Results for “Risk Mitigation” — Page 40

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Human Mars Mission Transit Abort Options for Ballistic High Thrust and Hybrid Transportation Systems

Throughout the entire history of human spaceflight, astronauts have never been more than a few day's journey from Earth. For missions to the International Space Station, or even to the Moon, aborting the mission and returning home is a relatively straightforward operation in the event of a life-threatening contingency. But on the journey to Mars, a mission abort is complicated by a single factor: the sheer distance to Mars that will take time to cover regardless of how powerful the propulsion system is. In a significant departure from the entire human spaceflight experience to date, a Mars mission abort will not mean an immediate return to Earth due to the heliocentric nature of the transit. After escaping Earth’s gravity and entering heliocentric space, aborting a mission to Mars will be measured in months not days even if the abort is initiated relatively early in the mission. This represents a fundamental shift in the way mission aborts are utilized to reduce mission risks and this change must be part of the narrative when discussing reliability, crew risk, contingency planning, and mission operations. Abort capability will vary between transportation propulsion systems depending on final design, operational implementation, and actual mission parameters such as departure date, but the difference is relatively insignificant given that ``mission abort'' in the heliocentric frame of reference is a wildly different paradigm than that historically used for Earth-centric missions which rely on abort as a risk mitigation strategy. The primary objective of this paper is to provide a clearer definition of human Mars mission aborts from a celestial physics and orbital mechanics perspective in the context of different propulsion systems.

Mars Architecture Team↗

NASA NTRS2022

Towards Effective Drought Monitoring in the Middle East and North Africa (Mena) Region: Implications From Assimilating Leaf Area Index and Soil Moisture Into the Noah-Mp Land Surface Model for Morocco

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has experienced more frequent and severe drought events in recent decades, leading to increasingly pressing concerns over already strained food and water security. An effective drought monitoring and early warning system is thus critical to support risk mitigation and management by countries in the region. Here we investigate the potential for assimilation of leaf area index (LAI) and soil moisture observations to improve the representation of the overall hydrological and carbon cycles and drought by an advanced land surface model. The results reveal that assimilating soil moisture does not meaningfully improve model representation of the hydrological and biospheric processes for this region, but instead it degrades the simulation of the interannual variation in evapotranspiration (ET) and carbon fluxes, mainly due to model weaknesses in representing prognostic phenology. However, assimilating LAI leads to greater improvement, especially for transpiration and carbon fluxes, by constraining the timing of simulated vegetation growth response to evolving climate conditions. LAI assimilation also helps to correct for the erroneous interaction between the prognostic phenology and irrigation during summertime, effectively reducing a large positive bias in ET and carbon fluxes. Independently assimilating LAI or soil moisture alters the categorization of drought, with the differences being greater for more severe drought categories. We highlight the vegetation representation in response to changing land use and hydroclimate as one of the key processes to be captured for building a successful drought early warning system for the MENA region.

Wanshu Nie↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Development of A Directed Acyclic Graph for Venous Thromboembolism During Spaceflight

Introduction: Recent studies have reported the development of venous blood flow stasis in astronauts and an occlusive venous thrombosis during spaceflight. Subsequent investigations revealed approximately one quarter of surveilled crew members had some degree of blood flow stasis in the left internal jugular vein. Therefore, NASA’s Human System Risk Board now formally tracks venous thromboembolism (VTE) as a “concern” for human spaceflight. To investigate potential mechanisms by which exposures concomitant with spaceflight (e.g., microgravity, radiation) may contribute to VTE, we developed a causal diagram in the form of a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Methods: The mechanisms by which spaceflight exposures may elevate the risk of VTE and the downstream effects on mission outcomes were critically analyzed, taking into account scientific literature and subject matter expertise consultation, and a DAG was generated. A Level-of-Evidence score for each causal relationship was assigned based on assessing the literature against a set of criteria derived from the A. Bradford Hill Causal Guidelines. Results: The set of three main factors that predispose people to VTE (hypercoagulability, endothelial damage, and blood stasis) is known as Virchow’s Triad. In constructing the DAG for VTE we articulated various mechanisms by which the principal spaceflight hazards (microgravity, radiation, closed hostile environment, isolation and confinement, distance from Earth) are thought to interact with or cause the components in Virchow’s triad. We found sufficient evidence to at least speculate that fluid shifts from microgravity, compensatory alterations in hematologic indices, spaceflight atmospheric conditions, and oxidative stress/inflammation from radiation may be potential contributors to VTE development. Discussion: Developing the DAG entailed a systematic and repeatable approach for visualizing relationships between contributing factors that may lead to VTE in spaceflight. Articulating pathways linking spaceflight exposures to VTE risk factors and possible VTE development enables subject matter experts from different domains to construct a shared mental model. Assignment of levels of evidence scores to the relationships helps identify knowledge and capability gaps that should be considered for further investigation. Furthermore, the DAG highlights modifiable variables and may therefore facilitate the development of new VTE risk mitigation strategies.

