Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “exclusive”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 739 records · Page 41
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Microcanonical Kinetics of Water-Mediated Proton Transfer in 4ABAH + ·(H 2 O) n = 4–6 Clusters (ABA = Aminobenzoic Acid): A Model System for Size-Dependent Relaxation to Ergodic Behavior

Here, we leverage the unique properties of the 4ABAH + · (H 2 O) n clusters (ABA = 4-aminobenzoic acid, n = 4−6) to quantitatively address how a finite, isolated system evolves into an ergodic condition starting from localized arrangements in configuration space. This system adopts two distinct structural isomers in which water molecules cluster around the cationic centers of its two protomers with widely separated positive charge centers. These isomers arise from excess proton attachment to either the acid (O) or amino (N) group on opposite sides of the benzene ring. Both forms are captured and kinetically trapped using cryogenic ion methods and then selectively vibrationally excited through their mutually exclusive IR bands involving NH and OH stretching fundamentals. Because the IR excitation lies below the water binding energy, the system can evolve to explore slow, rare events that lead to the interconversion between the two isomers. The rates of these intracluster reactions are determined by using a pump−probe scheme involving ∼5 ns IR pump and UV probe lasers. The rates occur on the microsecond time scale, leading to steady state populations of the isomers, thus revealing the cluster size-dependent fractionation between the two species at microcanonical equilibrium. The steady state distributions are correlated with the expected trend in the cluster size-dependent reaction energetics, which are in turn consistent with changes in the relative densities of states of the two species. These results thus provide an unusually clear example in which complex, protic-solvent-mediated chemical transformations are captured within a finite system at a precisely determined internal energy.

Rana, Abhijit [Yale Univ., New Haven, CT (United S↗
DOE OSTI2026

Gold Quantum Rods: Modulation of Singlet and Triplet Exciton Populations by the Rod Length

Abstract Gold quantum rods (QRs) of Au60, Au78, Au96, and Au114 (protected by thiolate ligands) exhibit exclusive fluorescence, which is different from the shorter Au42 QR with dual emission (fluorescence + phosphorescence). Herein, we report the excitation wavelength-dependent near-infrared-II photoluminescence (PL) and exciton dynamics of this series of QRs. Interestingly, the fluorescence quantum yield (QY) of the QRs is much higher (2–10×) when the lowest singlet excited state (S1) is excited compared to the excitation of high-lying states (Sn). A metastable intermediate singlet state (denoted S′) is identified by transient absorption spectroscopy when Sn is excited, and this S′ state leads to fast “skybridge” intersystem crossing (ISC), which contributes primarily (>60%) to the total triplet population. With increasing aspect ratio (AR) of QRs (from 6.3 to 18.7), nonradiative processes accelerate, leading to fast decay of the S1 state (hence, less QY) and of the T1 state (barely phosphorescent). A detailed energy flow mechanism is determined for the QRs after photoexcitation, which offers a design principle for manipulation of exciton dynamics toward potential utilization of higher excited states in applications.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2019

Evolution Pathway from Iron Compunds to Fe 1 (II)-N 4 Sites through Gas-Phase Iron during Pyrolysis

Pyrolysis is indispensable for synthesizing highly active Fe–N–C catalysts for the oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) in acid, but how Fe, N, and C precursors transform to ORR-active sites during pyrolysis remains unclear. This knowledge gap obscures the connections between the input precursors and the output products, clouding the pathway toward Fe–N–C catalyst improvement. Here, we unravel the evolution pathway of precursors to ORR-active catalyst comprised exclusively of single-atom Fe 1 (II)–N 4 sites via in-temperature X-ray absorption spectroscopy. The Fe precursor transforms to Fe oxides below 300 °C and then to tetrahedral Fe 1 (II)–O 4 via a crystal-to-melt-like transformation below 600 °C. The Fe 1 (II)–O 4 releases a single Fe atom that diffuses into the N-doped carbon defect forming Fe 1 (II)–N 4 above 600 °C. This vapor-phase single Fe atom transport mechanism is verified by synthesizing Fe 1 (II)–N 4 sites via “noncontact pyrolysis” wherein the Fe precursor is not in physical contact with the N and C precursors during pyrolysis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Methane Hydrate Formation and Evolution During Sedimentation

