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At least 721 records · Page 40

Assessment of shuttle payloads gaseous environment contamination and its control

A prediction is given of the in-orbit gaseous environment and the contamination it could produce on cryogenic and room temperature surfaces of payloads in the shuttle bay. The time varying environment was obtained by the superposition of the calculated shuttle environment for a discrete time and payload induced environments measured in large space chambers. Representative contaminant surface accretions were calculated for flights 1 week and 1 month long for payloads having the largest source of outgassing and an orbit of 200 km. A number of calculations were based on the magnitude of the sources, the molecular natures, the decay rate with time, the sticking coefficients, the view factors, and the temperatures of the surfaces being contaminated. Significant results are reported.

Scialdone, J. J.↗

LORAN-C prediction problems

Control of time and frequency at remote stations and the maintenance of a constant time scale for LORAN-C chains are problems of practical importance. The stability of stations monitoring a LORAN-C chain is analyzed, in particular, those stations monitoring the Northwest Pacific chain. Individual determinations of the quantity, U.S. Naval Observatory Master lock are compared with an averaged value and monitored data.

Lukac, C. F.↗

Detecting Controller Malfunctions in Electromagnetic Environments: Modeling and Estimation of Nominal System Function - Part 1

A strategy for detecting control law calculation errors in critical flight control computers during laboratory validation testing is presented. This paper addresses Part I of the detection strategy which involves the use of modeling of the aircraft control laws and the design of Kalman filters to predict the correct control commands. Part II of the strategy which involves the use of the predicted control commands to detect control command errors is presented in the companion paper.

Weinstein, Bernice↗

Mitigation of Motor Stalling and FIDVR via Energy Storage Systems with Temporal Logic Specifications

The fault-induced delayed voltage recovery (FIDVR) phenomenon has been very common from the distribution system through the transmission system. It causes a delay on recovering significantly depressed local voltage after the fault is cleared, and it can also lead to more widespread cascading system failures. Mitigating this event with current control approaches is challenging and becoming a crucial issue. Here, a model predictive control-based strategy employing signal temporal logic specifications is proposed to help mitigate FIDVR. To this end, it investigates and extends a dynamic performance model allowing analytic insights into the system-wide impact of motor stalling and FIDVR. The proposed controller provides richer descriptions of voltage specifications addressing both magnitude and time simultaneously. We consider different control specifications with reactive power support from energy storage systems to prevent the voltage during/after the fault from dropping too low, and reduce the delay time of voltage recovery. The simulation results conducted with the IEEE 57 bus test network validate the proposed method and demonstrate the effectiveness of the mitigation strategy on FIDVR.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Effects of modeling errors on trajectory predictions in air traffic control automation

Air traffic control automation synthesizes aircraft trajectories for the generation of advisories. Trajectory computation employs models of aircraft performances and weather conditions. In contrast, actual trajectories are flown in real aircraft under actual conditions. Since synthetic trajectories are used in landing scheduling and conflict probing, it is very important to understand the differences between computed trajectories and actual trajectories. This paper examines the effects of aircraft modeling errors on the accuracy of trajectory predictions in air traffic control automation. Three-dimensional point-mass aircraft equations of motion are assumed to be able to generate actual aircraft flight paths. Modeling errors are described as uncertain parameters or uncertain input functions. Pilot or autopilot feedback actions are expressed as equality constraints to satisfy control objectives. A typical trajectory is defined by a series of flight segments with different control objectives for each flight segment and conditions that define segment transitions. A constrained linearization approach is used to analyze trajectory differences caused by various modeling errors by developing a linear time varying system that describes the trajectory errors, with expressions to transfer the trajectory errors across moving segment transitions. A numerical example is presented for a complete commercial aircraft descent trajectory consisting of several flight segments.

Jackson, Michael R. C.↗

Commercial applications

Viewgraphs on commercial applications of fuzzy logic in Japan are presented. Topics covered include: suitable application area of fuzzy theory; characteristics of fuzzy control; fuzzy closed-loop controller; Mitsubishi heavy air conditioner; predictive fuzzy control; the Sendai subway system; automatic transmission; fuzzy logic-based command system for antilock braking system; fuzzy feed-forward controller; and fuzzy auto-tuning system.

