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At least 739 records · Page 41

Application of Orthogonal Defect Classification for Software Reliability Analysis

The modernization of existing and new nuclear power plants with digital instrumentation and control systems (DI&C) is a recent and highly trending topic. However, there lacks strong consensus on best-estimate reliability methodologies by both the United States (U.S.) Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and the industry. This has resulted in hesitation for further modernization projects until a more unified methodology is realized. In this work, we develop an approach called Orthogonal-defect Classification for Assessing Software Reliability (ORCAS) to quantify probabilities of various software failure modes in a DI&C system. The method utilizes accepted industry methodologies for software quality assurance that are also verified by experimental or mathematical formulations. In essence, the approach combines a semantic failure classification model with a reliability growth model to predict (and quantify) the potential failure modes of a DI&C software system. The semantic classification model is used to address the question: How do latent defects in software contribute to different software failure root causes? The use of reliability growth models is then used to address the question: Given the connection between latent defects and software failure root causes, how can we quantify the reliability of the software? A case study was conducted on a representative I&C platform (ChibiOS) running a smart sensor acquisition software developed by Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU). The testing and evidence collection guidance in ORCAS was applied, and defects were uncovered in the software. Qualitative evidence, such as condition coverage, was used to gauge the completeness and trustworthiness of the assessment while quantitative evidence was used to determine the software failure probabilities. The reliability of the software was then estimated and compared to existing operational data of the sensor device. It is demonstrated that by using ORCAS, a semantic reasoning framework can be developed to justify if the software is reliable (or unreliable) while still leveraging the strength of the existing methods.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Application of Orthogonal Defect Classification for Software Reliability Analysis

The modernization of existing and new nuclear power plants with digital instrumentation and control systems (DI&C) is a recent and highly trending topic. However, there lacks strong consensus on best-estimate reliability methodologies by both the United States (U.S.) Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) and the industry. This has resulted in hesitation for further modernization projects until a more unified methodology is realized. In this work, we develop an approach called Orthogonal-defect Classification for Assessing Software Reliability (ORCAS) to quantify probabilities of various software failure modes in a DI&C system. The method utilizes accepted industry methodologies for software quality assurance that are also verified by experimental or mathematical formulations. In essence, the approach combines a semantic failure classification model with a reliability growth model to predict (and quantify) the potential failure modes of a DI&C software system. The semantic classification model is used to address the question: How do latent defects in software contribute to different software failure root causes? The use of reliability growth models is then used to address the question: Given the connection between latent defects and software failure root causes, how can we quantify the reliability of the software? A case study was conducted on a representative I&C platform (ChibiOS) running a smart sensor acquisition software developed by Virginia Commonwealth University (VCU). The testing and evidence collection guidance in ORCAS was applied, and defects were uncovered in the software. Qualitative evidence, such as condition coverage, was used to gauge the completeness and trustworthiness of the assessment while quantitative evidence was used to determine the software failure probabilities. The reliability of the software was then estimated and compared to existing operational data of the sensor device. It is demonstrated that by using ORCAS, a semantic reasoning framework can be developed to justify software reliability (or unreliability) while still leveraging the strength of the existing methods.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Design, Processing, and Integration of Pouch-Format Cell for High-Energy Lithium-Sulfur Batteries

This project objective was to develop and demonstrate a lithium-sulfur (Li-S) battery in a pouch-format cell capable of achieving an energy density ≥ 500 Wh/kg while achieving a 1,000 cycle life. The research focused on cell optimization and fabrication addressing different technical barriers and challenges including: 1) thin lithium anode optimization; 2) current collector and tab attachment design; 3) cathode porosity control; 4) electrolyte to sulfur ratio control; 5) cell design; and 6) cell fabrication. The project developed and demonstrated various technologies to address these technical barriers and challenges. The project demonstrated a thin lithium anode by vapor deposition, a collector design and validation of laser welding of tab attachment method, a cathode porosity control strategy by binder optimization, a calendaring process control and surface/interface treatment, and an electrolyte to sulfur ratio control with influence on cell energy density. The sulfur cathode was optimized by tuning the formulation, optimizing the calendaring process, and introducing a novel electrode fabrication process. To address the electrolyte performance issue, the electrolyte optimization was achieved with additive and formulation tuning and the introduction of a dual-phase electrolyte system. In addition to the demonstration of the optimized electrode with a novel fast-curing coating process and dual-phase electrolyte, a coating separator was further developed to address the polysulfide shuttling issue. The resulting new cell design with these optimized cell components was demonstrated in the 1 Ah pouch cell with medium sulfur loading and moderate porosity (~ 4.5 mAh cm-2, 65% porosity) and showed an energy density of > 400 Wh/kg (with E/S ratio of 2.8). The Li-SPAN cell configuration was also evaluated in combination with a new dual-phase electrolyte system. Initial coin cell performance demonstrated cycle stability of >300 cycles with an estimated energy density of 300 Wh/kg at the pouch format level. The corresponding 1 Ah pouch format SPAN cells with the new polymer electrolyte were developed which has shown a stable capacity at 800-900 mAh for ~40 cycles so far.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections

