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At least 721 records · Page 40

Climate policy models need to get real about people — here’s how

Here, to predict how society and political systems might actually respond to warming, upgrade integrated assessment models. Political support for decarbonizing the global economy is at an all-time high. The good news is that about two-thirds of carbon emissions come from countries that have committed to reach ‘net zero’ by mid-century — they aim to cut their greenhouse-gas outputs and capture as much as they emit. The bad news? The computer models that analysts use to assess routes to achieve such goals are missing a crucial factor: politics.

Peng, Wei↗

Kit Carson Site Visit [Slides]

Greening the grid: decarbonize LANL’s electricity supply through the Los Alamos Power Pool; Net-Zero Buildings: Ensure new buildings are Net-Zero Ready and retrofit existing buildings to minimize Scope 1 emissions; Living laboratory: Leverage LANL’s clean energy R&D expertise to deploy technologies on-site at scale.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Impact of Materials Properties on Higher-Temperature Engine Operation

Here, we examine the effects on materials temperatures and engine efficiency via simulations of engines operating at temperatures which exceed the thermal limits of today’s materials. Potential focus areas include high-speed, high-load operation (in the fuel-enrichment zone) as well as conditions of selective cooling at lower speeds and loads. We focus on a light-duty DISI and a heavy-duty CI engine using GT-Power. Temperature distributions within the head, block, piston, and valves were obtained from 3D FEA simulations coupled with 1D GT-Power representations of the engine’s gas flow and combustion regions. We use experimentally measured thermal properties of current commercial alloys for specific engine components, as well as candidate developmental alloys with improved temperature tolerance, to gauge the effects of materials properties on engine performance, particularly focusing on operating areas where materials which can withstand higher temperatures can enable intensified combustion conditions and increased specific output. The outcome of this work is guidance on materials selection targets and benefits as OEMs meet engine-performance needs in the coming decades, to include Class 8 line-haul freight vehicles with reduced emissions, as well as design of future near net zero-carbon light-duty range extenders for more rapid electrification of medium- and heavy-duty vehicles.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Radiative lifetimes of the CN (A 2 Pi i) electronic state

Radiative lifetimes have been measured for CN (A 2 Pi i v-prime = 2...7). Ground-state radicals formed in the 193 nm photolysis of C2N2 and ClCN were excited to A 2 Pi i v-prime = 2...7 vibrational levels. The decay was monitored by following the fluorescence. Cascading effects were eliminated by working at low pressures and monitoring emission from a single vibrational band. Quenching rates and zero-pressure radiative lifetimes were obtained from Stern-Volmer plots. The lifetimes are significantly lower than previous measurements and theoretical calculations for vibrational states v-prime over 2.

Lu, Richang↗

Flame Structure and Scalar Properties in Microgravity Laminar Fires

Recent results from microgravity combustion experiments conducted in the Zero Gravity Facility (ZGF) 5.18 second drop tower are reported. Emission mid-infrared spectroscopy measurements have been completed to quantitatively determine the flame temperature, water and carbon dioxide vapor concentrations, radiative emissive power, and soot concentrations in a microgravity laminar ethylene/air flame. The ethylene/air laminar flame conditions are similar to previously reported experiments including the Flight Project, Laminar Soot Processes (LSP). Soot concentrations and gas temperatures are in reasonable agreement with similar results available in the literature. However, soot concentrations and flame structure dramatically change in long duration microgravity laminar diffusion flames as demonstrated in this paper.

