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At least 721 records · Page 40

Can artificial intelligence and data-driven machine learning models match or even replace process-driven hydrologic models for streamflow simulation?: A case study of four watersheds with different hydro-climatic regions across the CONUS

With recent developments in computational techniques, Data-driven Machine Learning Models (DMLs) have shown great potential in simulating streamflow and capturing the rainfall-runoff relationship in given watersheds, which are traditionally fulfilled by Process-based Hydrologic Models (PHMs). There are debates on whether the DMLs can outperform and possibly replace the classical PHMs for streamflow simulation and river forecasting, but no clear conclusions have been made. This study aims to investigate whether the newer DMLs have any potential in further improving the simulation accuracy of classical PHMs, and vice versa. To do this, we compared a few popular PHMs and DMLs over four watersheds across the Continental US (CONUS) that are associated with different input, climate, and regional conditions. A total of five hydrologic models were chosen, including (1) two classical lumped models, i.e., the Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting (SAC-SMA) and Xinanjiang (XAJ); (2) one modern distributed model, termed Coupled Routing and Excess Storage (CREST); (3) and two DMLs including an Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and a deep learning model, termed Long Short Term Memory (LSTM). Our results demonstrated that the DMLs still significantly biased when using the baseline input scenario with the PHMs. However, the DMLs fed with delayed input scenarios had great potential and can reach high simulation accuracy. The DMLs, especially the ANN, outperformed other employed models under the rainfall-runoff relationship in which rainfall dominantly drives. Furthermore, the DMLs also showed better performance in the high-flow regime, while the PHMs had a better performance for the low-flow regime, implying both PHMs and DMLs have their own merits and are worthy of joint development. In general, our study indicated a great potential of using DMLs to simulate streamflow, but further studies are still needed to verify the transferability and scalability of DMLs in large-scale experiments, such as the Distributed Model Intercomparison Projects 1&2 conducted by National Weather Services but to compare modern DMLs and PHMs.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Application of remote sensing precipitation data and the $\mathrm{CONNECT}$ algorithm to investigate spatiotemporal variations of heavy precipitation: Case study of major floods across Iran (Spring 2019)

In recent years, the number of floods following unprecedented rainfall events have increased in Iran during early spring (March 21st to April 20th, referred to in Iran as the month of “Farvadin”). While numerous studies have addressed changes in climate extremes and precipitation trends at different temporal scales from daily to annual across the country, analyses of short-duration and heavy precipitation, especially during recent years, are rarely considered. Furthermore, most studies investigate the variations in extremes and total precipitation using a limited number of synoptic weather stations across Iran. Here this study assesses the variations in heavy precipitation (precipitation with intensities greater than or equal to 3 mm/3 h) at 0.04° spatial and 3-hourly temporal resolution during the month of Farvardin. In addition, the effect of atmospheric river conditions over Iran and their possible link to intensifying heavy precipitation is explored. For this purpose, the CONNected-objECT (CONNECT) algorithm is applied on a precipitation dataset, Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks-Cloud Classification System (PERSIANN-CCS), and an Integrated Water Vapor Transport (IVT) dataset from the NASA Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications Version-2 (MERRA-2). The results suggest that the increase in the number of floods in recent years is related to the increase in the intensity and volume of heavy precipitation events, although the frequency and duration of heavy precipitation events have not changed significantly. Furthermore, the results show that atmospheric river conditions over the country are present during the same window as each year’s most extreme events. It is found that 8 out of 13 of the largest ARs over Iran come from moisture plumes with pathways over the African and Red Sea.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Optimization of the number and locations of the calibration stations needed to monitor soil moisture using distributed temperature sensing systems: A proof-of-concept study

