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At least 721 records · Page 40

Seasonal Prediction of an Extreme Temperature Index over the United States

Heat extremes have the potential to cause significant societal harm; advanced warming of the frequency of these events for a given season could help with planning and mitigation measures. While an individual temperature extreme event may not be predictable on seasonal time scales, the number of such events could be. In this study, we use an index representing the number of extreme days per summer to examine the ability of NASA’s Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction system to predict summertime temperature extremes over the continental United States. The index is defined as the number of days per summer (June-August) where the daily mean temperature is above the calendar-day 90th percentile and is computed for 1991-2020 using the GEOS-S2S seasonal retrospective forecasts as well as the Modern Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications Version 2 (MERRA-2). Temporal correlations are assessed over this period at the grid point scale, indicating significant correlation between the retrospective forecasts and MERRA-2, particularly in the western half of the United States. Spatial correlations between the retrospective forecast and MERRA-2 indices are computed over the United States for each year revealing year-to-year variability in the forecast skill. We investigate local and remote processes associated with increased prediction skill of summertime temperature extremes in a given year.

Natalie Thomas↗

The near-infrared structure and spectra of the bipolar nebulae M2-9 and AFGL 2688: The role of ultraviolet pumping and shocks in molecular hydrogen excitation

High-resolution near-infrared images and moderate resolution spectra were obtained of the bipolar nebulae M2-9 and AFGL 2688. The ability to spatially and spectrally resolve the various components of the nebulae has proved to be important in determining their physical structure and characteristics. In M2-9, the lobes are found to have a double-shell structure. The inner shell is dominated by emission from hydrogen recombination lines, and the outer shell is primarily emission from H2 lines in teh 2-2.5 micron region. Analysis of H2 line ratios indicates that the H2 emission is radiatively excited. A well-resolved photodissociation region is observed in the lobes. The spectrum of the central source is dominated by H recombination lines and a strong continuum rising toward longer wavelengths consistent with a T = 795 K blackbody. Also present are lines of He I and Fe II. In contrast, the N knot and E lobe of M2-9 show little continuum emission. The N knot spectrum consists of lines of (Fe II) and hydrogen recombination lines. In AGFL 2688, the emission from the bright lobes is mainly continuum reflected from the central star. Several molecular features from C2 and CN are present. In the extreme end of the N lobe and in the E equatorial region, the emission is dominated by lines of H2 in the 2-2.5 region. The observed H2 line ratios indicate that the emission is collisionally excited, with an excitation temperature T(sub ex) approixmately = 1600 +/- 100 K.

Hora, Joseph L.↗

The internal nature of functional disturbances arising in the body under the effect of extreme factors

Physiological factors in human tolerance and adaptation to pressurized cabin atmospheres during manned space flight are analyzed. It is shown that individuals display different degrees of functional changes and disturbances despite identical indices of compensation by the body of external factors. The significance of reactions at the cellular tissue level to factors of an altered gaseous environment is emphasized.

Gramenitskiy, P. M.↗

NGC 1614: A Laboratory for Starburst Evolution

The modest extinction and reasonably face-on viewing geometry make the luminous infrared galaxy NGC 1614 an ideal laboratory for study of a powerful starburst. HST/NICMOS observations show: (1) deep CO stellar absorption, tracing a starburst nucleus about 45 pc in diameter; (2) surrounded by an approx. 600 pc diameter ring of supergiant H II regions revealed in Pa-alpha line emission; (3) lying within a molecular ring indicated by its extinction shadow in H - K; and (4) all at the center of a disturbed spiral galaxy. The luminosities of the giant H II regions in the ring axe extremely high, an order of magnitude brighter than 30 Doradus; very luminous H II regions, comparable with 30 Dor, are also found in the spiral arms of the galaxy. Luminous stellar clusters surround the nucleus and lie in the spiral arms, similar to clusters observed in other infrared luminous and ultraluminous galaxies. The star forming activity may have been initiated by a merger between a disk galaxy and a companion satellite, whose nucleus appears in projection about 300 pc to the NE of the nucleus of the primary galaxy. The relation of deep stellar CO bands to surrounding ionized gas ring to molecular gas indicates that the luminous starburst started in the nucleus and is propagating outward into the surrounding molecular ring. This hypothesis is supported by evolutionary starburst modeling that shows that the properties of NGC 1614 can be fitted with two short-lived bursts of star formation separated by 5 Myr (and by inference by a variety of models with a similar duration of star formation). The total dynamical mass of the starburst region of 1.3 x 10(exp 9) solar masses is mostly accounted for by the old pre-starburst stellar population. Although our starburst models use a modified Salpeter initial mass function (turning over near one solar mass), the tight mass budget suggests that the IMF may contain relatively more 10 - 30 solar masses stars and fewer low mass stars than the Salpeter function. The dynamical mass is nearly four times smaller than the mass of molecular gas estimated from the standard ratio of (C-12)O (1 - 0) to H2. A number of arguments place the mass of gas in the starburst region at approx. 25% of the dynamical mass, nominally about 1/15 and with an upper limit of 1/10 of the amount estimated from (C-12)O and the standard ratio.

