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At least 739 records · Page 41

Resin chemistry and particle size influence on stereolithography with silicon carbide

Stereolithography (SLA) is an established process able to produce high resolution polymer parts with complex geometries. Silicon carbide (SiC) has uses in a variety of applications, but traditionally was difficult to manufacture into complex geometries. There have been advances in producing SiC through SLA using a SiC-derived ceramic such as silicon oxycarbide (SiOC). In this study, a slurry using a commercially available resin as the base material with additional modifiers was investigated to create a SiC slurry ready for pressureless sintering. The effects of photoinitiator, dispersant and a bimodal distribution of SiC particle sizes was studied using a design of experiments (DOE). A slurry with a bimodal distribution of 70 % coarse and 30 % fine SiC powder at 40 % solids loading by volume was prepared and successfully printed. Rheology measurements show the slurry to have viscoelastic shear thinning behavior below the recommended 1000 Pas necessary for printing. Printing parameters for the new material on a commercially available SLA printer were studied parametrically. The laser marking speeds found to print the slurry was 260 mm/s and 130 mm/s. A slurry and printing parameters were determined to produce a green part with a proposed debinding cycle.

Herd, Tien [ORNL]↗

Understanding the structural mechanics of ligated DNA crystals via molecular dynamics simulation

DNA self-assembly is a highly programmable method to construct arbitrary architectures based on sequence complementarity. Among various constructs, DNA crystals are macroscopic crystalline materials formed by assembling motifs via sticky end association. Due to their high structural integrity and size ranging from tens to hundreds of micrometers, DNA crystals offer unique opportunities to study the structural properties and deformation behaviors of DNA assemblies. For example, enzymatic ligation of sticky ends can selectively seal nicks resulting in more robust structures with enhanced mechanical properties. However, the research efforts have been mostly on experiments involving different motif designs, structural optimization, or new synthesis methods, while their mechanics are not yet fully understood. The complex properties of DNA crystals are difficult to study via experiments alone, and numerical simulation can complement and aid the experiments. The coarse-grained molecular dynamics (MD) simulation is a powerful tool that can probe the mechanics of DNA assemblies. Here, we investigate DNA crystals made of four different motif lengths with various ligation patterns (full ligation, major directions, connectors, and in-plane) using oxDNA, an open-source, coarse-grained MD platform. We found that several distinct deformation stages emerge in response to mechanical loading and that the number and the location of ligated nucleotides can significantly modulate structural behaviors. These findings should be useful for predicting crystal properties and thus improving the design.

DNA crystal↗

Off-Gas Design and Testing from Advanced Chlorination Process

Chlorination of Zr alloy cladding with sulfur-chloride reagents is being considered as a means of separating the main metal from alloying elements, imbedded U, actinides, and fission and activation products to purify the Zr. This would allow the Zr to be disposed of as low-level nuclear waste or possibly be recycled. A multistage process was developed that involves several steps and waste streams. Recycling of sulfur-chloride reagents S 2 Cl 2 and SOCl 2 is planned to minimize the waste stream. The generation of off-gas and entrainment of volatiles is anticipated to be minimized. However, given the complex nature of spent nuclear fuel (SNF), some volatile components will be generated, including the solvents themselves; Cl 2 used for the regeneration of S 2 Cl 2 ; volatile fission product chlorides, such as Sb and 3 H; and chlorinated alloying components, such as Sn, Nb, Fe, and Mo. This report discusses the chemical phenomena that might give rise to volatile species and their planned capture. The volatility of the transition metals will depend on their oxidation state and the compounds that are formed, such as Zr tritide. Loading radionuclides in the process off-gas will depend on the inputs to the process. For instance, processing separated Zr to reduce waste will have a much lower loading of radionuclides than if alternative chlorination were used for decladding SNF. Much of the volatile process streams will be part of the solvent recycling, which may involve online scrubbing. Generally, a caustic scrubber should be included in the off-gas to remove acidic vapors (e.g., Cl 2 , SOCl 2 ). The decontamination procedures for removing these species could involve pretreatment (i.e., heating) options or reduction by contact with H 2 . This report discusses these options along with a framework for testing these alternatives in future experiments. Technologies for off-gas capture will leverage those developed in the Materials Recovery and Waste Forms program.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Cross-slip and easy-glide CRSS in titanium: Theoretical predictions and in-situ TEM measurements

