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At least 739 records · Page 41

Heritage and Advanced Technology Systems Engineering Lessons Learned from NASA Space Missions

Use of heritage and new technology is necessary/enabling to implementing small, low cost missions, yet overruns decrease the ability to sustain future mission flight rates The majority of the cost growth drivers seen in the D&NF study were embedded early during formulation phase and later realized during the development and I&T phases Cost drivers can be avoided or significantly decreased by project management and SE emphasis on early identification of risks and realistic analyses SE processes that emphasize an assessment of technology within the mission system to identify technical issues in the design or operational use of the technology. Realistic assessment of new and heritage spacecraft technology assumptions , identification of risks and mitigation strategies. Realistic estimates of effort required to inherit existing or qualify new technology, identification of risks to estimates and develop mitigation strategies. Allocation of project reserves for risk-based mitigation strategies of each individual area of heritage or new technology. Careful tailoring of inheritance processes to ensure due diligence.

Barley, Bryan↗

Optimization of Membrane-based Carbon Capture using Dimensional Analysis, CFD and Process System Engineering

Carbon capture is a promising option to mitigate CO2 emissions from existing coal-fired power plants, cement and steel industries, and petrochemical complexes. Among the available technologies, membrane-based carbon capture presents the lowest energy consumption, operating costs, and carbon footprint. In addition, membrane processes have important operational flexibil-ity and response times. On the other hand, the major challenges to widespread application of this technology are related to reducing capital costs and improving membrane stability and durability.To upscale the technology into stacked flat sheet configurations, high fidelity computational fluid dynamics (CFD) that describes the separation process accurately are required. High fidelity simulations have been shown to be effective in studying the complex transport phenomena in membrane systems. In addition, obtaining high CO2 recovery percentages and product purity requires a multi-stage membrane process, where the optimal network configuration of the membrane modules must be studied in a systematic way. In order to address the design problem at process scale, we formulate a superstructure for the membrane-based carbon capture, including up to three separation stages. In the formulation of the optimization problem, we include reduced models, based on rigorous CFD simulations of the membrane modules. Numerical results indicate that the optimal design includes three membrane stages, and the capture cost is 45.4 $/t-CO2.

Pedrozo, Hector A.↗

A case study of a system engineered for control by humans

Alternatives to the traditional concepts for real time health and safety operations were examined. The pitfalls of the conventional contingency planning for health and safety are highlighted. The Solar Maximum Mission (SMM) contingency planning and operations provides the evolution from the conventional people intensive health and safety operation, toward a night watchman mode of operations. The SMM spacecraft health and safety operations were budget constrained to the point that one operator was responsible for the health and safety of the entire spacecraft one week after launch. The spacecraft was a protoflight with brand new subsystem configurations, software and procedures. To manage the risks associated with this one man SMM health and safety operation, the real time contingency planning and operations centered around unambiguously identifying a system level problem, and reactively safing components susceptible to unrecoverable damage. The methodology applied to both analyzing and implementing this approach of SMM is shown.

Rothenberg, J.↗

Advanced Statistical Methods in Spacecraft Flight Software Cost Estimation: Bayesian Regression and Nonlinear Principal Components Analysis to Support System Engineering in the Early Project Lifecycle

This paper provides an overview of the new features and model updates in the upcoming release of the NASA Analogy Software Cost Tool (ASCoT). ASCoT, hosted within the Online NASA Space Estimation Tools (ONSET) on the One NASA Cost Engineering (ONCE) Database, is a web-based tool that provides a suite of estimation tools to support early lifecycle NASA flight software cost analysis. In addition to the traditional parametric flight software costing method COCOMO II, ASCoT contains a Bayesian linear regression to predict total flight software development cost as a function of total spacecraft cost, as well as four analogic methods: k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) and Clustering models to predict Effort (in work-months) and total source lines of code (SLOC). These methods are designed to work primarily with system-level inputs such as mission type (orbiter, lander, etc.), mission destination (Earth, Inner Planetary, etc.), and the number of instruments and deployables. Nonlinear principal components analysis (NLPCA) is performed to find the principal features of the data composed of both categorical and numerical variables and is necessary prior to defining our analogic methods. Sensitivity analyses and in- and out-of-sample model performance results are presented for the Bayesian CER and the analogic models.

Johnson, James K.↗

Systems Engineering Interfaces: A Model Based Approach

Currently: Ops Rev developed and maintains a framework that includes interface-specific language, patterns, and Viewpoints. Ops Rev implements the framework to design MOS 2.0 and its 5 Mission Services. Implementation de-couples interfaces and instances of interaction Future: A Mission MOSE implements the approach and uses the model based artifacts for reviews. The framework extends further into the ground data layers and provides a unified methodology.

