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At least 739 records · Page 41

Navigation accuracies for GPS demonstration on Topex/Poseidon

When Topex/Poseidon, is launched in June 1992, the joint United States/French oceanographic satellite mission will carry a developmental Global Positioning System (GPS) receiver on board to support the planned GPS demonstration experiment. The navigation operations aspect of the demonstration will develop software and operational procedures for the GPS Data Processing Facility (GDPF) at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory. This paper presents simulations and covariance analysis of operational scenarios in support of the GDPF. Multi-orbit filter techniques using GPS carrier phase and P-code pseudo-range are studied both to tune the filter parameters and to determine feasible arc lengths for use in operations. In addition, a baseline operational scenario is presented with performance results given in terms of end-to-end processing times and computational loading based on a prototype version of the operational software.

Williams, B. G.↗

Two Reduced Resolution Filter Approaches to Data Assimilation

In this paper we evaluate the performance of two reduced resolution filter approaches to data assimilation. The main distinction between these approaches is in the manner they propagate error covariances. Both account for error covariances in a space with dimension m smaller than the model's state vector dimension n. In the first approach the m dimensional error covariance matrix is interpolated to the n-dimensional space and propagated with the n-dimensional dynamics. In the second approach the low-dimensional error covariance matrix is propagated by a dynamical operator generated in the m-dimensional space. Our experiments indicate that the first approach provides a more reliable simplified scheme for error covariance propagation than the second approach.

Todling, Ricardo↗

Efficient Kriging Algorithms

More efficient versions of an interpolation method, called kriging, have been introduced in order to reduce its traditionally high computational cost. Written in C++, these approaches were tested on both synthetic and real data. Kriging is a best unbiased linear estimator and suitable for interpolation of scattered data points. Kriging has long been used in the geostatistic and mining communities, but is now being researched for use in the image fusion of remotely sensed data. This allows a combination of data from various locations to be used to fill in any missing data from any single location. To arrive at the faster algorithms, sparse SYMMLQ iterative solver, covariance tapering, Fast Multipole Methods (FMM), and nearest neighbor searching techniques were used. These implementations were used when the coefficient matrix in the linear system is symmetric, but not necessarily positive-definite.

Memarsadeghi, Nargess↗

Thinking Outside of the Blue Marble: Novel Ocean Applications Using the VIIRS Sensor

While planning for future space-borne sensors will increase the quality, quantity, and duration of ocean observations in the years to come, efforts to extend the limits of sensors currently in orbit can help shed light on future scientific gains as well as associated uncertainties. Here, we present several applications that are unique to the polar orbiting Visual Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), each of which challenge the threshold capabilities of the sensor and provide lessons for future missions. For instance, while moderate resolution polar orbiters typically have a one day revisit time, we are able to obtain multiple looks of the same area by focusing on the extreme zenith angles where orbital views overlap, and pair these observations with those from other sensors to create pseudo-geostationary data sets. Or, by exploiting high spatial resolution (imaging) channels and analyzing patterns of synoptic covariance across the visible spectrum, we can obtain higher spatial resolution bio-optical products. Alternatively, non-traditional products can illuminate important biological interactions in the ocean, such as the use of the Day-Night-Band to provide some quantification of phototactic behavior of marine life along light polluted beaches, as well as track the location of marine fishing vessel fleets along ocean fronts. In this talk, we explore ways to take full advantage of the capabilities of existing sensors in order to maximize insights for future missions.

ocean color↗

Approach navigation for the 2009 Mars large lander

The focus of this paper is the performance of the approach navigation process using combinations of Deep Space Network (DSN) Doppler, ranging and delta differential one-way range (deltaDOR) measurements along with optical navigation data collected by the spacecraft. Results for several combinations of data types will be included.

approach↗

Development and Airborne Demonstration of the Concurrent Artificially-Intelligent Spectrometry and Adaptive Lidar System: Advancing Lidar Capabilities for the STV Observing System

