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At least 757 records · Page 42

Influence of coronary artery diameter on eNOS protein content

The purpose of this study was to test the hypothesis that the content of endothelial nitric oxide synthase (eNOS) protein (eNOS protein/g total artery protein) increases with decreasing artery diameter in the coronary arterial tree. Content of eNOS protein was determined in porcine coronary arteries with immunoblot analysis. Arteries were isolated in six size categories from each heart: large arteries [301- to 2,500-microm internal diameter (ID)], small arteries (201- to 300-microm ID), resistance arteries (151- to 200-microm ID), large arterioles (101- to 150-microm ID), intermediate arterioles (51- to 100-microm ID), and small arterioles(<50-microm ID). To obtain sufficient protein for analysis from small- and intermediate-sized arterioles, five to seven arterioles 1-2 mm in length were pooled into one sample for each animal. Results establish that the number of smooth muscle cells per endothelial cell decreases from a number of 10 to 15 in large coronary arteries to 1 in the smallest arterioles. Immunohistochemistry revealed that eNOS is located only in endothelial cells in all sizes of coronary artery and in coronary capillaries. Contrary to our hypothesis, eNOS protein content did not increase with decreasing size of coronary artery. Indeed, the smallest coronary arterioles had less eNOS protein per gram of total protein than the large coronary arteries. These results indicate that eNOS protein content is greater in the endothelial cells of conduit arteries, resistance arteries, and large arterioles than in small coronary arterioles.

NASA Discipline Cardiopulmonary↗

Petrologic and In Situ Geochemical Constraints on Diogenite Genesis

Diogenites, members of the howardite, eucrite and diogenite (HED) clan, are orthopyroxenite, harzburgite and dunite meteorites [1-3]. Most are breccias, but remnant textures indicate they were originally coarse-grained rocks, with grain sizes of order of cm. Their petrography and compositions support an origin as crustal cumulates from a differentiated asteroid. Astronomical observations, and surface mineralogy and composition of Vesta determined by the Dawn spacecraft suggest that asteroid (4) Vesta is the parent object for HED meteorites [4-6]. The origin of diogenites is an unsettled issue. It is difficult to fit their bulk compositional characteristics into global magma ocean models that successfully describe the compositions of basaltic and cumulate eucrites [7]. Compositional analyses of acid-leached bulk samples have led to the hypothesis that many diogenites were formed late by interaction of their parent melts with a eucritic crust [8]. Those observations may alternatively be explained by subsolidus equilibration of trace elements between orthopyroxene and minor/ accessory phases in the rocks such as plagioclase and phosphate [7]. These competing hypotheses can be tested through in situ measurements of trace and minor elements in orthopyroxene. Our new petrologic observations and in situ minor and trace element data for a suite of diogenites are used to discuss the petrologic evolution of diogenites. Our preliminary data on two diogenites are consistent with the hypothesis that subsolidus element mobilization processes caused unusual trace element signatures seen in some diogenites [7]. We cannot stress strongly enough, however, that the sample set is too small and that additional data are required before definitive conclusions can be made.

Mittlefehldt, David W.↗

Exploring the Inorganic Composition of the Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer Using Medium-Duration Balloon Flights

Satellite observations have revealed an enhanced aerosol layer near the tropopause over Asia during the summer monsoon, called the “Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer” (ATAL). In this work, aerosol particles in the ATAL were collected with a balloon-borne impactor near the tropopause region over India, using extended-duration balloon flights, in summer 2017 and winter 2018. The chemical composition of these particles was further investigated by quantitative analysis using offline ion chromatography. Nitrate (NO_3 ^1) and nitrite (NO_2 ^-) were found to be the dominant ions in the collected aerosols with values ranging between 87 and 343 ng m^(−3) at STP (standard temperature and pressure) during the summer campaign. In contrast, sulfate (SO_4 ^(2-)) levels were found to be above the detection limit (>10 ng m^(−3) at STP) only in winter. In addition, we determined the origin of the air masses sampled during the flights using the analysis of back trajectories as well as a convective proxy from cloud-top temperature fields derived from a geostationary satellite. The results obtained from this analysis were put into the context of large-scale transport and aerosol distribution using GEOS-Chem chemical transport model simulations. The first flight in summer 2017 which sampled an air mass within the Asian monsoon anticyclone (AMA), influenced by convection over Western China, was associated with particle size diameters from 0.05 to 0.15 µm. In contrast, the second flight sampled air masses at the edge of the AMA associated with a larger particle size radius (>2 µm) with a higher NO_2 ^- concentration. The sampled air masses in winter 2018 were likely affected by smoke from the Pacific Northwest fire event in Canada, which occurred 7 months before our campaign, associated with concentration enhancements of SO_4 (^2-) and Ca^(2+). Overall, our results suggest that nitrogen-containing particles represent a large fraction of cloud-free and in-cloud aerosols populating the ATAL, which is partially in agreement with the results from aircraft measurements during the StratoClim (Stratospheric and upper tropospheric processes for better climate predictions) campaign. The exact nature of those particles is still unknown, but their coincidences with subvisible cirrus clouds and their sizes suggest nitric acid trihydrate (NAT) as a possible candidate, as NAT has already been observed in the tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere in other studies. Furthermore, GEOS-Chem model simulations indicate that lightning NOx emissions could have significantly impacted the production of nitrate aerosols sampled during the summer of 2017.