We explored methane hydrate formation with sedimentation with a newly developed one-dimensional, multiphase flow, multicomponent transport numerical model. Our model couples methane hydrate formation from in situ microbial methane generation within the hydrate stability zone (HSZ), methane recycling, and microbial methane generation below the base of the hydrate stability zone (BHSZ). Both recycled methane and deeply generated methane are transported into the HSZ by buoyancy-driven free gas flow. Free gas flows through the HSZ by both the processes of capillary-dependent pore fillings and by salt exclusion during hydrate formation, with the former being the dominant mechanism. We quantitively illustrated the formation of enriched hydrate in muddy sediments above, and interconnected free gas below, the BHSZ, which are common features along the world's continental margin. In addition, we showed two ways to form concentrated methane hydrate above the BHSZ. The first mechanism is local free gas flow during methane recycling. This happens at sites with sufficient methane generation above the BHSZ. The second mechanism is deep microbial methane generation which is transported into the HSZ by free gas flow. This mechanism plays a more important role at sites with high sedimentation rates. This study provides new insights into methane hydrate formation and distribution below the seafloor. It is important for understanding the carbon cycle and carbon storage below the seafloor and for resource evaluation and exploitation.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Three Decades of Divergent Land Use and Plant Community Change Alters Soil C and N Content in Tallgrass Prairie

Frequent fire and grazing by megafauna are important determinants of tallgrass prairie plant community structure. However, fire suppression and removal of native grazers have altered these natural disturbance regimes and changed grassland plant communities with potential long-term consequences for soil carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) storage. We investigated multidecade changes in soil C and N pools in response to contrasting long-term burning and grazing treatments. Fire suppression with or without grazers and exclusion of grazers in annually burned prairie increased soil C content and shifted the δ 13 C signature of soil C over time, concomitant with changes in plant community composition. Soil δ 13 C values indicated that increased soil C content was associated with an increased contribution from plants using a C 3 photosynthetic pathway (i.e., woody shrubs) under fire suppression. Soil N content also increased when fire was suppressed, relative to frequently burned grassland, but the rate of increase was slower when grazers were present. Additionally, changes in δ 15 N values suggested that grazing increased the openness of the N cycle, presumably due to greater N losses. By coupling long-term fire and grazing treatments with plant community data and soil samples archived over three decades, we demonstrate that human-caused changes to natural disturbance regimes in a tallgrass prairie significantly alter soil C and N cycles through belowground changes associated with shifts in the plant community. Since natural disturbance regimes have been altered in grasslands across the world, our results are relevant for understanding the long-term biogeochemical consequences of these ongoing land use changes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Precambrian Crystalline Basement Properties From Pressure History Matching and Implications for Induced Seismicity in the US Midcontinent

Injection-induced seismicity across the US midcontinent has almost exclusively occurred in the crystalline basement that underlies the Arbuckle Group aquifer and its equivalents, the primary wastewater disposal zone in this region. However, the properties of the basement are not well known. Newly compiled data, from Class I wells in Kansas, provide a unique record of pressures in the Arbuckle and an opportunity to constrain the reservoir-scale properties of the basement such as permeability, diffusivity, and specific storage. Constraints on these parameters are critical for modeling fluid flow and pressures across the entire Arbuckle-basement system, and are necessary for accurate evaluation and prediction of injection-induced earthquakes. Here, we present a detailed, three-dimensional geological and pressure history-matched numerical model for the Arbuckle and basement, based on data from >400 wells covering a large region in south-central Kansas, where injection-induced seismicity has been concentrated since 2014. Simulations of dynamic data from 319 wells indicate that Arbuckle pressures have increased by 1.1 MPa in high injection rate areas and an overpressure of <0.1 MPa may be the cause of seismicity in the basement. Pressure-history matching also yields the likely range in porosity (0.3%–7%), permeability (0.1–0.7 mD), and diffusivity (0.004–0.07 m2 /s) for the basement. The resulting estimates suggest reservoir-scale properties of the basement are enhanced by faults and fractures. Importantly, the diffusivities determined in this study are lower than estimates derived from Kansas earthquake triggering fronts, and suggest that such seismicity-based techniques may have limitations, particularly where spacetime patterns between injection and seismicity are complex.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Climatology of Melting Layer Heights Estimated From Cloud Radar Observations at Various Locations

