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At least 757 records · Page 42

Estimating groundwater dynamics at a Colorado River floodplain site using historical hydrological data and climate information

Long-term prediction of groundwater dynamics is important for assessing water resources and their impacts on biogeochemical cycling. However, estimating future groundwater dynamics is challenging due to the wide range of spatiotemporal scales in hydrological processes and uncertainty in future climate conditions. In this study, we develop a Bayesian model to combine small-scale historical hydrological data with large-scale climate information to estimate groundwater dynamics at a floodplain site in Rifle, Colorado. Although we have only a few years of groundwater elevation measurements, we have 47 years of streamflow data from a gaging station approximately 43 km upstream and long-term climate prediction on the Upper Colorado River Basin. To estimate future daily groundwater dynamics, we first develop a time series model to downscale the monthly streamflow derived from climate information to daily streamflow, and then transform the daily streamflow to groundwater dynamics at the downstream floodplain site. We use Monte Carlo methods to estimate future groundwater dynamics at the site through sampling from the joint posterior probability distribution. The results suggest that although future groundwater levels are expected to be similar to the current levels, the timing of the high groundwater levels is predicted to occur about 1 month earlier. The developed framework is extendable to other sites to estimate future groundwater dynamics given disparate data sets and climate projections. Additionally, the obtained estimates are being used as input to a site-specific watershed reactive transport models to predict how climate-induced changes will influence future biogeochemical cycling relevant to a variety of ecosystem services.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Archie's Saturation Exponent for Natural Gas Hydrate in Coarse-Grained Reservoirs

Accurately quantifying the amount of naturally occurring gas hydrate in marine and permafrost environments is important for assessing its resource potential and understanding the role of gas hydrate in the global carbon cycle. Electrical resistivity well logs are often used to calculate gas hydrate saturations, S h , using Archie's equation. Archie's equation, in turn, relies on an empirical saturation parameter, n . Though n = 1.9 has been measured for ice–bearing sands and is widely used within the hydrate community, it is highly questionable if this n value is appropriate for hydrate–bearing sands. In this work, we calibrate n for hydrate–bearing sands from the Canadian permafrost gas hydrate research well, Mallik 5L–38, by establishing an independent downhole S h profile based on compressional–wave velocity log data. Using the independently determined S h profile and colocated electrical resistivity and bulk density logs, Archie's saturation equation is solved for n , and uncertainty is tracked throughout the iterative process. In addition to the Mallik 5L–38 well, we also apply this method to two marine, coarse–grained reservoirs from the northern Gulf of Mexico Gas Hydrate Joint Industry Project: Walker Ridge 313–H and Green Canyon 955–H. All locations yield similar results, each suggesting n ≈ 2.5 ± 0.5. Furthermore, for the coarse–grained hydrate bearing ( S h > 0.4) of greatest interest as potential energy resources, we suggest that n = 2.5 ± 0.5 should be applied in Archie's equation for either marine or permafrost gas hydrate settings if independent estimates of n are not available.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Limitations of reanalysis data for wind power applications

Wind energy resource estimates commonly depend on simulated wind speed profiles generated by reanalysis or weather models due to the lack of long time series measurements with sufficient coverage at relevant heights (roughly 90 m above ground). However, modeled data, including reanalyses, can be noisy and display a wide range of biases and errors, variously attributed to terrain effects, poor coverage of assimilated inputs, and model resolution. Wind generation records, if available at high temporal and geographical resolution, can provide a proxy for wind measurements and allow for evaluation of reanalyses and weather model wind time series. We use a 7-year-long data set of hourly, plant-level generation records from over 100 wind plants across Texas to evaluate two commonly used reanalysis data sets (MERRA2 and ERA5). Additionally, we use 1-year of records (2019) to evaluate an operational, high-resolution regional weather modeling product (HRRR v3). We find that across the region, and across all modeling products, the modeled representation of wind generation (i.e., wind speeds at hub heights passed through a power curve) has relatively small mean errors when aggregated daily, but that accuracy and hourly correlation have a strong diurnal sensitivity. Accuracy and correlation systematically decline through the evening and markedly improve after sunrise. These diurnal patterns persist even in the highest resolution model tested (HRRR v3). We hypothesize the nighttime decline in accuracy is mostly due to poorly represented boundary layer conditions, perhaps related to model representation of stability, while other uncertainties (such as wake effects) play a secondary role.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Lessons from the 2010 Deepwater Horizon Accident in the Gulf of Mexico

The 2010 Deepwater Horizon (DWH) accident in the Gulf of Mexico had many unique aspects to it not seen in previous marine spills. Indeed, research related to the DWH response phase, Natural Resource Damage Assessment, Gulf of Mexico Research Initiative (GoMRI), National Academy of Sciences, US agencies: NOAA, EPA, Fish & Wildlife, DOE, and Coast Guard have made this the most studied marine oil spill in the world. There are many oil biodegradation lessons learned from this experience and these will undoubtedly continue for many years.

