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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2017

IEA EBC annex 53: Total energy use in buildings—Analysis and evaluation methods

One of the most significant barriers to achieving deep building energy efficiency is a lack of knowledge about the factors determining energy use. In fact, there is often a significant discrepancy between designed and real energy use in buildings, which is poorly understood but are believed to have more to do with the role of human behavior than building design. Building energy use is mainly influenced by six factors: climate, building envelope, building services and energy systems, building operation and maintenance, occupants’ activities and behavior, and indoor environmental quality. In the past, much research focused on the first three factors. However, the next three human-related factors can have an influence as significant as the first three. Annex 53 employed an interdisciplinary approach, integrating building science, architectural engineering, computer modeling and simulation, and social and behavioral science to develop and apply methods to analyze and evaluate the real energy use in buildings considering the six influencing factors. Finally, outcomes from Annex 53 improved understanding and strengthen knowledge regarding the robust prediction of total energy use in buildings, enabling reliable quantitative assessment of energy-savings measures, policies, and techniques.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2022

Correlating Time-Resolved Pressure Measurements With Rim Sealing Effectiveness for Real-Time Turbine Health Monitoring

Purge flow is bled from the upstream compressor and supplied to the under-platform region to prevent hot main gas path ingress that damages vulnerable under-platform hardware components. A majority of turbine rim seal research has sought to identify methods of improving sealing technologies and understanding the physical mechanisms that drive ingress. While these studies directly support the design and analysis of advanced rim seal geometries and purge flow systems, the studies are limited in their applicability to real-time monitoring required for condition-based operation and maintenance. As operational hours increase for in-service engines, this lack of rim seal performance feedback results in progressive degradation of sealing effectiveness, thereby leading to reduced hardware life. To address this need for rim seal performance monitoring, this study utilizes measurements from a one-stage turbine research facility operating with true-scale engine hardware at engine-relevant conditions. Time-resolved pressure measurements collected from the rim seal region are regressed with sealing effectiveness through the use of common machine learning techniques to provide real-time feedback of sealing effectiveness. Two modeling approaches are presented that use a single sensor to predict sealing effectiveness accurately over a range of two turbine operating conditions. Here, the results show that an initial purely data-driven model can be further improved using domain knowledge of relevant turbine operations, which yields sealing effectiveness predictions within 3% of measured values.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2019

Ligand dynamics control structure, elasticity, and high-pressure behavior of nanoparticle superlattices

Precise engineering of nanoparticle superlattices (NPSLs) for energy applications requires a molecular-level understanding of the physical factors governing their morphology, periodicity, mechanics, and response to external stimuli. Such knowledge, particularly the impact of ligand dynamics on physical behavior of NPSLs, is still in its infancy. Here in this paper, we combine coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations, and small angle X-ray scattering experiments in a diamond anvil cell to demonstrate that coverage density of capping ligands (i.e., number of ligands per unit area of a nanoparticle's surface), strongly influences the structure, elasticity, and high-pressure behavior of NPSLs using face-centered cubic PbS-NPSLs as a representative example. We demonstrate that ligand coverage density dictates (a) the extent of diffusion of ligands over NP surfaces, (b) spatial distribution of the ligands in the interstitial spaces between neighboring NPs, and (c) the fraction of ligands that interdigitate across different nanoparticles. We find that below a critical coverage density (1.8 nm-2 for 7 nm PbS NPs capped with oleic acid), NPSLs collapse to form disordered aggregates via sintering, even under ambient conditions. Above the threshold ligand coverage density, NPSLs surprisingly preserve their crystalline order even under high applied pressures (~40–55 GPa), and show a completely reversible pressure behavior. This opens the possibility of reversibly manipulating lattice spacing of NPSLs, and in turn, finely tuning their collective electronic, optical, thermo-mechanical, and magnetic properties.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2013

Mechanism of Synthesis of Ultra-Long Single Wall Carbon Nanotubes in Arc Discharge Plasma

