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At least 739 records · Page 41

Reliability of CGA/LGA/HDI Package Board/Assembly

This follow-up report presents reliability test results conducted by thermal cycling of five CGA assemblies evaluated under two extreme cycle profiles, representative of use for high-reliability applications. The thermal cycles ranged from a low temperature of −55°C to maximum temperatures of either 100°C or 125°C with slow ramp-up rate (3°C/min) and dwell times of about 15 minutes at the two extremes. Optical photomicrographs that illustrate key inspection findings of up to 200 thermal cycles are presented. Other information presented include an evaluation of the integrity of capacitors on CGA substrate after thermal cycling as well as process evaluation for direct assembly of an LGA onto PCB. The qualification guidelines, which are based on the test results for CGA/LGA/HDI packages and board assemblies, will facilitate NASA projects’ use of very dense and newly available FPGA area array packages with known reliably and mitigation risks, allowing greater processing power in a smaller board footprint and lower system weight.

Ghaffarian, Reza↗

Acceleration Factors for Reliability Assessment of Polymer Tantalum Capacitors

Using polymer tantalum capacitors in Hi-Rel systems requires an assessment of the reliability characteristics of the parts. For this assessment, tantalum capacitors are typically subjected to reliability testing at temperatures and voltages exceeding their specified values, and the failure rate (FR) — or the probability of failure during use conditions — is calculated based on voltage and temperature acceleration factors. In this work, various types and lots of polymer tantalum capacitors have been tested at highly accelerated life test (HALT) conditions and the acceleration factors have been determined using different techniques. It has been shown that the behavior of capacitors under HALT conditions can be described based on the time-dependent dielectric breakdown (TDDB) model, which explains the presence of infant mortality (IM) and wear-out failures using the same failure mechanisms and allows for an assessment of the acceleration factors. The difference in acceleration factors obtained using exponential and power models is discussed. Analysis shows that with proper derating, screening, and qualification testing, the reliability of frameless Hi-Rel COTS polymer tantalum capacitors is adequate for space missions.

Alex Eidelman↗

Acceleration Factors for Reliability Assessment of Polymer Tantalum Capacitors

Using polymer tantalum capacitors in Hi-Rel systems requires an assessment of the reliability characteristics of the parts. For this assessment, tantalum capacitors are typically subjected to reliability testing at temperatures and voltages exceeding their specified values, and the failure rate (FR) — or the probability of failure during use conditions — is calculated based on voltage and temperature acceleration factors. In this work, various types and lots of polymer tantalum capacitors have been tested at highly accelerated life test (HALT) conditions and the acceleration factors have been determined using different techniques. It has been shown that the behavior of capacitors under HALT conditions can be described based on the time-dependent dielectric breakdown (TDDB) model, which explains the presence of infant mortality (IM) and wear-out failures using the same failure mechanisms and allows for an assessment of the acceleration factors. The difference in acceleration factors obtained using exponential and power models is discussed. Analysis shows that with proper derating, screening, and qualification testing, the reliability of frameless Hi-Rel COTS polymer tantalum capacitors is adequate for space missions.

Alex Eidelman↗

Impact of Latency and Reliability on Separation Assurance with Remotely Piloted Aircraft in Terminal Operations

Remotely Piloted Aircraft (RPA) for cargo operations in the national airspace system will impact safety due to, among other factors, the latency and reliability of command & control, and of communication. This paper investigates the safety impact with increasing mix of RPA amidst manned traffic in a generic arrival pattern with three merging flows. Latency was modelled as the response time between air traffic control's determination of a resolution and the RPAs' initiation of the maneuver. Reliability was modelled as a message drop probability. The experiment was repeated with two different aircraft types having different performance characteristics as representatives of RPA for conducting automated cargo operations. Overall response time above thirty seconds and message drop probability over twenty percent caused losses of separation. Specific results depended on the RPA aircraft type. The detailed impacts of latency and reliability with increasing mix of RPA traffic are provided. Applications of the approach for further studies at increasing levels of automation are also discussed.

