Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “water model”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 721 records · Page 40
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Increased nitrogen use efficiency in crop production can provide economic and environmental benefits

Potential economic and environmental benefits of increasing nitrogen-use efficiency (NUE) are widely recognized but scarcely quantified. This study quantifies the effects of increased NUE on 1) the national agricultural economy using a simulation model of US agriculture and 2) regional water quality effects using a biogeochemical model for the Arkansas-White-Red river basin. Here, national economic effects are reported for NUE improvement scenarios of 10%, 20%, 50%, and 100%, whereas regional water quality effects are estimated for a 20% NUE improvement scenario in the Arkansas-White-Red river basin. Simulating a 20% increase in NUE in row crops is shown to reduce N requirements by 1.4 million tonnes y-1 and increase farmer net profits by 1.6% ($743 million) per year by 2026 over the baseline simulation for the same period. For each 10% increase in NUE, annual farm revenues for commodity crops increased over the baseline by approximately $350 million per year by 2026. Changes in crop prices and land-use relative to the baseline were less than 2%. This suggests a net benefit even though fertilizer cost savings can result in increased cultivation of land, i.e., ‘Jevon's paradox’. Results from the biogeochemical model of the Arkansas-White-Red river basin suggest that a 20% increase in NUE corresponds to a 5.72% reduction in nitrate loadings to freshwaters, with higher reductions in agricultural watersheds. The value of these reductions was estimated as $43 ha-1, for a total of $15.3 to 136.7 million yr-1 in avoided water treatment costs. After estimating the social value of increased NUE, we conclude with a discussion of potential strategies to increase efficiency and the research needed to achieve this goal. These include perennialization of the agricultural landscape, genetic crop improvement, targeted fertilizer application, and manipulation of the plant-root microbiome.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Model-based data center cooling controls comparative co-design

This article presents a comparative simulation-based control logic design process. It uses the Control Description Language (CDL) and the ASHRAE Guideline 36 high-performing building control sequences with the Modelica Buildings Library (MBL) to demonstrate a comparative analysis of two control designs for a data center chilled water plant. Details include a description of the closed-loop plant and control design methodology, including sizing and parameterization, base and alternative (Guideline 36) control logic with software implementation structure, and outline of the simulation experimentation process. The selected control designs are paired with comparable chilled water plant configurations. The models include a chiller, a water-side economizer, and an evaporative cooling tower. The plant provides cooling at 27ºC zone supply air temperature to a data center in Sacramento, CA. The comparative simulation results examined the impacts of a selected control logic detail, and present an example model-based design application. Overall, the simulation results showed a 25% annual and a 18% summer energy use reduction for alternative controls. This shows that simulation-based control logic design performance evaluation can improve energy efficiency and resilience aspects of system controls at large.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2023

Separation of volatile organic contaminants from water using a direct-contact dehumidifier: An experimental study and modeling

A packed-bed, direct-contact dehumidifier (PB-DCD) has been developed to selectively condense water from a gaseous mixture of organic contaminants. In this process, hot air is humidified by mixing with wastewater vapor in a static mixer and is dehumidified by subcooled fresh water passing through the PB-DCD in a counter-current configuration. The goal of this study is to understand the relationship between various operating parameters and how they affect separation of isopropyl alcohol (IPA) from the gaseous mixture with the purpose of expanding the investigation to other contaminants in the future. The process has been successfully used to separate IPA from wastewater. Different parameters including the concentration of IPA in water, feed temperature, air-to-vapor ratio, and cooling-water-to-vapor mass ratio, as well as residence time were examined to determine their influence on contaminant separation and clean water recovery rate. The Buckingham Pi theorem was applied to reduce the number of studying variables by generating non-dimensional groups. Experiments were performed to determine the relationship between the non-dimensional parameters and model mass transfer in the system. Mass transfer coefficients for multicomponent gaseous mixture condensation in a packed-bed direct contact condenser column are calculated and a modified correlation of mass transfer is developed. The parameters of the mass transfer model are obtained from operating conditions of the PB-DCD, stream conditions and thermodynamic properties. A modified Sherwood correlation is developed to predict IPA separation from a gaseous mixture consisting of air, water, and IPA. The modified Sherwood correlation is applied to successfully predict the Sherwood number with a mean absolute error equal to 6.6 %. According to the experimental results, the maximum IPA separation achieved was 76.3 %, which corresponds to a water recovery rate of 58.7 %.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Knowledge Graph for End-to-End Traceability of an Integrated Human-Earth System Model