We report on the design, build and planned airborne demonstration of a spaceflight-prototype Concurrent Artificially-intelligent Spectrometry and Adaptive Lidar System (CASALS). The CASALS lidar is an Adaptive Wavelength Scanning Lidar (AWSL) operating in push broom mode. The demonstration has three major goals: advance the Technical Readiness Level of the AWSL hardware, validate its measurement performance and mature algorithms and methods needed for the Surface Topography and Vegetation (STV) observing system. AWSL acquires parallel tracks of surface heights by rapidly steering a laser beam across a swath. A 1040nm-centered laser is tuned across 30nm and carved into 2-ns pulses, the pulse energy is fiber amplified and the pulses are dispersed cross-track using a non-mechanical wavelength-to-angle grating. For the spaceflight system the beam will be pointable to 1200 10m footprints across a 7km swath. For the airborne demonstration there will be 256 0.7m footprints across a 110m swath. In both cases the footprints overlap across- and along-track for uniform target illumination. For the airborne demonstration a steering mirror will increase the accessible swath width to 4km. At the receiver, solar radiation is filtered with a narrow-slit grating-spectrometer and the footprints are imaged onto a linear-mode, photon-sensitive HgCdTe APD-array. The received pulses are time-division-multiplexed to a few high-speed analog-to-digital converters to record waveforms. Spaceflight and airborne CASALS are designed to nominally detect 20 photons per pulse and, by averaging 27 overlapping footprints, achieve 2cm flat target range precision and high-quality vegetation structure waveforms The AWSL will be flown in the summer of 2024, along with a Headwall VNIR-SWIR hyperspectral sensor imaging a 4km wide swath, at NEON eddy covariance flux towers in the U.S. mid-Atlantic where high resolution hyperspectral and lidar data, acquired annually, are available for validation.

Guangning Yang↗

OSIRIS-REx Earth Return Orbit Determination Analysis and Performance

Origins, Spectral Interpretation, Resource Identification, and Security–Regolith Explorer (OSIRIS-REx) was a NASA New Frontiers–class asteroid sample return mission to (101955) Bennu. OSIRIS-REx performed a series of Trajectory Cor-rection Maneuver (TCM)s to target an Entry Interface (EI) point for Earth Return and entry, descent, and landing (EDL). On September 24, 2023, the Sample Re-turn Capsule (SRC) separated from the spacecraft, entered the atmosphere, and ultimately landed at the Utah Test and Training Range for recovery. This paper gives an overview of the updated orbit determination (OD) covariance analysis that went into the Earth return and reentry analysis after asteroid departure. Tracking data assumptions and multiple filter cases are analyzed to show performance. Operational OD results from TCM-9 and subsequent targeting maneuvers up to entry interface are provided. We show parameter error analysis contributions from the OD setup and their breakdown in the B-Plane error ellipses. Finally, we discuss the terminal OD solutions into EI and reconstruction results using onboard image data.

Jason M. Leonard↗

Uncertainty-quantified phenomenological optical potentials for single-nucleon scattering

Optical-model potentials (OMPs) continue to play a key role in nuclear reaction calculations. However, the uncertainty of phenomenological OMPs in widespread use—inherent to any parametric model trained on data—has not been fully characterized, and its impact on downstream users of OMPs remains unclear. Here we assign well-calibrated uncertainties for two representative global OMPs, those of Koning-Delaroche and Chapel Hill '89, using Markov-chain Monte Carlo for parameter inference. By comparing the canonical versions of these OMPs against the experimental data originally used to constrain them, we show how a lack of outlier rejection and a systematic underestimation of experimental uncertainties contributes to bias of, and overconfidence in, best-fit parameter values. Our updated, uncertainty-quantified versions of these OMPs address these issues and yield complete covariance information for potential parameters. Scattering predictions generated from our ensembles show improved performance both against the original training corpora of experimental data and against a new “test” corpus comprising many of the experimental single-nucleon scattering data collected over the last twenty years. Finally, we apply our uncertainty-quantified OMPs to two case studies of application-relevant cross sections. We conclude that, for many common applications of OMPs, including OMP uncertainty should become standard practice. Furthermore, to facilitate their immediate use, digital versions of our updated OMPs and related tools for forward uncertainty propagation are included as Supplemental Material.

150 ≤ A ≤ 189↗

Multiphenomenology explosion monitoring (MultiPEM): a general framework for data interpretation and yield estimation

SUMMARY An underground nuclear explosion (UNE) couples mechanical energy into crustal rock, which propagates as seismic and acoustic waves. These different physical phenomena transport, by different pathways, to standoff detectors at varying distances. The transport pathways attenuate the original signal but in different ways. Enabled by correct statistical weighting, signal attenuation models can be used to combine these disparate sensor data to estimate the yield of an UNE. Contemporaneous statistical models, used in yield estimation, can be improved with an advanced partition of error for these physical signal propagation models. We present an advanced multivariate approach to error modelling of multiphenomenology physical signatures. In addition to measurement error, our error model represents physical model biases as random with a physics-based covariance structure. To illustrate this proposed framework, we demonstrate the estimation of explosion yield using openly available seismic and acoustic data from chemical single-point explosions.

Williams, Brian J.↗

Integrated tools for control-system analysis

The basic functions embedded within a user friendly software package (MATRIXx) are used to provide a high level systems approach to the analysis of linear control systems. Various control system analysis configurations are assembled automatically to minimize the amount of work by the user. Interactive decision making is incorporated via menu options and at selected points, such as in the plotting section, by inputting data. There are five evaluations such as the singular value robustness test, singular value loop transfer frequency response, Bode frequency response, steady-state covariance analysis, and closed-loop eigenvalues. Another section describes time response simulations. A time response for random white noise disturbance is available. The configurations and key equations used for each type of analysis, the restrictions that apply, the type of data required, and an example problem are described. One approach for integrating the design and analysis tools is also presented.

