Mass Conserving Hamiltonian-Structure-Preserving Reduced Order Modeling for the Rotating Shallow Water Equations.
Abstract not provided.
Sockwell, Kenneth Chadwick↗
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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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A Dislocation Transport based Crystal Plasticity model to study Structure-Property relations in Polycrystalline Materials.
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Chakraborty, Subhendu↗
Surrogates for Valve-Controlled Pipe Flow: Accelerating Nuclear Reactor Design
Neural surrogate models are developed to replace expensive steady-state RANS CFD simulations for valve-controlled pipe flow in nuclear reactor design. Using parametric CFD data generated with MOOSE Pronghorn across a range of valve geometry and flow conditions, three approaches are compared: a POD-based reduced-order model, a structured UNet on a cylindrical grid, and unstructured models (DeepONet and BiStride MeshGraphNet) on nondimensionalized point clouds. POD achieves the highest accuracy (99%) with fast inference but requires storing all solution snapshots, while the DeepONet and BSMS-GNN both achieve ~89% accuracy at sub-second inference, with the BSMS-GNN offering superior geometric generalizability. These surrogates enable rapid ranking of candidate valve designs and can warm-start CFD solvers to accelerate convergence, supporting agentic design iteration on the Prometheus platform.
42 - ENGINEERING↗
Statistical generic design of glass and optimization: Selective review on oxide glasses
Designing a single glass composition for a multidimensional property space is challenging, and the difficulty increases with the number of design criteria. Traditionally, the task is accomplished using multiple statistical models that describe the relationships between composition (C) and property (P) values, i.e., C-P models. Recently, the structure (S)-property (P) statistical modeling has emerged as a complementary approach. The S-P modeling approach has also been shown to be a preferred method for modeling glass properties, particularly when a small data set is available, such as in single-component studies, or when strong nonlinearities exist between composition and properties. The combined model package, C-S-P, implements the concept of generic glass design, i.e., designing glass for performance by first selecting a specific or optimized set of glass network structural groups using S-P models and then transferring the designed structures (genes) to a particular composition using C-S models. This article reviews a set of supporting cases from the previous C-S-P modeling studies of phosphate, silicate, and borosilicate glasses, which are relevant for many critical commercial applications. The methodology for developing the statistical C-S-P database is presented, enabling the application of P?S?C to achieve a generic glass design and optimization, targeting multiple design criteria for both performance and processing properties simultaneously.
Network structure↗
Cryo-$\mathrm{EM}$ reveals an entangled kinetic trap in the folding of a catalytic $\mathrm{RNA}$
Functional RNAs fold through complex pathways that can contain misfolded “kinetic traps.” A complete model of RNA folding requires understanding the formation of these misfolded states, but they are difficult to characterize because of their transient and potentially conformationally dynamic nature. We used cryo–electron microscopy (cryo-EM) to visualize a long-lived misfolded state in the folding pathway of the Tetrahymena thermophilagroup I intron, a paradigmatic RNA structure-function model system. The structure revealed how this state forms native-like secondary structure and tertiary contacts but contains two incorrectly crossed strands, consistent with a previous model. This incorrect topology mispositions a critical catalytic domain and cannot be resolved locally as extensive refolding is required. This work provides a structural framework for interpreting decades of biochemical and functional studies and demonstrates the power of cryo-EM for the exploration of RNA folding pathways.