The single-probe heat-pulse (SPHP) technique combined with the Fiber-optic Distributed Temperature Sensing (DTS) technology can offer novel high-resolution measurements of soil moisture (θ) over spatial scales ranging from several centimeters to several kilometers. However, the key limitation of this method is in obtaining the calibration relationship between θ and soil thermal conductivity (λ) across a specific field. In a previous study, a new methodology using a Gaussian processes model was presented to account for the spatial variability in the λ-θ relationship. The model aggregated θ measurements from soil moisture sensors scattered over the SPHP transect with the corresponding DTS λ measurements at their locations. In this study, a novel methodology is tested to optimize the number and locations of soil moisture sensors required to account for the spatial variability of the λ - θ relationship to achieve higher accuracy from the SPHP technique. The proposed methodology utilizes hierarchical clustering to analyze the information contained in the spatial structure of the SPHP measurements as the soil dries from a nearly-saturated condition. The proposed methodology was tested using data from a field in Oklahoma. Monte-Carlo simulation was performed to validate the performance of the proposed methodology. The predictions obtained from the proposed methodology resulted in θ measurements accuracy comparable to those obtained from the 10% best Monte-Carlo iterations of randomly assigned soil moisture locations. Further, this study demonstrates that the proposed methodology is more efficient than the traditional practice of randomly spreading calibration soil moisture sensors along the SPHP transect.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Parametric study of residual stress formation in Wire and Arc Additive Manufacturing

Here, a finite element model was created to simulate the Wire Arc Additive Manufacturing (WAAM) thermal and mechanical processes of Inconel 718 on a A36 steel substrate, as well as the effects of process parameters on Residual Stress (RS). The model was verified using temperature data obtained from three thermocouples attached to the upper surface of the build substrate and micro-strain measurements obtained from Neutron Diffraction (ND) measurement. The model was then used to study the effects of changing the torch travel speed and interlayer dwell time. The study found that travel speed has little effect on RS when maintaining the same heat input rate. As well, the interlayer dwell time has a strong effect on RS. Reducing the dwell time causes the stress profiles to become relatively uniform and a high-stress region extends deeper along the build direction. This study provides important insight into mechanical stresses inside large walls made by the WAAM method.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Molecular dynamics studies of grain boundary mobility and anisotropy in BCC γ-uranium

Grain morphologies such as grain size and aspect ratio in uranium-based metallic fuels are important microstructural features that can impact various fuel performance properties such as fission-gas-induced swelling, thermal transport, high burnup structure formation, and radiation resistance. Accurate prediction of the fuel grain morphologies requires knowledge of critical grain growth parameters such as grain boundary (GB) mobility and anisotropy. In this work, molecular dynamics simulations were performed to study the GB mobility and its anisotropy in pure body-centered-cubic (BCC) γ uranium. Nine GBs with different combinations of misorientation angles (20°, 30°, 45°) and rotation axes (<100>, <110>, <111>), as well as an additional <111> 38.2° GB were studied using three interatomic potentials. Here, it is found that the GB mobility anisotropy has complex trends, depending on both rotation axis and misorientation. However, in general the <110> rotation axis has the fastest GB mobility at the same misorientation. The results of this work can be used as not only baselines for future studies of GB mobility in uranium-based alloys such as uranium-molybdenum (U-Mo) fuels, but also input for mesoscale modeling of grain growth in uranium-based alloys.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Ion irradiation study of lithium silicates for fusion blanket applications

Here, this study reports on the microstructural and compositional evolutions, deuterium release and lithium loss behavior in lithium silicates. Pellets of biphasic Li 4 SiO 4 and Li 2 SiO 3 were fabricated using hot pressing of powders. Sequential irradiation with Si + , He + and D + ions was performed up to 773 K to emulate one-year 6 Li burnup in 6 Li 4 SiO 4 inside the SlimCS DEMO. Crystalline Li 4 SiO 4 phase was not observed in the irradiated depth region of all the samples in this study. In spite of full amorphization in the near-surface region, Li 2 SiO 3 irradiated to a high dose at 773 K remained crystalline in the damage peak region, suggesting that Li 2 SiO 3 is more irradiation resistant to amorphization than Li 4 SiO 4 . Radiolysis may be primarily responsible for silicate decomposition and amorphization. Data from this study also show that D release from the pellet is very efficient during ion irradiation at 773 K, which is accompanied with a significant Li loss. Thermal annealing for 10 min at 773 K for the room-temperature irradiated pellet leads to a nearly complete D release without an observable Li loss. A concept of Ni coating on tritium breeder materials is discussed with supporting data to minimize Li loss without a significant impact on tritium diffusion and release.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Microstructural and phase changes in alpha uranium investigated via in-situ studies and molecular dynamics

