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All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2022

Accelerating cosmological inference with Gaussian processes and neural networks – an application to LSST Y1 weak lensing and galaxy clustering

ABSTRACT Studying the impact of systematic effects, optimizing survey strategies, assessing tensions between different probes and exploring synergies of different data sets require a large number of simulated likelihood analyses, each of which cost thousands of CPU hours. In this paper, we present a method to accelerate cosmological inference using emulators based on Gaussian process regression and neural networks. We iteratively acquire training samples in regions of high posterior probability which enables accurate emulation of data vectors even in high dimensional parameter spaces. We showcase the performance of our emulator with a simulated 3×2 point analysis of LSST-Y1 with realistic theoretical and systematics modelling. We show that our emulator leads to high-fidelity posterior contours, with an order of magnitude speed-up. Most importantly, the trained emulator can be re-used for extremely fast impact and optimization studies. We demonstrate this feature by studying baryonic physics effects in LSST-Y1 3×2 point analyses where each one of our MCMC runs takes approximately 5 min. This technique enables future cosmological analyses to map out the science return as a function of analysis choices and survey strategy.

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

NASA NTRS1977

Computer simulations of planetary accretion dynamics - Sensitivity to initial conditions

A computer simulation program which generates mature planetary systems using only Newtonian physics and accretion with unit sticking efficiency is examined. The dependence of the simulation on a variety of radial and vertical density distribution laws, on the ratio of gas to dust in the solar nebula, on the total nebular mass, and on the orbital eccentricity of the accreting grains is explored. To approach physically realistic models, these parameters are altered according to various empirically- and theoretically-suggested criteria. The program is found to generate many recognizable planetary systems, including multiple-star systems with accompanying planets; single stars surrounded only by asteroids; and systems with large Jovian planets, planets similar to Pluto, or objects of asteroidal mass, as well as the usual terrestrial planets. Planetary spacing in the simulation obeys a relation of the Titius Bode variety; in general, the number of planets per system is inversely proportional to the orbital eccentricity. Some reservations about the simulation program are expressed; however, it does support the idea of abundant and diverse planetary systems throughout the galaxy.

Isaacman, R.↗

NASA NTRS1977

Acoustical properties of materials and muffler configurations for the 80 by 120 foot wind tunnel

Techniques for measuring the impedance of the muffler configurations and of porous plates with grazing flow were investigated and changes in the configuration parameters to enhance acoustic performance are explored. The feasibility of a pulse reflection technique for measuring the impedance of built-up structures in situ was demonstrated. A second technique involving the use of an open-end impedance tube with grazing flow was used to obtain detailed design data for the perforated plate configuration. Acoustic benefits associated with configuration changes such as curving the baffles, spacing and staggering baffle partitions, and techniques for alleviating baffle self-generated noise are described.

Scharton, T. D.↗

NASA NTRS2001

Methods for Discerning Cloud Reflectivity Changes due to the Indirect Effect of Aerosol: A Pilot-study for Triana

Understanding the effect of aerosol on cloud systems is one of the major challenges in atmospheric and climate research. Local studies suggest a multitude of influences on cloud properties. Yet the overall effect on cloud albedo, a critical parameter in climate simulations, remains uncertain. NASA's Triana mission will provide, from its EPIC multi-spectral imager, simultaneous data on aerosol properties and cloud reflectivity. With Triana's unique position in space these data will be available not only globally but also over the entire daytime, well suited to accommodate the often short lifetimes of aerosol and investigations around diurnal cycles. This pilot study explores the ability to detect relationships between aerosol properties and cloud reflectivity with sophisticated statistical methods. Sample results using data from the EOS Terra platform to simulate Triana are presented.