Alexander Svoronos↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Space Shuttle Program Dual Docked Operations

Due to the ever-increasing visiting vehicle traffic to and from the International Space Station (ISS) during mated Orbiter/ISS missions, it became apparent to both the ISS Program (ISSP) and the Space Shuttle program (SSP) that there would arise occasions where a visiting vehicle docking and/or undocking could overlap when the Space Shuttle Orbiter was docked to the ISS, referred to as Dual Docked Operations (DDO). The primary concerns were that plumes from the visiting vehicles would cause contamination, corrosion, and erosion to Space Shuttle surfaces and present a toxicity hazard to ground personnel when processing the Space Shuttle after landing. This potential conflict provided the genesis for evaluating risk mitigations to gain maximum flexibility for managing potential visiting vehicle traffic to and from the ISS and to maximize launch and landing opportunities for all visiting vehicles. The overarching goal of this effort was to assess the viability and readiness of the SSP to protect for DDO on any given mission. To assess the viability of performing DDO, the ISSP delivered plume particle fluence (i.e., number of particles per unit area) and contamination deposition based on the visiting vehicle’s proximity operations to the SSP for evaluation. This paper summarizes the concept definition, studies, and analysis results generated by the SSP, ISSP, and Mission Operations Directorate (MOD) for implementing DDO involving the Orbiter and Russian vehicles (RVs). Discussion and results presented herein represent a generic assessment of the SSP and ISSP integrated safety and technical evaluations of DDO involving the Orbiter and RVs. Mission-specific analysis and operational impacts were conducted flight-by-flight as they arose.

Launch vehicles↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Space Shuttle Program Dual Docked Operations

- Dual Docked Operations (DDO) is the docking or undocking of a Russian Vehicle (RV) during Space Shuttle Orbiter/International Space Station (ISS) mated operations. - This paper and presentation summarizes the concept definition, studies, and analysis results generated by the Space Shuttle Program (SSP), ISS Program (ISSP), and Mission Operations Directorate for implementing DDO during mated Orbiter/ISS missions. [1] - Due to the ever-increasing visiting vehicle traffic to and from the ISS, it became apparent to both the ISSP and the SSP that there would arise occasions where conflicts between a visiting vehicle docking and/or undocking could overlap with a planned Space Shuttle launch and/or during mated Orbiter/ISS operations. - This potential conflict provided the genesis for evaluating risk mitigations to gain maximum flexibility for managing potential visiting vehicle traffic to and from the ISS and to maximize launch and landing opportunities for all visiting vehicles. - Reviews were conducted to assess the viability and readiness of the SSP to protect for DDO on any given mission and it was found to be t echnically feasible

