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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 757 records · Page 42

Core-Plasma Refilling and Erosion: Science Justification

Global magnetospheric models do not currently couple dynamic plasmaspheric plasma due to computational limitations that will be overcome by 2050. A true GGCM will need to include a dynamic plasmasphere for both physics and space weather prediction. Such inclusion requires that we answer longstanding, fundamental questions about the life cycle of core (<10 eV, plasmaspheric) plasma: how it gets into the inner magnetosphere, and how it is eroded. Erosion and refilling are processes controlling a fundamental space plasma population. During every geomagnetic disturbance, tens of metric tons of plasma are rapidly eroded away, then slowly and unevenly replenished. After several decades we still do not understand the cross-scale mechanisms proposed to be responsible for these 2 processes. Removal and replacement of this enormous plasma mass is as important to the dynamics of the magnetosphere as solar-wind driving. Our community must dedicate the resources and effort needed to solve this enduring puzzle. Other white papers submitted in response to the HP2050 call are discussing cold plasma and ionospheric outflow in more general contexts. This white paper deals specifically with the science justification for studying refilling and erosion.

Plasmasphere, core-plasma, erosion, refilling↗

A new model of monodeuterated ethane (C2H5D) spectrum: Enabling sensitive constraints on the D/H in ethane emission in comets

Similar to ethane (C2H6), monodeuterated ethane (C2H5D) has a bright series of Q-branches in the CH stretch region, between about 2960 - 3020 cm (3.38 - 3.31 µm). As the progressions in the different isotopes are slightly offset from one another, the new C2H5D model enables sensitive constrains of the D/H ratio in spectra from comets, in organics across the Solar System and beyond. Specifically, the D/H ratio of organic molecules in comets is a critical cosmogenic indicator, which not only provides insights into the formation processes of our Solar System, but also allows for a test of our understanding of solid-state astrochemistry. High D/H ratios are predicted in a number of astrochemical models, which can be benchmarked using the new spectroscopic information of C2H5D and C2H6. We present a quantum band model for C2H5D in the mid-infrared. Our model is based on rotationally resolved spectra of C2H5D and C2H6 obtained at 85K between 2050 - 3050 per cm (4.88 - 3.28 µm) using a Bruker IFS-125HR equipped with a cryogenic Herriott cell at JPL. High-level quantum chemical calculations were carried out at the CCSD(T)/ANO1 level of theory to aid vibrational assignments, with the anharmonic frequencies and vibrational corrections determined from second-order vibrational perturbation theory (VPT2). As a first demonstration of the applicability of the model, we obtained a stringent upper limit to the organic D/H ratio (18.2 VSMOW) in comet C/2007 W1 (Boattini) from high resolution fluorescence spectra obtained with Keck/NIRSPEC.

Kirstin D. Doney↗

Analysis of the Electrical Grid for UAM

A wide range of challenges must be overcome to conduct Urban Air Mobility (UAM) operations at scale with electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft. This presentation is on an initial analysis of one potential infrastructure challenge for UAM: available electrical grid capacity. The success of UAM is dependent upon the availability of electricity, which will be increasingly impacted by the proliferation of ground electric vehicles over time. Under the best-case assumption that electricity can be transmitted and distributed as needed within each major interconnection (i.e., electrical grid), it is estimated that the maximum number of UAM aircraft that can charge simultaneously in the continental United States will decrease by 20% from 594,878 today to 475,177 in the year 2050.