In this project fundamental issues related to synthesis of single wall carbon nanotubes (SWNTs), which is relationship between plasma parameters and SWNT characteristics were investigated. Given that among plasma-based techniques arc discharge stands out as very advantageous in several ways (fewer defects, high flexibility, longer lifetime) this techniques warrants attention from the plasma physics and plasma technology standpoint. Both experimental and theoretical investigations of the plasma and SWNTs synthesis were conducted. Experimental efforts focused on plasma diagnostics, measurements of nanostructures parameters, and nanoparticle characterization. Theoretical efforts focused to focus on multi-dimensional modeling of the arc discharge and single wall nanotube synthesis in arc plasmas. It was demonstrated in experiment and theoretically that controlling plasma parameters can affect nanostucture synthesis altering SWNT properties (length and diameter) and leading to synthesis of new structures such as a few-layer graphene. Among clearly identified parameters affecting synthesis are magnetic and electric fields. Knowledge of the plasma parameters and discharge characteristics is crucial for ability to control synthesis process by virtue of both magnetic and electric fields. New graduate course on plasma engineering was introduced into curriculum. 3 undergraduate students were attracted to the project and 3 graduate students (two are female) were involved in the project. Undergraduate student from Historically Black University was attracted and participated in the project during Summer 2010.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2019

Breaking the Bottleneck of Genomes: Understanding Gene Function Across Taxa Workshop Report

In the last few decades, high-throughput technologies using various “omics” have enabled unprecedented views of biological systems at the molecular level. In parallel, the integration of omic datasets using computational modeling has provided new understanding of biological processes in organisms relevant to the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) missions in energy and the environment. Collectively, these developments have spearheaded the advancement of systems biology, which can be viewed as a holistic approach for deciphering the complexity of biological systems. However, as high-throughput omic technologies and integrative systems biology efforts have improved our understanding of some biological systems, analyzing and finding meaningful answers within these massive datasets remain extremely challenging, in large part due to the lack of fundamental knowledge of gene function. Indeed, all sequenced genomes, both microbes and plants, contain large numbers of genes of “unknown function” that significantly limit scientists’ ability to model, predict, and engineer organisms with enhanced functions relevant to DOE. Current methodologies can be employed to decipher gene function, but they are typically slow, laborious, inefficient, and not scalable. This “bottleneck” in genome understanding could be broken with new, innovative, and transformative experimental tools, datasets, and computation that can define gene function on a massive and high-throughput scale compatible with the pace of DNA sequencing. In light of this grand challenge, DOE’s Office of Biological and Environmental Research (BER) convened the Breaking the Bottleneck of Genomes: Understanding Gene Function Across Taxa workshop on November 1–2, 2018. This workshop brought together leaders in microbiology, plant sciences, technology, and computation, who collectively identified the experimental and data analysis gaps preventing large-scale gene function determination as well as opportunities for overcoming these gaps.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Streamlined Approach for Environmental Restoration (SAFER) Plan for Corrective Action Unit 114: Area 25 EMAD Facility Nevada National Security Site, Nevada, (Rev.0, with ROTC 1)

This Streamlined Approach for Environmental Restoration (SAFER) Plan addresses the actions needed to achieve closure for Corrective Action Unit (CAU) 114, Area 25 EMAD Facility, identified in the Federal Facility Agreement and Consent Order (FFACO). CAU 114 comprises the following corrective action sites (CASs) located in Area 25 of the Nevada National Security Site (formerly, the Nevada Test Site): 25-41-03, EMAD Facility; 25-99-23, Manned Control Car (MCC) and Engine Installation Vehicle (EIV); and 25-33-05, Building 3901, Engine Transport System Maintenance Building. This plan provides the methodology for field activities needed to gather the necessary information for closing CAU 114. There is sufficient information and process knowledge from historical documentation and investigations of similar sites regarding the expected nature and extent of potential contaminants to recommend closure of CAU 114 using the SAFER process. Additional information will be obtained by conducting a field investigation before selecting the appropriate corrective actions for CAU 114. It is anticipated that the results of the field investigation and implementation of corrective actions will support a defensible recommendation that no further corrective action is necessary. The purpose of the corrective action investigation will be to document and verify the adequacy of existing information; to affirm the decision for either clean closure, closure in place, or no further action; and to provide sufficient data to implement the corrective action. The actual corrective action selected will be based on characterization activities implemented under this SAFER Plan. If specific conditions or findings fall outside the bounds of the SAFER Plan, the Nevada Division of Environmental Protection (NDEP) will be consulted to determine the path forward before proceeding. Upon completion of SAFER activities, a closure report will be prepared and submitted to NDEP for review and approval. The schedule for completion of the closure report will be established at the FFACO annual meeting.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Vision, challenges and opportunities for a Plant Cell Atlas