This study investigates the mechanics of prismatic and first-order pyramidal $\langle$a$\rangle$ slip in titanium (Ti), elucidating the physics of easy-glide and cross-slip through a combination of theory and experiments. Screw-character prismatic (Pr) dislocations in Ti are of particular interest because their complex cores can be stable or unstable, leading to activation by either cross-slip or planar glide. To investigate these mechanisms, site-specific micro tensile samples were prepared using focused ion beam (FIB) milling and mounted on a push-to-pull (PTP) device for in-situ transmission electron microscopy (TEM) tensile testing. The in-situ experiments provide direct observations of the onset of dislocation motion and the precise determination of the critical resolved shear stress (CRSS) for the activated mechanisms, and its evolution with load cycling. A comprehensive theory has been developed to predict the CRSS values for easy glide, cross-slip, and multiplication of dislocations. Predicted critical stresses for pyramidal (π)-to-Pr and reverse cross-slip agree closely with the experimental measurements. The latter cross-slip stress is a factor of two higher than that of unobstructed planar slip. The model accounts for overlapping dislocation cores and employs a Wigner-Seitz based cell to evaluate misfit energies. By combining ab initio density functional theory (DFT) with anisotropic elasticity, the framework identifies minimum energy pathways for dislocation glide, which can be intermittent and zig-zag. A simplified expression utilizing (π) and Pr Schmid factor ratios is proposed for critical stress corresponding to (π)-to-Pr cross-slip transition. The results are strongly dependent on crystal orientation, underscoring non-Schmid behavior. Overall, this study explores key critical stress parameters essential for informing higher-scale simulations of plasticity in Ti.

Critical stress↗

Efficient mapping between void shapes and stress fields using Deep Convolutional Neural Networks with sparse data

Establishing fast and accurate structure-to-property relationships is an important component in the design and discovery of advanced materials. Physics-based simulation models like the finite element method (FEM) are often used to predict deformation, stress, and strain fields as a function of material microstructure in material and structural systems. Such models may be computationally expensive and time intensive if the underlying physics of the system is complex. This limits their application to solve inverse design problems and identify structures that maximize performance. In such scenarios, surrogate models are employed to make the forward mapping computationally efficient to evaluate. However, the high dimensionality of the input microstructure and the output field of interest often renders such surrogate models inefficient, especially when dealing with sparse data. Deep convolutional neural network (CNN) based surrogate models have shown great promise in handling such high-dimensional problems. In this paper, a single ellipsoidal void structure under a uniaxial tensile load represented by a linear elastic, high-dimensional and expensive-to-query, FEM model. We consider two deep CNN architectures, a modified convolutional autoencoder framework with a fully connected bottleneck and a UNet CNN, and compare their accuracy in predicting the von Mises stress field for any given input void shape in the FEM model. Additionally, a sensitivity analysis study is performed using the two approaches, where the variation in the prediction accuracy on unseen test data is studied through numerical experiments by varying the number of training samples from 20 to 100.

surrogate modeling; convolutional neural networks;↗

ParFlow Sand Tank: A tool for groundwater exploration

The ParFlow Sand Tank model is an open source application designed to allow users to interactively simulate and visualize groundwater movement through the subsurface. The app is designed for both research and education; teaching hydrogeology concepts and making it easy explore and run sophisticated groundwater simulations. Our goal is to support increased accessibility and usability of research grade hydrology tools for research and teaching. The Sand Tank application simulates groundwater and surface water fluxes as well as contaminant transport in real time using the integrated physical hydrology model ParFlow (Kollet & Maxwell, 2006; Maxwell & Miller, 2005; Osei-Kuffuor et al., 2014) and the particle tracking code EcoSlim (Maxwell et al., 2019). ParFlow is a numerical hydrology model that simulates spatially distributed groundwater and surface water flow. It is a well established research tool with more than 90 publications documenting its development use to advance our understanding of groundwater dynamics and groundwater surface water interactions from the hillslope to the continental scale e.g. (Condon et al., 2020; Condon & Maxwell, 2019; Maxwell & Condon, 2016). It is designed for efficient parallel computation and has been run on many platforms spanning from laptops to supercomputers. However, one of the challenges of ParFlow is that it requires significant training and hydrologic expertise to develop simulations. The Sand Tank application makes this model accessible to anyone for education and exploration. Our application uses ParFlow for its simulation backend and ParaView for the data loading and processing. The communication infrastructure relies on the ParaViewWeb framework. We use model templates deployed in Docker images to setup the Sand Tank framework. Users can build the application locally or interact with it through our web deployment. When interacting with a template users can interactively change model parameters like subsurface processes or pump/inject water into the subsurface and watch the system respond to their changes in real time as the simulation runs. Additionally, our template setup will allow more advanced users to build custom templates of increasing complexity for both research and educational purposes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Micrometer: Micromechanics transformer for predicting full field mechanical responses of heterogeneous materials