Integrated human-Earth system models inform energy-water-land system dynamics and policies, yet their results are difficult to trace through input-data, model structure, scenario configurations, and solved outputs. Because this information is siloed across disconnected artifacts, process-based IAMs have historically lacked a unified, queryable representation. Such lack of traceability prevents researchers from systematically isolating the multi-sector drivers of complex outcomes (such as tracing water-scarcity results back to distant energy-system dynamics) or conducting holistic uncertainty attribution across hundreds of interacting parameters. To address this concern, our work documents the software engineering process of a knowledge graph that unifies these four layers for the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM-USA_Reference scenario, GCAM v9.1). The graph was built as a relational property graph in DuckDB from the run’s own artifacts: the input-preparation dependency map (gcamdata chunk map), the model’s XML input files, the run configuration, and the results database (BaseX), successfully mapping the model’s declared structure. The resulting graph comprises 204,321 nodes and 1,687,814 edges across 16 node types and 15 edge types, with approximately 16.3 million time-series values stored separately to maintain structural efficiency. To ensure representation fidelity, every edge carries an epistemic-status annotation recording the warrant for the relationship (structural, provenance, dependency, or model-derived), and a machine-readable provenance ledger classifying the origin of every schema element. Evaluation against a fixed five-benchmark suite with locked baselines reports zero structural orphans, zero dangling edge endpoints, and 100% of output-producing technologies traceable to raw input files. Two interactive interfaces present the graph, including a serverless browser application built on DuckDB-Wasm. By establishing the first end-to-end provenance framework for an IAM, this work enables researchers and scientists to systematically audit complex policy scenarios, debug model structures, and trace policy-relevant outputs to their data origins in real time.

Artifical Intelligence↗
DOE OSTI2022

Using a surrogate-assisted Bayesian framework to calibrate the runoff-generation scheme in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) v1

Abstract. Runoff is a critical component of the terrestrial water cycle, and Earth system models (ESMs) are essential tools to study its spatiotemporal variability. Runoff schemes in ESMs typically include many parameters so that model calibration is necessary to improve the accuracy of simulated runoff. However, runoff calibration at a global scale is challenging because of the high computational cost and the lack of reliable observational datasets. In this study, we calibrated 11 runoff relevant parameters in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Land Model (ELM) using a surrogate-assisted Bayesian framework. First, the polynomial chaos expansion machinery with Bayesian compressed sensing is used to construct computationally inexpensive surrogate models for ELM-simulated runoff at 0.5∘ × 0.5∘ for 1991–2010. The error metric between the ELM simulations and the benchmark data is selected to construct the surrogates, which facilitates efficient calibration and avoids the more conventional, but challenging, construction of high-dimensional surrogates for the ELM simulated runoff. Second, the Sobol' index sensitivity analysis is performed using the surrogate models to identify the most sensitive parameters, and our results show that, in most regions, ELM-simulated runoff is strongly sensitive to 3 of the 11 uncertain parameters. Third, a Bayesian method is used to infer the optimal values of the most sensitive parameters using an observation-based global runoff dataset as the benchmark. Our results show that model performance is significantly improved with the inferred parameter values. Although the parametric uncertainty of simulated runoff is reduced after the parameter inference, it remains comparable to the multimodel ensemble uncertainty represented by the global hydrological models in ISMIP2a. Additionally, the annual global runoff trend during the simulation period is not well constrained by the inferred parameter values, suggesting the importance of including parametric uncertainty in future runoff projections.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Automated Model for Improved Mapping of Country-Scale High-Resolution Coastal Bathymetry

