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At least 757 records · Page 42

Global Sensitivity Analysis Using the Ultra‐Low Resolution Energy Exascale Earth System Model

Abstract For decades, Arctic temperatures have increased twice as fast as average global temperatures. As a first step toward quantifying parametric uncertainty in Arctic climate, we performed a variance‐based global sensitivity analysis (GSA) using a fully coupled, ultra‐low resolution (ULR) configuration of version 1 of the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv1). Specifically, we quantified the sensitivity of six quantities of interests (QOIs), which characterize changes in Arctic climate over a 75 year period, to uncertainties in nine model parameters spanning the sea ice, atmosphere, and ocean components of E3SMv1. Sensitivity indices for each QOI were computed with a Gaussian process emulator using 139 random realizations of the random parameters and fixed preindustrial forcing. Uncertainties in the atmospheric parameters in the Cloud Layers Unified by Binormals (CLUBB) scheme were found to have the most impact on sea ice status and the larger Arctic climate. Our results demonstrate the importance of conducting sensitivity analyses with fully coupled climate models. The ULR configuration makes such studies computationally feasible today due to its low computational cost. When advances in computational power and modeling algorithms enable the tractable use of higher‐resolution models, our results will provide a baseline that can quantify the impact of model resolution on the accuracy of sensitivity indices. Moreover, the confidence intervals provided by our study, which we used to quantify the impact of the number of model evaluations on the accuracy of sensitivity estimates, have the potential to inform the computational resources needed for future sensitivity studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantum computing without quantum computers: Database search and data processing using classical wave superposition

Quantum computers are proven to be more efficient at solving a specific class of problems compared to traditional digital computers. Superposition of states and quantum entanglement are the two key ingredients that make quantum computing so powerful. However, not all quantum algorithms require quantum entanglement (e.g., search through an unsorted database). Is it possible to utilize classical wave superposition to speed up database searching as much as by using quantum computers? There were several attempts to mimic quantum computers using classical waves. It was concluded that the use of classical wave superposition comes with the cost of an exponential increase in resources. In this work, we consider the feasibility of building classical wave-based devices able to provide fundamental speedup over digital counterparts without the exponential overhead. We present experimental data on database searching through a magnetic database using spin wave superposition. The results demonstrate the same speedup as expected for quantum computers. Also, we present examples of numerical modeling demonstrating classical wave interference for period finding. This approach may not compete with quantum computers with efficiency but outperform classical digital computers. We argue that classical wave-based devices can perform some of the quantum algorithms with the same efficiency as quantum computers as long as quantum entanglement is not required.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Demonstration of a quantum-classical coprocessing protocol for simulating nuclear reactions

Quantum computers hold great promise for exact simulations of nuclear dynamical processes (e.g., scattering and reactions), which are paramount to the study of nuclear matter at the limit of stability and in the formation of chemical elements in stars. However, quantum simulations of the unitary (real) time dynamics of fermionic many-body systems require a currently prohibitive number of reliable and long-lived qubits. Here we propose a co-processing algorithm for the simulation of real-time dynamics in which the time evolution of the spatial coordinates is carried out on a classical processor, while the evolution of the spin degrees of freedom is carried out on quantum hardware. We demonstrate this hybrid scheme with the simulation of two neutrons scattering at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory's Advanced Quantum Testbed. After implementing error mitigation strategies to improve the accuracy of the algorithm in addition to a combination of circuit compression techniques and tomography as methods to elucidate the onset of decoherence, our results validate the principle of the proposed co-processing scheme. A generalization of this present scheme will open the way for (real-time) path integral simulations of nuclear scattering.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Hyper-Differential Sensitivity Analysis of Uncertain Parameters in PDE-Constrained Optimization

Many problems in engineering and sciences require the solution of large scale optimization constrained by partial differential equations (PDEs). Though PDE-constrained optimization is itself challenging, most applications pose additional complexity, namely, uncertain parameters in the PDEs. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is necessary to characterize, prioritize, and study the influence of these uncertain parameters. Sensitivity analysis, a classical tool in UQ, is frequently used to study the sensitivity of a model to uncertain parameters. In this article, we introduce "hyper-differential sensitivity analysis" which considers the sensitivity of the solution of a PDE-constrained optimization problem to uncertain parameters. Our approach is a goal-oriented analysis which may be viewed as a tool to complement other UQ methods in the service of decision making and robust design. We formally define hyper-differential sensitivity indices and highlight their relationship to the existing optimization and sensitivity analysis literatures. Assuming the presence of low rank structure in the parameter space, computational efficiency is achieved by leveraging a generalized singular value decomposition in conjunction with a randomized solver which converts the computational bottleneck of the algorithm into an embarrassingly parallel loop. Two multi-physics examples, consisting of nonlinear steady state control and transient linear inversion, demonstrate efficient identification of the uncertain parameters which have the greatest influence on the optimal solution.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Optimization-Driven Scenario Grouping

