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At least 739 records · Page 41
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Complex and Unusual Excited-State Relaxation Dynamics of 9,9′-Bifluorenylidene Revealed by Comprehensive Time-Resolved Spectroscopy and MRSF-TDDFT Calculations

Design of novel photochemical molecular motors often requires molecular building blocks that exhibit rather unusual photoactivity, for which conventional analyses of spectroscopic data can lead to conflicting interpretations. We here systematically investigated the excited-state relaxation dynamics of one such molecule, 9,9′-bifluorenylidene (BF), through comprehensive and complementary integration of ultrafast transient absorption (TA) and femtosecond stimulated Raman (FSRS) spectroscopies and first-principles mixed-reference spin-flip time-dependent density functional theory (MRSF-TDDFT). TA and FSRS identified two sequentially formed transients following photoexcitation. The decay kinetics of the two intermediates differ in response to excitation wavelengths and the viscosity/polarity of solvents. MRSF-TDDFT calculations reveal a direct, barrierless internal-conversion pathway from the bright Franck−Condon state to a dark S1 minimum, where the excited-state population is transiently trapped, accounting for the first transient species observed in spectroscopic experiments. Further tracking down along the PES with MRSF-TDDFT mapped out two nonradiative relaxation pathways via conical intersections that connect the dark S 1 state to three configurations in the ground-state manifolds, within which a ring structure with a C8−C8′ bond and the vibrationally excited ground-state BF were identified from spectroscopic and kinetic data. The complexity of relaxation kinetics was attributed to the flexible torsional and twisting motions about the C9−C9′ bridge bond enabled by the diradical character of the S 1 state. These findings clarify unusual photoactive relaxation dynamics stemming from a novel correlation between structural flexibility and shifting electronic characteristics, and they demonstrate the importance of integrating spectroscopic and advanced electronic structure calculation studies for judicious clarification of complex, competing relaxation pathways of excited states.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Eocene-Oligocene Metamorphism, Fluid Flow and Deformation in the Ruby Mountains-East Humboldt Range Metamorphic Core Complex

Metamorphic core complexes are ubiquitous in collapsed orogens globally and play a primary role in crustal exhumation. Here, we investigate the metamorphic history of the Ruby Mountains-East Humboldt Range metamorphic core complex, Nevada, using petrochronology to understand how magmatism, metamorphism and deformation interact to modulate crustal rheology, and the timing of exhumation within the Sevier orogenic belt. Field study, microstructural analysis, thermobarometry and laser ablation split-stream monazite, titanite and allanite petrochronology of the mylonitic footwall were integrated to elucidate the pressure-temperature-time (P-T-t) evolution. Major-, trace-element and quartz-in-garnet thermobarometry show peak metamorphism occurred at 5.5–6 kbar and 600–650°C across the study area. Monazite and titanite U-(Th)-Pb petrochronology constrain this episode of metamorphism to 88–81 Ma with the structurally deepest samples yielding dates down to ca. 71 Ma. The preservation of peak metamorphic mineral assemblages indicates these rocks remained at near-peak temperature conditions into the Cenozoic. Cenozoic metamorphism occurred during a punctuated episode contemporaneous with the Great Basin ignimbrite flare up. All samples show a distinct 39–37 Ma population of monazite, titanite and allanite dates that correlate with the emplacement of quartz diorite and gabbro intrusions throughout the footwall. Accessory phases contain zoning textures in backscattered electron images that are consistent with fluid-mediated dissolution-reprecipitation reactions. The U-(Th)-Pb analyses from these zones yield 39–27 Ma dates interpreted as the timing of fluid flow. The results of this study elucidate the integrated importance of magmatism, melting and fluid flow in driving the coupled evolution of Late Cretaceous metamorphism within the Sevier hinterland and the subsequent Cenozoic metamorphic core complex development that exhumed the middle crust.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

The J-elongated conformation of β 2 -glycoprotein I predominates in solution: Implications for our understanding of antiphospholipid syndrome

