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At least 739 records · Page 41

Design, Development and Testing Plan for Energy Efficiency Algorithms Related to Building-Integrated Cooling, Heating, and Power Systems

Building-integrated cooling, heating and power (CHP) systems are more efficient than conventional systems at providing local power and thermal energy, and favorable fuel prices are bound to spur their increased adoption. It is estimated that the total CHP technical potential in the commercial building sector is approximately 76 GW, but only a small fraction of it is actually deployed. Advanced control and monitoring systems that realize the full potential of these CHP systems can transform this capacity into an asset for both the owner and the grid and also accelerate the adoption of these systems in the building sector. However, to realize the full benefit of the CHP systems, we must ensure persistence of energy efficient operations. It has been demonstrated by several studies that as much as 30% of building energy use is wasted. Much of the waste results from the inability to anticipate load variations (design day vs. non-design day operations; diurnal variation of loads), identify improper operation, and efficiently operate, control and maintain building systems. Moreover, many buildings, even those with adequate control infrastructure, lack knowledgeable staff to operate and maintain energy systems. Operators of buildings with CHP systems will constantly need to make tradeoffs (economic dispatch) between onsite power generation and purchasing power, between onsite heat production from distributed generation versus heating/cooling from conventional systems, and different passive and active load management measures. Much of the inefficiency in the current building operations can be eliminated by use of automated performance monitoring (PM), real-time commissioning verification (CxV) and automated fault detection and diagnostic (AFDD) tools. Automation can help system operators make intelligent decisions. Remote and continuous monitoring of system conditions and performance will enable better management and integration of CHP with existing building systems. Continuous PM, real-time CxV and AFDD could alleviate burdens for operations staff, enhance operations and maintenance (O&M), and improve reliability of building and CHP systems. To address the O&M challenges and to provide a means to maximize the rate-of-return of building-integrated CHP systems, the Building Technologies Office (BTO) within the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) initiated a project to design, develop, and field test a VOLTTRON™-based supervisory controller and associated open-source algorithms. These algorithms will ensure real-time optimal operation of a building-integrated CHP system, support electric grid reliability, and lead to achieving the goal of a clean, efficient, reliable and affordable next-generation integrated energy systems. This report lists the components for which PM, real-time CxV and AFDD algorithms will be developed, how the algorithms will be tested, and metrics that will be used to validate the algorithms and easy of deployment. Deployment of these algorithms in the field will result in savings reduction in energy consumption of between 10% and 20%.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Unraveling the Stable Cathode Electrolyte Interface in all Solid‐State Thin‐Film Battery Operating at 5 V

Abstract Spinel‐type LiNi 0.5 Mn 1.5 O 4 (LNMO) is one of the most promising 5 V‐class cathode materials for Li‐ion batteries that can achieve high energy density and low production costs. However, in liquid electrolyte cells, the high voltage causes continuous cell degradation through the oxidative decomposition of carbonate‐based liquid electrolytes. In contrast, some solid‐state electrolytes have a wide electrochemical stability range and can withstand the required oxidative potential. In this work, a thin‐film battery consisting of an LNMO cathode with a solid lithium phosphorus oxynitride (LiPON) electrolyte is tested and their interface before and after cycling is characterized. With Li metal as the anode, this system can deliver stable performance for 600 cycles with an average Coulombic efficiency >99%. Neutron depth profiling indicates a slight overlithiated layer at the interface prior to cycling, a result that is consistent with the excess charge capacity measured during the first cycle. Cryogenic electron microscopy further reveals intimate contact between LNMO and LiPON without noticeable structure and chemical composition evolution after extended cycling, demonstrating the superior stability of LiPON against a high voltage cathode. Consequently, design guidelines are proposed for interface engineering that can accelerate the commercialization of a high voltage cell with solid or liquid electrolytes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Copper and bismuth-based sorbent characterization in simulated iodine off-gas streams

