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At least 721 records · Page 40

Earth Radiation Imbalance from a Constellation of 66 Iridium Satellites: Climate Science Aspects

The "global warming hiatus" since the 1998 El Nino, highlighted by Meehl et al., and the resulting "missing energy" problem highlighted by Trenberth et al., has opened the door to a more fundamental view of climate change than mere surface air temperature. That new view is based on two variables which are strongly correlated: the rate of change of ocean heat content d(OHC)/dt; and Earth Radiation Imbalance (ERI) at the top of the atmosphere, whose guesstimated range is 0.4 to 0.9 Watts per square meters (this imbalance being mainly due to increasing CO2). The Argo float array is making better and better measurements of OHC. But existing satellite systems cannot measure ERI to even one significant digit. So, climate model predictions of ERI are used in place of real measurements of it, and the satellite data are tuned to the climate model predictions. Some oceanographers say "just depend on Argo for understanding the global warming hiatus and the missing energy", but we don't think this is a good idea because d(OHC)/dt and ERI have different time scales and are never perfectly correlated. We think the ERB community needs to step up to measuring ERI correctly, just as oceanographers have deployed Argo to measure OHC correctly. This talk will overview a proposed constellation of 66 Earth radiation budget instruments, hosted on Iridium satellites, that will actually be able to measure ERI to at least one significant digit, thus enabling a crucial test of climate models. This constellation will also be able to provide ERI at two-hourly time scales and 500-km spatial scales without extrapolations from uncalibrated narrowband geostationary instruments, using the highly successful methods of GRACE to obtain spatial resolution. This high time resolution would make ERI a synoptic variable like temperature, and allow studies of ERI's response to fast-evolving phenomena like dust storms and hurricanes and even brief excursions of Total Solar Irradiance. Time permitting, we will also discuss the emerging view of clear vs. cloudy and its implications for the traditional ERB approach.

Wiscombe, W.↗

Weakened Orographic Influence on Cool-Season Precipitation in Simulations of Future Warming Over the Western US

High-resolution regional climate model (RCM) simulations of global warming consistently predict larger percentage increases in precipitation in the lee of midlatitude mountain ranges than on their windward slopes, indicating a weakening of the orographic rain shadow. This redistribution of precipitation could have profound consequences for water resources and ecosystems, but its underlying mechanisms are unknown. Here we show that rain-shadow weakening is just one manifestation of a more general decrease in the influence of orography on precipitation under global warming. We introduce a simple model of precipitation change based on this principle, and find that it agrees well with an ensemble of high-resolution simulations performed over the western United States. We argue that diminished orographic influence can be explained by the unique vertical structure of orographically forced ascent, which tends to maximize in the lower atmosphere where condensation is thermodynamically less sensitive to warming.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Separating the Influences of Low-Latitude Warming and Sea Ice Loss on Northern Hemisphere Climate Change

Abstract Analyzing a multimodel ensemble of coupled climate model simulations forced with Arctic sea ice loss using a two-parameter pattern-scaling technique to remove the cross-coupling between low- and high-latitude responses, the sensitivity to high-latitude sea ice loss is isolated and contrasted to the sensitivity to low-latitude warming. Despite some differences in experimental design, the Northern Hemisphere near-surface atmospheric sensitivity to sea ice loss is found to be robust across models in the cold season; however, a larger intermodel spread is found at the surface in boreal summer, and in the free tropospheric circulation. In contrast, the sensitivity to low-latitude warming is most robust in the free troposphere and in the warm season, with more intermodel spread in the surface ocean and surface heat flux over the Northern Hemisphere. The robust signals associated with sea ice loss include upward turbulent and longwave heat fluxes where sea ice is lost, warming and freshening of the Arctic Ocean, warming of the eastern North Pacific Ocean relative to the western North Pacific with upward turbulent heat fluxes in the Kuroshio Extension, and salinification of the shallow shelf seas of the Arctic Ocean alongside freshening in the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean. In contrast, the robust signals associated with low-latitude warming include intensified ocean warming and upward latent heat fluxes near the western boundary currents, freshening of the Pacific Ocean, salinification of the North Atlantic, and downward sensible and longwave fluxes over the ocean.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Frequency of Deep Convective Clouds and Global Warming

