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At least 721 records · Page 40

A Synthesis of Solar Cycle Prediction Techniques

A number of techniques currently in use for predicting solar activity on a solar cycle timescale are tested with historical data. Some techniques, e.g., regression and curve fitting, work well as solar activity approaches maximum and provide a month-by-month description of future activity, while others, e.g., geomagnetic precursors, work well near solar minimum but only provide an estimate of the amplitude of the cycle. A synthesis of different techniques is shown to provide a more accurate and useful forecast of solar cycle activity levels. A combination of two uncorrelated geomagnetic precursor techniques provides a more accurate prediction for the amplitude of a solar activity cycle at a time well before activity minimum. This combined precursor method gives a smoothed sunspot number maximum of 154 plus or minus 21 at the 95% level of confidence for the next cycle maximum. A mathematical function dependent on the time of cycle initiation and the cycle amplitude is used to describe the level of solar activity month by month for the next cycle. As the time of cycle maximum approaches a better estimate of the cycle activity is obtained by including the fit between previous activity levels and this function. This Combined Solar Cycle Activity Forecast gives, as of January 1999, a smoothed sunspot maximum of 146 plus or minus 20 at the 95% level of confidence for the next cycle maximum.

Hathaway, David H.↗

Sound Diffraction Modeling of Rotorcraft Noise Around Terrain

A new computational technique, Wave Confinement (WC), is extended here to account for sound diffraction around arbitrary terrain. While diffraction around elementary scattering objects, such as a knife edge, single slit, disc, sphere, etc. has been studied for several decades, realistic environments still pose significant problems. This new technique is first validated against Sommerfeld's classical problem of diffraction due to a knife edge. This is followed by comparisons with diffraction over three-dimensional smooth obstacles, such as a disc and Gaussian hill. Finally, comparisons with flight test acoustics data measured behind a hill are also shown. Comparison between experiment and Wave Confinement prediction demonstrates that a Poisson spot occurred behind the isolated hill, resulting in significantly increased sound intensity near the center of the shadowed region.

Stephenson, James H.↗

Molecular Reaction Imaging of a Surface Recombination Process Explains Performance Variation Among Smooth MoS 2 Photoelectrodes

Transition metal dichalcogenides (TMD) such as WSe 2 and MoS 2 are highly efficient and stable light absorbers in TMD∣I − ,I 3 − ∣Pt liquid junction solar cells. It is generally accepted that TMD crystals with a large fraction of exposed edge sites exhibit lower power conversion efficiencies (PCEs) than apparently smooth crystals. However, one open question is why does the PCE vary significantly from one crystal to another? Answering this critical question could lead to robust syntheses for high quality and uniform TMD samples. In this work, we apply nanoscale photoelectrochemical microscopy techniques to study n-type TMD nanoflake∣I − ,I 3 − ∣Pt cells. Using a combination of near-diffraction-limited photocurrent mapping and molecular reaction imaging techniques, we reveal a previously hidden surface recombination process: photogenerated holes in hidden p-type domains travel micron-scale distances parallel to the solid/liquid interface and preferentially react with iodide at step-edges. The overall efficiency of the nanoflake, as evidenced from whole nanoflake-level photoelectrochemical measurements, is dictated by the size, efficiency, and location of n- and p-type domains. Furthermore, these results provide a unifying view of efficiency losses in smooth TMD photoelectrodes and open the possibility to design electrode architectures that leverage the long-range lateral charge transport property for photoelectrocatalysis.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Low-Cost Heliostat for High-Flux Small-Area Receivers (Final Technical Report)