Togai, Masaki↗

Prediction of forces and moments for hypersonic flight vehicle control effectors

Developing methods of predicting flight control forces and moments for hypersonic vehicles, included a preliminary assessment of subsonic/supersonic panel methods and hypersonic local flow inclination methods for such predictions. While these findings clearly indicate the usefulness of such methods for conceptual design activities, deficiencies exist in some areas. Thus, a second phase of research was proposed in which a better understanding is sought for the reasons of the successes and failures of the methods considered, particularly for the cases at hypersonic Mach numbers. To obtain this additional understanding, a more careful study of the results obtained relative to the methods used was undertaken. In addition, where appropriate and necessary, a more complete modeling of the flow was performed using well proven methods of computational fluid dynamics. As a result, assessments will be made which are more quantitative than those of phase 1 regarding the uncertainty involved in the prediction of the aerodynamic derivatives. In addition, with improved understanding, it is anticipated that improvements resulting in better accuracy will be made to the simple force and moment prediction.

Maughmer, Mark D.↗

Co-Optimization Scheme for Hybrid Electric Vehicles Powertrain and Exhaust Emission Control System Using Future Speed Prediction

Hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) have been an effective solution for improved vehicle fuel efficiency and reduced emission pollution. In this paper, a co-optimization scheme is proposed to optimize fuel efficiency for HEVs. Here, the proposed optimization scheme uses obtainable future speed prediction as the basis to optimally tune control parameters for the existing powertrain control system. The ramp-up time of the catalyst temperature to reach its light-off level in the exhaust emission system is also considered as an additional optimization constraint to reduce emission. The Toyota Prius Hybrid Simulink model which is an integrated model for a powertrain and exhaust emission system is validated using real data from several real driving cycle scenarios. Then, to simplify the formulation of the proposed algorithm, the model for the optimization for powertrain and exhaust emission systems is represented by a set of equivalent neural network (NN) models learned using the data generated from the well-validated Toyota Prius Hybrid Simulink model. Using NN models, a co-optimization algorithm is established that provides an optimal tuning of some fuel-sensitive powertrain control parameters using future speed prediction, leading to a novel co-optimization algorithm, achieving on average a further 9.22% fuel savings for the Toyota Prius Hybrid Simulink model.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Correlation of the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) Space Telescope Imaging Spectrometer (STIS) On-Orbit Data with Pre-launch Predictions and Ground Contamination Controls

The Hubble Space Telescope (HST) Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph (STIS) was deployed on-orbit in February 1997. The contamination program for STIS was stringently controlled as the five-year end-of-life deposition was set at 158, per optical element. Contamination was controlled through materials selection, extensive vacuum outgassing certifications, cleaning techniques, and environmental controls. In addition to ground contamination controls, on-orbit contamination controls were implemented for both the HST servicing mission activities and early post-servicing mission checkout. The extensive contamination control program will be discussed and the STIS on-orbit data will be correlated with the prelaunch analytical predictions.

Hansen, Patricia A.↗

Instantiation of HCML Demonstrating Bayesian Predictive Modeling for Attentional Control

The research team developed models of Attentional Control (AC) that are unique to existing modeling approaches in the literature. The goal was to enable the research team to (1) make predictions about AC and human performance in real-world scenarios and (2) to make predictions about individual characteristics based on human data. First, the team developed a proof-of-concept approach for representing an experimental design and human subjects data in a Bayesian model, then demonstrated an ability to draw inferences about conditions of interest relevant to real-world scenarios. Ultimately, this effort was successful, and we were able to make reasonable (meaning supported by behavioral data) inferences about conditions of interest to develop a risk model for AC (where risk is defined as a mismatch between AC and attentional demand). The team additionally defined a path forward for a human-constrained machine learning (HCML) approach to make predictions about an individual's state based on performance data. The effort represents a successful first step in both modeling efforts and serves as a basis for future work activities. Numerous opportunities for future work have been defined.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Some recent developments in predicting unsteady loadings caused by control surface motions

Solution instabilities are identified within the procedures used to predict unsteady loadings due to motions of swept hingeline control surfaces. A preferred solution process that demonstrates the need of calculating smooth residual downwash distributions is described. Numerical results displaying erratic solution behavior when use is made of various forms of pressure expressions currently employed in control surface analyses are presented. A new expression of the asymptotic pressure function is derived, which exactly satisfies the change in boundary conditions around the boundary of the control surface. Results of applying the new pressure function are presented and indicate that stable converged solutions may be achieved for predicting the unsteady loadings caused by motions of swept hingeline control surfaces.

