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At least 721 records · Page 40

Reply to Comment by Peterie Et Al. on “Accelerated Fill‐Up of the Arbuckle Group Aquifer and Links to U.S. Midcontinent Seismicity”

Abstract Peterie et al. question one observation in our paper: associating pressure increases to injection volumes at distances of up to 25 km from an injection well. In this reply, we show that the comment misunderstands our analysis and the evidence that led to this conclusion. We also show that gauge‐depth‐corrected pressures, used by the authors to produce statewide pressure maps, are discrepant with the static fluid level data, provided in our original compilation and analysis. The discrepancies are a result of the pressure correction method employed, which naïvely substitutes formation pressure for bottomhole pressure to calculate wellbore fluid density. Their linearly interpolated pressure maps, based on sparse data, contain interpolation and extrapolation artifacts that contradict injection trends in the state, the Theis solution, and the superposition principle. We reiterate that pressure and static fluid level increases in Class I wells existed prior to 2013, most notably in central Kansas, where recent earthquakes are cited in the comment as evidence of a pressure plume emanating from the Kansas‐Oklahoma border, 90 km away. We show that the space‐time pattern of seismicity in this area is inconsistent with a northward propagating pressure plume and, instead, seismicity appears to be centered on and near a cluster of high‐rate injection wells, two of which are among the highest rate wells in the state. These observations, along with recent M4 + earthquakes during continued decreases in wastewater injection in southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma, question the usefulness of the comment for understanding and managing societally significant earthquakes.

Ansari, Esmail↗

Total Mercury Analysis of Radioactive Waste Containing Multiple Mercury Species

In this work, a direct mercury analyzer (DMA) was used to analyze total mercury in radioactive waste samples containing methylmercury and other forms of mercury including Hg o (elemental) together with inorganic ionic mercury species and complexes. These samples were also analyzed using Cold Vapor Atomic Absorption Spectroscopy (CVAAS) and/or Inductively Coupled Plasma Mass Spectroscopy (ICMS). Comparative statistical evaluation of the results from spike solutions/simulants, liquid radioactive waste samples, and interlaboratory performance test samples demonstrated that the various methods generated accurate and/or equivalent total mercury data and equivalent precision (2σ ± < 20%). Triplicate total mercury analysis of an exemplar radioactive waste resulted in an average value of 54.1 mg/L (as Hg) using CVAAS, 55.1 mg/L using ICPMS and 56.0 mg/L using DMA. A primary advantage of the DMA in a radioactive environment is avoiding multi-step, labor-intensive, time-consuming and waste-producing sample preparation protocols needed for CVAAS and ICPMS. DMA was determined to be the preferred method for measuring total mercury in the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) radioanalytical laboratory based on analytical performance combined with ease of use in a radiological containment unit.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Numerical Investigation of Observational Flux Partitioning Methods for Water Vapor and Carbon Dioxide

Abstract While yearly budgets of CO 2 flux (F c ) and evapotranspiration (ET) above vegetation can be readily obtained from eddy‐covariance measurements, the separate quantification of their soil (respiration and evaporation) and canopy (photosynthesis and transpiration) components remains an elusive yet critical research objective. In this work, we investigate four methods to partition observed total fluxes into soil and plant sources: two new and two existing approaches that are based solely on analysis of conventional high frequency eddy‐covariance (EC) data. The physical validity of the assumptions of all four methods, as well as their performance under different scenarios, are tested with the aid of large‐eddy simulations, which are used to replicate eddy‐covariance field experiments. Our results indicate that canopies with large, exposed soil patches increase the mixing and correlation of scalars; this negatively impacts the performance of the partitioning methods, all of which require some degree of uncorrelatedness between CO 2 and water vapor. In addition, best performances for all partitioning methods were found when all four flux components are non‐negligible, and measurements are collected close to the canopy top. Methods relying on the water‐use efficiency (W) perform better whenWis known a priori, but are shown to be very sensitive to uncertainties in this input variable especially when canopy fluxes dominate. We conclude by showing how the correlation coefficient between CO 2 and water vapor can be used to infer the reliability of differentWparameterizations.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

