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At least 757 records · Page 42

An Efficient Approach for the Reliability Analysis of Phased-Mission Systems with Dependent Failures

We consider the reliability analysis of phased-mission systems with common-cause failures in this paper. Phased-mission systems (PMS) are systems supporting missions characterized by multiple, consecutive, and nonoverlapping phases of operation. System components may be subject to different stresses as well as different reliability requirements throughout the course of the mission. As a result, component behavior and relationships may need to be modeled differently from phase to phase when performing a system-level reliability analysis. This consideration poses unique challenges to existing analysis methods. The challenges increase when common-cause failures (CCF) are incorporated in the model. CCF are multiple dependent component failures within a system that are a direct result of a shared root cause, such as sabotage, flood, earthquake, power outage, or human errors. It has been shown by many reliability studies that CCF tend to increase a system's joint failure probabilities and thus contribute significantly to the overall unreliability of systems subject to CCF.We propose a separable phase-modular approach to the reliability analysis of phased-mission systems with dependent common-cause failures as one way to meet the above challenges in an efficient and elegant manner. Our methodology is twofold: first, we separate the effects of CCF from the PMS analysis using the total probability theorem and the common-cause event space developed based on the elementary common-causes; next, we apply an efficient phase-modular approach to analyze the reliability of the PMS. The phase-modular approach employs both combinatorial binary decision diagram and Markov-chain solution methods as appropriate. We provide an example of a reliability analysis of a PMS with both static and dynamic phases as well as CCF as an illustration of our proposed approach. The example is based on information extracted from a Mars orbiter project. The reliability model for this orbiter considers the various phases of Launch, Cruise, Mars Orbit Insertion, and Orbit. Some of the CCF for the orbiter in this mission include environmental effects, such as micrometeoroids, human operator errors, and software errors.

reliability analysis↗

ALS rocket engine combustion devices design and demonstration

Work performed during Phase one is summarized and the significant technical and programmatic accomplishments occurring during this period are documented. Besides a summary of the results, methodologies, trade studies, design, fabrication, and hardware conditions; the following are included: the evolving Maintainability Plan, Reliability Program Plan, Failure Summary and Analysis Report, and the Failure Mode and Effect Analysis.

Arreguin, Steve↗

Analysis of the progressive failure of brittle matrix composites

This report investigates two of the most common modes of localized failures, namely, periodic fiber-bridged matrix cracks and transverse matrix cracks. A modification of Daniels' bundle theory is combined with Weibull's weakest link theory to model the statistical distribution of the periodic matrix cracking strength for an individual layer. Results of the model predictions are compared with experimental data from the open literature. Extensions to the model are made to account for possible imperfections within the layer (i.e., nonuniform fiber lengths, irregular crack spacing, and degraded in-situ fiber properties), and the results of these studies are presented. A generalized shear-lag analysis is derived which is capable of modeling the development of transverse matrix cracks in material systems having a general multilayer configuration and under states of full in-plane load. A method for computing the effective elastic properties for the damaged layer at the global level is detailed based upon the solution for the effects of the damage at the local level. This methodology is general in nature and is therefore also applicable to (0(sub m)/90(sub n))(sub s) systems. The characteristic stress-strain response for more general cases is shown to be qualitatively correct (experimental data is not available for a quantitative evaluation), and the damage evolution is recorded in terms of the matrix crack density as a function of the applied strain. Probabilistic effects are introduced to account for the statistical nature of the material strengths, thus allowing cumulative distribution curves for the probability of failure to be generated for each of the example laminates. Additionally, Oh and Finney's classic work on fracture location in brittle materials is extended and combined with the shear-lag analysis. The result is an analytical form for predicting the probability density function for the location of the next transverse crack occurrence within a crack bounded region. The results of this study verified qualitatively the validity of assuming a uniform crack spacing (as was done in the shear-lag model).

