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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 757 records · Page 42

Exploring the Role of Type-II Residual Stresses in A Laser Powder Bed Fusion Nickel-Based Superalloy Using Measurement and Modeling

Far-field high-energy X-ray diffraction microscopy (ff-HEDM) and the crystal plasticity finite element method (CPFEM) are used to investigate the role of grain-scale (Type-II) residual stresses on the fatigue life of additively manufactured (AM) Inconel alloy 625 (IN-625). Grain-averaged orientations, centroids, and residual elastic strain tensors from ff-HEDM data are used to instantiate a crystal plasticity model to simulate the effect of residual stresses at the grain scale. Simulation results indicate that the presence of tensile residual strains increase stress localization and heterogeneity within grains, triggering an earlier onset of plasticity. A microscale fatigue indicator parameter (FIP) is computed to model the impact of these residual strains on the cycles to fatigue crack nucleation. The crack nucleation model, based on the computed FIPs, predicts a significant reduction in the number of cycles for fatigue crack nucleation for mid- and high-cycle fatigue due to the residual strain induced localization, while the residual strains have minimal impact on low-cycle fatigue life.

Inconel↗

The Effects of Compounded Model Size Reductions on Adversarial Robustness

Recent advances in Edge AI and Tiny Machine Learning (TinyML) have enabled the deployment of machine learning models on resource-constrained environments. However, deploying these models on edge devices, such as micro-controllers, requires significant model footprint reduction through a variety of techniques such as quantization, pruning, and clustering. While these optimization methods offer considerable advantages, they potentially introduce AI-related security vulnerabilities, particularly concerning model robustness with respect to adversarial AI attacks. Prior research has extensively examined the impact of quantization on adversarial robustness; however, the effects of alternative reduction techniques and their combinations remain understudied. This paper investigates the impact of model size reduction techniques on adversarial robustness, when applied individually and combined. We utilized Fast Gradient Sign Method (FGSM) and Projected Gradient Descent (PGD) attacks to generate adversarial perturbations for both training and testing data, and then evaluated the models' accuracy under adversarial training conditions. Our findings revealed that reduction techniques generally diminished robustness; although, combining techniques was not found to make robustness any worse than when applied individually. Moreover, specific techniques can potentially enhance resistance to small size perturbations. This research provides insights into the trade-offs between model size reduction and security, establishing a foundation for future investigations into improving adversarial training techniques and methodologies for maintaining robustness while preserving memory footprint benefits.

Austria, Phillipe [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000236223973)↗

Radiative transfer to space through a precipitating cloud at multiple microwave frequencies. III - Influence of large ice particles

The time-dependent influence of large ice particles on the brightness temperatures, T(B)s, that would be observed from space above severe thunderstorms is investigated using a vertically and angularly detailed plane-parallel microwave radiative transfer model. The impact of large ice particles on passive microwave T(B)s over an evolving model rain cloud was examined at ten separate frequencies in the EHF/SHF spectrum. It is shown that the frequency-dependent vertically distributed generalized emission/scattering weighting functions, introduced in this simulation to vertically resolve the contributions by individual cloud and precipitation layers to the T(B)s, can be used to identify the specific layers responsible for regulating the magnitude of top-of-atmoshere T(B)s.

Smith, Eric A.↗

Electron-Impact Excitation Cross Sections for Modeling Non-Equilibrium Gas

In order to provide a database for modeling hypersonic entry in a partially ionized gas under non-equilibrium, the electron-impact excitation cross sections of atoms have been calculated using perturbation theory. The energy levels covered in the calculation are retrieved from the level list in the HyperRad code. The downstream flow-field is determined by solving a set of continuity equations for each component. The individual structure of each energy level is included. These equations are then complemented by the Euler system of equations. Finally, the radiation field is modeled by solving the radiative transfer equation.

Electron↗

Eulerian finite element simulations of the drop weight impact test with a dislocation Density-based continuum model

During a drop weight impact test, the kinetic energy of the falling weight is transferred into the sample resting on the anvil. The plastic deformation in the sample is an important mechanism for the dissipation of the input kinetic energy. We use Eulerian finite element analysis to simulate the deformation and temperature evolution in a 1,3,5-trinitro-1,3,5-triazine (RDX) sample consisting of multiple crystals. In Eulerian finite element simulations, the mesh moves relative to the material. After every change of position between the mesh and the material, the state variables are interpolated to the new mesh position, i.e., advection. In an effort to reduce the advection errors, we use a rate form of a dislocation density-based continuum model by Luscher et al. Here, the simulations predict localization of plastic deformation, and plastic dissipation as a significant source of heat generation.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Improving Time Step Convergence in an Atmosphere Model With Simplified Physics: The Impacts of Closure Assumption and Process Coupling