Review of thermophysical property methods applied to fueled and un-fueled molten salts

Recent investigation into designs of molten salt reactors (MSR) requires accurate data of candidate salts. Review of the literature shows lacking thermophysical (TP) property data for coolants and fuel-bearing salts of Advanced High Temperature Reactors (AHTR). Measurement uncertainties of current data are even more deficient, and this affects ongoing research where MSR modeling and testing are being performed. Melting temperature, viscosity, density, specific heat capacity, and thermal and electrical conductivity measurements are often not arranged together or discussed in great detail, especially for fuel-bearing salts. Raw data from key findings spanning over 70 years for LiF, LiF-BeF 2 , LiF-NaF-KF, KCl-MgCl 2 , KF-ZrF 4 , and NaF-KF-MgF 2 have been organized and presented here. Brief description of methods used to obtain these results, in addition to the TP data of some of these salts as fuel carriers, has also been discussed. Thermal conductivity data are particularly weak due to older, high-error measurement techniques. More recent measurement systems to evaluate salt thermal conductivity show promise for obtaining consistent absolute values. This work concludes that measurement systems such as transient hot-wire method, forced Rayleigh scattering, and laser flash analysis provide the most promise to fill these data gaps and reduce current uncertainty in thermal conductivity measurements of both fueled and un-fueled molten salts.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Partitioning of Large-Scale Power Electronics-Based Power Systems for Small-Signal Stability Analysis

The nodal admittance matrix (NAM)-based approach is suitable for analyzing the small-signal stability of large-scale power electronics-based power systems (PEPSs) as it preserves the system structure by utilizing the admittance matrix. Previously, NAM-based area partition has been proposed, which divides the system into various subareas and interconnections for easier analysis of the low-dimension matrix compared to the entire system-based high-dimension matrix. However, no partition algorithm has been presented for the NAM-based area partition method. This paper focuses on implementing the spectral partitioning algorithm for partitioning large-scale PEPSs into a low-dimension matrix to reduce the computation complexity of the analysis. These spectral components facilitate data transformation into a new space, enabling the application of traditional clustering methods like k-means. To evaluate the performance of the partitioning method, the subareas and interconnections obtained from the spectral clustering algorithm are incorporated into the NAM-based area partition method for a large system with 140 buses. The computational times of the original method, where the NAM-based criterion is directly applied to the entire system, are compared with those of the NAM-based partition method in MATLAB. PSCAD simulations of the whole system and the obtained subareas are conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.

Nupur, Nupur↗

Kernel-based global sensitivity analysis obtained from a single data set

Results from global sensitivity analysis (GSA) often guide the understanding of complicated input–output systems. Kernel-based GSA methods have recently been proposed for their capability of treating a broad scope of complex systems. In this paper, we develop a new set of kernel GSA tools when only a single set of input–output data is available. Three key advances are made: (1) A new numerical estimator is proposed that demonstrates an empirical improvement over previous procedures. (2) A computational method for generating inner statistical functions from a single data set is presented. (3) A theoretical extension is made to define conditional sensitivity indices, which reveal the degree that the inputs carry shared information about the output when inherent input–input correlations are present. Utilizing these conditional sensitivity indices, a decomposition is derived for the output uncertainty based on what is called the optimal learning sequence of the input variables, which remains consistent when correlations exist between the input variables. Further, while these advances cover a range of GSA subjects, a common single data set numerical solution is provided by a technique known as the conditional mean embedding of distributions. The new methodology is implemented on benchmark systems to demonstrate the provided insights.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Elastic functional changepoint detection of climate impacts from localized sources

