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At least 739 records · Page 41

Humans to Mars, but How Many? Using Training Requirements Modeling to Inform Crew Size

Missions to Mars will differ from previous human spaceflight missions in that the onboard crew of astronauts will be required to operate in an Earth-independent manner due to the long communication delays. Without a systematic, repeatable process to determine the number and composition of crew necessary to successfully accomplish these missions, NASA increases the risk that crew sizes may be too small to meet primary mission objectives under nominal conditions and, more consequentially, that crewmembers may not have the expertise needed to successfully respond to unforeseen failures without the real-time expertise of the Mission Control Central (MCC) team NASA currently relies upon. The NASA Engineering and Safety Center (NESC) is developing a methodology for assessing the trade space of factors that affect the number of crew for future missions. This methodology includes the consideration of results from three human performance models developed using the Improved Performance Research and Integration Tool (IMPRINT) modeling platform as well as a custom-built model on expertise trained within the crew. The IMPRINT results will be presented in the modeling and simulation sub-tag. Here we present results of a model based on NASA’s crew qualification and responsibility matrix (CQRM), a tool used to identify the crew qualifications for each area of responsibility (operation, system, and payload) for a mission. The model outputs an optimized allocation of training assignments along with a flight-assigned CQRM that can be used to consider the expertise that can be trained within a crew of a given size. We discuss the CQRM model result implications on the trade space for Mars mission crew size.

Mars↗

Humans to Mars, but How Many? Using Imprint Human Performance Models to Inform Crew Size

HUMANS TO MARS, BUT HOW MANY? USING IMPRINT HUMAN PERFORMANCE MODELS TO INFORM CREW SIZE Missions to Mars will differ from previous human spaceflight missions in that the onboard crew of astronauts will be required to operate in an Earth-independent manner due to long communication delays. Without a systematic, repeatable process to determine the number and composition of crew necessary to successfully accomplish these missions, NASA increases the risk that crew sizes may be too small to meet primary mission objectives under nominal conditions and, more consequentially, that crewmembers may not have the expertise needed to successfully respond to unforeseen failures without the real-time expertise of the Mission Control Central (MCC) team NASA currently relies upon. The NASA Engineering and Safety Center (NESC) is developing a methodology for assessing the trade space of factors that affect the number of crew for future missions. This methodology includes the consideration of results from three human performance models developed using the Improved Performance Research and Integration Tool (IMPRINT) modeling platform as well as a custom-built model on expertise trained within the crew. The custom-built crew expertise model results will be presented in the training sub-tag. Here we present results of the three IMPRINT models. Two of these models were built using IMPRINT’s Operations Model capability, with detailed task networks for specific systems and scenarios allowing for a comprehensive mental workload analysis on certain crew positions. The third model was built using IMPRINT’s Force Model capability, allowing for a higher-level manpower analysis based on crew engagement in activities performed over a longer Mars transit scenario, and how those activities may be impacted by unplanned events and new tasking unique to the Mars mission. Differences between the models will be presented, as well as examples of model results and a discussion of how those results may inform future Mars mission manpower requirements, system design, and operating procedures.

Donna L Dempsey↗

Humans to Mars, but How Many? Using Training Requirements Modeling to Inform Crew Size

Missions to Mars will differ from previous human spaceflight missions in that the onboard crew of astronauts will be required to operate in an Earth-independent manner due to the long communication delays. Without a systematic, repeatable process to determine the number and composition of crew necessary to successfully accomplish these missions, NASA increases the risk that crew sizes may be too small to meet primary mission objectives under nominal conditions and, more consequentially, that crewmembers may not have the expertise needed to successfully respond to unforeseen failures without the real-time expertise of the Mission Control Central (MCC) team NASA currently relies upon. The NASA Engineering and Safety Center (NESC) is developing a methodology for assessing the trade space of factors that affect the number of crew for future missions. This methodology includes the consideration of results from three human performance models developed using the Improved Performance Research and Integration Tool (IMPRINT) modeling platform as well as a custom-built model on expertise trained within the crew. The IMPRINT results will be presented in the modeling and simulation sub-tag. Here we present results of a model based on NASA’s crew qualification and responsibility matrix (CQRM), a tool used to identify the crew qualifications for each area of responsibility (operation, system, and payload) for a mission. The model outputs an optimized allocation of training assignments along with a flight-assigned CQRM that can be used to consider the expertise that can be trained within a crew of a given size. We discuss the CQRM model result implications on the trade space for Mars mission crew size.