Launch vehicles↗

NASA NTRS2023

Space Shuttle Program Dual Docked Operations

- Dual Docked Operations (DDO) is the docking or undocking of a Russian Vehicle (RV) during Space Shuttle Orbiter/International Space Station (ISS) mated operations. - This paper and presentation summarizes the concept definition, studies, and analysis results generated by the Space Shuttle Program (SSP), ISS Program (ISSP), and Mission Operations Directorate for implementing DDO during mated Orbiter/ISS missions. [1] - Due to the ever-increasing visiting vehicle traffic to and from the ISS, it became apparent to both the ISSP and the SSP that there would arise occasions where conflicts between a visiting vehicle docking and/or undocking could overlap with a planned Space Shuttle launch and/or during mated Orbiter/ISS operations. - This potential conflict provided the genesis for evaluating risk mitigations to gain maximum flexibility for managing potential visiting vehicle traffic to and from the ISS and to maximize launch and landing opportunities for all visiting vehicles. - Reviews were conducted to assess the viability and readiness of the SSP to protect for DDO on any given mission and it was found to be t echnically feasible

Launch vehicles↗

NASA NTRS2022

Solving The Space Weather Problem: A 15+ Year Roadmap to Revolutionize Space Weather Research, Protect NASA Space Assets, and Enable Robust Operations

The White Paper (WP) describes a roadmap to address the Space Weather (SpWx) problem. It presents a strategic vision of how a community-wide effort could be organized and implemented to enable transformative advancement in SpWx research and ultimately, in applications. We envision a ‘system-of-systems’—an integrated web of SpWx stations and state-ofthe-art modeling facilities to enable a transformative advance in SpWx nowcasting and forecasting (Figure 1). The Space Weather Aggregated Network of Systems (SWANS) will enable space situational awareness for end-users invested in spaceflight operations, infrastructure risk mitigation, and future human endeavors in space exploration while profoundly transforming Heliophysics research.

A Vourrlidas↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Fluid-Structure Interaction Simulations of the ASPIRE SR03 Supersonic Parachute Flight Test

Research into parachute performance continues to be a source of significant investment from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration to mitigate risks and to enable a variety of exploration missions, including landing on Mars as well as returning to Earth. The cost of flight tests to certify any changes to the current state-of-the-art parachute designs limits the development of next generation parachute systems. Fluid-structure interaction simulations could help accelerate this process once validated. The Launch, Ascent, and Vehicle Aerodynamics team is developing the capability to perform such fluid-structure interaction simulations by coupling a higher-order Cartesian immersed boundary computational fluid dynamics solver with adaptive mesh refinement to a finite element structural dynamics solver in space and time. We continue the effort to validate this tool with the Advanced Supersonic Parachute Inflation Research Experiments SR03 flight test featuring a strengthened parachute akin to the Mars 2020 mission that landed the Perseverance rover on Mars, and a higher freestream dynamic pressure prior to inflation. The effect of the flow conditions’ angle of attack and of the initial parachute shape are quantified. The impact of relaxing modeling assumptions with regards to radial stiffeners on the parachute canopy is also investigated. Results demonstrate improvements in agreement with the pull force recorded during the SR03 flight test as the initial conditions of the flow and parachute are brought closer to those experienced in flight, and further improved when the radial stiffener modeling assumptions are relaxed.

ESM↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Fluid-Structure Interaction Simulations of the ASPIRE SR03 Supersonic Parachute Flight Test

Research into parachute performance continues to be a source of significant investment from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration to mitigate risks and to enable a variety of exploration missions, including landing on Mars as well as returning to Earth. The cost of flight tests to certify any changes to the current state-of-the-art parachute designs limits the development of next generation parachute systems. Fluid-structure interaction simulations could help accelerate this process once validated. The Launch, Ascent, and Vehicle Aerodynamics team is developing the capability to perform such fluid-structure interaction simulations by coupling a higher-order Cartesian immersed boundary computational fluid dynamics solver with adaptive mesh refinement to a finite element structural dynamics solver in space and time. We continue the effort to validate this tool with the Advanced Supersonic Parachute Inflation Research Experiments SR03 flight test featuring a strengthened parachute akin to the Mars 2020 mission that landed the Perseverance rover on Mars, and a higher freestream dynamic pressure prior to inflation. The effect of the flow conditions’ angle of attack and of the initial parachute shape are quantified. The impact of relaxing modeling assumptions with regards to radial stiffeners on the parachute canopy is also investigated. Results demonstrate improvements in agreement with the pull force recorded during the SR03 flight test as the initial conditions of the flow and parachute are brought closer to those experienced in flight, and further improved when the radial stiffener modeling assumptions are relaxed.