Hazel Vernier↗

Three-Dimensional Reconstruction of Defects and Structures in Additively Manufactured Parts with Automated Serial Sectioning

Metal additive manufacturing (AM) processes have been demonstrated to be effective at reducing costs and lead times associated with complex components for space flight applications. Laser powderbed fusion (L-PBF) is a commonly used AM technology due to the ability to produce complex parts with fine feature resolution in a wide variety of alloys and applications. L-PBF, like many other manufacturing processes, can produce minor flaws in parts when in nominal operation as well as process-escape defects when process abnormalities occur. The effects of the flaws and methods of detecting the flaws are a subject of interest to understand the difficulties in detecting these flaws with current technology and how much risk the flaws or defects pose to potential flight parts. Using a RoboMet.3D automated serial sectioning system, seeded defects as well as minor process flaws can be imaged and reconstructed in three dimensions to compare to non-destructive evaluation (NDE) techniques, such as x-ray computed tomography (CT), neutron CT, and in-situ monitoring. The RoboMet automates the metallography process by automatically grinding, polishing, and imaging samples in a single system and providing the control data for NDE comparisons to know the real size of defects built into coupons. These comparisons provide an understanding behind the technological limitations of the NDE techniques for different alloys. The same serial sectioning methods have also been utilized to characterize the surfaces of parts to reconstruct the surfaces and take measurements of internal features not easily examined with non-destructive methods. Using the RoboMet, fine lattice structures built with L-PBF have been characterized to determine the actual thicknesses of struts and density of the lattice structures. These structures have been used as finer build supports for the L-PBF process, designs for fine catalysts, and other design considerations for small components. The RoboMet data helps to inform the modeling and design efforts around these fine components.

additive manufacturing↗

Implications from Monitoring Gopher Tortoises at Two Spatial Scales

A problem that conservation biologists face is how to monitor species, given both resource limitations and the inherent challenges of assessing long-term demographic processes. We assessed gopher tortoise (Gopherus polyphemus) abundance at a landscape scale and at the scale of 3 local populations within the Conecuh National Forest (CNF).USA between 1991 and 2017. Landscape-level data were collected 26 from line transect distance sampling arranged uniformly across the CNF and collected during a single season (2011); data for local populations were generated from long-term mark-recapture of individuals at three sites selected based on prior knowledge of high density at each. At a landscape scale, we estimated 5,242 (95% CI = 3,538-7,768) tortoises occurred across the approximately 34,000-ha forest, yielding a density of 0.14-0.32 tortoises/ ha. These low densities across the landscape suggest that, on average, management activities across the property have not allowed tortoise populations to retain social structure needed for long-term persistence. The three local populations, however, contained 25-60 individuals and densities of 1.9–6.9 tortoises/ha. Over the study period, populations at two sites were stable and the third experienced significant population growth. Mean annual survival of individuals was 0.89 and invariant across size classes. Altogether, line transect distance sampling is important for assessing landscape-scale abundance of tortoises but may fail to detect local clusters of high-density sites important for population persistence. Our mark-recapture efforts at the local scale revealed that small populations on these high-density sites can exhibit long-term stability or growth even though they do not meet current established criteria for viability. Improved models that incorporate immigration and emigration and better reflect dynamics of peripheral populations would assist in determining how such populations best contribute to species recovery and regional conservation targets.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