A deeper knowledge of thermally induced microstructural and phase evolution in nuclear metallic fuel can be obtained using novel in-situ microscopic analyses. Such studies can provide information on the dynamics of phase transitions which is not possible with conventional postmortem characterization (post-irradiation examination). In this work, the behavior of alpha uranium (α-U) was investigated via in-situ heating tests in a transmission electron microscope. Here, the main objective is to understand the microstructural and phase changes, such as defect annihilation and ß phase formation and retention, observed in reactor in-pile transient studies at the Transient Reactor Test facility. Indeed, defect migration and rearrangement were observed within the α phase starting at 673 K; α→ß phase transition was observed between 773 K and 1,073 K during the heating ramp (which is in the temperature window reported for α→ß transition temperatures). Recrystallization and formation of nano grains was observed at high temperatures (over 1,073 K). Such recrystallization was possibly related to the formation of the γ phase. Finally, it was indeed observed that the ß phase (but not γ phase) was retained at room temperature upon rapid cooling. Molecular dynamics studies support these experimental results and shows that the γ phase of pure uranium cannot be retained at room temperature if not stabilized with the addition of an alloying element.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Potential impact of work from home jobs on residential energy bills: A case study in phoenix, AZ, USA

Nearly one-third of U.S. households face challenges paying energy bills. During the day, many residents have routine access to cooled environments provided by others—employers, shopping centers, and other public buildings. The COVID-19 pandemic, however, has significantly shifted the cost burden of air conditioning in hot cities. Specifically, during the pandemic, many companies either laid off employees or put them in work-from-home (WFH) assignments. Large tech companies are already promoting WFH as a long-term option for their employees, even after the pandemic. This change in the nature of the workforce might reduce daily travel expenses for workers, but could also significantly increase residential energy bills, particularly during summer in very hot climates. Here, this study uses building energy simulations to quantify the potential residential energy bill penalties resulting from WFH for typical residences in Phoenix. Four building archetypes are used in this study to represent variations in building vintage, occupancy, and characteristics. The results show that, for some single-family residences in Phoenix, WFH can increase annual energy bills by more than $1100 (up to a 70% increase). The study also demonstrates that building performance enhancement retrofit measures have the potential to reduce this WFH energy bill penalty for the existing buildings substantially.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

What Can We Learn from US National Transmission Studies?

Multiple US regions have announced new electricity transmission plans, are actively revisiting the future role of transmission, and could benefit from findings from recent national-scale transmission studies. A review of seven national studies shows that significant transmission expansion is cost-optimal for serving new demand, integrating additional resources, and supporting grid reliability. A majority of the reviewed scenarios, which span a range of policy and technology assumptions, include at least a doubling of the transmission system by 2050. The national studies find substantial net system cost savings from transmission expansion and high benefit-cost ratios for transmission investments. The results are derived through multi-value, nationally coordinated, co-optimized, multi-scenario modeling, which is an approach that could yield lower-cost pathways compared to current industry planning practices.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

