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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 757 records · Page 42
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Interinstitutional Study of the New EURO-GANEX Process Resistance by Gamma Irradiation Test Loops

As part of the homogeneous actinides recycling strategy, the EURO-GANEX process is one of the most promising options to achieve the goal of minor actinides recovery. However, EURO-GANEX also has various drawbacks that are being addressed. Improvements made to EURO-GANEX system have resulted in the emergence of the so-called New EURO-GANEX process, where the composition of the solvent has been modified by replacing TODGA and DMDOHEMA with cis-mTDDGA in the organic phase and SO3-Ph-BTP with PyTri-Diol in the aqueous phase in order to resolve important issues. The objective of this work is twofold: evaluate the gamma radiolysis resistance of the new EURO-GANEX process by dynamic irradiation conditions simulating the three main steps of the process and validate the design of CIEMAT Náyade, CEA Marcel and INL irradiation loop devices since each of them mimics different aspects of the real process. Náyade and the INL loops could irradiate together the organic and aqueous phases, whereas in the CEA loop, the irradiated solvent is recycled continuously inside a platform with several stages of mixer-settlers containing aqueous flows simulating the three main steps of the process. The extraction performances and changes in the composition of the solvent have been analysed during the irradiation experiment by different techniques: gamma spectrometry and ICP-MS/OES for cations or tracers extraction, and HPLC-MS to quantify the degradation and evaluate the degradation compounds. Additionally, in spite of some differences between the three-irradiation facilities, this inter-institutional study shows that they are three comparative tools, which provide results on the stability towards radiolysis of a liquid-liquid extraction system. Favourable extraction results for the different steps are obtained according to the static irradiation studies found in literature. However, the degradation of cis-mTDDGA is appreciable leading to degradation compounds, some of which form precipitates and produce important changes in viscosity, important aspects that must be addressed prior to the successful industrial application of the new EURO-GANEX process.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗
DOE OSTI2022

Bubble Point Measurements of Three Binary Mixtures of Refrigerants: R-32/1234yf, R-32/1234ze(E), and R-1132a/1234yf

In this article, bubble point pressures of three binary mixtures at two compositions each have been measured utilizing a static method. The mixtures studied were difluoromethane + 2,3,3,3-tetrafluoroprop-1-ene (R-32/1234yf), difluoromethane + (E)-1,3,3,3-tetrafluoroprop-1-ene (R-32/1234ze(E)), and 1,1-difluoroethene + 2,3,3,3-tetrafluoroprop-1-ene (R-1132a/1234yf). For all of the mixtures, the minimum temperature measured was 270 K. The maximum temperatures measured for the R-32/1234ze(E), R-32/1234yf, and R-1132a/1234yf mixtures were 360, 345, and 325 K, respectively. A total of 100 bubble point pressures are reported and compared to available literature data relative to the REFPROP database. Lemmon, E. W. [ NIST Standard Reference Database 23: Reference Fluid Thermodynamic and Transport Properties-REFPROP, 10.0; National Institute of Standards and Technology, Standard Reference Data Program: Gaithersburg, 2018]. Additionally, the bubble point pressures obtained in this study are modeled using the perturbed-chain statistical associating fluid theory (PC-SAFT) equation of state. The PC-SAFT model parameters, as well as deviations of this work and literature data from the model, are reported.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Safety moments in chemical safety education.

Chemical safety education is a critical aspect of an integrated culture of safety in academic research settings. Showcasing best practices and sharing practical solutions for recognizing hazards and minimizing risks represent one way of reinforcing a research community's actions, attitudes, and behavior toward safety. For goals of improving chemical safety education with nonformal endeavors, safety moments are similar to 1-2 slides that focus on raising awareness and knowledge for routine safety issues in research laboratories. Intended to catalyze brief discussions at the beginning of meetings and presentations, these materials provide a proactive way for students and faculty to engage in open communication on diverse research safety topics across science and engineering. This commentary provides an overview of designing effective safety moments and tailoring them to highlight practical safety needs and considerations. Key components of model safety moment slides are presented, alongside centralized resources assembled by student-led laboratory safety teams, which can also be extended to posters, social media platforms, online videos, and other forms of scientific communication. Combined with both top-down backing from institution leaders and bottom-up support from student researchers, safety moments remain a low-barrier risk reduction strategy that is easy to implement, encourages local dialogue on safety, combats complacency, and holds potential for facilitating long-term improvements to academic lab safety culture.

