Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “Function Estimation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 739 records · Page 41

Single-Stream Empirical Jet Noise Models Based on Scale-Model Data

Accurate single-stream jet-noise models for hot jets in flight are necessary for predicting noise of future commercial supersonic aircraft at takeoff. Previous comparisons between flight data and existing models have shown unacceptably large errors in the predictive tools. In the current effort, acoustic data were acquired in the Aero-Acoustic Propulsion Laboratory at the NASA Glenn Research Center for a single-stream hot jet with a range of operating conditions and simulated flight speeds that include those expected at takeoff of commercial supersonic aircraft. Models are presented for the resulting shape functions used to estimate the average spectra derived from the appropriate scaling of the jet-noise data.

Acoustics↗

Single-Stream Empirical Jet-Noise Models Based on Scale-Model Data

Accurate single-stream jet-noise models for hot jets in flight are necessary for predicting noise of future commercial supersonic aircraft at takeoff. Previous comparisons between flight data and existing models have shown unacceptably large errors in the predictive tools. In the current effort, acoustic data were acquired in the Aero-Acoustic Propulsion Laboratory at the NASA Glenn Research Center for a single-stream hot jet with a range of operating conditions and simulated flight speeds that include those expected at takeoff of commercial supersonic aircraft. Models are presented for the resulting shape functions used to estimate the average spectra derived from the appropriate scaling of the jet-noise data.

Acoustics↗

Detection Identification and Quantification of Keto-Hydroperoxides in Low-Temperature Oxidation.

Keto-hydroperoxides are reactive partially oxidized intermediates that play a central role in chain-branching reactions during the low-temperature oxidation of hydrocarbons. In this Perspective, we outline how these short lived species can be detected, identified, and quantified using integrated experimental and theoretical approaches. The procedures are based on direct molecular-beam sampling from reactive environments, followed by mass spectrometry with single-photon ionization, identification of fragmentation patterns, and theoretical calculations of ionization thresholds, fragment appearance energies, and photoionization cross sections. Using the oxidation of neo-pentane and tetrahydrofuran as examples, the individual steps of the experimental approaches are described in depth together with a detailed description of the theoretical efforts. For neo-pentane, the experimental data are consistent with the calculated ionization and fragment appearance energies of the keto-hydroperoxide, thus adding confidence to the analysis routines and the employed levels of theory. For tetrahydrofuran, multiple keto-hydroperoxide isomers are possible due to the presence of nonequivalent O 2 addition sites. Despite this additional complexity, the experimental data allow for the identification of two to four keto-hydroperoxides. Mole fraction profiles of the keto-hydroperoxides, which are quantified using calculated photoionization cross sections, are provided together with estimated uncertainties as function of the temperature of the reactive mixture and can serve as validation targets for chemically detailed mechanisms.

Hansen, Nils↗

Monte Carlo Uncertainty Quantification for an Unattended Enrichment Monitor

As a case study for uncertainty analysis, we consider a model flow monitor for measuring enrichment in gas centrifuge enrichment plants (GCEPs) that could provide continuous monitoring of all declared gas flow and provide high-accuracy gas enrichment estimates as a function of time. The monitor system could include NaI(Tl) gamma-ray spectrometers, a pressure signal-sharing device to be installed on an operator\rq{}s pressure gauge or a dedicated inspector pressure sensor, and temperature sensors attached to the outside of the header pipe, to provide pressure, temperature, and gamma-ray spectra measurements of UF$_6$ gas flow through unit header pipes. Our study builds on previous modeling and analysis methods development for enrichment monitor concepts and a software tool that was developed at Oak Ridge National Laboratory to generate and analyze synthetic data.

international safeguards↗

Spatially Explicit Modeling of Criteria Air Pollutants from Agricultural and Forestry Feedstock Production