An empirical study of moving horizon closed-loop demand response scheduling

The potential of electricity-intensive chemical plants to engage in demand response (DR) initiatives in support of power grid operations has been the subject of many conceptual studies. In this work, using an industrially-relevant model of an air separation unit, we undertake an extensive simulation study of moving horizon (MH) rescheduling approaches, where we "close the scheduling loop" based on updated information regarding disturbances such as changes in electricity prices, ambient conditions and chemical product demand. Our study produces several unexpected findings regarding the non-periodic nature of rescheduling solutions, the impact of the accuracy of disturbance forecasts on the economics of DR scheduling, and on the interplay of simultaneously dealing with fluctuations on both the supply side (i.e., electricity prices) and the product demand side of the plant. Furthermore, we posit that the latter fluctuations pose significant limitations to the potential of a chemical plant to engage in DR.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Ab initio study and assignment of electronic states in molecular RaCl

Radium compounds have attracted recently considerable attention due to both development of experimental techniques for high-precision laser spectroscopy of molecules with short-lived nuclei and amenability of certain radium compounds for direct cooling with lasers. Currently, radium monofluoride (RaF) is one of the most studied molecules among the radium compounds, both theoretically and recently also experimentally. Complementary studies of further diatomic radium derivatives are highly desired to assess the influence of chemical substitution on diverse molecular parameters, especially on those connected with laser cooling, such as vibronic transition probabilities, and those related to violations of fundamental symmetries. Here in this article high-precision ab initio studies of electronic and vibronic levels of diatomic radium monochloride (RaCl) are presented. Recently developed approaches for treating electronic correlation with Fock-space coupled cluster methods are applied for this purpose. Theoretical results are compared to an early experimental investigation by Lagerqvist and used to partially reassign the experimentally observed transitions and molecular electronic levels of RaCl. Effective constants of $\mathscr{P}$-odd hyperfine interaction W a and $\mathscr{P, T}$-odd scalar-pseudoscalar nucleus-electron interaction Ws in the ground electronic state of RaCl are estimated within the framework of a quasirelativistic Zeroth-Order Regular Approximation approach and compared to parameters in RaF and RaOH.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Experimental and numerical study of the shielding effect of two tandem rough cylinders in flow-induce oscillation

The shielding effect of the downstream cylinder in flow induced oscillation (FIO) of two cylinders arranged in tandem is studied experimentally and numerically at Reynolds number 30,000 to 120,000. Both cylinders are in one degree-of-freedom, transverse-oscillations, and have turbulence stimulation in the form of selective surface roughness to expand FIO beyond vortex-induced vibration (VIV) into galloping. Shielding of the downstream cylinder has a negative effect on harnessing hydrokinetic energy. Further, to study its effect and mechanics, selective cases are studied both numerically and experimentally and discussed to demonstrate the shielding effect on the downstream cylinder and understand its cause. The main conclusions are: (1) The shielding effect for the downstream cylinder shows a strong relation to the damping ratio. As the damping ratio increases, the shielding effect is mitigated. Additionally, the oscillation of the rear cylinder becomes stable and shows stable frequency. (2) In the VIV region, as the stiffness and natural frequency increase, the shielding effect decreases substantially. (3) In the VIV region, the vorticity of the vortices shedding from both the upper and the lower sides of the downstream cylinder does not accumulate enough due to the attraction by the vortices shed from the upstream cylinder, thus resulting in partial suppression of the oscillation on the downstream cylinder. (4) In the galloping region, the shielding effect for the downstream cylinder depends on whether the vorticity near the downstream cylinder is strengthened by the vortices generated by the shear layers of the upstream cylinder or weakened.

42 ENGINEERING↗

In situ studies on heavy ion irradiation and partial oxidation induced stacking faults and nanograins in tungsten nanolaminates