This slide presentation reviews the effect of global warming on the formation of Deep Convective Clouds (DCC). It concludes that nature responds to global warming with an increase in strong convective activity. The frequency of DCC increases with global warming at the rate of 6%/decade. The increased frequency of DCC with global warming alone increases precipitation by 1.7%/decade. It compares the state of the art climate models' response to global warming, and concludes that the parametrization of climate models need to be tuned to more closely emulate the way nature responds to global warming.

infrared↗

A coupled equilibrium boundary layer model with stable water isotopes and its application to local water recycling

The contribution of evapotranspiration (ET) to regional precipitation, known as “local water recycling”, is a key process in the water cycle that can affect water management. However, the amount of planetary boundary layer (PBL) moisture that arises from ET is highly uncertain due to complex atmosphere and land surface conditions. In this study, an idealized two-layer equilibrium boundary layer model was coupled with a stable water isotope module including HDO and H 2 18 O to constrain PBL growing season water transport processes. The model was validated using turbulent heat fluxes and isotope ratios of water vapor (δ m ) and precipitation (δ P ) measured at a cropland site and a nearby tall tower in the Upper Midwest, United States. The results show that the PBL equilibrium features of δ m and δ P are well-constrained by thermal and moisture equilibrium in the PBL. For this study region, the summer values of rain evaporation fraction (f) and local water recycling ratio (LRR) are estimated to be 0.09 and 0.29 ± 0.12, respectively. The summer LRR values for the years 2006–2010 were 0.35, 0.36, 0.17, 0.29, and 0.29, respectively. The small value of LRR in 2008 corresponded to a drought condition with the lowest precipitation and second lowest ET among the five years. The summer magnitude of the amount effect is –2.8‰ (mm day –1 ) –1 and –0.8‰ (mm day –1 ) –1 for HDO and H 2 18 O, respectively. The local water recycling is identified as a significant factor influencing the continental isotope effect. Cropland has likely changed the regional LRR by –7.6 to 19.5% under different pre-agriculture land use scenarios. In conclusion, the feedback processes revealed here indicate that local water recycling is expected to be weakened under drought conditions, but it will be enhanced if irrigation is applied more intensely with more frequent drought events as the climate continues to warm.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Recent advances in CO 2 hydrogenation to value-added products — Current challenges and future directions

Climate change, global warming, fossil fuel depletion and rising fuel prices have created great incentives to seek alternative fuel production technologies. CO 2 transformation to value-added products using renewable H 2 has proven to be an emerging solution to enable this goal. In this regard, three different promising processes, namely methane, methanol and hydrocarbon synthesis via CO 2 hydrogenation are thoroughly discussed. In addition, the influential factors affecting process efficiencies such as catalyst design and mechanistic insight, operating conditions as well as reactor types are investigated, with key pathways that dictate catalyst activity and selectivity of the most promising materials described. Furthermore, a brief overview of the reactor configuration and its crucial role in the improving process viability is analyzed. Accordingly, fixed-bed, fluidized-bed, annular and spherical reactors along with H 2 O/H 2 perm-selective membrane reactors are disscussed for hydrocarbon production. In addition, different reactor configurations are compared to assess the best one that is adjustable depending on the reaction mechanism. In conclusion, a corrugated-wall dual-type membrane reactor is proposed as an emerging alternative for CO 2 hydrogenation to value-added products.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Advances in systems metabolic engineering of autotrophic carbon oxide-fixing biocatalysts towards a circular economy