With growing populations and pressing environmental problems, future economies will be increasingly plant-based. Now is the time to reimagine plant science as a critical component of fundamental science, agriculture, environmental stewardship, energy, technology and healthcare. This effort requires a conceptual and technological framework to identify and map all cell types, and to comprehensively annotate the localization and organization of molecules at cellular and tissue levels. This framework, called the Plant Cell Atlas (PCA), will be critical for understanding and engineering plant development, physiology and environmental responses. A workshop was convened to discuss the purpose and utility of such an initiative, resulting in a roadmap that acknowledges the current knowledge gaps and technical challenges, and underscores how the PCA initiative can help to overcome them.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2015

Development of Human Factors Awareness for Criticality Safety Specialists at Westinghouse Nuclear Fuels - 14223

Although human factors assessment typically involves specialist expertise, it is considered that enhanced local knowledge of this area for criticality safety specialists supports the incorporation of human factors consideration into tasks such as safety assessment, design and hazard reviews, development of operational and engineered criticality controls, training, incident investigation and emergency response. At the Westinghouse Springfields Fuel Manufacturing Site in the United Kingdom, specialist human factor support has been engaged to identify key competencies and training plans for criticality safety specialists. In addition, discussions have been held with the UK's Office for Nuclear Regulation (ONR) to outline the proposal and to discuss the approach. Following completion of an internationally recognised human factors training course the learning is now being applied by criticality safety specialists. Recent examples of learning applied include: 1) Review of past events and incidents to support the consideration of operator/equipment interfaces, leading to improved designs and processes. 2) Identification of critical tasks and the level of human factor assessment that is likely to be required. To support this, guidance has been produced by the criticality section for staff and contractors performing criticality safety assessments. 3) Assessment of the 'aims and operability' of engineered and procedural controls derived as part of the criticality safety assessment process. This involves participation of plant management and operators. 4) Consideration of human factors in emergency response activities such as infrequent tasks and tasks being undertaken under time pressures etc. This has been examined in recent emergency exercises and in the development of a recent criticality exercise scenario. 5) Criticality training has been reviewed with Plant Management, focussing on the methods utilised to deliver training (e.g. classroom based, computer training, on plant walk-downs); the aims and scope of training and how understanding is validated. 6) The link between criticality safety assessment and how the operations are / will be conducted has been reviewed as part of formal and informal criticality meetings and inspections. A key aspect of this is the criticality specialist's interaction with both plant management and operational staff. The development of human factors awareness into the criticality safety specialist's competency framework continues to be developed at Westinghouse but real benefits to criticality safety are already being demonstrated by this approach. (author)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Stress Dependency of Brittle Creep in Granite: Insights into Source Mechanisms and Parameters

Creep in rocks refers to the gradual deformation of rock material over time under the influence of constant stress. Characterizing these deformations is of great importance for engineering design, geotechnical assessment, mining operations, geological studies, and understanding natural hazards. While laboratory experiments and a variety of numerical approaches have offered explanations for microcrack interaction and damage accumulation under the three stages of creep (primary, secondary and tertiary) in conventional creep experiments, the micromechanisms of the fractures produced in brittle creep and its dependency on the applied stress have not been explored in detail. The present study focused on investigating the fracturing mechanisms that occur during creep-induced fracturing at different stress levels and estimation of the source parameters and energy budget components. A series of uniaxial compression creep experiments have been conducted at different stress level ratios (70%, 75%, 80% and 85%), to the unconfined compressive strength (UCS) of double-flawed Barre granite specimen. Creep measurements were complemented with the Acoustic Emission (AE) measurements. The creep-induced fractures were classified into double-couple (DC), compensated linear vector dipole (CLVD) and isotropic (ISO) components using the AE moment tensor decomposition technique. The results show that non-double-couple sources dominated during creep at all the specified stress levels; however, their proportions decreased as the stress level was increased. The source parameters estimation indicated a significant increase in the magnitude of the events and the radiated seismic energy with increasing levels of stress and a slight increase in the evaluated source radius and stress drop with increasing stress levels. Furthermore, this study contributes to the existing knowledge of creep-induced fracturing by providing insights into the fracturing mechanisms and the radiated seismic energy produced, which can be helpful for the development of improved models and strategies for rock engineering and geoscience applications.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Bioproduction, bioprotection, and biocontainment in multi-kingdom microbial systems with 3D spatial control