Climate model projections have previously been used to compute ice shelf basal melt rates in ice sheet models, but the strategies employed – e.g., ocean input, parameterization, calibration technique, and corrections – have varied widely and are often ad hoc. Here, a methodology is proposed for the calculation of circum-Antarctic basal melt rates for floating ice, based on climate models, that is suitable for ISMIP6, the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project). The past and future evolution of ocean temperature and salinity is derived from a climate model by estimating anomalies with respect to the modern day, which are added to a present-day climatology constructed from existing observational datasets. Temperature and salinity are extrapolated to any position potentially occupied by a simulated ice shelf. A simple formulation is proposed for a basal melt parameterization in ISMIP6, constrained by the observed temperature climatology, with a quadratic dependency on either the nonlocal or local thermal forcing. Two calibration methods are proposed: (1) based on the mean Antarctic melt rate (MeanAnt) and (2) based on melt rates near Pine Island's deep grounding line (PIGL). Future Antarctic mean melt rates are an order of magnitude greater in PIGL than in MeanAnt. The PIGL calibration and the local parameterization result in more realistic melt rates near grounding lines. PIGL is also more consistent with observations of interannual melt rate variability underneath Pine Island and Dotson ice shelves. This work stresses the need for more physics and less calibration in the parameterizations and for more observations of hydrographic properties and melt rates at interannual and decadal timescales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Image understanding and interpretation in microwave diversity imaging

The authors investigate microwave imaging of metallic objects using a diversity method and interpret and predict the reconstructed image from an approach based on analysis of the scattering mechanism and a back-projection algorithm used in image retrieval. The connection between the various scattering mechanisms and the reconstructed images is discussed, what the images represent is interpreted, and a prediction is made as to what the image will look like over given spectral and angular windows. A brief description is given of the microwave diversity imaging system and the formulation of the microwave diversity imaging based on the physical optics approximation. The scattering mechanism of a complex shaped metallic object is then briefly reviewed and an alternate approach to interpreting the reconstructed image based on the understanding of the scattering mechanism and the reconstruction algorithm is given. Several numerical and experimental examples are included to support this interpretation approach.

Li, Hsueh-Jyh↗

Space shuttle entry and landing navigation analysis

A navigation system for the entry phase of a Space Shuttle mission which is an aided-inertial system which uses a Kalman filter to mix IMU data with data derived from external navigation aids is evaluated. A drag pseudo-measurement used during radio blackout is treated as an additional external aid. A comprehensive truth model with 101 states is formulated and used to generate detailed error budgets at several significant time points -- end-of-blackout, start of final approach, over runway threshold, and touchdown. Sensitivity curves illustrating the effect of variations in the size of individual error sources on navigation accuracy are presented. The sensitivity of the navigation system performance to filter modifications is analyzed. The projected overall performance is shown in the form of time histories of position and velocity error components. The detailed results are summarized and interpreted, and suggestions are made concerning possible software improvements.