Kinne, S.↗

NASA NTRS2002

Structural Optimization of a Force Balance Using a Computational Experiment Design

This paper proposes a new approach to force balance structural optimization featuring a computational experiment design. Currently, this multi-dimensional design process requires the designer to perform a simplification by executing parameter studies on a small subset of design variables. This one-factor-at-a-time approach varies a single variable while holding all others at a constant level. Consequently, subtle interactions among the design variables, which can be exploited to achieve the design objectives, are undetected. The proposed method combines Modern Design of Experiments techniques to direct the exploration of the multi-dimensional design space, and a finite element analysis code to generate the experimental data. To efficiently search for an optimum combination of design variables and minimize the computational resources, a sequential design strategy was employed. Experimental results from the optimization of a non-traditional force balance measurement section are presented. An approach to overcome the unique problems associated with the simultaneous optimization of multiple response criteria is described. A quantitative single-point design procedure that reflects the designer's subjective impression of the relative importance of various design objectives, and a graphical multi-response optimization procedure that provides further insights into available tradeoffs among competing design objectives are illustrated. The proposed method enhances the intuition and experience of the designer by providing new perspectives on the relationships between the design variables and the competing design objectives providing a systematic foundation for advancements in structural design.

Parker, P. A.↗

NASA NTRS2007

JPL Power Systems for Current Planned Missions

The viewgraph presentation includes fact sheets, instrument lists, and mission parameters for 13 future missions. Those missions include Moon Mineralogy Mapping (MMM), Space Interferometry Mission (SIM), New Millennium--Space Technology-8 (ST-8), Ocean Salinity Mapping Orbiter (Aquarius), Ocean Surface Topology Mission (OSTM), Asteroid Rendezvous Mission-SEP (Dawn), Mars Scout Lander Mission (Phoenix), Solar Powered Jupiter Orbiter (Juno), Earth orbiting carbon observatory (OCO), planet finder observatory (Kepler), far infrared/sub-millimeter telescope (Hershel), Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE), and Mars Science Laboratory-Rover (MSL). The presentation also contains a table of current missions and instruments.

Phoenix↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Microbial Communities in Microgravity: Simulation in Lab and on the Computer

Microorganisms grow differently in spaceflight than they do on Earth. While much remains unexplained about how microgravity affects microbial growth, one dominant hypothesis is that the lack of density-driven convection in the liquid growth environment makes mixing diffusion-limited, and therefore slower. This is supported by evidence that individual microbial strains experience starvation and acid stress in microgravity. However, if it is true, then microgravity would also have measurable effects on microbes in mixed communities, because many interspecies interactions involve the exchange of soluble metabolites through the medium (cross-feeding). Specifically, cooperative cross-feeding communities would grow more slowly in microgravity, and cooperation would be less stable on evolutionary timescales. Here we describe our efforts to test this hypothesis by simulating microgravity in silico and in the lab, using a model system of Eschericia coli and Salmonella enterica that grow only when they can exchange methionine and acetate. We created CAMDLES (CFD-DEM Artificial Microgravity Developments for Living Ecosystem Simulation) as an extension of CFDEM®coupling software, to carry out computational modeling of biological flows, growth, and mass transfer in microgravity and also in laboratory artificial microgravity devices (rotating wall vessels, RWV). Using CAMDLES, we found distinct differences in growth rates between RWV and true microgravity, and we were able to identify several features, such as spatial distribution, biofilm formation, and product yield parameters, that influence the degree to which RWV growth recapitulates microgravity growth. In addition, we report on the development of a laboratory system for monitoring growth rates and species ratios of the community in RWVs, using fluorescent strains. Pairing CAMDLES with the laboratory model system allows us to generate quantitative predictions about the effects of spaceflight on organisms that will be essential to sustaining human space exploration in the long term.

microbiology↗

NASA NTRS2017

Parametric Study of an Ablative TPS and Hot Structure Heatshield for a Mars Entry Capsule Vehicle

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration is planning to send humans to Mars. As part of the Evolvable Mars Campaign, different en- try vehicle configurations are being designed and considered for delivering larger payloads than have been previously sent to the surface of Mars. Mass and packing volume are driving factors in the vehicle design, and the thermal protection for planetary entry is an area in which advances in technology can offer potential mass and volume savings. The feasibility and potential benefits of a carbon-carbon hot structure concept for a Mars entry vehicle is explored in this paper. The windward heat shield of a capsule design is assessed for the hot structure concept as well as an ablative thermal protection system (TPS) attached to a honeycomb sandwich structure. Independent thermal and structural analyses are performed to determine the minimum mass design. The analyses are repeated for a range of design parameters, which include the trajectory, vehicle size, and payload. Polynomial response functions are created from the analysis results to study the capsule mass with respect to the design parameters. Results from the polynomial response functions created from the thermal and structural analyses indicate that the mass of the capsule was higher for the hot structure concept as compared to the ablative TPS for the parameter space considered in this study.