Engineered living materials (ELMs) are a class of hybrid materials that include engineered microbes encapsulated by a polymer matrix. The biotic and abiotic components define the ELMs design space and can be altered to improve performance and function. While current synthetic materials in the field display robust biocompatibility with both native and engineered living systems, we have a limited understanding of how to leverage three-dimensional (3D) form factors to spatially organize and control microbial dynamics within the material. Motivated by this knowledge gap, we employed extrusion-based 3D printing to fabricate multi-kingdom hydrogel constructs for the encapsulation of both single and multi-kingdom microbial systems. Core–shell cubic constructs enabled the spatial organization of a constitutive multi-kingdom system of levodopa (L-DOPA)-producing E. coli and betaxanthins (BXN)-producing S. cerevisiae. This spatial organization in 3D materials can introduce precise control over bioproduction, bioprotection, and biocontainment features that are critical to the efficacy of current ELMs. The relative spatial organization of the organisms, as well as the surface area-to-volume ratio were investigated to determine how these design elements impact microbial behavior (metabolite production, growth, expression, and cell distribution) over time. We demonstrated that F127-bis-urethane methacrylate (F127-BUM) core–shell geometries enable the hierarchical 3D printing of multi-kingdom constructs, offering customizable control over bioproduction, bioprotection, and biocontainment. With the optimization of these core–shell structures for continuous bioproduction, these ELMs could be deployed as compact and sustainable bioreactors in remote environments.

additive manufacturing↗
DOE OSTI2021

Engineering Forisome Scaffolds: Elucidating Spatial Self-Assembly Patterning of Bio-inorganic Complexes

Organisms can synthesize biomaterials incorporating an array of naturally occurring elements while overcoming challenges and insults. Although, it is known that most cellular biomaterials are synthesized in specialized cellular compartments, there are knowledge gaps about how organic/inorganic biomaterial synthesis is orchestrated inside cells. In addition, there is great potential in understanding how individual monomers can self-assembly into organized patterns to form responsive biomaterials. Forisomes are a natural responsive biomaterial found in legume plants that serve as a plug sieve element in the plant phloem that undergo anisotropic conformational changes by rapid (<1 s) ATP-independent from condensed spindle to plug-like form, triggered by the influx of Ca 2+ . Addressing principles of forisome synthesis and assembly will determine how biomaterials containing inorganic elements self-assemble and conduct chemical modification to produce biomaterials or undergo biomineralization. We employ transcription and translation (TXTL) using cell-free expression systems for forisome monomer expression, self-assembly, and pattern probing. We conducted experiments to precisely control forisome proteins synthesis of various monomers SEO1, SEO2, SEO3, and SEO4 to explore self- assembly. We demonstrate forisome self-assembly of the SEO monomers is possible and indicate unique monomer fluorescent labeling patterns that require additional analysis. We investigated locations and linkers for adding tetracysteine tag fluorophore probes to determine impacts of self-assembly and anisotropic conformational changes.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2016

SU-F-E-10: Student-Driven Exploration of Radiographic Material Properties, Phantom Construction, and Clinical Workflows Or: The Extraordinary Life of CANDY MAN

Purpose: To develop a hands-on learning experience that explores the radiological and structural properties of everyday items and applies this knowledge to design a simple phantom for radiotherapy exercises. Methods: Students were asked to compile a list of readily available materials thought to have radiation attenuation properties similar to tissues within the human torso. Participants scanned samples of suggested materials and regions of interest (ROIs) were used to characterize bulk attenuation properties. Properties of each material were assessed via comparison to a Gammex Tissue characterization phantom and used to construct a list of inexpensive near-tissue-equivalent materials. Critical discussions focusing on samples found to differ from student expectations were used to revise and narrow the comprehensive list. From their newly acquired knowledge, students designed and constructed a simple thoracic phantom for use in a simulated clinical workflow. Students were tasked with setting up the phantom and acquiring planning CT images for use in treatment planning and dose delivery. Results: Under engineer and physicist supervision, students were trained to use a CT simulator and acquired images for approximately 60 different foodstuffs, candies, and household items. Through peer discussion, students gained valuable insights and were made to review preconceptions about radiographic material properties. From a subset of imaged materials, a simple phantom was successfully designed and constructed to represent a human thorax. Students received hands-on experience with clinical treatment workflows by learning how to perform CT simulation, create a treatment plan for an embedded tumor, align the phantom for treatment, and deliver a treatment fraction. Conclusion: In this activity, students demonstrated their ability to reason through the radiographic material selection process, construct a simple phantom to specifications, and exercise their knowledge of clinical workflows. Furthermore, the enjoyable and inexpensive nature of this project proved to attract participant interest and drive creative exploration. Mahon and Riblett have nothing to disclose; Hugo has a research agreement with Phillips Medical systems, a license agreement with Varian Medical Systems, research grants from the National Institute of Health. Authors do not have any potential conflicts of interest to disclose.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