The Feedstock Production Emissions to Air Model (FPEAM) is a spatially explicit supply chain model that quantifies criteria air pollutants and precursors generated by biomass production, harvest and transportation to biorefineries. FPEAM was most recently used for the 2016 Billion Ton Study (BTS) published by the U.S. Department of Energy Bioenergy Technologies Office. This presentation describes several use cases for the model, and provides an overview of recent restructuring that increases FPEAM's usability and functionality. FPEAM currently estimates emissions of volatile organic compounds, particulate matter, nitrogen oxides, sulfur oxides, and carbon monoxide from on-farm equipment operation, on-farm fugitive dust, on-farm chemical (fertilizer, herbicide and insecticide) application, and biomass transportation. These calculations are implemented within FPEAM as modules, which independently perform calculations for each emissions category. This structure allows users to include or exclude emissions categories according to the goal and scope of their analysis. Each module's input data defines the activities taking place with information including fuel combusted, chemicals applied, and equipment used. Users can replace or augment the default input data to quantify additional pollutant types, emissions categories, farming practices and biomass types. Emissions from biomass transportation and on-farm equipment operation are by default calculated by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Motor Vehicle Emission Simulator (MOVES) and NONROAD model, respectively. These models - which are computationally intensive but provide detailed results - can optionally be replaced with user-provided emissions factors for fuel combustion and vehicle operation. This approach reduces FPEAM's runtime and allows users to run sensitivity analyses around biomass production and transportation scenarios. Other enhancements currently under development are the use of farm-to-biorefinery route information to increase the spatial resolution of transportation emissions, and a module to connect FPEAM and the Intervention Model for Air Pollution (InMAP), which will enable the quantification of human health impacts.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Compressive sensing optical design and simulation tool

A system or method for designing optical systems includes generating a mathematical model of an imaging system; tracing a plurality of light rays from a source through the model of the imaging system in a forward direction and a backward direction incident upon an arbitrarily defined detector location; calculating the total light rays incident upon the arbitrarily defined detector location in response to the plurality of light rays; tracing a series of calibration images first through the computational or compressive imager mathematical model; measuring an output set of parameters based on a plurality of detected rays calibration images at the defined detector location; storing the output set of parameters in software, and determining an estimated system transfer function.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Beyond Generalized Eigenvalues in Lattice Quantum Field Theory

Two analysis techniques, the generalized eigenvalue method (GEM) or Prony's (or related) method (PM), are commonly used to analyze statistical estimates of correlation functions produced in lattice quantum field theory calculations. GEM takes full advantage of the matrix structure of correlation functions but only considers individual pairs of time separations when much more data exists. PM can be applied to many time separations and many individual matrix elements simultaneously but does not fully exploit the matrix structure of the correlation function. We combine both these methods into a single framework based on matrix polynomials. As these algebraic methods are well known for producing extensive spectral information about statistically-noisy data, the method should be paired with some information criteria, like the recently proposed Bayesean model averaging.

Fleming, George T.↗

A new probe concept for internal pipework inspection - 241

The interior visual inspection of nuclear pipework is a critical inspection activity required to ensure the continued safe, reliable operation of plant and thus avoid costly outages. Typically, the video output from a manually deployed probe is viewed by an operator online with the task of identifying and estimating the location of surface defects such as cracks, corrosion and pitting. However, it is very difficult to estimate the nature and spatial extent of defects from the often disorientating small field of view video of a relatively large structure. This work describes a new visual inspection system incorporating a wide field of view machine vision camera and additional sensors designed for inspecting 3 - 6 inch diameter pipes. The output of the system is a photorealistic model of the internal surface of the pipework. The generation of this model relies upon a core component of the system in the form of image feature extraction which estimates camera location. This paper considers the accuracy of this estimation as a function of the number and configuration of the extracted image features. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗

Advancing earth system model calibration: a diffusion-based method

Understanding of climate impact on ecosystems globally requires site-specific model calibration. Here we introduce a novel diffusion-based uncertainty quantification (DBUQ) method for efficient model calibration. DBUQ is a score-based diffusion model that leverages Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the score function and evaluates a simple neural network to quickly generate samples for approximating parameter posterior distributions. DBUQ is stable, efficient, and can effectively calibrate the model given diverse observations, thereby enabling rapid and site-specific model calibration on a global scale. This capability significantly advances Earth system modeling and our understanding of climate impacts on Earth systems. We demonstrate DBUQ's capability in E3SM land model calibration at the Missouri Ozark AmeriFlux forest site. Both synthetic and real-data applications indicate that DBUQ produces accurate parameter posterior distributions similar to those generated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling but with 30X less computing time. This efficiency marks a significant stride in model calibration, paving the way for more effective and timely climate impact analyses.

Liu, Yanfang↗

How does drought affect residential water demand and price elasticity?