Accurate and up-to-date maps of coastal bathymetry are critical for a variety of sectors from vessel navigation to port construction and are increasingly vital to inform coastal infrastructure management amid accelerating sea-level rise and more frequent and severe storm-surge events. The primary challenges to accurate and efficient bathymetric mapping from optical remote sensing are: accurately modeling light attenuation in both the atmosphere and water column; and inefficient data processing pipelines for highresolution satellite imagery. To address the effects of light attenuation within the water-column we have developed a novel physics-based bathymetry model that accounts for variations in water-column inherent optical properties on a pixel-by-pixel basis in optically-shallow aquatic environments, which represents a major advancement. For applications to satellite imagery, we have developed a software package that automatically applies the robust 6S atmospheric correction algorithm, estimates the bottom depth from the physics-based bathymetry model, which corrects for attenuation by suspended particulate matter and colored dissolved organic matter in the water column on a pixel-by-pixel basis, and leverages highperformance computing for rapid application to region-scale (e.g., CONUS) 2-meter resolution imagery datasets. Our approach is tailored to sensors that collect data at two-meter resolution with high return times for frequent updates. We mapped 591 WorldView satellite images for Florida, North Carolina, and Alaska and validated the maps against LiDAR-derived bathymetry data. Results show median RMSE of 1.75, 1.59, and 2.67 meters, respectively. By combining the strengths of Oak Ridge National Laboratory in high-performance computing and remote-sensing science with the water-column modeling expertise of Scripps Institution of Oceanography we advance the state of bathymetric mapping capability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Leaf microscopy applications in photosynthesis research: identifying the gaps

Abstract Leaf imaging via microscopy has provided critical insights into research on photosynthesis at multiple junctures, from the early understanding of the role of stomata, through elucidating C4 photosynthesis via Kranz anatomy and chloroplast arrangement in single cells, to detailed explorations of diffusion pathways and light utilization gradients within leaves. In recent decades, the original two-dimensional (2D) explorations have begun to be visualized in three-dimensional (3D) space, revising our understanding of structure–function relationships between internal leaf anatomy and photosynthesis. In particular, advancing new technologies and analyses are providing fresh insight into the relationship between leaf cellular components and improving the ability to model net carbon fixation, water use efficiency, and metabolite turnover rate in leaves. While ground-breaking developments in imaging tools and techniques have expanded our knowledge of leaf 3D structure via high-resolution 3D and time-series images, there is a growing need for more in vivo imaging as well as metabolite imaging. However, these advances necessitate further improvement in microscopy sciences to overcome the unique challenges a green leaf poses. In this review, we discuss the available tools, techniques, challenges, and gaps for efficient in vivo leaf 3D imaging, as well as innovations to overcome these difficulties.

Plant Sciences↗
DOE OSTI2021

Methods and Usability Enhancements in Shift for Non-LWR Applications

Several development and analysis tasks were undertaken in FY21 under the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation program to enhance modeling of non light–water reactors (LWRs) with Shift. Specifically, these efforts targeted enhancements for tristructural isotropic (TRISO) fuel modeling. A new Shift user interface was developed that allows for much better usability and ease of modeling for non-LWR problems and TRISO fuel. Performance studies were conducted using an HTR-10 fuel pebble model by comparing different geometry packages in Shift, KENO-VI, and Serpent. These studies showed that the new geometry package in Shift performs well compared to Serpent for TRISO fuel modeling with consistent tracking options between both packages. The studies also identified the most critical areas of improvement for more efficiently performing Monte Carlo transport on TRISO fuel models with Shift. Tally calculations in Shift were optimized for non-LWR cross section generation and depletion calculations, and areas for further optimization and accuracy improvements were identified. Finally, initial collaboration efforts were formed between Idaho National Laboratory, Argonne National Laboratory, and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to use Shift for Comprehensive Reactor Analysis Bundle support.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Hydraulic and Thermal Stimulation Program at Raft River Idaho, A DOE EGS