Feikema, D. A.↗

Radiative Forcing Due to Major Aerosol Emitting Sectors in China and India

Understanding the radiative forcing caused by anthropogenic aerosol sources is essential for making effective emission control decisions to mitigate climate change. We examined the net direct plus indirect radiative forcing caused by carbonaceous aerosol and sulfur emissions in key sectors of China and India using the GISS-E2 chemistry-climate model. Diesel trucks and buses (67 mW/ sq. m) and residential biofuel combustion (52 mW/ sq. m) in India have the largest global mean, annual average forcings due mainly to the direct and indirect effects of BC. Emissions from these two sectors in China have near-zero net global forcings. Coal-fired power plants in both countries exert a negative forcing of about -30 mW/ sq. m from production of sulfate. Aerosol forcings are largest locally, with direct forcings due to residential biofuel combustion of 580 mW/ sq. m over India and 416 mW/ sq. m over China, but they extend as far as North America, Europe, and the Arctic

radiative forcing↗

Modification of spacecraft potentials by plasma emission

The ion engine operations on Applied Technology Satellite 6 (ATS-6) altered the charge state of the spacecraft, changing the spacecraft surface potentials with respect to the distant plasmas. Plasma emission in quiet environments (plasma temperatures below 1 keV) caused the spacecraft potential to shift from a few volts positive to a few volts negative. A net ion current is emitted in such cases. The emission of a plasma or beam in energetic environments (plasma temperatures in the 5-10-keV range) in sunlight caused larger changes. Typical equilibrium potentials for ATS-6 in such environments were on the order of a hundred volts negative, with variations in potential across the spacecraft surface of comparable magnitude. Engine operations under such conditions raised the mainframe potential to near zero volts, and discharged the differential potentials on the dielectric surfaces. Plasma emission by the plasma bridge was an effective method of discharging kilovolt potentials in eclipse.

Olsen, R. C.↗

Using waste CO 2 from corn ethanol biorefineries for additional ethanol production: life‐cycle analysis

Abstract Corn ethanol plants generate high‐purity carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) while producing ethanol. If that CO 2 could be converted into ethanol by carbon capture and utilization technologies it would be possible to increase ethanol production more than 37% without additional corn grain inputs. Gas fermentation processes use microbes to convert carbon‐containing gases into ethanol and so have the potential to be used with the CO 2 from biorefineries for this purpose. However, as CO 2 utilization technologies for converting thermodynamically stable CO 2 are typically energy intensive, it is necessary to evaluate the related life‐cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions (carbon intensities or CIs) to see whether there are actual emission reduction benefits. In this study, we evaluate the CIs of ethanol produced from high‐purity CO 2 in corn ethanol plants by gas fermentation plus electrochemical reduction. Our analysis shows that the sources of electricity and hydrogen are key drivers of CO 2 ‐based ethanol's GHG emissions. With wind electricity, the design cases show the potential of near‐zero CI ethanol (1.1 g CO 2 e/MJ), but that can increase to up to 331–531 g CO 2 e/MJ when today's U.S. Midwest electricity mix is used. To avoid the renewable electricity intermittency issue, we considered a power purchase agreement option using wind electricity 40% of the time and using the regional mix for the rest, which provides a 42% GHG emission reduction from the CI of gasoline. © 2020 The Authors and UChicago Argonne, LLC, Operator of Argonne National Laboratory. Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining published by Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Exhaust emissions survey of a turbofan engine for flame holder swirl type augmentors at simulated altitude flight conditions

Emissions of carbon dioxide, total oxides of nitrogen, unburned hydrocarbons, and carbon monoxide from an F100 afterburning two spool turbofan engine at simulated flight conditions are reported. Tests were run at Mach 0.8 at altitudes of 10.97 and 13.71 km (36,000 and 45,000 ft), and at Mach 1.2 at 13.71 km (45,000 ft). Emission measurements were made from intermediate power (nonafterburning) through maximum afterburning, using a single point gas sample probe traversed across the horizontal diameter of the exhaust nozzle. The data show that emissions vary with flight speed, altitude, power level, and radial position across the nozzle. Carbon monoxide emissions were low for intermediate and partial afterburning power. Unburned hydrocarbons were near zero for most of the simulated flight conditions. At maximum afterburning, there were regions of NOx deficiency in regions of high CO. The results suggest that the low NOx levels observed in the tests are a result of interaction with high CO in the thermal converter. CO2 emissions were proportional to local fuel air ratio for all test conditions.