Mars↗

GenSAA: A tool for advancing satellite monitoring with graphical expert systems

During numerous contacts with a satellite each day, spacecraft analysts must closely monitor real time data for combinations of telemetry parameter values, trends, and other indications that may signify a problem or failure. As satellites become more complex and the number of data items increases, this task is becoming increasingly difficult for humans to perform at acceptable performance levels. At the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, fault-isolation expert systems have been developed to support data monitoring and fault detection tasks in satellite control centers. Based on the lessons learned during these initial efforts in expert system automation, a new domain-specific expert system development tool named the Generic Spacecraft Analyst Assistant (GenSAA) is being developed to facilitate the rapid development and reuse of real-time expert systems to serve as fault-isolation assistants for spacecraft analysts. Although initially domain-specific in nature, this powerful tool will support the development of highly graphical expert systems for data monitoring purposes throughout the space and commercial industry.

Hughes, Peter M.↗

NAIRAS Model transition to the CCMC: real-time dosimetric output and low-Earth orbit applications

NASA’s Nowcast of Atmospheric Ionizing Radiation for Aviation Safety (NAIRAS) model is areal-time, global, physics-based model originally developed to predict exposure to cosmic radiation to air travelers from both galactic and solar sources. A prototype operational NAIRAS model has provided tabular and graphical data products via its public web site for a number of years. We present the advances in the transition of NAIRAS to operations at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC), located at NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, where global NAIRAS products are available for a real-time space weather version of the model. In addition, a runs-on-request version provides model output along user selected flight trajectories. We show the global dosimetric output from the model that are available in real-time as well as the new products developed to support commercial spaceflight missions to low-Earth orbit(LEO) and the International Space Station (ISS).

Guillaume Gronof↗

Cloud-Based Numerical Weather Prediction for Near Real-Time Forecasting and Disaster Response

The use of cloud computing resources continues to grow within the public and private sector components of the weather enterprise as users become more familiar with cloud‐computing concepts, and competition among service providers continues to reduce costs and other barriers to entry. Cloud resources can also provide capabilities similar to high‐performance computing environments, supporting multi‐node systems required for near real‐time, regional weather predictions. Referred to as "Infrastructure as a Service", or IaaS, the use of cloud-based computing hardware in an on‐demand payment system allows for rapid deployment of a modeling system in environments lacking access to a large, supercomputing infrastructure. Use of IaaS capabilities to support regional weather prediction may be of particular interest to developing countries that have not yet established large supercomputing resources, but would otherwise benefit from a regional weather forecasting capability. Recently, collaborators from NASA Marshall Space Flight Center and Ames Research Center have developed a scripted, on‐demand capability for launching the NOAA/NWS Science and Training Resource Center (STRC) Environmental Modeling System (EMS), which includes pre‐compiled binaries of the latest version of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The WRF‐EMS provides scripting for downloading appropriate initial and boundary conditions from global models, along with higher‐resolution vegetation, land surface, and sea surface temperature data sets provided by the NASA Short‐term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center. This presentation will provide an overview of the modeling system capabilities and benchmarks performed on the Amazon Elastic Compute Cloud (EC2) environment. In addition, the presentation will discuss future opportunities to deploy the system in support of weather prediction in developing countries supported by NASA's SERVIR Project, which provides capacity building activities in environmental monitoring and prediction across a growing number of regional hubs throughout the world. Capacity‐building applications that extend numerical weather prediction to developing countries are intended to provide near real‐time applications to benefit public health, safety, and economic interests, but may have a greater impact during disaster events by providing a source for local predictions of weather‐related hazards, or impacts that local weather events may have during the recovery phase.

