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DOE OSTI2026

Pixel-Resolved Long-Context Learning for Turbulence at Exascale: Resolving Small-scale Eddies Toward the Viscous Limit

Turbulence plays a crucial role in multiphysics applications, including aerodynamics, fusion, and combustion. Accurately capturing turbulence's multiscale characteristics is essential for reliable predictions of multiphysics interactions, but remains a grand challenge even for exascale supercomputers and advanced deep learning models. The extreme-resolution data required to represent turbulence, ranging from billions to trillions of grid points, pose prohibitive computational costs for models based on architectures like vision transformers. To address this challenge, we introduce a multiscale hierarchical Turbulence Transformer that reduces sequence length from billions to a few millions and a novel RingX sequence parallelism approach that enables scalable long-context learning. We perform scaling and science runs on the Frontier supercomputer. Our approach demonstrates excellent performance up to 1.1 EFLOPS on 32,768 AMD GPUs, with a scaling efficiency of 94\%. To our knowledge, this is the first AI model for turbulence that can capture small-scale eddies down to the dissipative range in three-dimensional turbulence at high Reynolds numbers.

Yin, Junqi [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000338435520)↗

DOE OSTI2021

Bridging microscale to macroscale mechanical property measurements and predication of performance limitation for FeCrAl alloys under extreme reactor applications

Microscale mechanical testing has greatly benefited nuclear materials studies in at least two aspects: one is its feasibility to integrate with SEM and TEM microscopes for in situ atomic scale or microscale structural characterization to reveal fundamental details, and the other is its significance in development of accelerator-based ion irradiation technique as a surrogate method to simulate neutron damage. Ion irradiation is able to reach damage creation at a level at least three orders of magnitudes higher than test reactors. However, limited ion penetration depths, which are about a few microns for MeVs heavy ions and 10s microns for MeV light ions, make microscale mechanical tests a necessity. But, there is a great challenge to bridge microscale tests to macroscale tests because a bulk specimen of irradiated nuclear materials for high dose applications cannot be obtained in laboratory.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Bridging microscale to macroscale mechanical property measurements and predication of performance limitation for FeCrAl alloys under extreme reactor applications

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Recent increases in annual, seasonal, and extreme methane fluxes driven by changes in climate and vegetation in boreal and temperate wetland ecosystems

Climate warming is expected to increase global methane (CH 4 ) emissions from wetland ecosystems. Although in situ eddy covariance (EC) measurements at ecosystem scales can potentially detect CH 4 flux changes, most EC systems have only a few years of data collected, so temporal trends in CH 4 remain uncertain. Here, we use established drivers to hindcast changes in CH 4 fluxes (FCH 4 ) since the early 1980s. We trained a machine learning (ML) model on CH 4 flux measurements from 22 [methane-producing sites] in wetland, upland, and lake sites of the FLUXNET-CH 4 database with at least two full years of measurements across temperate and boreal biomes. The gradient boosting decision tree ML model then hindcasted daily FCH 4 over 1981-2018 using meteorological reanalysis data. We found that, mainly driven by rising temperature, half of the sites (n = 11) showed significant increases in annual, seasonal, and extreme FCH 4 , with increases in FCH 4 of ca. 10% or higher found in the fall from 1981–1989 to 2010–2018. The annual trends were driven by increases during summer and fall, particularly at high-CH 4 -emitting fen sites dominated by aerenchymatous plants. We also found that the distribution of days of extremely high FCH 4 (defined according to the 95th percentile of the daily FCH 4 values over a reference period) have become more frequent during the last four decades and currently account for 10–40% of the total seasonal fluxes. The share of extreme FCH 4 days in the total seasonal fluxes was greatest in winter for boreal/taiga sites and in spring for temperate sites, which highlights the increasing importance of the non-growing seasons in annual budgets. Our results shed light on the effects of climate warming on wetlands, which appears to be extending the CH 4 emission seasons and boosting extreme emissions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Macrovoid resolved simulations of transport through HPRO relevant membrane geometries