Understanding the microstructural evolution of tungsten (W) under extreme irradiation environments is critical for its application as a plasma-facing material in future fusion reactors. Heavy ion irradiation study offers expedited damage accumulation and thus allows irradiation tolerance property prediction in a short period of time. In this study we explore in situ Kr ion irradiation of W nanolaminates at 800 °C and uncover a complex interplay of irradiation-induced transformations, including the emergence of stacking faults, nanograin formation, and generation of thickened grain boundaries defined as GB regions with the thickness of up to 15 nm. High-resolution transmission electron microscopy studies reveal the formation of extended planar faults and a metastable hexagonal close-packed (hcp) phase within the body-centered cubic (bcc) matrix. These structural transitions are facilitated by irradiation-induced shear. They are further stabilized by the presence of oxygen, which promotes stacking fault formation and vacancy trapping. Elevated temperatures enhance defect mobility, enabling dynamic recrystallization into ultrafine grains and the thickening of GBs due to defect absorption and impurity segregation. These findings unravel non-equilibrium phase transformation pathways in heavy ion irradiated W and highlight the critical role of impurity-mediated defect dynamics in governing its radiation tolerance properties.

Wazeer, Adil [Purdue University]↗

13 C NMR study of amino acid salts in facilitated transport membranes for post-combustion carbon capture

Some of amino acid salts (AASs) have been demonstrated to be effective mobile carriers in facilitated transport membranes (FTMs) to achieve superior CO 2 permeance and CO 2 /N 2 selectivity for CO 2 capture from flue gas. Understandings of how the structures of different AASs affect the chemistry of the amine–CO 2 reaction are essential for the future development of more efficient AAS mobile carriers. In this study, the reaction chemistry of selected AASs with CO 2 was investigated by 13 C nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy. The CO 2 loading and the distribution of major reaction products, including carbamate and bicarbonate products of each studied AAS were quantitatively analyzed. The positive correlation between the CO 2 loading of AAS (mol CO 2 /g AAS) and the CO 2 permeance of FTMs suggested that AAS with a higher CO 2 loading may improve the performance of FTMs. Our results also showed that increasing the steric hindrance of AAS could be a practical way to promote the bicarbonate reaction pathway and thus potentially increase the CO 2 loading (mol CO 2 /mol AAS). Moreover, 2-(1-piperazinyl)ethylamine (PZEA) was found to be a more effective multi-amine than piperazine (PZ) for synthesizing AASs due to the presence of more effective nitrogen sites per molecule. The superior CO 2 permeance of the PZEA-Sar membrane is also attributed to its more uniform membrane formation. As a result, the knowledge gained from this study will inform the rational design of more effective AAS carriers for CO 2 capture.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Chemical beneficiation of cobaltiferous pyrite: a thermodynamic and parametric study

Despite ongoing efforts to identify substitute materials, cobalt remains indispensable for the production of rechargeable batteries essential to the global energy transition. Currently, most cobalt is sourced as a by-product of nickel and copper extraction from politically and ethically unstable regions. To address this vulnerability, certain primary cobalt deposits—where cobalt occurs within the crystal lattice of pyrite (FeS 2 )—have been identified as potential alternatives. Nonetheless, conventional beneficiation methods have proven largely ineffective for the potential processing of these minerals. This study investigated the thermal decomposition of cobaltiferous pyrite contained in flotation concentrates as a subsequent chemical beneficiation stage aimed at (i) selectively removing sulfur to further increase cobalt grades and (ii) producing a ferromagnetic product suitable for downstream magnetic separation. A thermodynamic analysis was first conducted to evaluate the feasibility of the decomposition reactions and the temperature-dependent evolution of sulfur species. A parametric experimental study then assessed the influence of temperature, residence time, and gas flow rate under N 2 and CO 2 atmospheres. Under the most favorable experimental conditions tested (650 °C, 15 min), cobalt grades increased by up to 15% with negligible cobalt losses and the co-production of high-purity sulfur (>95%). Magnetic separation of the resulting calcine yielded a final concentrate containing 2.09% cobalt at 82.5% recovery, representing a 16–74% improvement over previous baseline studies on similar feedstocks.