Molthan, Andrew↗

Finding diverse ways to improve algebraic connectivity through multi-start optimization

The algebraic connectivity, also known as the Fiedler value, is a spectral measure of network connectivity that can be increased through edge addition. We present an algorithm for producing many diverse ways to add a fixed number of edges to a network to achieve a near optimal Fiedler value. Previous Fielder value optimization algorithms (i.e. the greedy algorithm) output only one solution. Obtaining a single solution is rarely good enough for real-world network redesign problems, as practical constraints (political, physical or financial) may prevent implementation. Our algorithm takes a multi-start optimization approach, adding a random initial edge and then applies a greedy heuristic to improve the Fiedler value. The random choice moves us to a new region of the search space, enabling discovery of diverse solutions. Additionally, we present a Determinantal Point Process framework for quantifying diversity. We then apply a Markov chain Monte Carlo technique to sift through the large number of output solutions and locate a smaller, more manageable collection of highly diverse solutions that can be presented to network redesign engineers. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithm on real-world graphs with varied structures.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Capacitated p -hub approach for park-and-ride facility location problem under nested logit demand function: polyhedral approaches

By generalizing the unconstrained p-hub approach for the park-and-ride (P&R) facility location problem under the multinomial logit demand function, the capacitated p-hub approach for the problem under the nested logit demand function captures a broader range of real-world cases. To solve this problem optimally, we introduce a mixed-integer linear program and accelerate its solution by enhancing the branch-and-cut procedure. To address the problem at a large scale, we introduce two other polyhedral approaches: variable neighborhood search (VNS) and adaptive randomized rounding (ARR). Downtown areas in Seoul have a high modal share of public transportation and congested road traffic, yet P&R has not been widely implemented. Therefore, we apply the ARR procedure to solve a real-world problem using traffic and geographic data from the Seoul metropolitan area. ARR performs better than VNS and addresses real-world cases. The solutions obtained by ARR present a phased expansion plan that encourages policymakers to start installing a small number of P&Rs immediately.

Capacitated p-hub approach↗

First direct observations of gear-changing in a collider

In this work we perform the first demonstration of gear-changing in a real world collider. Gear-changing refers to a collision scheme where each ring of a collider stores a different harmonic number of bunches. These bunches are kept synchronized using different velocities. Such a system has been theorized, but has now been demonstrated using the Double ElectroStatic Ion Ring ExpEriment (DESIREE) in Stockholm Sweden. The experiment was able to demonstrate a gear-changing system, with both four on three bunches and five on four bunches. We determined a measurable parameter that shows a gear-changing system out to $37500$ turns of the slow beam (1 second). We were also able to detect a measurable longitudinal beam-beam interaction. We developed insights into how to control this type of system, opening up new possibilities, and showing that DESIREE can be used for gear-changing research.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Eutectic melting of alloy microparticles upon low velocity impact

Although impact melting has been quantified in a number of pure metals, alloyed microparticles have access to low melting-point eutectics that can promote earlier melting. Through real-time monitoring of single particle impacts resolved at the nanosecond- and micron-scales, we explore the impact melting of AA7075 from high velocities, where it is abundant and clear, to velocities as low as ∼269 m/s. Here, by using a hard substrate to isolate the deformation largely to the particle, we show that the adiabatic heat produced by the plasticity of the impact can explain the onset of melting at low velocity.

Additive manufacturing↗

Probing for the Trace Estimation of a Permuted Matrix Inverse Corresponding to a Lattice Displacement