Communication/Writing↗
DOE OSTI2021

Cryogenic Vibrationally Resolved Photoelectron Spectroscopy of OH–(H2O): Confirmation of Multidimensional Franck-Condon Simulation Results for the Transition State of the OH + H2O Reaction

We present a transition state spectroscopic study of the OH + H2O reaction using the experimental technique of cryogenic Negative Ion Photoelectron Spectroscopy (NIPES). The recorded NIPE spectrum at 193 nm exhibits multiple vibrational progressions that include excitations to the shared H atom antisymmetric stretching mode with an interval of 0.32 eV as well as other progressions, mainly involving the H bending and O…O symmetric stretching modes. The Vertical Detachment Energy (VDE) was measured at 3.53 eV, whereas an upper limit for the Adiabatic Detachment Energy (ADE) was estimated at 2.90 eV. These values are in excellent agreement with the theoretically computed values of 3.51 eV and 2.83 eV respectively, obtained at the CCSD(T)/aug-cc-pV5Z level of theory. The recorded NIPE spectrum is in very good agreement when compared to the one recently reported from four-dimensional Franck-Condon simulations, in which a similar spectral profile was predicted. Besides observing the ground state, a charge-transfer excited state in the form of [OH–(H2O)+] is identified with a relative energy of 1.39 eV, well matching the previous prediction of 1.36 eV. This work was supported by U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Science, Office of Basic Energy Sciences, Division of Chemical Sciences, Geosciences, and Biosciences, and performed using EMSL, a national scientific user facility sponsored by DOE’s Office of Biological and Environmental Research and located at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, which is operated by Battelle Memorial Institute for the DOE. The theoretical calculations were conducted on EMSL’s “Cascade” Supercomputer. This research also used resources of the National Energy Research Scientific Computing Center, which is supported by the Office of Science of the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC02-05CH11231.

Cao, Wenjin↗
DOE OSTI2021

Photoelectron Spectroscopy and Theoretical Study on Monosolvated Cyanate Analogue Clusters ECX-· Sol (ECX- = NCSe-, AsCSe- and AsCS-; Sol = H2O, CH3CN)

Six monosolvated cyanate analogue clusters ECX-?Sol (ECX– = NCSe-, AsCSe-, and AsCS-; Sol = H2O and CH3CN) were investigated using negative ion photoelectron spectroscopy (NIPES). NIPES experiments show that these clusters possess overall similar spectra compared to their respective isolated ECX- anions but shift to higher electron binding energy with solvent CH3CN stabilizing the excess electrons slightly more than H2O. For the ECX-·H2O series, vertical detachment energies and their increments relative to the bare species are measured to be 3.700 / 0.370, 3.085 / 0.425, 3.085 / 0.430 eV for NCSe-, AsCSe- and AsCS-, respectively, while the corresponding values in ECX-·CH3CN series are 3.835 / 0.505, 3.145 / 0.475, and 3.135 / 0.480 eV. Ab initio electronic structure calculations indicate the excess charges located at the terminal N and Se atoms in NCSe- and migrated to the central C atom in AsCSe- and AsCS-. For NCSe-, the solvation is driven by the interactions with the two negatively charged terminal ends, while for AsCSe- and AsCS-, the solvation revolves around the interactions with the central C atom, where all the excess negative charge is concentrated. Two nearly degenerate isomers for NCSe-·H2O are identified, one forming a single strong N…H-O hydrogen bond (HB) and the other featuring a bidentate HB with two hydroxyl H atoms pointing to N and Se ends. In contrast, the negative central C atom in AsCSe-/AsCS- allows the formation of a bifurcated HB with H2O. Similar effects are observed for the acetonitrile case, in which the three H atoms of methyl group interact with the two negatively charged terminal ends in NCSe-, while prefer binding to the central negative carbon atom in AsCSe-/AsCS-. The different binding motifs derived in this work may suggest distinctly different solvation properties in NCSe- versus AsCSe-/AsCS-, with the former anion leading to asymmetric solvation at the N end of the solute, while the latter species creating more ‘isotropic’ solvation around the central C equatorial plane. This work was supported by U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Science, Office of Basic Energy Sciences, Division of Chemical Sciences, Geosciences, and Biosciences, and performed using EMSL, a national scientific user facility sponsored by DOE’s Office of Biological and Environmental Research and located at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, which is operated by Battelle Memorial Institute for the DOE. The theoretical calculations were conducted on EMSL’s “Cascade” Supercomputer.

