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At least 721 records · Page 40
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Recent advances in integrated hydrologic models: Integration of new domains

Over the past several decades, hydrologic models have advanced from independent models of the surface and subsurface to integrated models that can capture the terrestrial hydrologic cycle within one framework. In recent years, these coupled frameworks have seen the inclusion of biogeochemical processes, ecohydrology, sedimentation and erosion, cold region hydrology, anthropogenic activities, and atmospheric processes. This expansion is the result of increased computational, data, and modeling capabilities and capacities, as well as improved understanding of the processes that drive these integrated systems. Here, in this study, we review these recent advances to integrate new processes and systems into existing terrestrial hydrologic models and highlight the significant challenges and opportunities that remain. We identify that with so many models currently available and in development, selecting the most appropriate model is difficult, and we suggest a path for new or novice modelers to find the most appropriate code based on their needs. In addition, data required to parameterize and calibrate these models can often constrain their applicability and usefulness. However, advances in environmental sensors and measurement technology, in addition to data assimilation of non-traditional data (e.g. remote sensing, qualitative data) are providing new ways of addressing this issue. As we expand hydrologic models to integrate more processes and systems, our computational demands also increase. Recent and emerging advances in computational platforms, including cloud and quantum computing, in addition to the use of machine learning to capture some processes, will continue to support the use of increasingly larger and more complex, process-based models. Finally, we highlight that it is critical to develop state-of-the-science models that are accessible to all model users, not just those applied for research and development. We encourage continued development of diverse modeling platforms, considering the user needs, data availability, and computational resources.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Selected Uses of TSUNAMI in Critical Experiment Design and Analysis

Validation in criticality safety is performed by comparing the results of critical experiments with the calculated results from models of the experiments using the computational method to be validated. Laboratory critical experiments are controlled systems that achieve a k eff of approximately 1 and enable investigation of the parameters at which such a critical condition is achieved. For the critical experiments used in a validation to capture the biases of the materials and neutron energy spectra of interest, those materials must be included in the experiment such that they influence k eff or another observable parameter with statistical significance. This paper discusses the use of sensitivity uncertainty (S/U) methods to develop critical experiments for various purposes. S/U techniques are useful for understanding the underlying components of nuclear data which affect the k eff or another parameter of a given configuration. S/U calculations are most commonly used to compare existing experiments to applications of interest; however, S/U techniques can also be used to identify, optimize, or assess features of proposed experiments so that they can better test specific portions of nuclear data or match an application of interest. The S/U techniques discussed here are from the TSUNAMI code system. The two primary codes discussed in this work are TSUNAMI-3D, which implements the KENO criticality code to calculate the sensitivity of k eff to nuclear data, and TSAR, which calculates the sensitivity of a reactivity difference between two configurations based on their TSUNAMI-3D generated sensitivity profiles. The methods used in these tools are discussed in more detail in the SCALE manual. This paper is one of a series on the development and use of TSUNAMI tools. The other papers address development of TSUNAMI methods and a review of TSUNAMI applications.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigation of the Effect of Framework Flexibility on CO 2 Adsorption in SIFSIX-3-Cu Using a Machine-Learned Force Field

Metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) offer promise as selective CO 2 sorbents, but successful MOF sorbent materials need high CO 2 binding affinity and selectivity for CO 2 over water. This work focuses on the use of machine-learned force fields (MLFFs) to model CO 2 adsorption in flexible MOFs, with a focus on SIFSIX-3-Cu, an anion-pillared MOF known for its high CO 2 affinity. A preliminary high-throughput screening of over 900 anion-pillared MOFs was performed using rigid UFF+DDEC6 force fields to predict zero-loading heats of adsorption for CO 2 and H 2 O. SIFSIX-3-Cu was selected for further computational study due to its predicted CO 2 heat of adsorption and experimental relevance. A DeePMD-based MLFF was trained to reproduce DFT (PBE+D3) energies and forces, with an iterative sampling scheme combining molecular dynamics, geometry optimization, random geometric insertion, and NVT Monte Carlo-based configuration generation to capture both attractive and repulsive regions of the potential energy surface. Flexibility of the MOF was explicitly included, contrasting with previous models that approximated the MOF as rigid. Hybrid Monte Carlo/molecular dynamics (MC/MD) simulations with the MLFF produced CO 2 adsorption isotherms in good agreement with experimental data at direct air capture (DAC) pressures (e.g., 40 Pa), in contrast to previous overestimations of CO 2 sorption by models with rigid structures. Bond and angle histogram analysis showed that MOF flexibility increased the variance of fluorine–fluorine diagonal distances at adsorption sites, resulting in a lower predicted sorption for flexible, asymmetric SIFSIX-3-Cu pore geometries compared to the rigid, symmetric DFT-optimized SIFSIX-3-Cu pore geometry. A detailed description of flexibility afforded by the MLFF resulted in an accurately predicted CO 2 uptake (0.88 mmol/g) at low pressure (40 Pa) compared to the experimentally measured value (1.24 mmol/g). In conclusion, these results underscore the importance of including framework flexibility when modeling adsorption phenomena in MOFs, particularly for low-pressure applications.