ESM↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Core Stage TVC Systems Engineering Challenges in Reusing Heritage Hardware

The Space Launch System (SLS) Core Stage (CS) Thrust Vector Control (TVC) system is comprised of 8 mechanical feedback Shuttle heritage Type III TVC actuators and four RS-25 engines, each attached to a Shuttle heritage gimbal block/bearing. Two actuators are used to move each engine in two planes perpendicular to one another (i.e., pitch and yaw). The TVC system design leverages hardware from the Space Shuttle program as well as new hardware designed specifically for the Core Stage. The Space Shuttle heritage hardware directly reused on SLS includes the Orbiter TVC hydraulic servo-actuators (with two slight design modifications), the Orbiter hydraulic circulation pumps, the Orbiter gimbal block/bearing, and the Solid Rocket Booster hydraulic pumps. The Core Auxiliary Power Unit (CAPU) is derived from the Orbiter Auxiliary Power Unit (APU). The Orbiter and Solid Rocket Booster APU turbines are powered by hot gas produced by catalyzed hydrazine decomposition. On the SLS Core Stage, the CAPU turbine is spun using cold gas tapped-off from the RS-25 to CS liquid hydrogen autogenous pressurization line. While direct reuse or slight modification of existing hardware may seem to be a triple-win for a program in cost, schedule, and technical risk mitigation, those benefits can only be realized when its degree of application in a new system is carefully and thoughtfully managed. The heritage hardware reuse should be prescribed within the heritage design capability and reuse environments must lie within the envelope of heritage qualification testing. Despite the significant test and flight experience of the Shuttle heritage hardware components, successful integration with the newly designed CS TVC components and incorporation into the stage design proved to be a challenge which required re-qualification of the heritage hardware as well as thorough integrated testing to support flight certification. Examples of the challenges that were overcome include: re-qualifying heritage hardware to survive new shock and vibration environments, certifying performance of extensively modified heritage hardware, regenerating design insight due to lack of available heritage vendor data, showing compliance to modern structural design standards, translation of heritage requirements for analog avionics to modern digital avionics, and interfacing heritage mechanical hardware with newly designed avionics. This paper is the second installment in a seven-paper series surveying the design, engineering, test validation, and flight performance of the Core Stage Thrust Vector Control system. This paper will discuss several engineering challenges encountered during the development process for SLS CS TVC and how they were successfully overcome to reach flight readiness.

Thrust Vector Control↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Evaluating the Relationships Between Supine Propriorception Assessments With Upright Functional Mobility and Balance Tests

- Sensorimotor adaptations during spaceflight can result in impaired posture and locomotion upon return to Earth. - In-flight sensorimotor countermeasures and assessment tools are needed to mitigate risks associated with mission-critical task performance upon return to Earth or arrival to Mars. - The tilt board (Fig. 1) is proposed as an inflight proprioceptive countermeasure and will be tested in an upcoming bed rest study. - Proprioceptive assessments on the tilt board may also help predict post-flight and post-bedrest functional task performance.

Rachel F. Bellisle↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Space Launch System: Core Stage Thrust Vector Control Systems Engineering Challenges in Reusing Heritage Hardware