This project analyzed a two-stage heliostat concept consisting of a tracking stage and a concentrating stage. The tracking stage uses mirrors mounted on a common drive that move to track the sun. The concentrating stage consists of stationary mirrors that each have a unique angle to direct rays towards a small-area, high-flux, point-focused receiver. By splitting the collection and concentrating process into two stages, multiple small, inexpensive mirrors can share a structure and be controlled by a single drive in the tracking stage. The project effort developed modeling techniques that were specifically relevant to this two-stage heliostat concept. Both field-level and unit-level models were developed. The field-level model does not explicitly consider unit-level losses which are predicted by the unit-level model and then integrated into the field-level model through a correlation referred to as an efficiency modifier. This approach is referred to as the two-model approach; the development and demonstration of this two-model approach for a multi-stage heliostat technology is a key outcome of this work. The field-level model is used to design a field that hits a specific design day power given a set of heliostat design parameters. An oversized field is simulated and then heliostat units are removed based on their annual energy production in order to generate the highest performing field. The field reduction procedure fits a smooth curve fit to annual energy production as a function of position in the field which has the effect of reducing the noise that is otherwise caused by the Monte Carlo ray tracing technique. This approach is referred to as the annual energy fit method and substantially reduces computational run time for a given field level modeling accuracy. The annual energy fit approach enables the selection of a properly sized, high-performing field using orders of magnitude fewer rays than would otherwise be possible and the development of this approach is a second key outcome of this work. These models are used within a genetic optimization algorithm in order to optimize the geometric parameters associated with a heliostat in order to achieve the lowest cost per unit of collected design day power. The cost modeling that underlies the optimization is a simple, scaling type analysis backed up by a much more detailed Design for Manufacture and Assembly (DFMA) analysis. Although the figure of merit used for optimization was not cost per mirror area, this metric is reasonable to use as a means of comparison. The optimally designed 500 kW design has a tracking mirror specific cost of $181.85/m 2 , which is significantly larger than the target value and also larger than the current state of the art. The cost of the torque-tube type linkages contributed substantially to the overall cost. Based on this observation, potentially attractive alternative design configuration utilizing a capstan type actuation system should be investigated. Finally, NREL compared the performance of the two-stage heliostat to the performance of a focused and different sized flat conventional heliostats and showed that, as expected, additional losses versus the convention heliostat caused by a worse cosine efficiency, two stages of reflection, and interstage interactions. The two-stage heliostat requires around 75% more reflective area than a flat 1x1 meter conventional heliostat (similar to a focused heliostat) and 40% more than a flat 2x2 meter conventional heliostat.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Development of a digital guidance and control law for steep approach automatic landings using modern control techniques

The development of a digital automatic control law for a small jet transport to perform a steep final approach in automatic landings is reported along with the development of a steady-state Kalman filter used to provide smooth estimates to the control law. The control law performs the functions of localizer and glides capture, localizer and glideslope track, decrab, and place. The control law uses the microwave landing system position data, and aircraft body-mounted accelerators, attitude and attitude rate information. The results obtained from a digital simulation of the aircraft dynamics, wind conditions, and sensor noises using the control law and filter developed are described.

Halyo, N.↗

The MSFC/J70 orbital atmosphere model and the data bases for the MSFC solar activity prediction technique

The MSFC/J70 Orbital Atmospheric Density Model, a modified version of the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory Jacchia 1970 model is explained. The algorithms describing the MSFC/J70 model are included as well as listing of the computer program. The 13-month smoothed values of solar flux (F sub 10.7) and geomagnetic index (S sub p), which are required as inputs for the MSFC/J70 model, are also included and discussed.

Johnson, D. L.↗

Multigrid Preconditioning of Linear Systems for Interior Point Methods Applied to a Class of Box-constrained Optimal Control Problems