Moss, J. E., Jr.↗

Towards Energy-Positive Buildings through a Quality-Matched Energy Flow Strategy

Current strategies for net-zero buildings favor envelopes with minimized aperture ratios and limiting of solar gains through reduced glazing transmittance and emissivity. This load-reduction approach precludes strategies that maximize on-site collection of solar energy, which could increase opportunities for net-zero electricity projects. To better leverage solar resources, a whole-building strategy is proposed, referred to as “Quality-Matched Energy Flows” (or Q-MEF): capturing, transforming, buffering, and transferring irradiance on a building’s envelope—and energy derived from it—into distributed end-uses. A mid-scale commercial building was modeled in three climates with a novel Building-Integrated, Transparent, Concentrating Photovoltaic and Thermal fenestration technology (BITCoPT), thermal storage and circulation at three temperature ranges, adsorption chillers, and auxiliary heat pumps. BITCoPT generated electricity and collected thermal energy at high efficiencies while transmitting diffuse light and mitigating excess gains and illuminance. The balance of systems satisfied cooling and heating demands. Relative to baselines with similar glazing ratios, net electricity use decreased 71% in a continental climate and 100% or more in hot-arid and subtropical-moderate climates. Total EUI decreased 35%, 83%, and 52%, and peak purchased electrical demands decreased up to 6%, 32%, and 20%, respectively (with no provisions for on-site electrical storage). Decreases in utility services costs were also noted. These results suggest that with further development of electrification the Q-MEF strategy could contribute to energy-positive behavior for projects with similar typology and climate profiles.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Core collapse supernova gravitational wave emission for progenitors of 9.6, 15, and 25 M ⊙

Here, we present gravitational wave emission predictions based on three core collapse supernova simulations corresponding to three different progenitor masses. The masses span a large range, between 9.6 and 25M ⊙ , are all initially nonrotating, and are of two metallicities: zero and solar. We compute both the temporal evolution of the gravitational wave strains for both the plus and the cross polarizations, as well as their spectral decomposition and characteristic strains. The temporal evolution of our zero metallicity 9.6M ⊙ progenitor model is distinct from the temporal evolution of our solar metallicity 15M ⊙ progenitor model and our zero metallicity 25M ⊙ progenitor model. In the former case, the high-frequency gravitational wave emission is largely confined to a brief time period ~75 ms after bounce, whereas in the latter two cases high-frequency emission does not commence until ~125 ms after bounce or later. The excitation mechanisms of the high-frequency emission in all three cases correspond to proto-neutron star convection and accretion onto the proto-neutron star from the convective gain layer above it, with the former playing the dominant role for most of the evolution. The low-frequency emission in all three models exhibits very similar behavior. At frequencies below ~250 Hz, gravitational waves are emitted by neutrino-driven convection and the standing accretion shock instability (SASI). This emission extends throughout the simulations when a gain region is present. In all three models, explosion is observed at ~125, ~500, and ~250 ms after bounce in the 9.6, 15, and 25M ⊙ progenitor models, respectively. At these times, the low-frequency gravitational wave emission is joined by very low-frequency emission, below ~10 Hz. These very low-frequency episodes are the result of explosion and begin at the above designated explosion times in each of our models. Our characteristic strains tell us that, in principle, all three gravitational wave signals would be detectable by current-generation detectors for a supernova at a distance of 10 kpc. However, our 9.6M ⊙ progenitor model is a significantly weaker source of gravitational waves, with strain amplitudes approximately 5–10 times less than in our other two models. The characteristic strain for this model tells us that such a supernova would be detectable only within a much more narrow frequency range around the maximum sensitivity of today’s detectors. Finally, in our 9.6M ⊙ progenitor model, we see very high-frequency gravitational radiation, extending up to ~2000 Hz. This feature results from the interaction of shock- and deleptonization-induced convection with perturbations introduced in the progenitor by nuclear burning during core collapse. While unique to the 9.6M ⊙ progenitor model analyzed here, this very high-frequency emission may, in fact, be a generic feature of the predictions for the gravitational wave emission from all core collapse supernova models when simulations are performed with three-dimensional progenitors.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Net-Zero Ethylene: On the Sustainability, Economics, and Scalability of Synthetic and Fossil Production Pathways