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DEMOS (Demographic Microsimulator Tool for Longitudinal Synthetic Population) [SWR-25-135] related to NLR SWR-26-076
The Demographic Microsimulator (DEMOS) is an agent-based simulation framework used to model the evolution of population demographic characteristics and lifecycle events, such as education attainment, marital status, and other key transitions. DEMOS modules are designed to capture the interdependencies between short-term and long-term lifecycle events, which are often influential in downstream transportation and land-use modeling. A key feature of DEMOS is its ability to track changes in an agent’s demographic status from year t to year t + 1. This structure allows the model to evolve populations over any user-defined time horizon. As a result, DEMOS is well suited for analyzing medium- and long-term transportation-related decisions, including household vehicle transactions (e.g., purchasing, selling, or replacing vehicles) and work location choices. Core features of DEMOS include the modeling of more than ten lifecycle events, behaviorally realistic patterns informed by long-running panel data, explicit representation of interdependencies among lifecycle processes, and a flexible, modular simulation architecture. A technical memorandum describing DEMOS is available here. The memorandum provides an overview of the framework’s functionality, model structure, input and output data, and its applications in transportation planning and broader policy analysis contexts. Interested readers are also encouraged to consult the paper listed below for additional details on the DEMOS methodology. Sun, Bingrong, Shivam Sharda, Venu M. Garikapati, Mohamed Amine Bouzaghrane, Juan Caicedo, Srinath Ravulaparthy, Isabel Viegas de Lima, Ling Jin, C. Anna Spurlock, and Paul Waddell. "Demographic Microsimulator for Integrated Urban Systems: Adapting Panel Survey of Income Dynamics to Capture the Continuum of Life." Transportation Research Record (2025): 03611981251333339.
Sun, Bingrong [National Laboratory of the Rockies ↗
Validation of numerical models for seismic fluid-structure-interaction analysis of nuclear, safety-related equipment
Seismic design, qualification, and risk assessment of nuclear safety-related vessels filled with liquid will have to consider the interaction between the vessel (tank), the contained liquid, and submerged components, if any. Seismic fluid-structure-interaction (FSI) analysis of nuclear vessels will rely on numerical models, which are required to be verified and validated. This study validates previously-verified numerical models using test data generated from earthquake-simulator experiments involving a cylindrical tank. Two solvers in LS-DYNA for FSI simulations are used for the numerical analysis: Arbitrary-Lagrangian-Eulerian (ALE) and Incompressible Computational Fluid Dynamics (ICFD). Numerical and test results are compared for responses critical to seismic design of advanced reactor vessels: hydrodynamic pressures on the tank wall, reactions at the support, and wave heights of the contained liquid. Analysis is performed for one-, two-, and three-directional seismic inputs with a range of intensity, and rocking motions. The accuracy of the numerical results and different methods for outputting wave heights are discussed. Recommendations for validation of seismic FSI numerical models of advanced reactors are provided. As a result, the validation exercise presented in this study is broadly applicable to cylindrical tanks, regardless of industry sector.
98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗
A Bayesian Multi-fidelity Neural Network to Predict Nonlinear Frequency Backbone Curves
The use of structural mechanics models during the design process often leads to the development of models of varying fidelity. Often low-fidelity models are efficient to simulate but lack accuracy, while the high-fidelity counterparts are accurate with less efficiency. Here, this paper presents a multi-fidelity surrogate modeling approach that combines the accuracy of a high-fidelity finite element model with the efficiency of a low-fidelity model to train an even faster surrogate model that parameterizes the design space of interest. The objective of these models is to predict the nonlinear frequency backbone curves of the Tribomechadynamics Research Challenge benchmark structure which exhibits simultaneous nonlinearities from frictional contact and geometric nonlinearity. The surrogate model consists of an ensemble of neural networks that learn the mapping between low and high-fidelity data through nonlinear transformations. Bayesian neural networks are used to assess the surrogate model's uncertainty. Once trained, the multi-fidelity neural network is used to perform sensitivity analysis to assess the influence of the design parameters on the predicted backbone curves. Additionally, Bayesian calibration is performed to update the input parameter distributions to correlate the model parameters to the collection of experimentally measured backbone curves.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Using mixed methods to construct and analyze a participatory agent-based model of a complex Zimbabwean agro-pastoral system