High levels of anthropogenic CO 2 emissions are driving the warming of global climate. If this pattern of increasing emissions does not change, it will cause further climate change with severe consequences for the human population. On top of this, the increasing accumulation of solid waste within the linear economy model is threatening global biosustainability. The magnitude of these challenges requires several approaches to capture and utilize waste carbon and establish a circular economy. Microbial gas fermentation presents an exciting opportunity to capture carbon oxides from gaseous and solid waste streams with high feedstock flexibility and selectivity. Here we discuss available microbial systems and review in detail the metabolism of both anaerobic acetogens and aerobic hydrogenotrophs and their ability to utilize C1 waste feedstocks. More specifically, we provide an overview of the systems-level understanding of metabolism, key metabolic pathways, scale-up opportunities and commercial successes, and the most recent technological advances in strain and process engineering. Finally, we also discuss in detail the gaps and opportunities to advance the understanding of these autotrophic biocatalysts for the efficient and economically viable production of bioproducts from recycled carbon.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

(Photo)Electrocatalytic CO 2 Reduction at the Defective Anatase TiO 2 (101) Surface

Excessive carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions by combustion of fossil fuels are linked to global warming and rapid climate change. One promising route to lowering the concentration of CO 2 in the atmosphere is to reduce it to useful small molecules via photoelectrocatalytic hydrogenation, which would enable solar energy storage with a zero-carbon emission cycle and perform a more efficient separation of the photogenerated electron and hole pair than pure photocatalysis. Indeed, photoelectrocatalytic CO 2 reduction has been an intense focus of research. Using the density functional theory (DFT), we studied the CO 2 reduction reaction on the defective anatase TiO 2 (101) surface, at both the solvent/catalyst and the electrolyte/catalyst interfaces. The analysis of the electronic structure of the surface shows a contrast between the solvent/catalyst and the electrolyte/catalyst interfaces, which results in the two corresponding catalytic cycles being distinct. Furthermore, our study explains at the electronic and mechanistic levels why methanol is the main product in the presence of the electrolyte and why the overpotential is not only controlled by the reaction process but also by the diffusion process.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Exploring prokaryotic diversity in permafrost-affected soils of Ladakh’s Changthang region and its geochemical drivers

Global warming due to climate change has substantial impact on high-altitude permafrost affected soils. This raises a serious concern that the microbial degradation of sequestered carbon can result in alteration of the biogeochemical cycles. Therefore, the characterization of permafrost affected soil microbiomes, especially of unexplored high-altitude, low oxygen arid region, is important for predicting their response to climate change. This study presents the first report of the bacterial diversity of permafrost-affected soils in the Changthang region of Ladakh. The relationship between soil pH, organic carbon, electrical conductivity, and available micronutrients with the microbial diversity was investigated. Amplicon sequencing of permafrost affected soil samples from Jukti and Tsokar showed that Proteobacteria and Actinobacteria were the dominant phyla in all samples. The genera Brevitalea, Chthoniobacter, Sphingomonas, Hydrogenispora, Clostridium, Gaiella, Gemmatimonas were relatively abundant in the Jukti samples whereas the genera Thiocapsa, Actinotalea, Syntrophotalea, Antracticibcterium, Luteolibacter, Nitrospirillum dominated the Tsokar sample. Correlation analyses highlighted the influence of soil geochemical parameters on the bacterial community structure. PCoA analyses showed that the bacterial beta diversity varied significantly between the sampling locations (PERMANOVA test (F-value: 2.3316; R 2 = 0.466, p = 0.001) and similar results were also obtained while comparing genus abundance data using the ANOSIM test (R = 0.345, p = 0.007).