A melting layer (ML) detection algorithm for cloud radar with polarimetric capability was developed and applied to the cloud radar data collected from five different sites around the world for several years. The retrieved melting layer top height (MLH) showed a very good correspondence with the ECMWF Reanalysis 5 zero degree level data for all five sites. The ML characteristics were distinctively different for different sites, revealing climatological characteristics of ML forming clouds in different regions. Generally, ML tended to occur more frequently in summer than in winter except for a maritime site, where low stratiform clouds formed frequently in summer, the top of which might be lower than the freezing level. In contrast, at two Arctic sites, ML occurred almost exclusively in summer because it was too cold to have an ML in the other seasons. The MLH also varied significantly from site to site but generally was higher during warmer seasons. Based on MLH, two new indices, bulk temperature lapse rate (BLR) and relative depth (RD) of liquid cloud below MLH (RD) were developed, which were useful to explain the environmental characteristics of the five sites. BLR generally increased with the surface temperature at all sites except at the marine site that showed an opposite trend, where a unique synoptic pattern in winter generated high BLR in this cold season. Finally, these findings confirm that studies on thermodynamic structures using cloud radars can be broadened, taking advantage of BLR and RD information, as these indices can represent environmental thermodynamic characteristics of the clouds that have ML.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Organizational Principles of Hyporheic Exchange Flow and Biogeochemical Cycling in River Networks Across Scales

Hyporheic zones increase freshwater ecosystem resilience to hydrological extremes and global environmental change. However, current conceptualizations of hyporheic exchange, residence time distributions, and the associated biogeochemical cycling in streambed sediments do not always accurately explain the hydrological and biogeochemical complexity observed in streams and rivers. Specifically, existing conceptual models insufficiently represent the coupled transport and reactivity along groundwater and surface water flow paths, the role of autochthonous organic matter in streambed biogeochemical functioning, and the feedbacks between surface-subsurface ecological processes, both within and across spatial and temporal scales. While simplified approaches to these issues are justifiable and necessary for transferability, the exclusion of important hyporheic processes from our conceptualizations can lead to erroneous conclusions and inadequate understanding and management of interconnected surface water and groundwater environments. This is particularly true at the landscape scale, where the organizational principles of spatio-temporal dynamics of hyporheic exchange flow (HEF) and biogeochemical processes remain largely uncharacterized. This article seeks to identify the most important drivers and controls of HEF and biogeochemical cycling based on a comprehensive synthesis of findings from a wide range of river systems. We use these observations to test current paradigms and conceptual models, discussing the interactions of local-to-regional hydrological, geomorphological, and ecological controls of hyporheic zone functioning. This improved conceptualization of the landscape organizational principles of drivers of HEF and biogeochemical processes from reach to catchment scales will inform future river research directions and watershed management strategies.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Floods and Heavy Precipitation at the Global Scale: 100‐Year Analysis and 180‐Year Reconstruction

Floods and heavy precipitation have disruptive impacts worldwide, but their historical variability remains only partially understood at the global scale. This article aims at reducing this knowledge gap by jointly analyzing seasonal maxima of streamflow and precipitation at more than 3,000 stations over a 100‐year period. The analysis is based on Hidden Climate Indices (HCIs). Like standard climate indices (e.g., Nino 3.4, NAO), HCIs are used as covariates explaining the temporal variability of data, but unlike them, HCIs are estimated from the data. In this work, a distinction is made between common HCIs, that affect both heavy precipitation and floods, and specific HCIs, that exclusively affect one or the other. Overall, HCIs do not show noticeable autocorrelation, but some are affected by noticeable trends. In particular, strong and wide‐ranging trends are identified in precipitation‐specific HCIs, while trends affecting flood‐specific HCIs are weaker and have more localized effects. A probabilistic model is then derived to link HCIs and large‐scale atmospheric variables (pressure, wind, temperature) and to reconstruct HCIs since 1836 using the 20CRv3 reanalysis. In turn this allows estimating the probability of occurrence of floods and heavy precipitation at the global scale. This 180‐year reconstruction highlights flood hot‐spots and hot‐moments in the distant past, well before the establishment of perennial monitoring networks. Finally, the approach presented in this study is generic and paves the way for an improved characterization of historical variability by making a better use of long but highly irregular station data sets.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Root and Microbial Soil CO 2 and CH 4 Fluxes Respond Differently to Seasonal and Episodic Environmental Changes in a Temperate Forest