Hazen, Terry C.↗

Using groundwater noble gas measurements to confirm paleorecharge hypotheses at Pahute Mesa, Nevada National Security Site, Nevada, USA

Pahute Mesa (Nevada, USA) was the site of 85 underground nuclear tests between 1965 and 1992 whose residual radio-chemical inventory poses a contaminant threat to local groundwater resources. To assess the fate and transport of these radionuclides in groundwater, several geochemical studies, including this one, have been conducted to understand long-term groundwater flow patterns at, and downgradient of, Pahute Mesa. Groundwater samples from the Pahute Mesa area at the Nevada National Security Site were analyzed for noble gases ( 3 He/ 4 He isotopic ratio and He, Ne, Kr, Ar and Xe concentrations) to infer groundwater recharge temperatures and provide additional evidence in support of groundwater flow patterns and the presence of late-pluvial Pleistocene groundwater. These data confirm recent findings (based on groundwater geochemistry and isotope compositions) that most recharge in the area occurred under temperature conditions much cooler than are found today, except near major drainages where ephemeral run of continues to recharge shallow groundwater. These noble gas data indicate that noble gas recharge temperatures and terrigenic He components have been reset where groundwater has flowed upward over barriers formed by caldera margins, or near the regional discharge area (Oasis Valley) where shallow groundwater has interacted with shallow soil gas. This evidence from groundwater noble gas measurements, in combination with other isotopic and geochemical studies, supports the current understanding of the unusual hydrogeology and recharge history of Pahute Mesa.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantifying Uncertainties in Modeling Wind Resource Data from Different PBL Schemes in the WRF Model: A Case Study Over the Puerto Rico Region

This study examines the modeling uncertainty of wind resource data stemming from the use of various planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterizations available in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. WRF-based wind simulations spanning 20 years at 3-km resolution using 11 different PBL schemes are used to objectively investigate the uncertainty in modeling wind speed for land-based wind (LBW) and offshore wind (OSW) locations in Puerto Rico. The uncertainty in the wind modeling for the 20-year dataset is quantified using the spread index (SI) and standard deviation (SD). For virtual LBW and OSW sites, the SI and SD values are analyzed as calculated across various spatial and temporal scales. Because the PBL's atmospheric stability conditions can be characterized into two dominant categories, the study focuses on analyzing the SI and SD for daytime (mainly unstable PBL conditions) and nighttime (mainly stable PBL conditions). For wind shear (10 m-200 m) at the OSW and LBW sites, WRF-based numerical experiments indicate the following SI (or SD) ranges: 39%-94% (0.74 m/s-1.44 m/s) during the daytime for OSW, 50%-75% (0.68 m/s-1.19 m/s) during the daytime for LBW, 37%-60% (0.73 m/s-1.12 m/s) during the nighttime for OSW, and 57%-143 % (0.65 m/s-1.43 m/s) during the nighttime for LBW. While a high SI is observed when modeling LBW during the nighttime, there are notable modeling uncertainties during the daytime on the leeward side of the orographic barriers for Puerto Rico.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Performance analysis of hybrid power configurations: Impact on primary energy intensity, carbon dioxide emissions, and life cycle costs

In this work, utilization of Natural gas and Hydrogen to support current and future building energy needs to offset the total electric demand while improving the grid resiliency and energy efficiency was investigated. Demand side energy management will play an important role in efficiently managing the available energy resources. Performance assessment of different power generation and energy management configurations is presented in this paper. Development of solutions in addressing grid resiliency by providing the ability to design suitable configurations for meeting individual building energy needs is discussed. Primary movers (PM) such as internal combustion engines (ICE) and fuel cells (FC) along with small scale auxiliary renewable energy source such as photovoltaics (PV) were considered. Key attributes of total carbon foot-print, life cycle costs including capital and operational expenditure, electric grid offset or peak shaving capability, thermal energy availability and its further potential to offset total electric demand, and primary energy intensity are analyzed and discussed in detail.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Improved field evaluation of reference cells using spectral measurements

Output from an IMT reference solar cell mounted on a one-axis tracking surface is investigated using spectral measurements covering the 350–1650 nm range for selected days throughout the year. Comparisons are made to a Class-A pyranometer also mounted on the one-axis tracking surface. Systematic biases over the day and year are observed in the ratio of the reference cell’s measurements to reference pyranometer measurements. This systematic bias is associated with the spectral, temperature, and angle-of-incident effects that differ between the reference cell and the reference pyranometer. The comparison is done for selected clear and totally cloudy days to determine the magnitude of the effects and to characterize the influence of these effects on the reference cell measurements. A model to calculate the reference cell output based on spectral irradiance and reference cell temperature is introduced.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Material analysis of Bottom ash from waste-to-energy plants