Vishwanath Bulusu↗

Impact of Latency and Reliability on Separation Assurance with Remotely Piloted Aircraft in Terminal Operations

Remotely Piloted Aircraft (RPA) for cargo operations in the national airspace system will impact safety due to, among other factors, the latency and reliability of command & control, and of communication. This paper investigates the safety impact with increasing mix of RPA amidst manned traffic in a generic arrival pattern with three merging flows. Latency was modelled as the response time between air traffic control's determination of a resolution and the RPAs' initiation of the maneuver. Reliability was modelled as a message drop probability. The experiment was repeated with two different aircraft types having different performance characteristics as representatives of RPA for conducting automated cargo operations. Overall response time above thirty seconds and message drop probability over twenty percent caused losses of separation. Specific results depended on the RPA aircraft type. The detailed impacts of latency and reliability with increasing mix of RPA traffic are provided. Applications of the approach for further studies at increasing levels of automation are also discussed.

Vishwanath Bulusu↗

Statistical Distribution of Gear Surface Fatigue Lives at High Reliability

The reliability of gears is important for a wide variety of applications, and the gearing community has a desire for better prediction of fatigue life at very high reliability. To improve predictions, a set of 950 NASA-conducted gear surface fatigue test results were gathered, pooled together using the general standardized Weibull variate, and then fit to a Weibull three-parameter distribution. An iterative fitting method was developed and then applied to the gear fatigue data to determine the values of the distribution parameters. Additional analyses were done using bearing and gear data that demonstrate a trend of increasing minimum life coefficient as correlated to the timeframe of the fatigue testing, and material cleanliness is proposed as a primary explanation for such correlation. It is noted that this observed trend supports published findings from analytical modeling and experimental studies that improvements to material cleanliness improves minimum fatigue life. Further use and study of the three-parameter Weibull distribution is recommended as a tool to quantify fatigue life most accurately in the high reliability regime.

gear↗

Improved Aerothermal Reliability Analysis Enabled by the Mars Sample Return Earth Entry System Aerothermal Database

The Mars Sample Return (MSR) campaign is a series of missions designed to retrieve Martian rock and soil samples for detailed study on Earth. The campaign is split into three primary phases: sample collection with the Mars2020 rover, retrieval with the Sample Return Lander (SRL) and Mars Ascent Vehicle (MAV), and then return to Earth with the Earth Return Orbiter (ERO) and Capture, Containment, and Return System (CCRS) [1]. The final sequence in the Earth return phase is the delivery and entry of the Earth Entry System (EES) sample return capsule. Due to unprecedented planetary protection concerns, the sample return capsule is subject to strict reliability requirements. To this end, the MSR-EES aerothermal team has implemented a flexible aerothermal database architecture capable of integration with state-of-the-art trajectory codes to provide a more rigorous aerothermal reliability analysis. The EES database enables the generation of environments at any location on the heatshield and can incorporate trajectory uncertainties to both statistically quantify aerothermal environments for arcjet testing and produce material response boundary conditions to rigorously select thermal protection system (TPS) sizing environments. This poster will not discuss the fundamental modeling assumptions included in the database, and will instead focus on the downstream reliability analyses that can be performed with a database of this architecture.

MSR-EES↗

Reliable Power Hibernation and Recovery for Solar Powered Lunar Missions

NASA Glenn Research Center has been working on a solution to surviving the lunar night based on the discovery that Li-Ion cells can survive the freeze/thaw process. This implies that a lunar surface spacecraft could hibernate through the coldest portions of the night and recover at lunar dawn. Survival and recovery also depend on power electronics capable of tolerating the cold and reliably starting at lunar dawn based on solar array output alone. GRC is working with STMD Space Technology Research Grant investigators to characterize Li-ion cells through the freeze-thaw process and fully understand the electro-chemical and thermal-mechanical processes to assure reliable cell hibernation and recovery. Further, we are working with investigators to determine what power semiconductor material, transistor technology, and power architecture is best suited for reliable cold start at lunar dawn and methodically restoring the power system to full operation for the next lunar cycle.