16S rRNA↗

High-performance Ruddlesden–Popper perovskite oxide with in situ exsolved nanoparticles for direct CO 2 electrolysis

Carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) is one of the principal greenhouse gases accountable for global warming and extreme climate changes. Electrochemically converting CO 2 into carbon monoxide (CO) is a promising approach for CO 2 utilization in achieving industrial decarbonization. High-temperature CO 2 electrolysis via solid oxide electrolysis cells (SOECs) has great potential, including high-energy efficiency, fast electrode kinetics, and competitive cost; however, this technology still has challenges associated with developing highly active, robust CO 2 electrodes for SOECs. We report novel Ruddlesden–Popper structured Pr 1.2 Sr 0.8 Mn 0.4 Fe 0.6 O 4–δ (RP-PSMF) with in situ exsolved Fe nanoparticles as the CO 2 electrode in SOECs for direct CO 2 conversion to CO. The mechanism of CO 2 electrolysis is studied by using the distribution of relaxation times method from electrochemical impedance spectroscopy. La 0.8 Sr 0.2 Ga 0.8 Mg 0.2 O 3–δ (LSGM)-electrolyte supported SOECs with the RP-PSMF cathode have achieved exceptionally high current densities of 2.90, 1.61, 0.91, and 0.48 A·cm –2 at an applied voltage of 1.5 V at 800, 750, 700, and 650 °C, respectively. Moreover, SOECs with the RP-PSMF cathode have exhibited a stable electrolysis performance for 100 h under a current cycling operation. Here, these results suggest that RP-PSMF with exsolved Fe nanoparticles is a highly promising cathode for high-temperature direct CO 2 electrolysis cells.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Radiative absorption enhancements by black carbon controlled by particle-to-particle heterogeneity in composition

Black carbon (BC) absorbs solar radiation, leading to a strong but uncertain warming effect on climate. A key challenge in modeling and quantifying BC’s radiative effect on climate is predicting enhancements in light absorption that result from internal mixing between BC and other aerosol components. Modeling and laboratory studies show that BC, when mixed with other aerosol components, absorbs more strongly than pure, uncoated BC; however, some ambient observations suggest more variable and weaker absorption enhancement. We show that the lower-than-expected enhancements in ambient measurements result from a combination of two factors. First, the often used spherical, concentric core-shell approximation generally overestimates the absorption by BC. Second, and more importantly, inadequate consideration of heterogeneity in particle-to-particle composition engenders substantial overestimation in absorption by the total particle population, with greater heterogeneity associated with larger model–measurement differences. We show that accounting for these two effects—variability in per-particle composition and deviations from the core-shell approximation—reconciles absorption enhancement predictions with laboratory and field observations and resolves the apparent discrepancy. Furthermore, our consistent model framework provides a path forward for improving predictions of BC’s radiative effect on climate.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The genetic basis of the root economics spectrum in a perennial grass

Significance Plants have evolved diverse root form and function across the Earth’s environment, yet only certain types of trait combinations have proved evolutionarily viable. Using a genetic mapping population of the native perennial switchgrass, our study demonstrates multiple genetic linkages among root morphology, growth, and turnover. Switching alleles derived from southern-origin ecotypes to alleles from northern-origin ecotypes increases root turnover but reduces tissue investment in root length construction. The genetic trade-off between construction and turnover likely facilitates the local adaptation of root strategy along the warm to cold climatic gradients of the species range. In practice, our study provides the genetic evidence that increasing switchgrass yield for bioenergy does not directly conflict with enhancing its root-derived carbon sequestration.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Arctic Ice Nucleation Sampling during MOSAiC (INPMOSAIC2) Field Campaign Report

The accelerated rate of warming in the Arctic is of great concern due to potential impacts that include release of greenhouse gases from permafrost, melting glacial ice contributing to sea level rise, and declining sea ice cover exposing the darker ocean surface. These processes induce positive feedbacks and contribute to further warming that affects climate globally. Clouds play a crucial role in regulating the energy reaching the sea ice and snow surfaces, but the magnitude of their effects on surface temperature is not well constrained in the Arctic. Aerosols are an important contributor by serving as seeds for cloud particle formation, but even less is known about their overall impact and origin. In particular, aerosols that serve as ice nucleating particles (INPs) are vastly understudied, especially above the central Arctic Ocean. However, INPs likely play a significant role in arctic mixed-phase cloud (AMPC) microphysics and the resulting impacts of such clouds on the surface energy budget over the sea ice.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Floating Island International PHASE I FINAL TECHNICAL REPORT (Advancing the Development of Floating Solar-Powered Nanobubble Aeration Systems for Use with Floating Treatment Wetlands in Natural and Man-Made Waterbodies)