Metabolic Engineering of Oleaginous Yeasts for Fatty Alcohol Production

To develop pathways for advanced biological upgrading of sugars to hydrocarbons, we are seeking biological approaches to produce high carbon efficiency intermediates amenable to separations and catalytic upgrading to hydrocarbon fuels. In this study, we successfully demonstrated fatty alcohol production by oleaginous yeasts Yarrowia lipolytica and Lipomyces starkeyi by expressing a bacteria-derived fatty acyl-CoA reductase (FAR). Moreover, we find higher extracellular distribution of fatty alcohols produced by FAR-expressing L. starkeyi strain as compared to Y. lipolytica strain, which would benefit the downstream product recovery process. In both oleaginous yeasts, long chain length saturated fatty alcohols were predominant, accounting for more than 85% of the total fatty alcohols produced. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report of fatty alcohol production in L. starkeyi. Taken together, our work demonstrates that in addition to Y. lipolytica, L. starkeyi can also serve as a platform organism for production of fatty acid-derived biofuels and bioproducts via metabolic engineering. We believe strain and process development both will significantly contribute to our goal of producing scalable and cost-effective fatty alcohols from renewable biomass.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Tailored Bioblendstocks with Low Environmental Impact to Optimize MCCI Engines (Final Technical Report)

The overall objective of the project is to develop and demonstrate a microalgae bio-blendstock with greater than 60% greenhouse gas reduction potential relative to petroleum diesel, that can reduce sooting propensity, increase cetane number and improve engine thermal efficiency relative to a baseline diesel engine operating on conventional fuel. Overall, the project achieved the proposed objectives including producing the final tangible deliverable. A sample of algal bioblendstock was analyzed by National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) staff and partners at Yale University. In addition, the work outlined in this report provides substantial new knowledge on the subjects of algae cultivation, algae conversion to biocrude, biocrude upgrading and combustion optimization.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2018

A critical review on questionnaire surveys in the field of energy-related occupant behaviour

Occupants perform various actions to satisfy their physical and non-physical needs in buildings. These actions greatly affect building operations and thus energy use. Clearly understanding and accurately modelling occupant behaviour in buildings are crucial to guide energy-efficient building design and operation, and to reduce the gap between design and actual energy performance of buildings. To study and understand occupant behaviour, a cross-sectional questionnaire survey is one of the most useful tools to gain insights on general behaviour patterns and drivers, and to find connections between human, social and local comfort parameters. In this study, 33 projects were reviewed from the energy-related occupant behaviour research literature that employed cross-sectional surveys or interviews for data collection from the perspective of findings, limitations and methodological challenges. This research shows that future surveys are needed to bridge the gaps in literature but they would need to encompass a multidisciplinary approach to do so as until now only environmental and engineering factors were considered in these studies. Insights from social practice theories and techniques must be acquired to deploy robust and unbiased questionnaire results, which will provide new, more comprehensive knowledge in the field, and therefore occupant behaviour could be better understood and represented in building performance simulation to support design and operation of low or net-zero energy buildings.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Multiscale mechanical design of the lightweight, stiff, and damage-tolerant cuttlebone: A computational study

Cuttlebone, the endoskeleton of cuttlefish, offers an intriguing biological structural model for designing low-density cellular ceramics with high stiffness and damage tolerance. Cuttlebone is highly porous (porosity ~93%) and lightweight (density less than 20% of seawater), constructed mainly by brittle aragonite (95 wt%), but capable of sustaining hydrostatic water pressures over 20 atmospheres and exhibits energy absorption capability under compression comparable to many metallic foams (~4.4 kJ/kg). Here, in this work, we computationally investigate how such remarkable mechanical efficiency is enabled by the multiscale structure of cuttlebone. Using the common cuttlefish, Sepia Officinalis, as a model system, we first conducted high-resolution synchrotron micro-computed tomography (µ-CT) and quantified the cuttlebone's multiscale geometry, including the 3D asymmetric shape of individual walls, the wall assembly patterns, and the long-range structural gradient of walls across the entire cuttlebone (ca. 38 chambers). The acquired 3D structural information enables systematic finite-element simulations, which further reveal the multiscale mechanical design of cuttlebone: at the wall level, wall asymmetry provides optimized energy absorption while maintaining high structural stiffness; at the chamber level, variation of walls (number, pattern, and waviness amplitude) contributes to progressive damage; at the entire skeletal level, the gradient of chamber heights tailors the local mechanical anisotropy of the cuttlebone for reduced stress concentration. Our results provide integrated insights into understanding the cuttlebone's multiscale mechanical design and provide useful knowledge for the designs of lightweight cellular ceramics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Optimizing FPGA-based Accelerator Design for Large-Scale Molecular Similarity Search (Special Session Paper)

