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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 739 records · Page 41
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Massively Parallel Bayesian Model Calibration and Uncertainty Quantification with Applications to Nuclear Fuels and Materials

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program aims to develop predictive capabilities by applying computational methods to the analysis and design of advanced reactor and fuel cycle systems. This program has been providing engineering-scale support for the development of BISON, a high-fidelity and high-resolution fuel performance tool. Fuel behavior in a nuclear reactor is governed by a complex network of mechanisms interacting with various other physics aspects in the reactor system. Any model developed to represent the fuel behavior will likely be idealized resulting in uncertainties in their predictions compared to the observed data. As such, this report was motivated by the need to identify the sources of uncertainties and quantify and propagate them through the fuel model outputs. Such quantification of uncertainties will establish a level of model trustworthiness, identify approaches to improve the model trustworthiness, and even guide optimal experiment design for maximal information gain. To accomplish the uncertainty quantification for computational models, this report has relied on the Bayesian framework which provides probabilistic treatment of models their inputs and outputs. The current state-of-the-art on performing Bayesian Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) for nuclear engineering models using High Performance Computing (HPC) resources have been reviewed. Implementation of capabilities for massively parallel Bayesian UQ in Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) is discussed. Several verification cases are discussed to verify the accuracy of the quantified uncertainties using the developed computational capabilities in MOOSE. Then, the problem of quantifying the uncertainties in TRI-Structural isOtropic (TRISO) fuel silver release is addressed. For the first time, the uncertainties arising from the TRISO Fission Gas Release (FGR) model due to model inadequacy and experimental noise are quantified. Also, the Bayesian capabilities are applied to the calibration of the MATPRO creep model, a widely used model in several fuel assessment cases. The impact of the prediction uncertainties in the MATPRO model on the fuel cladding behavior as part of the TRIBULATION assessment case (which is an integral effects case) is investigated. This report concludes with a discussion on the future work for the UQ for computational models.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Multi-scale models of whole cells: progress and challenges

Whole-cell modeling is “the ultimate goal” of computational systems biology and “a grand challenge for 21st century”. These complex, highly detailed models account for the activity of every molecule in a cell and serve as comprehensive knowledgebases for the modeled system. Their scope and utility far surpass those of other systems models. In fact, whole-cell models (WCMs) are an amalgam of several types of “system” models. The models are simulated using a hybrid modeling method where the appropriate mathematical methods for each biological process are used to simulate their behavior. Given the complexity of the models, the process of developing and curating these models is labor-intensive and to date only a handful of these models have been developed. While whole-cell models provide valuable and novel biological insights, and to date have identified some novel biological phenomena, their most important contribution has been to highlight the discrepancy between available data and observations that are used for the parametrization and validation of complex biological models. Another realization has been that current whole-cell modeling simulators are slow and to run models that mimic more complex (e.g., multi-cellular) biosystems, those need to be executed in an accelerated fashion on high-performance computing platforms. In this manuscript, we review the progress of whole-cell modeling to date and discuss some of the ways that they can be improved.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Self-Evolution Data Fusion Platform for Large-Scale Water Models

Focal Area: Data acquisition and assimilation enabled by machine learning (ML), artificial intelligence (AI), and advanced methods including experimental/network design/optimization, unsupervised learning (deep learning), leveraging advanced hardware (e.g., edge computing). This development is to enable solving the science questions regarding the human and climatic factors that interact with and drive global water scarcity.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Los Alamos Innovation Enables Carbon-Negative Infrastructure Through an AI Infrastructure Partnership

A material innovation first developed at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) is now enabling a major step forward in carbon management. Licensed by Spiritus, the technology is being deployed in a $500 million partnership with Prometheus Hyperscale and Casper Carbon Capture to build one of the largest carbon-negative digital infrastructure projects in the world. Located in Casper, Wyoming, the initiative directly integrates permanent carbon removal with advanced computing systems, illustrating how Los Alamos research continues to advance national goals in energy, security, and innovation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

High throughput, accurate gene annotation through AI and HPC-enabled structural analysis

