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DOE OSTI2022

An Alternative Timing and Synchronization Approach for Situational Awareness and Predictive Analytics

Accurate and synchronized timing information is required by power system operators for controlling the grid infrastructure (relays, Phasor Measurement Units (PMUs), etc.) and determining asset positions. Satellite-based global positioning system (GPS) is the primary source of timing information. However, GPS disruptions today (both intentional and unintentional) can significantly compromise the reliability and security of our electric grids. A robust alternate source for accurate timing is critical to serve both as a deterrent against malicious attacks and as a redundant system in enhancing the resilience against extreme events that could disrupt the GPS network. To achieve this, we rely on the highly accurate, terrestrial atomic clock-based network for alternative timing and synchronization. In this paper, we discuss an experimental setup for an alternative timing approach. The data obtained from this experimental setup is continuously monitored and analyzed using various time deviation metrics. We also use these metrics to compute deviations of our clock with respect to the National Institute of Standards and Technologys (NIST) GPS data. The results obtained from these metric computations are elaborately discussed. Finally, we discuss the integration of the procedures involved, like real-time data ingestion, metric computation, and result visualization, in a novel microservices-based architecture for situational awareness.

Chinthavali, Supriya↗

DOE OSTI2021

Precise Timing Based on Pulsar Observation for Grid Synchronization

While Global Positioning System signals are widely used as the synchronized timing Sources for wide-area measurement systems for power grid monitoring and control, they are vulnerable to failures and malicious attacks. To address this Problem, an alternative kind of timing sources, the millisecond pulsars, were proposed to serve the power grid as they are more precise and physically indestructible. Millisecond pulsars are a kind of neutron stars that emit radio pulse signals that have extremely stable periods of milliseconds. However, the observed pulse Signals from pulsars cannot be directly used for timing because of their low signal-to-noise ratio and the dispersion effects of interstellar medium. In this paper, the precise timing method based on pulsar observation data is proposed to interpret the pulsar observation data and therefrom to generate precise timing signal for the power grid synchronization. In our proposed method,. incoherent de-dispersion is used on the observation data to mitigate the effect of interstellar medium. dispersion. Then spectrum analysis and segment folding are used to precisely estimate the local pulsar period. Finally the standard pulse per second signal is generated from. the estimated pulsar period and its precision. is analyzed. Experiments with the observation data of the pulsar based timing signal can be more accurate compared to GPS timing signals.

Luo, Xiqian↗

DOE OSTI2022

Fast Solution of Fully Implicit Runge--Kutta and Discontinuous Galerkin in Time for Numerical PDEs, Part I: the Linear Setting

Fully implicit Runge--Kutta (IRK) methods have many desirable properties as time integration schemes in terms of accuracy and stability, but high-order IRK methods are not commonly used in practice with numerical PDEs due to the difficulty of solving the stage equations. This paper introduces a theoretical and algorithmic preconditioning framework for solving the systems of equations that arise from IRK methods applied to linear numerical PDEs (without algebraic constraints). Additionally, this framework also naturally applies to discontinuous Galerkin discretizations in time. Under quite general assumptions on the spatial discretization that yield stable time integration, the preconditioned operator is proven to have condition number bounded by a small, order-one constant, independent of the spatial mesh and time-step size, and with only weak dependence on number of stages/polynomial order; for example, the preconditioned operator for 10th-order Gauss IRK has condition number less than two, independent of the spatial discretization and time step. The new method can be used with arbitrary existing preconditioners for backward Euler-type time-stepping schemes and is amenable to the use of three-term recursion Krylov methods when the underlying spatial discretization is symmetric. The new method is demonstrated to be effective on various high-order finite-difference and finite element discretizations of linear parabolic and hyperbolic problems, demonstrating fast, scalable solution of up to 10th-order accuracy. The new method consistently outperforms existing block preconditioning approaches, and in several cases, the new method can achieve 4th-order accuracy using Gauss integration with roughly half the number of preconditioner applications and wallclock time as required using standard diagonally IRK methods.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