Ostroff, Aaron J.↗

ELM–Wet: Inclusion of a Wet–Landunit With Sub–Grid Representation of Eco–Hydrological Patches and Hydrological Forcing Improves Methane Emission Estimations in the E3SM Land Model (ELM)

Wetlands are the largest emitters of biogenic methane (CH 4 ) and represent the highest source of uncertainty in global CH 4 budgets. Here, we aim to improve the realism of wetland representation in the U.S. Department of Energy's Exascale Earth System Model land surface model, ELM, thereby reducing uncertainty of CH 4 flux predictions. We develop an updated version, ELM-Wet, where we activate a separate landunit for wetlands that handles multiple wetland-specific eco-hydrological patch functional types. We introduce more realistic hydrological forcing through prescribing site-level constraints on surface water elevation, which allows resolving different sustained inundation depth for different patches, and if data exists, prescribing inundation depth. We modified the calculation of aerenchyma transport diffusivity based on observed conductance per leaf area for different vegetation types. We use Bayesian Optimization to parameterize CO 2 and CH 4 fluxes in the developed wet-landunit. Site-level simulations of a coastal non-tidal freshwater wetland in Louisiana were performed with the updated model. Eddy covariance observations of CO 2 and CH 4 fluxes from 2012 to 2013 were used to train the model and data from 2021 were used for validation. Patch-specific chamber flux observations and observations of CH 4 concentration profiles in the soil porewater from 2021 were used for evaluation of the model performance. Our results show that ELM-Wet reduces the model's CH 4 emission root mean squared error by up to 33% and is able to represent inter-daily CO 2 and CH 4 flux variability across the wetland's eco-hydrological patches, including during periods of extreme dry or wet conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Massively Parallel Assimilation of TOGA/TAO and Topex/Poseidon Measurements into a Quasi Isopycnal Ocean General Circulation Model Using an Ensemble Kalman Filter

A massively parallel ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF)is used to assimilate temperature data from the TOGA/TAO array and altimetry from TOPEX/POSEIDON into a Pacific basin version of the NASA Seasonal to Interannual Prediction Project (NSIPP)ls quasi-isopycnal ocean general circulation model. The EnKF is an approximate Kalman filter in which the error-covariance propagation step is modeled by the integration of multiple instances of a numerical model. An estimate of the true error covariances is then inferred from the distribution of the ensemble of model state vectors. This inplementation of the filter takes advantage of the inherent parallelism in the EnKF algorithm by running all the model instances concurrently. The Kalman filter update step also occurs in parallel by having each processor process the observations that occur in the region of physical space for which it is responsible. The massively parallel data assimilation system is validated by withholding some of the data and then quantifying the extent to which the withheld information can be inferred from the assimilation of the remaining data. The distributions of the forecast and analysis error covariances predicted by the ENKF are also examined.

Keppenne, Christian L.↗

CLASSY: An adaptive maximum likelihood clustering algorithm

The CLASSY clustering method alternates maximum likelihood iterative techniques for estimating the parameters of a mixture distribution with an adaptive procedure for splitting, combining, and eliminating the resultant components of the mixture. The adaptive procedure is based on maximizing the fit of a mixture of multivariate normal distributions to the observed data using its first through fourth central moments. It generates estimates of the number of multivariate normal components in the mixture as well as the proportion, mean vector, and covariance matrix for each component. The basic mathematical model for CLASSY and the actual operation of the algorithm as currently implemented are described. Results of applying CLASSY to real and simulated LANDSAT data are presented and compared with those generated by the iterative self-organizing clustering system algorithm on the same data sets.

Lennington, R. K.↗

Atmosphere-Ocean Coupled Data Assimilation Using NASA GEOS: Estimation of Air-Sea Interface State Variables

Air-sea interface variables, such as the skin Sea Surface Temperature (SST) are essential for atmosphere-ocean coupling. In the NASA GMAO Data Assimilation System (DAS), the skin SST and 3-D atmospheric state are jointly estimated [1]. This presentation is focused on the prior or background error covariance that is used in this analysis. The GEOS DAS uses an ensemble-variational assimilation strategy. In that, specification of a climatological background (CB) error covariance for SST relies on the NOAA's OI SST, with estimates of standard deviation and correlation length scales based on weekly analyses of the bulk SST at 1 degree resolution. However, present analysis system is striving to resolve SST diurnal variability with six hourly analyses and assimilates a vast number of in-situ and satellite observations. The first part of this presentation re-derives the CB error covariance using OSTIA SST analyses and illustrates the impact of this update on assimilating satellite observations. In a hybrid assimilation system the CB error covariances are appended with a flow-dependent background error covariance estimate implied by the underlying ensemble. The second part of this presentation refers to: a. treatment of the skin SST in the ensemble members, b. corresponding ensemble spread, and c. impact of these additions on the data assimilation system. [1] S. Akella, et al. (2017), doi:10.1002/qj.2988