Upland forest soils are typically major atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) sources and methane (CH 4 ) sinks, but the contributions of root and microbial processes, as well as their separate temporal responses to environmental change, remain poorly understood. This 2-year study was conducted in a temperate, deciduous forest located on the Chesapeake Bay in Maryland, USA. We used temporal CO 2 and CH 4 flux measurements, exclusion-source partitioning, and an ecosystem-scale flooding experiment to understand how carbon (C) fluxes, and their root and microbial sources, respond to seasonal and episodic environmental change. Here, we show that the root-and-rhizosphere component of soil CO 2 and CH 4 flux is significant and that its dependence on soil temperature and volumetric water content (VWC) influences soil C dynamics at seasonal timescales. Experimental flooding shows that CO 2 and CH 4 flux responses to episodic moisture change were driven by suppression of soil heterotrophs, while root respiration did not respond to transient hydrologic disturbance. Methane uptake responded strongly to episodic inundation, reinforcing the important role of soil moisture in the short-term control of the forest soil CH 4 sink. However, despite the clear seasonality of CH 4 uptake, as well as its strong response to short-term experimental inundation, temperature and VWC were weak predictors of CH 4 uptake at a seasonal timescale. We suggest that CH 4 consumption in the long-term may be determined by vegetation, nutrients, microbial communities, or other factors correlated with seasonal changes. Our results indicate that root and microbial sources of both CO 2 and CH 4 flux respond differently in timing and magnitude to seasonal and episodic environmental change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Regime-Dependence of Nocturnal Nitrate Formation via N 2 O 5 Hydrolysis and Its Implication for Mitigating Nitrate Pollution

The heterogeneous hydrolysis of dinitrogen pentoxide (N 2 O 5 ) is an important pathway in nitrate formation; however, its formation rate and relative contribution to total particulate nitrate (pNO 3 - ) are highly variable. Here we report that nocturnal pNO 3 - formation via N 2 O 5 hydrolysis is dependent on the regime defined by the ratio of NO 2 to O 3 . Nocturnal pNO 3 - formation via N 2 O 5 hydrolysis is suppressed in an O 3 -limited regime but enhanced in a NO 2 -limited regime. The results have crucial implications for effective control of nitrate pollution in the future. An exclusive decrease in NO 2 will decrease nocturnal pNO 3 - formation in a NO 2 -limited regime but may be less effective or even increase nocturnal pNO 3 - formation in an O 3 -limited regime.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Reimagining Earth in the Earth System

Abstract Terrestrial, aquatic, and marine ecosystems regulate climate at local to global scales through exchanges of energy and matter with the atmosphere and assist with climate change mitigation through nature‐based climate solutions. Climate science is no longer a study of the physics of the atmosphere and oceans, but also the ecology of the biosphere. This is the promise of Earth system science: to transcend academic disciplines to enable study of the interacting physics, chemistry, and biology of the planet. However, long‐standing tension in protecting, restoring, and managing forest ecosystems to purposely improve climate evidences the difficulties of interdisciplinary science. For four centuries, forest management for climate betterment was argued, legislated, and ultimately dismissed, when nineteenth century atmospheric scientists narrowly defined climate science to the exclusion of ecology. Today's Earth system science, with its roots in global models of climate, unfolds in similar ways to the past. With Earth system models, geoscientists are again defining the ecology of the Earth system. Here we reframe Earth system science so that the biosphere and its ecology are equally integrated with the fluid Earth to enable Earth system prediction for planetary stewardship. Central to this is the need to overcome an intellectual heritage to the models that elevates geoscience and marginalizes ecology and local land knowledge. The call for kilometer‐scale atmospheric and ocean models, without concomitant scientific and computational investment in the land and biosphere, perpetuates the geophysical view of Earth and will not fully provide the comprehensive actionable information needed for a changing climate.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗
DOE OSTI2025

Glacial‐Interglacial and Millennial‐Scale Changes in Nitrous Oxide Emissions Pathways and Source Regions