adsorption↗
DOE OSTI2026

Influence of Rigidity–Hydration Coupling on Size-Dependent Diffusion in Hydrated Polymer Membranes

Selective ion transport in polymer membranes depends critically on how penetrant motion couples to polymer dynamics and hydration. Yet, the mechanistic interplay between polymer rigidity, water content, and penetrant size remains poorly understood, especially in the regime where the penetrant diameter, polymer Kuhn length, and correlation length are comparable. Here, we employ coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations to systematically investigate penetrant diffusion in hydrated polymer networks across a broad range of water volume fractions, chain rigidities, and penetrant sizes. The results reveal a transition from a decoupled regime, where small penetrants diffuse nearly independently of polymer relaxation, to a coupled regime in which large penetrants require cooperative polymer motion for transport. Increasing polymer rigidity amplifies the sensitivity of diffusivity to hydration, particularly at low water content, leading to pronounced deviations from Stokes−Einstein scaling. Comparison with scaling theories and free-volume models shows that classical nanoparticle-based frameworks fail to capture this intermediate regime. To address this gap, we extend the Yasuda model to incorporate polymer rigidity through a single parameter that quantifies the dynamic contribution of chain stiffness to free-volume fluctuations. The resulting model collapses diffusivity data across all sizes, water contents, and rigidities, providing a unified description of penetrant transport in hydrated polymer matrices. Furthermore, these findings establish polymer rigidity as a key, tunable determinant of diffusion and offer a framework for interpreting size-dependent transport in ion-selective membranes.

diffusion↗
DOE OSTI2020

A reactive separation process for pre-combustion CO 2 capture employing oxygen-blown coal gasifier off-gas

In this paper, we present an experimental study of a reactive separation system, consisting of a membrane reactor (MR) and an adsorptive reactor (AR) operating in tandem, with the MR’s reject stream serving as the AR’s feed. We investigates the feasibility of applying this MR-AR system for high-purity H 2 production and simultaneous CO 2 capture via the water gas shift (WGS) reaction in the context of Integrated Gas Combined Cycle (IGCC) power generation employing oxygen-blown gasifier syngas from biomass and coal. We previously studied this MR-AR system for the IGCC process employing air-blown gasifier syngas, for which it demonstrated good performance, attaining high conversion exceeding equilibrium, producing ultra-pure H 2 for power generation, and a CO 2 stream ready for sequestration. In this study, we focus on oxygen-blown gasifier off-gas that contains no N 2 , with composition distinctly different from the air-blown gasifier syngas which has a large N 2 content. We employ a carbon molecular sieve membrane (CMSM), a commercial sour-shift WGS catalyst, and a hydrotalcite (HTC) adsorbent. We carried out experiments to determine membrane performance and to identify promising operating conditions in an IGCC-relevant environment. The CMSM proved robust during a long-term (~344 hr run) experimental run under high temperature and pressure maintaining a high He/N 2 selectivity (~170). Multi-cycle runs were carried out during which the MR-AR system displayed superior performance to that of a PBR, by producing a high purity H 2 product directly usable in power generation. Therefore, the findings from this study demonstrate the ability of the MR-AR system to operate stably for a broad range of gasifier off-gas compositions, and indicate its potential for integration into IGCC plants for power generation with CO 2 capture.