RUScal : Software for the analysis of resonant ultrasound spectroscopy measurements

Resonant ultrasound spectroscopy is used to nondestructively measure the elastic resonances of small solids to elucidate the material's elastic properties or other qualities like size, shape, or composition. In this work, we introduce the software RUScal for the purpose of determining elastic properties by analyzing the eigenfrequencies of solid specimens with common shapes, such as rectangular parallelepipeds, cylinders (solid and hollow tube), ellipsoids, and octahedrons, as well as irregularly shaped ellipsoids that can be described analytically. All symmetry classes are supported, from isotropic to triclinic, along with the option to add or remove up to three orthogonal mirror planes as well as the ability to reorient the crystal axes with respect the sample edges via Euler angles. Additional features include tools to help find initial sets of elastic constants, including grid exploration and Monte Carlo methods, a tool to analyze frequencies as a function of sample length or crystal orientation, an error analysis tool to assess fit quality, and formatting of the input and output files for batch fitting, e.g., as a function of temperature. This software was validated with published resonant ultrasound spectroscopy data for various materials, shapes, and symmetries with noted improvements in calculation time compared to finite element methods.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Relationships between summertime surface albedo and melt pond fraction in the central Arctic Ocean: The aggregate scale of albedo obtained on the MOSAiC floe

As part of the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC), the HELiX uncrewed aircraft system (UAS) was deployed over the sea ice in the central Arctic Ocean during summer 2020. Albedo measurements were obtained with stabilized pyranometers, and melt pond fraction was calculated from orthomosaic imagery from a surface-imaging multispectral camera. This study analyzed HELiX flight data to provide insights on the temporal and spatial evolution of albedo and melt pond fraction of the MOSAiC floe during the melt season as it drifted south through Fram Strait. The surface albedo distributions showed peak values changing from high albedo (0.55–0.6) to lower values (0.3) as the season advanced. Inspired by methods developed for satellite data, an algorithm was established to retrieve melt pond fraction from the orthomosaic images. We demonstrate that the near-surface observations of melt pond fraction were highly dependent on sample area, offering insight into the influence of subgrid scale features and spatial heterogeneity in satellite observations. Vertical observations conducted with the HELiX were used to quantify the influence of melt pond scales on observed surface albedo as a function of sensor footprint. These scaling results were used to link surface-based measurements collected during MOSAiC to broader-scale satellite data to investigate the influence of surface features on observed albedo. Albedo values blend underlying features within the sensor footprint, as determined by the melt pond size and concentration. This study framed the downscaling (upscaling) problem related to the airborne (surface) observations of surface albedo across a variety of spatial scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Precipitate Characterization in Model Al-Zn-Mg-(Cu) Alloys Using Small-Angle X-ray Scattering

Model 7000 series alloys with and without copper were fabricated into sheets to study precipitation hardening behavior under isothermal aging conditions. Samples of each alloy were subjected to 3 h annealing treatments at various temperatures to produce a range of precipitate size distributions. Hardness, electrical conductivity, and small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) were used to characterize the aging behavior of the two alloys. Precipitate size distributions were modeled from the scattering curves for each annealing condition using a maximum entropy method (MEM) and compared to select transmission electron microscopy (TEM) results. The measured average precipitate diameters from TEM were in good agreement with the average precipitate diameters determined from the scattering curves.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Observing system simulation experiments related to space-borne Lidar wind profiling. Part 2: Sensitivity to atmospheric and instrumental influences

Three major potential sources of errors that influence the performance of the proposed LIDAR wind profiling systems are accounted for in the following simulation studies. First, the coherent CO2 laser system proposed by NOAA/ERL for the WINDSAT requires distributions of 10 microns size aerosol concentrations throughout the atmosphere to determine the Doppler shifted backscatter signal. Second, atmospheric influences such as clouds and precipitation affect the LIDAR system's ability to obtain complete vertical wind profiles. In this study, experiments are reported on in which the complete wind profiles are only available in model generated cloud-free regions down to model cloud tops. Third, constraints on the available power required for the expected operational lifetime duration of a LIDAR system govern the number of pulses which can be used to sample a 300 km square area.