The Space Launch System (SLS) Core Stage (CS) Thrust Vector Control (TVC) system is comprised of 8 mechanical feedback Shuttle heritage Type III TVC actuators and four RS-25 engines, each attached to a Shuttle heritage gimbal block/bearing. Two actuators are used to move each engine in two planes perpendicular to one another (i.e., pitch and yaw). The TVC system design leverages hardware from the Space Shuttle program as well as new hardware designed specifically for the Core Stage. The Space Shuttle heritage hardware directly reused on SLS includes the Orbiter TVC hydraulic servo-actuators (with two slight design modifications), the Orbiter hydraulic circulation pumps, the Orbiter gimbal block/bearing, and the Solid Rocket Booster hydraulic pumps. The Core Auxiliary Power Unit (CAPU) is derived from the Orbiter Auxiliary Power Unit (APU). The Orbiter and Solid Rocket Booster APU turbines are powered by hot gas produced by catalyzed hydrazine decomposition. On the SLS Core Stage, the CAPU turbine is spun using cold gas tapped-off from the RS-25 to CS liquid hydrogen autogenous pressurization line. While direct reuse or slight modification of existing hardware may seem to be a triple-win for a program in cost, schedule, and technical risk mitigation, those benefits can only be realized when its degree of application in a new system is carefully and thoughtfully managed. The heritage hardware reuse should be prescribed within the heritage design capability and reuse environments must lie within the envelope of heritage qualification testing. Despite the significant test and flight experience of the Shuttle heritage hardware components, successful integration with the newly designed CS TVC components and incorporation into the stage design proved to be a challenge which required re-qualification of the heritage hardware as well as thorough integrated testing to support flight certification. Examples of the challenges that were overcome include: re-qualifying heritage hardware to survive new shock and vibration environments, certifying performance of extensively modified heritage hardware, regenerating design insight due to lack of available heritage vendor data, showing compliance to modern structural design standards, translation of heritage requirements for analog avionics to modern digital avionics, and interfacing heritage mechanical hardware with newly designed avionics. This paper is the second installment in a seven-paper series surveying the design, engineering, test validation, and flight performance of the Core Stage Thrust Vector Control system. This paper will discuss several engineering challenges encountered during the development process for SLS CS TVC and how they were successfully overcome to reach flight readiness.

Thrust Vector Control↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Ground Test Technology Demonstration for Nuclear Thermal Propulsion Engines

Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (NTP) engines have been deemed a key technology to enable human missions to Mars due to their high efficiency, also known as specific impulse (Isp). Ground testing the NTP engine is critical in maturing the technology and increasing the design’s Technology Readiness Level (TRL), thus mitigating risk from NTP engine performance/operations. NTP engine development began with open-air ground testing through the Rover/NERVA program back in the 1960s when regulatory requirements were not as stringent as they are today. Due to the formation of regulatory bodies, increase in oversight and environmental requirements, the exhaust gas released from NTP engines must be captured or processed to gain approval in the case that the exhaust gas contains fission products from the nuclear fuel elements within the reactor. Ground test campaigns following Rover/NERVA focused on the certification of a full scale NTP engine, which led to exhaust processing systems such as the Rocket Exhaust Capture System (RECS) and Real Time (RT) exhaust processing. These systems were deemed favorable for regulatory compliance but have a high initial investment cost. Reassurance on the feasibility of ground testing and the NTP engine technology likely need to be achieved before NASA invests in these systems. Recently the objectives for NTP engine ground testing have shifted from certification testing of a full scale engine to demonstration testing of a subscale engine. The shift to demonstration testing allows for a shorter testing duration and a lower operational thrust (for demo testing purposes only) to demonstrate the NTP engine (5k-12.5k lbf). Due to these factors, the infrastructure, consumables, total footprint, and exhaust system complexity are able to be drastically reduced, thus reducing cost significantly. The High-pressure Exhaust Capture System (HECS) concept was designed for a NTP engine ground test demonstration. The HECS concept greatly reduces cost compared to previous concepts and suggests favorable regulatory acceptance due to its ability to capture all of the exhaust gas from the NTP engine.

Nuclear Thermal Propulsion↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Sustaining NASA-Invented Thermal Protection System Materials for Future Missions

TPS is needed for NASA and many emerging commercial space missions and is dependent on an industrial base for future availability. Supply chains are dynamic and global. Change to constituent availability, after the fact, can impact missions. In addition to external vendor capability, NASA needs to maintain the in-house expertise and use SMEs to engage industry to assess the risk of atrophy on a constant basis and propose risk mitigation options to the Leadership as needed.

