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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 721 records · Page 40
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

A Stochastic Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Algorithm for Dynamic Load Prioritization in Grid-Interactive Efficient Buildings

Increasing deployment of advanced sensing, controls, and communication infrastructure enables buildings to provide services to the power grid, leading to the concept of grid-interactive efficient buildings. Since occupant activities and preferences primarily drive the availability and operational flexibility of building devices, there is a critical need to develop occupant-centric approaches that prioritize devices for providing grid services, while maintaining the desired end-use quality of service. In this paper, we present a decision-making framework that facilitates a building owner/operator to effectively prioritize loads for curtailment service under uncertainties, while minimizing any adverse impact on the occupants. The proposed framework uses a stochastic (Markov) model to represent the probabilistic behavior of device usage from power consumption data, and a load prioritization algorithm that dynamically ranks building loads using a stochastic multi-criteria decision-making algorithm. The proposed load prioritization framework is illustrated via numerical simulations in a residential building use-case, including plug-loads, air-conditioners, and plug-in electric vehicle chargers, in the context of load curtailment as a grid service. Suitable metrics are proposed to evaluate the closed-loop performance of the proposed prioritization algorithm under various scenarios and design choices. Scalability of the proposed algorithm is established via computational analysis, while time-series plots are used for intuitive explanation of the ranking choices.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2025

HELPR Version 1.1.0 User Guide

Hydrogen Extremely Low Probability of Rupture (HELPR) is a modular probabilistic fracture mechanics modeling platform developed to assess structural integrity of pipelines for transmission and distribution of hydrogen. HELPR couples fatigue and fracture engineering models with probabilistic methods to generate fast predictions and enables quantification of prediction uncertainty and sensitivity. This user manual serves as a guide through the various analysis features HELPR contains.

08 HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Southern Photometric Quasar Catalog from the Dark Energy Survey Data Release 2

We present a catalog of 1.4 million photometrically selected quasar candidates in the southern hemisphere over the ~5000 deg 2 Dark Energy Survey (DES) wide survey area. We combine optical photometry from the DES second data release (DR2) with available near-infrared (NIR) and the all-sky unWISE mid-infrared photometry in the selection. We build models of quasars, galaxies, and stars with multivariate skew-t distributions in the multidimensional space of relative fluxes as functions of redshift (or color for stars) and magnitude. Our selection algorithm assigns probabilities for quasars, galaxies, and stars and simultaneously calculates photometric redshifts (photo-z) for quasar and galaxy candidates. Benchmarking on spectroscopically confirmed objects, we successfully classify (with photometry) 94.7% of quasars, 99.3% of galaxies, and 96.3% of stars when all IR bands (NIR YJHK and WISE W1W2) are available. The classification and photo-z regression success rates decrease when fewer bands are available. Our quasar (galaxy) photo-z quality, defined as the fraction of objects with the difference between the photo-z z p and the spectroscopic redshift z s , |Δz| ≡ |z s - z p |/(1 + z s ) ≤ 0.1, is 92.2% (98.1%) when all IR bands are available, decreasing to 72.2% (90.0%) using optical DES data only. Our photometric quasar catalog achieves an estimated completeness of 89% and purity of 79% at r < 21.5 (0.68 million quasar candidates), with reduced completeness and purity at 21.5 < r ≲ 24. Among the 1.4 million quasar candidates, 87,857 have existing spectra, and 84,978 (96.7%) of them are spectroscopically confirmed quasars. Finally, we provide quasar, galaxy, and star probabilities for all (0.69 billion) photometric sources in the DES DR2 coadded photometric catalog.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Natural Hazard Forecast Alert Grid Risk System