During the transition from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) to the Holocene, the atmospheric N 2 O mole fraction increased by 80 nmol mol −1 . Using ice core measurements of N 2 O isotopomer ratios, we show that this increase was driven by increases in both nitrification and denitrification, with the relative partitioning between both production pathways depending on the assumed isotopic end-member source signatures. Similarly, we also attribute a 35 nmol mol −1 N 2 O mole fraction increase during the Heinrich Stadial 4/Dansgaard Oeschger 8 (HS4/DO8) millennial-scale event to increases in both N 2 O production pathways. In contrast, the 25 nmol mol −1 N 2 O mole fraction decrease during the Younger Dryas was driven almost exclusively by a decrease in nitrification. The deglacial and HS4/DO8 increases in N 2 O production occurred in both marine and terrestrial environments, with the terrestrial source responding faster to warming by about two centuries. Constraints on changes in nitrification and denitrification emissions are robust and consistent with previous studies showing the sensitivity of N 2 O emissions to abrupt Northern Hemisphere warming. This study demonstrates for the first time the importance of both denitrification and nitrification pathways in driving source changes. Absolute emissions are more uncertain due to uncertainty about source isotopomer signatures. For instance, the contribution of denitrification to emissions at the LGM shifts from (65 ± 10) % to (91 ± 6) % when factoring in isotope enrichment due to partial reduction of N 2 O to N 2 during denitrification. Reducing uncertainty in source signatures will increase the power of ice core N 2 O isotope records in deducing environmental change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Fungal Spore Seasons Advanced Across the US Over Two Decades of Climate Change

Abstract Phenological shifts due to climate change have been extensively studied in plants and animals. Yet, the responses of fungal spores—organisms important to ecosystems and major airborne allergens—remain understudied. This knowledge gap limits our understanding of their ecological and public health implications. To address this, we analyzed a long‐term (2003–2022), large‐scale (the continental US) data set of airborne fungal spores collected by the US National Allergy Bureau. We first pre‐processed the spore data by gap‐filling and smoothing. Afterward, we extracted 10 metrics describing the phenology (e.g., start and end of season) and intensity (e.g., peak concentration and integral) of fungal spore seasons. These metrics were derived using two complementary but not mutually exclusive approaches—ecological and public health approaches, defined as percentiles of total spore concentration and allergenic thresholds of spore concentration, respectively. Using linear mixed‐effects models, we quantified annual shifts in these metrics across the continental US. We revealed a significant advancement in the onset of the spore seasons defined in both ecological (11 days, 95% confidence interval: 0.4–23 days) and public health (22 days, 6–38 days) approaches over two decades. Meanwhile, total spore concentrations in an annual cycle and in a spore allergy season tended to decrease over time. The earlier start of the spore season was significantly correlated with climatic variables, such as warmer temperatures and altered precipitations. Overall, our findings suggest possible climate‐driven advanced fungal spore seasons, highlighting the importance of climate change mitigation and adaptation in public health decision‐making.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗
DOE OSTI2025

Harnessing Satellite Data Alone for Mapping Global Thermal Anisotropy

Mapping thermal anisotropy across global lands is critical for advancing a wide range of Earth science studies. However, a comprehensive understanding of global thermal anisotropy intensity (TAI) and its governing factors remains missing. We introduce a novel data-driven methodology to quantify global TAI exclusively using multi-angle MODIS land surface temperature time series observations. Our analysis reveals distinct seasonal and diurnal TAI patterns, with global mean summertime TAI exceeding 2.9°C. Furthermore, we identify strong associations between TAI and key surface and atmospheric parameters, such as leaf area index and downward shortwave radiation. Our findings advocate for a paradigm shift from model-based to data-driven approaches in correcting thermal anisotropy, thereby addressing a critical bottleneck in Earth observation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Misaligned Wind‐Waves Behind Atmospheric Cold Fronts