Jones, H. L.↗

Combustion of LOX with H2(sub g) under subcritical, critical, and supercritical conditions and experimental observation of dense spray and mixing of impinging jets

Progress made during the period of February 1 to October 15, 1992 is reported. The overall objective of Task 1 of the investigation is to achieve a better understanding of the combustion processes of liquid oxygen and gaseous hydrogen under subcritical, critical, and supercritical conditions. Specific objectives of the research program are: (1) to determine the evaporation- and burning-rate characteristics of LOX in hydrogen/helium environments under broad ranges of operating conditions; (2) to measure species concentration profile and surface temperature of LOX employing the gas chromatography and fine-wire thermocouples under non-reacting flow situations; (3) to perform a fugacity-based multicomponent thermodynamic phase equilibrium analysis for examining the high-pressure vapor-liquid equilibrium behavior at the liquid surface of LOX; (4) to formulate and solve a theoretical model for simulating the evaporation and combustion processes in a LOX/H2/He system; and (5) to validate the theoretical model with the measured experimental data. Task 2 of the investigation is described. Observation of a like-on-like injector element in the near-injector region performed in the previous phase of this project has identified the existence of a high Reynolds number regime in which the pre-impingement jets are fully turbulent and undergoing surface breakup. The new spray regime, which has not been observed by previous investigators, is characterized by the presence of many fine droplets and the disappearance of the well-defined liquid breakup wave pattern in the post-impingement region. It is speculated that a cavitating region may be present within the orifice so that it could induce strong turbulence, leading to an onset of atomization of the jets prior to impingement. To further investigate the dense spray behavior of the impinging jets in the high Reynolds number region, experiments were conducted using Plexiglas injector components for direct internal flow observation. The main objective is to determine under what conditions a cavitating region would form and whether or not the cavitation is reponsible for the development of the high Reynolds number spray regime. The procedure and major findings of the injector cavitation study are described.

Kuo, Kenneth K.↗

Overview of atmospheric correction and radiometric calibration efforts during FIFE

The primary responsibility within the First International Satellite Land Surface Climatology Project (ISLSCP) Field Experiment (FIFE) for understanding the radiometric properties of the remote sensing instrumentation and the atmospheric optical properties affecting measurements with these instruments rested within the atmospheric corrections and radiometric calibration subgroup of FIFE, called the correction/calibration group for short. Specific activities included (1) calibration of remote sensing instrumentation used on aircraft and surface platforms, (2) formulation of recommendations for calibrating data from satellite sensors, (3) measurement and analysis of atmospheric properties, (4) development and evaluation of radiative transfer algorithms which perform the atmospheric correction of remotely sensed data, and (5) derivation and evaluation of surface properties such as reflectances and temperatures. A review of the activities performed by this group and a discussion of the importance of these activities in retrieving surface parameters is presented here.

Halthore, Rangasayi N.↗

Arbitrarily accurate, nonparametric coarse graining with Markov renewal processes and the Mori–Zwanzig formulation

Stochastic dynamics, such as molecular dynamics, are important in many scientific applications. However, summarizing and analyzing the results of such simulations is often challenging due to the high dimension in which simulations are carried out and, consequently, due to the very large amount of data that are typically generated. Coarse graining is a popular technique for addressing this problem by providing compact and expressive representations. Coarse graining, however, potentially comes at the cost of accuracy, as dynamical information is, in general, lost when projecting the problem in a lower-dimensional space. This article shows how to eliminate coarse-graining error using two key ideas. First, we represent coarse-grained dynamics as a Markov renewal process. Second, we outline a data-driven, non-parametric Mori–Zwanzig approach for computing jump times of the renewal process. Numerical tests on a small protein illustrate the method.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Impacts of water scarcity on agricultural production and electricity generation in the Middle East and North Africa

Incorporating the interdependencies between water, energy and food (WEF) within an integrated approach of planning and management could help nations worldwide to address sustainability concerns. This is a topic of great importance for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, where water is a very limited resource. In this study, we develop an analytical framework to analyze the water-energy-food nexus in the MENA region to inform the formulation of integrated strategies for water, energy and food activities. Our approach is based on an integrated assessment model for the MENA region, which explicitly represents WEF sectors within an economic framework, in tandem with a set of relevant scenarios addressing three key dimensions (socioeconomics, climate and water-management). Using this framework, our study analyzes the current and projected status of water resources in the region, and the potential implications for the agriculture and electricity sectors. Our scenarios demonstrate that water scarcity worsens by the end of the 21st century in most MENA countries, mostly due to growing demands. The impacts of growing scarcity on agriculture are significant, with production projected to drop by 60 percent by 2050 in some countries. On the other hand, and to a lesser extent, water-saving technologies and fuel-switching in the power sector play a key role in mitigating the effects of water scarcity on electricity generation in some parts of the MENA region. Our analysis then underscores the need to reduce the dependence of MENA’s agricultural and energy sectors on water, and transition to renewable energies to reduce water scarcity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantum Computation Using Optically Coupled Quantum Dot Arrays