We report thatpProbing is a general technique that is used to reduce the variance of the Hutchinson stochastic estimator for the trace of the inverse of a large, sparse matrix A. The variance of the estimator is the sum of the squares of the off-diagonal elements of A -1 . Therefore, this technique computes probing vectors that when used in the estimator annihilate the largest off-diagonal elements. For matrices that display decay of the magnitude of |A$^{-1}_{ij}$| with the graph distance between nodes i and j, this is achieved through graph coloring of increasing powers A k . Equivalently, when a matrix stems from a lattice discretization, it is computationally beneficial to find a distance-k coloring of the lattice. Previously, a hierarchical coloring was proposed so that k can be increased at runtime as needed without discarding previous work. In this work, we study probing for the more general problem of computing the trace of a permutation of A -1 , say PA -1 . The motivation comes from lattice quantum chromodynamics (QCD), where we need to construct “disconnected diagrams” to extract flavor-separated generalized parton functions. In lattice QCD, where the matrix has a four-dimensional toroidal lattice structure, these nonlocal operators correspond to a PA -1 , where P is the permutation relating to some displacement $\vec{p}$ in one or more dimensions. We focus on a single dimension displacement (p), but our methods are general. We show that probing on A k or (PA) k does not annihilate the largest magnitude elements. To resolve this issue, our displacement-based probing works on PA k using a new coloring scheme that works directly on appropriately displaced neighborhoods on the lattice. We prove lower bounds on the number of colors needed and study the effect of this scheme on variance reduction, both theoretically and experimentally on a real-world lattice QCD calculation. We achieve orders of magnitude speedup over the unprobed or the naively probed methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Designing an Optimal Sensor Network via Minimizing Information Loss

Optimal experimental design is a classic topic in statistics, with many well-studied problems, applications, and solutions. The design problem we study is the placement of sensors to monitor spatiotemporal processes, explicitly accounting for the temporal dimension in our modeling and optimization. We observe that recent advancements in computational sciences often yield large datasets based on physics-based simulations, which are rarely leveraged in experimental design. We introduce a novel model-based sensor placement criterion, along with a highly-efficient optimization algorithm, which integrates physics-based simulations and Bayesian experimental design principles to identify sensor networks that “minimize information loss” from simulated data. Our technique relies on sparse variational inference and (separable) Gauss-Markov priors, and thus may adapt many techniques from Bayesian experimental design. We validate our method through a case study monitoring air temperature in Phoenix, Arizona, using state-of-the-art physics-based simulations. Our results show our framework to be superior to random or quasi-random sampling, particularly with a limited number of sensors. We conclude by discussing practical considerations and implications of our framework, including more complex modeling tools and real-world deployments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Feasibility of Realizing a Universal Identifier Based on Fiber Bragg Grating Technology

Over the past year we have collected data on different fiber Bragg gratings (FBG) with the end goal of understanding their suitability for use in a new type of unique identifier (UID) that could be used in both tags and seals for high-value, high-risk assets. The ideal UID will have a complex signature that allows items to be uniquely identified by that signature. Tamper indication must be an integral part of the tag/seal process with measurable changes to the device signature indicative of any attempt to tamper with the monitored item. Further, the signature must be so difficult to reproduce that even state-actors with significant resources at their disposal will be discouraged from attempting it. Finally, readout verification of the product must be simple and secure, while providing red-light/green-light results in real time. To evaluate how well an FBG-based UID could meet these goals, we collected data on a large number of FBG samples from different vendors. Measurements included the response of the devices to uniform tension, tension when wrapped on a mandrel, and the response to changes in temperature and humidity, as well as the effect of simple potting in expanding and nonexpanding potting materials. We tested FBG samples written into single-mode fibers that were coated with the two commonly used materials, polyimide and acrylate and gratings that were both uniform and those with an apodized response (i.e., the intensity of the grating was varied to minimize sidelobes). The result of the work to date did not find any significant issues with the design concept for a UID based on this technology. Specific findings include a baseline design comprising five FBGs with distinct spectral returns analyzed using a difference-correlation approach. To realize this device, careful attention must be given to the impact of environmental factors on the UID response, limiting the properties of the potting compounds and FBG coating materials that can be used.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Spacecraft automated operations