Scenario decomposition algorithms for stochastic programs compute bounds by dualizing all nonanticipativity constraints and solving individual scenario problems independently. Here, we develop an approach that improves on these bounds by reinforcing a carefully chosen subset of nonanticipativity constraints, effectively placing scenarios into groups. Specifically, we formulate an optimization problem for grouping scenarios that aims to improve the bound by optimizing a proxy metric based on information obtained from evaluating a subset of candidate feasible solutions. We show that the proposed grouping problem is NP-hard in general, identify a polynomially solvable case, and present two formulations for solving the problem: a matching formulation for a special case and a mixed-integer programming formulation for the general case. We use the proposed grouping scheme as a preprocessing step for a particular scenario decomposition algorithm and demonstrate its effectiveness in solving standard test instances of two-stage 0–1 stochastic programs. Using this approach, we are able to prove optimality for all previously unsolved instances of a standard test set. Additionally, we implement this scheme as a preprocessing step for PySP, a publicly available and widely used implementation of progressive hedging, and compare this grouping approach with standard grouping approaches on large-scale stochastic unit commitment instances. Finally, the idea is extended to propose a finitely convergent algorithm for two-stage stochastic programs with a finite feasible region.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Validating Extreme Scale Resilience with Veracity (Final Project Report)

As semiconductor technology continues to scale to smaller dimensions and as power-consumption of processor chips continues to increase in importance, there is significant uncertainty about the reliability of future large-scale computers. This uncertainty impacts algorithm design and application development, as well as decisions about system operation policy and provisioning decisions. The Veracity endeavored to answer pertinent questions regarding system reliability and resilience with the goal of enabling reliable science on future leadership machines while keeping overprovisioning low.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Peak Reduction in a Residential Community Through Bayesian Optimization of Transactive Control Signals

Daily residential power consumption in aggregate tends to have a large peak that places stress on the distribution system and induces high operational costs. This work shows that coordinated transactive control of noncritical loads within a residential community or microgrid can help to alleviate peak-time stress on the distribution system by flattening the aggregate load curve. Treating the load forecaster as a high-fidelity, expensive black-box function, a new algorithm utilizing Bayesian optimization (BO) is proposed to achieve the best solution under uncertainty with minimal computing effort. The proposed BO algorithm manipulates the shape of the load based on transactive signals sent to each home. The thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs) act out of self-interest in response to the given price while maintaining comfort, and the optimizer exploits the thermal energy retention of the homes for the benefit of the community. Simulations confirm consistent neighborhood-level peak power reduction and energy cost savings.

Schomer, Ian↗

Review of machine learning and deep learning models for toxicity prediction

The ever-increasing number of chemicals has raised public concerns due to their adverse effects on human health and the environment. To protect public health and the environment, it is critical to assess the toxicity of these chemicals. Traditional in vitro and in vivo toxicity assays are complicated, costly, and time-consuming and may face ethical issues. These constraints raise the need for alternative methods for assessing the toxicity of chemicals. Recently, due to the advancement of machine learning algorithms and the increase in computational power, many toxicity prediction models have been developed using various machine learning and deep learning algorithms such as support vector machine, random forest, k-nearest neighbors, ensemble learning, and deep neural network. This review summarizes the machine learning- and deep learning-based toxicity prediction models developed in recent years. Support vector machine and random forest are the most popular machine learning algorithms, and hepatotoxicity, cardiotoxicity, and carcinogenicity are the frequently modeled toxicity endpoints in predictive toxicology. It is known that datasets impact model performance. The quality of datasets used in the development of toxicity prediction models using machine learning and deep learning is vital to the performance of the developed models. The different toxicity assignments for the same chemicals among different datasets of the same type of toxicity have been observed, indicating benchmarking datasets is needed for developing reliable toxicity prediction models using machine learning and deep learning algorithms. This review provides insights into current machine learning models in predictive toxicology, which are expected to promote the development and application of toxicity prediction models in the future.