Weather events cause most power outages. Often, we even get notifications on our phones to take cover or be prepared for an imminent event. If electric grid utilities had a similar warning that also included probable scenarios and the equipment involved, they could prepare and minimize the effects. Idaho National Laboratory had a project with the U.S. Department of Energy’s Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response program to develop a grid alert application that receives messages from the existing emergency alert system, filters and determines components possibly affected by the emergency event, calculates probable scenarios using MASTERRI (Modeling And Simulation for Targeted Reliability and Resilience Improvement). For high-risk events, the application can then send alert links to subscribed electric distribution utility operations staff to allow them to see and evaluate the scenarios and the impact in a web based interactive map tool. This proof of concept application used data from utilities and organizations, such as the international regulatory body North American Electric Reliability Corporation, which have complied historical failure data of elements that comprise the U.S. electric grid. Nominal failure rates are obtained from this data. To make this tool possible, estimated failure rates were calculated for different component types given the alert type, severity, and location. Historic weather-related grid element failures were correlated with historic weather events from the Integrated Public Alert & Warning System. These correlated events and failures are used along with Bayesian updates from the historical norms to provide a modified failure rate for grid elements in the alert areas and calculate probable scenarios. Working with an industry collaborator, actual grid models and data were used for demonstration cases. This report outlines the work performed for this project.

24 - POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2020

CHARACTERISTICS OF CYCLE-TO-CYCLE COMBUSTION VARIABILITY AT PARTIAL-BURN LIMITED AND MISFIRE LIMITED SPARK TIMING UNDER HIGHLY DILUTED CONDITIONS

Diluted combustion with exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) has been widely employed to improve the fuel economy of spark ignition engines. The combustion kinetics, however, are affected and the flame propagation speed is decreased. In order to compensate for this adverse effect, the spark timing needs to be recalibrated to achieve maximum brake torque (MBT). At high levels of EGR dilution, the spark timing is constrained by two ignition limits: 1) the partial-bum limit where the spark timing is retarded from MBT and 2) the misfire limit where the spark timing is too advanced. This work uses a probabilistic framework to capture the differences between both ignition limits. In particular, it introduces the concept of a nominal indicated mean effective pressure (IMEP) distribution based on the stochastic properties of the cycle-to-cycle variability (CCV) at nominal stable conditions. By defining a nominal band where fully burned cycles occur with high probability, we introduce a cycle classification method that can be used to 1) determine the level of randomness of misfire and partial-burn events, and 2) measure CCV. The new CCV metric based on the density of the nominal band is compared with the traditional coefficient of variation of IMEP (CoVIMEP). It is shown that the nominal band concept, together with the CoVIMEP, can help to discern between partial-burn limited and misfire limited conditions. Furthermore, the Kullback-Leibler divergence is used to demonstrate that the IMEP distribution is significantly different between nominal and partial-burn/misfire limited conditions. Experiments are carried at various EGR levels and spark timings while recoding in-cylinder pressure at steady state. Although the emphasis of this work is to characterize the differences of both ignition limits from a probabilistic point of view, similarities between partial-burn cycles at either limiting conditions are also discussed.

Maldonado, Bryan↗
DOE OSTI2022

Mutually promoting or constraining? Disentangling the superimposed effect of velocity and illuminance on fish motion in low-velocity flows with a novel metric

Global climate change, species invasion, and human activities such as the construction of hydraulic facilities are contributing to the worldwide degradation of fish stocks. As a pivotal environmental factor that affects fish migration and population distribution, low-velocity flow has not drawn enough attention despite its extensive presence in various ecoregions. Herein, to understand the behavioural profiles of fish in low-velocity flow, we examined the motility and swimming performance of two representative cyprinids, grass carp (GC, Ctenopharyngodon idella) and silver carp (SC, Hypophthalmichthys molitrix), under the combined effect of different flow velocities and illuminance ranges. The two species were exposed to two flow velocities (0.15 and 0.25 m/s) and three illuminance ranges (100.0 – 0.9 lx, 300.0 – 2.5 lx, and 700.0 – 4.9 lx). A novel behavioural metric, composed of light preference, cruising swimming speed, rheotaxis index (RI), swimming stability (SS), and the probability of moving forwards/backwards over a certain distance (PM f -0.1 and PM b -0.1), was developed to depict the motion strategy of fish fully. By investigating the individual distribution of the fish in light gradient, we confirmed the scototaxis of GC and found the oscillating light preference in SC that changed from 84.4 – 10.2 lx to 6.0 – 2.1 lx and disappeared with increasing illuminance. At the given velocities, the RI and SS increased in both species with a faster flow, and SC was more forward-prone and stable than GC. Despite its fluctuating light preference, the higher illuminances heightened the RI and SS in SC; while in GC, higher illuminances inhibited the SS and had no impact on the RI. The results of PM f -0.1 and PM b -0.1 indicated that a higher flow velocity could facilitate temporary upstream swimming in both species, while illuminance could promote the same effect in SC only. Finally, our study proposed possible moving manoeuvres in fine-scale spatio-temporal scenarios such as attraction flow and untraditional passages and provides valuable insights into fish community dynamics, laying the groundwork for alleviating the threat from invasive species and for future fish population recovery.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Minimizing Timing Jitter’s Impact on Ground-Penetrating Radar Array Coupling Signals