A solid state model for quantum computation has potential advantages in terms of the ease of fabrication, characterization, and integration. The fundamental requirements for a quantum computer involve the realization of basic processing units (qubits), and a scheme for controlled switching and coupling among the qubits, which enables one to perform controlled operations on qubits. We propose a model for quantum computation based on optically coupled quantum dot arrays, which is computationally similar to the atomic model proposed by Cirac and Zoller. In this model, individual qubits are comprised of two coupled quantum dots, and an array of these basic units is placed in an optical cavity. Switching among the states of the individual units is done by controlled laser pulses via near field interaction using the NSOM technology. Controlled rotations involving two or more qubits are performed via common cavity mode photon. We have calculated critical times, including the spontaneous emission and switching times, and show that they are comparable to the best times projected for other proposed models of quantum computation. We have also shown the feasibility of accessing individual quantum dots using the NSOM technology by calculating the photon density at the tip, and estimating the power necessary to perform the basic controlled operations. We are currently in the process of estimating the decoherence times for this system; however, we have formulated initial arguments which seem to indicate that the decoherence times will be comparable, if not longer, than many other proposed models.

Pradhan, Prabhakar↗

Heating Augmentation in Laminar Flow Due to Heat-Shield Cavities on the Project Orion CEV

An experimental study has been conducted to assess the effects of compression pad cavities on the aeroheating environment of the Project Orion CEV heat-shield at laminar conditions. Testing was conducted in Mach 6 and Mach 10 perfect-gas wind tunnels to obtain heating measurements on and around the compression pads using global phosphor thermography. Consistent trends in heating augmentation levels were observed in the data and correlations of average and maximum heating at the cavities were formulated in terms of the local boundary-layer parameters and cavity dimensions. Additional heating data from prior testing of Genesis and Mars Science Laboratory models were also examined to extend the parametric range of cavity heating correlations.

Hollis, Brian R.↗

Spaceflight Over the Last Ten Years: Failures and Fix-ups 2013 - 2022 RAMS XV Conference

This project is an overview and analysis of the past ten years (2013 – present) in global spaceflight, highlighting the orbital launches of countries, particularly the failures that occurred, the reasons they occurred, and a breakdown of the related statistics and background information. The analysis is conducted from a perspective of reliability and maintainability engineering and Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) to formulate a quantifiable understanding of the data and how it is pertinent to Safety and Mission Assurance (SMA) in spaceflight. There is a breakdown by country or group, timelines, and number of launches. The failures over the years are categorized, all given a broad analysis of subsystem failures and details of events. A few failures are given a more in-depth analysis of root causes and failure modes determined by their unique or common nature. The data is retrieved from online, publicly available sources.

Quinn Slaugenhoupt↗

Skylab-4 visual observations project: Geological features of southwestern North America

Visual observations conducted by Skylab-4 crewmen on seven designated geological target areas and other targets of opportunity in parts of southwestern United States and northwestern Mexico were described. The experiments were designed to learn how effectively geologic features could be observed from orbit and what research information could be obtained from the observations when supported by ground studies. For the limited preparation they received, the crewmen demonstrated exceptional observational ability and produced outstanding photographic studies. They also formulated cogent opinions on how to improve future observational and photo-documentation techniques. From the photographs and other observations, it was possible to obtain significant research contributions to on-going field investigations. These contributions were integrated into other aspects of the ground investigations to the following topics: major faults, regional stratigraphy, occurrence of Precambrian crystalline rocks, mapping of Mesozoic volcanic rocks, regional geology.

