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At least 757 records · Page 42

EPIsembleVis: A geo-visual analysis and comparison of the prediction ensembles of multiple COVID-19 models

In this work, we present EPIsembleVis, a web-based comparative visual analysis tool for evaluating the consistency of multiple COVID-19 prediction models. Our approach analyzes a collection of COVID-19 predictions from different epidemiological models as an ensemble and utilizes two metrics to quantify model performance. These metrics include (a) prediction uncertainty (represented as the dispersion of predictions in each ensemble) and (b) prediction error (calculated by comparing individual model predictions with the recorded data). Through an interactive visual interface, our approach provides a data-driven workflow for (a) selecting and constructing the COVID-19 model prediction ensemble based on the spatiotemporal overlap of available predictions of multiple epidemiological models, (b) quantifying the model performance using both the uncertainty of each model prediction ensemble, and the error of each ensemble member that represents individual model predictions, and (c) visualizing the spatiotemporal variability in the projection performance of individual models using a suite of novel ensemble visualization techniques, such as the data availability map, a spatiotemporal textured-tile calendar, multivariate rose chart, and time-series leaflet glyph. We demonstrate the capability of our ensemble visual interface through a case study that investigates the performance of weekly COVID-19 predictions, which are provided through the COVID-19 Forecast Hub UMass-Amherst Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence [47] for the United States and United States Territories. The EPIsembleVis tool is implemented using open-source web technologies and adaptive system design, rendering it interoperable with Elasticsearch and Kibana for automatically ingesting COVID-19 predictions from online repositories, and it is generalizable for analyzing worldwide projections from more epidemiological models.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Solution to PDEs using radial basis function finite-differences (RBF-FD) on multiple GPUs

This paper presents parallelization strategies for the radial basis function-finite difference (RBF-FD) method. As a generalized finite differencing scheme, the RBF-FD method functions without the need for underlying meshes to structure nodes. It offers high-order accuracy approximation and scales as O(N) per time step, with N being with the total number of nodes. To our knowledge, this is the first implementation of the RBF-FD method to leverage GPU accelerators for the solution of PDEs. Additionally, this implementation is the first to span both multiple CPUs and multiple GPUs. OpenCL kernels target the GPUs and inter-processor communication and synchronization is managed by the Message Passing Interface (MPI). We verify our implementation of the RBF-FD method with two hyperbolic PDEs on the sphere, and demonstrate up to 9x speedup on a commodity GPU with unoptimized kernel implementations. On a high performance cluster, the method achieves up to 7x speedup for the maximum problem size of 27,556 nodes.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Medullary Hot-Cross Bun Sign in Multiple System Atrophy-Cerebellar

Multiple-system atrophy (MSA) is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder. It is characterized by dysfunction of multiple systems including autonomic, extrapyramidal, pyramidal and cerebellar. Pontine hot-cross bun (HCB) sign in MSA is a well-documented and highly specific entity. To the best of our knowledge, medullary hot-cross bun (HCB) sign has never been described in literature. Herein, we report a case of MSA-C with medullary HCB sign. Detection of medullary HCB sign might be a surrogate marker in the diagnosis of MSA-C, particularly in the absence of classical pontine HCB sign; however, further research will help to validate this sign.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

On the densification of cubic ZrO{sub 2} nanocondensates by capillarity force and turbostratic C–Si–H multiple shell