Dlouhy, R.↗

Results from returned spacecraft surfaces

Meteoroid and space debris impact data obtained from space exposed spacecraft parts or meteoroid experiments is analyzed. The returned space exposed surfaces considered include spacecraft windows, meteoroid experiments exposed on space flights, and samples of opportunity such as foil wrapped around a cosmic ray package. The debris flux is found to exceed the meteoroid flux in creating impact craters smaller than 20 microns in diameter, and may again exceed it for impact structures larger than a few mm in diameter. For impact structures between 100 microns and 1 mm in diameter, the debris flux is found to be several times less than the meteoroid flux. Determining more accurately the meteoroid or orbital debris mass that makes a given crater or hole size remains is considered to be the main remaining problem.

Zook, Herbert A.↗

Cardiovascular Deconditioning

Spaceflight causes adaptive changes in cardiovascular function that may deleteriously affect crew health and safety. Over the last three decades, symptoms of cardiovascular changes have ranged from postflight orthostatic tachycardia and decreased exercise capacity to serious cardiac rhythm disturbances during extravehicular activities (EVA). The most documented symptom of cardiovascular dysfunction, postflight orthostatic intolerance, has affected a significant percentage of U.S. Space Shuttle astronauts. Problems of cardiovascular dysfunction associated with spaceflight are a concern to NASA. This has been particularly true during Shuttle flights where the primary concern is the crew's physical health, including the pilot's ability to land the Orbiter, and the crew's ability to quickly egress and move to safety should a dangerous condition arise. The study of astronauts during Shuttle activities is inherently more difficult than most human research. Consequently, sample sizes have been small and results have lacked consistency. Before the Extended Duration Orbiter Medical Project (EDOMP), there was a lack of normative data on changes in cardiovascular parameters during and after spaceflight. The EDOMP for the first time allowed studies on a large enough number of subjects to overcome some of these problems. There were three primary goals of the Cardiovascular EDOMP studies. The first was to establish, through descriptive studies, a normative data base of cardiovascular changes attributable to spaceflight. The second goal was to determine mechanisms of cardiovascular changes resulting from spaceflight (particularly orthostatic hypotension and cardiac rhythm disturbances). The third was to evaluate possible countermeasures. The Cardiovascular EDOMP studies involved parallel descriptive, mechanistic, and countermeasure evaluations.

Charles, John B.↗

Assessing the thermal maturity of black shales using vitrinite reflectance: Insights from Devonian black shales in the eastern United States

Thermal maturity of source rocks indicated by vitrinite reflectance (R o ) is an important and reliable parameter to determine the petroleum potential of sedimentary basins. Originally, R o was used to characterize the degree of coalification of coals and thus works well for coal seams, but it has limitations when used to determine the thermal maturity of black shale successions. A suite of six coal-shale pairs from the Upper Devonian black shale formations in the eastern United States (New Albany Shale, Ohio Shale, Dunkirk Shale, and Rhinestreet Shale) was selected to study the applicability of R o in assessing the thermal maturity of black shale successions. The results show that vitrinite in the studied coal samples is dominated by collotelinite, whereas vitrinite in black shales occurs as small dispersed particles (~5 μm) in the mineral matrix. When comparing the size and morphology of dispersed vitrinite particles in shales and collotelinite fragments in coals, vitrinite in shales and adjacent coals should have the same origin. The measured mean random R o of vitrinite in coals ranges from 0.51–0.68%, and is 0.04–0.11% (average 0.07%) lower than that of dispersed vitrinite particles in enclosing shales. This observation contrasts with previously reported R o suppression in liptinite-rich black shales. A high standard deviation of R o measurements indicates a highly heterogeneous nature of vitrinite in black shales. Three mechanisms can be envisioned to contribute to the higher R o of dispersed vitrinite particles in black shales relative to enclosed coals. First, small vitrinite particles may become more oxidized because small particles are more frequently suspended during transport to the site of deposition and reworking of bottom sediments after deposition than large pieces of driftwood that will turn into enclosed coal lenses during burial diagenesis. Second, misidentification of zooclast (e.g., chitinozoan) fragments as vitrinite due to loss of diagnostic morphology. Third, various macerals in the vitrinite group (e.g., corpogelinite and collotelinite) may have had different original reflectance values. Based on the petrographic characteristics of vitrinite and vitrinite-like particles, caution should be applied when using the R o values of dispersed vitrinite and vitrinite-like particles in black shales as indicators of thermal maturity.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Infrared Optical Constants from Pressed Pellets of Powders: I. Improved n and k Values of (NH4)(2)SO(4)from Single-Angle Reflectance