Yuan, Qinqin↗
DOE OSTI2020

Experimental and DFT Calculated IR Spectra of Guests in Zeolites: Acyclic Olefins and Host-Guest Interactions

We performed experimental and periodic density functional theory (DFT) IR spectroscopy to investigate the adsorption of acyclic olefins over both acidic and non-acidic zeolites. Two conjugated polyenes, 2,4-dimethyl-1,3-pentadiene (I) and 2,6-dimethyl-2,4,6-octatriene (II) were studied to probe organic intermediates that can form during methanol conversion, and that can lead to deactivating species known collectively as “coke.” We computed vibrational spectra using zeolite-adsorbed and gas-phase models for both neutral and protonated forms of I and II, and compared these DFT results to diffuse reflectance IR Fourier transform (DRIFT) spectra of zeolite-guest systems. Our experimental and computational results are precise enough to pinpoint that the gauche s-cis conformation of species I predominates during adsorption over de-aluminated zeolite beta. Computed zeolite-adsorbed spectra of the protonated species I and II best represent the DRIFT spectra obtained after the adsorption of the olefins on HMOR at 20 ?, with computed bands at 1543 and 1562 cm–1 for molecules I+ and II+, respectively, attributed to the allylic stretching mode, ?(C=C–C+). These computed band frequencies are within 6 cm–1 of experimental data and confirm that the interaction between neutral acyclic olefins and acidic zeolites leads to protonation of the olefin. Comparison of computed spectra of the protonated species in the gas phase to those in the zeolite indicates that the electrostatic interaction between alkenyl and alkadienyl cations and negative zeolite framework does not significantly impact the position of the allylic stretching bands. These results highlight that computed spectroscopy and thermodynamics coupled with experimental spectra can be used for elucidating complex mixtures in zeolites, and certain spectral features of adsorbed olefins can be accurately modeled by gas-phase calculations. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS BM and SMA were supported by the National Science Foundation under Award # CBET-1512442. Acknowledgment is made to the Donors of the American Chemical Society Petroleum Research Fund for support (or partial support) of this research (#589978-ND5, EDH and FCJ). MDB was supported by the US Department of Energy (DOE), Office of Science, Office of Basic Energy Sciences (BES), Division of Materials Science and Engineering. CJM was supported by the DOE, Office of Science, BES, Division of Chemical Sciences, Geosciences, and Biosciences. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) is a multiprogram national laboratory operated by Battelle for the U.S. DOE. Computing resources were generously provided through PNNL’s institutional computing (PIC).

Manookian, Babgen↗
DOE OSTI2020

Surface Enhanced Raman Scattering Selectivity in Proteins Arises from Electron Capture and Resonant Enhancement of Radical Species

Plasmon-enhanced Raman scattering is a powerful approach to detecting and characterizing proteins in live and dynamic biological systems. However, the selective detection/enhancement of specific residues as well as spectral diffusion and fluctuations have complicated the interpretation of enhanced Raman spectra and images of biological matter. In this paper, we therefore demonstrate that the amino acid tryptophan (Trp) can capture an electron from an excited plasmon, which generates a radical anion that is resonantly enhanced: a visible excited electronic state slides into resonance upon charging. This surface enhanced resonance Raman scattering (SERRS) mechanism explains the persistence of Trp signatures in the SERS and TERS spectra of proteins. Evidence for this picture includes the observation of visible resonances in the UV-Vis extinction spectrum, changes in the ground state vibrational spectrum, and plasmon-resonance dependent behavior. DFT calculations support the experimental observations. The behavior observed from the free Trp molecule is shown to explain the SERS spectrum of the Trp-cage protein. In effect, resonant Raman scattering from radicals formed through plasmonic excitation represents an under-investigated mechanism that may be exploited for chemical sensing applications. This work was supported by the National Institutes of Health Award R01-GM109988. The authors thank Hannah Shafaat for helpful discussions and providing an azurin sample for comparison. The authors also thank Joel Harris for providing constructive comments on our manuscript.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Nanometer-Scale Correlations in Aqueous Salt Solutions