A turbostratic C–Si–H lamellar phase with 0.35–0.39 nm interspacing and ZrO{sub 2} condensates having cubic (c), tetragonal and monoclinic structures stabilized by increasing particle size were synthesized by pulsed laser ablation on Zr plate in TEOS and characterized by X-ray/electron diffraction and optical spectroscopy. The c-ZrO{sub 2} phase ca. 10% denser than the ambient lattice was stabilized as 3–10 nm sized cubo-octahedral nanoparticles but as abnormal large-sized (up to 30 nm) ones when encapsulated by the C{sub 1−x}Si{sub x}:H multiple shell with defective graphite-like structure units to exert an effective compressive stress. The potential application of such core–shell nanostructure with enhanced binding of Zr and O ions and implication for natural dynamic occurrence of the C{sub 1−x}Si{sub x}:H phase are addressed. - Graphical abstract: Lattice image of a typical cubic-ZrO{sub 2} particle densified by the turbostratic Si{sub x}C{sub 1−x}:H shell. Highlights: ► Turbostratic C–Si–H lamellar phase and ZrO{sub 2} condensates were synthesized by PLA. ► The c-ZrO{sub 2} phase ca. 10% denser than the ambient lattice was stabilized as 3–10 nm. ► The c-ZrO{sub 2} particles up to 30 nm were densified when encapsulated by the C{sub 1−x}Si{sub x}:H multiple shell. ► Tight ion binding of the c-ZrO{sub 2} due to capillarity force and turbostratic shell.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Multiple temperature-induced magnetization reversals in SmCr{sub 1−x}Fe{sub x}O{sub 3} system

Graphical abstract: - Highlights: • Multiple temperature-induced magnetization reversals were observed in x = 0.1. • Coexistence of normal and inverse magnetocaloric effects was observed. • A reasonable model was proposed to explain the magnetization reversals. - Abstract: The structural and magnetic properties of the SmCr{sub 1−x}Fe{sub x}O{sub 3} (0 ≤ x ≤ 0.5) system have been investigated. Multiple temperature-induced magnetization reversals were observed in x = 0.1. The high-temperature magnetization reversal is due to the special spin structure, in which the net canted moment of the Cr-rich regions and the net moment of the Fe–Cr ordered regions orient in opposite direction; while the low temperature one can be ascribed to the spin reorientation. The sample with x = 0.5 exhibits the highest compensation temperature. Coexistence of normal and inverse magnetocaloric effects was observed in all doped samples. Potential applications in magnetic refrigeration based constant temperature bath near room temperature (∼286 K) have been demonstrated.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A method to measure prompt fission neutron spectrum using gamma multiplicity tagging

In order to improve on current prompt fission neutron spectrum measurements, a gamma multiplicity tagging method was developed at the Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute Gearttner Linear Accelerator Center. This method involves using a coincidence requirement on an array of BaF 2 gamma detectors to determine the timing of a fission event. This allows for much larger fission samples to be used due to the higher penetrability of gammas compared to fission fragments. Additionally, since the method relies on gammas as opposed to fission fragments, the effects of the low level discriminator, used in fission chambers to eliminate alpha events, are not seen. A 252 Cf fission chamber was constructed in order to determine the viability of this method as well as the efficiency when compared to a fission chamber. The implemented multiple gamma tagging method was found to accurately reproduce the prompt fission neutron spectrum for the spontaneous fission of 252 Cf and to detect 30% of fission events.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Multiple bunch HOM evaluation for ERL cavities

In this paper we investigate the effect of the bunch pattern in a linac on the Higher Order Mode (HOM) power generation. The future ERL-based electron–ion collider eRHIC at BNL is used as an illustrative example. This ERL has multiple high current Superconducting Radiofrequency (SRF) 5-cell cavities. The HOM power generated when a single bunch traverses the cavity is estimated by the corresponding loss factor. Multiple re-circulations through the Energy Recovery Linac (ERL) create a specific bunch pattern. In this case the loss factor can be different than the single bunch loss factor. HOM power can vary dramatically when the ERL bunch pattern changes. The HOM power generation can be surveyed in the time and frequency domains. We estimate the average HOM power in a 5-cell cavity with different ERL bunch patterns.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Pillar-structured neutron detector based multiplicity system