β 2 -Glycoprotein I (β 2 GPI) is an abundant plasma protein displaying phospholipid-binding properties. Because it binds phospholipids, it is a target of antiphospholipid antibodies (aPLs) in antiphospholipid syndrome (APS), a life-threatening autoimmune thrombotic disease. Indeed, aPLs prefer membrane-bound β 2 GPI to that in solution. β 2 GPI exists in two almost equally populated redox states: oxidized, in which all the disulfide bonds are formed, and reduced, in which one or more disulfide bonds are broken. Furthermore, β 2 GPI can adopt multiple conformations (i.e. J-elongated, S-twisted, and O-circular). While strong evidence indicates that the J-form is the structure bound to aPLs, which conformation exists and predominates in solution remains controversial, and so is the conformational pathway leading to the bound state. Here, we report that human recombinant β 2 GPI purified under native conditions is oxidized. Moreover, under physiological pH and salt concentrations, this oxidized form adopts a J-elongated, flexible conformation, not circular or twisted, in which the N-terminal domain I (DI) and the C-terminal domain V (DV) are exposed to the solvent. Consistent with this model, binding kinetics and mutagenesis experiments revealed that in solution the J-form interacts with negatively charged liposomes and with MBB2, a monoclonal anti-DI antibody that recapitulates most of the features of pathogenic aPLs. We conclude that the preferential binding of aPLs to phospholipid-bound β 2 GPI arises from the ability of its preexisting J-form to accumulate on the membranes, thereby offering an ideal environment for aPL binding. We propose that targeting the J-form of β 2 GPI provides a strategy to block pathogenic aPLs in APS.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

$\mathrm{BUDDI}$-$\mathrm{MaNGA}$ $\mathrm{I}$: A statistical sample of cleanly decomposed bulge and disc spectra

Many galaxies display clear bulges and discs, and understanding how these components form is a vital step towards understanding how the galaxy has evolved into what we see today. The BUDDI-MaNGA project aims to study galaxy evolution and morphological transformations through the star-formation histories of the bulges and discs. We have applied our buddi software to galaxies from the MaNGA Survey in the SDSS DR15 in order to isolate their bulge and disc spectra, from which we derived their stellar populations. To date, this work provides the largest sample of clean bulge and disc spectra extracted from IFU datacubes using the galaxies light profile information, and will form the basis for a series of papers aiming to answer open questions on how galaxies have formed and evolved, and the role of their individual structures. Here this paper presents an introduction to the project, including an overview of these fits, a characterization of the sample, and a series of tests on the fits to ensure reliability.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Search for the high-spin members of the α : 2 n : α band in 10 Be

Clustering plays an important role in the structure of 10 Be. Exotic molecular-like configurations, such as α:2n:α, have been suggested at relatively low excitation energies. To search for the high-spin states that may belong to the molecular-like α:2n:α configuration in 10 Be. Measuring excitation functions for 6 He + α scattering, populating states in the excitation energy range from 4.5 MeV to 8 MeV in 10 Be using a 6 He rare-isotope beam and a thick helium gas target. No new excited states in 10 Be have been observed. Stringent limitation on the possible degree of a-clustering of the hypothetical yrast 6 + state has been obtained. Here, the high-spin members of the α:2n:α molecular-like rotational band configuration, that is considered to have a 0 + bandhead at 6.18 MeV, either do not exist or have small overlap with the 6 He(g.s.)+α channel.

6 ≤ A ≤ 19↗
DOE OSTI2020

Resonant Inelastic X-Ray Scattering Reveals Hidden Local Transitions of the Aqueous OH Radical

Resonant inelastic x-ray scattering (RIXS) provides remarkable opportunities to interrogate ultrafast dynamics in liquids. In this work we use RIXS to study the fundamentally and practically important hydroxyl radical in liquid water, OH ( a q ) . Impulsive ionization of pure liquid water produced a short-lived population of OH ( a q ) , which was probed using femtosecond x-rays from an x-ray free-electron laser. We find that RIXS reveals localized electronic transitions that are masked in the ultraviolet absorption spectrum by strong charge-transfer transitions—thus providing a means to investigate the evolving electronic structure and reactivity of the hydroxyl radical in aqueous and heterogeneous environments. First-principles calculations provide interpretation of the main spectral features.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2021