More and more freshwater lakes are suffering from algae blooms, which deprive water of oxygen and lead to widespread loss of aquatic life and production of dangerous toxins. When oxygen is lacking, methane is generated in the sediments as algae is decomposed; it has been calculated that more than half of global methane emissions come from nutrient-impaired freshwater systems (Beaulieu, 2021). Nutrients, mainly from agricultural run-off, feed algae blooms and are exacerbated by warming related to climate change. Artificial aeration is frequently used to restore oxygen to a waterbody. But diffuser aeration is inefficient and expensive, needs on-site grid power, and is failing to keep pace with the demands of water as it gets warmer with climate change. In the last five years, nanobubble aeration has been introduced into freshwater applications and shows promise for rapidly increasing dissolved oxygen effectively throughout the water column. Nanobubbles deliver oxygen in bubbles that have no buoyancy, so they stay in water longer and release their oxygen more fully, compared to large bubbles that rise and burst at the surface. The prospect of this new technology answering the deficiencies of diffuser aeration drove us to initiate the current project. During our Phase I period, we have successfully tested a nanobubble aeration system that can super-saturate oxygen levels. It is operated on solar power, and both the nanobubbler and solar array are mounted on a proprietary floating island platform, that also performs biological nutrient recycling. A rudimentary system was assembled and tested on a 6.5-acre research lake at our headquarters in Montana, where it was subjected to a summer drought that reduced water levels significantly, periods of severe cold in winter, and spring conditions that included heavy rainfall and violent thunderstorms. Our twice-weekly sampling throughout the project showed that dissolved oxygen levels rose rapidly and were maintained throughout winter and spring, well into June. The nanobubbler was able to run on solar power for long periods. Methane levels were tested periodically and found to decrease as oxygen increased. The nanobubbles appeared to have no adverse impact on fish or other aquatic life exposed to them. The stability of the installation survived the weather conditions. The many problems we encountered taught us what we need to improve in the next iteration. Towards the end of our Phase I, we were awarded a supplementary state grant that enabled us to acquire a new nanobubble system for testing that runs on DC, is extremely efficient and has few moving parts. We plan to team this with low-profile solar panels, lithium batteries and a controller that provides real-time data. The ultimate goal of this project is to commercialize an affordable and scalable lake management system that will oxygenate water from the surface down to the sludge. It will enliven fisheries, prevent toxic algae blooms and – most importantly for the fate of our planet - inhibit the production and release of methane from the sediments. We anticipate that as carbon credits expand to include methane, the cost of remediating waterbodies that produce methane will be offset. We firmly believe that this is a practical technology that works and will make a big difference when fully implemented.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Regional climate change: consensus, discrepancies, and ways forward