Beneficiation↗

Microstructural evolution in shear-punch tests: A comparative study of pure Cu and Cu-Cr alloy

Understanding the mechanisms behind microstructural evolution during shear deformation has been a long-standing area of interest. However, establishing a connection between microstructure, mechanical properties, and extent of shear deformation is challenging and requires refined experimental approaches. Shear-punch testing (SPT) provides a controlled method to introduce shear into small volumes of material that later can be subjected to detailed microstructural characterization. In this study, we utilize an SPT device to induce shear deformation to pure copper and a binary copper-chromium alloy. Electron backscatter diffraction and transmission electron microscopy were used to study the mechanisms of plastic deformation after SPT. Our results indicate that shear deformation of pure Cu produces a dense network of intercepting microshear bands upon sustained deformation. Twin boundaries undergo degradation into high angle grain boundaries due to simultaneous deviation from the axis-angle pair condition of 60° misorientation on [111] direction. The presence of 50% volume Cr particles in the soft Cu matrix fundamentally altered the shear deformation mechanism. Preferential deformation of the Cu matrix led to accelerated shear-induced formation of low and high angle grain boundaries, and subsequent grain refinement. Comparatively, no grain refinement occurred in pure Cu at a strain ~10 times larger (ϵ = 4.73) than that of the copper-chromium case (ϵ = 0.42). Overall, our study sheds light on the microstructural evolution during shear deformation and highlights the significant influence of particle reinforcements on the shear deformation mechanisms of metals.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A comprehensive first-principles study of the effects of the exchange-correlation functional and magnetism on defect and diffusion properties of the CoCrNi medium-entropy alloy

The present work is a novel, systematic study of the effect of density functional theory input parameters on the vacancy formation energy (VFE), migration barrier for diffusion, and electronic structure for each element in the CoCrNi medium-entropy alloy (MEA). In particular, the novelties include: (1) calculating the aforementioned properties of Co, Cr, or Ni, in the CoCrNi MEA using magnetic and non-magnetic states, and two versions of the generalized gradient approximation: Perdew, Burke, and Ernzerhof (PBE) and the PBE version for solids (PBEsol), and (2) a detailed comparison of 0 K activation energy to experimental creep activation energies. First-principles calculations at 0 K are performed using the Vienna ab-initio simulation package. Special quasirandom structures (SQS) and Widom-type substitution are employed. For each element, Co, Cr, or Ni, non-magnetic calculations result in a higher VFE and larger range of calculated values for the configurations studied. The averaged migration barrier is the highest for Co in the CoCrNi for three of four sets of calculation parameters in the configurations studied. Finally, the results indicate that the average 0 K activation energy for diffusion makes up 70–80% of the experimental creep activation energy, depending on the exchange-correlation functional employed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Adaptive model tuning studies for non-invasive diagnostics and feedback control of plasma wakefield acceleration at FACET-II

Beam-driven plasma wakefield acceleration (PWFA) achieves the same energy gain in a single meter, for which conventional accelerators require several kilometers, however much work is still required to match the beam quality of conventional accelerators. The PWFA processes to be studied at the FACET-II facility will utilize extremely short (down to a few fs) high energy (10 GeV), high charge (few nC) electron and eventually positron bunches. The PWFA process is extremely sensitive to the detailed longitudinal current profiles of these bunches and it would be of great benefit to have precise measurement and control of these profiles. We present an adaptive model tuning technique for FACET-II to adaptively tune online models based on real time accelerator and beam data to continuously provide a non-invasive diagnostic which predicts the longitudinal phase space (LPS) of extremely short and highly compressed electron beams, which otherwise require destructive X-band transverse deflecting cavity (XTCAV)-based measurements. Based on simulation studies, our method has the potential for: (1). The development of a non-invasive longitudinal phase space diagnostic by adaptively tuning models based on non-invasive measurements such as energy spread spectra which could be recorded at all of the bunch compressors in the facility. (2). Utilize these diagnostic to perform model-independent feedback-based to achieve desired longitudinal phase space distributions. (3). Utilize the model-independent feedback approach to maximize energy gain while minimizing emittance growth and energy gain variance of the PWFA process by tuning accelerator parameters, while monitoring what longitudinal phase space the algorithm has found, information that will be useful for further analytical and simulation studies.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