Distinct protein architectures mediate species-specific beta-glucan binding and metabolism in the human gut microbiota

Complex glycans that evade our digestive system are major nutrients that feed the human gut microbiota (HGM). The prevalence of Bacteroidetes in the HGM of populations worldwide is engendered by the evolution of polysaccharide utilization loci (PULs), which encode concerted protein systems to utilize the myriad complex glycans in our diets. Despite their crucial roles in glycan recognition and transport, cell-surface glycan-binding proteins (SGBPs) remained understudied cogs in the PUL machinery. Here, we report the structural and biochemical characterization of a suite of SGBP-A and SGBP-B structures from three syntenic β(1,3)-glucan utilization loci (1,3GULs) from Bacteroides thetaiotaomicron (Bt), Bacteroides uniformis (Bu), and B. fluxus (Bf), which have varying specificities for distinct β-glucans. Ligand complexes provide definitive insight into β(1,3)-glucan selectivity in the HGM, including structural features enabling dual β(1,3)-glucan/mixed-linkage β(1,3)/β(1,4)-glucan-binding capability in some orthologs. The tertiary structural conservation of SusD-like SGBPs-A is juxtaposed with the diverse architectures and binding modes of the SGBPs-B. Specifically, the structures of the trimodular BtSGBP-B and BuSGBP-B revealed a tandem repeat of carbohydrate-binding module-like domains connected by long linkers. In contrast, BfSGBP-B comprises a bimodular architecture with a distinct β-barrel domain at the C terminus that bears a shallow binding canyon. The molecular insights obtained here contribute to our fundamental understanding of HGM function, which in turn may inform tailored microbial intervention therapies.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Neuronally-derived tau is increased in experienced breachers and is associated with neurobehavioral symptoms

Military and law enforcement breachers are exposed to many low-level blasts during their training and occupational experiences in which they detonate explosives to force entry into secured structures. There is a concern that exposure to these repetitive blast events in career breachers could result in cumulative neurological effects. This study aimed to determine concentrations of neurofilament light (NF-L), tau, and amyloid-beta 42 (Aβ42) in serum and in neuronal-derived extracellular vesicles (EVs) in an experienced breacher population, and to examine biomarker associations with neurobehavioral symptoms. Thirty-four participants enrolled in the study: 20 experienced breachers and 14 matched military or civilian law enforcement controls. EV tau concentrations were significantly elevated in experienced breachers (0.3301 ± 0.5225) compared to controls (–0.4279 ± 0.7557; F = 10.43, p = 0.003). No statistically significant changes were observed in EV levels of NF-L or Aβ42 or in serum levels of NF-L, tau, or Aβ42 (p’s > 0.05). Elevated EV tau concentrations correlated with increased Neurobehavioral Symptom Inventory (NSI) score in experienced breachers (r = 0.596, p = 0.015) and predicted higher NSI score (F(1,14) = 7.702, p = 0.015, R 2 = 0.355). These findings show that neuronal-derived EV concentrations of tau are significantly elevated and associated with neurobehavioral symptoms in this sample of experienced breachers who have a history of many low-level blast exposures.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Reimagining the $e_g$ 1 Electronic State in Oxygen Evolution Catalysis: Oxidation-State-Modulated Superlattices as a New Type of Heterostructure for Maximizing Catalysis

We report that the discovery of solid-phase, inexpensive transition-metal-based water oxidation catalysts is a central goal for renewable energy, and has led to a general consensus that a partially populated metal e g d-electronic state is desirable, leading to favorable catalysis for certain elements in specific oxidation states. In manganese systems, the key species is manganese(III), whose high-spin d 4 electronic configuration places an unpaired electron in the e g orbital, which is postulated to contribute to electronic and structural features that support catalysis. Based on density functional theory calculations, it is predicted that electron transfer would be facilitated by a catalyst with alternating low- and high-Mn III -content sheets, which positions neighboring band edges in closer energetic proximity. The preparation of such catalysts is demonstrated for the first time and it is shown that the catalytic activity is maximized in these systems over more uniform, but more Mn III -rich systems. The best catalyst possesses alternating high-and low-average oxidation state sheets with interlayer Cs + ions, and has an overpotential of 450 mV at 10 mA, which represents an improvement of 250 mV over the best unmodified synthetic potassium birnessites. Using scanning tunneling spectroscopy, bandgap modulations consistent with the theoretically predicted band edge shifts are detected.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Partners for life: building microbial consortia for the future

