On the probability of extending an observation Final report, Nov. 1968 - May 1969
Calculation of conditional probabilities for random variables in scheduling spacecraft launching
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Calculation of conditional probabilities for random variables in scheduling spacecraft launching
Results of engineering analyses are reported. Initial computations were made using a modified control transfer function where the systems performance was characterized parametrically using an analytical model. The analytical model was revised to represent the latest expansion chamber fluid manifold design, and systems performance predictions were made. Parameters which were independently varied in these computations are listed. Systems predictions which were used to characterize performance are primarily transient computer plots comparing the deviation between average chamber temperature and the chamber temperature requirement. Additional computer plots were prepared. Results of parametric computations with the latest fluid manifold design are included.
A test condition data base was developed for the Bearing and Seal Materials Tester (BSMT) program which permits rapid retrieval of test data for trend analysis and evaluation. A model was developed for the Space shuttle Main Engine (SSME) Liquid Oxygen (LOX) turbopump shaft/bearing system. The model was used to perform parametric analyses to determine the sensitivity of bearing operating characteristics and temperatures to variations in: axial preload, contact friction, coolant flow and subcooling, heat transfer coefficients, outer race misalignments, and outer race to isolator clearances. The bearing program ADORE (Advanced Dynamics of Rolling Elements) was installed on the UNIVAC 1100/80 computer system and is operational. ADORE is an advanced FORTRAN computer program for the real time simulation of the dynamic performance of rolling bearings. A model of the 57 mm turbine-end bearing is currently being checked out. Analyses were conducted to estimate flow work energy for several flow diverter configurations and coolant flow rates for the LOX BSMT.
Surface meteorological reports of wind components, wind speed, air temperature, and sea-surface temperature from buoys located in equatorial and midlatitude regions are used in a simulation of random sampling to determine errors of the calculated means due to inadequate sampling. Subsampling the data with several different sample sizes leads to estimates of the accuracy of the subsampled means. The number N of random observations needed to compute mean winds with chosen accuracies of 0.5 (N sub 0.5) and 1.0 (N sub 1,0) m/s and mean air and sea surface temperatures with chosen accuracies of 0.1 (N sub 0.1) and 0.2 (N sub 0.2) C were calculated for each 5-day and 30-day period in the buoy datasets. Mean values of N for the various accuracies and datasets are given. A second-order polynomial relation is established between N and the variability of the data record. This relationship demonstrates that for the same accuracy, N increases as the variability of the data record increases. The relationship is also independent of the data source. Volunteer-observing ship data do not satisfy the recommended minimum number of observations for obtaining 0.5 m/s and 0.2 C accuracy for most locations. The effect of having remotely sensed data is discussed.
This report presents examples of different methods of comparing aircraft mathematically. In the example given a biplane and monoplane are compared as to what speed one type of airplane is better at than another.
A research project is underway at NASA Glenn to produce computer software that can accurately predict ice growth under any meteorological conditions for any aircraft surface. This report will present results from the latest LEWICE release, version 3.5. This program differs from previous releases in its ability to model mixed phase and ice crystal conditions such as those encountered inside an engine. It also has expanded capability to use structured grids and a new capability to use results from unstructured grid flow solvers. A quantitative comparison of the results against a database of ice shapes that have been generated in the NASA Glenn Icing Research Tunnel (IRT) has also been performed. This paper will extend the comparison of ice shapes between LEWICE 3.5 and experimental data from a previous paper. Comparisons of lift and drag are made between experimentally collected data from experimentally obtained ice shapes and simulated (CFD) data on simulated (LEWICE) ice shapes. Comparisons are also made between experimentally collected and simulated performance data on select experimental ice shapes to ensure the CFD solver, FUN3D, is valid within the flight regime. The results show that the predicted results are within the accuracy limits of the experimental data for the majority of cases.
A research project is underway at NASA Glenn to produce computer software that can accurately predict ice growth under any meteorological conditions for any aircraft surface. This report will present results from the latest LEWICE release, version 3.5. This program differs from previous releases in its ability to model mixed phase and ice crystal conditions such as those encountered inside an engine. It also has expanded capability to use structured grids and a new capability to use results from unstructured grid flow solvers. A quantitative comparison of the results against a database of ice shapes that have been generated in the NASA Glenn Icing Research Tunnel (IRT) has also been performed. This paper will extend the comparison of ice shapes between LEWICE 3.5 and experimental data from a previous paper. Comparisons of lift and drag are made between experimentally collected data from experimentally obtained ice shapes and simulated (CFD) data on simulated (LEWICE) ice shapes. Comparisons are also made between experimentally collected and simulated performance data on select experimental ice shapes to ensure the CFD solver, FUN3D, is valid within the flight regime. The results show that the predicted results are within the accuracy limits of the experimental data for the majority of cases.