Rowe, W. S.↗

Robust Data-Driven Predictive Run-to-Run Control for Automated Serial Sectioning

This letter presents a one-step predictive run-to-run controller (R2R-MPC) for the automation of mechanical serial sectioning (MSS), a destructive material analysis process. To address the inherent uncertainty and disturbances in the MSS process, a robust closed-loop approach is presented. Here, the robust R2R-MPC models the uncertainty of the MSS process using a linear differential inclusion. As an analytical model of the MSS process is unavailable, the differential inclusion is identified from historical data. The R2R-MPC is posed as an optimization problem that computes incremental changes to the control input which minimize the worst-case material removal errors. This optimization-based controller is combined with a run-to-run controller to provide integral action that rejects constant disturbances and tracks constant reference removal rates. To demonstrate the efficacy of our robust R2R-MPC, we present simulation results which compare the presented controller with a conventional non-robust R2R.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Machine Learning for Real-time Fusion Plasma Behavior Prediction and Manipulation (Final Report)

The goal of this project is to implement real-time analysis of 2D Beam Emission Spectroscopy (BES) data to predict and control transient and high-bandwidth events at DIII-D. In essence, we wish to bring high-bandwidth fluctuation diagnostics into the realm of real-time measurements and control. The BES ML models will necessarily be deep neural networks (DNN) with a “data flow” architecture for compatibility with high-throughput, low-latency evaluation on a field-programmable gate array (FPGA) or other emerging processor technologies. The real-time output will be fed to the plasma control system (PCS) for real-time control tasks, specifically for ELM control and avoidance and for QH-mode access and sustainment. We anticipate that the real-time analysis of fluctuation diagnostics will create new enabling technologies to predict and control transient events such as confinement mode transitions, edge-localized modes, Alfven eigenmode events, and disruptions. The proposed research is aligned with ITER research needs and DIII-D programmatic goals. For instance, the prediction and avoidance of ELM events is critical for ITER machine safety. Also, H-mode access with RMP ELM suppression in ITER is an active research area due to high separatrix density, narrow SOL width, and elevated LH transition power threshold.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Packetized Energy Management: Coordinating Transmission and Distribution (Final Report)

The project Packetized Energy Management (PEM): Coordinating Transmission and Distribution was part of the ARPA-E NODES program from 2015 to 2023. The high-level goal of the project was to develop and demonstrate novel, scalable, and impactful technologies related to the coordination of networked distributed energy resources (DERs). By demonstrating responsive means by which fleets of DERs could be coordinated to enhance grid operation and reliability, the U.S. could accelerate renewable integration and electrification efforts and meet decarbonization goals.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

The Impact of Trajectory Prediction Uncertainty on Air Traffic Controller Performance and Acceptability

A Human-In-The-Loop air traffic control simulation investigated the impact of uncertainties in trajectory predictions on NextGen Trajectory-Based Operations concepts, seeking to understand when the automation would become unacceptable to controllers or when performance targets could no longer be met. Retired air traffic controllers staffed two en route transition sectors, delivering arrival traffic to the northwest corner-post of Atlanta approach control under time-based metering operations. Using trajectory-based decision-support tools, the participants worked the traffic under varying levels of wind forecast error and aircraft performance model error, impacting the ground automations ability to make accurate predictions. Results suggest that the controllers were able to maintain high levels of performance, despite even the highest levels of trajectory prediction errors.

trajectory prediction uncertainty↗

A Sequential Model Predictive and Deep Reinforcement Learning-Based Controller for Distribution System Outage Mitigation under Hurricane Events

This paper proposes a proactive outage mitigation framework for power distribution networks to withstand hurricane-induced disruptions. It leverages Model Predictive Control (MPC) to identify safe lines for proactive switching during hurricanes, minimizing the risk of cascading failures and voltage violations. The switching strategies optimized by MPC are sequentially integrated with a Deep Reinforcement Learning agent using the Advantage Actor-Critic algorithm, enabling dynamic line switching to maximize connected buses and minimize voltage violations in real time. Using a probabilistic hurricane model, the framework predicts line failures and adapts to varying conditions to enhance grid resilience. Simulations on the IEEE 123-bus system demonstrate its effectiveness in maintaining high connectivity and minimizing disruptions. Real-time testing with an RTDS confirms the practicality and reliability of the proposed approach.

Selim, Alaa [University of Connecticut]↗