Code for Calculating Regional Seismic Travel Time

The RSTT software computes predictions of the travel time of seismic energy traveling from a source to a receiver through 2.5D models of the seismic velocity distribution within the Earth. The two primary applications for the RSTT library are tomographic inversion studies and seismic event location calculations. In tomographic inversions studies, a seismologist begins with number of source-receiver travel time observations and an initial starting model of the velocity distribution within the Earth. A forward travel time calculator, such as the RSTT library, is used to compute predictions of each observed travel time and all of the residuals (observed minus predicted travel time) are calculated. The Earth model is then modified in some systematic way with the goal of minimizing the residuals. The Earth model obtained in this way is assumed to be a better model than the starting model if it has lower residuals. The other major application for the RSTT library is seismic event location. Given an Earth model, an initial estimate of the location of a seismic event, and some number of observations of seismic travel time thought to have originated from that event, location codes systematically modify the estimate of the location of the event with the goal of minimizing the difference between the observed and predicted travel times. The second application, seismic event location, is routinely implemented by the military as part of its effort to monitor the Earth for nuclear tests conducted by foreign countries.

BALLARD, SANFORD↗

DOE OSTI2020

Regional Seismic Travel Time v.3.2.0

BALLARD, SANFORD↗

DOE OSTI2022

Time-lapse seismic data inversion for estimating reservoir parameters using deep learning

Geologic carbon sequestration involves the injection of captured carbon dioxide ([Formula: see text]) into subsurface formations for long-term storage. The movement and fate of the injected [Formula: see text] plume is of great concern to regulators because monitoring helps to identify potential leakage zones and determines the possibility of safe long-term storage. To address this concern, we design a deep-learning framework for [Formula: see text] saturation monitoring to determine the geologic controls on the storage of the injected [Formula: see text]. We use different combinations of porosities and permeabilities for a given reservoir to generate saturation and velocity models. We train the deep-learning model with a few time-lapse seismic images and their corresponding changes in saturation values for a particular [Formula: see text] injection site. The deep-learning model learns the mapping from the change in the time-lapse seismic response to the change in [Formula: see text] saturation during the training phase. We then apply the trained model to data sets comprising different time-lapse seismic image slices (corresponding to different time instances) generated using different porosity and permeability distributions that are not part of the training to estimate the [Formula: see text] saturation values along with the plume extent. Our algorithm provides a deep-learning assisted framework for the direct estimation of [Formula: see text] saturation values and plume migration in heterogeneous formations using the time-lapse seismic data. Our method improves the efficiency of time-lapse inversion by streamlining the large number of intermediate steps in the conventional time-lapse inversion workflow. This method also helps to incorporate the geologic uncertainty for a given reservoir by accounting for the statistical distribution of porosity and permeability during the training phase. Tests on different examples verify the effectiveness of our approach.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

DOE OSTI2024

Hyperspectral acquisition with ScanImage at the single pixel level: application to time domain coherent Raman imaging

We present a comprehensive strategy and its practical implementation using the commercial ScanImage software platform to perform hyperspectral point scanning microscopy when a fast time-dependent signal varies at each pixel level. In the proposed acquisition scheme, the scan along the X-axis is slowed down while the data acquisition is maintained at a high pace to enable the rapid acquisition of the time-dependent signal at each pixel level. The ScanImage generated raw 2D images have a very asymmetric aspect ratio between X and Y, the X axis encoding both for space and time acquisition. The results are X-axis macro-pixel where the associated time-dependent signal is sampled to provide hyperspectral information. We exemplified the proposed hyperspectral scheme in the context of time-domain coherent Raman imaging, where a pump pulse impulsively excites molecular vibrations that are subsequently probed by a time-delayed probe pulse. In this case, the time-dependent signal is a fast acousto-optics delay line that can scan a delay of 4.5ps in 25 μ s at each pixel level. With this acquisition scheme, we demonstrate ultra-fast hyperspectral vibrational imaging in the low frequency range [10 cm −1 , 150 cm −1 ] over a 500 μm field of view (64 x 64 pixels) in 130ms (∼ 7.5 frames/s). The proposed acquisition scheme can be readily extended to other applications requiring the acquisition of a fast-evolving signal at each pixel level.