This work demonstrates the potential of silicon pillars filled with boron-10 as a sensor technology for a compact and portable neutron multiplicity system. Solid-state, semiconductor based neutron detectors may enable completely new detector form factors, offer an alternate approach to helium-3 based systems, and reduce detector weight and volume requirements. Thirty-two pillar-structured neutron detectors were assembled into a system with an active area of over 20 cm 2 and were used in this work to demonstrate the feasibility of this sensor technology as a potential replacement for helium-3 based gas detectors. Multiplicity measurements were successfully carried out using a californium-252 neutron source, in which the source mass, system efficiency, and die-away time were determined. As a result, this demonstration shows that these solid-state detectors could allow for a more compact and portable system that could be used for special nuclear material identification in the field.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multiple dye interactions in plastic scintillators: Effects on pulse shape discrimination

The scintillation process in plastic scintillators has been studied with mixed systems containing high concentrations of multiple fluorescence dyes. It has been shown that the triplet–triplet interaction phenomena leading to the production of delayed light and pulse shape discrimination (PSD) can vary depending on the triplet energies of the interacting dyes. At small differences between the first excited triplet state energies, found to be below 0.1 eV, a pair of interacting dyes of different molecular species can be involved in heterogeneous excitation migration and triplet–triplet annihilation that result in the enhancement of delayed light and PSD, due to the engagement of both dyes in the process. At differences above 0.27 eV, excitation trapping on the lower energy triplet molecules leads to conditions when triplet–triplet migration and annihilation can proceed only homogeneously between molecules of the same species. The results explain the different effects produced by the selection of fluorescent dyes in previously reported PSD systems containing one primary and one secondary dyes. They also demonstrate a non-traditional approach to the design of new plastic scintillators with multiple dyes that, at improved scintillation and PSD performance, may simplify the production process.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Investigations on the multiple-sector hard-copper X-band accelerating structures

The development of advanced, high gradient accelerating structures is one of the leading activity of the particle accelerator community. In the technological research of new construction methods for these devices, high-power testing is a critical step for the verification of their viability. Recent experiments showed that accelerating cavities made out of hard copper, fabricated without high-temperature processes, can achieve better performance as compared with soft copper ones. Recently, we have built cavities using Tungsten Inert Gas welding and the high-power experiments confirmed that this joining process is a robust and low-cost alternative to brazing or diffusion bonding. This is a good solution for high-gradient operation, with a gradient of about 150 MV/m in X-band, at a breakdown rate of 10 -3 /pulse/meter using a shaped RF pulse with a 150 ns flat part. We continue the design, construction and high power tests of three-cells standing-wave X-band accelerating cavities fabricated with a split-open geometry, made of hard copper and vacuum-sealed by welding. Our aim is the fabrication of accelerating structures made out of hard copper alloys by using innovative cost-effective technologies. Moreover, our method of multiple-sector structures opens the way to new technological approaches and design methods, for example providing the possibility of placing dampers of the parasitic higher-order modes. Such structures with dampers allow for acceleration of multi-bunch beams, both in standing and in travelling-wave accelerating modality. Here, this paper describes the design of two cavities made of multiple sectors that were fabricated at the Italian Institute for Nuclear Physics in Frascati, Italy (INFN-LNF), assembled by means of clamping and then joined with the Tungsten Inert Gas welding in order to preserve the hardness of the metal. These are three-cell standing-wave X-band accelerating cavities, to be operated in the π-mode. We report the low-power RF tests of the first one, made of two halves, and the RF design of the second one, made of four quadrants. Both structures were built for high-gradient tests at SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Number of constituent quark scaling of elliptic flows in high multiplicity p-Pb collisions at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$=5.02TeV

In this work, we briefly summarize our recent study on the number of constituent quark (NCQ) scaling of hadron elliptic flows in high multiplicity p-Pb collisions at $\sqrt{s_{NN}}$ = 5.02 TeV. With the inclusion of hadron production via the quark coalescence model at intermediate p T , the viscous hydrodynamics at low p T , and jet fragmentation at high p T , our Hydro – Coal – Frag model provides a nice description of the p T -spectra and differential elliptic flow v 2 (p T ) of pions, kaons and protons over the pT range from 0 to 6 GeV. Our results demonstrate that including the quark coalescence is essential for reproducing the observed approximate NCQ scaling of hadron v 2 at intermediate p T in experiments, indicating strongly the existence of partonic degrees of freedom and the formation of quark-gluon plasma in high multiplicity p-Pb collisions at the LHC.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Algorithm for extracting multiple object waves without Fourier transform from a single image recorded by spatial frequency-division multiplexing and its application to digital holography

