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DOE OSTI2021

Integer versus half-integer spin on an approximate honeycomb lattice

Recent interest in honeycomb lattice materials has focused on their potential to host quantum spin liquid (QSL) states. Variations in bond angles and spin allow a range of interesting behaviors on this lattice, from the predicted QSL ground state of the Kitaev model to exotic magnetic orders. Here we report the physical properties of two compounds with rare earths on an approximate honeycomb lattice. Here, the isostructural compounds Nd 2 S 5 Sn (J = 9/2) and Pr 2 S 5 Sn (J = 4) permit a direct comparison of half-integer versus integer spins on this lattice. We find strikingly different magnetic properties for the two compounds. Nd 2 S 5 Sn orders antiferromagnetically at T N ≈ 2.5 K and undergoes several magnetic transitions to other ordered states under applied field. Pr 2 S 5 Sn displays no magnetic ordering transition above T = 0.41 K, and may be proximate to a spin liquid state.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Climate lags and genetics determine phenology in quaking aspen ( Populus tremuloides )

Spatiotemporal patterns of phenology may be affected by mosaics of environmental and genetic variation. Environmental drivers may have temporally lagged impacts, but patterns and mechanisms remain poorly known. Here, we combine multiple genomic, remotely sensed, and physically modeled datasets to determine the spatiotemporal patterns and drivers of canopy phenology in quaking aspen, a widespread clonal dioecious tree species with diploid and triploid cytotypes. We show that over 391 km 2 of southwestern Colorado: greenup date, greendown date, and growing season length vary by weeks and differ across sexes, cytotypes, and genotypes; phenology has high phenotypic plasticity and heritabilities of 31–61% (interquartile range); and snowmelt date, soil moisture, and air temperature predict phenology, at temporal lags of up to 3 yr. Our study shows that lagged environmental effects are needed to explain phenological variation and that the effect of cytotype on phenology is obscured by its correlation with topography. Phenological patterns are consistent with responses to multiyear accumulation of carbon deficit or hydraulic damage.

carbon allocation↗

DOE OSTI2026

$\overline{\Sigma }^{\pm }$ production in $\text {pp}$ and $\text {p}{-}\text{Pb}$ collisions at $\sqrt{s_{\textrm{NN}}} = 5.02$ TeV with ALICE

The transverse momentum spectra and integrated yields of anti-$Σ$ hyperons ($\overline{\Sigma}^{\pm}$) have been measured in and collisions at $\sqrt{s_{\textrm{NN}}} = 5.02$ TeV with the ALICE experiment. Measurements are performed via the newly accessed decay channel $\overline{\Sigma}^{\pm}$ → $\bar{\textrm{n}}π^±$. A new method of antineutron reconstruction with the PHOS electromagnetic spectrometer is developed and applied to this analysis. The p T spectra of $\overline{\Sigma}^{\pm}$ are measured in the range 0.5 < p T < 3 GeV/c and compared to predictions of the PYTHIA 8, DPMJET, PHOJET, EPOS LHC and EPOS4 models. The EPOS LHC and EPOS4 models provide the best descriptions of the measured spectra both in pp and p-Pb collisions, while models which do not account for multiparton interactions provide a considerably worse description at high p T . The total yields of $\overline{\Sigma }^{\pm }$ in both pp and p-Pb collisions are compared to predictions of the Thermal-FIST model and dynamical models PYTHIA 8, DPMJET, PHOJET, EPOS LHC and EPOS4. All models reproduce the total yields in both colliding systems within uncertainties. The nuclear modification factors R pPb for both $\overline{\Sigma}^{+}$ and $\overline{\Sigma}^{-}$ are evaluated and compared to those of protons, $Λ$ and $Ξ$ hyperons, and predictions of EPOS LHC and EPOS4 models. No deviations of R pPb for $\overline{\Sigma}^{\pm}$ from the model predictions or measurements for other hadrons are found within uncertainties.