Modeling the transport properties such as diffusivity and permeability of high pressure reverse osmosis (HPRO) membranes is critical for the selection and manufacture of membranes suitable for operation under high pressure. These properties can be significantly affected by the changes in heterogeneous pore structures due to compaction. Here, the modeling platform presented in this work resolves the two scale porosity in HPRO relevant membranes. A synthetic membrane geometry is constructed based on available experimental visualizations of pore structures. The simulations directly capture the flow channeling that results from a combination of material properties and geometric features of the macrovoids. A parametric study is presented to account for the transition of flow characteristics from a material governed regime to a macrovoid governed regime. Permeability of the membrane is evaluated using the simulation data and compared with an existing model that scales with the square of tortuosity over a range of material properties. The model is found to perform well under a narrow range of tortuosity while deviating from the calculated permeabilities at extreme conditions. The effective permeability of the membrane is found to vary by at least two orders of magnitude between the two flow regimes. It is also observed that tortuosity is a bounded property with its upper limit determined by the macrovoid geometry. Consequently, the tortuosity based correlations fail near a flow regime that is mainly governed by the macrovoids. The modeled permeability can be more than an order of magnitude smaller than the simulation result. A new model based on flux-weighted porosity of a membrane is introduced and its correlation with tortuosity is studied. The model agrees with the simulated data as, in addition to tortuosity, it also accounts for the flux partition within and outside the flow channels. Such correlations enable extending the existing understanding of flow characteristics to enhance predictability of porous media models.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

Directed energy deposition additive manufacturing of functionally graded Al-W composites

Directed energy deposition using laser heat sources (DED-L) is a metal additive manufacturing method that can be used to fabricate functionally graded materials by feeding multiple powder streams directly into a laser-generated melt pool. Additionally, the composition can be spatially varied by independent control of the materials feed rates. DED-L additive manufacturing is used in this work to create continuously graded Al/W composites that span 0–55 vol% W in Al over length scales from 0.6 to 1.2 mm with individual layers on the order of 0.1 mm and powder particle sizes on the order of 10 µm. The obtained composition and thickness ranges are comparable to those typically achieved using conventional powder metallurgy approaches and enables fabrication of composites to be used as a high impedance graded density impactor (GDI) in dynamic ramp compression experiments to study matter under extreme conditions. DED-L additive manufacturing of a GDI presents an opportunity to reduce GDI fabrication time to less than a day compared to many weeks by conventional methods. It is also possible to scale the deposition by DED-L to essentially unlimited dimensions in the lateral directions, whereas conventional methods become limited.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Discretization limits of lattice‐Boltzmann methods for studying immiscible two‐phase flow in porous media

Summary Digital images of porous media often include features approaching the image resolution length scale. The behavior of numerical methods at low resolution is therefore important even for well‐resolved systems. We study the behavior of the Shan‐Chen (SC) and Rothman‐Keller (RK) multicomponent lattice‐Boltzmann models in situations where the fluid‐fluid interfacial radius of curvature and/or the feature size of the medium approaches the discrete unit size of the computational grid. Various simple, small‐scale test geometries are considered, and a drainage test is also performed in a Bentheimer sandstone sample. We find that both RK and SC models show very high ultimate limits: in ideal conditions the models can simulate static fluid configuration with acceptable accuracy in tubes as small as three lattice units across for RK model (six lattice units for SC model) and with an interfacial radius of curvature of two lattice units for RK and SC models. However, the stability of the models is affected when operating in these extreme discrete limits: in certain circumstances the models exhibit behaviors ranging from loss of accuracy to numerical instability. We discuss the circumstances where these behaviors occur and the ramifications for larger‐scale fluid displacement simulations in porous media, along with strategies to mitigate the most severe effects. Overall we find that the RK model, with modern enhancements, exhibits fewer instabilities and is more suitable for systems of low fluid‐fluid miscibility. The shortcomings of the SC model seem to arise predominantly from the high, strongly pressure‐dependent miscibility of the two fluid components.