The intermediate-range (1–4 nm) correlation of cations, an- ions, and water in aqueous alkaline earth salt solutions is measured using synchrotron X-ray diffraction. We differentiate from the entire solution structure factor, S(Q), a separate region at low Q (<1 °A-1) containing local diffraction maxima (pre-peaks) that indicate nanometer-scale oscillatory behavior. These features are quantitatively reproduced with classical molecular dynamics simulations. At high concentrations, the pre-peaks emerge from correlations arising from existence of small quasi close-packed lattice- like structures comprised of cation hydration spheres. We also analyze the concentration dependence of the pre-peak and discuss the overall results in light of the rich literature dealing with intermediate-range correlations underlying universal phenomena in concentrated electrolytes. The authors were supported by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, Office of Basic Energy Sciences, Division of Chemical Sciences, Geosciences and Biosciences. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) is operated by Battelle for the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC05-76RL01830. Computing resources were generously allocated by PNNL's Institutional Computing program. DOE Contract No. DEAC02- 06CH11357 supports operation of the Advanced Photon Source at Argonne National Laboratory.

Chemical physics, nucleation, Madelung potential↗
DOE OSTI2023

Kinetic and X-ray Absorption Spectroscopic Analysis of Catalytic Redox Cycles over Highly Uniform Polymetal Oxo Clusters

Metal–organic framework materials (MOFs) offer an opportunity for investigating catalytic properties of polymetal oxo clusters that are highly well defined and uniform in nature, in contrast to other classes of catalysts that may exhibit a propensity toward active site heterogeneity. We report herein a kinetic and X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) analysis of the two-electron oxidation of CO over divalent metal sites in MIL-100(M = Fe, Cr) (MIL = Materials of Institut Lavoisier) materials carrying μ 3 -oxo bridged trimers, and connect observations about the kinetic relevance of redox steps to density functional theory (DFT) predictions published previously. The high degree of uniformity evident from in situ titration measurements leads to a congruence in mechanistic inferences made from steady-state catalytic, transient stoichiometric, isotopic exchange, and isotopic tracer data that all point to a sequential mechanism comprised of separate oxidation and reduction half-cycle steps conjoined by an active oxygen intermediate. In situ XAS data reinforce mechanistic conclusions derived from kinetic analysis, and suggest that the active oxygen intermediate may be more appropriately characterized as an iron-oxyl (Fe 3+ –O – ) rather than an iron-oxo (Fe 4+ =O 2– ) species. The Cr analogue of MIL-100 exhibits contrasting rate features that can be rationalized using an identical sequence of steps as MIL-100(Fe), but with a highly dissimilar set of kinetic parameters that can also be validated using transient stoichiometric experiments. The larger coverages of active oxygen intermediates on MIL-100(Cr) are consistent with predictions from prior DFT studies that suggest more stable and less reactive active oxygen species for metals with lower d-electron counts, and point to metal identity as a lever for precisely controlling the kinetic relevance of oxidation and reduction half-cycles in catalytic redox sequences over polymetal oxo clusters. Importantly, the results presented point to the utility of developing broadly applicable structure–catalytic property relationships over MOF nodes specifically, and highly uniform catalysts more generally.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Can Isoprene Oxidation Explain High Concentrations of Atmospheric Formic and Acetic Acid over Forests?