We report new technologies have allowed researchers to better design, build, and analyze complex consortia. These developments are fueling a wider implementation of consortium-based bioprocessing by leveraging synthetic biology, delivering on the field’s multitudinous promises of higher efficiencies, superior resiliency, augmented capabilities, and modular bioprocessing. Here we chronicle current progress by presenting a range of screening, computational, and biomolecular tools enabling robust population control, efficient division of labor, and programmatic spatial organization; furthermore, we detail corresponding advancements in areas including machine learning, biocontainment, and standardization. Additionally, we show applications in myriad sectors, including medicine, energy and waste sustainability, chemical production, agriculture, and biosensors. Concluding remarks outline areas of growth that will promote the utilization of complex community structures across the biotechnology spectrum.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Resolving metal binding properties within subunits of a multimeric enzyme Mnx by surface induced dissociation and native ion mobility mass spectrometry

Multi-subunit enzymes function as coordinated assemblies. Yet most enzymatic assays measure the summed output of all populations in solution and cannot easily differentiate contributions of individual subunits. Native mass spectrometry detects intact protein complexes in the gas phase. Surface induced dissociation further releases subunits from protein complexes while retaining compact conformations and bound ligands. Combined with ion mobility, the released subunits can then be carefully monitored for more in-depth structural analysis. Mnx is a unique bacterial multicopper oxidase complex that oxidizes Mn(II) to form MnO 2 minerals, and is composed of three subunits: MnxG, a multicopper oxidase containing the active site, and two accessory proteins, MnxE and MnxF which also bind copper ions. Other known multicopper oxidases do not require accessory proteins, therefore the functions of MnxE and MnxF are not well understood. Here, we use native mass spectrometry with surface induced dissociation and ion mobility to characterize the metal binding properties of Mnx with two metals, catalytic Cu(II) and Mn(II) substrate. We demonstrate our assay can detect subtle structural changes within each subunit, which are presumably related to the allosteric mechanism. We also noticed that ionic strength and solution composition can impact metal binding and must be carefully investigated for such experiments.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

Spatial Mapping of Valence Excited-State Landscapes Using Time-Resolved Shake-Down Spectroscopy

Time-resolved X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) is used to track the photodissociation dynamics of 2-iodothiophene following 262 nm excitation. The transient XPS features include both direct ionization of the initially populated excited states and pronounced satellite peaks arising from shake-down processes. While the direct ionization signals exhibit only minimal energy shifts during C−I bond cleavage, the shake-down transitions undergo a substantial, 5 eV, shift over the reaction coordinate. By correlating these shifts with simulated C−I bond lengths, a direct structural mapping is established that reveals the exceptional sensitivity of shake-down channels to molecular geometry. These results demonstrate that shake-down transitions provide a new and powerful probe of ultrafast structural dynamics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2022

Statistical properties of the population of the Galactic centre filaments – II. The spacing between filaments

ABSTRACT We carry out a population study of magnetized radio filaments in the Galactic centre using MeerKAT data by focusing on the spacing between the filaments that are grouped. The morphology of a sample of 43 groupings containing 174 magnetized radio filaments are presented. Many grouped filaments show harp-like, fragmented cometary tail-like, or loop-like structures in contrast to many straight filaments running mainly perpendicular to the Galactic plane. There are many striking examples of a single filament splitting into two prongs at a junction, suggestive of a flow of plasma along the filaments. Spatial variations in spectral index, brightness, bending, and sharpening along the filaments indicate that they are evolving on a 105−6-yr time-scale. The mean spacings between parallel filaments in a given grouping peaks at ∼16 arcsec. We argue by modeling that the filaments in a grouping all lie on the same plane and that the groupings are isotropically oriented in 3D space. One candidate for the origin of filamentation is interaction with an obstacle, which could be a compact radio source, before a filament splits and bends into multiple filaments. In this picture, the obstacle or sets the length scale of the separation between the filaments. Another possibility is synchrotron cooling instability occurring in cometary tails formed as a result of the interaction of cosmic ray driven Galactic centre outflow with obstacles such as stellar winds. In this picture, the mean spacing and the mean width of the filaments are expected to be a fraction of a parsec, consistent with observed spacing.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Dark Population Transfer Mechanism for Sterile Neutrino Dark Matter