01 COAL, LIGNITE, AND PEAT↗
DOE OSTI2025

Machine Learning to Select Experiments Driven by Fundamental Science and Applications for Targeted Nuclear Data Improvement

This work describes a blueprint for a process that accelerates progress in science by quantitatively answering the following question: What is the optimal combination of fundamental-science and application-driven experiments to maximally reduce pertinent data uncertainties? Answering this question entails solving a high-dimensional and complex optimization problem that is best solved with advanced statistic techniques often classified as machine learning. We apply this process within the framework of nuclear data with the aim to select an experiment combination that will reduce uncertainties in 239 Pu nuclear data for neutron energies between 1 and 600 keV. In this field, fundamental-physics driven data, called differential, look at one nuclear physics observable at a time. They are contrasted to application-driven, integral, data where one or few resulting values inform a broad set of nuclear data across several nuclides and energies. The candidates for integral experiments are criticality measurements that were refined by a genetic algorithm to be maximally sensitive to 239 Pu fission cross sections in the desired energy range. Twenty-three candidate differential experiments were investigated and span multiple nuclear physics observables (e.g., total, capture cross sections) for isotopes appearing in the integral experiments. The optimal combination among these candidate experiments was investigated via generalized least squares fitting, augmented with Gaussian processes to ameliorate statistical irregularities in data, and the D-optimality criterion. The latter evaluates for each pair of candidates the joint reduction in uncertainties of all 12200 nuclear data appearing in the integral experiments compared to the knowledge we have from 168 past experiments, theory, and nuclear data. We chose as differential measurements those that investigate 63 Cu and 239 Pu total cross sections, based on D-optimality rank and feasibility constraints. Two integral (criticality) experiments were selected: An experiment with Al 2 ⁢O 3 and graphite interleaved with Pu and a thick Cu reflector explores 1–30 keV, while we target the 30–600 keV range with an experiment that swaps boron in place of graphite with a different geometry.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Multiphysics simulation of recent experiments on alkali‐silica reaction expansion in reinforced concrete members

Alkali‐silica reaction (ASR) is an important degradation process that causes volumetric expansion and damage in concrete, and is affected significantly by the local temperature, moisture and stress conditions that often vary across the regions of a structure. Numerical simulation is essential to predict the progression and effects of ASR on the performance of structures. Because of the interactions between thermal and moisture transport and mechanical deformation, it is important for numerical models to represent all these physical phenomena and the coupling between them. Simulations of ASR in reinforced concrete (RC) structures are further complicated by the need to capture interactions between concrete and embedded reinforcing bars. Here, this paper describes the implementation of a scalable, coupled‐physics ASR model for simulating RC structures and assesses the ability of that model to predict ASR‐induced expansion in recent laboratory tests on RC block and beam specimens. These laboratory tests and the simulation approach were selected because of their applicability to RC structural‐scale simulations. This validation study helps builds confidence the ability of this approach to model ASR expansion in large, complex RC structures, which is a current high‐priority need.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

CO 2 hydrogenation over rhodium cluster catalyst nucleated within a manganese oxide framework

Rhodium-based manganese oxide frameworks were explored as a prototype for carbon dioxide reactive capture and conversion. Three-dimensional frameworks of MnOx were utilized as support structures to isolate Rh metal centers. V, Na, and Zn were introduced as counterions to stabilize the structure and for their beneficial effect as promoters. Here, with this multicomponent catalyst, Rh active centers with MnOxs and varied counterions, we were able to selectively tune the catalytic performance of the material via the choice of counterion and structure of the host material. With cryptomelane-type tunnel manganese oxides octahedral molecular sieve (OMS2), we found that Rh-V-OMS2 was highly stable even after 48 hours on stream with a reaction rate of around 1.5x10 -4 mol CO 2 /g Rh /s, surpassing the net reactivity of other initially more active combinations. Furthermore, during CO 2 hydrogenation, in situ XAFS showed that single Rh atoms nucleated into nanoparticles/ sub-nanometer clusters with a coordination number of 5.5 or less. Our finding of the correlation between the reaction rate and particle size offers the potential for enhanced control over the reaction rate by tuning particle size. Our activity study with control experiments demonstrates that the activities of the catalysts are proved due to the unique metal support interaction offered by the Rh-X-MnO.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Efficacy of the symmetry-adapted basis for ab initio nucleon-nucleus interactions for light- and intermediate-mass nuclei

We study the efficacy of a new ab initio framework that combines the symmetry-adapted (SA) no-core shell-model approach with the resonating group method (RGM) for unified descriptions of nuclear structure and reactions. We obtain ab initio neutron-nucleus interactions for 4 He, 16 O, and 20 Ne targets, starting with realistic nucleon-nucleon potentials. We discuss the effect of increasing model space sizes and symmetry-based selections on the SA-RGM norm and direct potential kernels, as well as on phase shifts, which are the input to calculations of cross sections. We demonstrate the efficacy of the SA basis and its scalability with particle numbers and model space dimensions, with a view toward ab initio descriptions of nucleon scattering and capture reactions up through the medium-mass region.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Physics-Informed Machine-Learning Prediction of Curie Temperatures and Its Promise for Guiding the Discovery of Functional Magnetic Materials