The effective capture of volatile radioiodine, a fission product present in used nuclear fuel (UNF), is of paramount importance for development of used fuel reprocessing schemes to prevent release of radioiodine during unit operations and to meet regulatory standards for air emissions. A well-studied method for iodine capture in off-gas streams is the use of silver-functionalized zeolite phases (AgZ), which exploit chemisorption of I to Ag. Advances into other Ag-functionalized materials, including aerogels and metal organic frameworks (MOFs), are underway [1]. Additional metals with the capability to chemisorb iodine, including Cu, Bi, and Sn, [1] are being evaluated as alternatives to Ag for potential applicability to iodine management in off-gas systems. The design of novel functionalized sorbents with Cu and Bi, including composites with metal particles embedded in PAN substrates [2] and composites with metal sulfides embedded in PAN [3], is an ongoing area of study for improved iodine capture. Previously reported work on novel PAN-based metal sorbents has provided the synthesis, characterization, and iodine capture efficiency of this new class of sorbent. Specifically, the metal sulfide PAN composites are found to be easy to produce and reproduce, as well as having a high iodine loading potential under static conditions [3]. Due to the favorable testing previously performed with metal sulfide PAN composites, further testing into the performance of these composites under gas streams containing I2(g) in combination with NO2(g) and H2O(g) is needed. Humid streams of NO2(g) may arise from dissolver off-gas streams, when used fuel is dissolved in HNO3(aq) [4]. NO2(g) has been found to reduce AgZ sorption capacity for I because of oxidation of Ag, the chemisorbing agent, to Ag2O [5]. It follows that performance evaluation of novel sorbents under highly oxidizing conditions such as NO2(g) streams is critical. Therefore, the objective of this study is to determine the effect of flowing NO2(g) and H2O(g) streams on iodine sorption capacity and sorbent performance. This work utilizes custom-built gas handling capabilities for sorbent exposure along with solid-state characterization techniques to assess the physical and chemical properties of sorbents before and after exposure.

copper, bismuth, iodine capture, iodine sorbent, p↗

Joint Work Plan for DPC Filler Testing

The US generates approximately 2,000 Metric Tons of Heavy Metal (MTHM) of commercial spent fuel (SNF) each year and currently stores ~ 85,000 MTHM of commercial SNF at 70+ reactor sites, the disposal of which is the responsibility of the US Department of Energy (DOE). SNF is initially stored in spent nuclear fueld pools (SFPs). SFPs were initially constructed by US utilities for temporary fuel storage, but with no final disposal pathway available, SFPs are reaching capacity. To allow continued operation of the nation's commercial nuclear reactor fleet, utilities started transferring SNF from SFPs (wet storage) to dry cask storage systems, typically using dual-purpose (storage and transportation) canisters (DPCs). And while DPCs were designed, licensed and loaded to meet Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) requirements that preclude the possibility of a critical event during SNF storage and transport, they were not designed or loaded to preclude the possibility of a criticality event during the regulated post-closure period following disposal, which could be up to 1,000,000 years (Price, 2019). DPC filler option criteria are detailed and materials that exhibit these attributes are explored. This document is an update of the SNL Joint Workplan on Filler Investigations for DPCs.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Ionic/electronic conductivity regulation of n-type polyoxadiazole lithium sulfonate conductive polymer binders for high-performance silicon microparticle anodes

Low-cost silicon microparticles (SiMP), as a substitute for nanostructured silicon, easily suffer from cracks and fractured during the electrochemical cycle. A novel n-type conductive polymer binder with excellent electronic and ionic conductivities as well as good adhesion, has been successfully designed and applied for high-performance SiMP anodes in lithium-ion batteries to address this problem. Its unique features are attributed to the strong electron-withdrawing oxadiazole ring structure with sulfonate polar groups. The combination of rigid and flexible components in the polymer ensures its good mechanical strength and ductility, which is beneficial to suppress the expansion and contraction of SiMP s during the charge/discharge process. By fine-tuning the monomer ratio, the conjugation and sulfonation degrees of the polymer can be precisely controlled to regulate its ionic and electronic conductivities, which has been systematically analyzed with the help of an electrochemical test method, filling in the gap on the conductivity measurement of the polymer in the doping state. The experimental results indicate that the cell with the developed n-type polymer binder and SiMP (~0.5 μm) anodes achieves much better cycling performance than traditional non-conductive binders. It has been considered that the initial capacity of the SiMP anode is controlled by the synergetic effect of ionic and electronic conductivity of the binder, and the capacity retention mainly depends on its electronic conductivity when the ionic conductivity is sufficient. Here, it is worth noting that the fundamental research of this work is also applicable to other battery systems using conductive polymers in order to achieve high energy density, broadening their practical applications.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Photo-oxidation of semicrystalline polymers: Effect of stress triaxiality on ductility