Research & Experimental Medicine↗

Probabilistic Context Neighborhood model for lattices

Here we present the Probabilistic Context Neighborhood model designed for two-dimensional lattices as a variation of a Markov random field assuming discrete values. In this model, the neighborhood structure has a fixed geometry but a variable order, depending on the neighbors’ values. Our model extends the Probabilistic Context Tree model, originally applicable to one-dimensional space. It retains advantageous properties, such as representing the dependence neighborhood structure as a graph in a tree format, facilitating an understanding of model complexity. Furthermore, we adapt the algorithm used to estimate the Probabilistic Context Tree to estimate the parameters of the proposed model. We illustrate the accuracy of our estimation methodology through simulation studies. Additionally, we apply the Probabilistic Context Neighborhood model to spatial real-world data, showcasing its practical utility.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Radiation-Induced Noise Resilience of Neuromorphic Architectures

Neuromorphic event-based networks use asynchronous time-dependent information to extract features from input data that can allow for edge-based distributed applications such as object recognition. The noise resilience properties of such networks, especially in the context of space applications, are yet to be explored. In this paper, we use the hierarchy of time surfaces (HOTS) algorithm, which is one of the neuromorphic algorithms, to understand the least and most resilient modules in a neuromorphic network. The HOTS algorithm relies on the computing of time surfaces that maps the temporal delays between neighboring pixels into normalized features that involve many computations that are also found in other neuromorphic networks such as exponential decays, distance computations, etcetera. We implemented HOTS on a Digilent PYNQ board with a Xilinx Zynq 7020 system on a chip, and we subjected the boards running the HOTS network inference to neutron radiation at the Los Alamos Neutron Science Center. Furthermore, we used simulation models from our previous similar experiments on the event-based sensor to create a neutron induced noise model to quantify the effect of this noise on the overall performance of the network. This experiment provides the preliminary measurements of the reliability of the HOTS algorithm and proposes methods to create a more reliable HOTS architecture in future spacecraft missions.

Engineering↗

Flexibility of the factorized form of the unitary coupled cluster Ansatz

The factorized form of the unitary coupled cluster Ansatz is a popular state preparation Ansatz for electronic structure calculations of molecules on quantum computers. It is often viewed as an approximation (based on the Trotter product formula) for the conventional unitary coupled cluster operator. In this work, we show that the factorized form is quite flexible, allowing one to range from a conventional configuration interaction, to conventional unitary coupled cluster, to efficient approximations that lie in between these two. The variational minimization of the energy often allows simpler factorized unitary coupled cluster approximations to achieve high accuracy, even if they do not accurately approximate the Trotter product formula. This is similar to how quantum approximate optimization algorithms can achieve high accuracy with a small number of levels.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Quantum Computing by Coherent Cooling

Interesting problems in quantum computation take the form of finding low-energy states of (pseudo)spin systems with engineered Hamiltonians that encode the problem data. Motivated by the practical possibility of producing very low-temperature spin systems, we propose and exemplify the possibility to compute by coupling the computational spins to a quantum coherent bath that serves as a heat sink. The quantum tunneling effect provides additional cooling channels to accelerate the cooling process. Here, we demonstrate both analytically and numerically that this strategy can achieve a quantum advantage in the unstructured search problem.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Measuring the Loschmidt Amplitude for Finite-Energy Properties of the Fermi-Hubbard Model on an Ion-Trap Quantum Computer

Calculating the equilibrium properties of condensed-matter systems is one of the promising applications of near-term quantum computing. Recently, hybrid quantum-classical time-series algorithms have been proposed to efficiently extract these properties from a measurement of the Loschmidt amplitude ⟨ ψ | e − i H ^ t | ψ ⟩ from initial states | ψ ⟩ and a time evolution under the Hamiltonian H ^ up to short times t . In this work, we study the operation of this algorithm on a present-day quantum computer. Specifically, we measure the Loschmidt amplitude for the Fermi-Hubbard model on a 16 -site ladder geometry (32 orbitals) on the Quantinuum H2-1 trapped-ion device. We assess the effect of noise on the Loschmidt amplitude and implement algorithm-specific error-mitigation techniques. By using a thus-motivated error model, we numerically analyze the influence of noise on the full operation of the quantum-classical algorithm by measuring expectation values of local observables at finite energies. Finally, we estimate the resources needed for scaling up the algorithm. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Physics↗

Adaptive resource allocation for surrogate modeling of systems comprised of multiple disciplines with varying fidelity