Climate change has emerged across many regions. Some observed regional climate changes, such as amplified Arctic warming and land-sea warming contrasts have been predicted by climate models. However, many other observed regional changes, such as changes in tropical sea surface temperature and monsoon rainfall are not well simulated by climate model ensembles even when taking into account natural internal variability and structural uncertainties in the response of models to anthropogenic radiative forcing. This suggests climate model predictions may not fully reflect what our future will look like. The discrepancies between models and observations are not well understood due to several real and apparent puzzles and limitations such as the “signal-to-noise paradox” and real-world record-shattering extremes falling outside of the possible range predicted by models. Addressing these discrepancies, puzzles and limitations is essential, because understanding and reliably predicting regional climate change is necessary in order to communicate effectively about the underlying drivers of change, provide reliable information to stakeholders, enable societies to adapt, and increase resilience and reduce vulnerability. The challenges of achieving this are greater in the Global South, especially because of the lack of observational data over long time periods and a lack of scientific focus on Global South climate change. To address discrepancies between observations and models, it is important to prioritize resources for understanding regional climate predictions and analyzing where and why models and observations disagree via testing hypotheses of drivers of biases using observations and models. Gaps in understanding can be discovered and filled by exploiting new tools, such as artificial intelligence/machine learning, high-resolution models, new modeling experiments in the model hierarchy, better quantification of forcing, and new observations. Conscious efforts are needed toward creating opportunities that allow regional experts, particularly those from the Global South, to take the lead in regional climate research. This includes co-learning in technical aspects of analyzing simulations and in the physics and dynamics of regional climate change. Finally, improved methods of regional climate communication are needed, which account for the underlying uncertainties, in order to provide reliable and actionable information to stakeholders and the media.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Representativeness assessment of the pan-Arctic eddy covariance site network and optimized future enhancements

Abstract. Large changes in the Arctic carbon balance are expected as warming linked to climate change threatens to destabilize ancient permafrost carbon stocks. The eddy covariance (EC) method is an established technique to quantify net losses and gains of carbon between the biosphere and atmosphere at high spatiotemporal resolution. Over the past decades, a growing network of terrestrial EC tower sites has been established across the Arctic, but a comprehensive assessment of the network's representativeness within the heterogeneous Arctic region is still lacking. This creates additional uncertainties when integrating flux data across sites, for example when upscaling fluxes to constrain pan-Arctic carbon budgets and changes therein. This study provides an inventory of Arctic (here > = 60∘ N) EC sites, which has also been made available online (https://cosima.nceas.ucsb.edu/carbon-flux-sites/, last access: 25 January 2022). Our database currently comprises 120 EC sites, but only 83 are listed as active, and just 25 of these active sites remain operational throughout the winter. To map the representativeness of this EC network, we evaluated the similarity between environmental conditions observed at the tower locations and those within the larger Arctic study domain based on 18 bioclimatic and edaphic variables. This allows us to assess a general level of similarity between ecosystem conditions within the domain, while not necessarily reflecting changes in greenhouse gas flux rates directly. We define two metrics based on this representativeness score: one that measures whether a location is represented by an EC tower with similar characteristics (ER1) and a second for which we assess if a minimum level of representation for statistically rigorous extrapolation is met (ER4). We find that while half of the domain is represented by at least one tower, only a third has enough towers in similar locations to allow reliable extrapolation. When we consider methane measurements or year-round (including wintertime) measurements, the values drop to about 1/5 and 1/10 of the domain, respectively. With the majority of sites located in Fennoscandia and Alaska, these regions were assigned the highest level of network representativeness, while large parts of Siberia and patches of Canada were classified as underrepresented. Across the Arctic, mountainous regions were particularly poorly represented by the current EC observation network. We tested three different strategies to identify new site locations or upgrades of existing sites that optimally enhance the representativeness of the current EC network. While 15 new sites can improve the representativeness of the pan-Arctic network by 20 %, upgrading as few as 10 existing sites to capture methane fluxes or remain active during wintertime can improve their respective ER1 network coverage by 28 % to 33 %. This targeted network improvement could be shown to be clearly superior to an unguided selection of new sites, therefore leading to substantial improvements in network coverage based on relatively small investments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

TP84227_FS83049_OPData

The data set represents the data used for the analysis of operational carbon emissions for a carbon case study of a typical production builder's home in two common climate zones, Climate Zone 2 (Warm) and CZ 5 (Cold). A data set for embodied carbon emissions analysis for the same project is in a separate workbook.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

TP84227_FS83049_ECData

The data set represents the data used for the analysis of embodied carbon emissions for a carbon case study of a typical production builder's home in two common climate zones, Climate Zone 2 (Warm) and CZ 5 (Cold). A data set for operational carbon emissions analysis for the same project is in a separate workbook.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