The development of an efficient electrocatalyst toward the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) is of significant importance in transforming renewable electricity to pure and clean hydrogen by water splitting. However, the construction of an active electrocatalyst with multiple sites that can promote the dissociation of water molecules still remains a great challenge. Herein, a partial-single-atom, partial-nanoparticle composite consisting of nanosized ruthenium (Ru) nanoparticles (NPs) and individual Ru atoms as an energy-efficient HER catalyst in alkaline medium is reported. The formation of this unique composite mainly results from the dispersion of Ru NPs to small-size NPs and single atoms (SAs) on the Fe/N codoped carbon (Fe–N–C) substrate due to the thermodynamic stability. The optimal catalyst exhibits an outstanding HER activity with an ultralow overpotential (9 mV) at 10 mA cm -2 (η 10 ), a high turnover frequency (8.9 H 2 s -1 at 50 mV overpotential), and nearly 100% Faraday efficiency, outperforming the state-of-the-art commercial Pt/C and other reported HER electrocatalysts in alkaline condition. Both experimental and theoretical calculations reveal that the coexistence of Ru NPs and SAs can improve the hydride coupling and water dissociation kinetics, thus synergistically enhancing alkaline hydrogen evolution performance.
The capture of the xenon and krypton from nuclear reprocessing off-gas is essential to the treatment of radioactive waste. Although various porous materials have been employed to capture Xe and Kr, the development of high-performance adsorbents capable of trapping Xe/Kr at very low partial pressure as in the nuclear reprocessing off-gas conditions remains challenging. Herein, we report a self-adjusting metal-organic framework based on multiple weak binding interactions to capture trace Xe and Kr from the nuclear reprocessing off-gas. The self-adjusting behavior of ATC-Cu and its mechanism have been visualized by the in-situ single-crystal X-ray diffraction studies and theoretical calculations. The self-adjusting behavior endows ATC-Cu unprecedented uptake capacities of 2.65 and 0.52 mmol g -1 for Xe and Kr respectively at 0.1 bar and 298 K, as well as the record Xe capture capability from the nuclear reprocessing off-gas. Further, our work not only provides a benchmark Xe adsorbent but proposes a new route to construct smart materials for efficient separations.
Here, the current study demonstrates a redox oxide @ molten salt core-shell architecture as a generalized redox catalyst design strategy for chemical looping – oxidative dehydrogenation of ethane. 17 combinations of redox active oxides and molten salts were prepared, evaluated, and characterized. X-ray diffraction indicates that the redox oxides and molten salts are fully compatible, forming separate and stable phases. X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy demonstrates that the molten salts aggregate at the redox oxide surface, forming a core-shell structure to block the non-selective sites responsible for CO x formation. Up to ~74% single-pass olefin yields were achieved using the proposed redox catalyst design strategy. Statistical analyses of the performance data indicate the potential to achieve up to 86.7% single-pass yield by simply optimizing the operating conditions using the redox catalysts reported in this study. Meanwhile, the generalizability of the catalyst design strategy offers exciting opportunities to further optimize the composition and performance of the redox catalysts for ethane ODH under a chemical looping scheme with significantly reduced energy consumption and CO 2 emissions.
In this report, we investigated the physical conditions for creating pectin polymer-polymer (homopolymer) entanglement. The potential role of water movement in creating pectin entanglement was investigated by placing water droplets-equivalent to the water content of two gel phase films-between two glass phase films and compressing the films at variable probe velocities. Slow probe velocity (0.5 mm/sec) demonstrated no significant debonding. Furthermore, corresponding videomicroscopy demonstrated an occasional water bridge, but no evidence of stranding or polymer entanglement. In contrast, fast probe velocity (5 mm/sec) resulted in 1) an increase in peak adhesion strength, 2) a progressive debonding curve, and 3) increased work of cohesion (p < .001). Corresponding videomicroscopy demonstrated pectin stranding and delamination between pectin films. Scanning electron microscopy images obtained during pectin debonding provided additional evidence of both stranding and delamination. We conclude that water movement can supply the motive force for the rapid chain entanglement between pectin films.