A Department of Energy Enhanced Geothermal System (EGS) stimulation program has injected over 254 million gallons of water into the well RRG-9 ST1 since the summer of 2013. Three major stimulations have been conducted during the program increasing injection flow rates from less than 20 gpm to 550 gpm. Geologic, water chemistry, microseismic activity, and borehole imaging data have been used to develop a conceptual model describing possible flow paths of this injected water. This model contains two major fracture zones one of which intersects the RRG-9 ST1 wellbore. Modified Hall and injectivity index plots constructed using injection flow rates, surface temperatures, and wellhead pressures show steady improvement in the injectivity of the well. Here, the injectivity index has risen from 0.15 gpm/psi to 2.0 gpm/ psi. A pressure falloff test conducted on April 28, 2015 indicates a reservoir permeability of 1,220 md and -5.38 skin factor. The well stimulation program was simulated numerically using an Idaho National Laboratory reservoir simulation code, FALCON. These simulations show a significant increase in the permeability of connecting fracture pathways after each stimulation event.

Enhanced geothermal system↗
DOE OSTI2021

Modeling Volatility-Based Aerosol Phase State Predictions in the Amazon Rainforest

Organic aerosol (OA) is a complex matrix of various constituents—fresh (primary organic aerosols—POA) and aged via oxidation (secondary organic aerosols—SOA), generated from biogenic, anthropogenic, and biomass burning sources. The viscosity of OA can be critical in influencing new particle formation, reactive uptake processes that impact evaporation-growth kinetics, and the lifetime of particles in the atmosphere. We report this work utilizes a well-defined relationship between volatility and viscosity for pure compounds, which we incorporated within the Weather Research and Forecasting Model coupled to chemistry (WRF-Chem) to simulate the phase state and viscosity of bulk OA during the dry-to-wet transition season (September–October) in the Amazon rainforest during 2014. Our simulations indicate spatial and temporal heterogeneity in aerosol phase state often not captured by global-scale models. We show the strong role of water associated with organic aerosol ($w_s$) as the dominant factor that can be used to quantitatively estimate OA viscosity. Analysis of WRF-Chem simulations across the entire atmospheric column indicates a strong inverse log-linear relationship between $w_s$ and OA viscosity with a correlation coefficient approaching 1, in the background and biomass burning-influenced conditions. At high altitudes where relative humidity (RH) and temperatures are low, our simulations indicate that OA exists in a semisolid-/solid-like phase state, consistent with previous studies. OA hygroscopicity is strongly correlated (ca. –0.8) with OA viscosity at RH ca. 30–50%, but this RH range is found mostly at low OA concentrations and the middle troposphere (ca. 6–10 km altitudes) in our simulated domain. OA hygroscopicity is uncorrelated with viscosity at higher-RH (near surface) and lower-RH (upper troposphere) regimes. At the urban site near surface, where day–night differences in RH are significant, RH is found to drive the phase state. At the background forested site near surface, where day–night RH differences are small, biomass burning-influenced OA is semisolid and a significant OA associated with background conditions is liquid-like. Simulations indicate a long tail of OA viscosity frequency distributions extending in the semisolid/solid regimes over background biogenic-influenced conditions due to the role of low-volatility OA components such as monoterpene oxidation products.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Characterization of the Atmosphere of Super-Earth 55 Cancri e Using High-resolution Ground-based Spectroscopy

The nearby super-Earth 55 Cnc e orbits a bright (V = 5.95 mag) star with a period of -18 hr and a mass of -8M {sub ⊕}. Its atmosphere may be water-rich and have a large-scale height; though, attempts to characterize it have yielded ambiguous results. Here we present a sensitive search for water and TiO in its atmosphere at high spectral resolution using the Gemini North telescope and the GRACES spectrograph. We combine observations with previous observations from Subaru and CFHT, improving the constraints on the presence of water vapor. We adopt parametric models with an updated planet radius based on recent measurements, and use a cross-correlation technique to maximize sensitivity. Our results are consistent with atmospheres that are cloudy or contain minimal amounts of water and TiO. Using these parametric models, we rule out a water-rich atmosphere (VMR ≥ 0.1%) with a mean molecular weight of ≤ 15 g mol{sup -1} at a 3σ confidence level, improving on the previous limit by a significant margin. For TiO, we rule out a mean molecular weight of ≤ 5 g mol{sup -1} with a 3σ confidence level for a VMR greater than 10{sup -8}; for a VMR of greater than 10{sup -7}, the limit rises to a mean molecular weight of ≤ 10 g mol{sup -1}. We can rule out low mean-molecular-weight chemical equilibrium models both including and excluding TiO/VO at very high confidence levels (>10σ). Overall, our results are consistent with an atmosphere with a high mean molecular weight and/or clouds, or no atmosphere.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development of an ERT‐Based Framework for Bentonite Buffers Monitoring From Laboratory Tests: 2. Quantitative Moisture Dynamics Estimation Model