The effect of stress triaxiality on the strain-to-fracture of as-received and photo-oxidized polyamide-6 (PA-6) was investigated using mechanical testing, synchrotron X-ray tomography, and finite element analyses. Mechanical tests were conducted on cylindrical and round notched specimens, where different notch radii were used to vary the stress triaxiality. The specimens were aged by exposure to ultra-violet (UV) radiation at 60∘, causing photo-oxidation. As-received and so-aged specimens were loaded to failure (complete loss of load carrying capacity). For both unaged and aged specimens, a higher triaxiality led to a lower strain-to-fracture. To elucidate the micromechanical damage that mediates fracture in both conditions, specimens with an intermediate notch sharpness were loaded to the peak load, unloaded, and scanned ex situ using synchrotron X-ray tomography. Damage in the unaged bar was found to occur by cavitation and was concentrated at the center of the specimen, where the triaxiality is highest. In the UV-aged bar, a network of inter-connected chemical cracks were found on the notch surface, where the triaxiality is lowest. Finite element analyses were deployed to approximate the local triaxiality at damaged regions in the unaged and UV-aged specimens using a constitutive relation for semicrystalline polymers. From these analyses, the relationship between local triaxiality and strain-to-fracture was quantified for both unaged and photo-oxidized PA-6. Both unaged and photo-oxidized PA-6 showed similar decreases in ductility with triaxiality, hinting at common ductile fracture processes.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Case Study: NREL Campus Chilled Water Storage Potential: Benchmark Datasets Development and Applications, Task 4 - Use Case Demonstration

The Benchmark Datasets Development and Applications project is a three-year collaboration between the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. The project seeks to collect and curate high-resolution, well-calibrated time series of building operational and indoor/outdoor environmental data, which are crucial to understanding and optimizing building energy efficiency performance and demand flexibility capabilities as well as benchmarking energy algorithms. Project outcomes include approximately twelve high-fidelity building datasets, enhanced data representation tools, and four case studies to illustrate example applications. The goal of these case studies is to define and execute analyses that demonstrate how one or more datasets collected through this project can address a data gap or challenge historically faced by building stakeholders. This technical paper summarizes the findings of one of these case studies, in which we studied the operational efficiencies of the central cooling system at NREL. We looked at three years of data from the three chillers in the Field Test Laboratory Building (FTLB), from 2019 to 2021, to compare equipment operation and demand throughout the time period. Our analysis indicates that all three chillers are operating at or below the optimal loading conditions for most of the operation time, and thus there was no efficiency drop due to loading of the chillers at full capacity. Our recommendation is that no chiller capacity increase is needed; instead, the central plant could benefit from adopting advanced control logics for optimal sequencing of chillers during part load operations. Analysis of adding chilled water thermal storage to the central plant indicated 34% savings in demand cost and 24.5% savings in total cost (energy consumption and demand charge cost). The payback period is estimated to be 11-22 years with an assumed TES cost of $\$$100-$200 per ton. This case study shows how a selected dataset is used to solve a practical building problem - learning the operational status of its components, analyzing the effectiveness of a proposed new technique, and aiding decision-making for the building operations and maintenance team.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Large-scale Hydrogen Storage – Risk Assessment Seattle City Light and Port of Seattle [Abstract]

This CRADA presents the strategy that Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) and Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) will take to support Seattle City Light (SCL), and the Port of Seattle (Port) in performing a risk assessment of large-scale hydrogen storage. Risk assessment is often used to ensure that adequate measures are taken to protect workers and the public, the environment, infrastructure, and assets. A detailed risk assessment can also be used to direct funding and upgrades, to specific components and sub-systems in order to mitigate risks to the larger system. In this way risk assessments are often employed as a part of a larger risk management strategy, with the goal of minimizing the occurrence of hazards and to identify means to limit their consequences. Risk assessment is often used to engage and inform regulators, and to communicate how specific regulations are being met. However, it is important to note that the proposed work is not intended for SCL and the Port to use in order to gain regulatory acceptance for their proposed activities. The work performed as a part of this effort will be a preliminary risk assessment for early-stage component and system designs and should be considered research and development (R&D). As such, the proposed work will be performed to a quality level and design maturity consistent with R&D and is not considered appropriate for final safety analysis and regulatory compliance purposes. Previous and on-going work at SCL and the Port demonstrated the utility of deploying hydrogen systems at the Port. The deployment of hydrogen at the Port is a part of a larger vision of using hydrogen to address a range of issues for SCL and the Port. These include large-scale fueling of MD/HD vehicles, cargo-handling equipment (CHE), and harbor vessels to reduce emissions; support of adjacent LD vehicles; support of critical port operations during extreme events (i.e., resiliency); deferral of more capital- and time-intensive electrical distribution system upgrades while still supporting evolving port operations and decarbonization efforts; facilitating electrification by establishing energy storage as a grid resource, starting at strategic port locations; creation of a flexible market resource that can be used by SCL to generate revenue via arbitrage; support of planned future maritime operations that involve heavy use of hydrogen for ocean-going vessels; and future end-use applications involving natural gas pipeline hydrogen injection. Ultimately, the success of these activities is underpinned by the deployed storage capacity. Large-scale deployment of hydrogen systems will require hydrogen storage at a scale that has not been demonstrated. In addition, the ideal location for such multi-use systems is near the end user which will often necessitate deploying into urban and/or industrial areas. A detailed risk assessment using the Port as a test case is necessary to ensure the deployment of large-scale hydrogen is successful. Many technologies have been proposed for hydrogen storage; however, these technologies need to be analyzed as they apply to an actual site. The physical infrastructure and hydrogen use cases for the Port will be analyzed, and a risk assessment for compressed hydrogen, liquified hydrogen, and Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carrier (LOHC) storage will be performed. These risk assessments will be useful for understanding how each of these technologies would perform in terms of facility and public safety. The operating states of the proposed hydrogen systems at the Port will be analyzed and incorporated into the storage risk assessment. Scalability will also be analyzed to understand how future port uses would affect the overall risk assessment. Finally, using the risk assessment as a tool to inform engagement and to gain stakeholder acceptance will be explored.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Differential Scanning Calorimetry Calibration and Heat Capacity