Abualrob, I. J. [University of Houston] (ORCID:000↗

DOE OSTI2020

Enabling a Flexible Grid with Increased Penetration of DER: Techno-economic Analysis of Metal Hydride Thermochemical Energy Storage Integrated with Stirling Engine for Grid Energy Storage Applications

This report summarizes the results of a techno-economic assessment of the capital and operational expenses for 3 scenarios utilizing a TES/Stirling engine system which is charged by an electric heater to provide grid power and energy storage. While there are several integration possibilities and material choices that could be utilized in such systems, three difference scenarios were chosen for this assessment to reflect an anticipated deployment of the technology where each might require different TES system configurations. Additionally, an enhanced version of the HTMH is considered to demonstrate the expected impact on costs with further technology development. The predicted capital and operational LCOS for the system configurations range from $0.0198/kWhr e - $0.0734/kWhr e which compare positively to the LCOS for lithium ion battery storage ranging from $0.087/kWhr e – $0.329/kWhr e . The key drivers for cost improvements to the system are material property enhancements in the HTMH primarily related to reducing the costs associated with the HTMH vessel and heat exchangers. This analysis demonstrates the potential benefits and flexibility of integrating a Stirling engine with a metal hydride-based TES system and suggests that the MH TES technology, at its current level of development, provides a highly competitive alternative to lithium ion batteries for large scale grid energy storage applications.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2020

Tardigrade: Summary (LL20-AM-sensor)

Tardigrade is an effort to create small, passive remote sensor for material detection and identification. The microbolometer based sensor design uses custom bandpass filter bands combined with tuned thermal expansion materials in a ruggedized lens housing to provide passive mechanical correction for optical changes across a wide temperature range. This requires developing computational tools to model and predict thermal performance of meta-materials composed of multiple structured base materials and void-space, along with matching and developing 3D print technology to demonstrate the housing. Current efforts in the project are in 3 areas: material design algorithm development (transitioning into full 3D material design space), multi-material additive manufacturing process exploration, and sensor/optics design and engineering.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Modeling Savings for ENERGY STAR Smart Home Energy Management Systems

The objective of this study was to develop a repeatable and defensible methodology to analyze the energy savings for Home Energy Management Systems (HEMS) that meets the minimum requirements for certification under ENERGY STAR ® Smart Home Energy Management System (SHEMS) Version 1. Mandatory connected loads include a smart thermostat, two smart lights, and one smart power strip or smart outlet. Control strategies must include feedback to occupants through an in-home display, user programming, occupancy sensor-based controls, and responsiveness to utility signals such as demand response programs. Several occupant behavior patterns were selected to quantify the range of energy savings potential for a HEMS with this basic functionality. A literature review was conducted to establish realistic room-by-room occupancy levels and usage patterns for connected devices. A series of event-driven hourly profiles were created, followed by adjustments based on application of HEMS control strategies to thermostats, interior lighting, and plug load schedules. EnergyPlus modeling was performed using these hourly schedules in three locations (Boston, Houston, and Phoenix) to examine climate dependence of energy savings. Total site energy savings ranged from 4.3 to 27.1 MBtu/year (7%-35%), and utility bill savings ranged from $\$$123 to $\$$670/year (6%-29%). The highest predicted savings was realized by occupants that were not energy conscious prior to HEMS installation, but highly engaged with the HEMS controls once the system was installed. The smart thermostat accounted for most of the savings, followed by the smart power strip. Smart lighting did not save a significant amount of energy in our analysis, based on an assumption that efficient LEDs with no standby power would normally be installed anyway.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2021

ARM Aerosol Measurement Science Group 2019 Strategic Planning Workshop Report

This report summarizes the results of a U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility workshop held in November 2019 to advance a science-based strategy for ARM’s aerosol measurement program. This was the second such workshop since the Aerosol Measurement Science Group (AMSG) was chartered in 2015 to enhance coordination of ARM observations of aerosols and atmospheric trace gases with the needs of ARM users. The results presented here reflect the AMSG’s focus in recent years on science-based strategies that will contribute to the increased use of ARM data to fulfill its mission of improving process representations and predictability in climate models. Sessions held during the workshop range from interfacing with models through aerosol sampling strategies to calibration protocols and data products. The strategies set forth here were also developed to be directly relevant to ARM’s updated Decadal Vision. The AMSG workshops have been designed to recommend actions that will enable ARM to evolve and continue to meet its mission. To that end, the AMSG will develop an actionable plan from the recommendations outlined here. Some are well defined and can reasonably be accomplished in the short term. Others are less definite or of a larger scope that calls for a longer-term implementation. Further discussion will be required to develop and prioritize actionable items related to such areas. Task teams comprising the appropriate expertise and perspective from the AMSG and other members of the community will be formed to achieve this outcome. Some particular topics are recognized as high priority, so plans are underway to develop task teams and to hold follow-on discussions to address them. Four areas currently being considered for short, focused discussion are 1) aerosol measurements on the North Slope of Alaska, 2) improving data usability for modeling, 3) strategies for advancing remote sensing, vertical profiling, and distributed measurements of aerosols, and 4) aerosol sampling strategies at existing ARM sites to provide intensive modes of operation to promote data usage for process and modeling studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

