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At least 739 records · Page 41

Safety and effectiveness of a non-electric infant warmer for hypothermia in Rwanda: A cluster-randomized stepped-wedge trial

Background: Neonatal hypothermia is a common source of morbidity and mortality in low resource settings. We developed the Dream Warmer, a low cost, re-usable non-electric infant warmer to prevent and treat hypothermia. Methods: We conducted a cluster-randomized stepped-wedge trial. The primary aim was to assess the effect on overall euthermia rates of introducing the warmer compared to standard of care in rural Rwandan hospitals. The secondary aims were to assess effects of warmer introduction on mortality, as well as the safety and feasibility of the warmer. Ten district hospitals participated in the study from November 19th 2019 to July 15th 2020. Patients were eligible to use the warmer if they were 1) hypothermic (temp < 36·5 °C) or 2) or at risk of hypothermia (weight < 2·5 kg or estimated post menstrual age < 35 weeks) when Kangaroo Mother Care was not available. An encounter was defined as the data from an individual infant on a single day. Trial of a Non Electric Infant Warmer for Prevention and Treatment of Hypothermia in Rwanda [NCT03890211]. Findings: Over the study period, 3179 patients were enrolled across the ten neonatal wards, yielding 12,748 encounters; 464 unique infants used the warmer 892 times, 79% eligible due to hypothermia. Because of limited study nurse resources, the warmer was used in only 18% of eligible encounters. Despite this low rate of warmer use, the rate of euthermia rose from 51% (95% CI 50–52%) of encounters pre-intervention to 67% (66–68%) post-intervention; p < 0·0001. Among the encounters in which the warmer was used, only 11% (9–13%) remained hypothermic. While mortality rates pre- and post-intervention did not change, mortality rate among those who used the warmer was significantly lower than among those who did not (0·9% vs 2·8%, p = 0·01). Use of the warmer did not affect hyperthermia rates. There were no safety concerns or instances of incorrect warmer use. Interpretation: Introduction of the warmer increased rates of euthermia with no associated safety concerns.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Opportunities for installed combined heat and power (CHP) to increase grid flexibility in the U.S.

Increasing use of renewable energy requires sufficient grid flexibility to address uncertainty and variability in electricity generation. Previous studies suggest that combined heat and power (CHP) systems may support grid flexibility but they do not consider operating hours. In this paper, we used CHP operating data and determined annual and monthly availability of the installed CHP capacity from various sectors (e.g., utility, independent power producer, commercial, and industrial) in all seven U.S. independent system operators (ISOs) and regional transmission organizations (RTOs). Also, we estimated hourly CHP availability installed in five facility types (i.e., hospitals, universities, hotels, offices, and manufacturing) in the state of New York. The results show that regardless of ISO/RTO, sector, or season, more than 40% of the installed CHP capacity (0.7–8.7 GW) was not fully utilized in 2019; the results are similar for 2018. This available CHP capacity accounted for up to 9% of the ISO/RTO's peak electric demand, which may yield cost savings up to $16 billion by avoiding installation costs of new natural gas combustion or combined-cycle turbines. To exploit the available CHP capacity to enhance grid flexibility, we recommend different policy implications including flexible contract lengths between CHP owners and grid operators, improved market designs, and simplified interconnection standards.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Computationally efficient models for aqueous organic redox flow batteries

The rising usage of intermittent energy has garnered the need for large scale energy storage systems. Redox flow batteries (RFB) based energy storage system shows promising potential. Numerical simulations and machine learning approaches have been widely used to study RFB performance. The development of autonomous material discovery framework and digital twin of energy storage system usually needs to query cell performance through fast response models. In this study, two computationally efficient models are introduced: a physics-based analytical flow battery model (EZBattery), and a machine learning operator model (Deep Operator Network, denoted by DeepONet). Both models can provide cell performance near instantly, and prediction accuracy was systematically examined on an application of evaluating the performances of a 780 cm 2 aqueous organic redox flow battery (AORFB), using potential anolyte candidates in dihydroxyphenazine (DHP)-based family of organic materials. A validated computationally expansive 3-dimensional multi-physics finite element model by COMSOL was used as the ground truth and provided the training data set for the DeepONet. 1280 samples were generated with 10 properties to mimic the different possible anolyte candidates, and the cell performances were evaluated under 10 different combined operating conditions. The accuracy comparisons for the two computationally efficient models show that both models can provide comparable accuracy in predicting cell charging/discharging voltage curves. DeepONet can provide slightly higher overall accuracy than EZBattery with faster calculation speed, but highly relies on the training dataset. EZBattery does not need a training dataset and can provide interpretable physics-based explanations of the results, while being more flexible to adjust to adapt any different cell designs, flow battery architectures, and electrolyte materials.