High-performance permanent magnets with a high Curie temperature, containing less critical materials, are integral to zero-carbon energy solutions. We built a machine-learning model trained over available experimentally measured Curie temperature values to predict the T C of multicomponent magnetic materials. We chose two compositions from a pseudo-binary (Zr 1–x Ce x )Fe 2 system, namely, (Zr 0.16 Ce 0.84 )Fe 2 and (Zr 0.94 Ce 0.06 )Fe 2 , to experimentally validate the ability of our model to predict the Curie temperature of novel compounds. We also provided a detailed discussion on the correlation of the Curie temperature with the de Gennes scaling factor in rare-earth intermetallic compounds and its breakdown below a certain rare-earth content. The electronic structure calculations (density of states and Fermi surface) were performed using the density functional theory on selected compounds (Zr 0.16 Ce 0.84 )Fe 2 and (Zr 0.94 Ce 0.06 )Fe 2 to understand the electronic origin of a strong magnetic exchange. We found that the change in the electronic density of states and electron/hole fillings at the Fermi level directly correlate with the Curie temperature. Notably, our model was able to capture these key electronic structure trends, which show that physics-informed machine learning can play a crucial role in designing new high-performance magnets with improved properties for environmentally sustainable applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

In situ catalyst activation and regeneration enable energy-efficient high-current CO 2 reduction to ethanol-rich C 2+ mixtures

Electrochemical conversion of dissolved CO 2 in bicarbonate electrolytes, i.e., bicarbonate electrolysis, offers distinct advantages over gas diffusion electrode systems by enabling direct utilization of the CO 2 capture electrolyte while bypassing the energy-intensive CO 2 release step. However, bicarbonate electrolysis faces challenges such as CO 2 mass-transfer limitation, local pH-driven CO 2 depletion, and high cathodic potentials. The higher potential often causes catalyst surface reorganization, leading to a gradual loss of active sites and variations in selectivity during CO 2 reduction. Here, we report a directed, in situ activation and regeneration method that allows precatalysts to equilibrate under dynamic (pulsed) electrolysis conditions. We demonstrate in situ activation of a scalable Cu 2 O/Cu mesh that, under short-width (t = 4 s) pulsed electrolysis, provides stable mixed oxidation states of Cu, favoring the formation of an ethanol-rich crude mixture. The pulsed electrolysis waveform, consisting of six distinct segments, is tuned to form Cu + oxides, which are then reduced to generate local alkaline conditions favoring C–C coupling. This synergistic effect results in FEs of 73% for C2+ products and 39% for ethanol at an applied current density of −150 mA cm −2 and a cathodic potential of −1.45 V (vs. RHE). The overall half-cell energy efficiency is ∼30% for C 2+ products. The in situ Raman experiments confirm the role of pCO 2 R in dynamically regenerating Cu+-containing surface species during pulsed operation, thereby steering selectivity towards C 2+ products. A comprehensive multiscale, multiphysics model is developed to investigate the dynamic behavior of copper surface species (Cu, Cu + , and Cu 2+ ) and local microenvironmental conditions during the pCO 2 R. The results reveal that the coexistence of different copper oxidation states, especially the Cu+ intermediate, is critical in steering selectivity towards multicarbon (C 2+ ) products. The dynamic modulation of surface redox states via tailored pulsing strategies favors C–C coupling pathways by inducing localized alkaline conditions and stabilizing reactive intermediates. This work establishes a predictive modeling platform that links pulse waveform design with mechanistic insights into catalyst state evolution and product selectivity. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into the synergistic effect of in situ activation of pre-catalysts and pulsed electrolysis for higher selectivity towards C 2+ products.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Ultrafast spin-nematic and ferroelectric phase transitions induced by femtosecond light pulses

We report, optically induced phase transitions of the manganite Pr 1/3 Ca 2/3 MnO 3 have been simulated by using a model Hamiltonian that captures the dynamics of strongly correlated charge, orbital, lattice, and spin degrees of freedom. Its parameters have been extracted from first-principles calculations. Beyond a critical intensity of a femtosecond light pulse, the material undergoes an ultrafast and nonthermal magnetic phase transition from a noncollinear to collinear antiferromagnetic phase. The light-pulse excites selectively either a spin-nematic or a ferroelectric phase, depending on the light polarization. The behavior can be traced to an optically induced ferromagnetic coupling between Mn trimers, i.e., polarons which are delocalized over three Mn sites. The polarization guides the polymerization of the polaronic crystal into distinct patterns of ferromagnetic chains determining the target phase.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2025