Formic and acetic acid concentrations are particularly high over forested areas of the world. However, the gas-phase mechanisms for producing these acids are poorly understood even for isoprene, the globally dominant biogenic hydrocarbon. We quantified formic and acetic acid production from reactions of hydroxyl radical (OH) (between high and low ranges of nitric oxide (NO) levels) with isoprene, methacrolein (MACR), isoprene epoxydiol (IEPOX), isoprene hydroxy hydroperoxide (ISOPOOH), and α-pinene from the focused isoprene experiments at California Institute of Technology (FIXCIT) laboratory chamber study. We find that (i) OH oxidation of MACR, IEPOX, and ISOPOOH are sources of formic acid, (ii) isoprene peroxy radical isomerization and associated photolysis oxidation products are potentially important sources of organic acids, and (iii) high levels of NO generally suppress organic acid formation from OH oxidation of isoprene. We modified existing chemical mechanisms for isoprene oxidation to account for organic acid production pathways observed in the FIXCIT study. We simulated organic acid production during the Southeastern Oxidant and Aerosol Study using the updated chemical mechanisms and represented acetic acid within a factor of 2 but still underpredicted formic acid by a factor of 6. While we cannot explain ambient formic acid with explicit chemical mechanisms, the FIXCIT results suggest that the oxidation of isoprene could account for as much as 70% of the global annual production of formic acid from gas-phase reactions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Opportunities for Treatment and Reuse of Agricultural Drainage in the United States

Irrigation accounts for 42% of the total freshwater withdrawals in the United States. Climate change, the pressure of a growing population, degrading water quality, and increased competition from other sectors could constrain continuous supply to meet future agricultural water demand. This study presents an evaluation framework to assess the potential reuse of agricultural drainage water for crop irrigation. Using a regional approach, we review the current state of agricultural drainage treatment and reuse and the institutional, economic, and other barriers that can influence the reuse decision. In the 31 eastern states, agricultural drainage contains valuable nutrients that can be reused for irrigation with minimal treatment, while the 17 western states struggle with large volumes of saline drainage that can contain constituents of concern (e.g., selenium), preventing reuse without treatment. Using a new decision-support tool called WaterTAP3, a potential treatment train for saline agricultural drainage was analyzed to identify treatment challenges, research needs, and the potential implementation at a larger scale. As demonstrated by our case study, desalination of agricultural drainage is costly and energy intensive and will require sizable investments to fully develop and optimize technologies as well as manage the generated waste and brine.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Assessing the Accuracy of Property Model Predictions for Cost Optimization of Desalination Technologies

Accurate modeling of seawater thermophysical and thermodynamic properties is critical for optimizing desalination processes. This study compares three seawater property models, a Reaktoro multicomponent model, the thermophysical seawater properties library from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, and a simplified sodium chloride model, in the context of levelized cost of water (LCOW) minimization for reverse osmosis (RO) and mechanical vapor compression systems. Process simulations and cost optimizations reveal that although all three models yield comparable LCOW and specific energy consumption (SEC) estimates under baseline conditions, deviations among their predictions increase with salinity. Relative differences in LCOW and SEC reach up to 6% and 8%, respectively. RO results show greater variability due to differences in osmotic pressure predictions, which affect pressure constraints at high recoveries. Computational performance varies substantially; specifically, Reaktoro simulations are up to 28 times slower than empirical models due to their detailed equilibrium calculations. These results suggest that empirical models offer acceptable accuracy for routine desalination process design, while Reaktoro provides advantages in scenarios requiring detailed speciation, such as scaling or pH adjustment studies. These findings underscore the importance of selecting appropriate property models based on the modeling objective of desalination applications and motivate future work integrating thermodynamic rigor with empirical efficiency.

Physical and chemical properties↗
DOE OSTI2023

Array-Based Machine Learning for Functional Group Detection in Electron Ionization Mass Spectrometry

Mass spectrometry is a ubiquitous technique capable of complex chemical analysis. The fragmentation patterns that appear in mass spectrometry are an excellent target for artificial intelligence methods to automate and expedite the analysis of data to identify targets such as functional groups. To develop this approach, we trained models on electron ionization (a reproducible hard fragmentation technique) mass spectra so that not only the final model accuracies but also the reasoning behind model assignments could be evaluated. The convolutional neural network (CNN) models were trained on 2D images of the spectra using transfer learning of Inception V3, and the logistic regression models were trained using array-based data and Scikit Learn implementation in Python. Our training dataset consisted of 21,166 mass spectra from the United States’ National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Webbook. The data was used to train models to identify functional groups, both specific (e.g., amines, esters) and generalized classifications (aromatics, oxygen-containing functional groups, and nitrogen-containing functional groups). We found that the highest final accuracies on identifying new data were observed using logistic regression rather than transfer learning on CNN models. It was also determined that the mass range most beneficial for functional group analysis is 0–100 m/z. We also found success in correctly identifying functional groups of example molecules selected from both the NIST database and experimental data. Beyond functional group analysis, we also have developed a methodology to identify impactful fragments for the accurate detection of the models’ targets. The results demonstrate a potential pathway for analyzing and screening substantial amounts of mass spectral data.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Counteracting Systemic Bias in the Lab, Field, and Classroom