Akella, Santha↗

Estimation of solar gravitational harmonics with Starprobe radiometric tracking data

The potential gravitational science return of a proposed spacecraft mission, called Starprobe, is investigated. The current mission plan is to place a spacecraft in a highly eccentric, highly inclined solar orbit with a perihelion distance of four solar radii. A covariance analysis based on Kalman filtering theory is performed to predict the accuracies with which gravitational parameters associated with the nonsphericity of the sun and relativistic effects can be estimated with radiometric tracking data. The accuracies are computed as functions of the quality and quantity of the radiometric data, the orbital parameters, the magnitude and character of the nongravitational accelerations acting on the spacecraft, and the errors in the tracking station locations and the ephemeris of the earth relative to the sun.

Mease, K. D.↗

Movement Models to Predict Low‐Altitude Flight of Soaring Birds Using Look‐Ahead Environmental Factors

Advances in fine-scale movement modeling of soaring birds can aid efforts to understand and resolve the impacts of anthropogenic activities on such birds. Soaring birds often rely on underlying terrain and low-altitude updrafts to govern their flights at rotor-swept altitudes (≤ 200 m above ground level), which puts them at risk of collision with wind turbines. We developed a data-driven Markov model at 1-s resolution that predicts the fine-scale flight behavior of golden eagles (Aquila chrysaetos) as a function of ecological covariates at the current location as well as those within an eagle's line of sight. We only considered ecological covariates that are readily available in real-time (ground elevation and wind conditions). Latent factors (age, sex, species, behavioral intent, migratory status) were intentionally left out of the model. We calibrated the model using golden eagle telemetry data collected in two different ecoregions of the United States. Given a starting location, the calibrated model simulates multiple stochastic 3D paths to produce a time-explicit and spatially explicit risk map of turbine collisions. We discovered an empirical relation between the rate of change of heading and the orographic updraft conditions within an eagle's line of sight. Our model performed most effectively when predicting predominantly-soaring flights at rotor-swept altitudes during wind conditions in which turbines are likely to be operational. The calibrated model could be used in concert with automated eagle detection and turbine curtailment technologies. Specifically, once an eagle is detected by those systems, our model could then provide accurate predictions of turbines the eagle is likely to interact with in the near term.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

ENDF/B-VIII.1

The ENDF/B-VIII.1 release is the newest evaluated nuclear data library produced, distributed, and recommended by CSEWG for use in nuclear science and technology applications. Among the many key advances, relative to the previous version ENDF/B-VIII.0, are: re-evaluation of 239Pu file by a joint international effort; updated 16,18O, 19F, 28-30Si, 50-54Cr, 55Mn, 54,56,57Fe, 63,65Cu, 139La, 233,235,238U, and 240,241Pu neutron nuclear data by the IAEA-coordinated INDEN collaboration; significant changes for 3He, 6Li, 9Be, 51V, 88Sr, 103Rh, 140,142Ce, Dy, 181Ta, Pt, 206-208Pb, and 234,236U neutron data; new nuclear data for the photo-nuclear, being 196 adopted from the IAEA2019 Photonuclear Data Library and one new file from JENDL-5; and new evaluations for the charged-particle and atomic sublibraries. Numerous thermal neutron scattering kernels were re-evaluated or provided for the very first time. Additionally, new covariance testing was implemented. ENDF/B-VIII.1 reduced bias in the simulations of many integral experiments with particular progress noted for fluorine, copper and stainless steel containing benchmarks. Data issues which had hindered the deployment of ENDF/B-VIII.0 for commercial nuclear power applications in high burn-up situations, were addressed. ENDF/B-VIII.1 data are distributed in both ENDF-6 and GNDS formats.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Performance evaluation for transform coding using a nonseparable covariance model

Intraframe transform coding of pictures for the case of a nonseparable covariance model is considered. Performances of the Walsh-Hadamard, discrete-cosine, and Karhunen-Loeve transforms are compared based on the compaction of signal energy in the transform components and the degree of decorrelation of the data. The results demonstrate that the performances of the discrete-cosine and Karhunen-Loeve transforms compare closely, as is the case with a separable covariance model. The corresponding performance of the Walsh-Hadamard transform is inferior.

Natarajan, T. R.↗