ARM Aerosol Measurement Science Group 2019 Strategic Planning Workshop Report

This report summarizes the results of a U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility workshop held in November 2019 to advance a science-based strategy for ARM’s aerosol measurement program. This was the second such workshop since the Aerosol Measurement Science Group (AMSG) was chartered in 2015 to enhance coordination of ARM observations of aerosols and atmospheric trace gases with the needs of ARM users. The results presented here reflect the AMSG’s focus in recent years on science-based strategies that will contribute to the increased use of ARM data to fulfill its mission of improving process representations and predictability in climate models. Sessions held during the workshop range from interfacing with models through aerosol sampling strategies to calibration protocols and data products. The AMSG workshops have been designed to recommend actions that will enable ARM to evolve and continue to meet its mission. To that end, the AMSG will develop an actionable plan from the recommendations outlined here. Some are well defined and can reasonably be accomplished in the short term. Others are less definite or of a larger scope that calls for a longer-term implementation. Further discussion will be required to develop and prioritize actionable items related to such areas. Task teams comprising the appropriate expertise and perspective from the AMSG and other members of the community will be formed to achieve this outcome. Some particular topics are recognized as high priority, so plans are underway to develop task teams and to hold follow-on discussions to address them. Four areas currently being considered for short, focused discussion are 1) aerosol measurements on the North Slope of Alaska, 2) improving data usability for modeling, 3) strategies for advancing remote sensing, vertical profiling, and distributed measurements of aerosols, and 4) aerosol sampling strategies at existing ARM sites to provide intensive modes of operation to promote data usage for process and modeling studies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Cybersecurity Anomaly Detection in SCADA-Assisted OT Networks Using Ensemble-Based State Prediction Model

The cybersecurity threats of power system gradually grow due to the increased sophisticated interactions between Information Technology (IT) and Operational Technology (OT) networks. False data injection attack (FDIA) that aims to compromise the Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) measurement and disturb the system operation is one of such cyber threats. Such attacks can potentially lead to significant operational issues at the control centers and substations, and hence, result in severe physical consequences. To avoid catastrophic failure across the power grid resulting from these attacks, it is essential to arm the OT network with real-time vulnerability assessment tools. To this end, this paper outlines various drawbacks of the Purdue architecture model to defend against cyberattacks in the OT network. Furthermore, a novel ensemble-based state prediction model is proposed to detect cybersecurity anomalies in SCADA assisted OT networks. The proposed model uses control center level generation and load forecasts, scheduled, and forced outages, power flow solutions, and the substation level historical data. The hypothesis of the proposed scheme relies on the fact that additional control center and substation data can hardly be accessed and compromised by attackers. One of the vital features of the proposed scheme is an hour-ahead prediction of the operational feasibility of the SCADA measurement range at the control center and substation in real time helps in detecting anomalies in measurements across both substation and the control center.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2023

Symposium: Quantum Theory, Quantum Materials, Quantum Computing (Final Report, DE-SC0022551)

Quantum mechanics is fundamental to understanding, predicting, and controlling many physical processes in a vast range of scientific and technological areas. In molecules and materials, the quantum mechanics of Coulombic many-body systems determines far more than the ground state and bulk properties. Quantum mechanics governs magnetism, electron and spin transport, chemical reactions and catalysis, superconductivity, photosynthesis, etc. Each plays a vital role in modern society. As digital technologies push both temporal and length-scale limits, fundamental quantum principles become the current focus for a new class of technologies: quantum computing, quantum sensing, quantum encryption, etc. This oncoming quantum information sciences wave is manifest recently in frontier foci of all six Department of Energy Office of Science programs. The Sanibel Symposium offers a proven, influential platform for facilitating and advancing cross-fertilization among theoretical and computational chemists and physicists, computer scientists, and materials engineers. The Symposia have a long, successful record of driving progress on theory and computation of materials, nanostructures, and their molecular constituents. The Symposia thus are well-suited for advancing the quantum information science thrust in the Office of Basic Energy Sciences (BES). With that QIS thrust as the focus, we propose five sessions of the 61st Sanibel Symposium on the theme Quantum Theory, Quantum Materials, Quantum Computing. From a longer perspective, this thematic program for 2022 is the second year of a five year plan of program segments addressed at challenges in quantum information sciences and quantum materials. The rest of the Symposium program will be of considerable relevance, with, for example, sessions on quantum molecular and material dynamics, and new directions in coupled cluster theory. New ideas for methods and applications can be expected to emerge from the stimulus of the formal presentations and informal discussions. The proposed award is targeted at students, post-docs, and junior scientists. Conscious effort, characteristic of the Sanibel Symposia, to stimulate the participation of women and under-represented minorities will continue.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