With the advances in next generation sequencing technologies, the number of sequenced genomes is growing exponentially, resulting in a technology bottleneck for the translation of sequence information into usable hypotheses about the function of each gene. We have proposed leveraging our leadership high-performance computing (HPC) resources to help break this annotation bottleneck. Here we design an HPC-based framework to infer gene function from gene sequence by incorporating information about protein structure and interactions predicted by deep learning approaches. Accurate functional prediction and gene annotation using computational methods will facilitate breakthroughs in the genomic sciences essential to understanding and harnessing life processes in bacteria, fungi and plants. The development and applications of the state-of-the-art deep neural networks to protein structural modeling, interaction prediction, sequence comparison, and quality assessment of protein structural models will be made possible by leadership computational resources. These HPC-enabled bioinformatics and molecular modeling tools will provide powerful insights into molecular functions of genes.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Bayesian Analysis of TRISO Fuel: Quantifying Model Inadequacy, Incorporating Lower-Length-Scale Effects, and Developing Parallel Active Learning Capabilities

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program aims to develop predictive capabilities by applying computational methods to the analysis and design of advanced reactor and fuel-cycle systems. This program has been providing engineering-scale support for the continued development of BISON, a high-fidelity, high-resolution fuel performance tool. Fuel behavior in nuclear reactors is governed by a complex network of mechanisms that interact with various other physics aspects in the reactor system. Any model developed to represent fuel behavior will likely be idealized, resulting in uncertainties when comparing their predictions against the observed data. In Fiscal Year (FY)-23, we initiated the Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) work by using Bayesian methods to establish a level of model trustworthiness and further improve it, with a particular emphasis on TRI-Structural isOtropic (TRISO) nuclear fuel. This year, we further expanded on that UQ work by investigating an approach to quantifying model inadequacy and accounting for lower-length scale (LLS) effects in TRISO silver (Ag) release modeling. Furthermore, we are implementing parallel active learning capabilities to reduce the computational cost (i.e., required computational resources and elapsed time) of performing UQ. Specifically, we utilized The Kennedy O’Hagan framework for Bayesian uncertainty quantification (KOH) to account for model inadequacy in TRISO Ag release predictions made by BISON. The KOH framework represents an improvement over the standard Bayesian framework used in FY-23. Explicitly accounting for model inadequacy in the Bayesian framework helps establish the level of experimental noise uncertainty in the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) data. We compared the inverse UQ results obtained from both the standard Bayesian and KOH frameworks in light of the AGR-2/3/4 data, and also compared the predictive UQ results obtained from these two frameworks in light of the AGR-1 data. Next, we investigated the impact of considering LLS effects in the Ag release simulations. We developed an expanded database of LLS simulated effective diffusivities for Ag, covering a wide range of microstructures and temperatures. Using this database, we developed a framework for incorporating LLS effects into the engineering-scale Ag release UQ. We developed both parametric and non-parametric approaches for bridging the length scales. We then investigated the inverse UQ results in light of the AGR-2/3/4 data and the predictive UQ results in light of the AGR-1 data, and compared the LLS-informed approach and the Arrhenius equation, which does not include microstructure information. Finally, we discussed implementing parallel active learning capabilities in the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE)/BISON to reduce the computational cost (i.e., computational resources and elapsed time) of Bayesian UQ. For verification purposes, we first tested these new capabil ities on a species interaction problem. We then demonstrated them on the TRISO Ag release application, showing that parallel active learning capabilities can enhance the accuracy of UQ while also substantially reducing the computational cost in comparison to the reference methods developed in FY-23.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Unifying principles for catalytic hydrotreating processes (Final Technical Report)