Convergence testing is a common practice in the development of dynamical cores of atmospheric models but is not as often exercised for the parameterization of sub-grid physics. An earlier study revealed that the stratiform cloud parameterizations in several predecessors of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) showed strong time-step sensitivity and slower-than-expected convergence when the model's time step was systematically refined. In this work, a simplified atmosphere model is configured that consists of the spectral-element dynamical core of the E3SM atmosphere model coupled with a large-scale condensation parameterization based on commonly used assumptions. This simplified model also resembles E3SM and its predecessors in the numerical implementation of process coupling and shows poor time-step convergence in short ensemble tests. We present a formal error analysis to reveal the expected time-step convergence rate and the conditions for obtaining such convergence. Numerical experiments are conducted to investigate the root causes of convergence problems. We show that revisions in the process coupling and closure assumption help to improve convergence in short simulations using the simplified model; the same revisions applied to a full atmosphere model lead to significant changes in the simulated long-term climate. This work demonstrates that causes of convergence issues in atmospheric simulations can be understood by combining analyses from physical and mathematical perspectives. Addressing convergence issues can help to obtain a discrete model that is more consistent with the intended representation of the physical phenomena.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Prediction of impact sensitivity, heat of formation and heat of explosion using atomic connectivity

In these proceedings we revisit a large collection of explosives and explosive descriptors with the goal of predicting impact sensitivity using only local atomic environments that can be deciphered from molecular SMILES strings as descriptors without utilizing empirically measured values or computationally expensive electronic structure calculations. From the original database of nearly 500 descriptors, removing empirically measured and electronic structure values decreased the number of descriptors to 135, which we reduced to 18 the most important descriptors using Random Forests. The condensed model predicted impact sensitivity with essentially the same accuracy as the existing, more complex model (R 2 = 0.788 and RSME = 0.312), while remaining applicable to all types of explosives (Peroxides, azides, C-Nitros, Nitroamines, Nitrate Esters, etc.). In addition to impact sensitivity, we proposed similar models to accurately predict values heat of formation (ΔH f ) and heat of explosion (Q), with R 2 = 0.966 and 0.916, respectively. In conclusion, the work in these proceedings allows for prediction of explosive performance and sensitivity with only chemical structure information and an estimate of density.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Security constrained optimal power shutoff for wildfire risk mitigation

Abstract Electric grid faults are increasingly the source of ignition for major wildfires. To reduce the likelihood of such ignitions in high risk situations, utilities use preemptive de‐energization of power lines, commonly referred to as Public Safety Power Shutoffs (PSPS). Besides raising challenging trade‐offs between power outages and wildfire safety, PSPS removes redundancy from the network at a time when component faults are likely to happen. This may leave the network particularly vulnerable to unexpected line faults that may occur while the PSPS is in place. Previous works have not explicitly considered the impacts of these outages. To address this gap, the Security Constrained Optimal Power Shutoff problem is proposed which uses post‐contingency security constraints to model the impact of unexpected line faults when planning a PSPS. This model enables, for the first time, the exploration of a wide range of trade‐offs between both wildfire risk and pre‐ and post‐contingency load shedding when designing PSPS plans, providing useful insights for utilities and policy makers considering different approaches to PSPS. The efficacy of the model is demonstrated using the EPRI 39‐bus system as a case study. The results highlight the potential risks of not considering security constraints when planning PSPS and show that incorporating security constraints into the PSPS design process improves the resilience of current PSPS plans.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Multi-Physics Simulations of Molten Chloride Fast Reactor using Nek5000 and PROTEUS-NODAL

This report documents the FY20 work to demonstrate a specific multi-physics capability within NEAMS tools to model molten chloride fast reactors (MCFR). Specifically, the CFD code Nek5000 and the neutronics code PROTEUS-NODAL were coupled off-line to calculate the delayed neutron precursor distribution within the flowing fuel salts in an MCFR core. An MCFR benchmark problem and a 3D test problem based on a conceptual MSR design were successfully solved through the coupled simulation of Nek5000 and PROTEUS-NODAL. In the coupled simulations for these test problems, Nek5000 provided high-quality flow field information, and PROTEUS-NODAL performed the neutron diffusion calculation along with the precursor drift model. The impact of precursor drift on the core status was also investigated. Additionally, the precursor drift model implemented in PROTEUS-NODAL was verified by making use of the reference precursor distribution generated from Nek5000. Results of these test problems suggest that the multi-physics capability of Nek5000 and PROTEUS-NODAL was properly developed for tracking delayed neutron precursor drift.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Fusing time-varying mosquito data and continuous mosquito population dynamics models

