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At least 757 records · Page 42

Identifying atmospheric rivers and their poleward latent heat transport with generalizable neural networks: ARCNNv1

Abstract. Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are extreme weather events that can alleviate drought or cause billions of US dollars in flood damage. By transporting significant amounts of latent energy towards the poles, they are crucial to maintaining the climate system's energy balance. Since there is no first-principle definition of an AR grounded in geophysical fluid mechanics, AR identification is currently performed by a multitude of expert-defined, threshold-based algorithms. The variety of AR detection algorithms has introduced uncertainty into the study of ARs, and the thresholds of the algorithms may not generalize to new climate datasets and resolutions. We train convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to detect ARs while representing this uncertainty; we name these models ARCNNs. To detect ARs without requiring new labeled data and labor-intensive AR detection campaigns, we present a semi-supervised learning framework based on image style transfer. This framework generalizes ARCNNs across climate datasets and input fields. Using idealized and realistic numerical models, together with observations, we assess the performance of the ARCNNs. We test the ARCNNs in an idealized simulation of a shallow-water fluid in which nearly all the tracer transport can be attributed to AR-like filamentary structures. In reanalysis and a high-resolution climate model, we use ARCNNs to calculate the contribution of ARs to meridional latent heat transport, and we demonstrate that this quantity varies considerably due to AR detection uncertainty.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Atmospheric-river-induced precipitation in California as simulated by the regionally refined Simple Convective Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM) Version 0

Abstract. Using the regionally refined mesh (RRM) configuration of the US Department of Energy's Simple Cloud-Resolving Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Atmosphere Model (SCREAM), we simulate and evaluate four meteorologically distinct atmospheric river events over California. We test five different RRM configurations, each differing in terms of the areal extent of the refined mesh and the resolution (ranging from 800 m to 3.25 km). We find that SCREAM RRM generally has a good representation of the AR-generated precipitation in CA, even for the control simulation which has a very small 3 km refined patch, and is able to capture the fine-scale regional distributions that are controlled largely by the fine-scale topography of the state. It is found that SCREAM generally has a wet bias over topography, most prominently over the Sierra Nevada mountain range, with a corresponding dry bias on the lee side. We find that refining the resolution beyond 3 km (specifically 1.6 km and 800 m) has virtually no benefit towards reducing systematic precipitation biases but that improvements can be found when increasing the areal extent of the upstream refined mesh. However, these improvements are relatively modest and only realized if the size of the refined mesh is expanded to the scale where employing RRM no longer achieves the substantial cost benefit it was intended for.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Interplay of changing irrigation technologies and water reuse: example from the upper Snake River basin, Idaho, USA

Abstract. Careful allotment of water resources for irrigation is critical for ensuring the resiliency of agriculture in semiarid regions, and modernizing irrigation technology to minimize inefficient water losses is an important tool for farmers and agricultural economies. While modernizing irrigation technology can achieve reductions in the nonbeneficial use of water, such as bare soil evaporation and nonconsumptive losses, water returned to the landscape is also reduced, often eliminating flow paths that other users rely on. In basins using a combination of surface and groundwater, replenishing aquifer storage by the managed aquifer recharge (MAR) of seasonally available water can mitigate the aquifer drawdown that results from reduced recharge when irrigation efficiency is improved. We examine the effects of MAR on the system-scale efficiency of modernizing irrigation technology and the resulting changes in the reuse of nonconsumptive losses, using a macroscale hydrologic model applied to the semiarid upper Snake River basin (USRB) of western Wyoming and southern Idaho, USA. Irrigation technologies were represented explicitly in the model, and available data informed baseline parameterizations of the irrigation technology. A suite of parameterizations were simulated that updated the existing technologies to be more efficient, both with and without sufficient MAR to cause a stabilization of the aquifer at the present-day head. As expected, simulated changes in irrigation technology resulted in greater downstream export of pristine water and a higher rate of aquifer drawdown when MAR was not simulated. Under current water use and cropping patterns, we were not able to simulate aquifer stabilization and maintain discharge downstream at any level of irrigation efficiency. We found support for the hypothesis that, as efficiency improves, less MAR is required to maintain a stable aquifer than when return flows are reduced due to increased efficiency. To evaluate the hypothesis, we defined the management benefit as a metric that compared the difference between the change in irrigation's net recharge and the change in MAR required as irrigation technology became more efficient. The metric generally indicated that less MAR was needed than net recharge was lost, but only for the most efficient case did the management benefit exceed the MAR needed at the baseline to stabilize the aquifer. Increasing efficiency of irrigation technology reduced the reuse of the gross irrigation derived from prior nonconsumptive losses, but simulating MAR increased reuse for a given parameterization, leading to higher effective irrigation efficiency. We find that local groundwater storage that users depend on is generally more sensitive to management decisions than downstream flows, and the drawdown of the aquifer without MAR always exceeded any decrease in discharge induced by MAR. Improving resource sufficiency in semiarid systems like the USRB will require an array of solutions that will need to balance benefits to local and downstream users.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Assessing climate-change-induced flood risk in the Conasauga River watershed: an application of ensemble hydrodynamic inundation modeling