This project builds on the hypothesis that the hydrotreating processes for the removal of oxygen and sulfur are fundamentally similar at the atomic-scale and existing knowledge from the treatment of petroleum derived feedstock can be leveraged for the design of novel catalysts for the upgrade of bio-oil. We tested this hypothesis by comparing computed potential energy diagrams for hydrodesulfurization (HDS) of thiophene over MoS 2 with hydrodeoxygenation (HDO) of furan over MoO 3 and concluded that certain aspects, such as catalyst promotion with transition metals, are valid strategies for both reactions. On the other hand, we also noticed significant differences in the mechanism for hydrogen (H 2 ) activation, which requires sites with metallic character. While MoS 2 is known to have metallic edge states that can catalyze H 2 dissociation, this elementary step is prohibitively slow on defect-free oxides. Only in the presence of vacancies or by creating metal/oxide interfaces can efficient H 2 activation sites during HDO be formed. The need for bifunctional catalyst when it comes to efficient and selective HDO or dehydrogenation reactions was further corroborated in joint experimental and theoretical studies of the Guerbet reaction for the coupling of biomass derived oxygenates over PdCu alloys, nitrate reduction over In-promoted Pd nanoparticles, and ethylene dehydroaromatization over Ga-exchanged ZSM-5 zeolites. All of these catalytic systems have in common that catalytic sites with distinct functional requirements are needed to create a working catalyst. Detailed computational studies were carried out for HDO of m -cresol and phenol on Ru-modified TiO 2 surfaces, which allowed us to attribute catalytic activity to the metal/oxide interface. A surprising finding was that heterolytic cleavage of the H-H bond across the Ru/TiO 2 interface was critically important, despite lower barriers for homolytic H 2 activation on Ru metal. The explanation lies in the high barriers for hydrogen spillover from Ru to TiO 2 , which becomes unnecessary in the heterolytic activation pathway. Moreover, we also reported that proton transfer steps between metal and oxide sites are mediated by weakly adsorbed surface water. During attempts to develop and validate a kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) model for HDO reactions at the Ru/TiO 2 interface, it became clear that lateral interactions are paramount to describe realistic surface chemistry and without these interactions, the reduction and hydroxylation behavior from our simulations was inconsistent with reported experiments. To assess the importance of lateral interactions in popular computational catalyst design strategies relying on the identification of reactivity descriptors, which can be used along with Brønsted–Evans–Polanyi (BEP) and scaling relations as input to a microkinetic model (MKM) to make predictions for activity or selectivity trends, we compared predicted trends with those obtained from descriptor-based kMC models. We critically evaluated the benefits of kMC over MKM in terms of trend predictions and computational cost when using only a small set of input parameters. After confirming that in the absence of lateral interactions the kMC and MKM approaches yield identical trends and mechanistic information, we observed substantial differences between the two kinetic models when lateral interactions were introduced. The mean-field implementation applies coverage corrections directly to the descriptors, causing an artificial overprediction of the activity of strongly binding metals. In contrast, the cluster expansion in kMC implementation can differentiate among the highly active metals but it is very sensitive to the set of included interaction parameters. Considering that computational screening relies on a minimal set of descriptors, for which MKM makes reasonable trend predictions at a ca. three orders of magnitude lower computational cost than kMC, we concluded that the MKM approach does provide an overall better entry point for computational catalyst design. Overall, this project has led to 11 peer-reviewed publications, and their scientific is impact is well illustrated by their combined 702 citations.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2023

Quantum Computing for Biomedical Computational and Data Sciences: A Joint DOE-NIH Roundtable

The overlap of quantum computing and biomedical research, while less explored, presents significant near-term opportunities. The Department of Energy (DOE) and the National Institutes of Health (NIH) are interested in exploiting the DOE community’s capabilities and expertise in quantum computing to potentially advance biomedical research, targeting fundamental studies of biological and molecular structures, understanding of human health as well as mental and physical disorders and diseases, and deriving insights from clinical data. NIH’s approach to quantum computing is guided by its Strategic Plan for Data Science, emphasizing the importance of findable, accessible, interoperable, and reusable (FAIR) data assets, security and privacy of data, and efficient computing and storage. DOE’s Office of Science (SC), and more specifically the Advanced Scientific Computing Research (ASCR) program, supports quantum information science (QIS) research, contributing to a unique portfolio of quantum computing and communications expertise. This roundtable was assembled to consider the opportunities and challenges in the near-, medium-, and long-term at the intersection of quantum computing, data science, and biomedical research and how these could be addressed through inter-agency collaboration and multi-disciplinary partnerships.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Uncertainty analysis of Resource Demand Model for Covid-19