Abstract The long‐term containment of high‐level radioactive waste in geological disposal repositories relies on Engineered Barrier Systems (EBS), with bentonite clay emerging as a candidate material due to its unique properties. Understanding moisture dynamics within bentonite buffers is crucial for EBS performance, as it directly influences the material's swelling capacity, thermal and hydraulic conductivity, mechanical properties, and long‐term evolution under complex thermal‐hydrological‐mechanical (THM) processes. This study develops an advanced Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT)‐based framework to quantitatively monitor moisture dynamics under THM conditions. Our framework extends the Waxman‐Smits model to incorporate the coupled effects of temperature, water content, fluid chemistry, and mechanical changes on bentonite's electrical properties. Utilizing HotBENT‐Lab data from our companion paper, which includes electrical conductivity, CT density, and thermocouple measurements, this study offers a novel methodological framework bridging different scales of the model. Our results show that the extended model can estimate water content from ERT data, capturing spatial and temporal variations in moisture distribution within bentonite columns. However, the model tends to overestimate water content compared to CT density‐derived measurements. We address this discrepancy by incorporating a simplified swelling effect model, which improves agreement between ERT and CT density‐based water content estimates. We also discuss model limitations, including simplified treatment of swelling and micropore effects, and propose a conceptual framework for transitioning from laboratory to field applications, addressing challenges such as parameter scalability, field validation methods, and integration of diverse data sources. This ERT‐based framework can potentially advance real‐world moisture monitoring of bentonite‐based EBS in nuclear waste repositories. Plain Language Summary Safely containing high‐level radioactive waste depends on barriers made from materials like bentonite clay, which is effective because it swells and seals in the waste. To ensure these barriers work well over time, it's important to understand how moisture moves through the clay. Our study developed a new method using ERT to monitor moisture levels in bentonite under conditions that mimic those in actual storage sites, including changes in temperature, water content, and mechanical stress. This study improved an existing model to better account for how these factors affect the clay, allowing us to create more accurate moisture maps. Initially, the proposed model overestimated the amount of water in the clay, but its accuracy was improved by factoring in how the clay swells when wet. This study also identified some limitations of the model and suggested ways to adapt it for use in real‐world waste storage sites. This new approach could lead to better monitoring and safety checks for nuclear waste storage systems, helping to ensure long‐term containment. Key Points This work develops an ERT‐based framework extending the Waxman‐Smits model to monitor bentonite moisture dynamics during coupled THM processes The extended model accurately estimates water content from Electrical Resistivity Tomography data, incorporating swelling effects to improve precision This work proposes a conceptual framework for transitioning from laboratory to field applications, advancing EBS monitoring in nuclear waste repositories

Chen, Hang↗
DOE OSTI2022

Data-Centric Development of Lignin Structure–Solubility Relationships in Deep Eutectic Solvents Using Molecular Simulations