Predicting mechanical responses of heterogeneous materials across scales remains a significant challenge. Traditional computational methods often struggle with complex and multiscale nature of these materials, limiting their effectiveness in real-world applications. Here, in this paper, we introduce Micrometer, a vision transformer based deep learning model designed to predict full field mechanical responses of heterogeneous materials, bridging the gap between computer vision and solid mechanics problems. We show that Micrometer, trained on a large-scale high-resolution dataset of 2D fiber-reinforced composites, can achieve state-of-the-art performance in predicting microscale strain fields across a wide range of material properties and loading conditions. Our model demonstrates accuracy and computational efficiency in applications such as computational homogenization and multiscale modeling, reducing computational time by up to two orders of magnitude compared to conventional numerical solvers while maintaining less than 1 % errors in predicting macroscale stress fields. Furthermore, we showcase Micrometer’s adaptability through transfer learning experiments on new materials with limited data, highlighting its potential to tackle diverse scenarios in computational solid mechanics. These results represent a significant step towards AI-driven innovation in materials science, addressing the limitations of traditional numerical methods and paving the way for more efficient simulations of heterogeneous materials across various industrial applications.

Composite materials↗

Column separation of tetravalent cerium fission products from trivalent rare earth radio-isotopes

Rapid and efficient isolation of individual rare earth element (REE) radioisotopes from complex mixtures is necessary to support the fields of nuclear forensics, medical isotope production and nuclear physics measurements. The separations must be robust and generate sufficiently high purity samples for subsequent radiological analysis. Current methodologies utilize a laborious two step Ce(IV)-iodate precipitation followed by Ce(IV)-nitrate di-(2-ethylhexyl)phosphoric acid/n-heptane extraction. This work reports an alternative method to isolate Ce fission product isotopes equilibrated with milligrams of cold carrier, from the remaining REE’s using a Ce(IV)/LN-resin (Eichrom Technologies) based separation. Optimization of Ce(IV) loading, REE(III) elution volume and subsequent Ce(III) stripping step utilized 166m Ho tracer. Mixed fission product experiments provided a further test of this LN-resin method, with analysis of purified 141/144 Ce, 147 Nd and 91 Y. Overall, while decontamination factors were lower for the LN-resin method, (vs. the combined precipitation/extraction) the simplicity of the technique and the satisfactory fission product analysis results point to the efficacy of this method.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Investigating the Impacts of Direct Dissolution Conditions on the Radiolytic Longevity of Butyramide Extractants

Removing the nitric acid (HNO3) dissolution step in used nuclear fuel (UNF) reprocessing would reduce the volume of radioactive waste streams generated, thereby, improving process efficiency. A promising strategy for this is the direct dissolution of UNF that has been pretreated by voloxidation into an organic solvent composed of specialized extractants and diluent. However, removal of the aqueous HNO3 phase from the envisioned reprocessing system has the potential to drastically change the suite of radiation-induced processes occurring, and thus, alter the longevity of proposed reagents. Furthermore, the impacts of fission product and transuranic metal ion complexation on the aforementioned radiation-induced processes is poorly understood, and yet can cause significant changes in radiolytic longevity. To bridge these knowledge gaps and support the continued development of direct dissolution strategies, we present an investigation into the impacts of direct dissolution conditions on the gamma radiation-induced degradation of N,N-di-(2-ethylhexyl) butyramide (DEHBA) and N,N-di-(2-ethylhexyl)isobutyramide (DEHiBA) ligands—candidate replacements for tributyl phosphate—in pre-equilibrated n-dodecane solvent in the presence and absence of envisioned loading amounts of uranium.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Investigating the impacts of used nuclear fuel direct dissolution on the radiolytic longevity of solvent and butyramide extractants