Here, we propose a novel algorithm that does not require any Fourier transform to extract multiple object waves in a single image recorded with spatial frequency-division multiplexing. Smoothing is utilized to extract the desired object-wave information from a spatially multiplexed image. Numerical and experimental results show its validity and applicability for image and Fresnel digital holography. Our investigations clarify the speeding up of both the object-wave extractions and multiple object–image reconstructions quantitatively.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Parallel multiple-chain DRAM MCMC for large-scale geosteering inversion and uncertainty quantification

Geosteering is the proactive control of a wellbore placement based on the downhole measurements, aiming at maximizing economic production from the well. We report the recent development of azimuthal resistivity logging-whiledrilling (LWD) tools have a much larger depth of detection, thus sets higher demands for geosteering inversion as more unknown parameters need to be taken into account in the earth model to be inverted. For complicated nonlinear problems, traditional deterministic inversion methods are more likely to be trapped near local optima. In general, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) inversion methods are more capable of finding the global optimal solution and providing additional uncertainty analyses by sampling from the target distribution. However, MCMC methods usually have the problem of slow convergence. Even though optimization methods like delayed rejection (DR) and adaptive Metropolis (AM) were proposed to speed up the convergence, using MCMC methods to solve geosteering inversion problems may still incur unacceptable time cost. To reduce the sampling cost of MCMC methods, we use parallel multiple-chain DRAM MCMC methods to solve geosteering inverse problems and estimate the corresponding uncertainty. A clustering method, density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN), is applied to select the best solution among many results. Lastly, the simulation results show that running many relatively short MCMC chains for one problem can obtain a similar result as running a long single chain. Besides, avoiding communications between multiple Markov chains during the sampling process yields almost linear scalability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Particle multiplicities in the central region of high-energy collisions from $k_T$-factorization with running coupling corrections

Horowitz and Kovchegov have derived a $k_T$-factorization formula for particle production at small x which includes running coupling corrections. We perform a first numerical analysis to confront the theory with data on the energy and centrality dependence of particle multiplicities at midrapidity in high-energy p+A (and A+A) collisions. Moreover, we point out a strikingly different dependence of the multiplicity per participant on $N$ part in p+Pb vs. Pb+Pb collisions at LHC energies, and argue that the observed behavior follows rather naturally from the convolution of the gluon distributions of an asymmetric vs. symmetric projectile and target.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Methodology for Estimating Solar Potential on Multiple Building Rooftops for Photovoltaic Systems

In this paper, a methodology for estimating solar potential on multiple building rooftops is presented. The objective of this methodology is to estimate the daily or monthly solar radiation potential on individual buildings in a city/region using Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data and a geographic information system (GIS) approach. Conceptually, the methodology is based on the upward-looking hemispherical viewshed algorithm, but applied using an area-based modeling approach. The methodology considers input parameters, such as surface orientation, shadowing effect, elevation, and atmospheric conditions, that influence solar intensity on the earth s surface. The methodology has been implemented for some 212,000 buildings in Knox County, Tennessee, USA. Based on the results obtained, the methodology seems to be adequate for estimating solar radiation on multiple building rooftops. The use of LiDAR data improves the radiation potential estimates in terms of the model predictive error and the spatial pattern of the model outputs. This methodology could help cities/regions interested in sustainable projects to quickly identify buildings with higher potentials for roof-mounted photovoltaic systems.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

3D cloud detection and tracking system for solar forecast using multiple sky imagers