Analytical model↗

A systematic method for selecting molecular descriptors as features when training models for predicting physiochemical properties

Machine learning has proven to be a powerful tool for accelerating biofuel development. Although numerous models are available to predict a range of properties using chemical descriptors, there is a trade-off between interpretability and performance. Neural networks provide predictive models with high accuracy at the expense of some interpretability, while simpler models such as linear regression often lack in accuracy. In addition to model architecture, feature selection is also critical for developing interpretable and accurate predictive models. We present a method for systematically selecting molecular descriptor features and developing interpretable machine learning models without sacrificing accuracy. Our method simplifies the process of selecting features by reducing feature multicollinearity and enables discoveries of new relationships between global properties and molecular descriptors. To demonstrate our approach, we developed models for predicting melting point, boiling point, flash point, yield sooting index, and net heat of combustion with the help of the Tree-based Pipeline Optimization Tool (TPOT). For training, we used publicly available experimental data for up to 8351 molecules. Our models accurately predict various molecular properties for organic molecules (mean absolute percent error (MAPE) ranges from 3.3% to 10.5%) and provide a set of features that are well-correlated to the property. This method enables researchers to explore sets of features that significantly contribute to the prediction of the property, offering new scientific insights. To help accelerate early stage biofuel research and development, we also integrated the data and models into a open-source, interactive web tool.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

A structured framework for predicting sustainable aviation fuel properties using liquid-phase FTIR and machine learning

Sustainable aviation fuels have the potential to improve efficiency, reduce emissions, and enhance energy security. To help identify viable sustainable aviation fuels and accelerate research, machine learning models have been developed to predict relevant physicochemical properties. However, many models have limited applicability, leverage data from complex analytical techniques with confined spectral ranges, or use feature decomposition methods that offer limited interpretability. Using liquid-phase Fourier Transform Infrared (FTIR) spectra, this study presents a structured method for creating accurate and interpretable property prediction models for neat molecules, aviation fuels, and blends. Liquid FTIR spectra can be collected quickly and consistently, offering high reliability, sensitivity, and component specificity using less than 2 ml of sample. The method first decomposes FTIR spectra into fundamental building blocks using non-negative matrix factorization (NMF) to enable scientific analysis of FTIR spectra attributes and fuel properties. The NMF features are then used to create five ensemble models for predicting final boiling point, flash point, freezing point, density at 15°C, and kinematic viscosity at -20°C. All models were trained using experimental property data from neat molecules, aviation fuels, and blends. The models accurately predict key properties across a broad range of neat molecules and representative fuels and blends, while enabling interpretation of relationships between compositional elements, such as functional groups or chemical classes, and their resulting properties. This demonstrates strong potential to support sustainable aviation fuel research and development. The models and data are available on an interactive web tool.

Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy↗

CO 2 plume evolution in a depleted natural gas reservoir: Modeling of conformance uncertainty reduction over time

Uncertainty in the long-term fate of CO 2 injected for geologic carbon sequestration (GCS) is a significant barrier to the adoption of GCS as a greenhouse-gas emission-mitigation for industry and regulatory agencies alike. Here, we present a modeling study that demonstrates that the uncertainty in forecasts of GCS site performance decreases over time as monitoring data are used to update operational models. We consider a case study of GCS in a depleted natural gas reservoir, with CO 2 injection occurring over 20 years, with a 50-year post-injection site care period. We constructed a detailed model to generate the actual model output, which is considered synthetic observation data. A series of simpler operational models based on limited data and assumptions about how an operator would model such a site are then run and compared against actual model output at specific monitoring points after one year, two years, etc. The operational model is updated and improved using the synthetic observation data from the actual model at the same time intervals. Model parameter values and model features needed to be updated over time to improve matches to the actual model. These kinds of model adjustments would be a normal part of reservoir engineering and site management at GCS sites. Uncertainty in two key measures related to site performance decreases with time: extent of the CO 2 plume up-dip migration, and radial extent of the pressure pulse. This conclusion should help allay the concerns of industry and regulators about uncertainty in long-term fate of CO 2 at GCS sites.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Risk matrix for legacy wells within the Area of Review (AoR) of Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) projects