Complex social-ecological systems can be difficult to study and manage. Simulation models can facilitate exploration of system behavior under novel conditions, and participatory modeling can involve stakeholders in developing appropriate management processes. Participatory modeling already typically involves qualitative structural validation of models with stakeholders, but with increased data and more sophisticated models, quantitative behavioral validation may be possible as well. In this study, we created a novel agent-basedmodel applied to a specific context: Zimbabwean non-governmental organization the Muonde Trust has been collecting data on their agro-pastoral system for the last 35 years and had concerns about land-use planning and the effectiveness of management interventions in the face of climate change. We collaboratively created an agent-based model of their system using their data archive, qualitatively calibrating it to the observed behavior of the real system without tuning any parameters to match specific quantitative outputs. We then behaviorally validated the model using quantitative community-based data and conducted a sensitivity analysis to determine the relative impact of underlying parameter assumptions, Indigenous management interventions, and different rainfall variation scenarios. We found that our process resulted in a model which was successfully structurally validated and sufficiently realistic to be useful for Muonde researchers as a discussion tool. The model was inconsistently behaviorally validated, however, with some model variables matching field data better than others. We observed increased model system instability due to increasing variability in underlying drivers (rainfall), and also due to management interventions that broke feedbacks between the components of the system. Interventions that smoothed year-to-year variation rather than exaggerating it tended to improve sustainability. The Muonde trust has used the model to successfully advocate to local leaders for changes in land-use planning policy that will increase the sustainability of their system.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
InversionNet
InversionNet is a software to solve subsurface imaging problems. It leverages a convolutional neural network with an encoder-decoder structure to model the correspondence from seismic data to subsurface velocity structures.
Lin, Youzuo↗
Nuclear's Role in the U.S. Electricity System: A Multi-Model Inter-Comparison Analysis
Multiple capacity expansion models (CEMs) for the U.S. power system represent the balance of options among generation, transmission, and storage assets that can satisfy electric loads, operating and planning reserves, and policy requirements. These models are typically set up to find the least-cost portfolio of assets that meet specified requirements, and model decisions can include both investments in new, and retirement of existing, resources. The scenarios explored by CEMs can help inform strategies for meeting future electricity and energy needs under a range of future conditions. However, projections can differ between models, sometimes dramatically, for a seemingly similar scenario. Differences in model coverage, structure, and input assumptions contribute to the range of model outcomes. Understanding what drives the biggest differences in model outputs improves model insights and provides context for interpreting results. This summary presents analysis that was performed through a forum of analysts who own, update, and apply CEMs, as well as nuclear experts from national laboratories, industry, and the research community. The following sections describe methods, results, and findings from an original, innovative inter-model comparison that provides insights into what drives the greatest differences in nuclear retirement and deployment projections across models and a range of technology, market, and policy conditions.
capacity expansion model↗
Understanding and Modeling Pooled Rideshare Acceptance: Influential Factors, Preferred User Experiences, and Implications
This dissertation explores factors influencing pooled rideshare (PR) adoption to provide actionable insights for transportation network companies (TNCs) and policymakers. PR allows travelers to share rides with unknown passengers, offering benefits such as cost reduction and congestion relief. However, adoption remains limited due to safety concerns, privacy issues, and trust in rideshare platforms. A national U.S. survey with 5,385 respondents examined transportation preferences and barriers to PR adoption. Exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses identified five key factors influencing PR consideration—safety, service experience, privacy, traffic/environment, and time/cost. Second factor analyses examined ways to optimize PR experiences, revealing four factors—comfort/ease of use, convenience, vehicle technology/accessibility, and passenger safety. Privacy concerns, for instance, using regression analysis, were found to reduce the likelihood of PR adoption by 77%, and convenience had the potential to increase it by 156%. The Pooled Rideshare Acceptance Model (PRAM), based on the Technology Acceptance Model, assessed the impact of these factors using the Structural Equation Model (SEM). Privacy, safety, trust, and convenience had a large effect (Cohen's f2 > 0.35) on PR acceptance, while multigroup analyses (PRAMMA) explored 16 demographic variables such as gender, generation, and income, emphasizing the need for tailored strategies. Based on all the statistical analysis and workshops using descriptive statistics, 95 actionable recommendations were made from the riders' perspective. Findings highlight the importance of customized services, user experience improvements, and policy interventions to enhance PR adoption. This dissertation provides a roadmap for future research and policy development, ensuring evidence-based, practical strategies to improve PR services in the U.S. and beyond.