Abstract Atmospheric fronts embedded in extratropical cyclones are high‐impact weather phenomena, contributing significantly to mid‐latitude winter precipitation. The three vital characteristics of the atmospheric fronts, high wind speeds, abrupt change in wind direction, and rapid translation, force the induced surface waves to be misaligned with winds exclusively behind the cold fronts. The effects of the misaligned waves under atmospheric cold fronts on air‐sea fluxes remain undocumented. Using the multi‐year in situ near‐surface observations and direct covariance flux measurements from the Pioneer Array off the coast of New England, we find that the majority of the passing cold fronts generate misaligned waves behind the cold front. Once generated, the waves remain misaligned, on average, for about 8 hr. The parameterized effect of misaligned waves in a fully coupled model significantly increases the roughness length (185%), drag coefficient (19%), and air‐sea momentum flux (11%). The increased surface drag reduces the wind speeds in the surface layer. The upward turbulent heat flux is weakly decreased by the misaligned waves because of the decrease in temperature and humidity scaling parameters being greater than the increase in friction velocity. The misaligned wave effect is not accurately represented in a commonly used wave‐based bulk flux algorithm. Yet, considering this effect in the current formulation improves the overall accuracy of parameterized momentum flux estimates. The results imply that better representing a directional wind‐wave coupling in the bulk formula of the numerical models may help improve the air‐sea interaction simulations under the passing atmospheric fronts in the mid‐latitudes.

Oceanography↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigating the Relative Roles of INPs and CCN in a Simulated Thunderstorm Using a New Immersion Freezing Algorithm

Microphysical processes in deep convective clouds are sensitive to the number concentrations of cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and ice nucleating particles (INPs), but the effects of INPs are less studied. Modeling studies investigating the effects of INPs and/or CCN on deep convection typically retain a volume‐dependent raindrop freezing relation. The resulting neglect of aerosol accumulation in raindrops via drop collisions has likely produced unrealistic storm responses to INPs in past studies. To address this deficiency, a new immersion freezing algorithm was developed and embedded in a bulk microphysics scheme that freezes both cloud drops and raindrops using the same immersion freezing INP (IF‐INP) activity spectrum based on measurements. Multiple idealized simulations of a single case of deep convection observed during the Clouds, Aerosols, and Complex Terrain Interactions (CACTI) field campaign were conducted, with microphysical differences produced by independently altering IF‐INP temperature dependencies and CCN number concentrations from their observed values. Surface precipitation in all simulations resulted almost exclusively from riming graupel that melted upon descending to the surface. Rainfall and cold pools were substantially and systematically weakened with increased CCN due to decreased graupel riming rates but were relatively insensitive to variations in the magnitude and slope of IF‐INP spectra due to compensating depletion of supercooled liquid water. These compensating processes were a consequence of the accumulation of IF‐INPs in raindrops, encouraging caution in studying IF‐INP effects upon thunderstorms using traditional volume‐dependent drop freezing relationships.

CCN↗
DOE OSTI2025

Restoring Historic Forest Disturbance Frequency Would Partially Mitigate Droughts in the Central Sierra Nevada Mountains

Forest thinning and prescribed fire are expected to improve the climate resilience and water security of forests in the western U.S., but few studies have directly modeled the hydrological effects of multi-decadal landscape-scale forest disturbance. By updating a distributed process-based hydrological model (DHSVM) with vegetation maps from a distributed forest ecosystem model (LANDIS-II), we simulate the water resource impacts of forest management scenarios targeting partial or full restoration of the pre-colonial disturbance return interval in the central Sierra Nevada mountains. In a fully restored disturbance regime that includes fire, thinning, and insect mortality, reservoir inflow increases by 4%–9% total and 8%–14% in dry years. At sub-watershed scales (10–100 km2), thinning dense forests can increase streamflow by >20% in dry years. In a thinner forest, increased understory transpiration compensates for decreased overstory transpiration. Consequentially, 73% of streamflow gains are attributable to decreased overstory rain and snow interception loss. Thinner forests can increase headwater peak flows, but reservoir-scale peak flows are almost exclusively influenced by climate. Uncertainty in future precipitation causes high uncertainty in future water yield, but the additional water yield attributable to forest disturbance is about five times less sensitive to annual precipitation uncertainty. This partial decoupling of the streamflow disturbance response from annual precipitation makes disturbance especially valuable for water supply during dry years. Our study can increase confidence in the water resource benefits of restoring historic forest disturbance frequencies in the central Sierra Nevada mountains, and our modeling framework is widely applicable to other forested mountain landscapes.

Boardman, Eli N. [University of Nevada, Reno, NV (↗