The differential scanning calorimeter (DSC) 404 F3 is a machine that heats up to 1500 degrees Celsius, and collects/evaluates thermal properties such as heat capacity, crystallization, glass transition, and more. The first part of the project is based around calibrating the DSC 404 F3 using the given procedures and manuals. This ensures that the DSC 404 F3 is working properly and does not have any issues moving forward. After the calibration is complete, the second part is to start testing. There will be tests conducted on known metals, such as steel and aluminum, in which there is data to compare it to. If the data collected is not accurate compared to its known values, further troubleshooting will need to ensue to ensure that the following process does not give wrong readings. Then, testing will begin for High Entropy Alloys(HEA) and the interesting issue with these is that there is no data to compare these to. The goal of finding the values of the HEA is to find a compatible alloy that we can use in future projects.

Szczech, Sebastian↗

Abstract for CRADA between NETL and the AZ Board of Regents on behalf of Arizona State University

Arizona State University (ASU) and the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL) will collaborate on the development and scale up of sorbent composites that efficiently capture carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) directly from air under an awarded project from the Department of Energy’s Direct Air Capture (DAC) Pre-Commercialization Technology Prize. For DAC to be considered a viable technology for decarbonization, the cost of carbon removal needs to decrease below the proposed carbon tax incentive outlined in the recent Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) (Section 45 Q), which is set at $\$$180 per ton of CO 2 . Achieving this goal requires the development of a cost-effective, environmentally friendly sorbent with high CO 2 sorption capacity and efficient kinetics under DAC conditions as the overall cost of CO 2 captured is highly sensitive to factors such as sorbent cost and sorbent lifetime. ASU has developed a sorbent technology that can potentially reduce CO 2 removal costs by DAC. NETL has expertise in DAC TEA and LCA development and DAC sorbent testing. The collaboration between ASU and NETL aims to accelerate development and deployment of ASU’s technology by quantifying the performance, cost and lifecycle impacts of ASU’s technology and validating sorbent performance.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Is Genetic Engineering a Route to Enhance Microalgae-Mediated Bioremediation of Heavy Metal-Containing Effluents?

Contamination of the biosphere by heavy metals has been rising, due to accelerated anthropogenic activities, and is nowadays, a matter of serious global concern. Removal of such inorganic pollutants from aquatic environments via biological processes has earned great popularity, for its cost-effectiveness and high efficiency, compared to conventional physicochemical methods. Among candidate organisms, microalgae offer several competitive advantages; phycoremediation has even been claimed as the next generation of wastewater treatment technologies. Furthermore, integration of microalgae-mediated wastewater treatment and bioenergy production adds favorably to the economic feasibility of the former process—with energy security coming along with environmental sustainability. However, poor biomass productivity under abiotic stress conditions has hindered the large-scale deployment of microalgae. Recent advances encompassing molecular tools for genome editing, together with the advent of multiomics technologies and computational approaches, have permitted the design of tailor-made microalgal cell factories, which encompass multiple beneficial traits, while circumventing those associated with the bioaccumulation of unfavorable chemicals. Previous studies unfolded several routes through which genetic engineering-mediated improvements appear feasible (encompassing sequestration/uptake capacity and specificity for heavy metals); they can be categorized as metal transportation, chelation, or biotransformation, with regulation of metal- and oxidative stress response, as well as cell surface engineering playing a crucial role therein. This review covers the state-of-the-art metal stress mitigation mechanisms prevalent in microalgae, and discusses putative and tested metabolic engineering approaches, aimed at further improvement of those biological processes. Finally, current research gaps and future prospects arising from use of transgenic microalgae for heavy metal phycoremediation are reviewed.