Li, Zhe↗

DOE OSTI2024

Femtosecond Core-Level Spectroscopy Reveals Involvement of Triplet States in the Gas-Phase Photodissociation of Fe(CO) 5

Excitation of iron pentacarbonyl [Fe(CO) 5 ], a prototypical photocatalyst, at 266 nm causes the sequential loss of two CO ligands in the gas phase, creating catalytically active, unsaturated iron carbonyls. Despite numerous studies, major aspects of its ultrafast photochemistry remain unresolved because the early excited-state dynamics have so far eluded spectroscopic observation. This has led to the long-held assumption that ultrafast dissociation of gas-phase Fe(CO) 5 proceeds exclusively on the singlet manifold. Herein, we present a combined experimental–theoretical study employing ultrafast extreme ultraviolet transient absorption spectroscopy near the Fe M 2,3 -edge, which features spectral evolution on 100 fs and 3 ps time scales, alongside high-level electronic structure theory, which enables characterization of the molecular geometries and electronic states involved in the ultrafast photodissociation of Fe(CO) 5 . We assign the 100 fs evolution to spectroscopic signatures associated with intertwined structural and electronic dynamics on the singlet metal-centered states during the first CO loss and the 3 ps evolution to the competing dissociation of Fe(CO) 4 along the lowest singlet and triplet surfaces to form Fe(CO) 3 . Calculations of transient spectra in both singlet and triplet states as well as spin–orbit coupling constants along key structural pathways provide evidence for intersystem crossing to the triplet ground state of Fe(CO) 4 . Finally, our work presents the first spectroscopic detection of transient excited states during ultrafast photodissociation of gas-phase Fe(CO) 5 and challenges the long-standing assumption that triplet states do not play a role in the ultrafast dynamics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

An Overview of ARTMIP's Tier 2 Reanalysis Intercomparison: Uncertainty in the Detection of Atmospheric Rivers and Their Associated Precipitation

Atmospheric rivers, or long but narrow regions of enhanced water vapor transport, are an important component of the hydrologic cycle as they are responsible for much of the poleward transport of water vapor and result in precipitation, sometimes extreme in intensity. Despite their importance, much uncertainty remains in the detection of atmospheric rivers in large datasets such as reanalyses and century scale climate simulations. To understand this uncertainty, the Atmospheric River Tracking Method Intercomparison Project (ARTMIP) developed tiered experiments, including the Tier 2 Reanalysis Intercomparison that is presented here. Eleven detection algorithms submitted hourly tags--binary fields indicating the presence or absence of atmospheric rivers--of detected atmospheric rivers in the Modern Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts' Reanalysis Version 5 (ERA5) as well as six-hourly tags in the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis (JRA-55). Due to a higher climatological mean for integrated water vapor transport in MERRA-2, atmospheric rivers were detected more frequently relative to the other two reanalyses, particularly in algorithms that use a fixed threshold for water vapor transport. The finer horizontal resolution of ERA5 resulted in narrower atmospheric rivers and an ability to detect atmospheric rivers along resolved coastlines. We found that the fraction of hemispheric area covered by ARs varies throughout the year in all three reanalyses, with different atmospheric river detection tools having different seasonal cycles.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Treatment of brackish water reverse osmosis brine using only solar energy

Post-treatment of brine produced by reverse osmosis (RO) is a great challenge as it often requires high energy input and works under extreme operating conditions. In this study, brine from a RO plant in El Paso, TX USA was successfully treated using a pilot-scale nanophotonics enhanced solar membrane distillation (NESMD) system. The novel NESMD reactor has a nanophotonic membrane surface area of 0.2 m 2 and an internal heat recovery system to recover the latent heat released during vapor condensation. By utilizing a sweeping gas operational mode under real solar irradiation (585–827 W m -2 ), the NESMD realized successful desalination of RO brine with the membrane flux reaching 0.45–0.65 kg m -2 h -1 and total dissolved solids (TDS) removal greater than 99.5% without an external heat condenser. The decrease in the feed flow rate to the evaporation channel of the NESMD system led to an increase in the gained output ratio (GOR) from 0.35 to 0.62. We report to the best of our knowledge, this is the largest photothermal reactor utilized for the desalination of real RO brine under practical solar irradiation. Compared with conventional brine treatment processes that require high temperature or pressure, the NESMD desalinates RO brine at near-ambient temperature and pressure with free solar energy, providing a promising approach for water desalination, and RO brine post treatment.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2024