Thomas, David J.↗

Process Failure Detection via Recurrence Quantification Analysis in a Slot-Rectangular Spouted Bed

A study was conducted to explore the applicability of recurrence and recurrence quantification analysis (RQA) to the detection of process failures in spouted bed reactor systems. Here, three different potential failure modes were examined in a transparent, cold flow slot-rectangular spouted bed. These being, a simulated air leak from a side wall of the reactor, a simulated gas leak from the top wall of the reactor, and simulated agglomeration of solids via introduction of larger “klinker” particles. Bed pressure drop time history data were collected and analyzed via generation of recurrence plots (RPs) and RQA parameters. In general, the simulated agglomeration case was quite easily detected via ever RQA Parameter examined, whereas the simulated air leaks were detected by only a single RQA parameter.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

Man-rated flight software for the F-8 DFBW program

The design, implementation, and verification of the flight control software used in the F-8 DFBW program are discussed. Since the DFBW utilizes an Apollo computer and hardware, the procedures, controls, and basic management techniques employed are based on those developed for the Apollo software system. Program Assembly Control, simulator configuration control, erasable-memory load generation, change procedures and anomaly reporting are discussed. The primary verification tools--the all-digital simulator, the hybrid simulator, and the Iron Bird simulator--are described, as well as the program test plans and their implementation on the various simulators. Failure-effects analysis and the creation of special failure-generating software for testing purposes are described. The quality of the end product is evidenced by the F-8 DFBW flight test program in which 42 flights, totaling 58 hours of flight time, were successfully made without any DFCS inflight software, or hardware, failures.

Bairnsfather, R. R.↗

Investigation of the HPFTP first stage impeller crack

The occurrence of a crack in the HPFTP first stage impeller of pump 2608 R2 during test 750-245 prompted this analysis to examine possible causes of the failure. Preliminary analysis, using an existing NASTRAN model of the impeller, showed a deficiency in the model's ability to reliably calculate stress in the area of concern (outboard edge of the impeller shroud). A new NASTRAN model was constructed to better define the stress state in the area of crack initiations. Static stress analysis and normal models analysis were performed on the new model. Results are presented.

Source record↗

Gateway Integrated ECLSS Model Analysis of Intermodule Ventilation Failures

The Gateway Integrated ECLSS Model (GIEM) is a set of two independent models, made in Aspen Custom Modeler (ACM) and Thermal Desktop (TD), of the Gateway stack and each modules' associated environment control and life support system (ECLSS). The GIEM utilizes the 41-Node Metabolic Man (METMAN) to simulate crew inside the Gateway consuming O2 and producing CO2, H2O, and heat for the ECLSS to remove. The modules and visiting vehicles all have different levels of ECLSS capabilities and may rely on other modules and Intermodular Ventilation (IMV), which is used to exchange gas between the modules, to ensure the entire Gateway environment is controlled. If IMV were to fail or be turned off, some vehicles may have limited access to necessary ECLSS functions. This analysis focuses on evaluating O2, CO2, and H2O levels when crew are in vehicles without their own life support and IMV has failed to evaluate how long before the atmosphere is unsafe for the crew. This analysis uses the integrated nature of the GIEM to look at time to effect for O2 depletion and CO2 and H2O buildup when crew are working in vehicles that have been cut off from the ECLSS-active portion of the stack. This information is used to inform for how long crew can safely continue working in the ECLSS-inactive vehicles before experiencing a requirement violation or physical limitation and can be referenced when developing maintenance and emergency response concept of operations (ConOps).

Lawrence Barrett↗

Probabilistic Assessment of a CMC Turbine Vane

In order to demonstrate the advanced CMC technology under development within the Ultra Efficient Engine Technology (UEET) program, it has been planned to fabricate, test and analyze an all CMC turbine vane made of a SiC/SiC composite material. The objective was to utilize a 5-II Satin Weave SiC/CVI SiC/ and MI SiC matrix material that was developed in-house under the Enabling Propulsion Materials (EPM) program, to design and fabricate a stator vane that can endure successfully 1000 hours of engine service conditions operation. The design requirements for the vane are to be able to withstand a maximum of 2400 F within the substrate and the hot surface temperature of 2700 F with the aid of an in-house developed Environmental/Thermal Barrier Coating (EBC/TBC) system. The vane will be tested in a High Pressure Burner Rig at NASA Glenn Research Center facility. This rig is capable of simulating the engine service environment. The present paper focuses on a probabilistic assessment of the vane. The material stress/strain relationship shows a bilinear behavior with a distinct knee corresponding to what is often termed as first matrix cracking strength. This is a critical life limiting consideration for these materials. The vane is therefore designed such that the maximum stresses are within this limit so that the structure is never subjected to loads beyond the first matrix cracking strength. Any violation of this design requirement is considered as failure. Probabilistic analysis is performed in order to determine the probability of failure based on this assumption. In the analysis, material properties, strength, and pressures are considered random variables. The variations in properties and strength are based on the actual experimental data generated in house. The mean values for the pressures on the upper surface and the lower surface are known but their distributions are unknown. In the present analysis the pressures are considered normally distributed with a nominal variation. Temperature profile on the vane is obtained by performing a CFD analysis and is assumed to be deterministic.