First-Principles Cost Analysis of Advanced High-Temperature Nuclear Plants

Due to the vast number of recent nuclear reactor innovations, particularly those pertaining to generation IV reactor types like high-temperature gas cooled reactors (HTGRs) and sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs), and the newer deployment strategies envisioned, such as use of small modular reactors (SMRs) or even microreactors, reliable, detailed, and complete costs of these nuclear innovations are needed in wide availability. The types of models that generally achieve these objectives are those incorporating the fundamental nature of the real-world systems they aspire to predict, such as first-principles models. Furthermore, first principles models typically offer predictiveness that is not attained by most other types of individual-models. However, detailed, first-principles cost modeling of nuclear reactors and entire nuclear plants is relatively limited. To address this limitation in the availability of detailed, predictive models based on fundamentals, we recently developed a range of cost models, mostly based on first-principles methodologies, to project full lifecycle costs (LCCs) of nuclear power plants (NPPs) based on multiple parallel SM-HTG-pebble bed reactors (PBRs) and SM-SFRs.

Prosser, Jacob H. [Strategic Analysis, Inc., Arlin↗

DOE OSTI2021

Computing Free Energies with Fluctuation Relations on Quantum Computers

One of the most promising applications for quantum computers is the dynamic simulation of quantum materials. Current hardware, however, sets stringent limitations on how long such simulations can run before decoherence begins to corrupt results. The Jarzynski equality, a fluctuation theorem that allows for the computation of equilibrium free energy differences from an ensemble of short, non-equilibrium dynamics simulations, can make use of such short-time simulations on quantum computers. Here, we present a quantum algorithm based on the Jarzynski equality for computing free energies of quantum materials. We demonstrate our algorithm using the transverse field Ising model on both a quantum simulator and real quantum hardware. As the free energy is a central thermodynamic property that allows one to compute virtually any equilibrium property of a physical system, the ability to perform this algorithm for larger quantum systems in the future has implications for a wide range of applications including the construction of phase diagrams, prediction of transport properties and reaction constants, and computer-aided drug design.

Bassman, Lindsay↗

DOE OSTI2022

Securing against malicious control of circuit breakers in electrical substations

An example method for detecting and mitigating attacks on electric power substations comprises detecting a command to open or close a circuit breaker in the electric power substation. A modified extended substation model for the electric power substation is generated, based on the detected command and based on measurements in substation, where the modified extended substation model is a power flow model for the substation and for one or more directly connected neighboring substations. A power flow analysis is performed, using the modified extended substation model, to generate a predicted voltage for each of a plurality of nodes in the substation and in the one or more directly connected neighboring substations. Each predicted voltage is compared to a corresponding allowable voltage range, and execution of the command is blocked in response to determining that one or more of the voltages is outside the corresponding allowable voltage range.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2025

First-Principles Cost Analysis of Advanced High-Temperature Nuclear Plants

Prosser, Jacob H. [Strategic Analysis, Inc., Arlin↗

DOE OSTI2022

Preliminary Results for Using Uncertainty and Out-of-distribution Detection to Identify Unreliable Predictions.