We construct and analyze multigrid preconditioners for discretizations of operators of the form ${\mathcal D}_{\lambda}+{\mathcal K}^*{\mathcal K}$, where $D_{\lambda}$ is the multiplication with a relatively smooth function $\lambda>0$ and ${\mathcal K}$ is a compact linear operator. These systems arise when applying interior point methods to the minimization problem $\min_{u} \frac{1}{2}(|\!|{\mathcal K} u-f|\!|^2 +\beta|\!|u|\!|^2)$ with box-constraints $\underline{u}\leqslant u\leqslant\overline{u}$ on the controls. The presented preconditioning technique is closely related to the one developed by Draganescu and Dupont [Math. Comp., 77 (2008), pp. 2001–2038] for the associated unconstrained problem and is intended for large-scale problems. As in that work, the quality of the resulting preconditioners is shown to increase as $h\downarrow 0$, but it decreases as the smoothness of $\lambda$ declines. We test this algorithm on a Tikhonov-regularized backward parabolic equation with box-constraints on the control and on a standard elliptic-constrained optimization problem. In both cases it is shown that the number of linear iterations per optimization step, as well as the total number of finest-scale matrix-vector multiplications, is decreasing with increasing resolution, thus showing the method to be potentially very efficient for truly large-scale problems.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Momentum fractionation on superstrata

Superstrata are bound states in string theory that carry D1, D5, and momentum charges, and whose supergravity descriptions are parameterized by arbitrary functions of (at least) two variables. In the D1-D5 CFT, typical three-charge states reside in highdegree twisted sectors, and their momentum charge is carried by modes that individually have fractional momentum. Understanding this momentum fractionation holographically is crucial for understanding typical black-hole microstates in this system. We use solution-generating techniques to add momentum to a multi-wound supertube and thereby construct the first examples of asymptotically-flat superstrata. The resulting supergravity solutions are horizonless and smooth up to well-understood orbifold singularities. Upon taking the AdS3 decoupling limit, our solutions are dual to CFT states with momentum fractionation. We give a precise proposal for these dual CFT states. Lastly, our construction establishes the very nontrivial fact that large classes of CFT states with momentum fractionation can be realized in the bulk as smooth horizonless supergravity solutions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Estimation of uncertainty for contour method residual stress measurements

This paper describes a methodology for the estimation of measurement uncertainty for the contour method, where the contour method is an experimental technique for measuring a two-dimensional map of residual stress over a plane. Random error sources including the error arising from noise in displacement measurements and the smoothing of the displacement surfaces are accounted for in the uncertainty analysis. The output is a two-dimensional, spatially varying uncertainty estimate such that every point on the cross-section where residual stress is determined has a corresponding uncertainty value. Both numerical and physical experiments are reported, which are used to support the usefulness of the proposed uncertainty estimator. The uncertainty estimator shows the contour method to have larger uncertainty near the perimeter of the measurement plane. For the experiments, which were performed on a quenched aluminum bar with a cross section of 51 × 76 mm, the estimated uncertainty was approximately 5 MPa (σ/E = 7 · 10⁻⁵) over the majority of the cross-section, with localized areas of higher uncertainty, up to 10 MPa (σ/E = 14 · 10⁻⁵).

42 ENGINEERING↗

Ion-damage-free planarization or shallow angle sectioning of solar cells for mapping grain orientation and nanoscale photovoltaic properties

Ion beam milling is the most common modern method for preparing specific features for microscopic analysis, even though concomitant ion implantation and amorphization remain persistent challenges, particularly as they often modify materials properties of interest. Atomic force microscopy (AFM), on the other hand, can mechanically mill specific nanoscale regions in plan-view without chemical or high energy ion damage, due to its resolution, directionality, and fine load control. As an example, AFM-nanomilling (AFM-NM) is implemented for top-down planarization of polycrystalline CdTe thin film solar cells, with a resulting decrease in the root mean square (RMS) roughness by an order of magnitude, even better than for a low incidence FIB polished surface. Subsequently AFM-based property maps reveal a substantially stronger contrast, in this case of the short-circuit current or open circuit voltage during light exposure. Furthermore, electron back scattering diffraction (EBSD) imaging also becomes possible upon AFM-NM, enabling direct correlations between the local materials properties and the polycrystalline microstructure. Smooth shallow-angle cross-sections are demonstrated as well, based on targeted oblique milling. As expected, this reveals a gradual decrease in the average short-circuit current and maximum power as the underlying CdS and electrode layers are approached, but a relatively consistent open-circuit voltage through the diminishing thickness of the CdTe absorber. AFM-based nanomilling is therefore a powerful tool for material characterization, uniquely providing ion-damage free, selective area, planar smoothing or low-angle sectioning of specimens while preserving their functionality. This then enables novel, co-located advanced AFM measurements, EBSD analysis, and investigations by related techniques that are otherwise hindered by surface morphology or surface damage.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Learning Optimal Multigrid Smoothers via Neural Networks