The ethylene industry has contributed over 260 million tons of CO 2 annually, warranting a more sustainable approach. The conversion of CO 2 and H 2 O into ethylene is an appealing technology capable of decoupling chemical production from fossil fuels. However, the large energy demand from this process can potentially lead to adverse environmental impacts. Here, in this article, we critically analyze the economic viability, environmental impact, and scalability of the conversion of CO 2 to ethylene via electrochemical reduction (CO 2 R) and compare this with those of CO 2 -neutral fossil routes utilizing carbon capture and direct air capture. Ethylene derived from CO 2 may be economically competitive under optimistic conditions; however, its large energy requirements pose environmental and scalability challenges. Meeting forecast 2050 ethylene demand using CO 2 R would require half of all electricity produced globally today, and, if powered by solar PV, may have greater CO 2 emissions than current petrochemical ethylene production, negating the purpose of this technology. Using Carbon Capture and Storage and Direct Air Capture to decarbonize petrochemical pathways would require roughly an order of magnitude less energy but would have disproportionate health and climate impacts. Lastly, the analysis highlights the importance of low-carbon energy sources to ensure sustainable CO 2 R ethylene production.

CO2R↗

Evaluating Summer-Time Ozone Enhancement Events in the Southeast United States

This study evaluates source attribution of ozone (O3) in the southeast US within O3 lamina observed by the University of Alabama in Huntsville (UAH) Tropospheric Ozone Lidar Network (TOLNet) system during June 2013. This research applies surface-level and airborne in situ data and chemical transport model, GEOS-Chem, simulations in order to quantify the impact of North American anthropogenic emissions, wildfires, lightning NOx, and background stratospheric transport on the observed O3 lamina. During the summer of 2013, two anomalous O3 layers were observed and evaluated: 1) a nocturnal near-surface enhancement and 2) a late evening elevated (3-6 km above ground level) O3 plume. A "brute force" zeroing method was applied in GEOS-Chem to quantify the impact of individual emission sources and transport pathways on the vertical distribution of O3 during the two observed lamina. These model simulations suggest that the nocturnal O3 enhancement on June 12, 2013 below 3 km was primarily due to wildfire emissions and the fact that daily maximum anthropogenic emission contributions occurred during these night-time hours. During the second case study it was predicted that above average contributions from background stratospheric transport was largely contributing to the O3 lamina observed on June 29, 2013 between 3-6 km. Further evaluation suggested that a stratospheric intrusion was likely the main source contributing to this O3 enhancement between 3-6 km. Supporting information from other models, remote-sensing observations, and ground-based airborne in situ data agree with the source attribution predicted by GEOS-Chem simulations for both case studies. Overall, this study demonstrates the dynamic atmospheric chemistry occurring in the southeast US and displays the various emission sources and transport processes impacting O3 enhancements at different vertical levels of the troposphere.

Laminates↗

What is Water's Role in a Carbon Neutral Future? A Summary of Findings from a Webinar Series

There has been ever-growing interest and engagement regarding net-zero and carbon neutrality goals, with many nations committing to steep emissions reductions by mid-century. Although water plays critical roles in various sectors, there has been a distinct gap in discussions to date about the role of water in the transition to a carbon neutral future. To address this need, a webinar was convened in April 2022 to gain insights into how water can support or influence active strategies for addressing emissions activities across energy, industrial, and carbon sectors. The webinar presentations and discussions highlighted various nuances of direct and indirect water use both within and across technology sectors (Figure ES-1). For example, hydrogen and concrete production, water for mining, and inland waterways transportation are all heavily influenced by the energy sources used (fossil fuels vs. renewable sources) as well as local resource availabilities. Algal biomass, on the other hand, can be produced across diverse geographies (terrestrial to sea) in a range of source water qualities, including wastewater and could also support pollution remediation through nutrient and metals recovery. Finally, water also influences carbon dynamics and cycling within natural systems across terrestrial, aquatic, and geologic systems. These dynamics underscore not only the critical role of water within the energy-water nexus, but also the extension into the energy-watercarbon nexus.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Equatorial thermospheric measurements of temperatures and winds at Arequipa, Peru