As machine learning (ML) models are deployed into an ever-diversifying set of application spaces, ranging from self-driving cars to cybersecurity to climate modeling, the need to carefully evaluate model credibility becomes increasingly important. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) provides important information about the ability of a learned model to make sound predictions, often with respect to individual test cases. However, most UQ methods for ML are themselves data-driven and therefore susceptible to the same knowledge gaps as the models themselves. Specifically, UQ helps to identify points near decision boundaries where the models fit the data poorly, yet predictions can score as certain for points that are under-represented by the training data and thus out-of-distribution (OOD). One method for evaluating the quality of both ML models and their associated uncertainty estimates is out-of-distribution detection (OODD). We combine OODD with UQ to provide insights into the reliability of the individual predictions made by an ML model.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2026

ALPHANSO: Open-source modeling of (α, n) neutron source terms

Applications ranging from nuclear safeguards to dark matter detection require accurate predictions of neutron yields and energy spectra produced by (α, n) reactions. Legacy tools like SOURCES-4C remain widely used despite significant limitations, including outdated nuclear data, missing target nuclides, and restricted accessibility. Here, we present ALPHANSO, an open-source Python package for calculating (α, n) neutron source terms. ALPHANSO incorporates modern nuclear data libraries and formats covering all naturally occurring target nuclides and provides a transparent, modular framework for updating or extending the data as new evaluations are released. Comparison with an updated version of SOURCES-4A, NeuCBOT, and experimental measurements across a range of elements and materials shows that ALPHANSO reproduces neutron yields and spectra in good agreement with experimental data and state-of-the-art (α, n) calculations. These results demonstrate that ALPHANSO is a reliable, accessible, and modern alternative to legacy (α, n) source term codes such as SOURCES-4C. Its open-source design and modular data handling make it readily extensible to future evaluated nuclear data and low-background applications.

(α, n) reactions↗

DOE OSTI2022

Superradiance and Directional Exciton Migration in Metal–Organic Frameworks

Crystalline metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) are promising synthetic analogues of photosynthetic light-harvesting complexes (LHCs). The precise assembly of linkers (organic chromophores) around the topology-defined pores offers the evolution of unique photophysical behaviors that are reminiscence of LHCs. These include MOF excited states with photoabsorbed energy that is spatially dispersed over multiple linkers defining the molecular excitons. The multilinker molecular excitons display superradiance–a hallmark of coupled oscillators seen in LHCs–with radiative rate constant (k rad ) exceeding that of a single linker. Our theoretical model and experimental results on three zirconium MOFs, namely, PCN-222(Zn), NU-1000, and SIU-100, with similar topology but varying linkers suggest that the size of such molecular excitons depends on the electronic symmetry of the linker. This multilinker exciton model effectively predicts the energy transfer rate constant; corresponding single-step exciton hopping time, ranging from a few picoseconds in SIU-100 and NU-1000 to a few hundreds of picoseconds in PCN-222(Zn), matches well with the experimental data. The model also predicts the anisotropy of exciton displacement with preferential migration along the crystallographic c-axis. Overall, these findings establish various missing links defining the exciton size and dynamics in MOF-assembled linkers. Furthermore, the understandings will provide design principles, especially, positioning the catalysts or electrode relative to the linker orientation for low-density solar energy conversion systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2020

Quasi‐Binary Transition Metal Dichalcogenide Alloys: Thermodynamic Stability Prediction, Scalable Synthesis, and Application

Abstract Transition metal dichalcogenide (TMDCs) alloys could have a wide range of physical and chemical properties, ranging from charge density waves to superconductivity and electrochemical activities. While many exciting behaviors of unary TMDCs have been demonstrated, the vast compositional space of TMDC alloys has remained largely unexplored due to the lack of understanding regarding their stability when accommodating different cations or chalcogens in a single‐phase. Here, a theory‐guided synthesis approach is reported to achieve unexplored quasi‐binary TMDC alloys through computationally predicted stability maps. Equilibrium temperature–composition phase diagrams using first‐principles calculations are generated to identify the stability of 25 quasi‐binary TMDC alloys, including some involving non‐isovalent cations and are verified experimentally through the synthesis of a subset of 12 predicted alloys using a scalable chemical vapor transport method. It is demonstrated that the synthesized alloys can be exfoliated into 2D structures, and some of them exhibit: i) outstanding thermal stability tested up to 1230 K, ii) exceptionally high electrochemical activity for the CO 2 reduction reaction in a kinetically limited regime with near zero overpotential for CO formation, iii) excellent energy efficiency in a high rate Li–air battery, and iv) high break‐down current density for interconnect applications. This framework can be extended to accelerate the discovery of other TMDC alloys for various applications.

Hemmat, Zahra↗