Hydrogen is a critically important molecule in the chemicals and energy industries, driving the need for efficient purification technologies such as membrane-based separations. However, polymer membranes often suffer from physical aging, leading to decreased gas permeability over time. This study leverages the unique aging behavior of contorted microporous polymers, synthesized via catalytic arene-norbornene annulation (CANAL) polymerization, to enhance molecular sieving for H 2 separations. While prior studies demonstrated a 1000% increase in H 2 /CH 4 selectivity with minimal permeability loss over 150 days, we extend this investigation to hyperaged (∼1 year) CANAL polymers and evaluate their performance under various conditions of industrial relevance. We report a remarkable 6100% increase in H 2 /CH 4 selectivity and a 2400% improvement in H 2 /N 2 selectivity, with only a 55% decline in H 2 permeability. These membranes exhibit excellent long-term stability in binary and ternary gas mixtures and at elevated temperatures. Additionally, extended aging enhances H 2 /CO 2 selectivity beyond the 2008 upper bound due to improved size-sieving. High-temperature permeation experiments and grand canonical Monte Carlo simulations reveal that H 2 permeability increases from 570 to 3500 barrer as the temperature rises from 35 °C to 190 °C, while H 2 /CO 2 selectivity declines from 14 to 3 due to the higher diffusion activation energy of CO 2 . Despite this tradeoff, hyperaged CANAL membranes maintain performance beyond the 200 °C upper bound, having selectivity–permeability performance comparable to many state-of-the-art membranes for H 2 /CO 2 separations. As a result, this study highlights the robustness and industrial viability of ultra-selective CANAL polymers for hydrogen purification, contributing to advancements in clean energy and sustainable separation technologies.
Immiscible Ag-Cu alloys exhibit complex behavior due to varying Cu solid solubilities reported under equilibrium and metastable conditions. In ultrafine-grained alloys, these limits are further complicated by a high fraction of grain boundaries, where solute atoms tend to segregate and, in some cases, form clusters. Here, this study investigates the influence of Cu solute segregation and clustering on solid-solution limits in ultrafine-grained Ag-Cu alloys synthesized by magnetron sputtering with varying Cu content. X-ray diffraction peak shifts reveal a solid-solution concentration plateau for Cu contents from 4.9 to 11.7 at %, in contrast to the peak shifts predicted by density-functional theory for Ag-Cu alloys. Scanning transmission electron microscopy further reveals limited solid solubility and the formation of numerous Cu-rich clusters at grain boundaries. Atomistic simulations demonstrate that such limited solubility does not arise from grain boundary segregation alone, but only when strong solute-solute interactions promote the formation of grain-boundary Cu solute clusters.
Irradiation-induced grain boundary migration (RIGM) has previously been observed in different metallic systems. However, the mechanisms and dependence on irradiation conditions remained unclear. Here, we report on radiation-induced GB migration (RIGM) in a coarse-grain Fe-Ni-Cr-Mn austenitic alloy irradiated with Fe ions at 400 °C to 15, 35, and 70 dpa. Grain boundary migration is only observed in the irradiated regions and exhibits a linear dependence on the locally delivered dose, as estimated from SRIM calculations. Notably, the same linear dependence is noted across the nominal doses. Furthermore, the evidence points to grain boundary migration being mediated by the flux of point defects to grain boundaries and motivates additional systematic studies of RIGM in these systems.
The cytoophidium, a filamentous structure formed by metabolic enzymes, has emerged as a novel regulatory machinery for certain proteins. The rate-limiting enzymes of de novo CTP and GTP synthesis, cytidine triphosphate synthase (CTPS) and inosine monophosphate dehydrogenase (IMPDH), are the most characterized cytoophidium-forming enzymes in mammalian models. Although the assembly of CTPS cytoophidia has been demonstrated in various organisms including multiple human cancers, a systemic survey for the presence of CTPS cytoophidia in mammalian tissues in normal physiological conditions has not yet been reported. Herein, we examine major organs of adult mouse and observe that CTPS cytoophidia are displayed by a specific thymocyte population ranging between DN3 to early DP stages. Most of these cytoophidium-presenting cells have both CTPS and IMPDH cytoophidia and undergo rapid cell proliferation. In addition, we show that cytoophidium formation is associated with active glycolytic metabolism as the cytoophidium-presenting cells exhibit higher levels of c-Myc, phospho-Akt and PFK. Inhibition of glycolysis with 2DG, however, disrupts most of cytoophidium structures and impairs cell proliferation. Our findings not only indicate that the regulation of CTPS and IMPDH cytoophidia are correlated with the metabolic switch triggered by pre-TCR signaling, but also suggest physiological roles of the cytoophidium in thymocyte development.