Lignin is a natural source of aromatic chemicals with significant potential as an abundant, renewable feedstock for value-added products. Deep eutectic solvents (DES)–solvents composed of a hydrogen bond donor (HBD) and acceptor (HBA) in varying ratios–have emerged as a highly tunable class of solvents for lignin solubilization. However, the variety of possible DES compositions and limited molecular-scale understanding of lignin solubility makes solvent selection a challenge without laborious trial-and-error experimentation. To address these challenges, we use classical molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to study the interactions of lignin model compounds with various DES–water systems. Quantitative parameters (descriptors) were calculated by postprocessing the MD results and used to train a regression model that predicts experimentally determined solubilities of lignin model compounds. This approach revealed that the most important descriptors of solubility are the system temperature, solute hydrophilicity, and metrics quantifying hydrogen bonding. Maximizing the interactions between solute–HBD (hydrophobic group), water–HBD (hydrophilic group), and water–HBA molecules led to the highest model compound solubility. Our results support a hydrotropic mechanism in which extensive DES–water hydrogen bonding and favorable HBD interactions with the solute promote high solubility. We applied the regression model derived using model compounds to predict the solubility of representative lignin oligomers. The model predicted lignin oligomers’ solubilities in good agreement with experiments, indicating that the simulations of model compounds can be extended to predict the solubility of larger lignin compounds across a range of solvent compositions and temperatures. Furthermore, these findings provide new molecular-scale insight into lignin solubilization mechanisms and a new method for computationally screening potential solvent systems for lignin valorization.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Dynamic response of a freely rotating butterfly valve in the advanced test reactor − dynamic coefficients modeling

Here, in evaluating the water hammer issue pertaining to the primary-coolant-regulating butterfly valve in the Advanced Test Reactor, the dynamic fluid body interaction (DFBI) approach was implemented in the analysis covered in Part I. Although DFBI modeling accurately and simultaneously solved the dynamic motion of the valve’s disk along with the flow field of the surrounding fluid, it shed little light on the reason behind such motion. For Part II, the reacting torque of the fluid on the disk was decomposed into representations of the dynamic coefficients in terms of stiffness, damping, and added mass. These were evaluated via simulations with steady-state static (stiffness), constant angular speed (damping), and variable angular speed (added mass) disks. Substituting the dynamic coefficients into Newton’s second law enabled the response trajectories to be obtained. Stable (by average) and unstable equilibrium positions and thrust tendencies of the valve were determined based on the stiffness coefficient (or static torque), the response amplitude was dampened or enlarged by the damping coefficient (minorly affected by added mass), and the response frequency was altered by the damping and added mass coefficients. Although the dynamic coefficient approach renders slightly different trajectories, due to the averaging effect of the torque in comparison to the DFBI method, the overall trend of the response aligns with the DFBI simulation, thus confirming the conclusion in Part I that a fix to the current butterfly valve is necessary.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Water Uptake by Silica Nanopores: Impacts of Surface Hydrophilicity and Pore Size

Water uptake at 298 K by two mesoporous silicas with different pore sizes was studied using volumetric vapor sorption. Here, through variation of sample pretreatment temperature and time, the number of surface hydroxyl groups was varied, leading to marked changes in the water sorption behavior. With increasing surface hydroxyl density, the adsorption of water to the pore surfaces increases, leading to formation of a thicker and denser water sorption layer. The BET model was used to measure surface hydroxyl density from low pressure parts of water adsorption isotherms. Adsorption of water molecules scales with the number density of surface hydroxyl groups, and monolayer coverage is reached at reduced pressure of ca. 0.3. The onset of adsorption pore condensation of water shifts to lower reduced pressure with increasing surface hydroxyl density, indicating growing thickness of adsorption layers. However, the water pore condensation step of the desorption branch shifts to smaller reduced pressure with increasing surface hydroxylation, reducing the adsorption-desorption hysteresis width. An adsorbed phase model is utilized to calculate the distribution of pore water molecules between adsorbed and pore condensation phases, and characterize the density and thickness of the water sorption phase. In the smaller pores, the adsorbed phase forms a sparse monolayer, while approximately a bilayer is formed in the wider pores. The previously reported silica nanopore underfilling by water is confirmed and rationalized by a significantly reduced water density in the adsorbed phase with respect to bulk, while the pore core is filled with water of approximately bulk density.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Evaluating the Hybrid Modelling Competition: A Step Towards Developing Good Modelling Practice