Advanced Multi-Mission Operations System (AMMOS)↗

Intelligent Engine Systems: Acoustics

An extensive study of new fan exhaust nozzle technologies was performed. Three new uniform chevron nozzles were designed, based on extensive CFD analysis. Two new azimuthally varying variants were defined. All five were tested, along with two existing nozzles, on a representative model-scale, medium BPR exhaust nozzle. Substantial acoustic benefits were obtained from the uniform chevron nozzle designs, the best benefit being provided by an existing design. However, one of the azimuthally varying nozzle designs exhibited even better performance than any of the uniform chevron nozzles. In addition to the fan chevron nozzles, a new technology was demonstrated, using devices that enhance mixing when applied to an exhaust nozzle. The acoustic benefits from these devices applied to medium BPR nozzles were similar, and in some cases superior to, those obtained from conventional uniform chevron nozzles. However, none of the low noise technologies provided equivalent acoustic benefits on a model-scale high BPR exhaust nozzle, similar to current large commercial applications. New technologies must be identified to improve the acoustics of state-of-the-art high BPR jet engines.

Wojno, John↗

On the Language of Reliability: A System Engineer Perspective

In its classical definition, risk is defined by three elements: what can go wrong, what are its consequences, and how likely is it to occur? While this definition makes sense in a regulatory-based framework where for the current fleet of operating light water reactors (LWRs), the risks associated with nuclear power plants typically are characterized in terms of core damage and large early release frequency (LERF), this approach does not provide a useful snapshot of the health of the plant from a broader perspective. This is due to the very narrow context in which the term “risk” typically is defined as nuclear safety aspects that have the potential to impact public health. In this paper, we take the viewpoint of nuclear safety that is reflective of the current fleet of operating LWRs for which core damage frequency and LERF are appropriate metrics. For other advanced reactor designs, other more applicable technology neutral metrics of reactor safety metrics would be specified. A possible alternate path would start by redefining the word risk with a broader meaning that better reflects the needs of a system health and asset management decision-making process. Rather than asking how likely an event could occur (in probabilistic terms), we can ask how far this event is from occurring. Our approach starts by defining and quantifying component and system health in terms of a “distance” between its actual and limiting conditions, i.e., determination of the margin that exists between the current state/condition and the state where the component/system is no longer capable of achieving its intended function. A margin is a measure that is more reflective of the current state or performance of a component, and therefore more closely tied to decisions that are made on an ongoing basis. Further, we will show how, given the data available from plant equipment reliability and monitoring (e.g., pump vibration data) and prognostic (e.g., component remaining useful life estimation) data, a margin can be described and determined for all types of maintenance approaches (e.g., corrective or predictive maintenance). We show how classical reliability models (e.g., fault trees) can be used to quantify the system margin provided component margin values. In the approach described in this paper, the propagation of margin values through classical reliability models are not performed using classical probabilistic calculations applied to sets (as performed in a typical plant probabilistic risk assessment). Instead, we show how it is possible to propagate margin values through Boolean logic gates (i.e., AND and OR operators) through distance-based operations.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Mission Systems Engineering (MSE) for the Cosmic Evolution Through UV Spectroscopy (CETUS) Space Telescope Concept

The basic objectives of the CETUS mission are to significantly improve our understanding of the evolution of galaxies at a redshift (z) of approximately 1 and to meet the cost constraints (1$B) for a NASA Probe-Class mission. What makes these galaxies so interesting is that their light, which has taken about 7 billion years to reach us, comes from a time when star-formation in the observable universe peaked, and the processes behind this peaking are far from well understood. To accomplish its science goals, CETUS needs to get UV spectra of 105 of these galaxies. To help meet its cost constraints, CETUS will only observe galaxies for which VIS spectra are already available, which means that CETUS has to survey a specific portion of the sky. The combination of the CETUS measurement goals and costs constraints strongly influence the design of virtually every aspect of the mission starting from the telescope and instruments, through to orbit and launch vehicle selection, and including the design of most of the SC Bus sub-systems, such as structure, ACS, power, communications, and thermal control.