We propose a system for forecasting short-term solar irradiance based on multiple total sky imagers (TSIs). The system utilizes a novel method of identifying and tracking clouds in three-dimensional space and an innovative pipeline for forecasting surface solar irradiance based on the image features of clouds. First, we develop a supervised classifier to detect clouds at the pixel level and output cloud mask. In the next step, we design intelligent algorithms to estimate the block-wise base height and motion of each cloud layer based on images from multiple TSIs. Thus, this information is then applied to stitch images together into larger views, which are then used for solar forecasting. We examine the system’s ability to track clouds under various cloud conditions and investigate different irradiance forecast models at various sites. We confirm that this system can 1) robustly detect clouds and track layers, and 2) extract the significant global and local features for obtaining stable irradiance forecasts with short forecast horizons from the obtained images. Finally, we vet our forecasting system at the 32-megawatt Long Island Solar Farm (LISF). Compared with the persistent model, our system achieves at least a 26% improvement for all irradiance forecasts between one and fifteen minutes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Monoclonal antibodies reveal multiple forms of expression of human microsomal epoxide hydrolase

In a previous study, we developed five kinds of monoclonal antibodies against different portions of human mEH: three, anti-N-terminal; one, anti-C-terminal; one, anti-conformational epitope. Using them, we stained the intact and the permeabilized human cells of various kinds and performed flow cytometric analysis. Primary hepatocytes and peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) showed remarkable differences. On the surface, hepatocytes exhibited 4 out of 5 epitopes whereas PBMC did not show any of the epitopes. mEH was detected inside both cell types, but the most prominent expression was observed for the conformational epitope in the hepatocytes and the two N-terminal epitopes in PBMC. These differences were also observed between hepatocyte-derived cell lines and mononuclear cell-derived cell lines. In addition, among each group, there were several differences which may be related to the cultivation, the degree of differentiation, or the original cell subsets. We also noted that two glioblastoma cell lines reveal marked expression of the conformational epitope on the surface which seemed to correlate with the brain tumor-associated antigen reported elsewhere. Several cell lines also underwent selective permeabilization before flow cytometric analysis, and we noticed that the topological orientation of mEH on the ER membrane in those cells was in accordance with the previous report. However, the orientation on the cell surface was inconsistent with the report and had a great variation between the cells. These findings show the multiple mode of expression of mEH which may be possibly related to the multiple roles that mEH plays in different cells. -- Highlights: ► We examine expression of five mEH epitopes in human cells. ► Remarkable differences exist between hepatocytes and PBMC. ► mEH expression in cell lines differs depending on several factors. ► Some glioblastoma cell lines reveal marked surface expression of mEH. ► Topology of mEH on the cell surface has great variation between the cells.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Cerebroside D, a glycoceramide compound, improves experimental colitis in mice with multiple targets against activated T lymphocytes

In the present paper, we aimed to examine the novel effects of cerebroside D, a glycoceramide compound, on murine experimental colitis. Cerebroside D significantly reduced the weight loss, mortality rate and alleviated the macroscopic and microscopic appearances of colitis induced by dexran sulfate sodium. This compound also decreased the levels of TNF-α, IFN-γ and IL-1β in intestinal tissue of mice with experimental colitis in a concentration-dependent manner, accompanied with markedly increased serum level of IL-10. Cerebroside D inhibited proliferation and induced apoptosis of T cells activated by concanavalin A or anti-CD3 plus anti-CD28 antibodies. The compound did not show an effect on naive lymphocytes but prevented cells from entering S phase and G2/M phase during T cells activation. Moreover, the treatment of cerebroside D led to apoptosis of activated T cells with the cleavage of caspase 3, 9, 12 and PARP. These results showed multiple effects of cerebroside D against activated T cells for a novel approach to treatment of colonic inflammation. Highlights: ► Cerebroside D, a glycoceramide compound, alleviated DSS induced colitis. ► The mechanism of the compound involved multiple effects against activated T cells. ► It regulated cytokine profiles in mice with experimental colitis. ► It prevented T cells from entering S and G2/M phases during activation. ► It led to apoptosis of activated T cells with the cleavage of caspases and PARP.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