electrical grid↗

High Angular Resolution Gravitational Wave Astronomy

Since the very beginning of astronomy the location of objects on the sky has been a fundamental observational quantity that has been taken for granted. While precise two dimensional positional information is easy to obtain for observations in the electromagnetic spectrum, the positional accuracy of current and near future gravitational wave detectors is limited to between tens and hundreds of square degrees, which makes it extremely challenging to identify the host galaxies of gravitational wave events or to detect any electromagnetic counterparts. Gravitational wave observations provide information on source properties that is complementary to the information in any associated electromagnetic emission. Observing systems with multiple messengers thus has scientific potential much greater than the sum of its parts. A gravitational wave detector with higher angular resolution would significantly increase the prospects for finding the hosts of gravitational wave sources and triggering a multi-messenger follow-up campaign. An observatory with arcminute precision or better could be realised within the Voyage 2050 programme by creating a large baseline interferometer array in space and would have transformative scientific potential. Precise positional information of standard sirens would enable precision measurements of cosmological parameters and offer new insights on structure formation; a high angular resolution gravitational wave observatory would allow the detection of a stochastic background and resolution of the anisotropies within it; it would also allow the study of accretion processes around black holes; and it would have tremendous potential for tests of modified gravity and the discovery of physics beyond the Standard Model.

Gravitational waves↗

Carolina Coastal Plain Ecological Forecasting: Utilizing NASA Earth Observations to Map Suitable Venus Flytrap Habitat in an Effort to Inform Conservation, Seed Banking, and Reintroduction in the Carolina Coastal Plain and Sandhills Regions

Although the carnivorous plant Venus flytrap (Dionaea muscipula) is recognized globally, its native range is restricted to a small portion of the North and South Carolina Coastal Plain and Sandhills. Within this limited range, Venus flytrap populations are threatened by habitat loss, fire suppression, and poaching. NASA DEVELOP partnered with the North Carolina Botanical Garden (NCBG), the University of North Carolina Herbarium (NCU), and the North Carolina Natural Heritage Program (NCNHP) to support Venus flytrap conservation. The team developed models based on species presence data and environmental variables using the Software for Assisted Habitat Modeling (SAHM) to create a 2021 habitat suitability map for Venus flytrap. These models incorporated Earth observations collected by Landsat 8 Thermal Infrared Sensor (TIRS), Terra Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Advanced Land Observation Satellite (ALOS) Phased Array type L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (PALSAR), and Sentinel-2 Multispectral Instrument (MSI). To predict areas at high risk of development, the team produced a 2050 land-use change map using TerrSet Land Change Modeler. The team found potential areas of conflict between predicted habitat and forecasted future development. Many areas of suitable habitat were concentrated along the coast where development was likely to occur, placing populations there at risk of extirpation. Overlaying suitable habitat with forecasted land change also identified suitable habitats with minimal risk of development, which may serve as lasting Venus flytrap habitat. These results can inform the NCBG and NCNHP’s conservation decision-making, including targeted seed banking, reintroduction, and prioritization of enduring habitats for protection and management.

Monika Rock↗

Washington, D.C. & Maryland Energy: Estimating Solar Potential Using NASA POWER Data to Inform Renewable Energy Policy for Washington, D.C.

In line with the Sustainable D.C. 2.0 plan to combat climate change, Washington D.C. aims to decrease its greenhouse gas emissions by 100% by 2050. As solar energy is a clean, renewable energy form, its integration into the region’s power grids lowers energy costs and incentivizes sustainable development. We partnered with the Washington D.C. Department of Energy & Environment (DOEE) to determine how urban areas surrounding D.C. can better be incorporated into decisions regarding renewable energy policy. The team used NASA’s Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resources (POWER) solar data and a Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) derived digital surface model, to estimate and visualize rooftop solar potential for Maryland’s Prince George’s and Montgomery counties. POWER provided solar irradiance data adjusted for tilt angle while the digital surface model contributed aspect and slope data. This methodology factored out areas that were unsuitable for solar panel installation while displaying areas that possess a high potential for energy return. The team found the total rooftop solar potential for the study area to be almost 32 million kW, which is equivalent to roughly 660 kW per building. The methodology used to generate the solar potential maps can be applied to other regions of the country seeking to efficiently utilize solar energy. The end users at the DOEE can use our resulting solar potential map and data table to effectively target buildings that have the highest potential to generate solar energy.