Superclustering with the Atacama Cosmology Telescope and Dark Energy Survey. II. Anisotropic Large-scale Coherence in Hot Gas, Galaxies, and Dark Matter

Statistics that capture the directional dependence of the baryon distribution in the cosmic web enable unique tests of cosmology and astrophysical feedback. We use constrained oriented stacking of thermal Sunyaev–Zel’dovich (tSZ) maps to measure the anisotropic distribution of hot gas 2.5–40 Mpc away from galaxy clusters embedded in massive filaments and superclusters. The cluster selection and orientation (at a scale of ∼15 Mpc) use Dark Energy Survey (DES) Year 3 data, while expanded tSZ maps from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope Data Release 6 enable a ∼3× more significant measurement of the extended gas compared to the technique’s proof-of-concept. Decomposing stacks into cosine multipoles of order m , we detect a dipole ( m = 1) and quadrupole ( m = 2) at 8σ–10σ, as well as evidence for m = 4 signal at up to 6σ, indicating sensitivity to late-time non-Gaussianity. We compare to Cardinal simulations with spherical gas models pasted onto dark matter halos. The fiducial tSZ data can discriminate between two models that deplete pressure differently in low-mass halos (mimicking astrophysical feedback), preferring higher average pressure in extended structures. However, uncertainty in the amount of cosmic infrared background contamination reduces the constraining power. Additionally, we apply the technique to DES galaxy density and weak lensing to study for the first time their oriented relationships with tSZ. In the tSZ-to-lensing relation, averaged on 7.5 Mpc (transverse) scales, we observe dependence on redshift but not shape or radial distance. Thus, on large scales, the superclustering of gas pressure, galaxies, and total matter is coherent in shape and extent.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Countercurrent flow characteristics of next generation solvent in novel 3D printed columns for carbon capture

Solvent based absorption for carbon dioxide capture in a packed column is being considered as an efficient technology for the decarbonization process of point source. Significant efforts are underway to improve the design of packings with the cutting edge 3D printing technology for efficient carbon capture. Accordingly, multiphase flow studies were conducted to assess the performance of novel 3D printed columns with various triply periodic minimal surface (TPMS) designs. The effects of solvent properties, liquid and gas loads on the performance of TPMS columns are extensively explored. Hydrodynamics of the potential water-lean solvents (EEMPA) as well as aqueous monoethanolamine (MEA) solvent for carbon capture are evaluated and compared. The interfacial area and liquid holdup increase with increasing liquid loads (q L ) for TPMS columns. Schwarz column consistently shows the highest liquid holdup value. The EEMPA exhibits higher values for the interfacial area (10–15 %) and liquid holdup (~4 %) in comparison to the MEA. TPMS columns exhibit the intermediate value of dry pressure drop between the random and the structure packed columns. Among selected TPMS columns, the gyroid packing shows the lowest pressure drop. The gas load has marginal impact on the interfacial area at lower value while a higher gas load leads to column’s flooding. Prior to the flooding, the interfacial area in TMPS packings rises with increased gas load at a fixed liquid load except Schwarz packing where interfacial area is incentive to the gas load. Additionally, the liquid holdup and wet pressure drop rise as gas load increases in TPMS columns. Overall, Fisher Koch packing is more susceptible to flood as compared to other TPMS packings. Flow regimes: loading and flooding are also delineated in the TPMS packings.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2026

A modified scheil approach for nucleation-dependent solidification pathways

As-solidified microstructures of near-eutectic alloys often contain multiple primary phases that are not expected from equilibrium phase diagrams. Such microstructures are caused by cooling-rate-dependent solidification pathways, a factor not captured by the Scheil–Gulliver model or variations thereof. Here, we present a model and algorithm that incorporate the critical nucleation undercooling for each solid phase into the Scheil–Gulliver model. We hypothesize that the non-equilibrium microstructure formation is primarily governed by a nucleation-competition mechanism. This mechanism accounts for both stable/metastable phase selection and primary-phase formation within eutectic regions driven by asymmetric nucleation barriers. The model is validated against a hypereutectic Al-Fe alloy, where it successfully reproduces the observed microstructural constituents, revealing the key dependencies of solidification microstructure on nucleation kinetics. Applicability to multicomponent systems is demonstrated through a hypereutectic Al–Fe–Si ternary alloy, where the model successfully predicts divorced eutectic microstructures and the associated oscillatory solidification pathways along univariant lines. As a result, the proposed framework establishes a nucleation-dependent computational approach for interpreting and predicting solidification microstructures.