Murthy, Pappu L. N.↗

Experimental and computational analysis of bending fatigue failure in chopped carbon fiber chip reinforced composites

With a better balance among good mechanical performance, high freedom of design, and low material and manufacturing cost, chopped carbon fiber chip reinforced sheet molding compound (SMC) composites show great potential in different engineering applications. Here in this paper, bending fatigue behaviors of SMC composites considering the heterogeneous fiber orientation distributions have been thoroughly investigated utilizing both experimental and computational methods. First, four-point bending fatigue tests are performed with designed SMC composites, and the local modulus is adopted as a metric to represent the local fiber orientation of two opposing sides. Interestingly, SMC composites with and without large discrepancy in local modulus of opposing sides show different fatigue behaviors. Interrupted tests are conducted to explore the bending fatigue failure mechanism, and the damage processes of valid specimens are also closely examined. We find that the fatigue failure of SMC composites under four-point bending is governed by crack propagation instead of crack initiation. Because of this, the heterogeneous local fiber orientations of both sides of the specimen influence fatigue life. The microstructure of the lower side shows a direct influence while that of the upper side also exhibiting influence which becomes more prominent for high cycle fatigue cases. Furthermore, a hybrid micro–macro computational model is proposed to efficiently study the cyclic bending behavior of SMC composites. The region of interest is reconstructed with a modified random sequential absorption algorithm to conserve all the microstructural details including the heterogeneous fiber orientation, while the rest of the regions are modeled as homogenized macro-scale continua. Combined with a framework to capture the progressive fatigue damage under cyclic bending, the bending fatigue behaviors of SMC composites are accurately captured by the hybrid computational model comparing with our experimental analysis.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Determination of Turbine Blade Life from Engine Field Data

It is probable that no two engine companies determine the life of their engines or their components in the same way or apply the same experience and safety factors to their designs. Knowing the failure mode that is most likely to occur minimizes the amount of uncertainty and simplifies failure and life analysis. Available data regarding failure mode for aircraft engine blades, while favoring low-cycle, thermal-mechanical fatigue (TMF) as the controlling mode of failure, are not definitive. Sixteen high-pressure turbine (HPT) T-1 blade sets were removed from commercial aircraft engines that had been commercially flown by a single airline and inspected for damage. Each set contained 82 blades. The damage was cataloged into three categories related to their mode of failure: (1) TMF, (2) Oxidation/erosion (O/E), and (3) Other. From these field data, the turbine blade life was determined as well as the lives related to individual blade failure modes using Johnson-Weibull analysis. A simplified formula for calculating turbine blade life and reliability was formulated. The L10 blade life was calculated to be 2427 cycles (11 077 hr). The resulting blade life attributed to O/E equaled that attributed to TMF. The category that contributed most to blade failure was Other. If there were no blade failures attributed to O/E and TMF, the overall blade L(sub 10) life would increase approximately 11 to 17 percent.