Removing the nitric acid (HNO3) dissolution step in used nuclear fuel (UNF) reprocessing would reduce the volume of radioactive waste streams generated, thereby, improving process efficiency. A promising strategy for this is the direct dissolution of UNF that has been pretreated by voloxidation into an organic solvent composed of specialized extractants and diluent. However, removal of the aqueous HNO3 phase from the envisioned reprocessing system has the potential to drastically change the suite of radiation-induced processes occurring, and thus, alter the longevity of proposed reagents. Furthermore, the impacts of fission product and transuranic metal ion complexation on the aforementioned radiation-induced processes is poorly understood, and yet can cause significant changes in radiolytic longevity. To bridge these knowledge gaps and support the continued development of direct dissolution strategies, we present an investigation into the impacts of direct dissolution conditions on the gamma radiation-induced degradation of N,N-di-(2-ethylhexyl) butyramide (DEHBA) and N,N-di-(2-ethylhexyl)isobutyramide (DEHiBA) ligands—candidate replacements for tributyl phosphate—in pre-equilibrated n-dodecane solvent in the presence and absence of envisioned loading amounts of uranium.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Probabilistic Voltage Sensitivity based Preemptive Voltage Monitoring in Unbalanced Distribution Networks

With increasing penetration of renewable energy and active consumers, control and management of power distribution networks has become challenging. Renewable energy sources can cause random voltage fluctuations as their output power depends on weather conditions. Conventional voltage control schemes such as tap changers and capacitor banks lack the foresight required to quickly alleviate voltage violations. Thus, there is an urgent need for effective approaches for predicting and mitigating voltage violations as a result of random fluctuations in power injections. This work proposes a novel voltage monitoring approach based on low-complexity, data-driven probabilistic voltage sensitivity analysis. The usefulness of this work is not only in predicting voltage violations in unbalanced distribution grids, but also in opening up the door for optimal voltage control. Using system data and forecasts, the proposed approach predicts the distribution of system node voltages which is then used to to identify nodes that may violate the nominal operational limits with high probability. The method is tested on the IEEE 37 node distribution system considering integrated distributed solar energy sources. The method is validated against the classic load flow based method and offers over 95% accuracy in predicting voltage violations.

Abujubbeh, Mohammad↗

Physics Guided Simulation of Electrostatic Discharge: Technical Report

Triboelectrically-charged objects may create threshold sparks, electrostatic discharge (ESD) events, to equilibrate charge between themselves and other relatively charged objects. ESD events exhibit many complex physical phenomena. They are a nexus of several fields of physics with disparate characteristic scales: plasma physics, chemical kinetics, hydrodynamics, circuit models, etc. These scales can span many orders of magnitude from the varied collisions thermalizing information within a plasma on the $\mathcal{O}(fs/ps)$ to the physical size of the plasma channel on the $\mathcal{O}(100µm)$, to the speed of a nonlinear hydrodynamic wave propagating at $\mathcal{O}(µm, ns)$. These threshold ESD events may occur in situations of programmatic importance, delivering energy and power profiles to a “victim load” generating deleterious consequences. To predict and mitigate these consequences we must answer questions about the spark’s energy budget: how much energy goes into producing the spark channel; how much gets radiated away; how much energy is advected away into the hydrodynamics; and how much energy is delivered to a victim load. An ESD simulation toolset has been created and evolved in order to answer these questions. An appropriate, physics guided implementation for simulation can be done by gaining insight into its constituent physics and leveraging that intuition to choose a suitable numerical operator. We examine in detail the chemical kinetics, circuit discharge, and hydrodynamics to deter mine dominant regimes, values, timescales, and interactions to uncover the underlying physical dynamics. We also examine and propose model reduction schemes for high-dimensional chemical kinetics. We use past and current work with experimentally validated and theoretically-verified hydrodynamics to calculate applicability limits of the non-ionizing strong shock limit. We quantify the energy budget from a hydrodynamic perspective and demonstrate that a significant fraction of the stored energy is “earmarked” for hydrodynamic advection as an energy terminus. Lastly, we combine the constituent physics of an ESD event (chemical kinetics, circuit model, and hydrodynamics) into a cohesive, actionable toolset and obtain promising results from an isothermal test case. We then propose a viable, modular evolution of the ESD toolset based upon the performed examination of the physics uncovering dominant physical scales and the stiffness of the compositional differential system.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Optimizing HVAC Operations in Multi-unit Buildings for Grid Demand Response