Metais, Samuel↗

DOE OSTI2021

Time-Based CAN Intrusion Detection Benchmark

Modern vehicles are complex cyber-physical systems made of hundreds of electronic control units (ECUs) that communicate over controller area networks (CANs). This inherited complexity has expanded the CAN attack surface by the injection of malicious messages that vary their time-based characteristics. To detect these malicious messages, time-based intrusion detection systems (IDS) have been proposed. However, time-based IDS are usually trained and tested on low-fidelity datasets with unrealistic labeled attacks. This makes difficult the task of evaluating, comparing, and validating IDS. Here we detail and benchmark four time-based IDS in a dataset with real and advanced attacks. We found that methods with strong assumptions regarding the distribution of inter-arrival times have lower performance than distribution agnostic based methods. In particular, distribution agnostic based methods outperform distribution based methods at least on $55\%$ in area under the precision-recall (AUC-PR) curve. Our results expand the body of knowledge of CAN time-based IDS by providing details of these methods and reporting their results when tested on datasets with real and advanced attacks. We describe limitations, open challenges, and how lessons learnt from this research can inform the design of deployable time-based IDS in modern vehicles.

Blevins, Deborah↗

DOE OSTI2026

Third integer resonant extraction transit time simulation studies

In this work, we present the investigation of transit time of particles in the non-linear third-integer resonant extraction process. Transit time is defined as the number of turns a particle takes to get extracted once it is in the unstable region in the phase space, i.e., outside the triangular separatrix in case of third-integer resonance. The study of transit time is important because transit time directly contributes to the beam response time during resonant extraction and thus knowing it apriori would be practically useful in designing of the extraction system. In this work, we shall investigate the analytical derivation of the transit time of particles (to the first order Kobayashi Hamiltonian) in different parts of the phase space distribution and compare against the analytical results. We also compare the simulation result of the transit time of particles (with higher statistics) for the static as well as dynamic extraction conditions cases, particularly in the context of resonant extraction parameters for Mu2e experiment at Fermilab.

Narayanan, Aakaash [Fermilab]↗

DOE OSTI2021

Energy Sector Position, Navigation, and Time Cybersecurity Profile

The Pacific Northwest National Laboratory has developed this positioning, navigation, and timing (PNT) profile for the Energy Sector at the request of the U.S. Department of Energy. The Department of Energy is the sector-specific agency for the Energy Sector and is responsible for providing guidance in the form of this PNT Profile, per Executive Order 13905, Strengthening National Resilience Through Responsible Use of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing Services (Executive Office of the President 2020) issued February 18, 2020. Executive Order 13905 directed the National Institute of Standards & Technology to develop a PNT Profile that is broadly applicable to all sectors and to serve as a foundation for sector-neutral guidance, NISTIR 8323 Foundational PNT Profile: Applying the Cybersecurity Framework for the Responsible Use of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing (PNT) Services. This document builds on NISTIR 8323 to identify and serve as the required Energy Sector specific guidance. For purposes of this PNT Profile, Energy Sector precise time is 0.5 µs (microseconds) to 1 µs accuracy. Currently, the electricity subsector has systems that use this level of precision time, but the oil and natural gas subsector currently does not. While the electricity subsector uses precision timing, it does not use positioning and/or navigation at this level of accuracy. For this reason, this PNT Profile will focus on only precise time for the electricity subsector.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2021