Alonso-Herrero, A.↗

On the provenance of GEMS, a quarter century post discovery

The provenance of GEMS (glass with embedded metal and sulfides) in cometary type interplanetary dust particles is investigated using analytical scanning transmission electron microscopy and secondary ion mass spectrometry. We review the current state of knowledge and closely examine the densities, elemental compositions and distributions, iron oxidation states, and isotopic compositions of a subset of GEMS in chondritic porous interplanetary dust. We find that GEMS are underdense with estimated densities that are 35–65% of compositionally equivalent crystalline aggregates. GEMS low densities result in a lower contribution to the bulk compositions of IDPs than has been assumed based on their volume fraction. We also find that element/Si ratios, assumed to be primary (indigenous), are instead perturbed by contamination and secondary alteration, including pulse heating during atmospheric entry. Fe in pyrrhotite inclusions was oxidized and Mg, S, Ca, and Fe were depleted relative to lithophile Al and Si, resulting in reduction in element/Si ratios. Because they trap outgassing elements, Fe-rich oxide rims that formed on the surface of GEMS are serendipitous “witness plates” to the changes in composition that accompany atmospheric entry. As a result of alteration, GEMS elemental compositions cannot reliably inform about their provenance. Except for highly anomalous oxygen isotope ratios measured in some large GEMS grains that indicate a contribution from circumstellar dust, oxygen isotope compositions are generally poor indicators of provenance. Prior work indicates that most GEMS fall close to the terrestrial oxygen isotope composition, which, however, does not exclude a presolar interstellar origin. Nitrogen isotopic compositions are more diagnostic. Elevated 15 N/ 14 N ratios indicate that GEMS accreted in conjunction with formation of organic matter by ion–molecule reactions in a cold (<50 K) presolar environment like the extreme outer nebula or interstellar medium. Considering all observations, we conclude that GEMS are most likely processed interstellar silicates.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A sharp interface Lagrangian-Eulerian method for rigid-body fluid-structure interaction

Herein this paper introduces a sharp interface method to simulate fluid-structure interaction (FSI) involving rigid bodies immersed in viscous incompressible fluids. The capabilities of this methodology are benchmarked using a range of test cases and demonstrated using large-scale models of biomedical FSI. The numerical approach developed herein, which we refer to as an immersed Lagrangian-Eulerian (ILE) method, integrates aspects of partitioned and immersed FSI formulations by solving separate momentum equations for the fluid and solid subdomains, as in a partitioned formulation, while also using non-conforming discretizations of the dynamic fluid and structure regions, as in an immersed formulation. A simple Dirichlet-Neumann coupling scheme is used, in which the motion of the immersed solid is driven by fluid traction forces evaluated along the fluid-structure interface, and the motion of the fluid along that interface is constrained to match the solid velocity and thereby satisfy the no-slip condition. To develop a practical numerical method, we adopt a penalty approach that approximately imposes the no-slip condition along the fluid-structure interface. In the coupling strategy, a separate discretization of the fluid-structure interface is tethered to the volumetric solid mesh via stiff spring-like penalty forces. Our fluid-structure coupling scheme relies on an immersed interface method (IIM) for discrete geometries, which enables the accurate determination of both velocities and stresses along complex internal interfaces. Numerical methods for FSI can suffer from instabilities related to the added mass effect, but computational tests indicate that the methodology introduced here remains stable for selected test cases across a broad range of solid-fluid mass density ratios, including extremely small, nearly equal, equal, and large density ratios. Biomedical FSI demonstration cases include results obtained using this method to simulate the dynamics of a bileaflet mechanical heart valve in a pulse duplicator, and to model transport of blood clots in a patient-averaged anatomical model of the inferior vena cava.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Fast-RF-Shimming: Accelerate RF shimming in 7T MRI using deep learning