Detecting changepoints in functional data has become an important problem as interest in monitoring of climate phenomenon has increased, where the data is functional in nature. Here, the observed data often contains both amplitude (y-axis) and phase (x-axis) variability. If not accounted for properly, true changepoints may be undetected, and the estimated underlying mean change functions will be incorrect. In this article, an elastic functional changepoint method is developed which properly accounts for these types of variability. The method can detect amplitude and phase changepoints which current methods in the literature do not, as they focus solely on the amplitude changepoint. This method can easily be implemented using the functions directly or can be computed via functional principal component analysis to ease the computational burden. We apply the method and its nonelastic competitors to both simulated data and observed data to show its efficiency in handling data with phase variation with both amplitude and phase changepoints. We use the method to evaluate potential changes in stratospheric temperature due to the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in the Philippines in June 1991. Using an epidemic changepoint model, we find evidence of a increase in stratospheric temperature during a period that contains the immediate aftermath of Mt. Pinatubo, with most detected changepoints occurring in the tropics as expected.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Time delay lens modelling challenge

ABSTRACT In recent years, breakthroughs in methods and data have enabled gravitational time delays to emerge as a very powerful tool to measure the Hubble constant H0. However, published state-of-the-art analyses require of order 1 yr of expert investigator time and up to a million hours of computing time per system. Furthermore, as precision improves, it is crucial to identify and mitigate systematic uncertainties. With this time delay lens modelling challenge, we aim to assess the level of precision and accuracy of the modelling techniques that are currently fast enough to handle of order 50 lenses, via the blind analysis of simulated data sets. The results in Rungs 1 and 2 show that methods that use only the point source positions tend to have lower precision ($10\!-\!20{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$) while remaining accurate. In Rung 2, the methods that exploit the full information of the imaging and kinematic data sets can recover H0 within the target accuracy (|A| < 2 per cent) and precision (<6 per cent per system), even in the presence of a poorly known point spread function and complex source morphology. A post-unblinding analysis of Rung 3 showed the numerical precision of the ray-traced cosmological simulations to be insufficient to test lens modelling methodology at the percent level, making the results difficult to interpret. A new challenge with improved simulations is needed to make further progress in the investigation of systematic uncertainties. For completeness, we present the Rung 3 results in an appendix and use them to discuss various approaches to mitigating against similar subtle data generation effects in future blind challenges.

Ding, X.↗

MVP-CTL Fellowship for Suicide Intervention (CRADA Final Report)

Research conducted with Crisis Text Line (CTL) served as an important stepping stone in the group’s ongoing work of developing natural language processing (NLP) methodologies to discover indicators of suicide factors in the U.S. veteran population. With rising cases of suicide, detecting risk factors among veterans is of growing concern. Socio-economic factors are often under-reported along structured medical variables, and extracting information through NLP methods may improve the sensitivity of suicide prediction models. The research explored through the CTL collaboration provided insights on suicide crisis detection and de-escalation, experience in applying scalable data analysis on real world datasets, contributions to study designs for detecting rare-event and produced transferable methods applicable to the domain of veteran suicide mitigation. Tools developed during this research directly benefits ongoing work on the Million Veteran Project (MVP) collaboration with the Department of Veteran Affairs (VA).

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Raptor

Raptor is an efficient Python-based tool for predicting the formation and morphology of stochastic lack of fusion defects in metal AM processes. A major obstacle for the qualification and certification of additively manufactured parts in critical applications continues to be performance variability caused in part by porosity-related defects. High-fidelity process models that could predict these defect features are currently too computationally expensive for component-level analysis. To address this, Raptor employs a high-performance geometric method to model the dynamic melt pool rather than relying on computationally intensive thermal fluid dynamics. This allows Raptor to rapidly identify regions of unmelted material that correspond to lack of fusion pores. The efficiency of this approach significantly reduces the time and resources needed for generating 3D defect predictions, which enables users to conduct large-scale parameter studies and evaluate how process variations affect part quality. The framework offers operational flexibility; users can execute simulations through a simple command line interface or integrate core functions as a library within larger computational workflows. Simulation outputs include 3D porosity maps for visualization and tools for quantitative morphological analysis. These results are suitable for direct comparison with experimental characterization data from methods such as X-ray computed tomography and can be used for statistical process optimization.