This article presents a novel investigation into the effect of receiver timing jitter on the quality of imaging of ground-penetrating radar systems. We explicitly show the impact of timing jitter throughout an entire example processing pipeline. The process of coupling removal in systems whose receivers have a random Gaussian-distributed jitter with a high standard deviation leaves randomly distributed residue in the radar image. This residue, called jitter-induced coupling noise, extends even into the expected target domain which may cause false alarms. This residue approximately follows a sum of Gaussian and Gamma distributions based on the higher order derivatives of the coupling signal. Once migrated to create an image, the coupling residue is best described by a Weibull distribution. We show that simple filtering does not remove enough residue and propose two preventative design specifications called the linear slope and migrated probability specifications. Antenna and system designers should use these specifications to assess the true severity of coupling signals in a given jitter environment.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2020

Minimum Detectable Quantity Calculation for Radiation Portal Monitors

The minimum detectable quantity of a radiation portal monitor is the smallest amount of radioactive material that can be detected passing through the monitor (with a specified detection probability). The minimum detectable quantity is a function of many factors, including isotope, velocity, distance between pillars, height of portal and vehicle, source distribution and position, background radiation, background suppression, detector volume and positions, detector efficiency, decision metrics and algorithms, the presence of NORM (naturally occurring radioactive material), and alarm thresholds. Experimentally testing a radiation portal monitor to failure for all combinations of these factors is extremely time-consuming and often cost prohibitive. This document outlines a straightforward method for quickly estimating the minimum detectable quantity for moving sources over a large variety of conditions with a minimal number of static measurements. The document also describes a proof of concept software application that the International Atomic Energy Agency has designed based on the described method that can be used by Member States to estimate a monitor’s minimum detectable quantity.

Blessinger, Christopher S.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Transfer learning for probabilistic localization of hidden cracks in concrete structures

Abstract The utility of discriminative supervised learning models built using multiple training-data sources is investigated for hidden crack localization in concrete. Feed-forward neural network (FFNN) is chosen as the model architecture, and transfer learning is used to assimilate the information obtained from different sources (computational physics simulations and laboratory experiments). The labeled training data consists of values of a damage index and the known locations of hidden cracks. The classification models need to learn how the presence of damage (hidden cracks) affects the damage index at different sensors for different test conditions. To this end, diagnostic FFNN models are built by sequentially adding and training new hidden layers to assimilate labeled information from computer models (different model geometries, test conditions, crack lengths, crack locations) and laboratory experiments on a plain cement slab. These transfer learning-based models are then used to localize damage in concrete specimens that reflect real-world conditions (i.e., specimens with steel reinforcement and randomly distributed aggregate). The actual damage state in these specimens is determined by extracting cores and performing petrographic studies on the extracted cores. The damage probability estimated by transfer learning-based models is compared with the petrographic damage rating index (DRI) to identify the most suitable approach to train the diagnostic models. The transfer learning-based diagnostic methodology shows promise and could be used in various structural health monitoring applications, where sufficient labeled data are typically not available from a single data source.

Miele, S.↗
DOE OSTI2026

High energy particle production from proton synchrotron radiation in strong magnetic fields in relativistic quantum field theory

We investigate photon, pion, and 𝜌-meson production from proton synchrotron radiation in the presence of strong magnetic fields. The proton decay widths and the luminosities of the emitted particles are calculated within a relativistic quantum framework that incorporates Landau quantization. A scaling rule is derived for the transition probability between different Landau levels. This allows an evaluation of transitions for extremely high Landau numbers exceeding 10 15 . Furthermore, we calculate the momentum distribution of the emitted particles by properly including the proton recoil effect associated with particle emission. The results differ significantly from conventional semiclassical approaches.