Ranjbar, Saeed (ORCID:0000000256518605)↗

Network-Scale Ubiquitous Volume Estimation Using Tree-Based Ensemble Learning Methods

Currently ubiquitous volume data for roadway networks remains the key missing dimension in traffic operations. Most volume data are average annual daily traffic (AADT) measures derived from the Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS). Although methods to factor the AADT to hourly averages for typical day of week exist, actual volume data is limited to a sparse collection of locations in which volumes are continuously recorded. This paper/poster explores the use of state-of-art machine learning techniques to estimate accurate volume measures that span the highway network providing ubiquitous coverage in space, and point-in-time measures for a specific date and time. Three tree-based ensemble learning models, random forest (RF), gradient boost machine (GBM), and extreme gradient boost (XGBoost), were tested for volume estimation by learning from combined dataset of commercial probe data provided by TomTom, the FHWA's Travel Monitoring Analysis System (TMAS) data, and other infrastructure attributes such as number of lanes, speed limit, and weather. The methods were tested on major corridors and freeways in the metropolitan area of Denver. All three machine learning methods were able to provide hourly volume estimates 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, and 365 days a year with around 18% mean absolute error to true volume and about 5% of error with respect to roadway capacity. The low error measures allow the potential application by transportation agencies.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Innovating the next generation of commercial smart building software

Nearly 30% of commercial building energy use is wasted due to equipment faults and HVAC controls problems. The result is increased emissions, compromised comfort and productivity, and less reliable coordination of building power needs with a clean grid. The energy impact alone represents $17 billion in potential savings. Today’s smart building software provides a robust solution to address these operational deficiencies. Energy management and information systems (EMIS) are saving up to 9% on average, with two-year paybacks. They are being incorporated into energy management processes, commissioning services, and utility programs. As effective as they are, two barriers prevent even deeper benefits; limited personnel to fix problems once they are identified, and the expense and time to manually implement changes in control systems. In partnership with the research community, the EMIS industry is developing new capabilities to overcome these barriers. Moving beyond siloed products for either fault detection and diagnostics, or optimal control, these new capabilities empower users to not only automatically identify faults, but also to push corrective action, and control improvements to their buildings. In this paper, several areas for enhancements are documented: ‘one-time’ correction of faults such as setpoints, schedules, and economizer lockouts; short-term active testing for automated proportional integral derivative (PID) loop tuning and functional testing; and continuous supervisory control for demand flexibility and year-round efficiency. Results are presented from a pair of partner implementations out of a dozen providers integrating these enhancements into their products, including field tests from across the country, and insights into operator acceptance and integration into operations and maintenance practices.

Casillas, Armando↗

Investigation of Stochastic Unit Commitment to Enable Advanced Flexibility Measures for High Shares of Solar PV

As the share of solar photovoltaics (PV) in the power system increases, there is a growing need for flexibility from multiple, possibly interdependent sources to adjust to PV's variability, uncertainty, and diurnal dependence. This paper investigates how stochastic unit commitment leveraging probabilistic solar forecasts can support other flexibility measures under high solar shares. We consider two flexibility measures relevant to day-ahead scheduling: battery energy time-shifting and solar ancillary service provision. Unit commitment and economic dispatch simulations are conducted on a realistic test system based on Texas using day-ahead solar trajectories. The benefits of the two flexibility measures are pronounced when the instantaneous solar share is high, offering cost savings of 10%-20% in the spring. For a Texas-sized system, this translates to hundreds of millions of dollars in cost savings once the installed PV capacity enables instantaneous solar shares regularly exceeding 40%. Using probabilistic forecasts also greatly increases the reliability of upward reserve provision from solar PV, reducing unserved reserves by 50%-100%. Both day-ahead forecast resolution and errors can impact system reliability at high solar shares, but the stochastic formulation has significant value, mitigating reliability impacts on over-forecast days.