Here this paper describes the development and provides comparisons of thiolated (-SH) and unthiolated Ag-Al-Si-O xerogels for iodine gas capture. These xerogels were produced from alkoxides and then heat-treated at 350 °C to provide mechanical strength for subsequent processing steps. Then, a portion of the xerogels was thiolated using (3-mercaptopropyl)trimethoxysilane. Next, thiolated and unthiolated batches were ion-exchanged in AgNO 3 solutions where Ag + replaced Na + in the gel network on a near 1:1 molar basis. Subsamples of the Ag-exchanged xerogels were subjected to a reduction step in H 2 /Ar to convert Ag + to Ag 0 where the rest of the Ag-exchanged (Ag + ) were not reduced. X-ray diffraction, X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, and transmission electron microscopy revealed nanoscale Ag 0 in the Ag + samples despite no active reduction where actively reduced samples had bimodal Ag 0 distribution of ~2-3 nm hexagonal and ~6-7 nm cubic crystallites. Synchrotron X-ray absorption spectroscopy was used to assess the oxidization states of Ag, S, and I within the different xerogel samples. The specific surface areas of the base xerogels decreased as subsequent treatments were performed on the as-made samples, albeit the decreases were smaller than aerogel equivalents of these samples from a previous study. All iodine-loaded Ag-based samples showed a mixture of β-AgI and γ-AgI. Comparisons of iodine-loading results with other Ag-based iodine sorbents show that the thiolated Ag 0 -xerogels in this work have one of the highest iodine-loading capacities (q e ) reported to date in saturated conditions with the thiolated Ag 0 -xerogel showing 522 mg iodine per g of the sorbent.
The photoactivity of three porphyrin-based metal-organic frameworks (PMOFs) incorporating Al, Ga, and In nodes was systematically evaluated using the photooxidation of an organic sulfide (2-chloroethyl ethyl sulfide, or CEES; a mustard gas simulant). Faster photodegradation of CEES was observed for PMOFs with heavier metal nodes, placing In-PMOF as the most efficient photocatalyst in the series. Guided by this insight, we developed CSLA-10, a MOF integrating In nodes and Sn-doped porphyrin linker to synergistically amplify heavy-atom effects at both the nodes and ligand levels. CSLA-10 exhibited the fastest reported CEES photooxidation to date, achieving a half-life of 38 s in methanol under blue LED irradiation. When grafted onto textiles, CSLA-10 enabled solvent-free CEES degradation in air/O 2 with a half-life of 2.7 min and complete conversion within 7 min, representing the most rapid full degradation reported under solvent-free conditions. Furthermore, this work establishes a dual heavy-atom strategy for enhancing intersystem crossing and singlet oxygen generation in porphyrin MOFs, providing a rational design principle for next-generation photocatalysts for the degradation of toxic organic sulfides.
Poly(pentylene adipate-co-terephthalate) (PPAT) is a promising biobased and biodegradable polymer that can replace polyethylene in flexible packaging films where biodegradability is desired. High-molecular-weight (100K–145 KDa) aliphatic–aromatic polyester PPAT was successfully synthesized, and the effects of reaction conditions on molecular weight were reported. PPAT polyesters were characterized for polymer compositions, number-average unit length, thermal transitions, and rheological properties. PPAT compression-molded films were characterized for crystallinity and tensile properties to correlate micro- and macroproperties. PPAT compression-molded films exhibited up to a 76% higher tensile modulus than compression-molded films from poly(butylene adipate-co-terephthalate) (PBAT), making PPAT films potentially comparable with compression-molded films from linear low-density polyethylene (LLDPE). Finally, PPAT is biodegradable in soil and freshwater environments with estimated 90% biodegradation times of 504–580 and 604–845 days, respectively, while PBAT takes 971 days in soil and 395 days in freshwater.