Enhancement of FPI temperatures above quiet levels was observed a few hours after the start of magnetic activity. Magnitude of this enhancement is about 300 degrees. This is followed by relaxation to prestorm levels. Apparent average offset of RPI temperatures from mass spectrometer incoherent scatter radar by 100 to 200 degrees for relatively quiet times is also observed. There was a definite suggestion of a midnight thermal enhancement for April and August data, with a magnitude of about 100 degrees, seen in both 1983 and 1984 observations. There was a definite enhancement of 6300A surface brightness in the south as compared with other directions, probably connected to the tropical airglow arcs. Meridional winds were small (less than 25 m/s) throughout night. Indication of northward migration of the observed 6300A enhancement in the evening hours as observations approach local winter solstice. This is probably related to the observed poleward (to the south) meridional wind (of magnitude 50 m/s) in this period. Zonal component of winds always eastward, but speed approaches zero sooner near equinox than at summer solstice. Typical magnitude at peak is of order 100 to 150 m/s. Suggestion of zonal wind increase after twilight and recovery of 6300A emission for April data. Origin not clear but may be related to midnight thermal enhancement. Meridional wind virtually zero for equinox in 1983; shows evening flow towards winter hemisphere in early evening for solstice data. Suggestion of post-midnight surge in April 1984 data. No major effects associated with magnetic storm activity, but a suggestion of decrease in zonal component below nominal levels.

Meriwether, J. W., Jr.↗

Development of Hydrogen Burner for FT4000® Aeroderivative Engine - Final Report

This report details an effort to develop a retrofittable fuel/air injector for the FT4000® aeroderivative gas turbine that enables use of hydrogen as a carbon-free fuel for efficient power generation. The FT4000 engine’s low-NOx combustor was developed by Pratt & Whitney and RTX Technology Research Center with core technology from the Pratt & Whitney PW4000 turbofan aircraft engine. The current FT4000 production engine operates on either natural gas or No. 2 fuel oil with water injection to achieve high thermal efficiency and low emissions. This engine is fielded by Mitsubishi Power Aero and delivers 70 MW of power with a simple-cycle efficiency of over 41% when operating with wet compression. The work reported here advances the technology readiness level of the FT4000 combustor for operation with hydrogen, starting with an experimental assessment of the current production hardware with increasing hydrogen content mixed with natural gas and ending with improved nozzle concepts for fully robust operation with 100% hydrogen. High-pressure single-sector combustor rig tests have been completed, demonstrating the ability for the dual fuel nozzle to operate an FT4000 combustor on 100% hydrogen with low nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions. Metal temperature measurements and video images of the flame structure from zero to 100% hydrogen highlight opportunities to improve the fuel nozzle robustness for high hydrogen conditions. The design of new fuel/air mixer concepts to improve durability and operability with high hydrogen levels was also completed. A total of eleven new concepts were developed and analyzed, ranging from modifications to the bill-of-materials nozzle to fully clean sheet designs. The concepts were evaluated with non-reacting and reacting flow evaluations to assess the performance of the new hardware designs. Non-reacting tests included Phase Doppler Particle Analysis (PDPA) for droplet size and velocity, mechanical patternation for liquid water flux, and planar laser induced fluorescence (PLIF) with acetone-seeding for gaseous fuel/air mixing characterization. Five scaled candidate fuel nozzle designs, in addition to a scaled bill-of-materials nozzle, were then successfully evaluated in an atmospheric pressure burner rig. The nozzles were evaluated for performance with natural gas, hydrogen/natural gas blends, and pure hydrogen. For 100% hydrogen, the nozzles were evaluated with and without water injection. Optical and infrared imaging of the flame and fuel nozzle was captured. NOx emissions were sampled from fixed emissions probes. The results show measurable differences between the various designs, and the data was used to down-select the two most promising designs to advance to future full pressure rig testing. Results from this study have cleared the current production FT4000 engines with dual fuel nozzles to operate at baseload power on blends of hydrogen mixed with natural gas and water. Two promising nozzle designs have been developed to enable fully robust operation with up to 100% hydrogen. These nozzles require validation at full baseload operating conditions before they can be introduced to the field.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