Abstract. This study evaluates the impact of potential future climate change on flood regimes, floodplain protection, and electricity infrastructures across the Conasauga River watershed in the southeastern United States through ensemble hydrodynamic inundation modeling. The ensemble streamflow scenarios were simulated by the Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM) driven by (1) 1981–2012 Daymet meteorological observations and (2) 11 sets of downscaled global climate models (GCMs) during the 1966–2005 historical and 2011–2050 future periods. Surface inundation was simulated using a GPU-accelerated Two-dimensional Runoff Inundation Toolkit for Operational Needs (TRITON) hydrodynamic model. A total of 9 out of the 11 GCMs exhibit an increase in the mean ensemble flood inundation areas. Moreover, at the 1 % annual exceedance probability level, the flood inundation frequency curves indicate a ∼ 16 km2 increase in floodplain area. The assessment also shows that even after flood-proofing, four of the substations could still be affected in the projected future period. The increase in floodplain area and substation vulnerability highlights the need to account for climate change in floodplain management. Overall, this study provides a proof-of-concept demonstration of how the computationally intensive hydrodynamic inundation modeling can be used to enhance flood frequency maps and vulnerability assessment under the changing climatic conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Climatology and surface impacts of atmospheric rivers on West Antarctica

Abstract. Atmospheric rivers (ARs) transport large amounts of moisture from the mid- to high-latitudes and they are a primary driver of the most extreme snowfall events, along with surface melting, in Antarctica. In this study, we characterize the climatology and surface impacts of ARs on West Antarctica, focusing on the Amundsen Sea Embayment and Marie Byrd Land. First, we develop a climatology of ARs in this region, using an Antarctic-specific AR detection tool combined with the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) atmospheric reanalyses. We find that while ARs are infrequent (occurring 3 % of the time), they cause intense precipitation in short periods of time and account for 11 % of the annual surface accumulation. They are driven by the coupling of a blocking high over the Antarctic Peninsula with a low-pressure system known as the Amundsen Sea Low. Next, we use observations from automatic weather stations on Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf with the firn model SNOWPACK and interferometric reflectometry (IR) to examine a case study of three ARs that made landfall in rapid succession from 2 to 8 February 2020, known as an AR family event. While accumulation dominates the surface impacts of the event on Thwaites Eastern Ice Shelf (> 100 kg m−2 or millimeters water equivalent), we find small amounts of surface melt as well (< 5 kg m−2). The results presented here enable us to quantify the past impacts of ARs on West Antarctica's surface mass balance (SMB) and characterize their interannual variability and trends, enabling a better assessment of future AR-driven changes in the SMB.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Metrics tool for for evaluating atmospheric rivers in climate data

The metric tool code is designed for evaluating atmospheric rivers (AR) in climate models and reanalysis. It is python based, with built in metrics of AR frequency, AR precipitation, AR peak day, AR characteristics (width, length, area, latitude and longitude), and output of diagnostic plots. Is there