We present an adaptive algorithm for constructing surrogate models for integrated systems composed of a set of coupled components. With this goal we introduce ‘coupling’ variables with a priori unknown distributions that allow approximations of each component to be built independently. Once built, the surrogates of the components are combined and used to predict system-level quantities of interest (QoI) at a fraction of the cost of interrogating the full system model. We use a greedy experimental design procedure, based upon a modification of Multi-Index Stochastic Collocation (MISC), to minimize the error of the combined surrogate. This is achieved by refining each component surrogate in accordance with its relative contribution to error in the approximation of the system-level QoI. Our adaptation of MISC is a multi-fidelity procedure that can leverage ensembles of models of varying cost and accuracy, for one or more components, to produce estimates of system-level QoI. Several numerical examples demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approach on systems involving feed-forward and feedback coupling. For a fixed computational budget, the proposed algorithm is able to produce approximations that are orders of magnitude more accurate than approximations that treat the integrated system as a black-box.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Computing material volume fractions on a superimposed mesh as applied to Monte Carlo particle transport simulations

Here, we present a newly implemented ray tracing algorithm in OpenMC for efficiently computing material volume fractions on superimposed meshes in complex geometries. By firing rays along each coordinate direction through the geometry, the approach accumulates track-length data in each mesh element, thereby determining the fractional composition of each material. Scaling studies on three different models—a random tetrahedra configuration, the Frascati Neutron Generator ITER dose rate benchmark, and a stellarator design—show excellent parallel performance, with nearly linear speedup on modern multi-threaded and distributed-memory systems. An analysis of the residual error relative to high-resolution reference solutions demonstrated that under optimal conditions it decreases as 1/R, where R is the number of rays fired, making it straightforward to achieve user-prescribed accuracy. This new functionality enables practical, mesh-based approaches for detailed nuclear analyses in production Monte Carlo workflows without resorting to expensive, fully conformal or unstructured meshing.

Monte Carlo↗

A Co-design Framework for Online Data Analysis and Reduction

Science applications preparing for the exascale era are increasingly exploring in situ computations comprising of simulation-analysis-reduction pipelines coupled in-memory. Efficient composition and execution of such complex pipelines for a target platform is a codesign process that evaluates the impact and tradeoffs of various application- and system-specific parameters. In this article, we describe a toolset for automating performance studies of composed HPC applications that perform online data reduction and analysis. We describe Cheetah, a new framework for composing parametric studies on coupled applications, and Savanna, a runtime engine for orchestrating and executing campaigns of codesign experiments. Furthermore, this toolset facilitates understanding the impact of various factors such as process placement, synchronicity of algorithms, and storage versus compute requirements for online analysis of large data. Ultimately, we aim to create a catalog of performance results that can help scientists understand tradeoffs when designing next-generation simulations that make use of online processing techniques. We illustrate the design of Cheetah and Savanna, and present application examples that use this framework to conduct codesign studies on small clusters as well as leadership class supercomputers.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Dark Energy Survey Deep Field photometric redshift performance and training incompleteness assessment

Context. The determination of accurate photometric redshifts (photo-zs) in large imaging galaxy surveys is key for cosmological studies. One of the most common approaches are machine learning techniques. These methods require a spectroscopic or reference sample to train the algorithms. Attention has to be paid to the quality and properties of these samples since they are key factors in the estimation of reliable photo-zs. Aims. The goal of this work is to calculate the photo-zs for the Y3 DES Deep Fields catalogue using the DNF machine learning algorithm. Moreover, we want to develop techniques to assess the incompleteness of the training sample and metrics to study how incompleteness affects the quality of photometric redshifts. Finally, we are interested in comparing the performance obtained with respect to the EAzY template fitting approach on Y3 DES Deep Fields catalogue. Methods. We have emulated -- at brighter magnitude -- the training incompleteness with a spectroscopic sample whose redshifts are known to have a measurable view of the problem. We have used a principal component analysis to graphically assess incompleteness and to relate it with the performance parameters provided by DNF. Finally, we have applied the results about the incompleteness to the photo-z computation on Y3 DES Deep Fields with DNF and estimated its performance. Results. The photo-zs for the galaxies on DES Deep Fields have been computed with the DNF algorithm and added to the Y3 DES Deep Fields catalogue. They are available at https://des.ncsa.illinois.edu/releases/y3a2/Y3deepfields. Some techniques have been developed to evaluate the performance in the absence of "true" redshift and to assess completeness. We have studied... (Partial abstract)

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