We present a mechanism for producing a cosmologically significant relic density of one or more sterile neutrinos. This scheme invokes two steps: First, a population of “heavy” sterile neutrinos is created by scattering-induced decoherence of active neutrinos. Second, this population is transferred, via sterile neutrino self-interaction-mediated scatterings and decays, to one or more lighter mass (∼10 keV to ∼1 GeV) sterile neutrinos that are far more weakly (or not at all) mixed with active species and could constitute dark matter. Dark matter produced this way can evade current electromagnetic and structure-based bounds, but may nevertheless be probed by future observations.

Dark matter↗
DOE OSTI2025

Advancing ocean monitoring and knowledge for societal benefit: the urgency to expand Argo to OneArgo by 2030

The ocean plays an essential role in regulating Earth’s climate, influencing weather conditions, providing sustenance for large populations, moderating anthropogenic climate change, encompassing massive biodiversity, and sustaining the global economy. Human activities are changing the oceans, stressing ocean health, threatening the critical services the ocean provides to society, with significant consequences for human well-being and safety, and economic prosperity. Effective and sustainable monitoring of the physical, biogeochemical state and ecosystem structure of the ocean, to enable climate adaptation, carbon management and sustainable marine resource management is urgently needed. The Argo program, a cornerstone of the Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS), has revolutionized ocean observation by providing real-time, freely accessible global temperature and salinity data of the upper 2,000m of the ocean (Core Argo) using cost-effective simple robotics. For the past 25 years, Argo data have underpinned many ocean, climate and weather forecasting services, playing a fundamental role in safeguarding goods and lives. Argo data have enabled clearer assessments of ocean warming, sea level change and underlying driving processes, as well as scientific breakthroughs while supporting public awareness and education. Building on Argo’s success, OneArgo aims to greatly expand Argo’s capabilities by 2030, expanding to full-ocean depth, collecting biogeochemical parameters, and observing the rapidly changing polar regions. Providing a synergistic subsurface and global extension to several key space-based Earth Observation missions and GOOS components, OneArgo will enable biogeochemical and ecosystem forecasting and new long-term climate predictions for which the deep ocean is a key component. Driving forward a revolution in our understanding of marine ecosystems and the poorly-measured polar and deep oceans, OneArgo will be instrumental to assess sea level change, ocean carbon fluxes, acidification and deoxygenation. Emerging OneArgo applications include new views of ocean mixing, ocean bathymetry and sediment transport, and ecosystem resilience assessment. Implementing OneArgo requires about $100 million annually, a significant increase compared to present Argo funding. OneArgo is a strategic and cost-effective investment which will provide decision-makers, in both government and industry, with the critical knowledge needed to navigate the present and future environmental challenges, and safeguard both the ocean and human wellbeing for generations to come.

ARGO↗
DOE OSTI2022

Star formation in outer rings of S0 galaxies: IV. NGC 254: A double-ringed S0 with gas counter-rotation

Although S0 galaxies are usually considered “red and dead”, they often demonstrate star formation organized into ring structures. We aim to clarify the nature of this phenomenon and how it differs from star formation in spiral galaxies. We investigated the nearby, moderate-luminosity S0 galaxy NGC 254 using long-slit spectroscopy taken with the South African Large Telescope and publicly available imaging data. Applying a full spectral fitting, we analyzed gaseous and stellar kinematics as well as ionized gas excitation and metallicity and stellar population properties resolved by radius. An advanced approach of simultaneously fitting spectra and photometric data allowed us to quantify the fraction of hidden counter-rotating stars in this galaxy. We find that the ionized gas is counter-rotating with respect to the stars throughout NGC 254 disk, indicating an external origin of the gas. We argue the gas-rich galaxy merger from retrograde orbit as a main source of counter-rotating material. The star formation fed by this counter-rotating gas occurs within two rings: an outer ring at R = 55' - 70" and an inner ring at R = 18". The star formation rate is weak, 0.02 solar mass per year in total, and the gas metallicity is slightly subsolar. We estimated that the accretion of the gas occurred about 1 Gyr ago, and about 1% of all stars have formed in situ from counter-rotating gas.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Structuring Nutrient Yields throughout Mississippi/Atchafalaya River Basin Using Machine Learning Approaches