ancillary services↗

Exploring viral particle, soil, and extraction buffer physicochemical characteristics and their impacts on extractable viral communities

Viruses are expected to be pivotal members of soil ecosystems, and recent advances in viral size fraction metagenomic (viromic) approaches have improved our ability to interrogate soil viral ecology. However, viromics relies on extraction buffers to effectively desorb viral particles from the soil matrix for downstream analysis, and viral extraction efficiency could be affected by the interplay between viral particles, soils, and extraction buffer chemistry. Here, we investigated whether extraction buffer chemistry affected extractable viral community composition measured by viromics from different soil types, for both biological (samples collected 1 m apart) and technical (subsamples from the same soil homogenate) replicates. We investigated pH manipulation of protein-supplemented phosphate-buffered saline buffer (PPBS, pHs 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5) on forest, grassland and wetland soils that exhibited different soil edaphic properties, and we tested different buffer chemistries (PPBS, Carbonated Buffer, Glycine, and Saline Magnesium) on just the wetland soil. Spatial distance (i.e., biological replicate) was the primary driver of extractable viral community composition across all buffers and soils tested. Differences in viral community composition according to extraction buffer properties were only observed in the grassland technical replicates at PPBS buffer pH 4.5, and in both the wetland technical and biological replicates treated with different buffer chemistries, but the effects of buffer chemistry were secondary to spatial distance in the biological replicates. The lack of buffering capacity in the grassland soil technical replicates likely increased sorption of viral particles at pH 4.5, but neither protein composition nor isoelectric point explained this phenomenon. In conclusion, given that most soil viral ecological studies to date include sample collection over distances much farther apart than the 1-m distances considered here, results suggest that extraction buffer chemistry is likely of much lower importance than ecological considerations, such as spatial distance, in the design of future soil viral ecological investigations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Comparing Regional Energy Consumption for Direct Drone and Truck Deliveries

Drone delivery, once thought of as fictitious, is becoming a reality with the efforts of both forward-looking enterprises and supportive government policies. This emerging mode of e-commerce delivery raises many concerns. One important concern is the energy efficiency of direct delivery drones compared with conventional delivery trucks at a regional systems level. Here, in this study, we develop and apply methods to quantify the regional energy impacts of drone delivery, then we assess these impacts and compare them with the impacts of truck delivery. To study this problem, we develop an optimization model that determines an optimal set of fulfillment centers (FCs) with variable service capacities that allow drones to make direct e-commerce deliveries. We adopt two drone delivery energy estimation models from the literature and use them as inputs to demonstrate the potential range of energy needs. We also develop another optimization model to account for the energy consumption of diesel trucks (DTs) and battery electric vehicles (BEVs). We test the models using validated simulation data for the Chicago metropolitan area in the U.S. to quantify the energy implications of these three delivery modes. For drone delivery, we further extend our analyses by considering the impact of wind speed and flight patterns. Our results show that direct delivery drones require 15.8% more energy than BEVs on an average windy day, and they need 15% more energy than DTs on a very windy day. We provide essential parameter values for reproducibility and list relevant open problems.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Uncertainty quantification for equations of state: copper as an example

Equations of state are essential for providing a fundamental description of materials properties in thermodynamic equilibrium and are used to provide closure relations for hydrodynamics simulations. Generally, equations of state rely on simple physics-based parameterized materials models to inform on the free energy of a material through out a given thermodynamic state space. Historically the parameters of these models have been tuned by hand to fit various experimental data. However, modern optimization and uncertainty quantification techniques allow us to quickly test thousands of parameter combinations and obtain meaningful uncertainty estimates on the parameters, opening opportunities for assessing systematic uncertainties in experiments, assessing model adequacy, and more. In this report, we use Bayesian inference to fit the solid (fcc) equation of state of copper. We focus on fitting five different experimental datasets, including the isobaric density, isobaric heat capacity, room temperature isotherm, principal isentrope, and principal Hugoniot. We fit all five data types simultaneously, and then explore the extent to which combinations of 2 subsets of the 5 datasets can constrain the EOS parameters, as compared to the fit to all 5. This information is useful for investigating the extent to which different datasets can con strain EOS models and thereby help guide experimental investigations in order to best constrain the EOS. We also discuss ways that the methodologies can be used to investigate systematic discrepancies between experiments, as well as how the methods can be used to assess model uncertainty. The framework we develop is general, in that it can be used with a variety of optimization or uncertainty quantification techniques and with a variety of data sources, including both experimental and ab-inito data.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