Multigrid methods are one of the most efficient techniques for solving large sparse linear systems arising from partial differential equations (PDEs) and graph Laplacians from machine learning applications. One of the key components of multigrid is smoothing, which aims at reducing high-frequency errors on each grid level. However, finding optimal smoothing algorithms is problem-dependent and can impose challenges for many problems. In this paper, we propose an efficient adaptive framework for learning optimized smoothers from operator stencils in the form of convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Here, the CNNs are trained on small-scale problems from a given type of PDEs based on a supervised loss function derived from multigrid convergence theories and can be applied to large-scale problems of the same class of PDEs. Numerical results on anisotropic rotated Laplacian problems and variable coefficient diffusion problems demonstrate improved convergence rates and solution time compared with classical hand-crafted relaxation methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Potential of a New Technique for Remote Sensing of Hydrocarbon Accumulations and Blind Uranium Deposits: Buried Lif Thermoluminescence Dosimeters

Buried thermoluminescence dosimeters may be useful in remote sensing of petroleum and natural gas accumulations and blind uranium deposits. They act as integrating detectors that smooth out the effects of environmental variations that affect other measuring systems and result in irregularities and poor repeatability in measurements made during gas and radiometric surveys.

Siegel, F. R.↗

Strategies for converting to a DBMS environment

The conversion to data base management systems processing techniques consists of three different strategies - one for each of the major stages in the development process. Each strategy was chosen for its approach in bringing about a smooth evolutionary type transition from one mode of operation to the next. The initial strategy of the indoctrination stage consisted of: (1) providing maximum access to current administrative data as soon as possible; (2) select and developing small prototype systems; (3) establishing a user information center as a central focal point for user training and assistance; and (4) developing a training program for programmers, management and ad hoc users in DBMS application and utilization. Security, the rate of the data dictionary, and data base tuning and capacity planning, and the development of a change of attitude in an automated office are issues meriting consideration.

Durban, D. M.↗

A three dimensional multigrid multiblock multistage time stepping scheme for the Navier-Stokes equations

A general multiblock method for the solution of the three-dimensional, unsteady, compressible, thin-layer Navier-Stokes equations has been developed. The convective and pressure terms are spatially discretized using Roe's flux differencing technique while the viscous terms are centrally differenced. An explicit Runge-Kutta method is used to advance the solution in time. Local time stepping, adaptive implicit residual smoothing, and the Full Approximation Storage (FAS) multigrid scheme are added to the explicit time stepping scheme to accelerate convergence to steady state. Results for three-dimensional test cases are presented and discussed.

Elmiligui, Alaa↗

Surface inspection using FTIR spectroscopy

The use of reflectance Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy as a tool for surface inspection is described. Laboratory instruments and portable instruments can support remote sensing probes that can map chemical contaminants on surfaces with detection limits under the best of conditions in the sub-nanometer range, i.e.. near absolute cleanliness, excellent performance in the sub-micrometer range, and useful performance for films tens of microns thick. Examples of discovering and quantifying contamination such as mineral oils and greases, vegetable oils, and silicone oils on aluminum foil, galvanized sheet steel, smooth aluminum tubing, and sandblasted 7075 aluminum alloy and D6AC steel. The ability to map in time and space the distribution of oil stains on metals is demonstrated. Techniques associated with quantitatively applying oils to metals, subsequently verifying the application, and non-linear relationships between reflectance and the quantity oil are described.