Bottom ash (BA) from waste-to-energy (WtE) plants contains valuable components, particularly ferrous (Fe) and non-ferrous (NFe) metals, which can be recovered. To assess the resource recovery potential of BA in the Czech Republic, it was necessary to obtain its detailed material composition. This paper presents the material composition of BA samples from all three Czech WtE plants. It was found that the BA contained 9.2–22.7% glass, 1.8–5.1% ceramics and porcelain, 0.2–1.0% unburnt organic matter, 10.2–16.3% magnetic fraction, 6.1–11.0% Fe scrap, and 1.3–2.8% NFe metals (in dry matter). The contents of individual components were also studied with respect to the BA granulometry and character of the WtE waste collection area.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Coupling Waste Feedstocks to Microbial Protein Production in a Circular Food System

Global food production is a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, water consumption, and land use. As an alternative to conventional agriculture, the production of waste-derived microbial protein (MP) holds promise for reducing environmental impacts. MP can be mass-produced in volumetrically scalable fermentation processes on short time scales, enabling facile scale-up with lower greenhouse gas emissions, land use, and water impacts than animal and, in some cases, plant protein. MP can also be produced from waste feedstocks, diverting waste from landfills or the natural environment. This Perspective explores the availability and suitability of waste feedstocks for MP production, suggesting that MP generated from waste feedstocks in the United States could fulfill twice the current national protein demand. Here, we also discuss the biotechnological and separations processes required to produce food-grade MP for human consumption from waste. Key challenges include MP consistency, consumer and regulatory acceptance, and the process utilities (electricity, heat, and nutrients) that account for up to 85% of MP costs and most environmental impacts, all of which present opportunities for innovation in the microbiology and process design spaces. Overall, this work highlights the potential of MP to contribute to a more circular, resilient, and sustainable food system.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Taking advantage of modern turbines

Here, wind facilities have generally deployed turbines of the same power and height in regular uniform arrays. Now, the modern generation of turbines, with customer-selectable tower heights and larger rotors, can significantly increase wind energy's economic potential using less land to generate cheaper electricity.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

PATHWAYS OF LARGE-SCALE MAGNETIC COUPLINGS BETWEEN SOLAR CORONAL EVENTS

The high-cadence, comprehensive view of the solar corona by SDO/AIA shows many events that are widely separated in space while occurring close together in time. In some cases, sets of coronal events are evidently causally related, while in many other instances indirect evidence can be found. We present case studies to highlight a variety of coupling processes involved in coronal events. We find that physical linkages between events do occur, but concur with earlier studies that these couplings appear to be crucial to understanding the initiation of major eruptive or explosive phenomena relatively infrequently. We note that the post-eruption reconfiguration timescale of the large-scale corona, estimated from the extreme-ultraviolet afterglow, is on average longer than the mean time between coronal mass ejections (CMEs), so that many CMEs originate from a corona that is still adjusting from a previous event. We argue that the coronal field is intrinsically global: current systems build up over days to months, the relaxation after eruptions continues over many hours, and evolving connections easily span much of a hemisphere. This needs to be reflected in our modeling of the connections from the solar surface into the heliosphere to properly model the solar wind, its perturbations, and the generation and propagation of solar energetic particles. However, the large-scale field cannot be constructed reliably by currently available observational resources. We assess the potential of high-quality observations from beyond Earth's perspective and advanced global modeling to understand the couplings between coronal events in the context of CMEs and solar energetic particle events.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Spectral Effects in Albedo and Rearside Irradiance Measurement for Bifacial Performance Estimation

We investigate the impact of spectral dependence of ground surface reflectivity on albedo and rearside irradiance measurements necessary for bifacial photovoltaic (PV) module performance estimation and monitoring. Because PV modules are spectrally selective, albedo and irradiance measurements performed with common irradiance sensors may require spectral mismatch corrections when used for performance prediction. We investigate via simulation the differences in spectrally responsive albedo measured with thermopile pyranometers and crystalline silicon PV reference cells in comparison to a typical crystalline-silicon bifacial PV module. Simulations are performed for nine different representative ground surface materials using simulated solar spectra together with spectral reflectivity data distributed with the SMARTS simulation software. For the materials considered, the results show that albedo spectral mismatch relative to the bifacial module is distributed over a range of ±9.2% for thermopile pyranometers versus only ±3.7% for a typical PV reference cell. We consider the impact of this spectrally-responsive albedo mismatch on bifacial PV module rearside irradiance measurements. Using synthesized rearside spectral irradiance distributions, we find that for the nine different ground surface materials the predicted rearside irradiance measurement deviates from the effective irradiance observed by the PV module by on the order of 16.5 W/m 2 for the pyranometer and 3.6 W/m 2 for the PV reference cell. We discuss the implications for bifacial albedo and irradiance measurement.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