Purves, Lloyd R.↗

Systems engineering and integration: Cost estimation and benefits analysis

Space Transportation Avionics hardware and software cost has traditionally been estimated in Phase A and B using cost techniques which predict cost as a function of various cost predictive variables such as weight, lines of code, functions to be performed, quantities of test hardware, quantities of flight hardware, design and development heritage, complexity, etc. The output of such analyses has been life cycle costs, economic benefits and related data. The major objectives of Cost Estimation and Benefits analysis are twofold: (1) to play a role in the evaluation of potential new space transportation avionics technologies, and (2) to benefit from emerging technological innovations. Both aspects of cost estimation and technology are discussed here. The role of cost analysis in the evaluation of potential technologies should be one of offering additional quantitative and qualitative information to aid decision-making. The cost analyses process needs to be fully integrated into the design process in such a way that cost trades, optimizations and sensitivities are understood. Current hardware cost models tend to primarily use weights, functional specifications, quantities, design heritage and complexity as metrics to predict cost. Software models mostly use functionality, volume of code, heritage and complexity as cost descriptive variables. Basic research needs to be initiated to develop metrics more responsive to the trades which are required for future launch vehicle avionics systems. These would include cost estimating capabilities that are sensitive to technological innovations such as improved materials and fabrication processes, computer aided design and manufacturing, self checkout and many others. In addition to basic cost estimating improvements, the process must be sensitive to the fact that no cost estimate can be quoted without also quoting a confidence associated with the estimate. In order to achieve this, better cost risk evaluation techniques are needed as well as improved usage of risk data by decision-makers. More and better ways to display and communicate cost and cost risk to management are required.

Dean, ED↗

Process Systems Engineering Perspective on the Design of Materials and Molecules

This paper aims to provide an overview of the current state of the art in molecule and material design and a perspective on open questions. First, we discuss the interplay between process design and the design of molecules and materials and then present the basic trade-offs and interdependencies that need to be considered in this integrated design problem. Second, we introduce methods and open questions in the area of processing materials, with special emphasis placed on heterogeneous catalysts due to their importance in the chemical industry. Finally, we discuss materials for photovoltaic cells as one example of a chemical product that is likely to help supply sustainable energy and address climate change concerns. This information presented here is based on presentations and discussions during the FIPSE-4 meeting in June 2018 (https://www.fi-in-pse.org/fipse-4- 2018).

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Unraveling Anion-Specific Inhibition and Structural Modulation of Gibbsite Crystallization: Implications for Aluminum Mobility in Natural and Engineered Systems

Gibbsite (α-Al(OH) 3 , sometimes designated as γ-Al(OH) 3 ) plays a crucial role in the chemistry of aluminum in the environment and industry, yet its crystallization behavior under multianionic conditions is not well understood. Here, in this study, we investigate how six common anions─fluoride (F – ), chloride (Cl – ), bromide (Br – ), nitrate (NO 3 – ), sulfate (SO 4 2– ), and phosphate (PO 4 3– )─influence the mineralization, structure, and morphology of gibbsite at room temperature. The results show that PO 4 3– , SO 4 2– , and F – strongly inhibit gibbsite formation, stabilizing amorphous or alternative crystalline phases such as nordstrandite and cryolite. On the contrary, Cl – , Br – , and NO 3 – allow partial to complete crystallization of gibbsite without significant morphological changes. Solid-state 27 Al magic angle spinning nuclear magnetic resonance provides crucial insight into aluminum coordination environments in both crystalline and amorphous phases, distinguishing between octahedral, pentahedral, and tetrahedral Al species. The density functional theory calculations reveal a direct correlation between the Al–X bond strength and the inhibition of crystallization, following the order: PO 4 3– > SO 4 2– > F – > NO 3 – > Cl – > Br – . These findings offer molecular-scale insights into anion-specific effects on aluminum hydroxide nucleation and transformation, improving the understanding of gibbsite formation and aluminum cycling in soils, phosphate retention, contaminant immobilization, and waste treatment strategies in nuclear and industrial settings. These insights can also guide the controlled synthesis of aluminum hydroxide materials with tailored crystallinity and morphology via liquid-assisted methods.

Anions effect↗

WindSE: Wind Systems Engineering [SWR-17-03]

WindSE is a python package that uses a FEniCS backend to perform wind farm simulations and optimization. Documentation can be found at: https://windse.readthedocs.io/en/latest/

King, Ryan↗

Quantum system engineering for a next-generation search for axion dark matter. Final report

This project pursued two major experimental goals related to the quantum engineering of the ensemble of nuclear spin qubits, as a potential sensing platform for axion-like dark matter: (1) control the fidelity of spin ensemble state preparation, (2) characterize the coherence time of the spin ensemble under different drive conditions. We have successfully achieved these goals. We have experimentally demonstrated control over the polarization of the 207 Pb nuclear spin ensemble, using light-induced transient paramagnetic centers. We have also performed NMR measurements on the 207 Pb spin ensemble in solid ferroelectric PMN-PT, demonstrating the T 2 coherence time of 16.7 ms. We have used this approach to set new experimental limits on the EDM and the gradient interactions of axion-like dark matter in the mass range 162 neV to 166 neV. In addition, having characterized the magnetic resonance properties of the 207 Pb spin ensemble in solid ferroelectric PMN-PT, we have formulated the technical requirements needed to reach the quantum sensitivity limits in a magnetic resonance-based search for axion-like dark matter.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