Cosmic ray sources↗
DOE OSTI2020

Landscape responses to intraplate deformation in the Kalahari constrained by sediment provenance and chronology in the Okavango Basin

The structural depression that occupies the Okavango Basin in southern Africa comprises a depo-centre within the intracratonic Kalahari Basin where sediments of the Cenozoic Kalahari Group have accumulated. The Okavango Basin has been formed due to stretching and subsidence at an area of diffused deformation, southwestwards to the main East African Rift System (EARS). Sediments from two full Kalahari Group sequences, located on opposite sides of the Gumare Fault that forms a major fault within the Okavango Basin, were studied to determine their provenance and chronology. Terrestrial Cosmogenic Nuclide (TCN) 26 Al/ 10 Be burial dating was used to constrain a chronostratigraphical framework, and Pb, Sr, and Nd isotopic ratios combined with geochemical and sedimentological analyses were applied to track the source areas of the sediments.Results indicate the following sequence of basin filling: (a) Accumulation between ca. 4–3 Ma during which the currently downthrown (southern) block received a mixture of sediments mostly from the Choma-Kalomo, Ghanzi-Chobe, and Damara terranes, and possibly from the Lufilian Belt and/or Karoo basalts during earlier stages of deposition. Simultaneously, the upthrown (northern) block received sediments from more distant Archean sources in the Zimbabwe and/or Kasai cratons, (b) Hiatus in sedimentation occurred at both sites between ca. 3–2 Ma, (c) Sediments on both sides of the Gumare Fault share a similar source (Angolan Shield) with minor distinct contributions to the downthrown block from the Kasai Craton and local sources input to the upthrown block, and (d) Regional distribution of aeolian sand since at least 1 Ma. The change in source areas is attributed to rearrangements of the drainage systems that were probably linked to vertical crustal movements on the margins of the Okavango Basin. The tectonically induced morphodynamics controlled the landscape evolution of the endorheic basin where vast lakes, wetlands and salt pans have developed through time.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Disentangling Beam Losses in The Fermilab Main Injector Enclosure Using Real-Time Edge AI

The Fermilab Main Injector enclosure houses two accelerators, the Main Injector and Recycler Ring. During normal operation, high intensity proton beams exist simultaneously in both. The two accelerators share the same beam loss monitors (BLM) and monitoring system. Deciphering the origin of any of the 260 BLM readings is often difficult. The (Accelerator) Real-time Edge AI for Distributed Systems project, or READS, has developed an AI/ML model, and implemented it on fast FPGA hardware, that disentangles mixed beam losses and attributes probabilities to each BLM as to which machine(s) the loss originated from in real-time. The model inferences are then streamed to the Fermilab accelerator controls network (ACNET) where they are available for operators and experts alike to aid in tuning the machines.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Contaminant Source Identification from Finite Sensor Data: Perron–Frobenius Operator and Bayesian Inference

Sensors in the built environment ensure safety and comfort by tracking contaminants in the occupied space. In the event of contaminant release, it is important to use the limited sensor data to rapidly and accurately identify the release location of the contaminant. Identification of the release location will enable subsequent remediation as well as evacuation decision-making. In previous work, we used an operator theoretic approach—based on the Perron–Frobenius (PF) operator—to estimate the contaminant concentration distribution in the domain given a finite amount of streaming sensor data. In the current work, the approach is extended to identify the most probable contaminant release location. The release location identification is framed as a Bayesian inference problem. The Bayesian inference approach requires considering multiple release location scenarios, which is done efficiently using the discrete PF operator. The discrete PF operator provides a fast, effective and accurate model for contaminant transport modeling. The utility of our PF-based Bayesian inference methodology is illustrated using single-point release scenarios in both two and three-dimensional cases. The method provides a fast, accurate, and efficient framework for real-time identification of contaminant source location.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2020