As part of the Department of Energy response to the novel coronavirus pandemic of 2020, a modeling effort was sponsored by the DOE Office of Science. One task of this modeling effort at Sandia was to develop a model to predict medical resource needs given various patient arrival scenarios. Resources needed include personnel resources (nurses, ICU nurses, physicians, respiratory therapists), fixed resources (regular or ICU beds and ventilators), and consumable resources (masks, gowns, gloves, face shields, sedatives). This report documents the uncertainty analysis that was performed on the resource model. The uncertainty analysis involved sampling 26 input parameters to the model. The sampling was performed conditional on the patient arrival streams that also were inputs to the model. These patient arrival streams were derived from various epidemiology models and had a significant effect on the projected resource needs. In this report, we document the sampling approach, the parameter ranges used, and the computational workflow necessary to perform large-scale uncertainty studies for every county and state in the United States.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

A Poisson equation method for prescribing fully developed non-Newtonian inlet conditions for computational fluid dynamics simulations in models of arbitrary cross-section

Prescribing inlet boundary conditions for computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations of internal flow in complex geometries such as anatomical vascular models is challenging. In the absence of patient-specific inlet velocity data, a common approach for long blood vessels is to assume that the inlet flow is fully developed. In vessels of irregular cross section, however, prescribing fully developed conditions is complicated due to the lack of a general closed-form analytical solution. In this study, we develop a simple Poisson equation method for prescribing fully developed inlet conditions for the flow of either Newtonian or non-Newtonian fluids in CFD models of arbitrary cross-section. We first derive the generalized Poisson equation for fully developed flow of a non-Newtonian fluid and we then develop and verify a methodology for numerically computing the solution on any planar boundary domain. In addition, we develop a simple extension of the method for prescribing a non-orthogonal inlet velocity that represents fully developed flow from an upstream tube that is connected to the CFD inlet at a non-orthogonal angle. This may be used to investigate a common source of uncertainty in CFD simulations of internal flow that is due to a lack of information concerning the exact streamwise flow direction at the inlets. Comparison to several Newtonian and non-Newtonian benchmark verification solutions shows the method to be extremely accurate. As a practical demonstration case, we use the method to prescribe fully developed conditions on multiple non-circular inlets for the non-Newtonian flow of blood in a patient-specific model of the inferior vena cava (IVC). Finally, we further demonstrate the utility of the method by performing a sensitivity study using the patient-specific IVC model, wherein we investigate the influence of inlet velocity flow direction on the non-Newtonian IVC hemodynamics. Given its simplicity and computational efficiency, the method is shown to be far superior to alternative approaches for prescribing fully developed inlet conditions in such complicated geometries. In conclusion, to facilitate the adoption of our Poisson equation method, we have distributed our OpenFOAM source code and the associated test cases from this study as open-source software.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Feature Engineering and Ensemble Methods for Imbalanced ICS Intrusion Detection: Pipeline Audit and Constrained Evaluation

Industries are becoming increasingly connected and are more vulnerable to cyberattacks due to the widened attack surface. Industrial Control Systems (ICS) are among the most critical sectors that malicious actors can target, as such attacks can cause significant operational disruption and physical damage. It is imperative to detect such attacks as early as possible. This paper evaluates constraint-conditioned optimistic performance estimates for traditional ML models in ICS intrusion detection (i.e., estimates obtained under contiguous, non-shuffled temporal evaluation without test-set alteration, but with pre-split feature engineering that may introduce temporal leakage, due to dataset constraints). Our findings are threefold. First, we quantify how iterative feature engineering affects tree-based ensemble performance and examine how pipeline decisions (split strategy, sampling scope, and cleaning policy) can inflate or reduce reported IDS results under constraint-bound evaluation. Second, we compare intrinsic class-imbalance handling across ensemble models. Third, under our current pipeline constraints (including pre-split feature engineering), CatBoost achieves the best performance on Water Storage Tank (accuracy: 0.9831, class-1 F1: 0.9682), while Light- GBM achieves the best performance on Gas Pipeline (accuracy: 0.9618, class-1 F1: 0.9086).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