Trends in automation of planetary spacecraft are examined using data from missions as far back as Mariner '67 and up to the highly sophisticated Galileo. Nine design considerations which influence the degree of automation such as protection against catastrophic failures, highly repetitive functions, loss of spacecraft communications, and the need for near-real-time adaptivity are discussed. Rapid growth of automation is shown in terms of on-board hardware by plots of number of processors on board, the average speed of processors, and total core memory. The number of commands transmitted from the ground has grown to 5 million bits in Voyager, so that increases in mission complexity have increased both in spacecraft automation and ground operations. Achieving greater automation by transferring ground operations to the spacecraft with the current means of controlling missions, are considered noting proposed changes. For the future, improved computer technology, more microprocessors and increased core storage will be used, and the number of automated functions and their complexity will grow. It is concluded that using the growing computational capability of spacecraft will achieve more autonomy thus reversing the trend of increased mission complexity and cost.

Bird, T. H.↗

Instant-replay data system for combustion tests

A portable, inexpensive, easily programmed, and flexible pressure measuring and display system is described and evaluated in a multi-port combustion model. The data reduction system consists of a desk-top graphics display system and calculator with data tape storage and standard data communications interfacing capabilities, while a hard copy unit provides a permanent record of all plots and tables. The system offers the advantages of recording and comparing a large number of pressures at high data rates along with the display of the results in a meaningful graphical form for near real time analysis. Some discussion of combustor and engine experiments are included as examples of the data system application.

Trexler, C. A.↗

Nickel hydrogen/nickel cadmium battery trade studies

Nickel Hydrogen cell and battery technology has matured to the point where a real choice exists between Nickel Hydrogen and Nickel Cadmium batteries for each new spacecraft application. During the past few years, a number of spacecraft programs have been evaluated at Hughes with respect to this choice, with the results being split about fifty-fifty. The following paragraphs contain criteria which were used in making the battery selection.

Stadnick, S. J.↗

To catch a childs's imagination: Educational overview of CAN DO G-324

When a public school district is involved in the flight of a GAS package, they have a The desire to produce an serious responsibility, along with an unprecedented opportunity. experiment with real scientific validity must be tempered by the schools' primary mission to make the adventure educationally meaningful to the greatest possible number of students. Such a project can easily become the personal plaything of the select few that are highly scientifically motivated, and technologically gifted. A public school system must, in addition, insure that the resources invested in such a project also reach out to the average student, and those whose interests lie in other directions. Such a broad reach is only possible if the GAS canister is but one part of a comprehensive and ongoing educational effort that involves as many disciplines and levels of student interest as possible. The total program should include: 1) A background of previous programs which have trained teachers and prepared students to fully utilize special activities as part of the educational process. 2) Direct student involvement in the design of experimental packages to be flown, and in the evaluation of data derived. 3) Supplementary related activities that use a Get Away Special as a motivational catalyst to generate efforts in other disciplines, other schools and other student groups. 4) Future plans to fully exploit and maintain the momentum developed by this one dramatic event. The one overriding goal of all these activities as articulated by one of our leading classroom teachers: "TO CHOOSE AND DEVELOP HIGHLY MOTIVATION& ACTIVITIES WHICH WILL CAPTURE THE IMAGINATION AND INTEREST OF STUDENTS, AND TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE "TEACHABLE MOMENT" WHICH IS SO ELUSIVE."

James H. Nicholson↗

Evaluation of off-road terrain with static stereo and monoscopic displays

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration is currently funding research into the design of a Mars rover vehicle. This unmanned rover will be used to explore a number of scientific and geologic sites on the Martian surface. Since the rover can not be driven from Earth in real-time, due to lengthy communication time delays, a locomotion strategy that optimizes vehicle range and minimizes potential risk must be developed. In order to assess the degree of on-board artificial intelligence (AI) required for a rover to carry out its' mission, researchers conducted an experiment to define a no AI baseline. In the experiment 24 subjects, divided into stereo and monoscopic groups, were shown video snapshots of four terrain scenes. The subjects' task was to choose a suitable path for the vehicle through each of the four scenes. Paths were scored based on distance travelled and hazard avoidance. Study results are presented with respect to: (1) risk versus range; (2) stereo versus monocular video; (3) vehicle camera height; and (4) camera field-of-view.

Yorchak, John P.↗