In combination with other parameters, the real, n(?), and imaginary, k(?), components of the complex refractive index, = n + ik, can be used to simulate the optical properties of a material in different forms, e.g. its infrared spectra. But obtaining reliable values of the optical constants n/k for solid materials is challenging due to the lack of optical quality specimens, usually crystals, large enough to measure. An alternative to crystals is to press the powder into a uniform disk. We have produced pellets from ammonium sulfate, (NH4)2SO4, powder and derived the pellets’ n and k values via single-angle reflectance using a specular reflectance device in combination with a Fourier transform infrared spectrometer. The single-angle technique measures amplitude of light reflected from the material as a function of wavelength over a wide spectral domain; the optical constants are determined from the reflectance data using the Kramers-Kronig relationship. We investigate several parameters associated with the pellets and pellet formation and their effects upon delivering the most reliable n/k values. Parameters studied include pellet diameter, mass and density (void space), drying, grinding, sieving and particle size in the pellet formation, as well as pressing pressure and duration. Of these parameters, using size-selected mixtures of dried, small (< 100 µm) particles and pressing at = 10 tons for at least 30 minutes were found key to forming highly reflective samples. Comparison to two sets of previous literature n(?) and k(?) values obtained from crystalline (NH4)2SO4 both as crystal reflectance as well as extinction spectra of aerosols measured in a flow tube show reasonable agreement, but suggests the present values, as confirmed from two independent techniques, represent a substantial improvement for n/k values for (NH4)2SO4, also demonstrating promise to measure the optical constants of other materials.

Optical constants, index of refraction, single-ang↗

The relation of radar to cloud area-time integrals and implications for rain measurements from space

The relationships between satellite-based and radar-measured area-time integrals (ATI) for convective storms are determined, and both are shown to depend on the climatological conditional mean rain rate and the ratio of the measured cloud area to the actual rain area of the storms. The GOES precipitation index of Arkin (1986) for convective storms, an area-time integral for satellite cloud areas, is shown to be related to the ATI for radar-observed rain areas. The quality of GPI-based rainfall estimates depends on how well the cloud area is related to the rain area and the size of the sampling domain. It is also noted that the use of a GOES cloud ATI in conjunction with the radar area-time integral will improve the accuracy of rainfall estimates and allow such estimates to be made in much smaller space-time domains than the 1-month and 5-deg boxes anticipated for the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission.

Atlas, David↗

Stress Tuning of Laser Crystals

The topic of stress tunable laser crystals is addressed in this study with the purpose of determining the piezo-optic coefficients of a new laser material. This data was collected using a quadruple pass birefringence technique because of its high degree of sensitivity relative to the other methods examined including fringe shift analysis using a Mach-Zender interferometer. A green He-Ne laser was passed through a light chopper and Glan-Thompson prism before entering a crystal of Erbium doped Yttrium Aluminum Garnet (Er:YAG) (used in order to validate the experimental technique). The Er:YAG crystal is mounted in a press mechanism and the laser is quadruple passed through test specimen before being returned through the prism and the orthogonally polarized portion of the beam measured with a optical sensor. At a later stage, the Er:YAG crystal was replaced with a new crystal in order to determine the piezo-optic coefficients of this uncharacterized material. The applied load was monitored with the use of a 50 lb. load cell placed in line with the press. Light transmission readings were taken using a lock-in amplifier while load cell measurements were taken with a voltmeter from a 5 volt, 0.5 amp power supply. Despite the fact that an effective crystal press damping system was developed, size limitations precluded the use of the complete system. For this reason, data points were taken only once per full turn so as to minimize the effect of non uniform load application on the collected data. Good correlation was found in the transmission data between the experimentally determined Er:YAG and the previously known peizo-optic constants of non-doped crystal with which it was compared. The variation which was found between the two could be accounted for by the aforementioned presence of Erbium in the experimental sample (for which exact empirical data was not known). The same test procedure was then carried out on a Yttrium Gallium Aluminum garnet (YGAG) for the purpose of establishing values of its unknown piezo-optic constant tensor using experimentally collected transmission data. Significant variation between the piezo-optic constants of YAG and YGAG crystals was found however, the excellent data correlation of separate experimental runs carried out on the YGAG sample demonstrates the validity of these results. The data collected during the stressing of the YGAG was of high quality, however the amount of data collected was somewhat limited by a fracture of YGAG specimen which undoubted altered the crystalline lattice structure and hence precluded any further testing.