Langston, Sarah L.↗

DOE OSTI2024

Vacuum-assisted extrusion to reduce internal porosity in large-format additive manufacturing

Large-scale 3D printing of polymer composite structures has gained popularity and seen extensive use over the last decade. Much of the research related to improving the mechanical properties of 3D-printed parts has focused on exploring new materials and optimizing print parameters to improve geometric control and minimize voids between printed beads. However, porosity at the microstructural level (within the printed bead) has been much less studied although it is almost universally observed at levels of 4 %-10 % when using fiber reinforced materials. This study introduces a vacuum-assist approach that minimizes internal porosity by removing ambient air from the interstitial space between pellets in the hopper and acts as a negative pressure vent for gases that evolve during the initial stages of single-screw extrusion. Vacuum-assisted extrusion was able to reduce porosity below 2 % across a wide range of processing parameters, moisture content, fiber reinforcements, and printing platforms. Specifically, when printing on a large-format extruder (Strangpresse Model-30), the vacuum-assisted extrusion reduced internal porosity by 35–75 % compared to conventional non-vacuum extrusion, and only pores with length scale > 2 microns are affected. The success of this approach prompted the design of a patent-pending continuous vacuum hopper relevant for large-scale 3D printing on commercial systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NASA NTRS2012

Design and Parametric Sizing of Deep Space Habitats Supporting NASA'S Human Space Flight Architecture Team

NASA's Human Space Flight Architecture Team (HAT) is a multi-disciplinary, cross-agency study team that conducts strategic analysis of integrated development approaches for human and robotic space exploration architectures. During each analysis cycle, HAT iterates and refines the definition of design reference missions (DRMs), which inform the definition of a set of integrated capabilities required to explore multiple destinations. An important capability identified in this capability-driven approach is habitation, which is necessary for crewmembers to live and work effectively during long duration transits to and operations at exploration destinations beyond Low Earth Orbit (LEO). This capability is captured by an element referred to as the Deep Space Habitat (DSH), which provides all equipment and resources for the functions required to support crew safety, health, and work including: life support, food preparation, waste management, sleep quarters, and housekeeping.The purpose of this paper is to describe the design of the DSH capable of supporting crew during exploration missions. First, the paper describes the functionality required in a DSH to support the HAT defined exploration missions, the parameters affecting its design, and the assumptions used in the sizing of the habitat. Then, the process used for arriving at parametric sizing estimates to support additional HAT analyses is detailed. Finally, results from the HAT Cycle C DSH sizing are presented followed by a brief description of the remaining design trades and technological advancements necessary to enable the exploration habitation capability.

Toups, Larry↗

DOE OSTI2022

Correlation between the gas-phase metallicity and ionization parameter in extragalactic H II regions

The variations of the metallicity and ionization parameter in H II regions are usually thought to be the dominant factors that produce the variations we see in the observed emission line spectra. There is an increasing amount of evidence that these two quantities are physically correlated, although the exact form of this correlation is debatable in the literature. Simulated emission line spectra from photoionized clouds provide important clues about the physical conditions of H II regions and are frequently used for deriving metallicities and ionization parameters. Through a systematic investigation on the assumptions and methodology used in applying photoionization models, we find that the derived correlation has a strong dependence on the choice of model parameters. On the one hand, models that give consistent predictions over multiple emission-line ratios yield a positive correlation between the metallicity and ionization parameter for the general population of H II regions or star-forming galaxies. On the other hand, models that are inconsistent with the data locus in high-dimensional line ratio space yield discrepant correlations when different subsets of line ratios are used in the derivation. The correlation between the metallicity and ionization parameter has a secondary dependence on the surface density of the star formation rate (SFR), with the higher SFR regions showing a higher ionization parameter but weaker correlations. The existence of the positive correlation contradicts the analytical wind-driven bubble model for H II regions. We explore assumptions in both dynamical models and photoionization models, and conclude that there is a potential bias associated with the geometry. However, this is still insufficient to explain the correlation. Mechanisms that suppress the dynamical influence of stellar winds in realistic H II regions might be the key to solving this puzzle, though more sophisticated combinations of dynamical models and photoionization models to test are required.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Emulating galaxy and peculiar velocity clustering on non-linear scales