Hybrid modelling, a combination of mechanistic and data-driven modelling, is a promis¬ing approach to advance current mathematical models towards improved deci¬sion support tools for today's water-related challenges. Researchers have been develop¬ing guidelines or references for good modelling practices in the water field for mecha¬nistic (Rieger et al., 2012) and data-driven (Zhu et al., 2023) modelling, respectively. However, good modelling practices for hybrid modelling are currently missing (Schneider et al., 2022). Therefore, the International Water Association’s (IWA) hybrid modelling working group initiated the first competition on a data science competition platform (i.e. Kaggle) for water resource recovery modelling at the Watermatex con¬ference in September 2023 in Quebec. The main objective of this competition was to gain insights and experience to create good modelling practices. Further goals were to motivate students, researchers, and practitioners model, foster a vibrant and engaged community, and evaluate the efficacy of com¬petitions in solving modelling challenges within the water domain. Our next goal is that facilities will measure and gather relevant data for future competitions to solve their challenges from a modeller’s perspective.

Schneider, Mariane↗
DOE OSTI2022

Natural and anthropogenic controls on lake water‐level decline and evaporation‐to‐inflow ratio in the conterminous United States

Abstract Lake water levels are integral to lake function, but hydrologic changes from land and water management may alter lake fluctuations beyond natural ranges. We constructed a conceptual model of multifaceted drivers of lake water levels and evaporation‐to‐inflow ratio (Evap : Inflow). Using a structural equation modeling framework, we tested our model on (1) a national subset of lakes in the conterminous United States with minimal water management to describe natural drivers of lake hydrology and (2) five ecoregional subsets of lakes to explore regional variation in water management effects. Our model fits the national and ecoregional datasets and explained up to 47% of variation in Evap : Inflow, 38% of vertical water level decline, and 79% of horizontal water level decline (littoral exposure). For lakes with minimal water management, Evap : Inflow was related to lake depth ( β = −0.31) and surface inflow ( β = −0.44); vertical decline was related to annual climate (e.g., precipitation β = −0.18) and water management ( β = −0.21); and horizontal decline was largely related to vertical decline ( β = 0.73) and lake morphometry (e.g., depth β = −0.18). Anthropogenic effects varied by ecoregion and likely reflect differences in regional water management and climate. In the West, water management indicators were related to greater vertical decline ( β = 0.38), whereas in the Midwest, these indicators were related to more stable and full lake levels ( β = −0.22) even during drought conditions. National analyses show how human water use interacts with regional climate resulting in contrasting impacts to lake hydrologic variation in the United States.

Fergus, C. Emi↗
DOE OSTI2024

Sulfonated polybenzimidazole membrane with graphene oxide additive for 2,3-butanediol/water separation: A molecular simulation

Membrane separation for 2,3-butanediol (2,3-BDO) recovery from fermentation broth is highly valued for sustainable and renewable processes, but it requires efficient membrane materials. Here, this work evaluates the sulfonated polybenzimidazole (sPBI) and its graphene oxide (GO) doped composite membrane for separating 2,3-BDO and water via atomistic simulations. Density functional theory calculations are applied to identify various forms of sPBI structures and quantify their binding interactions with 2,3-BDO and water. Classical molecular dynamic simulations are used to evaluate the structural changes, diffusivity, and selectivity of 2,3-BDO and water in different sPBI models, GO surfaces, and GO-doped sPBI composite models. Our results suggest that sPBI slightly increases the crystallinity of the membrane structures, enhances the adsorption strength for both 2,3-BDO and water, and improves the water/2,3-BDO selectivity by 2–3 times. The GO surfaces display a maximum selectivity at a surface coverage of 0.1–0.15 for both hydroxyl and epoxy surface groups. The addition of GO flakes to sPBI creates new interaction sites for 2,3-BDO and water at the interface of sPBI and GO, and the water/2,3-BDO selectivity of GO-doped sPBI models is further increased up to 3 times. This work illustrates how the integrated addition of sPBI and GO flakes offers a promising approach to selective separation of 2,3-BDO and water, providing theoretical guidance for polybenzimidazole-based membranes in the potential application of 2,3-BDO recovery.

2,3-butanediol↗