The thermal inertia of buildings, along with the flexibility associated with thermostatically controlled loads (TCL) allows heating ventilation and cooling (HVAC) systems to be used for grid demand response (DR). In this work, we consider an HVAC system that serves multiple units in a residential building to meet their space heating requirements. We aim to determine the optimal power flow to each unit that minimizes the power costs incurred by the building's occupants while keeping in consideration their thermal comfort. The DR program is assumed to allow the building temperatures to deviate from the set-points up to a maximum limit. Despite the complex, non-linear structure of the problem, we show how the optimal solutions can be obtained efficiently using quadratic programming. Since HVAC systems can run on either electricity or natural gas, we study the efficacy of the DR regime for both hourly electricity prices and flat gas prices over the course of 24 hours. Finally, we run simulations to determine the optimal thermal power and the evolution of unit temperatures for various energy pricing schemes.

Naqvi, Syed A.↗

Effect of LPBF Processing Parameters on Inconel 718 Lattice Structures: Geometrical Characteristics, Surface Morphology, and Mechanical Properties

Laser Powder Bed Fusion (LPBF) enables the additive manufacturing of complex lattice structures. However, the fabrication of lattice structures via LPBF poses challenges in achieving the intended geometrical accuracy due to their inherent complexity. This study investigates the effects of LPBF processing parameters, specifically laser power and scanning speed, on the geometrical characteristics, surface quality, and mechanical behavior of Inconel 718 lattices structures. The results reveal that processing parameters required for the fabrication of near-full dense structures do not translate effectively to lattice configurations, as variations in energy input influence lattice geometry and surface quality. In this work, strut thickness, open-pore size, open-cell porosity, and surface roughness were measured, and the mechanical properties of the lattices were evaluated under shear loading. The findings indicate that lower energy inputs, achieved by reducing laser power and increasing scanning speed, yield porous structures but lead to mechanical degradation. In contrast, high energy inputs lead to lattices with enhanced strength but result in undesirable open-pore blockage and dimensional inaccuracies. These findings provide insights into tailoring LPBF parameters for dimensional accuracy in lattices and correlating the processing parameters to mechanical performance and surface roughness.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Knowledge Oriented Graph Unified Transformer (KOGUT) v0.1

KOGUT — Knowledge Oriented Graph Unified Transformer KOGUT implements the Relational Graph Transformer (RelGT) architecture for knowledge graph link prediction in biological domains, with a primary focus on microbial growth media prediction. While the original RelGT (arXiv:2505.10960) targets relational tables, time series, and multi-table databases, KOGUT adapts this architecture for heterogeneous biological knowledge graphs, providing first-in-class AI predictive models for microbial cultivation. Key Adaptations Beyond Original RelGT: - Knowledge Graph Focus: Applied to biological KGs with semantic node types (taxa, chemicals, media, phenotypes, environments) versus generic relational database tables, trained on the KG-Microbe knowledge graph (1.3M entities, 2.9M edges, 24 relation types). - Multimodal Node Encoding: Integrates node labels, categories, descriptions, and synonyms from KG metadata through learned embedding layers—adapting relational column features to graph node attributes with textual semantics. - Extended K-Hop Subgraph Strategy: Optimized neighborhood sampling (3-hop default, configurable up to 200 nodes) tuned for sparse biological networks, building on the original local-global attention framework with biological relation preservation. - Biolink Predicate Preservation: Type-specific transformations for 24 biological edge semantics (occurs_in, consumes, produces, has_phenotype, subclass_of) beyond standard relational foreign keys, enabling multi-relation link prediction. - Inductive Learning Support: Enables zero-shot predictions for novel taxa through feature-based embeddings (temperature, oxygen requirements, gram stain, cell shape), extending the original transductive relational benchmark scope to uncultured microorganisms. CheapSOTA Performance Optimizations (This Distribution): - VQ-EMA Centroid Attention: Vector quantization with exponential moving average for improved global context modeling (+5-10% MRR improvement). - HDF5 Precomputed Data Loading: One-time preprocessing of k-hop subgraphs to eliminate redundant graph traversals (2-5× training speedup). - Distributed Data Parallel Training: Multi-GPU support for scaling to larger knowledge graphs (tested on 4× NVIDIA A100 GPUs at NERSC Perlmutter). - Mixed Precision Training: Automatic mixed precision (AMP) for memory efficiency and faster training. Advantages Over Standard Knowledge Graph Embedding Models: Combines RelGT's proven multi-element tokenization (features, type, hop, structure) with graph-native biological representations, enabling interpretable link prediction across heterogeneous entities that standard embedding models (TransE, RotatE, ComplEx) and table-based transformers cannot directly model. Achieves near-perfect performance on microbial growth media prediction (MRR: 0.9966, Precision@1: 0.9932, Hit@10: 1.0000) while maintaining explainability through attention-based reasoning over biological pathways. Training Data: - KG-Microbe merged knowledge graph: 1,379,337 nodes, 2,960,472 edges - 24 biological relation types including taxonomic hierarchies, metabolic interactions, phenotype associations, and environmental relationships - Primary prediction task: Growth media suitability for microbial taxa (biolink:occurs_in, 50K edges) - Multi-relation capability: Predicts links for any of the 24 relation types, including chemical consumption/production, phenotype associations, and taxonomic classification Citation: Original RelGT Architecture: Dwivedi et al., "Relational Graph Transformer", arXiv:2505.10960, 2025 KOGUT Implementation: Knowledge Oriented Graph Unified Transformer for Microbial Growth Media Prediction Developed at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) Trained on NERSC Perlmutter supercomputer