We explore the potential of cross-correlating galaxies and peculiar velocities on non-linear scales to enhance cosmological constraints. Leveraging the ABACUSSUMMIT simulation suite and the halo occupation distribution (HOD) formalism, we trained emulator models to describe the non-linear clustering of galaxies and velocities in redshift space. Our analysis demonstrates that combining galaxy and peculiar velocity clustering provides tighter constraints on both HOD and cosmological parameters, particularly on σ8 and w0. We further applied our models to realistic mock catalogues, reproducing the expected density and peculiar velocity errors of type-Ia supernovae, Tully-Fisher and fundamental plane measurements for the combined ZTF and DESI measurements. While systematic biases arise in the HOD parameters, the cosmological constraints remain unbiased, yielding a 3.8% precision measurement on fσ 8 compared to 4.7% when using galaxy clustering alone. We demonstrate that while combining tracers with realistic velocity measurements still yields an improvement, the gains are diminished, highlighting the need for further efforts to reduce velocity measurement uncertainties and correct observational systematics on small scales.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2021

The Simons Observatory: gain, bandpass and polarization-angle calibration requirements for B-mode searches

We quantify the calibration requirements for systematic uncertainties for next-generation ground-based observatories targeting the large-angle B-mode polarization of the Cosmic Microwave Background, with a focus on the Simons Observatory (SO). We explore uncertainties on gain calibration, bandpass center frequencies, and polarization angles, including the frequency variation of the latter across the bandpass. We find that gain calibration and bandpass center frequencies must be known to percent levels or less to avoid biases on the tensor-to-scalar ratio r on the order of Δ r∼10-3, in line with previous findings. Polarization angles must be calibrated to the level of a few tenths of a degree, while their frequency variation between the edges of the band must be known to O(10) degrees. Given the tightness of these calibration requirements, we explore the level to which residual uncertainties on these systematics would affect the final constraints on r if included in the data model and marginalized over. We find that the additional parameter freedom does not degrade the final constraints on r significantly, broadening the error bar by O(10%) at most. We validate these results by reanalyzing the latest publicly available data from the collaboration within an extended parameter space covering both cosmological, foreground and systematic parameters. Finally, our results are discussed in light of the instrument design and calibration studies carried out within SO.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2024

Perspectives and Challenges in Bolide Infrasound Processing and Interpretation: A Focused Review with Case Studies

Infrasound sensing plays a critical role in the detection and analysis of bolides, offering passive, cost-effective global monitoring capabilities. Key objectives include determining the timing, location, and yield of these events. Achieving these goals requires a robust approach to detect, analyze, and interpret rapidly moving elevated sources such as bolides (also re-entry). In light of advancements in infrasonic methodologies, there is a need for a comprehensive overview of the characteristics that distinguish bolides from other infrasound sources and methodologies for bolide infrasound analysis. This paper provides a focused review of key considerations and presents a unified framework to enhance infrasound processing approaches specifically tailored for bolides. Three representative case studies are presented to demonstrate the practical application of infrasound processing methodologies and deriving source parameters while exploring challenges associated with bolide-generated infrasound. These case studies underscore the effectiveness of infrasound in determining source parameters and highlight interpretative challenges, such as variations in signal period measurements across different studies. Future research should place emphasis on improving geolocation and yield accuracy. This can be achieved through rigorous and systematic analyses of large, statistically significant samples of such events, aiming to resolve interpretative inconsistencies and explore the causes for variability in signal periods and back azimuths. The topic described here is also relevant to space exploration involving planetary bodies with atmospheres, such as Venus, Mars, and Titan.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

NASA NTRS1991

Basic research for the geodynamics program

The mathematical models of space very long base interferometry (VLBI) observables suitable for least squares covariance analysis were derived and estimatability problems inherent in the space VLBI system were explored, including a detailed rank defect analysis and sensitivity analysis. An important aim is to carry out a comparative analysis of the mathematical models of the ground-based VLBI and space VLBI observables in order to describe the background in detail. Computer programs were developed in order to check the relations, assess errors, and analyze sensitivity. In order to investigate the estimatability of different geodetic and geodynamic parameters from the space VLBI observables, the mathematical models for time delay and time delay rate observables of space VLBI were analytically derived along with the partial derivatives with respect to the parameters. Rank defect analysis was carried out both by analytical and numerical testing of linear dependencies between the columns of the normal matrix thus formed. Definite conclusions were formed about the rank defects in the system.