To minimize the eutrophication pressure along the Gulf of Mexico or reduce the size of the hypoxic zone in the Gulf of Mexico, it is important to understand the underlying temporal and spatial variations and correlations in excess nutrient loads, which are strongly associated with the formation of hypoxia. This study’s objective was to reveal and visualize structures in high-dimensional datasets of nutrient yield distributions throughout the Mississippi/Atchafalaya River Basin (MARB). For this purpose, the annual mean nutrient concentrations were collected from thirty-three US Geological Survey (USGS) water stations scattered in the upper and lower MARB from 1996 to 2020. Eight surface water quality indicators were selected to make comparisons among water stations along the MARB over the past two decades. Principal component analysis (PCA) was used to comprehensively evaluate the nutrient yields across thirty-three USGS monitoring stations and identify the major contributing nutrient loads. The results showed that all samples could be analyzed using two main components, which accounted for 81.6% of the total variance. The PCA results showed that yields of orthophosphate (OP), silica (SI), nitrate–nitrites (NO 3 -NO 2 ), and total suspended sediment (TSS) are major contributors to nutrient yields. It also showed that land-planted crops, density of population, domestic and industrial discharges, and precipitation are fundamental causes of excess nutrient loads in MARB. These factors are of great significance for the excess nutrient load management and pollution control of the Mississippi River. It was found that the average nutrient yields were stable within the sub-MARB area, but the large nitrogen yields in the upper MARB and the large phosphorus yields in the lower MARB were of great concern. t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE) revealed interesting nonlinear and local structures in nutrient yield distributions. Clustering analysis (CA) showed the detailed development of similarities in the nutrient yield distribution. Moreover, PCA, t-SNE, and CA showed consistent clustering results. This study demonstrated that the integration of dimension reduction techniques, PCA, and t-SNE with CA techniques in machine learning are effective tools for the visualization of the structures of the correlations in high-dimensional datasets of nutrient yields and provide a comprehensive understanding of the correlations in the distributions of nutrient loads across the MARB.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

The relatively young and rural population may limit the spread and severity of COVID-19 in Africa: a modelling study

A novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread to all regions of the world. There is great uncertainty regarding how countries’ characteristics will affect the spread of the epidemic; to date, there are few studies that attempt to predict the spread of the epidemic in African countries. In this paper, we investigate the role of demographic patterns, urbanisation and comorbidities on the possible trajectories of COVID-19 in Ghana, Kenya and Senegal. We use an augmented deterministic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model to predict the true spread of the disease, under the containment measures taken so far. We disaggregate the infected compartment into asymptomatic, mildly symptomatic and severely symptomatic to match observed clinical development of COVID-19. We also account for age structures, urbanisation and comorbidities (HIV, tuberculosis, anaemia). In our baseline model, we project that the peak of active cases will occur in July, subject to the effectiveness of policy measures. When accounting for the urbanisation, and factoring in comorbidities, the peak may occur between 2 June and 17 June (Ghana), 22 July and 29 August (Kenya) and, finally, 28 May and 15 June (Senegal). Successful containment policies could lead to lower rates of severe infections. While most cases will be mild, we project in the absence of policies further containing the spread, that between 0.78% and 1.03%, 0.61% and 1.22%, and 0.60% and 0.84% of individuals in Ghana, Kenya and Senegal, respectively, may develop severe symptoms at the time of the peak of the epidemic. Compared with Europe, Africa’s younger and rural population may modify the severity of the epidemic. The large youth population may lead to more infections but most of these infections will be asymptomatic or mild, and will probably go undetected. The higher prevalence of underlying conditions must be considered.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