Zaretsky, Erwin V.↗

Numerical and experimental analysis of mechanically induced failure in electric vehicle battery modules

Mitigating thermal runaway and cell-to-cell propagation is essential for improving the safety of electric and hybrid vehicles. Enhancing digital twin capabilities to predict battery mechanical abuse is particularly critical for automotive and aerospace applications, where crashworthiness is a key concern. Understanding failure conditions and propagation in battery modules during mechanical abuse is complex due to interactions between structural deformation, heat transfer, electrochemical processes, exothermic reactions and mechanical fracture. While prior studies have focused on modeling cell-level behavior, extending these models to module or pack level is necessary for a system level understating of electric vehicle safety. This study develops coupled large deformation finite element models that simultaneously solve for electrochemistry, material failure, internal short circuit and thermal runaway propagation. The models account for mechanical and thermal interactions between lithium-ion cells and other battery components while the contact interfaces are evolving with time. Model-predicted voltage, temperature and force responses are compared with experimental data for validation. The results demonstrate that the approach captures key failure mechanisms, including thermal propagation through heat transfer, electrical propagation from short circuits in parallel-connected cells, and mechanical propagation via penetration and crack formation. These findings show that computational models are valuable tools for understanding battery module failure and providing insight that can reduce the need for extensive experimental testing.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Determination of Turbine Blade Life from Engine Field Data

It is probable that no two engine companies determine the life of their engines or their components in the same way or apply the same experience and safety factors to their designs. Knowing the failure mode that is most likely to occur minimizes the amount of uncertainty and simplifies failure and life analysis. Available data regarding failure mode for aircraft engine blades, while favoring low-cycle, thermal mechanical fatigue as the controlling mode of failure, are not definitive. Sixteen high-pressure turbine (HPT) T-1 blade sets were removed from commercial aircraft engines that had been commercially flown by a single airline and inspected for damage. Each set contained 82 blades. The damage was cataloged into three categories related to their mode of failure: (1) Thermal-mechanical fatigue, (2) Oxidation/Erosion, and (3) "Other." From these field data, the turbine blade life was determined as well as the lives related to individual blade failure modes using Johnson-Weibull analysis. A simplified formula for calculating turbine blade life and reliability was formulated. The L(sub 10) blade life was calculated to be 2427 cycles (11 077 hr). The resulting blade life attributed to oxidation/erosion equaled that attributed to thermal-mechanical fatigue. The category that contributed most to blade failure was Other. If there were there no blade failures attributed to oxidation/erosion and thermal-mechanical fatigue, the overall blade L(sub 10) life would increase approximately 11 to 17 percent.

Zaretsky, Erwin V.↗

Setting Priorities for Photovoltaic Reliability Research Using Criticality Analysis

A forward-looking research opportunity number (RON) is defined for photovoltaic reliability researchers. The RON enables researchers to prioritize their efforts toward the highest impact. For a given degradation mode, the RON is based on three factors: the effect on levelized cost of electricity, the susceptibility of future module products, and the maturity of accelerated tests that can detect and quantify the mode. Reporting bias is avoided because the RON does not rely on polls. The RON is derived for three example cases: light and elevated temperature degradation, backsheet cracking, and antireflective coating abrasion. Finally, these examples demonstrate that targeted research has reduced the risk for these modes over the last several years.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Analysis of Navy radome failure problems

A survey of radome failure problems in military aircraft under actual operating conditions was conducted. The aircraft were operating from aircraft carriers in the Pacific Ocean. Critical problem areas were identified and a plan was developed for failure prevention. The development and application of repair kits for correcting the erosion damage are reported. It is stated that the rain erosion damage survey established a strong justification for qualification testing of all materials and designs which may have questionable life expectancy on the aircraft.

Tatnall, G. J.↗

Analysis of field usage failure rate data for plastic encapsulated solid state devices

Survey and questionnaire techniques were used to gather data from users and manufacturers on the failure rates in the field of plastic encapsulated semiconductors. It was found that such solid state devices are being successfully used by commercial companies which impose certain screening and qualification procedures. The reliability of these semiconductors is now adequate to support their consideration in NASA systems, particularly in low cost systems. The cost of performing necessary screening for NASA applications was assessed.

Source record↗

Representing functions/procedures and processes/structures for analysis of effects of failures on functions and operations

Current qualitative device and process models represent only the structure and behavior of physical systems. However, systems in the real world include goal-oriented activities that generally cannot be easily represented using current modeling techniques. An extension of a qualitative modeling system, known as functional modeling, which captures goal-oriented activities explicitly is proposed and how they may be used to support intelligent automation and fault management is shown.

Malin, Jane T.↗