Superconducting Qubits above 20 GHz Operating over 200 mK

Current state-of-the-art superconducting microwave qubits are cooled to extremely low temperatures to avoid sources of decoherence. Higher qubit operating temperatures would significantly increase the cooling power available, which is desirable for scaling up the number of qubits in quantum computing architectures and integrating qubits in experiments requiring increased heat dissipation. To operate superconducting qubits at higher temperatures, it is necessary to address both quasiparticle decoherence (which becomes significant for aluminum junctions above 160 mK) and dephasing from thermal microwave photons (which are problematic above 50 mK). Using low-loss niobium-trilayer junctions, which have reduced sensitivity to quasiparticles due to the higher superconducting transition temperature of niobium, we fabricate transmons with higher frequencies than previously studied, up to 24 GHz. We measure decoherence and dephasing times of about 1 μs, corresponding to average qubit quality factors of approximately 10 5 , and find that decoherence is unaffected by quasiparticles up to 1 K. Without relaxation from quasiparticles, we are able to explore dephasing from purely thermal sources, finding that our qubits can operate up to approximately 250 mK while maintaining similar performance. The thermal resilience of these qubits creates new options for scaling up quantum processors, enables hybrid quantum experiments with high heat-dissipation budgets, and introduces a material platform for even-higher-frequency qubits.

Josephson junctions↗

DOE OSTI2020

Multi-Mechanism Flood Hazard Assessment: Critical Review of Current Practice and Approaches

This report documents the initial findings from the Nuclear Regulatory commission (NRC)-sponsored research project Methods for Estimating Joint Probabilities of Coincident and Correlated Flooding Mechanisms for Nuclear Power Plant Flood Hazard Assessments.1 This research project is a part of NRC’s Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment (PFHA) Research Program and will aid the development of guidance on the use of PFHA methods to evaluate infrastructure safety for existing and proposed US nuclear power plants (NPPs). More specifically, this project intends to provide technical background for the development of flood hazard curves for multi-mechanism floods (MMFs). MMFs are flood events caused by more than one flooding mechanism (e.g., flood events due to the simultaneous occurrence of precipitation-induced river flooding and storm surge). Project activities include three main tasks: Task 1—Survey of current concepts and methods in assessing MMF hazards; Task 2—Critical assessment of selected methods and approaches for quantifying probabilistic MMF hazard risk; Task 3—Development of example case studies to illustrate best practices for quantifying probabilistic MMF hazard risk The initial findings from Tasks 1 and 2 are documented in this report. Task 1 comprised a survey of approaches and methods that have been applied to understand and assess flood hazards due to MMFs. Task 2 involved a critical review of the selected approaches and methods. To that end, the scope of this report includes documentation of (1) a reconnaissance-level survey of the current state of concepts and practice for MMF hazard assessment; (2) a generalized MMF assessment framework to address the distinctions among various types of flood-forcing phenomena, flood mechanisms (grouped into three mechanism types), and flood severity metrics; (3) a wide-ranging survey of approaches and methods that have been applied to various flooding phenomena and settings; and (4) a critical assessment of MMF hazard assessment methods. Studies were identified involving MMFs related to coastal flooding mechanisms, fluvial (rivers/streams) flooding mechanisms, and associated combinations of coastal and fluvial flooding mechanisms. Studies were also identified that address MMFs involving coastal and fluvial flooding mechanisms as well as coastal flooding mechanisms along with extreme precipitation (without specific attribution to fluvial or pluvial mechanisms). The studies identified for review in this report included assessments at varying spatial scales (from local to global) with differing geographic regions of focus using both observed and synthetic data. The majority of studies identified and reviewed were site-specific assessments focusing on relatively short return periods. Studies considered a range of flood severity metrics, made differing assumptions regarding the occurrence of extrema, and used multiple statistical techniques; the use of copulas for the development of joint distributions was a particularly popular analysis technique. The literature review highlighted the differences among existing studies relative to terminology used, means of presenting results, framework and techniques employed, and level of sophistication regarding the number and types of variables considered. Despite the significant diversity in existing studies, the review identified several promising techniques that will be considered in future work under this project, including the development of joint distributions for MMFs using copula and Bayesian-motivated approaches.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

DOE OSTI2021

Identifying precursors of daily to seasonal hydrological extremes over the USA using deep learning techniques and climate model ensembles