Silver, L. T.↗

Improvement of screen-printable metallization paste for low-cost silicon solar cells utilizing silver coated copper powders

This aims of this project were to develop low-cost screen-printable Ag|Cu metallization, as alternative to Ag paste, for contacting PERC solar cells with transparent emitter for high performance and reliability. The intended goal was to achieve 81% fill factor with a screen-printable Ag|Cu paste alternative. This was attempted through a three strand approach including Ag|Cu formulation by SVMT, production using cavitation technology by ACI and contact formation through the understanding of (i) the liquid phase sintering of the nano/macro particles of Ag|Cu to achieve bulk metal with very low series resistance, (ii) optimization of contact firing to avoid penetration of Cu into the silicon bulk, and finally (iii) proper analysis to quantify the contributions of each resistance component and keep the total series resistance at 0.2 Ω-cm2, which would result in high fill factor of 81% by UNC Charlotte. The objectives also involved i) the implementation of glass frit with Cu metal that will etch through the ARC for low contact resistance and adhesion, ii) development of Ag|Cu pastes with the optimized glass frit, iii) investigation of the impact of Cu particle size, morphology and loading on the gridline resistance, iv) narrow gridline screen designs along with narrow gridline prints, v) development of fast belt speeds of up to 375 inches per minute (ipm) sintering, and vi) stability study on Ag|Cu contact to high performance and reliability.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Effects off system factors on the economics of and demand for small solar thermal power systems

Market penetration as a function time, SPS performance factors, and market/economic considerations was estimated, and commercialization strategies were formulated. A market analysis task included personal interviews and supplemental mail surveys to acquire statistical data and to identify and measure attitudes, reactions and intentions of prospective SPS users. Interviews encompassed three ownership classes of electric utilities and industrial firms in the SIC codes for energy consumption. A market demand model was developed which utilized the data base developed, and projected energy price and consumption data to perform sensitivity analyses and estimate potential market for SPS.

Source record↗

Navigating the Path to Autonomy: Real-World Lessons from an Air-Free Self-Driving Laboratory

While autonomous experimentation has promise to accelerate discovery in physcial sciences, the real-world integration of predictive models and experimentation is non-trivial. Here we describe the genesis of a self-driving laboratory (SDL) for air-sensitive chemistry at Argonne National Laboratory and demonstrate the experimental design considerations needed for high-throughput experiments before predictive models can lead to scientific discovery. Our SDL was designed to explore battery electrolyte stability. Our final SDL utilized plate readers in a glovebox with a nitrogen atmosphere to perform kinetic assays and screen hundreds of battery-relevant solvents. However, the roadmap to autonomy and airfree-friendly experimentation required the complex evaluation of several spectroscopic and chromatographic methods. The greatest experimental challenges were (a) developing long-term sampling methods that remained air-free; (b) accelerating kinetics to advance reactivity projections; and (c) ensuring labware compatibility with nonaqueous solvents used in battery chemistry. Our experiences highlight the practical gap between closed-loop aspirations and the realities of chemical discovery, offering lessons on the challenges of transferring every day laboratory workflows to autonomy. These results suggest a more realistic blueprint for autonomy in chemistry—one that balances thoughtful and realistic experimental formulation.

Robertson, Lily A.↗

An assessment of viscous effects in computational simulation of benign and burst vortex flows on generic fighter wind-tunnel models using TEAM code

Vortex flows on a twin-tail and a single-tail modular transonic vortex interaction (MTVI) model, representative of a generic fighter configuration, are computationally simulated in this study using the Three-dimensional Euler/Navier-Stokes Aerodynamic Method (TEAM). The primary objective is to provide an assessment of viscous effects on benign (10 deg angle of attack) and burst (35 deg angle of attack) vortex flow solutions. This study was conducted in support of a NASA project aimed at assessing the viability of using Euler technology to predict aerodynamic characteristics of aircraft configurations at moderate-to-high angles of attack in a preliminary design environment. The TEAM code solves the Euler and Reynolds-average Navier-Stokes equations on patched multiblock structured grids. Its algorithm is based on a cell-centered finite-volume formulation with multistage time-stepping scheme. Viscous effects are assessed by comparing the computed inviscid and viscous solutions with each other and experimental data. Also, results of Euler solution sensitivity to grid density and numerical dissipation are presented for the twin-tail model. The results show that proper accounting of viscous effects is necessary for detailed design and optimization but Euler solutions can provide meaningful guidelines for preliminary design of flight vehicles which exhibit vortex flows in parts of their flight envelope.

Kinard, Tim A.↗