L Band Brightness Temperature from Forest: Comparison of Approximate Techniques

In this paper, three approximate physical microwave radiometry models have been used to calculate brightness temperatures from a forest canopy at L-band. These models are (1) tau-omega model (zero order scattering approximation to radiative transfer equations), (2) successive order of scattering model up to first order (first order scattering approximation to the radiative transfer equations), and (3) Peak technique utilizing the active solution obtained from the Distorted Born Approximation (DBA). These models are physically-based and treat vegetation as a layer of discrete scatterers over a rough surface. Vegetation components within the canopy are represented by canonical shapes such as dielectric discs and cylinders. The tau-omega model is based on a zero-order solution to the radiative transfer (RT) equations. The model ignores scattering except for the effect of the scatterers in the attenuation of the emission through the vegetation. Application of the tau-omega model to data acquired during airborne and ground-based campaigns over the years has solidified scientific understanding of microwave interactions with different landscapes. In particular, shrubland, grasslands, agricultural crops, and light to moderate vegetation have been investigated. Its applicability to areas with a significant tree fraction is unknown. The first order scattering model is based on an iterative solution of the RT equation up to the first order. The first order solution is obtained by substituting the zeroth-order solution into the scattering source term and then solving the resulting radiative transfer equations. This formulation adds a new scattering term to the tau-omega model. It represents emission by particles in the layer and emission by the ground that is scattered once by particles in the layer. The resulting model represents an improvement over the standard zero-order solution (the tau-omega model) since it accounts for the scattered vegetation and ground radiation that can have a pronounced effect on the observed brightness temperature. The third model is based on the Peake formulation in conjunction with the DBA. The procedure for calculation of forest emission is accomplished by first calculating the bistatic scattering cross section for each type of scatterer, then by using the DBA to calculate specular albedo of the ground and the diffused albedo of the layer. Once the albedos are determined, Peake s principle relating active and passive problems can be used to determine the effective emissivity of the forest layer.

Kurum, Mehmet↗

Characteristics of U.S. Energy Production using Nuclear Fission

When considering potential energy production technologies for the future, a critical consideration centers on the question of “how green” the technology is. Here, the word “green” implies that the technology has a zero or minimal impact on the public and environment while still providing benefits by way of electricity, heat, and other products such as hydrogen and water. And, these potential impacts must be considered over the lifecycle of the technology deployment, from design, construction, operation, and disposition. Ideally, a green energy technology would be net-zero (i.e., having no to almost negligible contribution) on five key elements: 1. Greenhouse gas emissions, including carbon dioxide (CO 2 ), methane, nitrous oxide, and fluorinated gases such as ozone-depleting gases 2. Water consumption 3. Material resource consumption 4. Disposition of wastes 5. Public, flora, and fauna safety including deaths, health, and environmental impacts. Society would benefit from net-zero impacts of the five elements above while having low-cost energy. As society starts to replace fossil fuels in the energy mix, we need to consider the possible impacts of adopted technologies. We need a production approach that provides large quantities of energy while being safe, reliable, economical, and sustainable. In this report, we describe a variety of characteristics related to the five elements above to provide a fact-supported, science-based depiction of nuclear fission as an energy providing technology. By better understanding how fission power is nearly net-zero in the five elements above, we can position our thinking to align with the overarching goal to provide society with a low-impact energy source.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