Focal Area(s): We focus on two areas of crosscutting interest for DOE: 1) predictability of extreme precipitation and drought in the USA and 2) the integration of climate models with new AI tools, such as convolutional neural networks (CNN) and methods to understand their output (e.g. layer-wise relevance propagation; LRP). This project fits into focus area 3 of this call for white paper using AI to gain insight from complex data, including explainable AI tools. Science Challenge: Predicting hydrological extremes is important due to their impacts on people, agriculture and infrastructure. This prediction is difficult due to the infrequent occurrence of extremes and their complexity. However, extreme events can be related to more predictable conditions in the ocean, such as El Nino, long-term soil moisture or large scale modes of climate variability, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

An Asymmetric Dust Ring around a Very Low Mass Star ZZ Tau IRS

We present Atacama Large Millimeter/submillimeter Array (ALMA) gas and dust observations at band 7 (339 GHz: 0.89 mm) of the protoplanetary disk around a very low mass star ZZ Tau IRS with a spatial resolution of 025. The {sup 12}CO J = 3 → 2 position–velocity diagram suggests a dynamical mass of ZZ Tau IRS of ∼0.1–0.3 M {sub ☉}. The disk has a total flux density of 273.9 mJy, corresponding to an estimated mass of 24–50 M {sub ⊕} in dust. The dust emission map shows a ring at r = 58 au and an azimuthal asymmetry at r = 45 au with a position angle of 135°. The properties of the asymmetry, including radial width, aspect ratio, contrast, and contribution to the total flux, were found to be similar to the asymmetries around intermediate mass stars (∼2 M {sub ☉}) such as MWC 758 and IRS 48. This implies that the asymmetry in the ZZ Tau IRS disk shares a similar origin with others, despite the star being ∼10 times less massive. Our observations also suggest that the inner and outer parts of the disk may be misaligned. Overall, the ZZ Tau IRS disk shows evidence of giant planet formation on a ∼10 au scale at a few megayears. If confirmed, it will challenge existing core accretion models in which such planets have been predicted to be extremely hard to form around very low mass stars.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2026

ODIN: Confirmation and 3D Reconstruction of Six Massive Protoclusters at Cosmic Noon

Protoclusters represent sites of accelerated galaxy formation and extreme astrophysical activity characteristic of dense environments. Identifying massive protoclusters and mapping their spatial structures are therefore crucial for understanding how large-scale environment influences galaxy evolution. We combine wide-field Lyα imaging from the One-hundred-deg$^{2}$ DECam Imaging in Narrowbands survey with extensive Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument and ancillary spectroscopy across the extended COSMOS and XMM Large Scale Structure (LSS) fields (≈14 deg$^{2}$) to search for massive protoclusters. We confirm six systems at z ≈ 2.4 and ≈ 3.1, including three newly identified structures and three which overlap with previously known structures and/or systems detected using other tracers. We reconstruct their three-dimensional structures, estimate descendant halo masses, and for one structure at z ≈ 3.12, demonstrate that overlapping narrowband filters (NB497 and N501) provide accurate redshift tomography for emission-line galaxies. One protocluster at z ≈ 2.45 overlaps with one of the LATIS tomographic fields, enabling direct comparison between galaxy and H i overdensities traced by Lyα forest absorption. Another at z ≈ 3.12 hosts a massive quiescent galaxy (M$_{*}$ ≈ 1.2 × 10$^{11}$M$_{⊙}$), suggesting that overdense environments may play a role in accelerating galaxy assembly and quenching. Comparing Lyα emission properties across environments, we find that protocluster galaxies exhibit higher median line fluxes and a deficit of faint emitters relative to the field. The effect is strongest when combining 2D and 3D density information, indicating that galaxies in the densest protocluster cores are most affected by environmental processes. This effect is stronger at z ≈ 3.1 than at z ≈ 2.4, suggesting possible redshift evolution.