Spacecraft Power↗

Pilot Plant Reliability Metrics for Grinding and Fast Pyrolysis of Woody Residues

The reliability of biomass size reduction, feeding, and conversion processes remains a critical technical hurdle and important cost driver for biomass conversion systems. While Biorefinery projects have typically focused on scaling up conversion technologies that maximize yield of desired products, e.g. fuels and chemicals, solids handling and reactor feeding systems are often considered secondarily. These are frequently scaled down or adapted from other industries, without a full appreciation of how biomass heterogeneity and variability impact process reliability. Here we present the effects of feedstock variability on relative throughput, mass loss, plant uptime, operator intervention, product yield, and product quality for grinding and fast pyrolysis operations at the pilot scale. Loblolly pine residues were sourced and collected using commercial harvesting techniques. Grinding and pyrolysis experiments were performed at INL's Biomass Feedstock National User Facility and NREL's Thermal and Catalytic Process Development Unit, respectively. Preprocessing throughput using a hammer mill varied between 31-48% of nameplate capacity (5 tons/hr), and fast pyrolysis throughput varied between 57-72% of nameplate capacity (20 kg/hr) for an overall system throughput of 18-35% of nameplate capacity across biomass preprocessing and conversion to pyrolysis oil. Pyrolysis oil yields varied between 46-53% (feedstock carbon to oil, dry basis). Grinder overloads in the size reduction step were more prevalent for lower ash and higher moisture materials. During fast pyrolysis operations, downtime was caused by bridging in the feed and char removal systems and plugging in the condensation system, and significant variation in the type and frequency of operator intervention was observed between feedstocks. Cohesion of solids (feedstock and char) leading to system plugging appeared less problematic for higher ash feedstocks, and differences in condenser plugging behavior between high and low ash feedstocks indicates the composition and physical nature of the deposited material is important for process reliability and is feedstock dependent.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Reliable Power Rating of Perovskite PV Modules: Preprint

As the perovskite technology is ramping up into commercialization, reliable and accurate power rating of large-size perovskite modules becomes a prominent aspect for its future deployment in the PV market. It is known that the performance calibration of perovskite PV devices is very challenging due to its complex dynamic response during a conventional current-voltage (IV) measurement. PV researchers have previously proposed several steady-state performance calibration methods to reliably extract PV efficiencies, but mostly focus on small area research-type cells. In this paper, we emphasize the importance of reliable performance calibration on large-size perovskite modules. Extending the NREL Cell and Module Performance (CMP) group’s steady-state performance calibration protocol (i.e., Asymptotic PMAX Scan) for perovskite cells to modules, we justify the necessity of reporting steady-state efficiencies for perovskite cells and discuss the challenges of applying this protocol to modules. We also present our protocol for Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT), which is a technique often used for performance calibration of perovskite cells and modules, and show a comparison between MPPT and Asymptotic PMAX. Using MPPT we demonstrate the interplay between metastability and degradation in perovskite modules, and emphasize the necessity to develop preconditioning protocols for stabilizing these devices. Our aim is to promote development of consensus protocols for performance calibration of perovskite modules, and to advance their credible power ratings, which will be beneficial to the growth of perovskite technology in the PV market.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Understanding Reliability Trade-Offs in 1T-nC and 2T-nC FeRAM Designs