Edward Cronin↗

Growing Impact of Wildfire on Western US Water Supply

Streamflow often increases after fire, but the persistence of this effect and its importance to present and future regional water resources are unclear. This paper addresses these knowledge gaps for the western United States (WUS), where annual forest fire area increased by more than 1,100% during 1984 to 2020. Among 72 forested basins across the WUS that burned between 1984 and 2019, the multibasin mean streamflow was significantly elevated by 0.19 SDs ( P < 0.01) for an average of 6 water years postfire, compared to the range of results expected from climate alone. Significance is assessed by comparing prefire and postfire streamflow responses to climate and also to streamflow among 107 control basins that experienced little to no wildfire during the study period. The streamflow response scales with fire extent: among the 29 basins where >20% of forest area burned in a year, streamflow over the first 6 water years postfire increased by a multibasin average of 0.38 SDs, or 30%. Postfire streamflow increases were significant in all four seasons. Historical fire–climate relationships combined with climate model projections suggest that 2021 to 2050 will see repeated years when climate is more fire-conducive than in 2020, the year currently holding the modern record for WUS forest area burned. These findings center on relatively small, minimally managed basins, but our results suggest that burned areas will grow enough over the next 3 decades to enhance streamflow at regional scales. Wildfire is an emerging driver of runoff change that will increasingly alter climate impacts on water supplies and runoff-related risks.

wildfire↗

Science Goals and New Mission Concepts for Future Exploration of Titan’s Atmosphere, Geology and Habitability: Titan POlar Scout/orbitEr and in Situ Lake Lander and DrONe Explorer (POSEIDON)

In response to ESA’s “Voyage 2050” announcement of opportunity, we propose an ambitious L-class mission to explore one of the most exciting bodies in the Solar System, Saturn’s largest moon Titan. Titan, a “world with two oceans”, is an organic-rich body with interior-surface-atmosphere interactions that are comparable in complexity to the Earth. Titan is also one of the few places in the Solar System with habitability potential. Titan’s remarkable nature was only partly revealed by the Cassini-Huygens mission and still holds mysteries requiring a complete exploration using a variety of vehicles and instruments. The proposed mission concept POSEI-DON (Titan POlar Scout/orbitEr and In situ lake lander DrONe explorer) would perform joint orbital and in situ investigations of Titan. It is designed to build on and exceed the scope and scientific/technological accomplishments of Cassini-Huygens, exploring Titan in ways that were not previously possible, in particular through full close-up and in situ coverage over long periods of time. In the proposed mission architecture, POSEIDON consists of two major elements: a spacecraft with a large set of instruments that would orbit Titan, preferably in a low-eccentricity polar orbit, and a suite of in situ investigation components, i.e. a lake lander, a “heavy” drone (possibly amphibious) and/or a fleet of mini-drones, dedicated to the exploration of the polar regions. The ideal arrival time at Titan would be slightly before the next northern Spring equinox (2039), as equinoxes are the most active periods to moni-tor still largely unknown atmospheric and surface seasonal changes. The exploration of Titan’s northern latitudes with an orbiter and in situ element(s) would be highly complementary in terms of timing (with possible mission timing overlap), locations, and science goals with the upcoming NASA New Frontiers Dragonfly mission that will provide in situ exploration of Titan’s equatorial regions, in the mid-2030s.

Sebastien Rodriguez↗

Analysis of the Electrical Grid for UAM

A wide range of challenges must be overcome to conduct Urban Air Mobility (UAM) operations at scale with electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft as envisioned. This presentation is on an analysis of one potential infrastructure challenge for UAM: available electrical grid power capacity. The success of UAM depends on the availability of electricity, which will be increasingly impacted by the proliferation of ground electric vehicles over time. Under the best-case assumption that electricity can be transmitted and distributed as needed within each interconnection (i.e., electrical grid), it is estimated that the maximum number of UAM aircraft that can charge simultaneously in the continental United States will decrease by 20% from about 595 thousand in the year 2021 to about 475 thousand in the year 2050 due to the projected increase in ground electric vehicles.

electrical grid; urban air mobility; electric vehi↗

Battery Key Performance Projections based on Historical Trends and Chemistries

Recent improvements in state-of-the-art (SOA) batteries driven by the automotive sector have led to many electrified aircraft concepts choosing batteries as the preferred energy-storage method. Current SOA batteries are at the point of enabling certain hybrid and all-electric aircraft, particularly small, short range, lower speed aircraft. Higher performance batteries improve aircraft range and can enable larger, higher speed aircraft. In this work, we develop specific energy projections for future electrified aircraft. The projections are developed based on examining historical commercial SOA trends as well as practical limitations of future chemistries. Accurate projections of future specific energy values are important for estimating the timeline for commercial introduction of electrified aircraft. This work estimates nominal cell level specific energies for rechargeable batteries of 489 Wh/kg by 2030, 638 Wh/kg by 2040, and 764 Wh/kg by 2050. More conservative as well as more aggressive estimates are also provided.