Urban water scarcity is an important social and economic concern, particularly as the intensity, duration, and frequency of droughts is increasing in many regions. We consider whether drought induces changes to water demand and the price elasticity of demand for water that may last beyond a drought’s official end date. If drought shocks prompt long-term changes in water demand behavior, and these changes occur at broad geographic scale, they could have important implications for modeling adaptive responses to water scarcity. We assemble a novel dataset on residential water demand and pricing in the western United States to test empirically for effects of drought on water demand and price elasticity. We perform our analysis with aggregate quantity, price, and drought data, accounting for endogenous prices under increasing-block water tariffs and using both average and marginal water fees in estimating water demand functions. Results are consistent with the hypothesis that households may become less price-sensitive after exposure to drought. However, we find no systematic evidence of long-run, drought-related reductions in water demand, itself.

demand hardening↗

Regional Multi-Fluid-Based Geophysical Excitation of Polar Motion

By analyzing geophysical fluids geographic distribution, we can isolate the regional provenance for some of the important signals in polar motion. An understanding of such will enable us to determine whether certain climate signals can have an impact on polar motion. Here we have compared regional patterns of three surficial fluids: the atmosphere, ocean and land-based hydrosphere. The oceanic excitation function of polar motion was estimated with the ECCO/JPL data - assimilating model, and the atmospheric excitation function was determined from NCEP/NCAR reanalyses. The excitation function due to land hydrology was estimated from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) data by an indirect approach that determines water thickness. Our attention focuses on the regional distribution of atmospheric and oceanic excitation of the annual and Chandler wobbles during 1993-2010, and on hydrologic excitation of these wobbles during 2002.9-2011.5. It is found that the regions of maximum fractional covariance (those exceeding a value of 3 .10 -3) for the annual band are over south Asia, southeast Asia and south central Indian ocean, for hydrology, atmosphere and ocean respectively; and for the Chandler period, areas over North America, Asia, and South America; and scattered across the southern oceans for the atmosphere and oceans respectively

oceanic angular momentum↗

Weakly Supervised Event Classification Using Imperfect Real-world PMU Data with Scarce Labels

This paper studies event classification using imperfect real-world phasor measurement unit (PMU) data with scarce event types (labels). By investigating the real-world PMU data, it is observed that most real-world PMU data's event type is unknown, which makes it challenging to directly use such dataset to build event classifiers as existing classification techniques require high-quality training data with known event type (i.e., label). To address this challenge, a weakly supervised learning based event classification approach is developed, which can use noisy and low-quality PMU data for the training. First, data quality issues are fixed using data preprocessing techniques and then event features are constructed from the PMU data. Using these features, a series of labeling functions are learnt to generate initial estimates of the labels of large amounts of unlabeled PMU data. As the labeling functions are learnt using the same data with scarce labels, the label estimates from the labeling functions can be correlated, noisy, and bias. To enhance these initial estimates, a generative model is developed to characterize the dependencies among the estimated labels, based on which better labels are obtained for training event classifiers. Numerical experiments using the real-world dataset from the Western Interconnection of the U.S. power transmission grid show that the proposed weakly supervised event classifier trained using the dataset with only 5% labeled data can achieve 78.4% classification accuracy.

Liu, Yunchuan↗

Estimation of wintertime cloud radiative effects in the Western Arctic, a function of cloud-moisture-coupling and sea ice conditions

Cloud radiative effects are estimated using up- and downward ground-based observations of broadband thermal infrared sensors in cloudy conditions which are provided by the ARM data repository. The ARM Surface Radiation measurement is analyzed. To study the cloud radiative effects, the observed thermal infrared measurements under cloudy conditions are analyzed together with microphysical cloud properties like liquid and ice water path obtained from the CloudNet algorithms applied to the remote-sensing instrumentation suite at the ARM site in Utqiagvik. Cloud observations have been sorted depending on the coupling of the cloud with upwind water vapor transport events that can interact with sea ice upwind. Statistics of surface net thermal fluxes and cloud water/ice properties show a distinguished distribution for coupled and decoupled clouds. It was found that coupled clouds contain more liquid water and are more efficient reduce the cooling of surface LW radiation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Large covariance matrices: smooth models from the two-point correlation function