Molecular similarity search has been widely used in drug discovery to rapidly identify structurally similar compounds from large molecular databases. With the increasing size of chemical libraries, there is growing interest in the efficient ac- celeration of large-scale similarity search. Existing works mainly focus on CPU and GPU to accelerate the computation of Tatimoto coefficient in measuring the pairwise similarity between different molecular fingerprints. In this paper, we propose and optimize an FPGA-based accelerator design on exhaustive and approximate search algorithms. On exhaustive search using BitBound & fold- ing, we analyze the similarity cutoff and folding level relationship with search speedup and accuracy, and propose a scalable on- the-fly query engine on FPGAs to reduce the resource utilization and pipeline interval. We achieve a 450 million compounds-per- second processing throughput for a single query engine. On approximate search using hierarchical navigable small world (HNSW), a popular algorithm with high recall and query speed, we propose an FPGA-based graph traversal engine to utilize high throughput register array based priority queue and fine- grained distance calculation engine to increase the processing capability. Experimental results show that the proposed FPGA- based HNSW implementation achieves a 35× speedup than existing works on CPU. To the best of our knowledge, our FPGA- based implementation is the first attempt to accelerate molecular similarity search on FPGA and has the highest performance among existing approaches.

Peng, Hongwu↗
DOE OSTI2014

WE-E-BRE-05: Ensemble of Graphical Models for Predicting Radiation Pneumontis Risk

Purpose: We propose a prior knowledge-based approach to construct an interaction graph of biological and dosimetric radiation pneumontis (RP) covariates for the purpose of developing a RP risk classifier. Methods: We recruited 59 NSCLC patients who received curative radiotherapy with minimum 6 month follow-up. 16 RP events was observed (CTCAE grade ≥2). Blood serum was collected from every patient before (pre-RT) and during RT (mid-RT). From each sample the concentration of the following five candidate biomarkers were taken as covariates: alpha-2-macroglobulin (α2M), angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE), transforming growth factor β (TGF-β), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and osteopontin (OPN). Dose-volumetric parameters were also included as covariates. The number of biological and dosimetric covariates was reduced by a variable selection scheme implemented by L1-regularized logistic regression (LASSO). Posterior probability distribution of interaction graphs between the selected variables was estimated from the data under the literature-based prior knowledge to weight more heavily the graphs that contain the expected associations. A graph ensemble was formed by averaging the most probable graphs weighted by their posterior, creating a Bayesian Network (BN)-based RP risk classifier. Results: The LASSO selected the following 7 RP covariates: (1) pre-RT concentration level of α2M, (2) α2M level mid- RT/pre-RT, (3) pre-RT IL6 level, (4) IL6 level mid-RT/pre-RT, (5) ACE mid-RT/pre-RT, (6) PTV volume, and (7) mean lung dose (MLD). The ensemble BN model achieved the maximum sensitivity/specificity of 81%/84% and outperformed univariate dosimetric predictors as shown by larger AUC values (0.78∼0.81) compared with MLD (0.61), V20 (0.65) and V30 (0.70). The ensembles obtained by incorporating the prior knowledge improved classification performance for the ensemble size 5∼50. Conclusion: We demonstrated a probabilistic ensemble method to detect robust associations between RP covariates and its potential to improve RP prediction accuracy. Our Bayesian approach to incorporate prior knowledge can enhance efficiency in searching of such associations from data. The authors acknowledge partial support by: 1) CREATE Medical Physics Research Training Network grant of the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council (Grant number: 432290) and 2) The Terry Fox Foundation Strategic Training Initiative for Excellence in Radiation Research for the 21st Century (EIRR21)

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