Dong, Bo↗

WRF East River simulation Oct 2021 - Dec 2022

These are the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) regional climate model simulations for supporting the analysis of temperature, precipitation, and other hydroclimate variables and evaluating SAIL data. The WRF model has three nested domains centered at the SAIL location (East River, Colorado) for the SAIL period from Oct 01, 2021 to Dec 31, 2022. We used the BSU subgrid-scale physics schemes, CFSR meteorological forcing datasets, and the topographic shading radiation schemes in our WRF simulation. Detailed information on the model configuration can be found at https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-437

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Source apportionment of aerosols at the White River IMPROVE site near the SAIL site

This data set contains source apportionment results at the White River IMPROVE site (39.1536, -106.8209), which is about 30 km north of the Surface Atmosphere Integrated Field Laboratory (SAIL) Campaign site. The IMPROVE network (Malm et al. 1994) collected 24-hour aerosol filter samples every three days over several decades at this site. Chemical concentrations in the PM2.5 fraction of 19 elements (Al, As, Br, Ca, Cl, Cr, Cu, Fe, K, Mg, Mn, Na, Ni, Pb, Se, Si, Ti, V, and Zn), along with nitrate, sulfate, elemental carbon (EC), organic carbon (OC), and calculated coarse mass concentrations (PM10−PM2.5 mass concentrations), from 2014 to 2023, were used as input for the PMF analysis. PMF was performed using EPA PMF 5.0 (Norris et al. 2014). A five-factor solution was chosen as the optimal solution. These factors were identified as coarse dust, fine dust, biomass burning, sulfate-dominated, and nitrate-dominated sources. This data set is useful for understanding aerosol sources and their long-term variability near this region.

biomass burning↗

Advancing uncertainty characterization for understanding projected water scarcity in multi-sector, multi-actor river basins across scales.

Invited Talk at AGU Fall Meeting 2023 Modeling how human institutions and infrastructure interact with the water cycle is essential to better understand the vulnerability, and resilience of water resources systems from the local to the global scale. This is especially true when investigating multi-sector, multi-actor responses to the effects of long-term changes and short-term shocks. It is also well recognized that uncertainty present throughout the modeling cycle (e.g., in data, functional relations, and model coupling approaches) limits our ability to trace the interactive dynamics of human-water systems, as well as to quantify their implications for management and planning. Systems with large numbers of diverse stakeholders further compound this challenge, as uncertain drivers and complex dynamics might have very disparate effects on water users. The work presented is conducted through the Integrated Multisector Multiscale Modeling (IM3) Science Focus Area, which explores how human and natural systems co-evolve in response to change. Through this multi-year effort, we have developed exploratory modeling methods to better characterize how the uncertain human and natural drivers of water scarcity yield consequential vulnerabilities in institutionally complex, multi-sectoral systems. This talk will specifically present on a series of uncertainty characterization experiments performed in the Upper Colorado River Basin, a sub-basin of the Colorado with thousands of water users. These complementary and systematic experiments are aimed at understanding: How are various uncertain stressors (e.g., climate change, demand growth) affecting the diverse water users of this basin in terms of water shortage? What are the key drivers of this shortage for each user? Methods and results from this work are used to address additional questions on the ability of adaptation to modulate the effects of these uncertain drivers, and on their compounding effects across spatial scales and through sectoral interactions.