Using new edges for anomaly detection in computer networks

Creation of new edges in a network may be used as an indication of a potential attack on the network. Historical data of a frequency with which nodes in a network create and receive new edges may be analyzed. Baseline models of behavior among the edges in the network may be established based on the analysis of the historical data. A new edge that deviates from a respective baseline model by more than a predetermined threshold during a time window may be detected. The new edge may be flagged as potentially anomalous when the deviation from the respective baseline model is detected. Probabilities for both new and existing edges may be obtained for all edges in a path or other subgraph. The probabilities may then be combined to obtain a score for the path or other subgraph. A threshold may be obtained by calculating an empirical distribution of the scores under historical conditions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Global Structure of the Milky Way’s Stellar Halo Based on the Orbits of Local Metal-poor Stars

We analyze the global structure of the Milky Way (MW)'s stellar halo, including its dominant subcomponent, Gaia-Sausage-Enceladus (GSE). The method for reconstructing the global distribution of this old stellar component is to employ the superposition of the orbits covering the large MW's space, where each of the orbit-weighting factors is assigned following the probability that the star is located at its currently observed position. The selected local, metal-poor sample with [Fe/H] <–1, using Gaia Early Data Release 3 and Sloan Digital Sky Survey Data Release 16, shows that the global shape of the halo is systematically rounder at all radii in more metal-poor ranges, such that an axial ratio, q, is nearly 1 for [Fe/H] <–2.2 and ~0.7 for –1.4 < [Fe/H] < –1.0. It is also found that a halo in the relatively metal-rich range of [Fe/H] >–1.8 actually shows a boxy/peanut-like shape, suggesting a major merger event. The distribution of azimuthal velocities shows a disk-like flattened structure at –1.4 < [Fe/H] < –1.0, which is thought to be the metal-weak thick disk. For the subsample of stars showing GSE-like kinematics, at [Fe/H] >–1.8, its global density distribution has an axis ratio of 0.9, which is more spherical than the general halo sample, and an outer ridge at r ~ 20 kpc. This spherical shape is consistent with the features of accreted halo components, and the ridge suggests that the orbit of GSE's progenitor had an apocenter of ~20 kpc. Implications for the formation of the stellar halo are also presented.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Dynamic Temporal Graph Sequence Data for Resilience-Oriented Distribution Network Reconfiguration

This dataset comprises temporal dynamic graph sequences generated from power grid simulations focused on grid reconfiguration to enhance resilience. The simulations model failure propagation under varying conditions, with nodes assigned distinct failure probabilities. For each time step, the dataset captures the evolution of node states (functional or failed) and features critical to grid operations, such as pv_output, load_profile, load_dispatch, dg_output, loss, and voltage. Node types include sources, normal loads, and nodes with specific equipment like PVs, micro turbines, or shunt capacitors. The dataset is structured to support the training of dynamic graph neural networks, facilitating research on node feature prediction and edge dynamics under failure scenarios. Three distinct configurations are included, providing a robust foundation for modeling power grid resilience.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Energy dependence of $\textit{p}$ + 232 Th fission mass distributions: Mass-asymmetric standard I and standard II modes, and multichance fission

Background: The predominant mass-asymmetric fission of actinide nuclides occurs mainly through the so-called standard I and standard II modes. Though understood to be caused by shape-dependent shell structures encountered between the fission barrier deformation and scission, the most relevant shell gaps are still not firmly established. The standard I mode had been associated with the spherical doubly magic 132 Sn, and thus the $\textit{Z}$ = 50 proton shell, but recently it has been proposed that standard I and standard II are associated with quadrupole and octupole deformed gaps at $\textit{Z}$ = 52 and 56, respectively. Purpose: In this work, we investigate how the relative probabilities of the standard I and standard II modes vary with excitation energy near threshold, probing where the two modes bifurcate. Methods: The Australian National University Heavy Ion Accelerator Facility and CUBE fission spectrometer have been used to measure fission mass distributions for the $\textit{p}$ + 232 Th reaction (forming 233 Pa) at closely spaced bombarding energy intervals from 6.5 to 28 MeV. Results: A model-independent analysis of the energy dependence of the shape of the mass-asymmetric peak shows a strong dependence of the standard I and standard II relative probability on excitation energy near threshold. Conclusions: The results are consistent with the standard II mode having a lower fission barrier than standard I in 233 Pa, with the latter increasing continually in relative probability above its barrier energy. It is concluded that multichance fission, in particular last chance fission, plays a strong role in determining the observed energy dependence of all fission modes.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