Alloy design↗
DOE OSTI2024

Modeling plasticity-mediated void growth at the single crystal scale: A physics-informed machine learning approach

Modeling the evolution of voids during plastic flow as well as their effects on plastic dissipation is critical for both component manufacturing and lifetime estimation purposes. To this end, we propose a rate-dependent constitutive model to homogenize the effects of semi-randomly distributed voids on single crystal plasticity whilst capturing void interaction and plastic anisotropy. Here, this present work focuses on the case of face centered cubic crystals to introduce an anisotropic gauge function applicable within the crystal plasticity formalism. The approach combines analytical methods to describe the micromechanics of the system in combination with symbolic regression to capture analytically intractable mechanisms from data. The hybrid framework uses a physics-informed genetic programming-based symbolic regression algorithm to solve a multiform optimization problem simultaneously producing a new gauge function and a new strain rate equation. This is also a multi-objective optimization problem with many competing objectives. A new search and selection step is introduced to the genetic algorithm that promotes convergence toward a global solution that better satisfies all the objectives. Overall, the symbolic equations produced leverage data-driven methods to achieve greater accuracy than comparable alternatives on an analytically intractable problem while maintaining model transparency.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

A rapid embodied carbon assessment tool for priority materials

Embodied carbon limits within building materials are a driving factor in global trade, generating new research and analysis tools in industry. These product assessments, which require utilizing life-cycle assessment (LCA) across broad supply chains, can be expensive, time and data-intensive, and subject to significant variations. Existing methods and tools, such as specific environmental product declarations, typically do not capture these variations and dynamics in supply and manufacturing. Moreover, models and tools must enable stakeholders to assess customized supply chains and future scenarios. In this study, we present the Rapid Embodied Carbon Assessment and Target-setting for Emissions-intensive Materials (REDuCE) tool for building materials. We developed a tool that allows users to select production technologies, transportation mode and distances, concrete carbonation, fuel sources, and regional electricity mixes to supply customization for cement and concrete produced and consumed in California. We generated and integrated a material demand model using residential building stock projections. We provide the user with a wide range of mitigation alternatives through low-carbon production pathways, material use efficiency, transportation modes, and projected electricity grid mixes. In a case study application through four mitigation scenarios, we find emission savings up to 80% by maximizing user mitigation alternatives, primarily driven by reductions in material use intensities. This work represents a foundation for expanding LCA and embodied carbon tools to better enable stakeholders to rapidly and accurately assess customized supply chains while meeting trade requirements.

building materials↗
DOE OSTI2021

Evaluating Diurnal and Semi-Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in CMIP6 Models Using Satellite- and Ground-Based Observations

We report the diurnal and semi-diurnal cycle of precipitation simulated from CMIP6 models during 1996-2005 are evaluated globally between 60°S and 60°N, as well as at ten selected locations representing three categories of diurnal cycle of precipitation: (1) afternoon precipitation over land, (2) early morning precipitation over ocean, and (3) nocturnal precipitation over land. Three satellite-based and two ground-based rainfall products are used to evaluate the climate models. Globally, the ensemble mean of CMIP6 models shows a diurnal phase of 3 to 4 hours earlier over land and 1 to 2 hours earlier over ocean, when compared with the latest satellite products. These biases are in line with what were found in previous versions of climate models but reduced compared to the CMIP5 ensemble mean. Analysis at the selected locations complimented with in-situ measurements further reinforces these results. Several CMIP6 models have shown a significant improvement in the diurnal cycle of precipitation compared to their CMIP5 counterparts, notably on delaying afternoon precipitation over land. This can be attributed to the use of more sophisticated convective parameterizations. Most models are still unable to capture the nocturnal peak associated with elevated convection and propagating mesoscale convective systems, with a few exceptions that allow convection to be initiated above the boundary layer to capture nocturnal elevated convection. We also quantify an encouraging consistency between the satellite- and ground-based precipitation measurements despite differing spatiotemporal resolutions and sampling periods, which provides confidence in using them to evaluate the diurnal and semi-diurnal cycle of precipitation in climate models.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