Ultrahigh field (UHF) Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) offers an elevated signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), enabling exceptionally high spatial resolution that benefits both clinical diagnostics and advanced research. However, the jump to higher fields introduces complications, particularly transmit radiofrequency (RF) field ($B^{+}_{1}$) inhomogeneities, manifesting as uneven flip angles and image intensity irregularities. These artifacts can degrade image quality and impede broader clinical adoption. Traditional RF shimming methods, such as Magnitude Least Squares (MLS) optimization, effectively mitigate $B^{+}_{1}$ inhomogeneity, but remain time-consuming. Recent machine learning approaches, including RF Shim Prediction by Iteratively Projected Ridge Regression and other deep learning architectures, suggest alternative pathways. Although these approaches show promise, challenges such as extensive training periods, limited network complexity, and practical data requirements persist. In this paper, we introduce a holistic learning-based framework called Fast-RF-Shimming, which achieves a 5000 ​× ​speed-up compared to the traditional MLS method. In the initial phase, we employ random-initialized Adaptive Moment Estimation (Adam) to derive the desired reference shimming weights from multi-channel $B^{+}_{1}$ fields. Next, we train a Residual Network (ResNet) to map $B^{+}_{1}$ fields directly to the ultimate RF shimming outputs, incorporating the confidence parameter into its loss function. Finally, we design Non-uniformity Field Detector (NFD), an optional post-processing step, to ensure the extreme non-uniform outcomes are identified. Comparative evaluations with standard MLS optimization underscore notable gains in both processing speed and predictive accuracy, which indicates that our technique shows a promising solution for addressing persistent inhomogeneity challenges.

Deep learning↗

Performance of Fire Danger Indices and Their Utility in Predicting Future Wildfire Danger Over the Conterminous United States

Abstract Predicting current and future wildfire frequency and size is central to wildfire control and management. Multiple fire danger indices (FDIs) that incorporate weather and fuel conditions have been developed and utilized to support wildfire predictions and risk assessment. However, the scale‐dependent performance of individual FDIs remains poorly understood, which leads to large uncertainty in the estimated fire sizes under climate change. Here, we calculate four commonly used FDIs over the conterminous United States using high‐resolution (4 km) climate and fuel data sets for the 1984–2019 period. The relationships of these four FDIs to the observed wildfire sizes show that higher values of FDIs correlate to larger total fire sizes; this correlation is more robust at larger spatial scales. Sensitivity analysis indicates that the daily minimum relative humidity and precipitation are the most important drivers of the annual mean fire danger. In the instances of extreme fire danger, wind speed becomes a critical factor and should be considered in the calculation of the FDI. To assess the impact of climate change on future fire size, we calculate the present‐day and end‐of‐century FDIs using the 12 km regional climate model simulations. The four FDIs generally predict consistent changes in future fire potential, suggesting an overall higher fire potential in conjunction with a prolonged wildfire season in future climate. Regionally, the four FDIs also reveal similar seasonal patterns as the enhancement arises mostly in spring and summer over the southwest US while in summer and fall over the northern and eastern US.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

One-dimensionality signature in optical conductivity of heavy-fermion CeIr 3 B 2

In low dimensions, the combined effects of interactions and quantum fluctuations can lead to dramatically new physics distinct from that existing in higher dimensions. Here, we investigate the electronic and optical properties of CeIr 3 ⁢B 2 , a quasione-dimensional (1D) Kondo lattice system, using ab initio calculations. The Ce atoms in the hexagonal crystal structure form 1D chains along the c axis, with extremely short Ce-Ce distances. The quasi-1D nature of the crystal structure is well reflected in its electronic structure. Extremely flat bands emerge within the ab plane of the Brillouin zone, yielding sharp optical transitions in the corresponding optical conductivity. Further, our calculations indicate that these prominent peaks in the optical conductivity provide a clear signature of quasi-1D heavy fermion systems.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗

Neutrino oscillations in supernovae: Angular moments and fast instabilities

Recent theoretical work indicates that the neutrino radiation in core-collapse supernovae may be susceptible to flavor instabilities that set in far behind the shock, grow extremely rapidly, and have the potential to profoundly affect supernova dynamics and composition. Here we analyze the nonlinear collective oscillations that are prefigured by these instabilities. We demonstrate that a zero crossing in $n_{ν_e}$ – $n_{\overline ν_e}$ as a function of propagation angle is not sufficient to generate instability. Our analysis accounts for this fact and allows us to formulate complementary criteria. Using FORNAX simulation data, we show that fast collective oscillations qualitatively depend on how forward peaked the neutrino angular distributions are.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Historical and Future Windstorms in the Northeastern United States

Large-scale windstorms represent an important atmospheric hazard in the Northeastern US (NE) and are associated with substantial socioeconomic losses. Regional simulations performed with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model using lateral boundary conditions from three Earth System Models (ESMs: Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Hadley Centre Global Environment Model (HadGEM) and Max Planck Institute (MPI)) are used to quantify possible future changes in windstorm characteristics and/or changes in the parent cyclone types responsible for windstorms. WRF nested within MPI ESM best represents important aspects of historical windstorms and the cyclone types responsible for generating windstorms compared with a reference simulation performed with the ERA-Interim reanalysis for the historical climate. The spatial scale and frequency of the largest windstorms in each simulation defined using the greatest extent of exceedance of local 99.9th percentile wind speeds (U > U999) plus 50-year return period wind speeds (U50,RP) do not exhibit secular trends. Projections of extreme wind speeds and windstorm intensity/frequency/geolocation and dominant parent cyclone type associated with windstorms vary markedly across the simulations. Only the MPI nested simulations indicate statistically significant differences in windstorm spatial scale, frequency and intensity over the NE in the future and historical periods. This model chain, which also exhibits the highest fidelity in the historical climate, yields evidence of future increases in 99.9th percentile 10 m height wind speeds, the frequency of simultaneous U > U999 over a substantial fraction (5–25%) of the NE and the frequency of maximum wind speeds above 22.5 ms−1. These geophysical changes, coupled with a projected doubling of population, leads to a projected tripling of a socioeconomic loss index, and hence risk to human systems, from future windstorms.

Pryor, Sara C. (ORCID:0000000348473440)↗

Lubrication with sputtered MoS2 films.

Sputtered MoS2 films (2000-6500 A) were deposited on highly polished metal surfaces. These films have a low coefficient of friction (0.03-0.04) at speeds of 40-80 rpm and loads of 250-1000 grams. At loads of 250 grams the wear lives are over 0.5 million cycles, but at 1000 gram loads, it decreases to 38,000 cycles. Friction experiments and tensile tests have indicated that sputtered films have a strong adherence to metal surfaces. Electron transmission, diffraction and scanning electron microscopy show that these films have an extremely small particle size, less than 30 A in diameter, and are very dense and free from observable pinholes. The high kinetic energy of these sputtered species, the submicroscopic particle size and the sputter-etched substrate surface is responsible for strong adhesion and cohesion of the sputtered film.

Spalvins, T.↗

Lubrication with sputtered MoS2 films.

Sputtered MoS2 films (2000-6500 A) were deposited on highly polished metal surfaces. These films have a low coefficient of friction (0.03-0.04) at speeds of 40-80 rpm and loads of 250-1000 grams. At loads of 250 grams, the wear lives are over 0.5 million cycles, but at 1000 gram loads, it decreases to 38,000 cycles. Friction experiments and tensile tests have indicated that sputtered films have a strong adherence to metal surfaces. Electron transmission, diffraction, and scanning electron microscopy show that these films have an extremely small particle size less than 30 A in diameter and are very dense and free from observable pinholes.