Blake Tiede↗

Carolina Coastal Plain​ Ecological Forecasting

Although the carnivorous plant Venus flytrap (Dionaea muscipula) is recognized globally, its native range is restricted to a small portion of the North and South Carolina Coastal Plain and Sandhills. Within this limited range, Venus flytrap populations are threatened by habitat loss, fire suppression, and poaching. NASA DEVELOP partnered with the North Carolina Botanical Garden (NCBG), the University of North Carolina Herbarium (NCU), and the North Carolina Natural Heritage Program (NCNHP) to support Venus flytrap conservation. The team developed models based on species presence data and environmental variables using the Software for Assisted Habitat Modeling (SAHM) to create a 2021 habitat suitability map for Venus flytrap. These models incorporated Earth observations collected by Landsat 8 Thermal Infrared Sensor (TIRS), Terra Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Advanced Land Observation Satellite (ALOS) Phased Array type L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (PALSAR), and Sentinel-2 Multispectral Instrument (MSI). To predict areas at high risk of development, the team produced a 2050 land-use change map using TerrSet Land Change Modeler. The team found potential areas of conflict between predicted habitat and forecasted future development. Many areas of suitable habitat were concentrated along the coast where development was likely to occur, placing populations there at risk of extirpation. Overlaying suitable habitat with forecasted land change also identified suitable habitats with minimal risk of development, which may serve as lasting Venus flytrap habitat. These results can inform the NCBG and NCNHP’s conservation decision-making, including targeted seed banking, reintroduction, and prioritization of enduring habitats for protection and management.

Monika Rock↗

Premature Deaths in Africa Due to Particulate Matter Under High and Low Warming Scenarios

Sustainable development and climate change mitigation can provide enormous public health benefits via improved air quality, especially in polluted areas. We use the latest state-of-the-art composition-climate model simulations to contrast human exposure to fine particulate matter in Africa under a “baseline” scenario with high material consumption, population growth, and warming to that projected under a sustainability scenario with lower consumption, population growth, and warming. Evaluating the mortality impacts of these exposures, we find that under the low warming scenario annual premature deaths due to PM2.5 are reduced by roughly 515,000 by 2050 relative to the high warming scenario (100,000, 175,000, 55,000, 140,000, and 45,000 in Northern, West, Central, East, and Southern Africa, respectively). This reduction rises to ∼800,000 by the 2090s, though by that time much of the difference is attributable to the projected differences in population. By contrast, during the first half of the century benefits are driven predominantly by emissions changes. Depending on the region, we find large intermodel spreads of ∼25%–50% in projected future exposures owing to different physics across the ensemble of 6 global models. The spread of projected deaths attributable to exposure to fine particulate matter, including uncertainty in the exposure-response function, are reduced in every region to ∼20%–35% by the non-linear exposure-response function. Differences between the scenarios have an even narrower spread of ∼5%–25% and are highly statistically significant in all regions for all models. These results provide valuable information for policy-makers to consider when working toward climate change mitigation and sustainable development goals.

PM2.5↗

An Overview of NASA Sustainable Aviation

An overview of NASA Aeronautics plans for sustainable aviation research is provided. Specific research activities for subsonic transports under the Sustainable Flight National Partnership (SFNP) are discussed as well as a preview of the Advanced Aircraft for Sustainable Aviation (AACES) 2050 solicitation.