Source record↗

NASA NTRS2005

CoMET: Cost and Mass Evaluation Tool for Spacecraft and Mission Design

New technology in space exploration is often developed without a complete knowledge of its impact. While the immediate benefits of a new technology are obvious, it is harder to understand its indirect consequences, which ripple through the entire system. COMET is a technology evaluation tool designed to illuminate how specific technology choices affect a mission at each system level. COMET uses simplified models for mass, power, and cost to analyze performance parameters of technologies of interest. The sensitivity analysis that CoMET provides shows whether developing a certain technology will greatly benefit the project or not. CoMET is an ongoing project approaching a web-based implementation phase. This year, development focused on the models for planetary daughter craft, such as atmospheric probes, blimps and balloons, and landers. These models are developed through research into historical data, well established rules of thumb, and engineering judgment of experts at JPL. The model is validated by corroboration with JpL advanced mission studies. Other enhancements to COMET include adding launch vehicle analysis and integrating an updated cost model. When completed, COMET will allow technological development to be focused on areas that will most drastically improve spacecraft performance.

Bieber, Ben S.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Continued Exploration of the Electrified Aircraft Propulsion Design Space

A previous electrified aircraft propulsion (EAP) design space exploration study was continued to investigate the impact of mission constraints, further explore the design space of different sized aircraft, and improve the modeling process. Three aircraft were investigated, 18- and 48-passenger turboprops, and a 78-passenger turbofan. Baseline aircraft models were inherited from the earlier study and were hybridized by applying EAP technologies. A parametric study varying motor power and battery specific energy was conducted. For the 78-passenger turbofan, design range was also introduced as a parametric parameter. Key metrics for the study included equivalent lifecycle CO2 emissions and direct operating cost plus interest. Both turboprop aircraft demonstrated significant potential savings in block fuel consumption and CO2 emissions, but at increased operating costs compared to their baseline models. As the 78-passenger turbofan had shown no improvements in any metrics under reasonable technology assumptions, design range was shortened in an attempt to obtain performance benefits. When designed for a shorter range, the 78-passenger EAP vehicle showed potential improvements in block fuel when compared to a baseline with a similarly shortened design range, but not in any other metrics. Operating cost reductions were not achieved for any aircraft, but several designs came close to breaking even with their baselines. Smaller, shorter range aircraft and turboprops demonstrated larger performance benefits and smaller operating cost penalties, but a simple trade of electric energy storage in batteries for fuel is generally insufficient to produce a viable aircraft concept.

Electrified Aircraft Propulsion↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Joining, Disassembly, and Reconfiguration of Thermoplastic Composites for Space Applications

Thermoplastic composites are increasingly being investigated for aerospace applications because of their relatively short processing time, good chemical and radiation resistance, and potential for reforming and reuse via melting. The manufacturing, reforming, and reuse of thermoplastic composites can be leveraged to advance joining, disassembly, and reassembly of structures for space exploration activities. Potential applications include, but are not limited to, habitats and on-orbit assembly and reassembly of large-scale truss structures. This work focuses on demonstrating the feasibility of joining, disassembly, and reassembly of a thermoplastic bond using heat and pressure. Polyether ether ketone (PEEK) composite adherends were joined using low-melt polyaryl ether ketone (LM-PAEK) thermoplastic films at the bonding interface. The single lap shear specimens with LM-PAEK film were tested and had a maximum shear strength between 5 and 8 MPa and consistently failed adhesively at the bondline. Reassembly of disassembled specimens was successfully demonstrated using additional thermoplastic interlayers. Thus, the reassembly of thermoplastic composite joints was found to be feasible. However, additional work is required to reduce film flowout and optimize consolidation parameters for an in space environment.

thermoplastic composites↗