Best Practices for Timing Attack Mitigation

GPS signals play essential roles in the electric subsector by providing precision timing used to synchronize and record measurements from a range of equipment. However, previous research has demonstrated that GPS signals can be spoofed or jammed relatively easily in order to interfere with timing-reliant equipment. This document outlines utility best practices for mitigating against timing attacks in the electric subsector based on an assessment of the difficulty and impact of realistic timing attacks and testing of the effectiveness of technologies capable of mitigating them. This analysis builds on research establishing the vulnerability of GPS-reliant timing equipment to jamming and spoofing by elaborating the difficulty, consequences, and mitigations for timing attacks that adversaries might realistically attempt. While timing attacks are relatively low-cost, low-sophistication, and capable of systemic consequences in the electric subsector, they can be effectively mitigated through well-targeted and diverse mitigations.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2022

Unraveling the Wrinkle in Time-Variable Sources with Lunes and Synthetic Seismic Data

In this report, we describe how to estimate the time-variable components of the seismic moment tensor and compare these estimates to the more conventional analysis that incorporates an assumption of the source time function (STF) across all components of the seismic moment tensor. The advantage of our method is that we are able to independently estimate the time-evolution of each component of the seismic moment tensor, which may help to resolve the complex source phenomena associated with buried explosions. By performing an eigen decomposition of the time-evolving seismic moment tensor components, we are able to plot the seismic mechanism as a trajectory on a lune diagram. This technique enables interpretation of the seismic mechanism as a function of time, as opposed to the more conventional analysis which assumes that the seismic mechanism is time invariant. Finally, we describe the differences between the seismic moment and the seismic moment rate STFs, how to implement each one in inversion schemes, and the relative strengths/weaknesses of each. Our key take-away is that we are able to distinguish nearly-overlapping sources with highly different mechanisms, such as an explosion immediately following an earthquake, by estimating moment rate from seismic data through a STF-invariant inversion for the full time-variable moment tensor.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

A Catalog of Temporally Localized Systematic Deviations in Global Body Wave Travel-Time Measurements

Accurate measurements of the arrival times of seismic waves are crucial for seismological analyses such as robust locations of earthquakes, characterization of seismic sources, and high-fidelity imaging of the Earth’s interior. However, these travel-time measurements can sometimes be contaminated by timing errors at the stations which record this data. In this study, we apply a classical approach, based on identifying time-dependence in measured body wave arrival times, to identify these timing errors in a dataset on the order of 107 individual measurements. We find timing deviations at a subset of the stations in our dataset and document the temporal location, extent, and severity of these errors, finding errors at 83 stations, and impacting ~100,000 measurements. This catalog of deviations may enable future investigators to obtain a more accurate dataset through the implementation of quality control measures to eliminate the contaminated data we have identified.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

Time-dependent phenomena in correlated materials

Understanding time-dependent processes and light-matter interaction in strongly correlated materials, and the interplay between electronic, orbital, vibrational, and spin degrees of freedom, is a cornerstone of condensed matter. These mechanisms can be proven by measuring the response of the systems to time-dependent perturbations. The corresponding time scales are dictated by the way light couples to the different excitations, and how these excitations exchange energy and momentum. Our research advances our understanding of these processes, and the interpretation of different equilibrium and time-resolved spectroscopies. Our project encompasses two main themes: (i) developing and refining computational techniques to study non-equilibrium spectroscopies including non-perturbative effects and (ii) applications to non-equilibrium phenomena. We have developed a new computational approach that works directly in the time domain: by including all the degrees of freedom involved in the scattering process (e.g. electrons, photons, neutrons), we solve the time dependent problem: a faithful numerical simulation of the experiment. By measuring the energy and momentum of the outgoing particles, we can extract information about the energy and momentum absorbed by the system. Prior to our work, people attempting to model and calculate non-equilibrium spectral functions relied on a description of the scattering cross section based on a formulation in the frequency domain, a treatment that is extremely cumbersome and complex. Our technique works in and out of equilibrium and can reproduce spectra by several spectroscopic techniques, such as time-resolved photoemission, neutron scattering, Raman, X-ray spectroscopies (RIXS, Auger, XAS, XMCD), and, by not relying on analytical approximations, yields results that reveal novel overlooked transient mechanisms. These tools provide sorely needed intuition for understanding the phenomenology of strongly correlated materials and will help experimentalists in identifying signatures of relevant excitations in pump-probe experiments, such as those conducted in DOE supported facilities.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