Powell, G. L.↗

Friction and Wear Characteristics of Cu-4Al Foil Bearing Coating at 25 and 650 degree C

The friction and wear performance of a Cu-4Al top foil coating has been investigated in Generation I foil air bearings. The copper alloy was applied by a novel deposition technique (ion diffusion) and the journal was coated with PS304, a plasma spray deposited high temperature composite solid lubricant coating. The ion diffusion coating process deposits a desirable smooth layer compared to other methods like cathodic arc deposition. The tribological performance of bearings with and without Cu-4Al foil coatings were evaluated through start-stop tests on an air bearing test rig at 25 and 650 C. The results indicate that the Cu-4Al assists during the initial break-in period, gives more stable friction performance with respect to temperature, and appears to prevent top foil wear at high temperature. The measured load capacity coefficient was 0.5, which was comparable to earlier testing of more advanced design Generation III bearings coated with standard cathodic arc deposited Cu-4Al. However, further studies are needed to determine if deeper penetration of the copper alloy into the foil would help make the transition in friction behavior from contact with the Cu-4Al coated foil to contact with the base foil material more gradual. Also, future work is recommended to assess the performance of ion diffusion coatings with different Cu-based alloy compositions and to investigate the effect the coating has on the elastic modulus of the foil material.

Stanford, Malcolm K.↗

An Optimal Cell Detection Technique for Automated Patch Clamping

While there are several hardware techniques for the automated patch clamping of cells that describe the equipment apparatus used for patch clamping, very few explain the science behind the actual technique of locating the ideal cell for a patch clamping procedure. We present a machine vision approach to patch clamping cell selection by developing an intelligent algorithm technique that gives the user the ability to determine the good cell to patch clamp in an image within one second. This technique will aid the user in determining the best candidates for patch clamping and will ultimately save time, increase efficiency and reduce cost. The ultimate goal is to combine intelligent processing with instrumentation and controls in order to produce a complete turnkey automated patch clamping system capable of accurately and reliably patch clamping cells with a minimum amount of human intervention. We present a unique technique that identifies good patch clamping cell candidates based on feature metrics of a cell's (x, y) position, major axis length, minor axis length, area, elongation, roundness, smoothness, angle of orientation, thinness and whether or not the cell is only particularly in the field of view. A patent is pending for this research.

McDowell, Mark↗

Inward-Turning Streamline-Traced Inlet Design Method for Low-Boom, Low-Drag Applications

A new design method for inward-turning, streamline-traced inlets is presented. Resulting designs are intended for moderate supersonic, low-drag, low-boom applications such as that required for NASA's proposed low-boom flight demonstration aircraft. A critical feature of these designs is the internal cowl lip angle that allows for little or no flow turning on the outer nacelle. Present methods using conical-flow Busemann parent flowfields have simply truncated, or otherwise modified the stream-traced contours to include this internal cowl angle. Such modifications disrupt the parent flowfield, reducing inlet performance and flow uniformity. The method presented herein merges a conical flowfield that includes a leading shock with a truncated Busemann flowfield in a manner that minimizes unwanted interactions. A leading internal cowl angle is now inherent in the parent flowfield, and inlet contours traced from this flowfield retain its high performance and good flow uniformity. CFD analysis of a candidate inlet design is presented that verifies the design technique, and reveals a starting issue with the basic geometry. A minor modification to the cowl lip region is shown to eliminate this phenomenon, thereby allowing starting and smooth transition to sub-critical operation as back-pressure is increased. An inlet critical-point total pressure recovery of 96 is achieved based on CFD results for a Mach 1.7 freestream design. Correction for boundary-layer displacement thickness, and sizing for a given engine airflow requirement are also discussed.

low sonic boom↗