Ortiz, Ashley [Purdue U.] (ORCID:000900083184304X)↗

DOE OSTI2023

FINITE ELEMENT MODEL MESH REFINEMENT EFFECTS ON QUALIFICATION OF NUCLEAR GRADE GRAPHITE COMPONENTS

The American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) provides the full and simplified design-by-analysis probabilistic assessments for determining acceptance of nuclear grade graphite core components. The assessments can be characterized by three parts: (1) a component stress distribution, often determined by a finite element (FE) model; (2) a Weibull probability density function (pdf) that characterizes the experimental tensile strength distribution; and (3) the post-processor, which combines the FE model and the Weibull strength distribution in accordance with the full and simplified assessments to determine component acceptance. It is known that the level of mesh refinement in FE models can affect the modeled component’s calculated stress distribution. Depending on the component geometry, the stress distribution may converge with sufficient refinement. It was previously unknown whether the acceptance decision resulting from the full and simplified assessments might change even with sufficient mesh refinement. This study explores that question using experimental strength results for a dog-bone geometry for two graphite grades, IG-110 and PCEA. The simplified assessment has two criteria that must be met, the first limits the combined membrane stress by the allowable stress and the second limits the peak equivalent stress by the allowable stress scaled by the ratio of flexural to tensile strength. In the application of the simplified assessment, convergence of the peak equivalent stress required extreme mesh refinement, however, the acceptance decision was not affected. It is hypothesized that more complex geometries with stress concentrations may present mesh refinement effects on the simplified assessment acceptance decision. Mesh refinement did affect the acceptance decision in the full assessment for the applied pressure loadings in this study. This work suggests component stress distribution convergence is not a sufficient criteria for POF convergence in the full assessment and that mesh refinement should continue until the POF has converged, especially where the resulting POF is bordering the SRC acceptable POF limit.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Tracking precipitation features and associated large-scale environments over southeastern Texas

Abstract. Deep convection initiated under different large-scale environmental conditions exhibits different precipitation features and interacts with local meteorology and surface properties in distinct ways. Here, we analyze the characteristics and spatiotemporal patterns of different types of convective systems over southeastern Texas using 13 years of high-resolution observations and reanalysis data. We find that mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) contribute significantly to both mean and extreme precipitation in all seasons, while isolated deep convection (IDC) plays a role in intense precipitation during summer and fall. Using self-organizing maps (SOMs), we found that convection can occur under unfavorable conditions without large-scale lifting or moisture convergence. In spring, fall, and winter, front-related large-scale meteorological patterns (LSMPs) characterized by low-level moisture convergence act as primary triggers for convection, while the remaining storms are associated with an anticyclonic pattern and orographic lifting. In summer, IDC events are mainly associated with front-related and anticyclonic LSMPs, while MCSs occur more in front-related LSMPs. We further tracked the life cycle of MCS and IDC events using the Flexible Object Tracker algorithm over southeastern Texas. MCSs frequently initiate west of Houston, traveling eastward for around 8 h to southeastern Texas, while IDC events initiate locally. The average duration of MCSs in southeastern Texas is 6.1 h, approximately 4.1 times the duration of IDC events. Diurnally, the initiation of convection associated with favorable LSMPs peaks at 11:00 UTC, 3 h earlier than that associated with anticyclones.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Hybrid Dynamic/Steady-State Tool With Protection Simulation for Cascading-Outage Analysis of Extreme Events in Power Systems

The bulk electric power grid is subject to vulnerabilities from component outages, which in certain combinations (extreme events) might lead to cascading outages. Some of these outages can be severe enough to trigger brownouts and blackouts. Much is known about mitigating the first few failures near the beginning of a cascade, but there are few established methods and tools for directly analyzing the risks of cascading component outages over a longer time scale. Current power system tools have limited ability to perform detailed and accurate cascading-outage analysis, which could be computationally intensive. The Dynamic Contingency Analysis Tool (DCAT) enables power system planning engineers to more realistically assess the consequences of extreme contingencies and potential cascading events across their systems and interconnections. DCAT has several unique features: (i) detailed hybrid dynamic and steady-state analysis of power systems to mimic real-world cascading outages, (ii) detailed modeling of protection systems embedded in the dynamic simulation, (iii) simulation of corrective action after transients, (iv) simulation of islanding , and (v) high-performance computing capability to simulate a large number of contingencies in a reasonable time. DCAT outputs will help find technically sound solutions to reduce the risk of cascading outages. This paper provides details of DCAT methodology and shows its capabilities with extreme events on real-world cases.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