Matt Gasch↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Nuclear Thermal Propulsion Engine Technology Demonstration Testing

Nuclear Thermal Propulsion (NTP) engines have been deemed a key technology to enable human missions to Mars due to their high efficiency, also known as specific impulse (Isp). Ground testing the NTP engine is critical in maturing the technology and increasing the design’s Technology Readiness Level (TRL), thus mitigating risk from NTP engine performance/operations. NTP engine development began with open-air ground testing through the Rover/NERVA program back in the 1960s when regulatory requirements were not as stringent as they are today. Due to the formation of regulatory bodies, increase in oversight and environmental requirements, the exhaust gas released from NTP engines must be captured or processed to gain approval in the case that the exhaust gas contains fission products from the nuclear fuel elements within the reactor. Ground test campaigns following Rover/NERVA focused on the certification of a full scale NTP engine, which led to exhaust processing systems such as the Rocket Exhaust Capture System (RECS) and Real Time (RT) exhaust processing. These systems were deemed favorable for regulatory compliance but have a high initial investment cost. Reassurance on the feasibility of ground testing and the NTP engine technology likely need to be achieved before NASA invests in these systems. Recently the objectives for NTP engine ground testing have shifted from certification testing of a full scale engine to demonstration testing of a subscale engine. The shift to demonstration testing allows for a shorter testing duration and a lower operational thrust (for demo testing purposes only) to demonstrate the NTP engine (5k-12.5k lbf). Due to these factors, the infrastructure, consumables, total footprint, and exhaust system complexity are able to be drastically reduced, thus reducing cost significantly. The High-pressure Exhaust Capture System (HECS) concept was designed for a NTP engine ground test demonstration. The HECS concept greatly reduces cost compared to previous concepts and suggests favorable regulatory acceptance due to its ability to capture all of the exhaust gas from the NTP engine.

Nuclear Thermal Propulsion↗

NASA NTRS2023

An In-time Aviation Safety Management System (IASMS) Concept of Operations for Vertiport Design and Operations

The National Airspace System is foreseen to undergo revolutionary change with Urban Air Mobility (UAM) and its use of vertiports to transport passengers and cargo. To assure safety with UAM and more broadly with Advanced Air Mobility (AAM), the National Academies recommended an In-time Aviation Safety Management System (IASMS) that is extensible to the design and operation of vertiports. Vertiport designs will scale in several dimensions including physical size and infrastructure depending upon location and in the Services, Functions, and Capabilities required for assuring safety with increasingly complex vertiport designs and operations. These operations will be enabled by evolving technologies including electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for passenger-and cargo-carrying commercial transportation. Within this construct, safety hazards and risk mitigations involving predictive data analytics and modeling will be used. Use cases and future challenges are examined to guide maturation of the IASMS ConOps for vertiports.

K Ellis↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Active Swarm Resiliency in the HelioSwarm Mission

Designed to observe plasma turbulence dynamics in solar wind over a distributed volume of space, the HelioSwarm mission comprises a primary chief spacecraft and eight smaller deputy satellites in uniquely assigned “loops” of periodic relative motion in a P/2 lunar resonant orbit. If one or more deputies fail, this multi-satellite architecture facilitates resiliency for science goals through repositioning of satellites to contingency loops. This strategy of Active Swarm Resiliency mitigates risk by modeling quantitative results ahead of time for mission operators to make informed decisions. Responsive actions meet minimum science objectives based on past and predicted system performance, an approach with applications to future missions with similar architecture and requirements.

Fault Management↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Jettison and Disposal from Near Rectilinear Halo Orbits, Part 1: Theory

The proposed Gateway spacecraft in a Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit (NRHO) will be a human outpost in cislunar space. The baseline mission may experience the deployment of visiting vehicles, cubesats, and on-orbit debris. Departure from the NRHO and cislunar space is nontrivial due to the complex gravitational environment that persists in and around Gateway. Long-term disposal orbits in heliocentric space offer safe destinations for deployed objects. To mitigate risks associated with conjunctions between Gateway and deployed objects, strategies to identify risk-avoidant paths to heliocentric space are necessary for Gateway mission operations.

Stephen T. Scheuerle↗