The success of CCS depends on the capacity, injectivity, and confinement by the storage medium. Thousands of wells drilled over the past century with the intention to find the trapped oil and gas may penetrate the containment seals. These wells may provide leakage pathways for the CO 2 to escape and contaminate the underground sources of drinking water (USDW) or reach the surface in the worst-case scenario. Identifying the risky wells penetrating the containment seals and predicting their current as well as future well integrity is the most challenging task when limited data is available. Here, this paper proposes a unique methodology for risk assessment of the wells penetrating the containment seals based on the proximity of these wells from the proposed injection location, mechanical integrity, and accessibility of these wells over the lifecycle of the CCS project. This helps in identifying the wells which need immediate attention from the wells that need little to no attention. It also highlights the corrective actions necessary for the success of the CCS project as well as help estimate the approximate cost required to perform the corrective actions. This methodology focuses on all wells (producers, injectors, orphan, abandoned, water, stratigraphic, etc) while the majority of the studies found in literature focused on wells with sustained casing pressure (SCP) reports and cement bond logs (CBL). The proposed risk matrix, if applied to future CCS projects across the globe, will uniformly categorize the wells within the Area of Review (AoR).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Minimizing exposure to legacy wells and avoiding conflict between storage projects: Exploring area of review as a screening tool

Elevated pressure from large-volume injection is a key driver of risk and project cost. If transmissive features (e.g., non-isolating wells or fracture systems) are present, increased injection-zone pressure can drive fluids from depth toward protected freshwater resources. In US Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) law, the area at risk is known as the Area of Review (AoR). The size and number of potentially transmissive features to be evaluated and possibly remediated or managed is a function of the size and location of the AoR. The size of the AoR depends on several variables, including properties of the injection zone, properties of protected resources, and injection rate and duration. Evaluation of the intersection of these variables across a portfolio of sites highlights the injection zone depth and boundary conditions as top-level controls. Deep injection, use of multiple stacked injection zones, reduced injection rate and choice of injection well location can all be used to minimize AoR and the number of potentially transmissive features within it. Here, we introduce the concept of pressure space (defined as connected pore volume times pressure) as the key subsurface commodity for CO 2 storage and we suggest that it forms a more robust basis for leasing and regulation than pore space alone.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Optimizing $\mathrm{ACRT}$ to reduce inclusion formation during the $\mathrm{VGF}$ growth of cadmium zinc telluride: II. Application to experiments

Here two different accelerated crucible rotation technique (ACRT) rotation schedules are assessed, via theoretical computations and growth experiments, according to their ability to reduce tellurium-rich inclusions during the vertical gradient freeze (VGF) of cadmium zinc telluride (CZT). A vigorous rotation schedule based on classical ACRT guidelines produces a well-mixed melt that is expected to reduce tellurium inclusions compared to growth without crucible rotation. In contrast, a new ACRT schedule, derived from model-based optimization for interface stability, employs slower rotation with longer periods and is predicted to further reduce inclusions. Growth experiments corroborate these expectations. Namely, both ACRT schedules result in crystals with inclusion size and volume significantly decreased from levels found in material grown with no rotation, and material grown using the computationally optimized ACRT parameters exhibits a median inclusion size that is smaller and with a sharper distribution than in material grown via classical ACRT.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Optimizing $\mathrm{ACRT}$ to reduce inclusion formation during the $\mathrm{VGF}$ growth of cadmium zinc telluride: I. Computational approach

Theoretical computations reveal insight into parameters that govern the accelerated crucible rotation technique (ACRT) applied to the gradient freeze (VGF) growth of cadmium zinc telluride (CZT). A metric based on the classic Mullins and Sekerka instability criterion is put forth that provides a quantitative means of assessing the impact of different ACRT rotation schedules on morphological stability and inclusion formation during CZT growth. Here this metric is employed in a 2-k factorial design of experiments that identifies the maximum rotation rate as the most important ACRT parameter, followed by the acceleration period and the rest period. Subsequent optimization of rotation schedule is performed for a specific VGF growth system, and mechanistic explanations are provided for the preferred ACRT schedule, which improves interface stability via slower rotation rates and longer acceleration periods than would be applied using classical ACRT schedules.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

The effects of ACRT on melt undercooling during the growth of CZT via the traveling heater method: Ekman versus Taylor-Görtler flows

For the first time, a comprehensive model for the traveling heater method, including detailed species transport and phase-change thermodynamics, is applied to understand the effects of accelerated crucible rotation (ACRT) on the growth of cadmium zinc telluride. Here, a rotation schedule that is designed from classical considerations does not completely mix the melt, rather undercooled regions of localized melt are swept periodically across the growth interface. Even without melt homogenization, these ACRT-driven flows disrupt the persistent undercooling that occurs during THM growth without rotation. An ACRT schedule designed to promote Ekman flows results in lower levels of melt undercooling than a schedule designed to promote Taylor-Görtler flows and greater mixing.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Stability-based optimization of ACRT for the growth of CZT by the traveling heater method