Hadjimichael, Antonia↗

Recent Developments at the Raft River Geothermal Field

The Raft River geothermal field, located in Cassia County in southwestern Idaho, is the site of a Department of Energy Enhanced Geothermal System project. U.S. Geothermal, Inc. currently produces about 11 MWe from Precambrian metamorphic rocks. These lie beneath ~5,000 ft of Quaternary and Tertiary volcaniclastic and volcanic deposits. Maximum temperatures range from 271°F to 300°F. Well RRG-9 ST1, the well targeted for stimulation is located approximately 1 mile south of the main bore field. The open hole section of the well, from 5,551 to 5,900 ft MD, consists of Precambrian Elba Quartzite, the stimulation target, granite and minor diabase. Prior to setting the casing acoustic, gamma ray, and density logs were run. After completing the well, a step rate/step down test was conducted. The maximum injection rate achieved was 18 bpm at a wellhead pressure of 1,150 psig. A borehole televiewer run in the open hole section showed evidence of more than eighty fractures. The majority of these fractures trend from N20⁰W to N20°E and dip from 40° to 60°W. Permeable fractures were encountered in the Elba Quartzite at 5,640-5,660 ft MD. Analysis of the injection test indicates that the minimum in-situ principal stress in this zone is 3,050-3,200 psi, corresponding to a fracture gradient of 0.59-0.62 psi/ft. A discrete fracture network model was developed using measured and inferred fracture orientations, distributions and dimensions. A three-phase stimulation program is proposed for RRG-9 ST-1. During the first two stages, water at 140°F, and later 40°F, will be injected to pre-condition and thermally fracture the reservoir. Here, the third stage will consist of a high rate, large volume conventional hydraulic stimulation.

Bradford, Jacob↗

Critical Minerals from Waste Streams in the Powder River Basin of Wyoming and Montana, USA

Background/Objectives. Critical minerals (CM) are essential for numerous industrial and defense applications, including green technologies that will help to meet carbon emission reduction goals. Many CM are currently mined and processed in countries that lack stringent environmental and labor regulations. Unconventional sources such as existing industrial waste streams could play a part in building an ethical CM supply chain. Additionally, waste streams created in the extraction and processing of CM could be used for other industrial or commercial purposes, thereby reducing waste and advancing a circular economy. Approach/Activities. The Department of Energy funded Powder River Basin (PRB) CORE-CM project is exploring all aspects of the carbon ore, rare earth element (REE), and CM value chain, including the potential for extraction of CM from industrial waste streams in the basin. Waste streams that have potential as CM feedstocks are being inventoried to assess the concentration of CM in each waste stream and to estimate volume and accessibility. Although basin-specific technologies for extraction of CM are still in development, waste streams that may be produced during these processes are being cataloged and mapped to potential secondary uses. Results/Lessons Learned. Initial studies of the CM potential of PRB coal ash show that this waste stream contains concentrations of greater than 300 ppm total REE (Bagdonas et al., 2022, Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews). Moreover, calcium-rich PRB coal ash is amenable to REE extraction (Taggart et al., 2016, Environmental Science and Technology). Wyoming coal is shipped to 28 states, meaning that coal ash produced at power stations across the US represents a potential widespread resource for the extraction of REE. In addition to coal mining and coal fired electricity generation, the PRB is home to other energy industries including oil and gas production, in-situ uranium mining, and bentonite mining. Historically, precious and base metal mining has taken place on the perimeter of the PRB. Waste streams from these industries are currently being evaluated for their CM potential. Assessing the CM resource potential of waste streams could contribute to the development of an ethical CM supply chain. Results from these studies can be replicated for other waste streams, increasing the likelihood of successful creation of circular economies.

Phillips, Erin↗

CRITICAL MINERAL PARTITIONING IN COAL-HOSTED CLAYS OF THE POWDER RIVER BASIN, WY DETERMINED BY SEQUENTIAL EXTRACTION

Increasing demand for a more robust domestic supply of rare earth elements (REE) and critical minerals (CM) has led to significant investigation into unconventional sources. Coal and coal byproducts from the Powder River Basin (PRB) of Wyoming are potential sources of REE and CM. The association between strategic metals and their mineral hosts has important implications for extractability. Samples of overburden, underclays, and clay-rich partings were selected for analysis from core and bucket samples from three PRB coal mines. Quartz, illite, and kaolinite-group minerals are abundant in clay-rich portions of the PRB coal strata. We performed a five-step sequential extraction to constrain critical metal partitioning in samples of overburden and underclays (n=10). Unlike the occurrences of REE in other clay deposits, insignificant amounts of total REE + Y (TREY) were recovered in the ion-exchangeable fraction (< 0.5 ppm). A significant amount of TREY was leached from the acid-soluble fraction by 0.1M HCl, suggesting REE may be tied up within crystal lattices rather than sorbed to clay surfaces. The acid-soluble fraction contained between 3 and 250 ppm TREY, with an average TREY concentration of 60 ppm. Relative standard deviations for each extraction step were generally < ±10%. Whole-rock samples (n=72) contained greater TREY enrichment in overburden than in underclays and partings, however, the opposite is true for other CM, such as Ti and V. Other locations in the PRB show different enrichment trends. Our findings supplement a broader effort to couple REE and CM extraction with existing domestic coal production and contribute to the fundamental understanding of how these metals concentrate in low-temperature basin environments.

