Developing an Analytical Framework for Cumulative Effects
The extended dry storage scenario for spent nuclear fuel (SNF) in the United States introduces the possibility of more than one transportation campaign to move the SNF from its point of origin to one or more interim storage facilities before it reaches its final destination. While the structural integrity of SNF and its storage and transportation systems are often evaluated under single event loading conditions, the reality is that a single SNF system will experience multiple structural loading events during its life cycle, the number and severity of which will depend on its individual circumstances. SNF systems will also be subjected to environmental exposure that will affect their temperature and the potential for cracks to develop in the SNF canister walls. Considered separately, many different events and scenarios might be strong enough to challenge the integrity of SNF cladding and the storage and transportations canisters that contain SNF. But considered together, over the full life cycle of an SNF system, there is the possibility that individual low-magnitude events could cause enough incremental damage to components of the SNF system to challenge its structural integrity if the time span is long enough or if the life cycle includes a sufficient number of loading events. The concern is that the cumulative effect of relatively small mechanical loads, thermal stresses, or cracking can add up to conditions that could compromise SNF or its containment structures. This report is a first step in establishing an analysis framework for evaluating these cumulative effects.