DOE OSTI2025

Precision Time Protocol Performance Testing Over Optical Transport Network

The US Department of Energy Office of Electricity has partnered with Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) to find alternative precision timing solutions for the nation’s power grid. This effort is in response to the vulnerabilities identified in the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS), of which the US Global Positioning System (GPS) platform is a part. Additionally, Executive Order 139055 has highlighted the need for alternative or backup timing solutions. ORNL has established a Timing Lab and has been testing various technologies and timing devices as part of this effort. Precision Time Protocol (PTP), and the off-the-shelf timing devices and network connections that support it, are among the alternatives being tested. This work reports the accuracy of PTP over an Optical Transport Network (OTN) and is part of a series published by the Center for Alternative Synchronization and Timing (CAST).

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Third Integer Resonant Extraction Transit Time Simulation Studies

Narayanan, Aakaash [Fermilab] (ORCID:0000000157944↗

DOE OSTI2020

Empirical Study of Effect of Dynamic Travel Time Information on Driver Route Choice Behavior

The objective of this paper is to study the effect of travel time information on day-to-day driver route choice behavior. A real-world experimental study is designed to have participants repeatedly choose between two alternative routes for five origin-destination pairs over multiple days after providing them with dynamically updated travel time information (average travel time and travel time variability). The results demonstrate that historical travel time information enhances behavioral rationality by 10% on average and reduces inertial tendencies to increase risk seeking in the gain domain. Furthermore, expected travel time information is demonstrated to be more effective than travel time variability information in enhancing rational behavior when drivers have limited experiences. After drivers gain sufficient knowledge of routes, however, the difference in behavior associated with the two information types becomes insignificant. The results also demonstrate that, when drivers lack experience, the faster less reliable route is more attractive than the slower more reliable route. However, with cumulative experiences, drivers become more willing to take the more reliable route given that they are reluctant to become risk seekers once experience is gained. Furthermore, the effect of information on driver behavior differs significantly by participant and trip, which is, to a large extent, dependent on personal traits and trip characteristics.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Post-Calibration Uncertainty Analysis for Travel Times at a Naval Weapons Industrial Reserve Plant

The Naval Weapons Industrial Reserve Plant (NWIRP) in McGregor, Texas began manufacturing explosives in 1980 and several hazardous chemicals were discovered in lakes and streams surrounding the site in 1998. Contaminants traveled to local lakes and streams much faster than initially predicted. This research estimated contaminant travel times and identified locations where monitoring wells should be installed to yield the greatest reductions in uncertainties in travel-time predictions. To this end, groundwater and particle-tracking models for NWIRP site were built to predict hydraulic heads and contaminant travel times. Next, parameter (hydraulic conductivities) uncertainties, parameter identifiabilities, observation (hydraulic heads) worth, and predictive (contaminant travel times) uncertainties were quantified. Parameter uncertainties were reduced by up to 92%; a total of 19 of 158 parameters were at least moderately identifiable; travel-time uncertainties were reduced up to 92%. Additionally, travel-time predictions and post-calibration parameter distributions were generated using the null-space Monte Carlo (NSMC) technique. NSMC predicted that conservative tracers exited the flow system within a year, which matches with field data. Finally, an observations-worth analysis found that additional 11 more measurements would reduce travel-time uncertainties by factors from 1.04 to 4.3 over existing data if monitoring wells were installed at the suggested locations.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