Subraveti, Vamsi [Vanderbilt Univ., Nashville, TN ↗

High-Resolution Scanning Coded-Mask-Based X-ray Multi-Contrast Imaging and Tomography

Near-field X-ray speckle tracking has been used in phase-contrast imaging and tomography as an emerging technique, providing higher contrast images than traditional absorption radiography. Most reported methods use sandpaper or membrane filters as speckle generators and digital image cross-correlation for phase reconstruction, which has either limited resolution or requires a large number of position scanning steps. Recently, we have proposed a novel coded-mask-based multi-contrast imaging (CMMI) technique for single-shot measurement with superior performance in efficiency and resolution compared with other single-shot methods. We present here a scanning CMMI method for the ultimate imaging resolution and phase sensitivity by using a coded mask as a high-contrast speckle generator, the flexible scanning mode, the adaption of advanced maximum-likelihood optimization to scanning data, and the multi-resolution analysis. Scanning CMMI can outperform other speckle-based imaging methods, such as X-ray speckle vector tracking, providing higher quality absorption, phase, and dark-field images with fewer scanning steps. Scanning CMMI is also successfully demonstrated in multi-contrast tomography, showing great potentials in high-resolution full-field imaging applications, such as in vivo biomedical imaging.

Qiao, Zhi (ORCID:0000000233928732)↗

CMM Sequential Analysis Program

This report documents a design agency (DA) method to evaluate coordinate measuring machine (CMM) data by constructing an algorithm that is equivalent to the production agency (PA) algorithm for processing the raw CMM data. Several refinements of the CMM analyses were implemented at both the PA and the DA to process inherent limitations of the raw data, such as the absence of measurements at the exact ends of the connector-adapter assembly (CAA) and the recovery from these limitations through (worst-case) adjustments to the the positional errors. Also, inherent errors of the CMM measurements were accommodated by introducing a guard band, which effectively lowered the tolerance so that the CMM code could not pass bad parts. The DA and the PA showed remarkable agreement in all areas of analysis. The ultimate comparison is shown in Figures 13a and 13b, where the effect of using a guard band and end adjustments to the CMM measurements were clearly shown.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Big Data Analysis and Technical Review of Regeneration for Carbon Capture Processes

Carbon capture remains an integral technology to mitigate pollution from one of the most prevalent greenhouse gases. CO 2 desorption/absorbent regeneration for both solid- and liquid-based systems is widely recognized as an energy-intensive and costly process operation. Consequently, tremendous work was devoted towards developing new absorbents and regeneration processes to promote their economic feasibility for extensive implementation. In this review, we broadly and deeply review more than 10,000 papers and extract the hidden trends of carbon capture and absorbents regeneration in the past few decades, using a novel data-mining analysis technique. We comprehensively analyzed an array of recent absorbent regeneration methods utilized in post-combustion, pre-combustion, carbon capture from industrial point sources, and direct air carbon capture, with an emphasis on sorbent and solvent-based techniques. In conclusion, advanced regeneration methods in these techniques were illustrated and discussed, followed by recommendations for further research efforts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Application of a Chemical Index to Aerosol Mass Spectrometry: Delta Plots and Functional Group Distributions

A better understanding of the chemical properties of organic aerosol (OA) particles will improve our ability to characterize their sources and predict their lifetime. The high-resolution time-of-flight aerosol mass spectrometer (HR-ToF-AMS) is widely used to measure OA in real time using thermal vaporization followed by electron ionization (EI). EI creates fragment ions that can be assigned to functional groups using delta analysis, a method of classifying mass spectra according to the presence of different chemically related ion series. In this study, we demonstrate the application of delta analysis to characterize molecular structures using a new visualization method. We also use delta analysis to quantify the functional group distribution with an average absolute error of ∼5–6% for individual standard molecules, comparable to the error observed for OA mixtures from biomass and coal combustion fit with Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy. Finally, we apply delta functional group analysis to AMS positive matrix factorization (PMF) factors across seven different field campaigns and find a similar composition across the more oxidized factors with about 55% acid and 26% alcohol groups. The analysis method described here can be applied to any HR-ToF-AMS data set to provide quantitative relative functional group distributions for OA mixtures.

aerosol↗

Quasi-optical beam tracing module development for millimeter-wave high-wavenumber collective scattering on the NSTX-U and EAST tokamaks