Ferroelectric random access memory (FeRAM) is a promising candidate for energy-efficient nonvolatile memory, particularly for logic-in-memory and compute-in-memory (CIM) applications. Among the available cell architectures, One-Transistor–n-Capacitor (1T-nC) and two-transistor–n-capacitor (2T-nC) FeRAMs each offer distinct trade-offs in density, scalability, and reliability. In this work, we present a comparative study of these two architectures under both dimensional scaling ( XY/Z shrinkage) and vertical integration (increasing stacked capacitors per cell). Using technology computer-aided design (TCAD) and circuit-level simulations, we analyze how scaling impacts ferroelectric capacitance, parasitic coupling, and floating-node (FN) dynamics, which together dictate sense margin (SM) and read stability. A key mitigation strategy—floating unselected capacitors—is applied to both architectures, effectively decoupling the SM from the number of stacked capacitors and enabling tractable analysis across scaling regimes. Results show that 1T-nC suffers more from charge sharing with the bitline (BL), while 2T-nC benefits from transistor isolation and stronger low-voltage sensing at the cost of increased area. By systematically evaluating these behaviors across scaling directions, this work establishes the reliability trade-offs of 1T-nC and 2T-nC cells and provides design guidelines for high-density, vertically integrated FeRAM systems.

1T-nC↗

Light Water Reactor Sustainability Program: Use of Time Distributions to Predict Operator Procedure Performance in Dynamic Human Reliability Analysis

The Human Unimodel for Nuclear Technology to Enhance Reliability (HUNTER) framework affords software capable of conducting human reliability analysis (HRA) using a dynamic approach built around operating procedures (OPs) from nuclear power plants (NPPs). Previous HUNTER reports document the development of this software tool, the coupling of HUNTER to the simulator code, the collection of operator performance data by using simulators to calibrate HUNTER models, and linking HUNTER to probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) software. The present report largely addresses two topics. The first is a new function in HUNTER called the HUNTER Procedure Performance Predictor (P3). HUNTER P3 uses HUNTER’s built in Monte Carlo tools featuring human performance variability to identify potential error traps in procedures. The second topic is time distribution analysis to generate time inputs for dynamic HRA. The current analysis was performed to investigate time distributions for task primitives, which are the minimum task unit of analysis used in dynamic HRA modeling. Using the time distribution data, the elapsed time for human actions in an extended loss of AC power (ELAP) scenario is then investigated. Time data and prediction are essential for modeling procedure performance.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Three approaches to reliability analysis

It is noted that current reliability analysis tools differ not only in their solution techniques, but also in their approach to model abstraction. The analyst must be satisfied with the constraints that are intrinsic to any combination of solution technique and model abstraction. To get a better idea of the nature of these constraints, three reliability analysis tools (HARP, ASSIST/SURE, and CAME) were used to model portions of the Integrated Airframe/Propulsion Control System architecture. When presented with the example problem, all three tools failed to produce correct results. In all cases, either the tool or the model had to be modified. It is suggested that most of the difficulty is rooted in the large model size and long computational times which are characteristic of Markov model solutions.

Mesh networks↗

State reduction for semi-Markov reliability models

Semi-Markov processes have proved to be an effective and convenient tool to construct models of systems that achieve reliability by redundancy and reconfiguration. These models are able to depict complex system architectures and to capture the dynamics of fault arrival and system recovery. A disadvantage of this approach is that the models can be extremely large, which poses both a model construction and a computational problem. Techniques are needed to reduce the model size. Because these systems are used in critical applications where failure can be expensive, there must be an analytically derived bound for the error produced by the model reduction technique. Automatic model generation programs have been written to help the reliability analyst produce models of complex systems. Because of the importance of these programs, the model reduction technique needs to be precise and easily implemented. This paper presents a model reduction technique called trimming that can be applied to a popular class of systems. An error bound for the trimming procedure is derived that uses readily available system parameters. The trimming procedure is precisely described and appears easy to implement in a model generation program.