Joachimiak, Marcin [Lawrence Berkeley National Lab↗

Unveiling the origins of work-hardening enhancement and mechanical instability in laser shock peened titanium

Laser shock-peening (LSP) produces complex gradients in microstructures and residual stresses, which enables fabrication of metallic engineering components with superior mechanical properties. In this work, we use non-destructive and spatially resolved high-energy X-ray diffraction (HE-XRD) to investigate the influences of LSP on microstructure, surface topography, and residual stress for high purity titanium plates. LSP is found to produce large compressive in-plane residual stresses near the peened surface which monotonically decay to zero about 2.5 mm below the surface. These properties were also tracked during in-situ tensile loading, allowing stress partitioning and work-hardening rates to be measured as a function of depth. The surface region is found to have the highest work-hardening rate and remain mechanically stable up to sample failure. In addition, a crystal rigid rotation along a transversal axis of about 27 & nbsp; was observed at large applied strain near the surface region, which is attributed to the formation of denser dispersed shear bands. Furthermore, a sudden drop in tensile stress was observed at a depth of similar to 160 mu m from the LSP surface, indicating the formation of a localized mechanical instability zone (LMIZ). The origin of this LMIZ could be attributed to the increase in shear stress induced by a load transfer from LSP surface due to the formation of denser dispersed shear bands. These observations indicate a localized transition in deformation behavior has occurred from dispersed shear banding to LMIZ and homogeneous deformation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Hydroclimate-coupled framework for assessing power system resilience under summer drought and climate change

Extreme drought, exacerbated by climate change, increasingly threatens power system resilience, and a systematic assessment of such impacts is challenging due to the unpredictability of drought and their associated modeling complexity. Here, to address the challenge, this research develops a hydroclimate-coupled power system resilience assessment framework that enables systematic modeling of drought and climate change impacts on generation, transmission, and demand sectors. Applying the framework to the 2025 Eastern U.S. power grid — comprising 6,055 at-risk generators — under climate-induced summer drought scenarios (including SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585) from 2023 to 2100, the study finds that climate-induced droughts could jeopardize the power system’s reliability to a greater extent than historical events, potentially leading to widespread load shedding. More specifically, the study reveals that under the twenty-one representative drought scenarios, the loss of load expectation (LOLE) of the grid could range from 34.77 to 91.48 days per summer. The simulations indicate that implementing resilience enhancement strategies is crucial to ensure reliable system operation, which encompasses initiatives such as demand response, upgrading open cooling systems, and transmission expansion. In all, these findings underscore the urgent need for proactive planning and investment in resilient U.S. power systems to mitigate the impacts of extreme drought events.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