requirements, and electric and cogeneration efficiencies. The study finds that the potentially high per-pass fuel utilization capability of PCFC stacks could enable unprecedented electric efficiencies approaching 70% without hybridization with other prime movers.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2014

Integrated inertial fusion energy chamber dynamics and response

Here, this paper presents results of three-dimensional hydrodynamics simulations of the flow inside a model inertial fusion energy (IFE) fusion chamber. Turbulence modeling employing the large-eddy simulation approach is used to estimate the gas dynamics, state, and mixing after a sufficiently large number of target ignitions. The rich radiation-flow physics that takes place immediately after the lasers hit the hohlraum is modeled separately using a high-fidelity one-dimensional model, which provides reference conditions for the complex geometry three-dimensional turbulence simulations. The IFE geometry includes optical ports and recirculation openings as well as a duct to evacuate the debris produced after each energy deposition (as a model of a laser shot). Furthermore, a selected set of sensitivity studies are conducted to estimate the effect of uncertainty in radiative properties of the Xenon gas at the prevalent conditions in the chamber. The results provide guidance regarding the turbulence conditions in the chamber, which seem to have entered a decay state immediately before a new shot takes place. Computational estimates of the density variability within the chamber as well as pressure history at the approximate location of the laser optical ports is presented among other turbulence statistics.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2019

Precision measurement of relative permittivity of aluminum oxide for a high power resonant waveguide window with low return loss

An iterative method of estimating permittivity and window thickness with high precision is developed for half wavelength resonant waveguide windows for use in a lower hybrid launcher for DIII-D. The high Q factor of half-wavelength windows results in extreme sensitivity of return loss on small deviations in permittivity. Permittivity and loss tangent measurements of Morgan AL-995 99.5% aluminum oxide ceramic using a waveguide resonant cavity per ASTM D2520-13 determine variation of permittivity with frequency. Measurement of window resonant frequency in conjunction with the slope of permittivity from waveguide cavity measurements determine required thickness of a resonant window within 5 MHz of the desired resonant frequency. Methods to improve measurement accuracy of resonant peaks on a vector network analyzer are discussed. A sensitivity study to dimensional variations in window or sample rod geometry, and shift in resonant frequency due to RF heating of the window material is conducted.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2017

How to sustain a CO 2 -thermosiphon in a partially saturated geothermal reservoir: Lessons learned from field experiment and numerical modeling

CO 2 has been proposed as a working fluid for geothermal energy production because of its ability to establish a self-sustaining CO 2 thermosiphon, taking advantage of the strong temperature dependence of CO 2 density. To test the concept of CO 2 heat extraction, in January 2015 a CO 2 thermosiphon was operated at the SECARB Cranfield Site, Cranfield, Mississippi, where a brine-saturated sand at a depth of 3.2 km has been under near continuous CO 2 flood since December 2009 as part of a U.S. Department of Energy demonstration of CO 2 sequestration, resulting in a partially saturated reservoir surrounding a well pair. The lateral distance between the producer and injector was 112 m at reservoir depth, a distance considered pre-commercial in scale, but great enough that thermal breakthrough was still not significant after several years of injection. Instead of producing power with a turbine, heat was extracted heat from recirculated fluid using a heat exchanger and portable chiller. The well field and surface equipment were instrumented to compare field observations with predicted responses from numerical models. Thermosiphon flow could be initiated by venting, but thereafter flow rate steadily declined, indicating that the thermosiphon was not sustainable. To model the system, the capability of T2Well, a fully coupled wellbore/reservoir numerical simulator, was expanded to enable simulation of the entire loop of fluid circulation in the fully-coupled system consisting of the injection/production wells, the reservoir, and the surface devices (heat exchanger, flow-rate regulator etc.). Combined with the newly developed TOUGH2 equation of state module called EOS7CMA, the enhanced T2 Well was used prior to the field experiment to simulate the circulation of a CO 2 -H 2 O-CH 4 mixture in a model geothermal system patterned after the Cranfield demonstration test. The model predicted that a sustainable thermosiphon could be achieved. After the field thermosiphon did not achieve the pre-test prediction of flow rates and thermosiphon sustainability, the numerical model was modified to improve realism and calibrate certain processes; it was then able to reproduce the major phenomena observed in the field. In a series of sensitivity studies, many factors were found that could potentially contribute to the failing of a sustainable thermosiphon. These factors could be categorized as two types: factors that increase the resistance to flow and factors that increase heat loss of the working fluid. In conclusion, the lessons learned can be applied to both future modeling and to achieving CO 2 -based geothermal reservoir exploitation.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