Spalvins, T.↗

Observations of ELF electromagnetic waves associated with equatorial spread F

Extreme low frequency electromagnetic waves have been observed below the F peak in the equatorial ionosphere by instruments onboard OGO-6. Electrostatic wave observations indicate that the steep gradient was unstable to the process which causes equatorial spread F above the region where the electromagnetic waves were observed. The data are very similar to observations near the polar cusp and give further evidence that ELF waves are excluded from regions of rapid and irregular density increases. Low level electromagnetic waves with similar properties were occasionally observed on the nightside by the OVI-17 electric field sensor and may be plasmaspheric hiss which has propagated to low altitude.

Kelley, M. C.↗

Soil moisture variation patterns observed in Hand County, South Dakota

Soil moisture data were taken during 1976 (April, June, October), 1977 (April, May, June), and 1978 (May, June, July) Hand County, South Dakota as part of the ground truth used in NASA's aircraft experiments to study the use of microwave radiometers for the remote sensing of soil moisture. The spatial variability observed on the ground during each of the sampling events was studied. The data reported are the mean gravimetric soil moisture contained in three surface horizon depths: 0 to 2.5, 0 to 5 and 0 to 10 cm. The overall moisture levels ranged from extremely dry conditions in June 1976 to very wet in May 1978, with a relatively even distribution of values within that range. It is indicated that well drained sites have to be partitioned from imperfectly drained areas when attempting to characterize the general moisture profile throughout an area of varying soil and cover type conditions. It is also found that the variability in moisture content is greatest in the 0 to 2.5 cm measurements and decreases as the measurements are integrated over a greater depth. It is also determined that the sampling intensity of 10 measurements per km is adequate to estimate the mean moisture with an uncertainty of + or - 3 percent under average moisture conditions in areas of moderate to good drainage.

Jones, E. B.↗

Flywheel energy storage for spacecraft

Flywheel energy storage systems have been studied to determine their potential for use in spacecraft. This system was found to be superior to alkaline secondary batteries and regenerative fuel cells in most of the areas that are important in spacecraft applications. Of special importance, relative to batteries, are lighter weight, longer cycle and operating life, and high efficiency which minimizes solar array size and the amount of orbital makeup fuel required. In addition, flywheel systems have a long shelf life, give a precise state of charge indication, have modest thermal control needs, are capable of multiple discharges per orbit, have simple ground handling needs, and have the capability of generating extremely high power for short durations.

Gross, S.↗

Characterization and classification of South American land cover types using satellite data

Various methods are compared for carrying out land cover classifications of South America using multitemporal Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer data. Fifty-two images of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) from a 1-year period are used to generate multitemporal data sets. Three main approaches to land cover classification are considered, namely the use of the principal components transformed images, the use of a characteristic curves procedure based on NDVI values plotted against time, and finally application of the maximum likelihood rule to multitemporal data sets. Comparison of results from training sites indicates that the last approach yields the most accurate results. Despite the reliance on training site figures for performance assessment, the results are nevertheless extremely encouraging, with accuracies for several cover types exceeding 90 per cent.

Townshend, J. R. G.↗

Run-time scheduling and execution of loops on message passing machines

Sparse system solvers and general purpose codes for solving partial differential equations are examples of the many types of problems whose irregularity can result in poor performance on distributed memory machines. Often, the data structures used in these problems are very flexible. Crucial details concerning loop dependences are encoded in these structures rather than being explicitly represented in the program. Good methods for parallelizing and partitioning these types of problems require assignment of computations in rather arbitrary ways. Naive implementations of programs on distributed memory machines requiring general loop partitions can be extremely inefficient. Instead, the scheduling mechanism needs to capture the data reference patterns of the loops in order to partition the problem. First, the indices assigned to each processor must be locally numbered. Next, it is necessary to precompute what information is needed by each processor at various points in the computation. The precomputed information is then used to generate an execution template designed to carry out the computation, communication, and partitioning of data, in an optimized manner. The design is presented for a general preprocessor and schedule executer, the structures of which do not vary, even though the details of the computation and of the type of information are problem dependent.

Crowley, Kay↗