Grappling with systemic discrimination and bias in geosciences can be overwhelming to the point that one may feel powerless to fix them. Despite the sweeping nature of this challenge, faculty, principal investigators, and other scientists with leadership roles have unparalleled power to mitigate harm in environments they oversee. Here, we identify ways that scientists in these roles can immediately address bias in three common spaces—the lab, field, and classroom. We highlight key actions that can be taken to improve the quality of life of marginalized students and other trainees quickly, while important but comparatively slow institutional changes proceed.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Snow Reconciles Observed and Simulated Phase Partitioning and Increases Cloud Feedback

The surprising increase of Earth's climate sensitivity in the most recent coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP) models has been largely attributed to extratropical cloud feedback, which is thought to be driven by greater supercooled water in present-day cloud phase partitioning (CPP). Here, we report that accounting for precipitation in the Goddard Institute for Space Studies ModelE3 radiation scheme, neglected in more than 60% of CMIP6 and 90% of CMIP5 models, systematically changes its apparent CPP and substantially increases its cloud feedback, consistent with results using CMIP models. Including precipitation in the comparison with cloud–aerosol lidar and infrared pathfinder satellite observations (CALIPSO) measurements and in model radiation schemes is essential to faithfully constrain cloud amount and phase partitioning, and simulate cloud feedbacks. Our findings suggest that making radiation schemes precipitation-aware (missing in most CMIP6 models) should strengthen their positive cloud feedback and further increase their already high mean climate sensitivity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

A GeoHealth Call to Action: Moving Beyond Identifying Environmental Injustices to Co-Creating Solutions

As marginalized communities continue to bear disproportionate impacts from environmental hazards, we urgently call for researchers and institutions to elevate the principles of Environmental Justice. The American Geophysical Union (AGU) GeoHealth section supports members' engagement in health-related community-engaged and community-led transdisciplinary research. We highlight intersectional research that provides examples and actions for both individuals and organizations on community science and trust building, removing barriers created by scientific agency priorities and career expectations, and opportunities in education and policy. Justice does not start or end at one meeting; this is ongoing work that is active, evolving, and an ethical responsibility of AGU's membership.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Optimizing Seasonal‐To‐Decadal Analog Forecasts With a Learned Spatially‐Weighted Mask

Abstract Seasonal‐to‐decadal climate prediction is crucial for decision‐making in a number of industries, but forecasts on these timescales have limited skill. Here, we develop a data‐driven method for selecting optimal analogs for seasonal‐to‐decadal analog forecasting. Using an interpretable neural network, we learn a spatially‐weighted mask that quantifies how important each grid point is for determining whether two climate states will evolve similarly. We show that analogs selected using this weighted mask provide more skillful forecasts than analogs that are selected using traditional spatially‐uniform methods. This method is tested on two prediction problems using the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Grand Ensemble: multi‐year prediction of North Atlantic sea surface temperatures, and seasonal prediction of El Niño Southern Oscillation. This work demonstrates a methodical approach to selecting analogs that may be useful for improving seasonal‐to‐decadal forecasts and understanding their sources of skill.

Geology↗
DOE OSTI2023

Space Weather in the Popular Media, and the Opportunities the Upcoming Solar Maximum Brings

The media interest/coverage of space weather has been increasing as we approach solar maximum and the private space industry has grown significantly since the last significant solar maximum in 2000–2002. It is not uncommon for space weather media coverage to use hyperbole with frequent references to the infamous “Carrington event.” The implications of associating each of the many upcoming moderate-to-severe storms with the Carrington event are discussed, and we encourage the curbing of hyperbole whenever possible. While there is an excellent but small cohort of space weather researchers actively engaging with the media, we urge more (particularly early-to-mid career) to take advantage of media training resources and to join in. We also call for these efforts to be broadly supported by peers and institutions for the benefit of space weather as a discipline.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