James D Heidmann↗

NASA's Megawatt Electric Aircraft Propulsion Research and Development

Electric aircraft propulsion (EAP) has become a major thrust in NASA’s aeronautics programs. The EAP is a NASA technology used to fulfill NASA’s role in its Sustainable Flight National Partnership, which has a goal of net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. Three of NASA’s four aeronautics programs have one or more projects that support EAP technology development and target technologies for wide body (> 10 megawatts) aircraft to urban air mobility (100s of kilowatts). The effort includes megawatt-scale flight demonstration, systems studies, electric machine and drive development, thermal management, and materials development. The Glenn Research Center (GRC) in Cleveland is intensely involved in much of this research. Specifically, GRC has material development groups working to develop materials that will help enable EAP. This presentation will focus on selected NASA megawatt-scale EAP technology efforts that span several NASA projects and programs and will highlight material development in this area.

Electric Aircraft Propulsion↗

Evaluating the Effects of Urban Expansion on Social and Environmental Vulnerability in Guatemala and Panama

Central America is one of the fastest urbanizing regions in the world, with the urban population expected to double by 2050. This growth is driving multiple societal issues, including infrastructure inequities, lack of accessible housing, and environmental degradation. This project partnered with NASA SERVIR, Sistema de la Integración Centroamericana (SICA), Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ), and Centro de Coordinación para la Prevención de los Desastres en América Central y República Dominicana (CEPRENEDAC) to examine changes in urban extent and vulnerability in Guatemala City, Guatemala and Panama City, Panama. The team identified urban extent using Landsat 7 Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+), Landsat 8 Operational Land Imager (OLI), and Landsat 9 OLI-2 within Google Earth Engine’s LandTrendr algorithm. Next, they assessed urban vulnerability between formal and informal settlements by classifying different types of roof material using high-resolution Maxar Worldview 2 and 3 imagery and comparing it to socioeconomic and environmental risks. While both cities have expanded outward and become denser since 2000, Guatemala City has grown at a faster rate. The most vulnerable communities of both cities were located in the northwestern regions. These case studies can be used to inform similar methodologies in other Central American cities and help leaders identify the most vulnerable communities within their areas.

Aaron Whittemore↗

Spin Formability of High-Strength Aluminum Alloys for Aerospace Applications

Near-net-shape fabrication of launch vehicle tanks and aircraft fuselages is critical for meeting the growing demand for unitized structures in the aerospace industry. Cryogenic tank manufacturing relies on multi-piece construction requiring hundreds of meters of welds that increase both structural weight and inspection time. Currently, fuselages have an immense part count requiring tens of thousands of rivets and long assembly time. NASA is pursuing spin and flow forming technology for manufacturing such structures with minimal assembly. These processes enable domes and stiffened barrels to be fabricated using single-piece construction, offering significant manufacturing rate benefits over conventional methods. However, Al alloys with sufficient formability, such as Al 6061, tend to have insufficient strength for aerospace structural applications. In contrast, alloys with higher strength, such as Al 2139 and Al 2050, exhibit insufficient formability during ambient temperature forming. This study investigates the spin formability of competitive 5xxx and 2xxx series Al alloys, identifies defects impeding formability, and sheds light on future processing routes for successful forming.

Aluminum↗

Spin Formability of High-Strength Aluminum Alloys for Aerospace Applications

Near-net-shape fabrication of launch vehicle tanks and aircraft fuselages is proposed to increase manufacturing rates of aerospace structures. Currently, cryogenic tank manufacturing relies on multi-piece construction requiring hundreds of meters of welds that increase both structural weight and inspection time. Metallic aircraft fuselages involve installation of tens of thousands of rivets resulting in long assembly times. NASA is pursuing spin and flow forming technologies for manufacturing such structures with minimal assembly. These processes enable domes and stiffened barrels to be fabricated using single-piece construction, offering significant manufacturing rate benefits over conventional methods. However, aluminum alloys with sufficient formability, such as Al 6061, tend to have insufficient strength for aerospace structural applications. In contrast, alloys with higher strength, such as Al 2139 and Al 2050, exhibit insufficient formability during ambient temperature forming. This study investigates the spin formability of competitive 5xxx- and 2xxx-series Al alloys, identifies defects impeding formability, and sheds light on future processing routes for successful forming.

Aluminum↗