Carty, Atherton A.↗

Factors controlling precision and accuracy in isotope-ratio-monitoring mass spectrometry

The performance of systems in which picomole quantities of sample are mixed with a carrier gas and passed through an isotope-ratio mass spectrometer system was examined experimentally and theoretically. Two different mass spectrometers were used, both having electron-impact ion sources and Faraday cup collector systems. One had an accelerating potential of 10kV and accepted 0.2 mL of He/min, producing, under those conditions, a maximum efficiency of 1 CO2 molecular ion collected per 700 molecules introduced. Comparable figures for the second instrument were 3 kV, 0.5 mL of He/min, and 14000 molecules/ion. Signal pathways were adjusted so that response times were <200 ms. Sample-related ion currents appeared as peaks with widths of 3-30 s. Isotope ratios were determined by comparison to signals produced by standard gases. In spite of rapid variations in signals, observed levels of performance were within a factor of 2 of shot-noise limits. For the 10-kV instrument, sample requirements for standard deviations of 0.1 and 0.5% were 45 and 1.7 pmol, respectively. Comparable requirements for the 3-kV instrument were 900 and 36 pmol. Drifts in instrumental characteristics were adequately neutralized when standards were observed at 20-min intervals. For the 10-kV instrument, computed isotopic compositions were independent of sample size and signal strength over the ranges examined. Nonlinearities of <0.04%/V were observed for the 3-kV system. Procedures for observation and subtraction of background ion currents were examined experimentally and theoretically. For sample/ background ratios varying from >10 to 0.3, precision is expected and observed to decrease approximately 2-fold and to depend only weakly on the precision with which background ion currents have been measured.

NASA Discipline Exobiology↗

Directed Design of Experiments for Validating Probability of Detection Capability of a Testing System

A method of validating a probability of detection (POD) testing system using directed design of experiments (DOE) includes recording an input data set of observed hit and miss or analog data for sample components as a function of size of a flaw in the components. The method also includes processing the input data set to generate an output data set having an optimal class width, assigning a case number to the output data set, and generating validation instructions based on the assigned case number. An apparatus includes a host machine for receiving the input data set from the testing system and an algorithm for executing DOE to validate the test system. The algorithm applies DOE to the input data set to determine a data set having an optimal class width, assigns a case number to that data set, and generates validation instructions based on the case number.

Generazio, Edward R.↗

The Distribution of U.S. Electric Utility Revenue Decoupling Rate Impacts from 2005 to 2017

Investments in energy efficiency and distributed generation reduce electric utility retail sales. Since electric utilities have historically collected a large portion of revenues from volumetric energy rates (¢/kWh), such reductions in sales can impact the utility’s ability to sufficiently recover non-production costs. Regulatory mechanisms that “decouple” utility revenues from sales were implemented to help make the utility indifferent to energy efficiency and distributed generation by ensuring the utility is able to collect an allowed level of revenue each year regardless of its sales. However, noticeable and consistent surcharges over time may create the perception of an incorrectly designed or implemented decoupling mechanism. To date, there are limited quantitative analyses of the rate adjustments due to decoupling mechanisms implemented among U.S. electric utilities (see Morgan, 2013). Given the recent rapid increase in distributed energy resource (DER) adoption in some states and utility service territories, consumers may be facing more prevalent and ongoing decoupling surcharges. This, in turn, may undermine stakeholder support for implementation of decoupling mechanisms and the associated utility support for energy efficiency and DERs. To determine the size of retail rate adjustments associated with decoupling mechanisms and whether they have a tendency towards bill surcharges or credits, we analyzed a large dataset of historical annual decoupling rate adjustments for 21 electric utilities in 11 states between 2005 and 2017. We found that decoupling mechanisms adjusted rates, both up and down, between rate cases, and the majority of those adjustments (54 percent) are small (within a range of -1 to 1 percent). However, we also found that 64 percent of the rate adjustment observations in our sample showed a positive rate adjustment. Importantly, once a surcharge is applied there is an 86 percent chance that there will be a surcharge in the next year as well. While our analysis did not seek to understand the root causes for such results, some possible factors include the accuracy of revenue requirement forecasts, emerging structural changes in customer use and production of energy, misaligned financial motivation, and other factors that influence sales (e.g., economic recession).

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