Stuart, Sophia↗

CRITICAL MINERAL RESOURCE ASSESSMENT OF COALS FROM THE POWDER RIVER BASIN, WYOMING, USA

Coal and associated sediments are potential sources of Rare Earth Elements (REE) and other critical minerals necessary for many consumer and defense-related products and development of energy technologies. For this study, 15 samples were sourced from Dry Fork Mine within the Powder River Basin near Gillette, Wyoming, to determine REE content along with select transition metals (t-metals) of interest in non-combusted coals and associated sediments. An excavator collected samples along a mine highwall, within benched intervals representing a foot to a few feet of coal strata. Homogenized sample subsets were crushed in an aluminum-ceramic vial, then passed through a 106-micron sieve. Sieved samples were pyrolyzed by a LECO TGA-108, which concurrently measured sample moisture, volatile, and ash content. Residual ash was then fused into a glass bead with lithium metaborate at a 6:1 Li-metaborate to sample ratio and then dissolved in 20% nitric acid. The nitric acid solutions containing digested beads were then diluted and passed through a 0.45 micron syringe filter. Filtered samples were analyzed by ICP-MS for REE and select t-metals. Reagent blanks were analyzed to assess for any potential contamination. Total REE plus Y (REE+Y) concentrations across the 15 samples range from 52 ppm to 1015 ppm with an average of 477 ppm on a dry ash basis. When normalized to upper continental crust (UCC; Taylor and McLennan, 1985) values, 13 of the 15 samples show average enrichment factors (EF) for REE+Y greater than 1. EF values indicate M-type enrichment (Sm through Er), as opposed to distinct preferential enrichment of light or heavy REE. T-metals with the highest average concentrations are V, Cu, Ni, and Zr at 215, 243, 123, and 118 ppm, respectively. Multiple t-metals had EF>1; however, Cu, Ge, and Sb have the highest average EF relative to UCC for t-metals, at 9.7, 8.0, and 17.0, respectively.

Copeland, Grant↗

THE POTENTIAL FOR REUSE OF PRODUCED WATER IN THE CRITICAL MINERALS SUPPLY CHAIN IN THE POWDER RIVER BASIN OF WYOMING AND MONTANA

The Powder River Basin (PRB) Carbon Ore, Rare Earth, and Critical Minerals (CORE-CM) project is part of the Department of Energy sponsored CORE-CM initiative focused on domestic production of critical minerals and promoting economic development in traditionally fossil fuel producing basins. An important part of this project is regional assessment of waste streams and development of basinal strategies for waste stream reuse within the critical minerals (CM) supply chain. The availability of water for all parts of the CM supply chain is of particular concern in the arid mountain west. In the Wyoming PRB, average annual production of produced water (PW) by the oil and gas industry is more than 16 billion gallons (2015-2022). Through published data and engagement with industry partners, we conducted a preliminary investigation of PW in the PRB to understand volumes, quality, and the potential for use in the CM supply chain. PW was assessed for potential as a direct feedstock and for use in CM processing of a variety of conventional and unconventional feedstocks, including ore from the Bear Lodge Alkaline Complex, coal, and coal byproducts. Preliminary findings suggest that PRB PW contains significantly lower concentrations of rare earth elements (REE) and lithium than would be considered economic at this time. For example, concentrations of REE+Sc measured in PRB PW are <1 ppb (DE-EE0007603), and only seven PRB PW samples reported in the USGS PW database had lithium concentrations ≥50 ppm. However, enrichment of CM in residual brine and sludge from PW evaporation and solidification treatment ponds may yield concentrations of interest over a pond lifetime and should be considered in future studies. Coal bed methane (CBM) PW accounted for 42% of all PW in the Wyoming PRB in 2022. Compared to non-CBM PW, PRB CBM water quality generally meets standards allowing surface discharge and reuse in local industries such as livestock. CBM PW may help to fill water needs within the CM supply chain. Understanding the distribution of CBM PW that is discharged versus reused will help develop basinal reuse strategies.