Numerical modeling is employed to study the effects of several accelerated crucible rotation technique (ACRT) rotation schedules on the growth of cadmium zinc telluride (CZT) by the traveling heater method (THM). In conjunction with these analyses, a measure is developed to estimate the amplitude of disturbances associated with cellular interface growth morphologies that develop over time and across the melt-solid interface. Furthermore, this disturbance amplitude measure is used to assess the ability of ACRT to stabilize the growth interface and thereby minimize inclusion formation processes. Notably, our analyses reveal that interfacial instability is not well correlated with melt undercooling, explaining why classical ACRT approaches to reduce undercooling by mixing may not stabilize growth. Computations show that interface stability is best achieved via rotation schedules that accentuate outward Ekman flows during spin-up and, during spin-down, eliminate Taylor-Görtler flows and minimize inward Ekman flows.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Growth interface study of CdTeSe crystals grown by the THM technique

The Traveling Heater Method (THM) is a widely accepted technique to grow high-quality detector grade CdTe and CdZnTe ingots, especially for X-ray and gamma-ray detector applications. Unlike melt-growth techniques, the growth interface for ingots produced by the THM technique consists of two different compounds, viz. the solidified region (just below the interface) consists of the compound to be grown (e.g., CdZnTe for CdZnTe growth), while the molten zone just above the growth interface consists of Te-rich CdZnTe. Thus, optimization of the growth parameters is critical to obtain a clean growth interface with the required shape and presence of minimal Te-rich inclusions. Here, in this study, CdTeSe ingots were grown employing the THM technique to investigate the growth interface. Both macroscopic and microscopic behavior of the interface were studied. The study revealed that a microscopically smooth growth interface can be achieved by optimizing the growth parameters, which is essential for obtaining high-quality, inclusion-free ingots.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Spatial variation of the low-temperature micro-photoluminescence of THM-grown CdZnTeSe

The quaternary compound CdZnTeSe (CZTS) has emerged as a next-generation detector material. Unlike CdZnTe (CZT), CZTS has the distinct advantages of little or no sub-grain boundary networks and a much lower concentration of Te inclusions, plus better compositional homogeneity. Thus, the material is expected to offer better spatial charge-transport homogeneity compared to CZT. However, an inhomogeneous distribution of point defects in both CZT and CZTS, such as Cd vacancies and residual impurities, can impose additional spatial inhomogeneity of the resistivity, carrier mobilities, and carrier lifetimes of the material. To investigate the spatial distribution of such defects in CZTS, low-temperature photoluminescence (PL) spectroscopic studies were performed at different positions along a single crystalline CZTS sample surface, which was grown by the traveling heater method (THM). In conclusion, the intensity variation of the PL emission of excitons bound to a neutral acceptor defect (A 0 , X), which is likely dominated by an acceptor like Cu-related level, with respect to the PL emission line from a neutral donor-bound exciton (D 0 , X) exhibited significant spatial variation, while the peak energy positions were approximately uniform due to the high compositional and bandgap homogeneity of the material.

II-VI semiconductor↗

Electro-Optical Characterization of Arsenic-Doped CdSeTe and CdTe Solar Cell Absorbers Doped in-situ During Close Space Sublimation

Most contemporary device models predict that an acceptor concentration of at least 10^16 cm^-3 is required to reach an open circuit voltage of 1 V in polycrystalline CdTe-based solar cells. While copper has traditionally been used as the de facto p-type dopant in polycrystalline cadmium telluride (CdTe) and cadmium selenide telluride (CdSeTe), reaching high acceptor concentrations has proved to be challenging in such devices due to significant dopant compensation. The acceptor concentration in copper-doped CdTe and CdSeTe typically ranges from 10^13 to 10^15 cm^-3 and routinely exhibit low external radiative efficiencies below 0.01%, limiting their implied voltage (i.e., quasi-Fermi level splitting) to approximately 900 mV. As an alternative to copper, this work explores the use of arsenic as a p-type dopant for CdTe and CdSeTe. Using a novel technique in which a thin layer of arsenic-containing material is deposited and used as a reservoir for arsenic to diffuse into a front layer of previously undoped material, this contribution demonstrates that high external radiative efficiencies are achievable, a direct result of combined high acceptor concentrations and long minority-carrier lifetimes in the absorber. This leads to improved implied voltages, and indicates that As-doping represents a promising pathway towards improving the external voltage of CdSeTe/CdTe solar cells.

cadmium telluride↗