Climate change is arguably one of the most pressing issues affecting the world today and requires the fusion of disparate data streams to accurately model its impacts. Mosquito populations respond to temperature and precipitation in a nonlinear way, making predicting climate impacts on mosquito-borne diseases an ongoing challenge. Data-driven approaches for accurately modeling mosquito populations are needed for predicting mosquito-borne disease risk under climate change scenarios. Many current models for disease transmission are continuous and autonomous, while mosquito data is discrete and varies both within and between seasons. This study uses an optimization framework to fit a non-autonomous logistic model with periodic net growth rate and carrying capacity parameters for 15 years of daily mosquito time-series data from the Greater Toronto Area of Canada. The resulting parameters accurately capture the inter-annual and intra-seasonal variability of mosquito populations within a single geographic region, and a variance-based sensitivity analysis highlights the influence each parameter has on the peak magnitude and timing of the mosquito season. This method can easily extend to other geographic regions and be integrated into a larger disease transmission model. This method addresses the ongoing challenges of data and model fusion by serving as a link between discrete time-series data and continuous differential equations for mosquito-borne epidemiology models.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Apollo 17 impact melts and their relation to the Serenitatis basin

Regional geologic relations are seen as suggesting that the distribution of highland landforms is not consistent with their derivation from a single impact event but is consistent with multiple events involving both distant basins and smaller, local craters. Thus the highland samples collected at the Apollo 17 landing site may not consist solely of Serenitatis basin ejecta but probably include both exotic ejecta and reworked local material. On the basis of these observations, it is suggested that the Apollo 17 highland melt breccias are not all derived from the Serenitatis basin impact; that is, the aphanitic melt rocks may be either other basin or local crater ejecta. It is thought that if the melt rocks collected at Apollo 17 are all derived from the same impact, the significant chemical and petrographic differences between the rocks may require modification of current models for impact melt petrogenesis.

Spudis, P. D.↗

Scenario Storyline Discovery for Planning in Multi‐Actor Human‐Natural Systems Confronting Change

Scenarios have emerged as valuable tools in managing complex human-natural systems, but the traditional approach of limiting focus on a small number of predetermined scenarios can inadvertently miss consequential dynamics, extremes, and diverse stakeholder impacts. Exploratory modeling approaches have been developed to address these issues by exploring a wide range of possible futures and identifying those that yield consequential vulnerabilities. However, vulnerabilities are typically identified based on aggregate robustness measures that do not take full advantage of the richness of the underlying dynamics in the large ensembles of model simulations and can make it hard to identify key dynamics and/or storylines that can guide planning or further analyses. This study introduces the FRamework for Narrative Storylines and Impact Classification (FRNSIC; pronounced “forensic”): a scenario discovery framework that addresses these challenges by organizing and investigating consequential scenarios using hierarchical classification of diverse outcomes across actors, sectors, and scales, while also aiding in the selection of scenario storylines, based on system dynamics that drive consequential outcomes. We present an application of this framework to the Upper Colorado River Basin, focusing on decadal droughts and their water scarcity implications for the basin's diverse users and its obligations to downstream states through Lake Powell. We show how FRNSIC can explore alternative sets of impact metrics and drought dynamics and use them to identify drought scenario storylines, that can be used to inform future adaptation planning.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Impact Ice Microstructure Segmentation Using Transfer Learned Model

A process of using machine learning to segment impact ice microstructure is presented and analyzed. The segmentation was conducted with the goal of obtaining average grain size estimations. The model was trained on a set of micrographs of impact ice grown at NASA Glenn’s Icing Research Tunnel. The model leveraged a model pre-trained on a large set of micrographs of various materials as a starting point. Post-processing of the segmented images was done to connect broken boundaries. An automatic method of determining grain size following an ASTM standard was implemented. Segmentation results using different training sets as well as different encoder and decoder pairs are presented. Calculated sizes are compared to manual grain size measurement methods. Results show promise in accuracy as well as a possible improvement in repeatability and consistency. Next steps for improving the model are suggested.