Jackson, Lily↗

Benzenesulfonamide Derivatives as Complexants and Extractants for Addressing the Mercury Problem at the Savannah River Site

Mercury (Hg) is a major global pollutant arising from both natural and anthropogenic sources. Its widespread use in medicinal and industrial applications makes it a common chemical exposure and environmental pollutant. It can exist in several forms which include: Metallic mercury (Hg{sup 0}), mercurous (Hg{sub 2}{sup 2+}), mercuric salts (Hg{sup 2+}), and organic mercury (e.g. CH{sub 3}Hg{sup +}), with the latter being the most toxic of all the species. Due to mercury's high toxicity, new approaches towards its detection has received significant attention in the scientific community. Mercury exposure at the Savannah River Site (SRS) has been a recent concern especially with increasing amounts of organic mercury in the saltstone. It originates mainly from its use as an acidic dissolution catalyst of aluminum cladding from target fuels within the uranium and plutonium processing operations [1]. It is present to an amount of about 60 metric tons in the high-level waste (HLW) tanks. Organic Mercury species have been found in low activity waste (LAW) at the site that eventually ends up in the saltstone. Therefore, there is a need for: i) Converting organic mercury to other less toxic forms and ii) Complexation and removal of Hg prior of disposal of LAW in saltstone. Various methods have been developed for selective sensing of mercury in the presence of other toxic metals. These methods include using ligands that can form organo-soluble metal complexes with different optical and spectroscopic properties that can be used for toxic metal sensing. In 2005, our group pioneered an ion-exchange extraction method, in which o-phenylenediamine-derived disulfonamides were used to complex and selectively extract and sense Pb{sup 2+} from aqueous solutions into an organic phase [2,3]. Herein, a disulfonamide and a bis-dansylamide have been shown to extract, complex and sense Hg(II). Ligand 1: The crystal structure of the disulfonamide-Hg complex confirms the complexation of Hg(II) with the ligand. Complexation was corroborated by the {sup 1}H-NMR spectra obtained after contacting solutions of various concentrations of Hg{sup 2+} with 2 mM ligand in chloroform. Distinct resonances are observed at Hg/L ratio of 0.5 that are also observed for the isolated 1:2 complex. In the presence of excess mercury, new resonances, as well as the movement of Et{sub 3}N resonances indicate the formation of a different Hg-sulfonamide-triethylamine complex, presumably having 1:1 Hg:L stoichiometry. The electronic spectra of aqueous phases after extraction show that there was no free ligand absorption at 0.5 eq of Hg, indicating a complete complexation. Complexation was also confirmed by the UV-visible titrations with Hg{sup 2+} at constant ligand concentration. pH-dependent extraction carried out shows that extraction of Hg(II) by ligand 1 was over 90% for most alkaline pHs. Ligand 2: The crystal structure of the Ligand 2 complex formed with Hg(OAc){sub 2} shows a remarkable coordination pattern with 4:2 metal:ligand stoichiometry. The fluorescent bis-dansyl disulfonamide derivative was found to complex and sense HgCl{sub 2} and Hg(OAc){sub 2} by demonstrating fluorescence quenching upon Hg(II) addition in comparison with other metals (Zn(II), Cd(II), Pb(II)). No were observed for Cu(II), Ag(I) and Co(II). We have shown the complexation of Hg(II) by a disulfonamide and a bis-dansyl disulfonamide ligand using several spectroscopic methods. Ligand 1 was able to extract mercury into chloroform and form a complex in the presence of excess mercury by synergistic complexation with triethylamine acting as a co-ligand. X-ray and NMR both confirm a 1:2 HgL{sub 2} stoichiometry. Ligand 2 can be used for sensing of Hg(II) as fluorescence quenching was observed after addition of Hg(II)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