The Impact of Time-Aware Design Choices in ICS Anomaly Detection

Industrial control systems (ICS) remain vulnerable to increasingly sophisticated cyberattacks, yet evaluating anomaly detection models in these environments is challenging due to temporal dependencies, missing-not-at-random patterns, and extremely imbalanced datasets. These factors make common practices—especially random data splits and na¨ıve imputation— prone to severe temporal leakage, which can inflate reported performance and obscure real-world limitations. In this work, we systematically examine classical machine learning models, temporal deep learning architecture, and tensordecomposition– based methods on a gas-pipeline dataset using a fully temporally separated evaluation pipeline designed to mimic realistic deployment conditions. Our findings show that proper temporal handling and MNAR-aware preprocessing significantly alter the relative performance of popular anomaly-detection methods, providing practical guidance for designing reliable, leakage-resistant ICS intrusion-detection systems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2020

HOSS: Hybrid Optimization Software Suite

HOSS software, developed at LANL, is a powerful, flexible, and parallelized package that enables the user to predict deformation and failure of materials in a variety of situations. LANL’s HOSS software is an R&D 100 finalist that integrates solid mechanics and computational fluid dynamics into a multi-physics platform able to handle millions of interacting and fracturing solids and/or particle systems. This nextgeneration simulation software integrates solid mechanics and computational fluid dynamics into a multi-physics platform able to provide state-of-the-art simulation solutions for a wide field of applications including oil and gas, construction, mining, defense, material sciences, and biomechanics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Computational Modeling To Adapt Neutralizing Antibody

Monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) is the leading therapy for viral infections because it provides immediate protection and can be administered at higher levels than in a natural immune response. Finding mAbs that neutralize a broad spectrum of viral targets has proven difficult because many species and strains exist and blanket targeting is a slow and laborious process to experimentally screen 108 variants. A new method is needed to rapidly redesign mAbs for homologous targets. This project speeds up redesign using structure-based computational design to reduce the mAbs search space to a manageable level and screen mutants at a much higher rate than in experiments. Computation will also provide critical knowledge about the fundamental interactions. The project will adapt S230, a human antibody that neutralizes SARS-CoV, to neutralize SARS-COV-2.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Simulated Adhesive Response to Aging (CRADA 453 Final Report)

The goal of this project was to develop a suite of molecular models to investigate adhesive performance as a result of the presence of different levels of moisture. These different levels of moisture are accepted in the adhesives community to represent different states of aging. First, our team modeled the adhesive’s crosslinked structure. Next, we modeled adding water to the crosslinked structure and used high performance computing resources to simulate water diffusion through the bulk adhesive and possible sites for chain scission. Finally, we modeled the response of the simulated adhesive to tensile loads at various levels of moisture content. These simulations were validated by experimental characterization by the industry partner. We found that the Young’s modulus of the adhesive decreased by about 30% when the water content increased to 3 wt.%. Our simulations also identified the likely site where the polymer chain could break. Our integration of molecular level simulations and mechanical property predictions using high performance computing with experimental studies of a hydrated epoxy system has yielded fundamental insights that will help industry advance lightweight joining technologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Q4Q: Quantum Computation for Quantum Prediction of Materials and Molecular Properties

We aim at exploring the potential of quantum computation to solve practical problems that are currently targeted by “traditional” high performance computing (HPC). Along the way, we will develop theoretical frameworks and algorithmic strategies. We propose computational research activities that will advance the application of quantum computers to selected materials/molecular properties: (1) Band structure of solids; (2) Molecular electronic/vibronic properties; (3) Free energies and phase transitions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

PAGOSA Theory Manual

PAGOSA is a computational fluid dynamics program developed at LANL for the study of high-speed compressible flow and high-rate material deformation. PAGOSA is a three-dimensional Eulerian finite-difference code, solving problems with a wide variety of EOS, material strength, and explosive modeling options. This document presents the finite difference equations that are used in the PAGOSA continuum mechanics computer code. This program is especially intended to be used for the numerical simulation of the interactions of gases, fluids, and solids.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