Gangadharaiah, Rakesh↗
Develop and verify soil/structure interaction for pile/foundation interaction
Phase II of the Offshore Code Comparison Collaboration, Continued, with Correlation and unCertainty (OC6) project was used to verify the implementation of a new soil-structure interaction (SSI) model for use within offshore wind turbine modeling software. The REDWIN Macro-element model implemented and verified in this study enables a computationally efficient way to model the linear and nonlinear SSI problem, including hysteretic damping, of a monopile structure. The modeling approach was integrated into several modeling tools and a series of increasingly complex simulations was conducted using the IEA 10MW reference turbine mounted on a monopile support structure to verify the coupling between the tools and the REDWIN Macro-element SSI model. This campaign includes only numerical verification between various software and modeling approaches so no experimental measurements are available. The load cases (LC) considered include: LC1 – static response of the tower and substructure LC2 – frequency and mode-shape analysis of the tower and substructure LC3 – response of the tower and substructure due to wind-only loading LC4 – response of the tower and substructure due to wave-only loading LC5 – response of the tower and substructure due to wind and wave loading. Detailed properties of the modeled system are found in the following reference, “Bergua, Roger, Amy Robertson, Jason Jonkman, and Andy Platt. 2021. "Specification Document for OC6 Phase II: Verification of an Advanced Soil-Structure Interaction Model for Offshore Wind Turbines.” Golden, CO: National Renewable Energy Laboratory. NREL/TP-5000-79938. https://www.nlr.gov/docs/fy21osti/79938.pdf. Details on the results from the OC6 Phase II project can be found in the following reference, “Bergua R, Robertson A, Jonkman J, et al. OC6 Phase II: Integration and verification of a new soil–structure interaction model for offshore wind design.” Wind Energy. 2022;25(5):793-810. doi:10.1002/we.2698
17 WIND ENERGY↗
Automated Framework for Groundwater Monitoring Using DWT with LSTM and Transformers
Environmental monitoring is critical for safeguarding public health and ecological well-being. Traditional data structuring and workflow monitoring methods consume significant time and effort, hindering timely insights and effective decision-making. Our study addresses this challenge by presenting an AI framework that automates data cleaning, structuring, and modeling processes, specifically targeting applications in groundwater monitoring. By leveraging automation for data processing and model training, our framework establishes a novel and efficient paradigm for environmental monitoring, with its potential application to the vast network of over a hundred Department of Energy Environmental Management (DoE-EM) cleanup sites across the country. It analyzes data streams from a network of groundwater Internet-of-Things (IoT) sensors deployed at the Savannah River Site (SRS) for prediction modeling. This allows human experts to focus on analysis and decision-making, ultimately leading to better environmental outcomes.The framework employs multivariate time-series forecasting methods to study and model the behavior of varying chemical analytes. The continuous learning process is enabled by utilizing deep learning techniques. It allows the framework to become more nuanced in its analysis over time, adapting to the specific characteristics of the environmental site and the evolving nature of contaminant behavior. Deep learning models known for sequence modeling, LSTM, and Transformers are employed for time series forecasting. Data processing and structuring are essential components significantly impacting the final model's performance. This hypothesis was proven by presenting a comparative analysis of model performance with processed and unprocessed data. The feature engineering approach utilized was the Discrete Wavelet Transform, which works well with time series data.
Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT)↗
Is the Adoption of Electric Vehicles (EVs) and Solar Photovoltaics (PVs) Interdependent or Independent? An Integrated EVs-PVs Modeling Framework
Transportation and residential energy consumption account for more than one-half of the overall energy consumption in the United States. Adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) can play a key role in decarbonizing the transportation sector, while the adoption of renewable energy sources (e.g., solar photovoltaics or PVs) could bring similar benefits to the residential energy sector and in turn support transport electrification. Although the market share for both EVs and PVs continue to grow, both these emerging technologies are deployed rather disjoint without considering the existence of potential similarities among users who own (or aspire to own) EVs and PVs. This might be due to lack of understanding of the behavioral interdependence in consumer preferences towards these technologies. To fill this gap in knowledge, this study utilizes data from the 2018 WholeTraveler Transportation Behavior Study to develop an integrated model system that explores EV and PV adoption behaviors. A structural equations model (SEM) is employed that incorporates direct effects as well as error correlations among the adoption behaviors for EVs and PVs. Model results indicate that the adoption behavior for both these technologies is indeed interconnected and significantly influenced by attitudes, values and personality traits. Findings from this research suggest that incentives (e.g., subsidies) that drive 'bundled' adoption of EVs and PVs could accelerate the adoption of both these sustainable technologies. The results highlights the need to consider transport and building energy efficient technology adoption behavior in a single integrated structure.
ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS,ENERGY PLANNING, POLIC↗
Dynamically generated momentum space shell structure of quarkyonic matter via an excluded volume model
The phase-space structure of zero-temperature quarkyonic matter is a Fermi sphere of quark matter surrounded by a shell of nucleonic matter. Here, we construct a quasiparticle model of quarkyonic matter based on the constituent quark model, where the quark and nucleon masses are related by $m_Q = m_N/N_c$, and $N_c$ is the number of quark colors. The region of occupied states is for quarks $k_Q < k_F/N_c$ and for nucleons $k_F < k_N < k_F + Δ$. We first consider the general problem of quarkyonic matter with hard-core nucleon interactions. We then specialize to a quasiparticle model where the hard-core nucleon interactions are accounted for by an excluded volume. In this model, we show that the nucleonic shell forms past some critical density related to the hard-core size and for large densities becomes a thin shell. We explore the basic features of such a model and argue this model has the semiquantitative behavior needed to describe neutron stars.
73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
Low-Temperature Crystal Structure and Mean-Field Modeling of Er x Dy 1- x Al 2 Intermetallics
Low-temperature crystal structure of the Er x Dy 1-x Al 2 alloys with x = 0.45, 0.67, 0.90 was examined using temperature-dependent powder X-ray diffraction. The Er-rich sample, Er 0.9 Dy 0.1 Al 2 , exhibits a rhombohedral distortion associated with the magnetic ordering that occurs around 20 K. The rhombohedral distortion is suppressed in Er 0.67 Dy 0.33 Al 2 , while a weak low-temperature tetragonal distortion is observed in Er 0.45 Dy 0.55 Al 2 . The mean-field theory supports the correlation between the type of structural distortion and the variable easy magnetization axis in Er x Dy 1-x Al 2 intermetallics.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Quadrupolar NMR crystallography guided crystal structure prediction (QNMRX-CSP) of zwitterionic organic HCl salts
In this work, we benchmark quadrupolar NMR crystallography guided crystal structure prediction (QNMRX-CSP) for determining the crystal structures of two zwitterionic organic HCl salts, L-ornithine HCl ( Orn ) and L-histidine HCl·H 2 O ( Hist ). These salts present an interesting challenge for QNMRX-CSP, as gas-phase geometry optimizations used to generate starting structures for the organic zwitterionic fragments fail to capture their correct solid-state geometries. To overcome this limitation, geometry optimizations using the COSMO water-solvation model are employed to generate initial structural models. Using this approach, QNMRX-CSP yields structural models of the two zwitterionic organic HCl salts that closely match experimentally determined crystal structures. In addition, the application of QNMRX-CSP to Hist represents a further step toward the de novo structural determination of solvated organic HCl salts, as Hist is the first benchmark system of this type to include a water molecule as a component of its crystal structure. This work is significant for its potential application to the structural determination of active pharmaceutical ingredients, which often feature complex organic components and solvated solid forms.
Fleischer, Carl H. [Florida State Univ., Tallahass↗