We introduce a new method for estimating the covariance matrix for the galaxy correlation function in surveys of large-scale structure. Our method combines simple theoretical results with a realistic characterization of the survey to dramatically reduce noise in the covariance matrix. For example, with an investment of only ≈1000 CPU hours we can produce a model covariance matrix with noise levels that would otherwise require ~35 000 mocks. Non-Gaussian contributions to the model are calibrated against mock catalogues, after which the model covariance is found to be in impressive agreement with the mock covariance matrix. Since calibration of this method requires fewer mocks than brute force approaches, we believe that it could dramatically reduce the number of mocks required to analyse future surveys.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

The response of a propeller anemometer to turbulent flow with the mean wind vector perpendicular to the axis of rotation

Determination of the properties of the system transfer function of the vertical-velocity propeller anemometer. A treatment of this problem is presented which is based on an analysis of estimates of the system transfer function derived from estimates of spectra calculated from time histories of indicated vertical velocity and on estimates of the associated input Eulerian vertical-velocity frequency spectra based on the hypothesis that instrument degradation of the Fourier components occurs in the inertial subrange.

Fichtl, G. H.↗

Uterine Contraction Modeling and Simulation

Building a training system for medical personnel to properly interpret fetal heart rate tracing requires developing accurate models that can relate various signal patterns to certain pathologies. In addition to modeling the fetal heart rate signal itself, the change of uterine pressure that bears strong relation to fetal heart rate and provides indications of maternal and fetal status should also be considered. In this work, we have developed a group of parametric models to simulate uterine contractions during labor and delivery. Through analysis of real patient records, we propose to model uterine contraction signals by three major components: regular contractions, impulsive noise caused by fetal movements, and low amplitude noise invoked by maternal breathing and measuring apparatus. The regular contractions are modeled by an asymmetric generalized Gaussian function and least squares estimation is used to compute the parameter values of the asymmetric generalized Gaussian function based on uterine contractions of real patients. Regular contractions are detected based on thresholding and derivative analysis of uterine contractions. Impulsive noise caused by fetal movements and low amplitude noise by maternal breathing and measuring apparatus are modeled by rational polynomial functions and Perlin noise, respectively. Experiment results show the synthesized uterine contractions can mimic the real uterine contractions realistically, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

Liu, Miao↗

Optimal estimation for discrete time jump processes

Optimum estimates of nonobservable random variables or random processes which influence the rate functions of a discrete time jump process (DTJP) are obtained. The approach is based on the a posteriori probability of a nonobservable event expressed in terms of the a priori probability of that event and of the sample function probability of the DTJP. A general representation for optimum estimates and recursive equations for minimum mean squared error (MMSE) estimates are obtained. MMSE estimates are nonlinear functions of the observations. The problem of estimating the rate of a DTJP when the rate is a random variable with a probability density function of the form cx super K (l-x) super m and show that the MMSE estimates are linear in this case. This class of density functions explains why there are insignificant differences between optimum unconstrained and linear MMSE estimates in a variety of problems.

Vaca, M. V.↗

Dwarf spheroidal J-factor likelihoods for generalized NFW profiles

ABSTRACT Indirect detection strategies of particle dark matter (DM) in Dwarf spheroidal satellite galaxies (dSphs) typically entail searching for annihilation signals above the astrophysical background. To robustly compare model predictions with the observed fluxes of product particles, most analyses of astrophysical data – which are generally frequentist – rely on estimating the abundance of DM by calculating the so-called J factor. This quantity is usually inferred from the kinematic properties of the stellar population of a dSph using the Jeans equation, commonly by means of Bayesian techniques that entail the presence (and additional systematic uncertainty) of prior choice. Here, extending earlier work, we develop a scheme to derive the profile likelihood for J factors of dwarf spheroidals for models with five or more free parameters. We validate our method on a publicly available simulation suite, released by the Gaia Challenge, finding satisfactory statistical properties for bias and probability coverage. We present the profile likelihood function and maximum likelihood estimates for the J-factor of 10 dSphs. As an illustration, we apply these profile likelihoods to recently published analyses of γ-ray data with the Fermi Large Area Telescope to derive new, consistent upper limits on the DM annihilation cross-section. We do this for a subset of systems, generally referred to as classical dwarfs. The implications of these findings for DM searches are discussed, together with future improvements and extensions of this technique.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