A Python3-based beam tracing code utilizing Quasi-Optics has been developed to track both incident and receiving beams in high-k collective millimeter wave scattering systems within magnetic fusion plasmas. In contrast to existing ray tracing codes that solely consider refraction, this beam tracing code incorporates diffraction phenomena, providing a more comprehensive calculation. Here, this enhanced capability allows for a more accurate calculation of the scattering volume and spatial resolution in high-k collective scattering systems, crucial for evaluating system performance and facilitating data analysis. Unlike Geometrical Optics, Quasi-Optics employs the complex eikonal method, representing a Gaussian beam as a collection of coupled rays to accurately preserve diffraction characteristics. The developed code is intended for application in NSTX-Upgrade and EAST high-k beam tracing analyses, targeting frequencies of 693 GHz and 270 GHz, respectively. The high-k system's primary objective is the observation of electron-scale instabilities. Employing a symplectic integrator, the code ensures numerical accuracy, assessed through the conservation of the Hamiltonian. With its precision and efficiency, the code facilitates rapid inter-shot analyses.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Data Assimilation using Non-invasive Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis of Reactor Kinetics Parameters

Accurately predicting the criticality of an experiment before interacting with the experimental components is very important for criticality safety. Radiation transport software can be utilized to calculate the effective neutron multiplication factor of a nuclear system. Because of the integral nature of the effective neutron multiplication factor, the value calculated contains various sources of nuclear-data induced uncertainty. The sensitivity analysis and data assimilation technique presented in this paper exhibit one possible method of identifying and reducing the effective neutron multiplication factor nuclear-data induced uncertainty. The results presented in this work show that it is possible to use relative sensitivity coefficients of the prompt neutron decay constant and the effective delayed neutron fraction to 239 Pu nuclear data to reduce nuclear-data induced uncertainties in the effective neutron multiplication factor. This work has been utilized by members of the Los Alamos National Laboratory project EUCLID (Experiments Underpinned by Computational Learning for Improvements in Nuclear Data) for optimally designing a new experiment, which will be used to reduce compensating errors in 239 Pu nuclear data.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Holistic Numerical Calibration of the iMESA Electrostatic Analyzer

A drifted Maxwellian velocity distribution is the most common model used to interpret the data from low-energy charged-particle instruments onboard spacecraft that are used to investigate the ambient plasma environment in the low Earth orbit (LEO). An original method is presented for determining the flow parameters (density, temperature, and flow energy) of such a distribution from the output of the integrated miniaturized electrostatic analyzer, which has been successfully flown on several LEO missions. Rather than attempting to deconvolve from the on-orbit data the analyzer’s response to an ideal, monoenergetic input, numerical simulation is used to predict and parameterize the response of the device to an input distribution that includes an isotropic, non-zero temperature, yielding a straightforward method for extracting the flow parameters from the spacecraft data. The method is computationally simple enough to be incorporated into a robust algorithm suitable for rapid batch processing or real-time analysis of data.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Unsupervised atomic data mining via multi-kernel graph autoencoders for machine learning force fields

Constructing a chemically diverse dataset while avoiding sampling bias is critical to training efficient and generalizable force fields. However, in computational chemistry and materials science, many common dataset generation techniques are prone to oversampling regions of the potential energy surface. Furthermore, these regions can be difficult to identify and isolate from each other or may not align well with human intuition, making it challenging to systematically remove bias in the dataset. While traditional clustering and pruning (down-sampling) approaches can be useful for this, they can often lead to information loss or a failure to properly identify distinct regions of the potential energy surface due to difficulties associated with the high dimensionality of atomic descriptors. In this work, we introduce the Multi-kernel Edge Attention-based Graph Autoencoder (MEAGraph) model, an unsupervised approach for analyzing atomic datasets. MEAGraph combines multiple linear kernel transformations with attention-based message passing to capture geometric sensitivity and enable effective dataset pruning without relying on labels or extensive training. Demonstrated applications on niobium, tantalum, and iron datasets show that MEAGraph efficiently groups similar atomic environments, allowing for the use of basic pruning techniques for removing sampling bias. This approach provides an effective method for representation learning and clustering that can be used for data analysis, outlier detection, and dataset optimization.

Materials science↗