Reduced order systems↗

Influence of the Bulk Resistivity on Silicon Heterojunction Solar Cells and Module Reliability

Recent developments in industry on surface passivation open the possibility of using less doped substrates in silicon solar cells. In this report we investigate how the bulk resistivity affects the performance of silicon cells and the reliability of modules. Herein, n- and p-type silicon heterojunction cells with bulk resistivities between 3 and 15 000 Ωcm are studied. We measure the current–voltage characteristics of n-type cells across the resistivity range, and we find comparable responses to illumination intensities between 0.1 and 1 suns. The cells with bulk resistivities over 1000 Ωcm show breakdown voltages larger than -1000 V, almost two orders of magnitude higher than in typical commercial cells. Although modules have bypass-diodes to prevent cells from going into breakdown, higher breakdown voltages can improve the reliability of modules in case of bypass-diode failure and reduce the module cost by easing the number of bypass-diodes required. Finally, the cells have been submitted to light soaking. The float-zone p-type cells with bulk resistivities over 10 000 Ωcm are less sensitive to light-induced degradation than cells with bulk resistivities below 10 Ωcm. The former show to recover few hours after light soaking, while the latter recover only after dark annealing.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Degradation Science from Nanometers to Kilometers: A Pathway to Rapid Detection for Reliable Photovoltaics

Photovoltaics reliability for terrestrial applications has more than four decades of history and experience. International standards development has prevented many early life failures and must be continued in the future. Yet, as the module product development cycle is measured in mere months, additional investment in the fundamental degradation science and rapid detection should be developed. In this article, a brief strategy is provided addressing indoor accelerated, outdoor testing, and modeling efforts required to retain high reliability in the following decade.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Reliability-informed end-of-use decision making for product sustainability using two-stage stochastic optimization

The concept of circular economy has been diffused in recent decades to promote economic growth that does not add to the burden on natural resource extraction. Re-X options (e.g., reuse, repair, refurbish, remanufacture, recycle) have been gradually adopted in the product development process and optimized to reduce or eliminate waste and pollution. Although manufacturing incorporating Re-X options can be more environmentally friendly, it involves more sources of uncertainty than traditional manufacturing since the end-of-use products can be collected from multiple origins with various quantities and qualities, and the market demand for both new and remanufactured products cannot be forecasted perfectly. Thus, there is a need to optimize the Re-X policy to alleviate the negative impacts of the higher uncertainty. One option is using the reliability information of new products to estimate the end-of-use conditions and applying multi-stage stochastic optimization to capture multiple demand scenarios. This paper develops a two-stage stochastic optimization model to optimize the quality thresholds for reuse, recycling, and remanufacturing options. Our objective is to minimize the total cost, energy consumption, and environmental impact of producing and providing warranty service for a product family. The model employs reliability information of product components to estimate the warranty service cost and the end-of-use conditions of the returned resources. A case study on a general product family is implemented to illustrate the efficacy of the optimization model. Finally, results show that the two-stage optimization can achieve cost and environmental impact reduction for a hybrid manufacturing and remanufacturing process.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A functional global sensitivity measure and efficient reliability sensitivity analysis with respect to statistical parameters

Sensitivity analysis and reliability assessment are two important aspects of structural and system safety. Epistemic uncertainty with respect to probabilistic model of input parameters due to lack of knowledge is present in many scarce-data applications and complicates the characterization of uncertainty in model response. In this article, we present two importance measures to evaluate the impact of distribution parameters on the probability distribution function (PDF) of the output and the failure probability. The epistemic uncertainty associated with the distribution parameters is modeled as random variables. Additionally, a modified extended polynomial chaos expansion (MEPCE) approach is introduced in which aleatory and epistemic random variables are modeled and propagated simultaneously while allowing the separate assessment for any single epistemic variable. A MEPCE-based kernel density estimation (KDE) construction provides a composite map from each epistemic variable to the response PDF. The functional global sensitivity index of the PDF with respect to the distribution parameters is thus derived, as a function of output, which is both more informative and more efficient than standard scalar sensitivity measures. Reliability sensitivity indices can be readily evaluated by integrating the global sensitivity index function over the failure zone. Three illustrative examples are used to demonstrate the proposed methodology.

42 ENGINEERING↗