Machine learning↗

Thermal regimes in impact melts and the petrology of the Apollo 17 Station 6 boulder

A progress report is presented on the petrologic study of the Station 6 boulder, taking into account the implications of its petrographic and geochemical studies to the understanding of the processes of formation and crystallization of impact melts. The interpretation of the data from the boulder suggests processes that appear reasonable for a petrogenetic model of impact events large enough to produce a layer of melt a kilometer or more wide and at most a few tens of meters thick. A summary of the model is presented. The primary difference between the new model and the previous models of Warner et al. (1973, 1974) and Simonds et al. (1973, 1974) is that melt and clasts are derived from distinctly different parts of the cratering regime. The cooling is modeled in two steps, first the rapid equilibration between clasts and matrix, and second, the much slower loss of heat to the surroundings.

Simonds, C. H.↗

Modeling Heatshield Erosion due to Dust Particle Impacts for a Martian Entry Vehicle

New surface damage models are presented that predict the heat shield erosion due to dust particle impact when a spacecraft enters the Martian atmosphere. Existing models were based on Apollo-era experimental data and approximate methods for tracking the dust particle trajectories through the shock layer. These legacy methods will be compared against new results based on more sophisticated particle tracking methods and recent experimental data.

Planetary entry↗

Habitat model for the Florida Scrub Jay on John F. Kennedy Space Center

The Florida Scrub Jay is endemic to Florida. The John F. Kennedy Space Center (KSC) provides habitat for one of the three largest populations of the Florida Scrub Jay. This threatened bird occupies scrub, slash pine flatwoods, disturbed scrub, and coastal strand on KSC. Densities of Florida Scrub Jays were shown to vary with habitat characteristics but not necessarily with vegetation type. Relationships between Florida Scrub Jay densities and habitat characteristics were used to develop a habitat model to provide a tool to compare alternative sites for new facilities and to quantify environmental impacts. This model is being tested using long term demographic studies of colorbanded Florida Scrub Jays. Optimal habitat predicted by the model has greater than or equal to 50 percent of the shrub canopy comprised of scrub oaks, 20-50 percent open space or scrub oak vegetation within 100 m of a ruderal edge, less than or equal to 15 percent pine canopy cover, a shrub height of 120-170 cm, and is greater than or equal to 100 m from a forest. This document reviews life history, social behavior, food, foraging habitat, cover requirements, characteristics of habitat on KSC, and habitat preferences of the Florida Scrub Jay. Construction of the model and its limitations are discussed.

Breininger, David R.↗

Effects of the Venusian atmosphere on incoming meteoroids and the impact crater population

The dense atmosphere on Venus prevents craters smaller than about 2 km in daimater from forming and also causes formation of several crater fields and multiple-floored craters (collectively referred to as multiple impacts). A model has been constructed that simulates the behavior of a meteoroid in a dense planetary atmosphere. This model was then combined with an assumed flux of incoming meteoroids in an effort to reproduce the size-frequency distribution of impact craters and several aspects of the population of the crater fields and multiple-floored craters on Venus. The modeling indicates that it is plausible that the observed rollover in the size-frequency curve for Venus is due entirely to atmospheric effects on incoming meteoroids. However, there must be substantial variation in the density and behavior of incoming meteoroids in the atmosphere. Lower-density meteoroids must be less likely to survive atmospheric passage than simple density differences can account for. Consequently, it is likely that the percentage of craters formed by high-density meteoroids is very high at small crater diameters, and this percentage decreases substantially with increasing crater diameter. Overall, high-density meteoroids created a disproportionately large percentage of the impact craters on Venus. Also, our results indicate that a process such as meteoroid flattening or atmospheric explosion of meteoroids must be invoked to prevent craters smaller than the observed minimum diameter (2 km) from forming. In terms of using the size-frequency distribution to age-date the surface, the model indicates that the observed population has at least 75% of the craters over 32 km in diameter that would be expected on an atmosphereless Venus; thus, this part of the curve is most suitable for comparison with calibrated curves for the Moon.

Herrick, Robert R.↗

Estimating Ocean Observation Impacts on Coupled Atmosphere‐Ocean Models Using Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to Observation (EFSO)

Ensemble Forecast Sensitivity to Observation (EFSO) is a technique that can efficiently identify the beneficial/detrimental impacts of every observation in ensemble-based data assimilation (DA). While EFSO has been successfully employed on atmospheric DA, it has never been applied to ocean or coupled DA due to the lack of a suitable error norm for oceanic variables. This study introduces a new density-based error norm incorporating sea temperature and salinity forecast errors, making EFSO applicable to ocean DA for the first time. We implemented the oceanic EFSO on the CFSv2-LETKF and investigated the impact of ocean observations under a weakly coupled DA framework. By removing the detrimental ocean observations detected by EFSO, the CFSv2 forecasts were significantly improved, showing the validation of impact estimation and the great potential of EFSO to be extended as a data selection criterion.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